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Q&A Special! Stevie Fizz - The Draft Doctors
75 Plays4 years ago
Co-founder of The Draft Doctors, Stevie Fizz joins Dos to discuss all things AFL Fantasy Classic and Draft ahead of round 3 fantasy footy action! Stevie gives us some insight on what he’s seen so far this season before talking about a bunch of fantasy footy names suggested by YOU via our Twitter handle @podpodAFL. Catch Stevie on Twitter @StevieFizz or @thedraftdoctors after a glass of red or two.
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Transcript
Introduction and Host Changes
00:00:00
Speaker
G'day and welcome to the Point of Difference AFL fantasy podcast brought to you by the Keeper League Pod. On this special Wednesday edition of the Pod Pod, I have a chat with co-founder of the beloved fantasy draft podcast and website The Draft Doctors, who are currently on hiatus, Stevie Fizz. Now my co-host Louis is busting a gut at footy training, trying to get his own green dot at the selection table tonight, so it's just your boy Dossie on this one.
00:00:25
Speaker
and I'll be asking Stevie Fizz about a bunch of players you submitted via Twitter at Pod Pod AFL. Hope you have a good Easter, enjoy the show.
00:00:42
Speaker
Right, we're recording this Wednesday night around 7pm Adelaide Time, 7.20pm Adelaide Time if you will, and about 10 to 8 in the beautiful town of Portland, Victoria, home of St Kilda Superstar Rowan Marshall. But more importantly, the true pride of Portland Draft Doctor's co-founder Stevie Fizz. How's life during the podcast hiatus there, Stevie?
Stevie Fizz's Life and AFL Fantasy Preferences
00:01:06
Speaker
It's more hectic actually with the new arrival of a child. Yeah, no, there's no sleep at all whatsoever. And I'm actually watching more football because the kid will just be lying on my guts and I'll be watching the footy. So it's kind of mixed blessings. Yeah, that's good. I hope you can get yourself some sleep occasionally. But when you're not, you're watching a lot of footy. So that sounds pretty good to me. But have you been enjoying the new footy, I guess, this year with the rule changes? How have you been saying things?
00:01:35
Speaker
Yeah, I've actually loved it, to be honest. I wanted to hate it, but it's pretty awesome. So, how's it been? Big tick, big tick. No, I'm on the same page. But now, Steve, there's a rumor going around. You've got yourself a classic team this year, a bit off-brand for you. I know you do sort of dabble occasionally, but it sounds like you might be paying a little bit more attention, maybe, given the newborn and given the no podcast, no website to worry about. You got a bit more spare time there?
00:02:04
Speaker
Yeah, I have got a classic team. I usually start off with an AFL fantasy classic and a super coach classic team. And I generally follow through on the super coach one because I play my home league.
00:02:16
Speaker
on the Super Coach platform, whereas on AFL fantasy, I actually don't play anything as much as it's a great platform. But yeah, I've got a team. I'm not the best classic player, let's be honest. I don't understand money being the poorest man in fantasy football. And the price change has just confused the hell out of me. I thought being a top shot connoisseur though, you'd be getting your head around the cash changes and money flow and getting on Aleksey Pokushevsky, my boy from OKC.
00:02:44
Speaker
Yeah, but I'm like 5k in the hole, so it's not going well on Top Shot. Yeah, no, I fell asleep, and so I missed the first bounce. I had Zach Williams, who turned out to be a nice, well, he's not a nice pod, but I think he'd be good going forward. And I had a whole bunch of rookies I had to trade out, but did manage to avoid the carnage. Sitting in, where am I? 23,000 scored. That's all right. That's not too bad.
00:03:11
Speaker
Almost 1900 last week, so it wasn't wasn't too bad. Probably doing better than the Statesman, that's for sure. We don't know how he's gone these days, but he's dropped off since his glory days of number three overall back in 1985. Hey, Steve, if you are still podcasting, what are some major takeaways for Fantasy Footy you think aren't being talked about enough in the fantasy community right now?
Current AFL Fantasy Trends
00:03:34
Speaker
It's probably been pretty fair. I'd say the players you want through the midfield or the inside out players, key position players are standing up.
00:03:46
Speaker
Obviously the spare man in defense is kind of not the glory role it used to be. So guys like Luke Ryan, maybe finding it a little bit tougher to pop out those, those massive scores. It's been pretty, yeah, it's been pretty interesting. I think there's a good spread of contested ball. So you know what I mean? Like you used to have that rolling mall style situation and generally that just the big players that dominate, we're now the outside players,
00:04:11
Speaker
having to win, contest a ball. You know what I mean? Like a winger has to win it sort of thing. So I think they're seeing a good spread around the ground and more one-on-one contests. But I don't think anything's been missed particularly.
00:04:26
Speaker
No, that's good. I want to also get your just thoughts on some of the major topics going around because we do have you on here to talk. We've got a bunch of questions or not questions, more just players to talk about for the AFL fantasy classic from people. The people have let us know via Twitter, but I also just want to get your thoughts on just the major issues because we haven't had your voice on the podcast. We'd love to hear your thoughts. Like what are you thinking about?
00:04:49
Speaker
What's going on with the rocks and are you buying the whole rock drop off or do you think things will sort of return to normal because we obviously had a few better scores this week but lowest stoppages is are you buying into all this.
Performance Concerns with Rucks
00:05:03
Speaker
Yeah it's it's it's interesting isn't it and if there's less stoppages there's less repeat stoppages.
00:05:10
Speaker
Yeah, I'm pretty worried because I drafted, I drafted Riley O'Brien and he's just looking at my statue out there, man. He's horrible. I mentioned on this podcast actually, we went out and saw the trial game between Adelaide and Port and it actually wasn't necessarily the way he was playing that turned me off. I watched the way he was running around and it's like... He can't turn. That's the way my legs move.
00:05:36
Speaker
And I've had about 15 injuries running since I was about 25. So I just, yeah, long-term as well. I'm scared, but yeah, like you said, he can't really turn around. He's like that boat that got stuck in the canal. That's Riley O'Brien. He's just trying to take a move and he's just wedged up on the grandstand or something.
00:05:57
Speaker
And what can you do in that? You want the guys who can... He's so down, though. He's so down. He's usually laid some tackles. He's usually picked up some marks. And he's just getting none of that, so... Adelaide is moving so fast, right? Yeah. Like, they're moving the ball really quick. I think that has to slow down at some point, but... I think the game will slow down a little bit, and Rux will be fine.
00:06:27
Speaker
And what about, so you mentioned key forwards and maybe the intercept defenders, I guess, um, before, what are your thoughts on these guys as well as sort of, we're talking trends, obviously it's only been a couple of games, so pretty small sample size, but as you mentioned, sort of the ball moving quickly, even for a team like Adelaide, uh, key forwards, just, I mean, I'm, I'm in a draft, couple of draft legs as well. I've actually just really enjoyed draft this year for that factor. There's some, just some different players popping and the wave is really going off early, but
00:06:57
Speaker
What do you reckon on the on the key forwards or even those intercept defenders are going forward as well? Well what I mean by intercept defenders is is more the the the one-on-one defenders like who are good players like say you're wetering or Darcy Moore they're playing one-on-one and they're just beating their man it's not the spare man so to speak yeah but the key forwards like we know marks correlates really well with wins
00:07:21
Speaker
That's one of the really strongest indicators that you're a good side, you're going to win the marks. So it's good in that sense. And you look at Adelaide, right, with the Tex Walker just absolutely dominating. The thing is, there's no one else there. They have no one. So he's really just commanding the pill. Like it sort of takes me back to the days when Carlton were a lowly side, but Brendan Favola was a dominant forward, if that makes sense.
00:07:49
Speaker
Yeah, I understand. It's strange, though. I guess the way that a guy like Tex now can dominate, though, if that was a situation in the past, you just put a couple of guys on him or two or three with the open spaces and the ability to just kick in quickly. Is that just making him just that much more damaging? I can't believe how good Tex is going. I don't know. It's unbelievable, isn't it? Yeah, he's just destroying people one on one. The one thing that sticks out for Adelaide, I didn't think that bull used to be this good. Yeah.
00:08:19
Speaker
Shockingly good. Very, very good. Good for them. Good for them. Yeah. We've got a bunch of questions that come through on Twitter at Pod Pod AFL. And I've asked them to give us a player you want discussed. And we're going to get to as many as we can on this podcast with the help of our guest, Stevie Fizz, the draft doctor, the guru. We'll try and have a slight classic flavor. But if it's just a draft player, we will just touch on them quickly as well. I'm sure lots of people want to get your draft thoughts as well.
00:08:48
Speaker
Just going down the list here, first one from Cam, Willem Drew, he wants to talk about Willem Drew, I guess he is sort of that cheaper option in classic, but what do you think just overall Willem Drew, he looks like he's taken up Rocky's minutes in the midfield, unfortunately for the poor old Rock, but what do you reckon on Willem Drew? You can't see that continuing, right? You know he's playing Rocky this week. I'm playing Rocky in my home league, and there is no chance he's not banging out a 120.
00:09:15
Speaker
Yep. So that first week with 11 tackles, I can't see someone sticking 11 tackles most weeks. That's got to be an outlier. Yeah, agreed. I don't know what's going on with Rocky, whether that's just early season rest or what's going on there. It just seems like maybe give the young kid a run. It's strange though, isn't it?
00:09:38
Speaker
Well maybe, but we did see Geelong say they'll likely rest players. I imagine Port would have looked at their schedule and gone, look, we got a couple easy games. At the start, maybe they'll rest Boak down the line. Maybe they'll rest Robbie Gray at some point, just keep these guys fresh. I mean, they're in it for a premiership, Port Adelaide.
00:09:59
Speaker
Yeah, it could be a good way to blood those young guys and not just let them sit on the sidelines like a Charlie Constable has had to do and just wait for those injuries to come. It's just a good way when you're at the top to keep allowing those young guys to play. All right, that's a good take. This one from Joe blog, Josh Dunkley, what do you think on him? I mean, I actually just noted on the CBA article on the keepaligpod.com.au that
00:10:24
Speaker
At the end of the game last in round two, West Coast Dogs, we saw Trelore finally get his centre-bouncer tendencies up. He attended eight of eight in the final quarter to just one for Dunkley. I'm not saying it's doomsday because of how impressive the dogs have been with their disposal count early, but is Josh Dunkley a guy, you know, I guess in classic this would be, because if you got him in draft, you're just holding. He's the best hold at the moment as an F1, but
00:10:50
Speaker
In classic, would you still be buying Josh Dunkley and hoping for these big tons every week?
00:10:56
Speaker
I mean, I guess the question is, is he going to finish as a top six forward? Yeah. And you'd say probably? Yeah. So I guess maybe now is a tough time to buy it, because he will have risen quite a bit, no? He's still cheapish. He's still under $800,000, I suppose. Yeah. I think some people misinterpreted some of what I was saying as well, because when you say, oh, he's losing his CBA's, it kind of sounds like doomsday, because we know what Josh Dunkley's done in the past when he has lost that midfield time.
00:11:24
Speaker
But I think the dog situation right now is different. We've seen them just dominate possession, whether that can continue. Actually, do you think that we will continue? Do you reckon we'll just see them continue with this insane midfield group, just continue to dominate the pill week to week? Yeah, maybe. Maybe. I don't know. That's interesting. I can't wait to watch it play out. The guy I'm out on, I was out at the start of the year as Lucky Hunter. Yeah. He's playing forward by the looks now. He might get stuck there.
00:11:54
Speaker
I was nothing to do with his role, I just didn't think he'd be able to sustain what he did last year with all these guys, so...
00:12:01
Speaker
You know, I mean, Dunkley should be fine, right? I mean, what does worst case scenario for him look like? Like you said, it could still be top six at worst case scenario. So you still, you can still buy him in classic. And if you have time, he wants to know, will Will Powell come good? So the Gold Coast defender, I suppose, Wingman, he had a good jail, not jail team, Amy series game. And I don't think he's really panned out so far. Do you reckon he'll come good?
00:12:27
Speaker
This must be for classic as well. I don't think so in classic but for draft even
00:12:33
Speaker
Oh, probably not for mine. Yeah, not either. Might need an injury or something. Another Gold Coast player here and a separate player to think of here from Matt Motrum. Noah Anderson and Blake Hardwick, which one, if any? Are you buying stock in, I want to talk about Blake Hardwick first actually, taking kick ins for the Hawks. They've got a high mark system down back, but they've had probably two cushy match ups in defense as well. Buying any Blake Hardwick hype in classic?
00:13:03
Speaker
No, I've seen Blake Hardwick be relevant before, but I'd probably be trying to buy some Scrimshaw stonks. OK. I still believe getting in as the medical sub last week, he should be good to go, I would have thought this week. And I mean, maybe not for Classic, but he's probably a draft option. Well, in that sense, though, maybe you do avoid Hardwick in Classic, though, due to the fact that maybe Scrimshaw takes some of those center bounces as well, and just a bit of an outlier, a couple of games with 91 and 135.
00:13:33
Speaker
Yeah, I'm not about the whole, I took a flyer on Harry Morrison in some drafts and that sort of worked out, but I'm desperate to unload. All right, there you have it, Matt. But what about Noah Anderson? Would you prefer him as an option? Getting those center bands. I love Noah Anderson, man. I reckon he's an awesome player. Yeah, I don't know, for classic, is he going to be a top eight scorer? I mean, not top eight, but stepping stone, that's the stepping stone type of player we're talking about. 580K.
00:14:01
Speaker
Yeah, maybe, maybe. I love Took, man. I reckon Took's going to be hot for this Matt Ral out stretch. Yeah, wow. OK, well, he did have a big game to start with last week. I don't like the accountable football he sometimes has to play. And I'd even flag maybe he goes to a lead this week, given their similar sort of body stature and how he's gone to Zorko in the past to do that negating role as well, being their sort of only damaging player for Adelaide at the moment in that midfield.
00:14:29
Speaker
I don't know, it'd be interesting. I love Noah Anderson though, I reckon he's absolutely massive talent. That's Noah Anderson over Blake Hardwick easily there, Matt. NinjaSpoon wants to talk about Toronto, a bit of a flat start. You're holding your stonks there in classic and draft, or what about GWS? They're dog shit at the moment.
00:14:47
Speaker
Always thought they were going to be dog shit when they, they could never, even in the grand final year, they weren't a great rebound 50 team. Like they were one of the, rebound 50 to inside 50 team, I should say. They were, I think second last in inside fifties, even in the grand final year. It's just that forward line was just ridiculously potent. Now they've lost all their drive out of half back. They're going to be pretty crummy moving the ball in the meantime. Um,
00:15:12
Speaker
Toronto, I mean, he was super cheap. I've got him. I don't, I mean, he's been okay. He's not killing you. He's still got problems in Toronto, surely. Yeah, probably. I mean, not you, Dos, but, you know, other people.
Role Changes and Fantasy Prospects
00:15:25
Speaker
All right, so stay strong with Toronto. I'm in that same boat as well. And yes, we're staying strong for now, but if GWS are looking that bad every week, we might consider jumping off. We'll see if that counts back this way.
00:15:38
Speaker
You gotta remember they're gonna get their prime ball mover back.
00:15:43
Speaker
Yeah, that should improve things. Round 5-6, Whitfield, I think, still. Still the ways away. Maybe, yeah. I'm holding Toronto. Come on. Yeah. Tristan Miller wants to know, thoughts on Chera versus Bailey Smith. So which one out of those two do you like? This is for fantasy. I know maybe Super Coach, you go in a different direction. But would you go with Bailey Smith, given the disposable heavy nature, or a Chera, given his increased role in the midfield for Freo this year?
00:16:11
Speaker
Neither of them. Neither, I think. I don't know. Who do you take? You wrote a book about one.
00:16:19
Speaker
Oh, you wrote the other Bailey. No, and by the way, did you see Bailey Williams at the end of that game? Saved, saved the game for the dogs. That was going to be the West Coast game, otherwise. I take Bailey Smith of those two, just given the, like, if you're going to go one of those two at the price that there are, Bailey Smith, given the disposal dominance, he could get off the chain a fair few times more than Cherra, who, you know, in, in Fremantle's team, I don't see them dominating possession every single week.
00:16:45
Speaker
Jordan de Goey wants to know, Chris wants to know about Jordan de Goey.
00:16:50
Speaker
You can't have him, surely. Sorry? You can't have to go, surely. I think he's owned by a lot of coaches, 15%, including yours truly, Steve. I got dragged in thinking it was a Christian Petrarca type thing happening at Collingwood, but Jamie Elliott's down now. Do you reckon he just sticks forward and, you know, not a great option? But what about that silver service delivery we're talking about for text? You reckon to go and get some of that sitting at full forward?
00:17:16
Speaker
No. No. Collingwood are a terrible inside 50 team. We know that. That's why defenders rake against him. All right. I might have to change my trades right now. It sounds like Jordan to go. He's out for us there, Chris. Matt also wants to know, he's chimed in a few times here, but he wants to know about Cunnington as well. I'm not big on him in any format. Maybe Supercoach. Is Cunnington cheap? He's cheap. He's 500 flat K.
00:17:44
Speaker
I'll tell you, well, maybe that makes it swingable, but I'll tell you a story, Dos. Players who are contested possession dominant, and we flagged this with guys like Hugh Greenwood. That's all they do. James Walpole, another one. Ben Carrington's in that same mode. He is contested possession dominant. There is going to be only so many contests he can get to. If he's going to be a good scorer, he's going to need to find a way to build his score on the outside. I don't think that's going to happen.
00:18:13
Speaker
Yeah, I'm agreed there. So a guy that's just heavy, heavy, heavy contested possession can't win the ball on the outside as much as some other players. You don't want to go near that. Even at 500k for me, I'd be avoiding that, especially with his injury history. Like who's to say he's not going to have a week off, given how crap they're going to be this year as well. And their kids are good, like LDU and Simkin and Jed Godison, you know. Yeah.
00:18:37
Speaker
Next one from Carla, Jack Sinclair, likely to get DPP or return to scores like the pre-season. Do you reckon he's a chance? I'd avoid in almost everything I think. Especially with guys like Brad Crouch coming back, it might mean Hunter Clark moves back to that defensive line and becomes the distributor as well.
00:18:59
Speaker
Yeah, he's probably not one for me, but you know. Yeah, I think both of us have a void. We've got another person, Noah Anderson. We've already said Stevie's a big fan of that. Another Gold Coast player, though. I've been growing my like for this guy over the last few weeks in a classic sense. I've always kind of liked him in the draft format. But Jack Bowes, taking kick-ins, looks like Lakosius has moved up onto that wing. He's kind of the number one ball mover down in defense. Can you see him being
00:19:27
Speaker
We're talking only trading in guys that we think, especially at his price, that are going to be a top six level of defender. Can he reach those heights this year? Oh, that's a good question. That's a real good question. I like Jack Bowes, got him on keeper team. I don't know. It just feels, it feels, it feels pretty random. But he's like, Lakosh is going out of that defense is just a game changer.
00:19:55
Speaker
It is. I never thought that would happen. No, I didn't say it coming this soon, maybe as well. And they're even talking about swinging him a bit forward now with their forwards going down as well. I think, who was it? Sam Day going down. They're thinking about maybe even swinging him forward a bit. I mean, that is just money for Bose taking kick-ins as well, because Lakosius is obviously being that option up the field. I really like it personally as an option.
00:20:21
Speaker
You got a bank on him paying off though, because he is priced pretty expensive now. So, yep, go for it as a unique option, I reckon. Sam Walsh from Locky Mouse. The roll is there. Why isn't he scoring, Steve? Sam Walsh. I don't think he's been that bad. I think they're expecting big things. 105 plus maybe. Yeah, so I had a look at Walsh and
00:20:49
Speaker
So I don't think he's got, I think he's a good buy right now. And if you look at his kick to handball ratio is what it's been to this year. It's just totally out of whack. Usually he's slightly kick heavy this year. It's two to one.
00:21:05
Speaker
the wrong way. And he's given away free kicks and he hasn't won any. So I think freeze against is pretty underrated in a fantasy. And that sort of takes his, you know, so he's minus six and minus three. So that sort of takes him from a ton in a 90 to a mid 90 and an 87. So I don't think he's been horrible. He sort of did his average round one and he was just under in round two. So I'm not, I think people's expectations were pretty outlandish, especially given they added midfield talent.
00:21:34
Speaker
Carlton. Yeah, exactly. I mean, he's getting the center bounces. He's getting what we wanted. Not up to that big hundreds yet. But I also agree, Steve, the eye test has been so good for Sam Walsh, in opposed to his slightly underscore. It's still, he's a guy that I think will push 100 plus this year easily.
00:21:53
Speaker
The one thing I'll say about Carlton is their first weeks are really, their first six weeks are really tough. Yeah. Right. If marks correlate to wins and the way you're going to build scores this year is through marks, not through tackles, you know, maybe it might be tough sledding for the first six weeks as all.
00:22:11
Speaker
Yeah, that's a great thing. Treadwater, I'll put it that way. Treadwater. Warple, you've just mentioned him before. James Alexander wants to know about Warple. Do you reckon it's time to jump off the Warple train if you've jumped on it, given what you said before about guys that struggle to win anything but contested footy? Yeah, I would. You'd jump off, all right. Timothy. I don't think he's had a great role. He's moved outside a bit more, so. Yeah. I'd be getting off Warple.
00:22:40
Speaker
Alrighty, Timothy J wants to know about Switkowski. Free man of player, playing a bit of forward, looks almost like playing that sort of link role, old, good personality Tom Lynch has been doing in Adelaide for a few years. Actually, if we were talking draft, I'd be jumping on the wire straight away. I'm unsure and classic. He's a guy I'd be much more comfortable in draft, but he's in the 300k bracket. Can you buy a Switkowski stonks, Steve?
00:23:08
Speaker
He's looked good. He's looked really good. The only thing that gives me, like that's a great price, so maybe you can. The only thing that gives me pause, Michael Walters looks set to return this week. So I'd be cagey, but I really like Frio players. I think they're a team on the rise, so.
00:23:27
Speaker
I mean, you could do worse. Steve, this might be the sign. He's priced at $369,000. Oh, no. Oh, no. $369,000. It's a metric. That works. Rhett Weeks. Patty Dow. He wants to know, unbiased opinion from you, Steve. I won't cut in. Who's that? Who's Patty? Is he one of these guys who hasn't played yet? Come on, man. Yeah, it's a debut. Medical sub. I don't know. You've been watching him. What do you tell me?
00:23:57
Speaker
I can't have him. I've never been on him. He's still cheap. His break even is low enough that if you've got other things to do, you can wait one more week with the fact that Jack Martin's out and Fish is out. If he gets named, you can roll it one more week in classic given his 39 break even. But if you don't have a guy like Braden Campbell from Sydney with a great break even this week, then you probably can make the switch this week because you're going to be
00:24:23
Speaker
making a lot more cash from him and he is at the end of the day a cash cow for you. John Vogan, Tom Green slash Patti Dow again, we've got his name in here, but Tom Green, Patti Dow, hold or trade, either of those, Steve.
00:24:37
Speaker
People had Tom Green in classic? Oh yeah, oh yeah. Really? Yeah, 400k-ish. I think we may have just misread the whole bumping up to 20-minute quarters, meaning he will still go from his first year to second year time on ground bump. But unfortunately, it stayed the same. So people there burnt a bit. And obviously, he got dropped last week. But he should be back, you'd hope, in the side this week after they got slaughtered by Freya.
00:25:05
Speaker
Yeah, maybe they'll be back after they got slaughtered. I always thought the problem was that Ward was going to be back and fit. And there's often coaches who give the incumbents the role. So the guy who hasn't put it all together gets shut out sort of thing. So I thought that was Tom Green's worry.
00:25:26
Speaker
Yeah. I don't know, man. I don't know. I wouldn't have. I don't think he was a great buy to start with, to be honest. I think what you've said about contested players probably leaves him in that same boat as well. We don't know yet. We haven't had a big enough sample of his career to tell if he is just a purely contested player. But in his early career, I'd suggest that's sort of where he's shown to be. So maybe, especially even at his price, you can probably do a little bit better at the moment with some guys that wouldn't make a coin.
00:25:56
Speaker
You'd want to be in a winning team if you're a contested player like you'd pick up the scraps here and there.
00:26:02
Speaker
Yeah. GWS a winning team. Yeah. No, I don't think so. I don't think so. James Alexander wants to know about Luke Ryan. You mentioned him at the top of the show being maybe one to struggle a little bit. I think a few coaches have been burnt early days, just not scoring up to scratch. What do you reckon on Luke Ryan? Again, we'll just say the hold or fold, I suppose, in that sense. Probably not looking like a top six defender at this stage.
00:26:28
Speaker
Yeah, I'd fold in that sense. Yeah. I'd fold in that sense. Just the intercepting thing, the Hayden Young thing. Yeah. Yeah. I think it's time to move on for classic.
00:26:39
Speaker
We've got another question to do with Switkowski. They want to know, do they go Switkowski with a break even of one, or do you prioritize the two rookie sensations from Sydney and Chad Warner or Braden Campbell? So what would you think, Stevie Fizz? Do you reckon, do you back in, maybe avoid a Switkowski given we haven't seen a heap and Michael Wolters coming back? Or is a rookie from, is two rookies from Sydney a bit more volatile
00:27:09
Speaker
in that sort of price. They'd be similar price brackets. You're only talking maybe 50,000. Either way, Chad Warner's probably a little bit cheaper.
00:27:18
Speaker
Yeah, it's I don't know. That's a good question. That's one for the salary. I'd go I'd go Campbell. I'd go Campbell because he's got that distributing roll off off half back. He's negative to break even and he's about 50 K cheaper than sweet Caskey. So go Campbell there. Riley O'Brien. I think I think what we've heard from you've got him in draft. So you've got a hold and you might not want to say jump off because you want your leg mates to jump on but
00:27:43
Speaker
You're selling you'd have to sell in in classic surely with back-to-back very very average scores And he's still 700 K. He's just gonna leak your cash Yeah, and you can't imagine him doing too. Well in the heat outs up against wits this week No, this is one I'm interested in because in is in my squad and he's been slightly underperforming James Pope wants to know about Tom Stewart just back-to-back sort of 80s, but I think maybe we were expecting a
00:28:12
Speaker
those hundred pluses he went at 113 ish in his last five last year but I think something I totally didn't think was going to affect him and maybe is well aside from the rule changes I thought he'd be more of that as we say quarterback sort of role give him the rock but
00:28:28
Speaker
He's sort of been missed a bit for those plus sixes, been on the bench a little bit too much for our liking, and maybe the additions of Isaac Smith and Sean Higgins is maybe affecting him more than we thought, and even a Jordan Clark coming back in the team as well. What do you reckon on Tom Stewart, Steve? And Atkins has been pretty good. Yeah, playing a half-back role as well, and he's a guy that loves a bit of contested footy, so he's probably cracking in as well.
00:28:55
Speaker
Yeah, I love Tom Stewart and I was really hot on him this year in Super Coach. He's been okay and that's probably all he'll be. He doesn't play big Tom on ground. It's a really interesting thing. He really doesn't play massive Tom on ground for the role he plays compared to other players in the league. Yeah, it's been low. Is that been for his career, has it? That's consistent through his career.
00:29:21
Speaker
Yeah, I don't like that. I mean, one year he had 85%, but he's an 80% player. And that hasn't been injury-affected or anything on the... I mean, he generally has an injury every year, so... That's fair. That's fair. All right. Maybe monitor Tom Stewart. Would you give him another week against Hawthorne just to say? Or would you just, would you abandon ship?
00:29:42
Speaker
Yeah, I mean, if I didn't have other problems, I'd try to find a way to put him up to someone else. Like, you're probably not going to lose too much ground if you're fixing other problems and he's just chugging along. I think he's got a great floor. Yeah, fire out. That's something I'm glad you've said that, Stevie. He's been in my trade thoughts this week, Tom Stewart. I have on the same boat, on the same train of thinking and just that.
00:30:07
Speaker
It doesn't seem to be all going his way this year, especially, I think the mouse to feed in the distributing category, I didn't think about that enough. I reckon they're looking for guys like Smith and maybe not so much the old Stewart. I think his actual kick ins are down as well from what I saw some numbers today, so that's concerning.
00:30:28
Speaker
Another player, Tom Mitchell. Now I've seen a few tweets from your own personal. You've been going on the at Stevie Fizz handle rather than the old draft doctors. Now you've retired the, retired going on the draft doctors apart from after maybe a casket of a bit of a cheeky box of wine. Maybe you'll jump back on the draft doctors page, but you're at Stevie Fizz handle. You've been talking a little bit about some unicorns.
00:30:52
Speaker
players that maybe are those contested ball winners, but also somehow managed to just rack up on the outside as well and just accumulate stats despite maybe not being that player on paper that should be a fantasy scorer. And Tom Mitchell is a unicorn, I believe, in your eyes. What do you think on him this season? Yeah, just get him. Just get him. I was off him because of the pre-season thing, but
00:31:20
Speaker
Yeah. Yeah. So I was, I've been working on some people, you know, I know the pod's retired, but we're, we're, um, you know, I'm still working. I'm still hustling. I got some, um, I got some regression statistics going on the side and, um, you know, we'll see how much we can prove them, but yeah, no, there's some unicorns. There's some unicorn players and he's one of them. I love that. If you do things consistently, who do things year on year that shouldn't be, shouldn't be done.
00:31:47
Speaker
And there's a lot of talk about Patti Cripps and Patti Cripps 2018. Let me say, unicorn season, man. Outlier. People are riding that guy too much. Look at what they did since Patti Cripps 2018. They draft Sam Walsh. They bring in Jack Martin. They bring in Zach Williams. They bring in Setterfield. They bring in Matt Kennedy. They have gone out of their way to give this guy help in the midfield. He can't do everything on his own and he shouldn't. Yeah.
00:32:15
Speaker
Even at that crazy year, he only averaged 108. He's not a great NFL fantasy player.
00:32:22
Speaker
Yep. Fucking amazing player though. Well I guess if anyone's still holding him, maybe that's time to jump off too. That's from Steve Fizz. But jump on Tom Mitchell on the other hand.
Is Tom Mitchell a Must-Buy?
00:32:32
Speaker
What about Jordan Clarke from Marley? Looked like to be the Amy Series hype man, had that monster game. I think he showed a little dash, a little dash of Lockie Whitfield about him taking kick-ins and basically playing all over the ground.
00:32:47
Speaker
He's in that mid price bracket. Do you still stay strong with Jordy Clark for a little bit longer? Or would you be looking ASAP to get off? I wouldn't be on him at this point in classic unless I don't I don't know you see this is where I get lost these stepping stone players I think that's
00:33:06
Speaker
What's his name's gonna come back in? Duncan, forget about it. Mitch Duncan, yeah. And Minigola? It's just tough to jump off his awkward price. And I think that's why, you know, the statesman talked to us a little while ago about just the danger of mid prices. And it's when you get those guys and they do fail that it's just so hard to find some, the cash you've either got to just dump, you know, a big amount of cash to go up to someone or you've got to go down and have a rookie on your field. And it's just that awkward sort of price.
00:33:35
Speaker
I went with two this year and one was Fantasia because I figured he'd start hot so I don't mind going down to a rookie from that but the other one was Hugh McClugage and I'm cooked I've got nowhere to move on McClugage so I thought he'd really take that next step he didn't unfortunately or so far but Brisbane
00:33:55
Speaker
Yeah. Well, quickly on that, talk about Brisbane. Do you think, you know, I mean, lowest in disposals, they were pretty, pretty bad in disposal category last year. Is that something, would you, in a draft sense, because I sort of flagged this as well on, on the last show, would you be buying low on Brisbane players in general? I mean, an owner of Locky Neil, for instance, isn't going to sell Locky Neil right now, but say I'm a cluggage or I mean, it buries out injured, but those guys, would you be, are you buying stonks in, in Brisbane players? Yeah, I would, I would. Yeah.
00:34:25
Speaker
I'd buy a Zorko really, really strong. And I'd buy my Cluggage too. All right, I like it. This one from Crafty McBeerface. Liam Duggan, mid-roll but more outside. I've not been a fan of the Duggan. I mean, Shuey's back this week as well. What do you think on Duggan? This is from Classic, I'm assuming, as well. I mean, Draft, you just hold him and go strong.
00:34:50
Speaker
Classic perspective, not a fan. Yeah, I think the problem in classic is he's never going to be a top guy. So he's one of those mid prices you're hoping pops. I don't think he's going to pop. He's probably similar to your Patty Dow in that they weren't big junior ball winners. So why does that translate well to the big leagues? I don't understand.
00:35:09
Speaker
Yeah. This one from Dr. Jacob Thomas. This is not a player that he wants to talk about, but Ruck scoring in general can afford Grundy as a Draper replacement, but could he still be overpriced as opposed to a wits? Now you've been a bit of a wits non-believer in the past. What do you think on, I mean, we've spoken briefly about
00:35:32
Speaker
rucks maybe you know we're unsure right now whether they are the bounce back or or whether that's still going to be remaining low with the stoppages uh the the ceiling i suppose but Grundy is is here is he an option given he's still got a high break even in in the classic formats he's still probably going to drop a bit in price or are you just going to jump on board because you know it's him and Gorn still as those top two
00:35:57
Speaker
Yeah, I'd imagine. Well, yeah, look, I missed on wits. I had him being a total bust this year, and that's just not looking like a bad call. Thought the process was good, but that's fine. We get something wrong. I'd probably grab Grundy because it looks like he's rucking against a player I've never heard of this week.
00:36:14
Speaker
Connor Ballanton, are you a real player or an Irish whiskey? I'm not sure Alright, there you go. Dr. Jacob get get Grundy as he rocks up against the Irish whiskey James Alexander. This is a guy that's being close to the draft doctor's hearts for a little while I wouldn't say I wouldn't say close to the heart but Really want him to pop and it just hasn't happened But Darcy Parish could all the injuries at Essendon mean the final Darcy Parish season will it happen?
00:36:44
Speaker
Yeah, it's not going to happen for classic. I reckon he's a great pick up for draft, right? You got Sheila for six weeks. That's money in the bank. Caldwell's out. That's good. But Hepple comes back. That's an outside ball. But they're still the main two ball winners are going to be there in, what are their names? McGraw and Zarratt. So he should be better. This is his chance, right?
00:37:09
Speaker
Yeah. Is he traditionally a contested guy that we've been talking about that doesn't win a heap on the outside though? Yeah. And that's why it hurts. And they're not going to win anything. Yeah. If you're buying anyone, I'd buy Langford. Yeah. Langford's a nice one, especially Ford status as well. Yeah. Get around it. What about the Bont from Jack? He's had a hot start in a high disposal team in the massively disposal dominant Western Bulldogs.
00:37:37
Speaker
Do the new rules allow him to become a full premium or is he gonna I mean it's he's been a solid player Amazing player for many years, but in fantasy he's more being that flat-ton kind of guy Is he now gonna take that Pendlebury step? He's always compared to Pendles Is he now gonna take that step where Pendles did for a few years where he goes at the 115 mark? I mean we've seen him he's at 109 right now. Can he maintain this? I
00:38:02
Speaker
Maybe maybe and that's and that's sort of that gonna be the thing Whereas I say these contested guys are gonna lose is he can win all over the ground and then do something with it Yeah, like forward. So maybe if you're in a winning team and And you have some tricks outside of just winning the hardball then you should be good. I don't know man He started pretty hot. I expect him to have some some clunkers in there at some point. I
00:38:26
Speaker
Yeah, we would expect if we do, we've seen the tagers come back. He's probably in line for one of those soon. This player comes from Berkey. He wants to know Sam Docherty. He also asked about Tom Stewart, but what about Sam Docherty? Just thoughts on him? I mean, he's, you know, he's in the nineties for his scoring. Is he just going to bang out some big scores soon or what's the go there? I don't think so.
00:38:51
Speaker
I don't think so. I think he's just a solid dude now. So is he in the same category? He mentioned Tom Stewart and Sam Docherty in the same question. Are they two guys? You might see a similar kind of fantasy ceiling right now, sort of that 90-95 sort of guy.
00:39:09
Speaker
Yeah, I think that's fair. Also remember Carlton haven't won again. We said they had this tough stretch, marks and wins. But yeah, I think he's sort of in there because he's done some things in each of the matches that kind of don't play very well long term in this better Carlton team than they were when he was the dominant defender in the game.
00:39:33
Speaker
Can Brayshore from Fremantle keep it up from Matt McCrow? He's been absolutely carving early. Bloody hope so. I've got a bit of Brayshore this year. I don't know man. Yeah, you should do. Yeah, do you see him as that guy that is an inside-outside sort of player can also hit the scoreboard, get the marks, get the tackles, sort of do a bit of everything?
00:39:58
Speaker
All right, get on break, sure. He won't, he's not gonna score 120 every week though, people. He'll score 80. Yeah. You know, they'll get beaten up some weeks. Yeah, that's what I'm worried about. And we haven't seen it yet, but it could happen. What about Andrew Gaff? Somebody's put the vomit emoji next to him as well. We've got a few people asking about that, Kyle and Darren, a few others. What do you think on Andrew Gaff? Yeah, I tweeted, he's the most confusing
00:40:26
Speaker
Every year, there's going to be superstars start slow. That happens every single year. I can't work out why GAF has started so slow.
00:40:39
Speaker
And it's gotta be due to West Coast ball movement is all I can put it down to. Like they're just not moving it through his wing at all. I'll give you this though. The game that worries me isn't this game. It's the first week. He took eight marks and scored 70. When he's taken eight marks, exactly eight marks throughout his career, 123, 120, 120, 120, 124, 114, you get the picture. It is just, there's nothing worse. The worst score is 107.
00:41:09
Speaker
But that surely means it's something weird. I mean, like you said, and we mentioned it on our Monday pod as well, they're just going straight to the big dogs down forward. And instead of using those little chip kicks that Gaff always got hit up on. But surely something gives, if those numbers just stack up, he'll figure out a way to figure this out. Or maybe they just put him in the midfield in the center bounces or something.
00:41:34
Speaker
Well, he's never been a high centre-bounds player, but he's usually gotten a go. Honestly, I have no idea. I really don't get it. He's contested possessions are down. Uncontested possessions are down. The funny thing is, West Coast second in the league in Marks.
00:41:49
Speaker
And he's, yeah, far out. You know what I mean? Yeah. I think, to be honest, I think that a lot of that, though, can be attributed to that first Gold Coast game where both teams were just chipping it around the back line. It was like a marked fest. Yeah. But he wasn't getting involved, which was the strangest part about it. What are you doing classic? I've got him in classic. Yeah, you just hold. And I'm just like, man. Yeah. I think I'm going to.
00:42:15
Speaker
I'm going to sell a lot of it. I don't know what to do. I can't explain it. We can't help you now, unfortunately. I think people are wondering about GAF, but would you? They've got bought Adelaide this week. It's not going to get better. All right. We've got it. I think that's the answer. That's the answer then. For GAF owners, it's trade from Stevie Fizz. Harrison Clank wants to know about Blake Acres. Surely that's a draft question, Steve.
00:42:46
Speaker
The player in the AFL? Yeah. Any acres stonks sitting around? I know statesmen still might have some floating about. No, I got none. No, me neither. James England wants to know about Stevenson now. I reckon your little Twitter, your little subliminal messages going out on Twitter about unicorns and other things, I reckon you were very, very low on Stevenson as maybe we all should have been.
00:43:12
Speaker
Yeah, you all should have been. It was really easy to predict. Yeah, there was no way he was going to back up that game. Obviously, all the guys are going to come back. Jed Godison, Connington. Jimmon's the one I worry about. I think he's going to crush. Stevenson scoring. They're in a terrible team, maybe the worst in the league. Just no.
00:43:35
Speaker
All right. And in that case as well, people that did jump on, which is a lot of percent of the fantasy community, do they jump straight back off, especially versus the dogs, which has to be a bloodbath this week. That can't be good.
00:43:50
Speaker
Can't be good. I wavered for Aaron Norton, man. I am like, man, that guy is going to kick 10 goals. Yeah. I jumped on him last week. I put him on the field as well. I'm just all about it. I think that delivery, if you're in one of the best teams in the comp, you're just going to get silver service.
00:44:06
Speaker
Yeah, okay, so you're jumping off statements, and I'm guessing as well if you do have him mini monk 10 Michael Frederick the free man a player had a nice to boo a 76 in pretty low time on ground But in a game that was a blowout gws were pathetic as we've said a few times I don't think you can buy a score like that from a first game kind of
00:44:28
Speaker
Could you go there in classic? You'd prefer a guy like, I think they're similar price to a Switkowski or those sort of guys. I'd prefer that. We've seen a couple of games of that.
00:44:40
Speaker
I'm not about him. Did you watch that game? Man, neither team could be bothered. Yeah. They were like, yeah, man, let's just call this at half time. We're good. Well, that's why I'm a bit worried about, you know, jumping up and down about a 120 from Brescher as well. That was just a, that game, it's just trash. He did it when the game was on the line in the first quarter. Okay. Fair. But Mundy also, I think Mundy got a 120 in this game. Do we go pick up Mundy as well?
00:45:04
Speaker
I mean, you could do worse. I think brochure is a real deal, man. Sam Berry from Adelaide, the rookie lay on a heap of tackles. I guess maybe the question should be, is it too late to get on a Sam Berry in classic? Pretty cheap. Do you reckon he'll stay in there for a fair while, while Matt Crouch recovers?
00:45:26
Speaker
You should be all right for a while. These look good. Good work, right? All that sort of stuff coaches love. Yeah, we talked about your non-love for Stevenson. What about Charlie Lazara? I don't know if he caught much of the North game, the rookie. Does he keep his spot with all the potential ends? Do we? We don't mind.
00:45:42
Speaker
I don't even know who that is. Yeah, so that's that's a maybe no. Well, I think we've we've announced the debut of Will Phillips as well. Yeah, Charlie's Lazaro. I'm on the I'm on the page now of thinking just avoid as many North Melbourne rookies as we can, because if the big dogs are going to struggle, how the rookies going to go is what I'm thinking.
00:46:04
Speaker
Apart from the guy we've already got In fire, what's his name? I have to open my team that the rookie that's performed well so far apart from him
00:46:15
Speaker
I'd be very skeptical on jumping on, even though I did like Lazaro's game. I think all of them are going to have real, real poor performances every now and then. Who is the guy I'm thinking of? I really want to figure it out. Tom Power. Tom Power, Steve. No, he's been pretty. He's been handy. That's what I'm saying. So maybe Lazaro is an option then, if he does hold his spot. Josh Kelly from Brady Beer. I reckon he was
00:46:41
Speaker
Very loyal draft doctor follow her back in the day. What do you think on Josh Kelly? Are you buying stocks? pretty low at the moment Not great performances, but if we talk inside outside players, I mean alongside McClugage kind of a guy like him He's like McClugage ultra ultra at the moment In his career in the past surely he should be a guy that should thrive in a good team though. That's the problem They're not at the moment
00:47:10
Speaker
I think he was throwing a bad team. I was watching, I've got him in my home league, he was my number one pick, super coach draft, all that sort of stuff. Sorry, number two pick. Drafted Dusty first, no. No big deal, guys. But I watched the game like a hawk and he was there at every contest. He looks good.
00:47:30
Speaker
He just didn't go his way. So is that like a Sam Walsh kind of observation where, you know, Walsh is looking pretty good, but the scores aren't there. Is that the same with Josh Kelly, you reckon?
00:47:41
Speaker
Yeah, I think so. Yeah, I think so. Well, that makes sense. He's been a fantasy stud in the past. All right, we've only got a couple more here. Blake Dingle says, Sirrong. What do you think on Sirrong? We saw him go bonkers last year without five in the team, five out for a couple. But is it enough? Let's go from both perspectives. Would you sell in Classic if you've got him, or would you be happy to bring him in if you didn't have him? I don't understand why you'd have him in Classic.
00:48:09
Speaker
It's the whole breakout. We've seen second year players take a huge leap in recent years. And I think that's just always the temptation now is to jump on a second year or third year breakout. But second years have been, it's high points per minute as well. Low time on ground. I think we just expected the time on ground to jump. It hasn't jumped and we've been stuck in a low scoring high points per minute system.
00:48:33
Speaker
I will say this. I have both him and Josh Kelly in my home league and I've made Josh Kelly captain both times and Sarong is currently averaging more than Josh Kelly. So I like Sarong and he looks good. And I think the time on ground will rise. Um, I just don't know how he's an option. Yeah. You know, he's never going to be a draft play for you. Well, you think if, if how often is the third midfielder relevant in a potentially middling team?
00:49:05
Speaker
Yeah. Like, not, not all the time. I wouldn't have thought. Yeah. Well, that's why I avoided Caldwell as well. I mean, but the problem is Sorong's actually shown fantasy game like a big fantasy game. I'll put it this way. If you were looking at Melbourne, would you pick Jack Viney?
00:49:26
Speaker
No. For classic, well, why is Sorong better than Jack Viney? Aren't they the same sort of guy, but one's the young hotness and one's just old busted dude? All right, that's the answer on Sorong, mate. Is that unfair? I think Sorong's more of a fantasy stud, though, in terms of his points per minute, the way he actually plays fantasy. He might end up being one of your unicorn type players in the way he hunts the pill and does a bit of everything.
00:49:55
Speaker
I'm of the opinion that I think. But they're going to have to be good. Yeah. Because Jarrett and Brasher are already there. Yeah. So that's a no for sarong for anyone that didn't get that. Alex Thornhill, he wants to know about a draft doctor's favorite, Cam Peterson. As a final player that we want to talk about here, he's not in the game anymore, but just a bit of love for the old draft doctor's favorite, Cam Peterson. Last I heard he was winning league BNFs down in Phillip Island.
00:50:25
Speaker
All right, I'll take your word for it there. You can get us on at Pod Pod AFL. Steve, where are you on the Twits in case people want to catch you for a cheeky question or two. You're apparently up and about in classic. Maybe throw them your classic questions ever on as well. Fuck off. I'm on the Twitters at Stevie Fears. Also still running the Draft Doctor's Handle.
00:50:51
Speaker
Hey, what do you reckon? I'm sensing, I'm sensing, I'm sensing, yeah. Those vocals want to warm up soon. What's the go there, Stevie? They do. I'm missing it. I'm missing it. And I got a lot to say, I think, Dos.
00:51:05
Speaker
So I was sort of debating a solo pod. We were sort of kicking around. How funny was it? It was like, yeah, give us 69 likes and we'll do a ISO drive. We couldn't even get 69 likes. We're dust, man. We are dust. All right, everyone go whack a like on that and you might get a podcast soon. Before we go though, Stevie.
00:51:28
Speaker
Give us a buy low and a sell high and a draft leg. I know you've got a few floating around. A buy low and a sell high in a draft leg format. I reckon Zach Williams after that first game, buy low. Yep. Absolutely. And sell high. Good question.
00:51:51
Speaker
I don't know, can you sell Dougal Howie? Tex! Tex, oh god, yeah, Tex. Buy low on Tex. Oh, Jack Billings, sell Jack Billings. You really? Oh, I've been a fan. No? Alright, I'll take your word for it, sell Jack Billings. Alright, Steve, been a pleasure, thanks very much for jumping on. Oh, sell, sellwood, gelwood. Get rid of gelwood, Jesus Christ. Alright, we'll leave it there, sellwood. You picked him in round 18. Alright, thanks so much, Steve. Good to chat.