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Top 10 Bargains with Checkers! | #PODPod
96 Plays4 years ago
Dos & Lewy are joined by Checkers (@checkersmilk) to reveal our top 10 bargains right now! We also check out the top rookie options and sneak in a couple of questions before Bazza the pooch demands attention! Good luck for round 10!
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Transcript
Introduction to the Podcast
00:00:01
Speaker
Welcome to the Point of Difference AFL Fantasy podcast, a fresh perspective on AFL fantasy classic brought to you by the Kepa League pod.
Bargain Hunting & Listener Questions
00:00:08
Speaker
On this episode, Louie and I welcome a special guest to go bargain hunting, looking at some of those cheaper options for people looking for maybe some point of differences too there, Louie, on the stretch, heading towards the buys and through the buys, plus some rookie options and your listener questions. It's the pod pod.
Hosts Reunite and AFL Fantasy Rankings
00:00:41
Speaker
Welcome to the Pod Pod, I'm Dos, here with Louis, back in the same room, the ludio. That's my studio, Louis. Yep, nice to be looking at you, Dosy. It is very nice to be back here in the ludio. Now, Louis, how'd you go this week in round 9? We're heading into round 10. I think you're still continuing to rise up the rankings.
00:01:00
Speaker
Yeah, had a little bit of a bump up in rankings off the back of last week, so I'm up to 465, which is quite nice, but look, it's a good position to be in before the buyers, but I'm extremely hesitant to talk much about it, because I just want to see where I am on the other side of the buyers. But what about you, Dossie?
00:01:19
Speaker
Yeah, no good, Lee. No good. I've done a few silly things. You did the dew. I've, yeah, I've, the Mountain Dew commercial, I've gone and done the dew, and that is the condiment dew. Now, I don't know, I didn't really post much about it on the Twittersphere. I think I might have chucked at some in the Pod Pod Plus group that I was looking at that option from North Melbourne.
00:01:39
Speaker
He had a 77 average. I think it was without his without his sub vest on so unfortunately pumped out of 29 for me after
Consistent Performers & Captain Choices
00:01:48
Speaker
bringing him in and just really It just is a showing of how my trades have gone of light. So no good on my side Louie only the 1867 I was a
00:02:00
Speaker
27,000 for the round and I'm down to 12.6K overall. That's a shocker, Dossie. How am I going to come back, Luke? 27,000. You've got to help me. You've got to teach me the ways and bring me back into contention. Yeah, well, the buyers are the great equalizer, mate. So hopefully over the next couple of weeks, we can drop some gems and all the listeners can get a bit of a bump in the rankings over this next few weeks. I'm looking forward to it. I'm looking forward to it. Hopefully we can both do the same there, Luke. Nailed it, failed it for the week.
Failed Picks & Strategies
00:02:26
Speaker
Who'd you nail? I got to give it to Callum Mills and this is for a body of work. So I traded him in after round one. It was the Patrick Dangerfield injury. So I went sideways to Callum Mills and he's just gotten the job done. I think he's the top scoring defender so far this year. So I got to give it to him. He's my plus three or my nailed it rather dossy. What about you mate?
00:02:49
Speaker
I'm just going to give it to Rory Laird because he got the 125. He's in so many teams that we don't give him enough respect sometimes. I think you've mentioned him a few times just when we talk about our top six targets in defence or just targets that if people don't have him, he's just a gun. He's playing midfield, 125 for me. I only had
00:03:09
Speaker
Gee, he only had four, five, five tons in my team, which, you know, isn't ideal, but Rory lead pumping a 125 for me. At least, at least he got me a good score there, Louie. Uh, failed it. Who you got for us this week? Um, I failed it was Zach Merritt. Unfortunately, I tweeted out that day before the game. I said, I'm a little bit cagey about captaining Max Gorn. He went on to score 105. So not, not the end of the world. It's not a 140, which it could have been, but yeah, captain Zach instead, uh,
00:03:38
Speaker
Up until that point had scored a ton in every single game and was tagged. The clamps were put on hard by Caleb Sorong. So he just got
Rookie Segment: 'Show Me The Money'
00:03:46
Speaker
the 64 and I'm thankful for that though because Caleb Sorong was all over him. Didn't get a clearance. Unbelievable, really. And do you wonder, is that going to continue to happen in future weeks, given how successful they were at shutting him down? He's got North Melbourne this week. Do they put someone on him and try and do the same thing?
00:04:05
Speaker
possibly that was a bit of a must-win game for Fremantle they knew that they could get the dons at their home ground there so possibly but at the same time we saw that Darcy Parrish was able to get off the hook and maybe was a little bit more damaging than what Zerat was so yeah we'll see
00:04:25
Speaker
Maybe the tag slides across. Very interesting. But yeah, it was a shame. And all our captains really didn't. A lot of our captain choices didn't fire this week. Grundy under 100. McCree just scraped it over. None of the VC options either. So it's been a low scoring week and I think 2200 pretty much got it done as the top scorer of the round.
00:04:44
Speaker
Yeah. A hundred points less than last week. That's good stuff. Um, you know what? I should have, I should have said Jack by tell as my node as well with the big 70, 70. Yep. I told you so there, uh, Louie, uh, no, I brought him in. You've been happy with that one.
00:04:58
Speaker
Oh, dear. I failed it. I've already said it. It was kind of meant to do. I don't know what I was thinking. Don't ever do the do. I think that's the moral of the story. That's it. Yeah. All right. Well, let's move on, Lou Dogg.
Pod Plus Membership Overview
00:05:10
Speaker
And we'll just mention here, if you enjoy the podcast, then join out to be a member of Pod Pod Plus for an extra weekly podcast recorded on a Wednesday night with five-time top 100 finisher, The Statesman, with a heavy focus on answering your listener questions.
00:05:26
Speaker
you'll get to join the exclusive PodSquad Facebook group as well to throw your trade ideas around, brainstorm with other PodPod Plus members, and you also get a shout out on this podcast. So warm welcome to our latest PodPod Plus members. And this week, again, there was a few more members this week. So I'll read out some more next week. So if you missed out, don't worry, you'll be on next week's show. Welcome to the PodSquad Joel Swift.
00:05:52
Speaker
Alex Moore, James Richardson, Paul Erickson, Taylor Seay, Joe Edmonds, John Harmey, that's a big name in the fantasy world there, Chris H, Nicholas Boxall, Ryan Merritt, Darcy K, Lexwell Turnbull, Harry Steever, Dylan Dunlop, Harry Davidson, Tyler Waters, Christian Deloitte.
00:06:16
Speaker
Deloico, Matthew Pisano, Matthew McClure, Sam Kane, Josh Partridge, and Zach Taylor. Huge amount of people joining us. A massive thank you to all our new members joining up. Welcome to the Pod Squad. Head to capableagpod.com.au, go to the premium resources tab and hit bonus episodes, or click the link in the podcast description and sign up today. Now, a couple of things before we look at some rookies and bring on our special guest.
Upcoming Guests & Thursday Announcements
00:06:44
Speaker
Who is? Do we want to announce that right now? Yeah, let's do it. Yeah. So Checkers is coming on the podcast. Obviously used to host the Lane Kicking podcast with Checkers. Came rank 11 or not. I'll be in 10 just in 2019. So he's a pretty good coach. We're going to get him on and he's going to have a bit of a chat about the buy rounds, which is where he sort of made his ground last year or 2019. He's also going to talk about the bargain picks that he's really interested in.
00:07:12
Speaker
Really keen to get to chat to checkers as well. But we're going to talk about just quickly the Thursday night teams this week, which I could have used them last week to be honest, but we're not complaining. We've got them this week. Very excited about that, Louie. Just any thoughts on that? You just just going to be so much easier for some trades. It's going to be a lot easier. And hopefully on that Thursday night, we can see a Trent Bianco named because I'm really counting on that one this week made that 170 K.
00:07:39
Speaker
You're not too scared about it, despite other failings of 170k rookies in the past.
00:07:44
Speaker
Look you got to take a punt at some stage and Bianco a little bit like Jay Rand's Hall who I think he played a few games to me I played the one mate. Oh, okay. Well, maybe a board mission get off Trent Bianco already now I'll back him in he's been in the competition for a couple of years yet to get a senior game I think bucks is in a transition period now and we're seeing that cuz Pendles isn't attending as many center bounces. Oh, he's playing a half way
00:08:10
Speaker
So I think that's part of the transition and in the next few weeks we should see him play hopefully does play a few games though. And we do have our chat with checkers just touching on the buyers briefly but if you didn't catch our buy round chat last week maybe check that one out because we did cover it in depth on your strategies and I think a fair few people were
00:08:30
Speaker
Very happy with dealing with the buy strategy the way that you've laid it out So if you didn't hear that check out last week's episode We're gonna talk to check his today a little bit about it and also Louie Teasing a little special guest for a couple of weeks time.
Buy Rounds Strategy & Rookie Picks
00:08:44
Speaker
I'm not hats that bloke has all the leaves Well, don't say would that be the statesman order? No, it's not a state. Oh, no say those got three. I think this blokes got two So that's one to think about for the listeners. I wonder who that could be He's coming up in what a week or two
00:08:59
Speaker
Yep, I'll confirm that time, does he? I thought you'd already messed you, we'll have to wait and see how that works. Nothing confirmed yet, but he'll be on. He'll be on. He'll be on. All right, it's time for the rookie segment. Show me the money. Show me the money! Show me the money!
00:09:18
Speaker
All right, show me the money. Top five rookie candidates based on job security and breakeven. Louie, you got some top fives for us this week. Yeah, top five. I do actually. I've got the top five and this one I actually have ranked in job security because the one thing that all these rookies have in common that we're looking at downgrading to that that job security is seriously shaky. Forget the scoring potential. I'm worried about the job security. So straight off the bat.
00:09:44
Speaker
Too late on Rhineburns now. You can't jump on. I think he's over 300k. His break even's gone up to seven or eight. So still quite low. But as we know, I don't like paying too much for my rookies. I prefer to squeeze every bit of juice out of them. I can. So that being said, at number one, we do have one that's edging that mark. Riley Collier Dawkins, 290k. I don't mind still jumping on because you still got that minus 18 breakeven. He actually attended the most center bounces for the Tigers on the weekend.
00:10:13
Speaker
Yeah, had the most out of anyone. According to our mate AFL stats mate over there, the official numbers from Chairman Dada haven't come out just yet, I don't reckon, but yeah, he was in their truck loader center bounces back to where we thought he would be given all the injuries at Richmond and yeah, negative 18 break even you can't go wrong and on field at the moment. Yeah, I would put him on field.
00:10:34
Speaker
for sure and he's another one of those guys that's a bit of a mature age pick in that he was drafted a couple of years ago. He's finally getting a go at it now. So, so not too late is what you're saying as well. Not too late. This is probably the last week I'd do it purely based on that minus 18 break even but also that job security. I think it's going to be pretty good for the next month. Love it. Matt always.
00:10:56
Speaker
Next up, not going to be a scorer. In fact, he's probably not even going to average 50. But when we're ranking by job security, I think Matt always has actually bought himself a good month or two in that team. And I think now that Eddie Betts is getting on a little bit in years, they're looking for that next sort of guy to step up. And Matt always has shown enough. I think he's averaging about two goals a game in the last three games. So I don't mind him. And at 256 K and a five break even.
00:11:23
Speaker
I don't mind him as a bench option to chase a little bit of cash and some job security, but he's certainly someone I wouldn't be putting near my field. Yeah, it's tough on paying up at that price, but if we don't, maybe if we do get a 170K, you'd probably be happier. Would you be happier going there? I mean, the job security is there.
00:11:41
Speaker
I think that always is a slow burn. The reason he's so high is because of that job security. I just don't see him getting dropped. And a lot of coaches, they're having to deal with these red dots. There's no point trading out Finlay McCray, for example, this week to a bloke who might be a red dot two weeks from now because you've actually wasted two trades trying to fix your buy structure.
00:12:00
Speaker
Great. Who's your third on the top five for? Show me the money. Bit of a smoky. Thomas Hymore. So very common name for coaches to start with. Many traded, many held, but Tom Hymore returned on the weekend. Finally got that green dot we're after.
00:12:16
Speaker
That's it. He got a 49, I think it was, and he looked pretty good, and rats had some good words to say about him after the game. Oh, he did? Okay, I'm glad to hear that. That's why I've got him at third there. 268k, 10 break even. Another one of those guys, that's the mature age recruits. So we always see that these guys that are a few years older do manage to score a little bit better. Surely he could move ahead of Frawley. He looked pathetic.
00:12:41
Speaker
Yeah, well, I reckon he can move ahead of Frawley, but he's probably, you know, fighting for a position with Coffield who was dropped on the weekend. So we'll see how that one turns out. How's his first three games though? JWS, I mean, we would have thought JWS were a bit better this year. They're probably not really the contenders we thought, but JWS, Melbourne and Geelong for his first three games, Highmore that he's played. I mean, that's a pretty tough,
00:13:05
Speaker
tough three and if he plays this week it's going to be the dog so he hasn't like it's not like he's had an easy run yet for his scores so hopefully he can stick around. That's it and if he's playing the dogs it's going to be in St Kilda's back lines pretty often so I'm pretty confident for a 50 from Highmore probably wouldn't put him on my field either.
00:13:23
Speaker
but he'd go close, so definitely your first emergency there. Caleb Poulter's next up, 288k. He's a bit expensive, probably one that I wouldn't really touch, but I do think that his job security is better than the next guy I've got on my list. He's got the eight breakeven, so look,
00:13:42
Speaker
I'll be honest, I wouldn't jump on Caleb Porter now, but he's probably the highest scorer bar RCD out of those first four. It's actually hard to say. You'd think his job security would be way up there as well. He's looked confident and comfortable at the level, but at the same time, you don't know what the bucks and the pies are thinking for the next few weeks. And even just going on for the season. So you'd think that he would have job security, but yeah, that's going to be the tough thing for 288K. You probably avoid.
00:14:10
Speaker
Well you can save $130k, you can go down to Ronan O'Connor who saw Daebu on the weekend for Adelaide. He's going to be an inside ball one day. He had the eight tackles. He only had the one kick. Didn't find a lot of the football.
00:14:26
Speaker
So he's someone, and he also had about 50% time on ground. So based on what Nick sort of said after the game, it sounds to me that yes, maybe he plays one more game, but I think this is a bloke that's getting a taste at AFL level and then he's going to be sent back to state level to sort of do his homework and become a better player there. So I've got him rounding out at five. I thought he was worth mentioning because he is the, I think he's the number one traded in player this week as a downgrade option. So
00:14:54
Speaker
uh 185k nine breakeven even though he's on it on this list i just want to take the opportunity to say i would not be trading in okona this week okay you heard it here first lu dog avoiding okona but i mean the fact is fifth in your rookies does that mean we're a bit thin uh looking around extremely thin yeah i was looking at matt bunton today for 270k so this is why
00:15:19
Speaker
Hopefully we can get some Sam Hayes or we can get a Trent Bianco or Joel Weston, a Will Gore, the list goes on. Luke Valente, how many of these 170k guys have we been waiting for four years? We've even got a few more for us because there's the Prezis from the Resis section within Show Me The Money that I've got now. And these are the guys that did pretty well in the state league sides on the weekend. And your boy here, Trent Bianco, 170k defender mid, I reckon he's got the both dual
00:15:47
Speaker
Yeah, really handy. Second game back for this year. So he played last week, carved up. We spoke about him last week. This week, again, 21 disposals, 3 marks, 7 tackles. Loved to tackle at the VFL level at the moment for 98 AFL fantasy points.
00:16:03
Speaker
Gee, he's close to it. Question without notice, Dossie. Why is it only two games he's played this year? So he's coming back from injury. Coming back from injury? What was it? Did he do the preseason? I would not know that answer there, Road Dog. But yeah, he hasn't played at all until last week. He's managed to play last week. He's obviously ready to play now. Well, you have to have a look at him, don't they? He's been on the list two or three years now. So if he doesn't play this week, surely he plays next.
00:16:30
Speaker
You'd hope so. Will Martin for Richmond now, after their great win on the weekend, you'd probably think a couple of these Tigers perhaps don't get a gig. You know, they've sorted out how to sort out their midfield. Maybe a player we'll talk about a bit later as well stepped into a midfield role and played pretty well. But Will Martin, 171K mid, he had 32, 7 and 7. I think he's about 171. He came in for one game and was pretty average.
00:16:55
Speaker
this year but he had 32 disposal 7 mark 7 tackles for 121 fantasy points for the Richmond VFL side Thompson Dowell as well another Dowell emerging at 192k also had a ton of the Sharon but as again they probably won't get a gig anytime soon. The other one I wanted to mention here though
00:17:15
Speaker
was Tom Hurd, son of a gun, 170 K mid 19 disposals with 16 kicks, five marks, five tackles for 90 AFL fantasy points. Is he playing half back in the VFL? I reckon he must be with those ratio. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. We'd have to check out the keeper league pod. That's an interesting one. That insight there may be same with the Trent Bianco injury from the same team. Did you notice that Alec Waterman had a bit of a best on ground performance there too? I think at 27.
00:17:44
Speaker
touches and that's huge. Five tackles. So that's got to take the odds. You're probably hoping he's back. He's still got him sitting on your pine there. Yeah, he's still sitting there in utility. So I've got a sneaky chance that he will play. Now, I just wanted to mention this as well with Tom Hurd.
00:18:00
Speaker
Essendon, they've got a couple of guys with the names, you know, we go around the fantasy guns of the competition. You call Tom Mitchell, it's Titchell, Zach Merritt, Zerritt. Now, another favorite coming through with Tom Hurd, of course, he's the turd. So, don't mind it, yeah. Get around him. Also, Scotty Selwood just, it piqued my interest, Scotty Selwood was playing his first game for the Pies VFL side. Not in AFL fantasy anymore, but boy.
00:18:28
Speaker
do used to love my Scotty Selwood back in the day in fantasy so it's good to see him running out in the pyres VFL side there. Did you see Ben Cousins as well on the weekend how to run? Absolutely. He's eligible for the mid-season draft. Yeah, get him in, get him in. If you want a sample VFL waffle numbers, I was focusing on the VFL ones this week so if you want to check out the waffle and sample as well, you can support our sponsors at kplagepod.com.au, sign up there.
00:18:54
Speaker
get access to all those state league numbers as well as a breakout tracker advanced center bounce attendance tables weekly projections the lot so head over there but Louie it's time to bring on your mate check his and go bargain hunting let's do it
Guest Checkis: Buy Round Strategies
00:19:15
Speaker
All right, we got Checkis on to talk some bargain hunting and a little bit of buy strategy. Checkis, welcome to the show. Yeah, thanks for having me. Been a while since I've been on fantasy podcast. Geez. Absolutely, mate. You're missing your old mate, Louie here as well in the studio. Yeah, it's been ages. It's been over a year probably. We've been out of action, but still be playing fantasy. Don't worry about that. Yeah, how are you going this year, mate?
00:19:42
Speaker
Well I don't know, Louis is bloody tearing up this year, so it's been a flip on how we've been going the last couple of years, but I don't know, I'm ranked about mid-2000s at the moment, had a pretty good week last week, which sort of saved me a little bit. Ah, beautiful. But I've got a bit of cash out to do over these buy-arounds. Yeah, they're the moving weights.
00:19:59
Speaker
Yeah, so speaking of buy-ins now, Louis has let us know that you've made a big leap in the rankings during the buyers in the past. Do you have any words of wisdom for us? Louis let us know his strategies last week, but interesting to hear your takes on the buyers.
00:20:14
Speaker
Yeah, it was a couple years ago. It was 2019. I ended up jumping from about 20k before the buyers. I think I carry the buyers inside the top 10. That's a big jump. It's a great three-week stretch where you can just make up some real ranks. It's also a period where I find a lot of people just give up on the comp.
00:20:36
Speaker
I don't know, going back to that year, I think there was about 80,000 people all signed up for fantasy and I think probably after the buys you might have already had about 20 to 30,000 actually still participating or a lot of people give up on the overall ranks and start worrying about their leagues and you know, it's a good time to sort of jump up the ranks if you're really concentrating.
00:20:54
Speaker
Um, the buy strategy, what I was doing in the past is I just like to write it out. I like to add that. I think me personally, I use like a whiteboard or a piece of paper, but I've seen a lot of people use like Excel sheets or documents. But yeah, if you can like color code your buyers and sort of get, get a structure going, the big thing is just making sure you're preparing in advance. Like you don't want to rock up to the first week of the buyers and have, you know, you only got a couple of trades up your hand. You kind of donuts or anything like that. You got to start looking at it.
00:21:23
Speaker
I had good coaches look at it at round one, but if you start looking at it now, you can still probably play catch up and get yourself in a good position.
00:21:30
Speaker
We're pretty handy this year that port have the first buyer the round 12 by so you've got players that are Cash cows are sort of peeking out like Fantasia Bergman Some people still holding Locky Jones, so they'll be pretty easy move on So don't stress too much if you haven't thought about it yet. You're not that deep this year I think that those port trades pretty handy if you can start foot Flowing a few of those poor guys out of your team the next few weeks you'll play catch up. I
00:21:55
Speaker
Yeah, beautiful checkers. That's some real good advice there, mate. And can you just confirm or deny for me if in 2019 that a buy-around jump was off the back of one Jack Zebel? Yeah, I think it was. I actually think it was picked you up late in the buyers and that's when he said he has a yearly spurt.
00:22:14
Speaker
Um, one thing I did write down in my notes when I asked you about buyers, as I said, you don't want to be burning your trades in the buyers to, um, just cover a donut. So like the bad coaches or the coaches aren't paying attention. They'll just be freaking out. Come to buyers. They'll start worrying about, Oh, no, I've got a couple of donuts here and they're not really planning their trades effectively. Whereas the good coaches are planning them now, planning them a couple of weeks ago. And they're going, all right, this player is going to be cheap in a few weeks. And I've got his by here and his by here and they sort of structured their trades. So they come out of the bar with a really strong team.
00:22:45
Speaker
So I sort of feel like if you're planning those trades in advance and you're ready for what's going to happen, they're almost worth like double trades that, you know, you can really, really jump ranks on other people who are really under, you know, under prepared.
00:22:56
Speaker
Oh man, that's awesome. I think if we add Louis' advice from last week and yours together, that's some lane kicking quality content there, mate. That's elite stuff. No, that's really good stuff just to plan ahead and really maybe jot down your notes as well and make sure you've really got that plan instead. Have you been, is that something you've been thinking about then in regards to donuts? Have you been trying to fix your red dots in these coming weeks before you get to those buys so that you don't panic trade?
00:23:24
Speaker
I'm just preparing for when certain players are going to peak and when certain players are going to bottom out. We're looking at Fantasia. We know he's going to be peaking probably this week, next week, just coming up to the bias. You know you want to move him on. You know players like Dustin Martin are going to be bottoming him out in the next few weeks. If you're planning now, a couple rounds out, you can have that in your mind and heading into that buy. These are the trades you're going to pull.
00:23:46
Speaker
But if you come to buy around you suddenly get shafted with a quick donut here or there, it ruins all your whole trade pro. You're not thinking about the right trade you want to make, you're just sort of just covering up your field. Yeah, no, that makes total sense. We got you on as well because we want to go bargain hunting now.
Bargain Hunting Segment
00:24:02
Speaker
People sometimes are trying to scrounge around for a bit of cash at this point of the year and also just make those trades that are bringing in, buy low, sell high, the old fantasy conundrum there that we all follow along with.
00:24:15
Speaker
We're looking at some cheaper options that are hopefully going to be in our team, at least for a little bit and certainly carry us through the buys. So I've got you on here. We're going to go through our top 10. You and I are going to go back and forth and we're going to get comments as well along the way from Lou Dog in the studio. But I want you to kick us off. We're going to just go with our top 10, our combined top 10. We'll mention any special mentions as well at the end. But who do you want to start us off with for our top 10 in bargain hunting?
00:24:42
Speaker
I'm going to flick up a name that really got me going last weekend just gone. I was having a really average round like Kevin and Grundy, Jack Bowes went down with injury and it all got saved on Sunday night by Sean Darcy from Fremantle. Oh, I love this one. I love this one.
00:24:59
Speaker
Dished up 133 on the very last game of Sunday. I put him down in my notes and I put next to him Rowan Marshall. So a lot of people that jumped on the Rowan Marshall train a couple weeks ago now are going to need to force a trade. Ruck forward. Darcy is 10k cheaper than Marshall. So it's pretty much like an easy swap for swap.
00:25:20
Speaker
now that Marshall is out of his foot. So if you are a role in Marshall, and I'd probably just be looking straight at Sean Darcy now. He's averaging 97 in the last three weeks. He's got the round 14 buyer. And in the next four games, he plays the Bulldogs, Sydney and the Suns in there. So, you know, teams that don't really have to recognize Ruckman as well. Darcy being a very good tap Ruckman as well.
00:25:43
Speaker
Absolutely huge. I've been on this for a little while now. I think I said it on the pod pod a few weeks ago Statesman actually had a had a giggle at me saying I thought he was going to be a top six forward this year and possibly the third best ruck in the competition. Shawny das now he's had four 100s in his last five as well to add on to your stats there. So I didn't know he's
00:26:04
Speaker
He's non 100 there coming as knick-knack as well, so that's probably one of the hardest match-ups you'll have in the whole year. That's out the way. I didn't know that juicy scheduling bounce, so I appreciate you bringing that as well. Yeah, just finally fit and firing an absolute gun. You got no arguments here on that one, and he's still 639K, so jump on board. I'll give you my first one here, and I'm just going to be obvious to allow you some of the different options, but I'll just go with Dusty at 590K.
00:26:34
Speaker
Bargain Price, start of the year above 700k. We know what Dusty can do. I don't think there's a stack that needs to be said about him. Injuries affected it. Richmond, you don't think he's going to be moved out of the midfield. They need him in there at the moment. So, toned up. It's been a while since he's given us a good score. I know owners are getting frustrated, but for non-owners, now's the time to jump on. And it's not a sexy pick because it's just Dusty. You know, he's in a lot of teams already. It's just a pretty safe pick.
00:27:01
Speaker
Yeah, you're not really losing out. You're just getting him at his cheapest really. He's bottoming out. He had that concussion. He's probably not going to get a lot cheaper than 578K. We're about to pick him up at his cheapest and hope he just bounces back to what we know he can do, which is probably mid to high 90s and maybe even over 100.
00:27:18
Speaker
That's it, we're about to pay for second half of the year Dusty, which is totally different to first half. Often we see at the start of the year, he's just going through the motions, you know, just getting the legs ticked over, but it's not until the second half where he really goes bang and we see some of those massive fantasy scores.
00:27:35
Speaker
Yeah, Luke, our check is sorry. What's your third on this list of five? I'll go with another obvious one from last week that everyone should have jumped on. I didn't see his ownership go up too great, but James Harms, if you didn't get on him last week, I still think there's probably time to jump on him at 540k. He has the crows this week. He hit at 84 on the weekend, which, you know, is probably around ballmark, but I think he's probably capable of going mid-90s as a defender at 540k.
00:28:03
Speaker
probably your last week to jump on him if you're going to do that. Yeah I love it mate and he's also got that round 14 buy which is really handy so we can jump off James Harms potentially in a couple of weeks at his 85 average we hope and jump on a bloke like a you know Josh Kelly or Lockie Whitfield and he's also after round 12 he's going to get that DPP eligibility so I really like Harms as a pick as well checkers.
00:28:27
Speaker
Definitely, there's a heap of defenders that have had a pretty average week the last few weeks. I think grabbing a mid-price defender in the next few weeks, you'll have blokes like Jordan Ridley bottoming out, Jack Bose bottoming out, Whitfield bottoming out. Great time to jump on a stepping stone right now in the back line.
00:28:45
Speaker
I've just been sketchy on harms due to the fact that Viny's scheduled back in the next week or two, maybe even this week, depending on how things go with his toe. But does that scare you at all if you're bringing in someone knowing that their role could maybe be limited in the next coming week or two? I still think the break evens there, you know, he's still going to make some coin. So even if he does dish up a growth score, it's not going to ruin your whole season. So, you know, it's like a pretty much it's like a
00:29:12
Speaker
I'm not a free swing, but you know, you know, you can get a 90 to a hundred out of him and it works. You're going to get a 40 to a 60 and you can just flip him off and you're not going to lose coin on it. Yeah, absolutely. Um, I've just been against the harmsey. I know, I know that's a big fan, but I won't talk about it anymore. He's number three on our bargain hunting list. I'm going to go with a guy that's burnt a lot of people, including myself. But now that his price is probably bottomed out from here, I'd say it's time again. He's got the round 13 by, so it's probably not a bad guy to pick up.
00:29:42
Speaker
Caleb Daniel at 584,000 for non-owners, back to his best the past couple of weeks. It's always scary with the Bevo factor. He's certainly been, had his role switch a couple of times, but we know we saw what he could do at the back end of last year. I reckon he had an average around that adjusted 115 odd in his last five over last year in the Corona system, of course. But 584K for non-owners, that's pretty juicy price, Louis, do you think?
00:30:10
Speaker
Yeah, look, he's still really cheap. He's been around that 575 mark for two weeks now. I like him as a fantasy player. I do. I just don't think that with what we've got available in our top six, top 10 defenders, that Caleb Daniel is in that bunch. The reason I say that is because Caleb Daniel relies on the ball to be distributed to him. So he's not a massive ball winner. And also last weekend, I think it was, we saw that
00:30:37
Speaker
Bevo just wanted to avoid that Caleb Daniel tag later on in the year. So he thought he'd just throw him forward and see how he goes there, sort of add to his versatility a bit. That was the only reason he did it. That was the only, that was the reason that he said he did it. So that's what I'd flag the role with Caleb Daniel. But when he's got that sort of taken the kick ins and that halfback role, then I think this year he can still be that 95 averaging player. And just right now I'm a little bit cagey over jumping on a bloke like that.
00:31:05
Speaker
All right. Well, I think based on that and I probably the moment I said it, it even as an owner that's nervous week to week with his role, I think we'll shuffle him down a few spots if this isn't in order ranks. I think we'll pop him down to around that seven. Maybe Mark, you happy with that check? Is you a bit sketchy on Daniel? Are you pretty happy? Yeah, I looked at him last week pretty seriously. I was looking for a lucky show sort of upgrade. But yeah, like Louis said, he played three quarters up forward. He was going back two weeks and his break even was just about what I thought he would score. So I thought I'd hold off a week.
00:31:35
Speaker
Liked his game against Porte, but again, again, his break-even is only 63, so he comes out in tonnes up this week. You're not going to lose that much just to have a look, sit back and have a look for another week. No, fair enough. Yeah, you probably only lose out in that 15 to 20k, so just sit back and watch it again, see what Beveridge does with his roll. Maybe you can slot in a nicer option then at number four here for some bargain hunting after I've shuffled Daniel down a few spots there.
00:32:00
Speaker
Yeah, geez, I got a huge list of names here, but I just can't sort of like pick out a star. Patrick Cripps is on my mind at the moment. He's had the news article come out about his back and he's sitting at about 600K, came out in the weekend and scored a ton. It's just a hard one. I feel like it's going to be very hard to refuse if he drops under 600K and it's one that should be on your watch list. Because we know he can go back, he can really go 115, 120 average like those premium guys.
00:32:29
Speaker
Yeah, it's it's a tough one, isn't it, Louis? What do you think on Crippa? I mean, you know, definitely not at his best this season. Did have the time. He's got Hawke, Sydney and West Coast before the round 13 by. Yeah, so Checkers is right. Cripps is getting to that sort of price tag now where you do have to start taking a serious look at him because what we've seen from Cripps.
00:32:47
Speaker
Even though he's not probably in the form that he was a couple of years ago He's a player that can really go out and post a 160 even if he scores 80 the next week He ends up being that sort of 120 averaging player over the course of a few weeks during pretty much every season So if you can nail jumping on crypts this year if he finds a bit of form Then he's a super option to jump on really good one
00:33:11
Speaker
Yeah, I like it as well. Um, I hadn't actually thought of him. I didn't definitely didn't have him on my list here just because I'm not sold on it. It's just one that I have keep circling around. I'm like, yeah, this, this guy can't be, you know, you can't ignore it. You gotta look back at it and just know you've got it. And you've got to get in early. It's so nervous. It's a nervous peak, but on these ones, you find his heart streak.
00:33:32
Speaker
Yeah. Um, so my next one, I'm going to go the safe ones probably because later in, later in this list, I'm definitely going to go a bit risque. I want to get the safe ones out early. So I don't get too much shit from Louis here. Um, this one's just Jordan Ridley at 597 K.
00:33:49
Speaker
cheapest chips for a potential top six defender. I think maybe we've gone a little bit cooler on him. His ceiling's not as high maybe without as many kick-ins. I think we've seen Redmond and Hepple stealing a few, especially Redmond. That's been sort of the surprise package. Yeah, Redmond's been dominating it. Redmond potentially another bargain there, but he's still been solid Ridley for a 90 to 95 plus defender, I think, and at his price, especially
00:34:14
Speaker
I guess the issue is like his knee, it's strapped up. He does look slightly more proper than he usually has looked, but he's just going to work his way into form. And you like Ridley as well as a cheaper option there. Yeah, I was real hot on Ridley. I think when Caleb Daniel went down with his 20 a couple weeks ago on the suspension, I had to toss up between Ridley and Jack Bose. So that was, you know, that was a tough 50-50. I went up, went with Bose in the end, but Ridley was a very eye on that list. I think,
00:34:43
Speaker
He's got a break even in the 90s still, so if you are worried about his leg, I mean, you said his ceiling's not massive at the moment because of those kick-ins, he's probably just going to dish up 90s, and I think we won't see his price jump back up just yet. So if you were like, you have to look at your buy structure. I don't know what other people's teams' buy structures are, but if I was reading my team, he doesn't fit my buy structure this week, so I'd probably wait until just after the buyers jump on him, probably won't lose that much cash, because he's, you know, still had a break even in the 90s, and he's dished up 97 last week.
00:35:14
Speaker
It's one you can probably sit on the fence for if you really need to, but yeah, I do like him. When he takes the kick, he's a freak. Yeah, and Louis, you're of course, I think he's in your trade plans this week as well, Ridley. You're a big fan. Yeah, there's a good chance Ridley comes in for me this week. I guess I'd liken him a little bit to Tom Stewart, where he doesn't have that frightening ceiling of a
00:35:32
Speaker
even a 120 but he's generally a guy that you can bank on an 80 to a 105 so I like Ridley for that reason and that's probably the reason he ends up being a top six defender because he is that sort of level of consistency above the rest but at his price just like Cripps he's getting hard to ignore now and for me actually the buy structure really suits me.
00:35:53
Speaker
Yeah, there you go. There's the other argument of it. If you are looking at that boy, he's a nice option. I love that Tom Stewart comparison, just in terms of, you know, the ceiling might not be great, but especially Tom Stewart as well. When he does go on a run, and we have seen that with Ridley at the start of this year, if he has the pure role, then you're also going to get an awesome ceiling gains as well. So he does have that potential if he gets the role permanently.
00:36:14
Speaker
That's it. We may also see him build up those kick-ins again. He started the year taking pretty much everything. He had a mortgage on him. He misses a game, then he misses, well, he misses most of the game, then he misses the next game with concussion. I think maybe they just made a few tinkers, took advantage of him not being in the side. I reckon we'll see his kick-ins rise up again. Perfect. Check this. Who's your next one on this list? I think we're at about, we're at about number six because we slid Daniel down to number seven. So we'll skip over him in a minute, but number six on the bargain hunting list.
00:36:45
Speaker
I'll just chuck the obvious one up. This one is just circulating social media this week. Isaac Heaney at $481K. He obviously had his injury concerns. He went down to 3% ownership.
00:36:56
Speaker
But they kicked three goals against the magpies last week played a little bit up on the wing and scored 107 So I'm not a massive fan I don't think he is the play he was a couple years ago And I don't think his role will ever be that same role until we see that midfield shift at Sydney But if you can keep kicking a couple snags And if you find yourself on the wing a little bit you can definitely be like an 80 to 85 maybe even 90 average player and at 481 K that's a bargain so it's one that a lot of coaches probably look at this week and
00:37:25
Speaker
Yeah, Louis, what do you think on Heaney? I'm in the same boater's check. It's just a little bit cagey in the sense that we've just seen, you know, he kicked three goals against the Pies to get his ton, a tons of great score. Don't get me wrong. But I mean, we saw someone like to goy last week, ton up for you, Louis. And you've been waiting a long time for him to ton up only to come back to earth this week. And it was a weaker opposition that Heaney was playing. Do you think there's potential for that to happen as well with Heaney over the coming weeks?
00:37:50
Speaker
Oh, with any forward, there's that potential when when it's a tough game, they're not going to score as well. When they're getting on top, they're going to score pretty well. So at like with what's been the theme of this list, actually, at his price now, Isaac Haney is becoming really hard to ignore. I think he's an 85 averaging career fantasy player across his career and moving forwards as long as he's in that role currently. So at 480 K, there's not a lot of downside that presents a lot of upside.
00:38:19
Speaker
And if you're using a red dot to get to him, let's say you're trading in two, you're trading out two red dots and you're bringing in a Haney on the other end, then that's a really good trade.
00:38:30
Speaker
Yeah, don't mind it. Now we get into the loose part of the, uh, of my list. Oh, no. Oh, Louie. I don't know if this is that loose though, after seeing how well he played on the weekend. Now, I don't know how far the injuries away. I'll have to check the injury list to see a few of these guys at Richmond when they're coming back, but we've got Bolton still a couple of weeks away. Trent Cotcheon two to four weeks. I've got the list up right now. Who are you going to say?
00:38:54
Speaker
Four to six for Shane Edwards. So this and still a couple of weeks away for Presley if the if Presley comes back It might be hard to hard to do it But if he's still away for a few weeks over these by stretch Liam Baker at 566 K 19 kicks 16 handball six tackles three marks for 118 Fantasy points in his first proper taste of serious inside midfield time ever was it?
00:39:22
Speaker
might be ever could have been a junior but yeah he looked good on the weekend and that was a role that obviously it's been created from those injuries that you mentioned and now all of a sudden we've got a guy who's priced at five hundred and sixty six K just put up a hundred and eighteen fender and he's averaging eighty seven point three across his last three so
00:39:42
Speaker
If you take all that into account, he's definitely under priced. It's just what do you think he averages from here, Dossie? Well, I just see him as a, personally as a less risky option than even like a James Harms, who I see, I see the mid time just disintegrating quicker than Baker and Baker's got a ceiling. So while he's got the role, he could put up these lead type numbers, you know, he look, he's a real goer in there. And I'd be really interested to hear Checker's thoughts. I mean, he had,
00:40:09
Speaker
18 of 29 center bouncer tendencies according to AFL stats mate so check out champion data as well when those numbers come out. So he was one of the big three attendees alongside RCD and Dusty. Check is this lamb baker defender eligible with 566k temp due at all?
00:40:26
Speaker
566, I'd probably be leaning towards maybe just going Caleb Daniel with that price or Ridley, he's not far off that. If he was just a little bit cheaper, I'd be keen. But that Richmond midfield, there's definitely going to be value there. I saw Collier Dawkins, as soon as that Richmond team show got named, you knew he was going to have a pretty half decent score for a rookie. And I think if Baker's in that midfield, then there's definitely going to be scores to be had there. I don't mind the lead comparison in that he does hit packs hard, he does still to get those one twos.
00:40:56
Speaker
like the Laird would, but the other good thing about Baker is he does tackle as well, so he's a bit of a pressure player, so I don't mind it. It'd be a pretty good point of difference pick, but it's probably not one that I would hone in on too much when you've got blokes like Caleb Daniel and Jordan Ridley sort of just not far off that price mark. Look, I did say it was going to get loose there, checkers, but I'm a big fan of the bake. I don't mind it at all. Who's your next player? We're rounding out the top 10 here. We've got number nine. Who have you got for us?
00:41:26
Speaker
I'll dish off another defender. I think it's a good week for defenders, especially if you've got, I mean, not a higher percentage player, but Jack Bose is injured. You've got Lockie Scholl probably topping out. There's definitely going to be some value to be had in defense. I think Nick Newman making his return on the weekend at 546K at 85 points. We know what he's done in the past. You probably wait another week on this one, but yeah, if him and Doc are dealing cup on that halfback flank, there's going to be points galore.
00:41:54
Speaker
That's a pick. I didn't even know he played on the weekend. But an 85, not too bad on Daeboo. Nick Newman, he's been a bit of a fantasy jet in the past, Dossie. What do you reckon there, mate? You've got a massive grid on your face. This is right up your alley. Oh, I think it's even possibly looser than someone. Why picture your checkers? I think you've outdone me, mate. That's unbelievable scenes. But he's got Hawke, Sydney, and West Coast as well on the Carlton here. But I might even have another blue for us in a minute.
00:42:23
Speaker
83% time on ground, that's great on return, you would have thought they would have eased him back. As a fact, they sort of pushed him straight back in after his long injury layoff. I mean, we had issues in the past where he wasn't in the best 22 or he was a bit of a, you know, you had that doubt about him when you had him, you know, that whether he was going to keep his spot because they do have Doherty and they do have Saad and Zach Williams. But the fact that he went straight back in the team and, you know, it showed a little bit of confidence in there. I wouldn't mind watching again this week and sort of honing in a good point of difference pick there.
00:42:52
Speaker
Absolutely, I'm proud of you there. Check this out. Glad we got you on board. I've got, funnily enough, we're going to have three blues in our top 10 after this, which I don't like the look of that necessarily, but my final pick here, again, it's on the looser side of things for bargains, but
00:43:10
Speaker
My little eye was looking at those center bounces. Now I don't think he attended a stack, but certainly was running through the midfield. I would love to see the center bounces for this one. So the Blues have been using David Cunningham at the center bounces, which has been a pretty big change. Like David Cunningham coming in for center bounces. That's pretty strange, but they just haven't been able to get a different look in there with Crips and they're trying to find a bit of speed, trying to find that burst, that bit of difference in there.
00:43:38
Speaker
Cunningham had been that guy now. He of course got injured in the first couple of minutes of the game They had to look elsewhere now immediately you'd think okay Zach Williams probably just goes back in there He's he's been there guy. He was moved into defense this week and stayed there all game So I think he might have been in there a little bit But was primarily playing as a defender which you know that hurts a lot of people that have held on to him It's been a disaster run for
00:44:02
Speaker
Zach Williams, but a guy that moved in there instead was Locky Fogarty. Now, 501,000, that's on the very cheaper end. He's a guy that I'd be looking to take on, a guy like Heaney for 20K extra. Now we've got to see who's named in the team, but if a guy like Patty Dow gets named for instance, he's only going to play 60% time on ground and get a few center bounces. Locky Fogarty, they're going to have trust in him to play that role, and he put up a 96 in a tough game, so that's only just behind you.
00:44:32
Speaker
your boy Crips that you've got here as well, who dropped the ton. So I think if he gets this role, he's a potential 90 to 100 from here, if, and it's a big if, if he gets the role. Check is, is that on the looser side as well for you, mate? Yeah, he had a few good scores early on in the season. He was pretty draft relevant.
00:44:49
Speaker
because he's probably slipped a lot of people's radars very early on. And they were mostly off the back of tackles. So it'd be keen to see if he can rack up the possessions in the midfield. He's got a complete game. At the start of the year, it was mostly just tackles and a couple of goals. But now if he's finding the footy as well, it could be very
Buy Rounds Insight and Player Roles
00:45:05
Speaker
dangerous. Geelong let him slip. And I feel like they're going to let a few very good players sleep for the next couple of years.
00:45:10
Speaker
Yeah, I don't mind it. It'd be, it'd be really out of the box. It's pretty loose. Um, I would love to know his ownership. It's like probably top, top thousand coaches or something like that, because he's probably got a lot of coaches that picked him up early, just jumping on the hype train. But, uh, yeah, I think in that top thousand, he'd be really, really point of difference.
00:45:27
Speaker
I think especially like you're looking at a guy like Heaney around 14 by some people are heavy on that by as well. You've got Fogarty who's the 13 round 13 by and the thing we're worried about Heaney is that mid time that you know, isn't there. He's not playing stack. No, but mid time shouldn't be a concern at all because we haven't really seen Isaac Heaney play midfield in his fantasy career. He's always been that 85 to 90 guy as a forward. He's still got that role. So I do have a lot of confidence that he's still going to be an 85 averaging player.
00:45:58
Speaker
I think you're right in that use the buy rounds to split hairs. Look, you might be keener on Fogarty, but you might be heavier on round 14 buy. So maybe you go, okay, I'll trade in Haney this week and I'll cop the 85 worst case scenario. But do you see what I'm saying? It's a really good decision maker there. So you factor it in, sometimes it makes your decision a little bit easier.
00:46:23
Speaker
Yeah, no, it's a good point there. And it is, it's definitely pending team sheets and stuff as well for Fogarty or Fogarty. I think you have to look at that because if they're bringing in guys to replace that role, then, you know, that probably rules him out as an option. So I do want to flag that. He's certainly safer for people out there. If you want to go a bit loose, I'm just flagging. He might be a cheeky option. Now, check is we've gone our top 10, but do you have any guys that maybe missed the cut that you want to just mention quickly?
00:46:49
Speaker
Yeah, I had a couple. I put Jesse Hogan down early, kicked a few snags in his first couple games back when he'd dish up 78 and 104. But just worried now, he has the round 12 buy. He plays West Coast and Brisbane, so he's going to be looking at some pretty hard defense options. And then I also refreshed the AFL app, and Toby Green's been named out for a month.
00:47:11
Speaker
I think all the attention will go on Hogan's shoulders now and I just don't know how he goes after having all that time out of the game, you know, sort of making this comeback. We didn't expect him to come back like this. And yeah, I just wonder if he will be able to keep those scores up. The only thing that was sort of like floating me in that area was that Taylor Walker type mold where the new game style and key forwards are really sort of like benefiting from that fantasy wise. So it's interesting why on West Coast and Brisbane is a hard thing. I just couldn't pick him with Harris Andrews match up and
00:47:41
Speaker
All the Eagles defenders, they've got McGovern if he's back. I haven't even looked at the West Coast game in the last couple of weeks. Just on that Toby Green injury that you mentioned there, Checkis, do you think that what we could see in the next couple of weeks and what we already have seen this season, Brent Daniels is injured. We've seen that you've just mentioned the injury to Toby Green. Do we see Josh Kelly return up forward?
00:48:06
Speaker
Yeah, that would be a big concern. I think I feel bad. I've had Kelly's the start of the season, so I don't feel bad for myself, but I feel bad for the coach that just hopped on last week.
00:48:16
Speaker
because it probably is going to have to rotate a midfielder up there. I went through some VFL stats and look, GWS got pumped by 100 points on the weekend in the VFL. They only kicked three goals for the day. So there's no one really screaming out in the twos to feel Green's role. They've got a heap of key forwards in Himmelberg and Ricciardi and Hogan, but they really need that small. So they do have a lot of great midfielders who can play small, but yeah, I just can't see them sort of, you know, it's going to be a midfielder and Kelly's the obvious choice of me.
00:48:45
Speaker
Yeah, that is something of concern for the brand.
Concerns and Additional Bargain Options
00:48:48
Speaker
Yeah, his center bounces dropped this week and he still scored well. You just wonder that was probably a bit more wing time than it was forward. So just monitor that. I wouldn't panic too quickly. Don't worry just yet, but yeah, definitely keep an eye on it. I had a couple of names, Jack Skrimshaw. You couldn't probably do it. It's round 12 by. He's got Carlton and Gold Coast, but he's been one of the most informed players.
00:49:08
Speaker
Playing in defense even getting a little bit of a run in the midfield in the last game or two Just one that I you know, I don't think I could do it It'd be much comfortable with the other guys on our list one other one Bailey Smith at 579 K now He actually scored poorly on the weekend. So he's definitely off your radar, but in the next week or two He's got the 13 by uptick in center bounce usage this week. So center bounces were up and
00:49:31
Speaker
That's massive for him and I think just monitor that going forward because if he's the Dunkley replacement, if he does end up playing more inside, we could see him as a 9,500 guy and he'll be under 600k. He'll be in that 560 bracket probably by next week. So that's pretty massive. I reckon for a midfielder. Do you have any names here? Just any last one there?
00:49:52
Speaker
Doggy's player on my list didn't end up scoring fantastic in the end with Bailey Dale. They got a lucky hunter back this week. Dale was racking up the touch. I think he had like 20 touches or 19 touches in the first half.
00:50:03
Speaker
against Paul and he ended up with about a mid 80s score but it's one to watch I just wonder when Hunter comes back and that sort of like that whole doggy structure shifts a bit I love to watch his role this week and just see what it is because he has got that ability sort of like you know 190 centimetres sort of midfielder modern-day midfielder sort of like a Josh Dunkley
00:50:23
Speaker
been dishing off some OK scores and I've just seen if that midfield dynamic shifts a little bit. It might benefit in his favour, I'm not exactly sure, but it's one that I've got my watch list for this round. And I'd love to throw over to Louis and just get his thoughts. I'm not sure if he's announced it yet or I don't want to blow his cover on his real point of difference, but he was talking heavily on a young Brisbane small forward midfielder last week and I just love to hear what he has to say about his game on the weekend.
00:50:49
Speaker
Yeah so I did end up bringing in that player Checkers and that was of course Zach Bailey who's the he's a midfielder forward I brought him in last week at 485k or 469k it was so he was a little bit underpriced he saw an uptick in his CBA's the same game that Neil got injured about four weeks ago so he started there with 13% CBA's the next game entirely without Neil up to 27 and then
00:51:18
Speaker
up into his third game was 43 percent so I think he did have a slight regression this week I haven't seen the official numbers but he's someone I'm really keen on because he had such good junior numbers and he's clearly a player that the Brisbane Lions have flagged they want him in the midfield they want him to develop right now they've got
00:51:39
Speaker
Matheson and Devon Robertson doing quite a bit of heavy lifting there. So I think in the next few weeks, especially we'll see Zach Bailey, I'm hoping average that sort of 80 mark, which is actually 13 points under priced. What is priced at now? There you go. He kicked, kicked two snags on the weekend. I watched the game. I didn't see a lot in the midfield, but he does look dangerous around the contest. So I feel like, yeah, they are playing a very like,
00:52:07
Speaker
With Matheson and Robertson, it's not their best string midfield, so it wouldn't take much for Bayleigh to get himself in there full time and he can be dangerous. He had that breakout the other year. He was averaging mid to high 80s and he has a young gun up and coming. That was a real good pick. It was one I was tossing up for trades late on Saturday morning before the first game kicked off. I'll be interested in watching kickoff this week, see if you can pump out an 85 or a 90 for you.
00:52:33
Speaker
Yeah, Reese Matheson and Dev Rob unfortunately got the little bit of a bump there for you, Louis, to push him out. Matheson's another sneaky one for your top 10 bargains there, too. I think he's only about 450. I just wouldn't trust the job security. All right, well, there's plenty of pods there for the pod pod. Glad to finish on a few point of differences there. Checkers on absolute fire there with that list. Oh, yeah. I'm going to steal some of those. Yeah, love that checkers. Doing my homework.
00:52:58
Speaker
Thanks Hates for joining us as well and we've got to get your social medias or something to plug. You've got a Spotify little thing we could follow as well as DJ Check is. What have you got for us? Oh yeah, you can suss it after you on. You can listen to some footy remixes if you want to.
00:53:13
Speaker
I'm not really fast. Just keep pumping out fantasy scores and hopefully you don't beat me because I need to make a comeback. So I don't come absolutely rising from Louis at the end of the year. Well, we'll see. If you sit in 2000 now and you came back to top 10 after coming 20,000th, I'm looking forward to where you'll be. You'll be wearing the hat made after after the buyers. You'll be that that far. So looking forward to your rise there. Check is back, mate. Thanks again for joining us. Cheers for having me on. Good luck. Good on your checkers. Good luck, mate.
00:53:42
Speaker
Make some awesome insights from your mate Czech is there, uh, Lou Dog, pretty, I'm, I'm reckon he's going to be up the rise. You better be watching your back. Oh yeah. He'll be on your toes. He's a very good fantasy coach. So even though he's ranked 2000, like he said, he was ranked 20,000 before the buys in 2019. So I wouldn't be surprised to see Czech as well. I'm surely up there this year. And Shawnee Darcy at number one, you've got to love it. You've just got to.
00:54:05
Speaker
You've got to love it. Let a big smile on your face. Everyone just at Statesman33 on Twitter and let him know, Shawnee Darcy, top six forward. It's in the works. It's a possibility. I think I got intented on Baker and Fogarty there as well, Lou Dog. I reckon we might see his trade plans change after those cheeky little bargains there. All right. We better get on to some listener questions quickly now. Sorry if you've heard the mighty pooch in the background, Lou Dog. Good old Bazzer.
00:54:31
Speaker
Big Baz he's been making a bit of a racket, but hopefully it hasn't been too bad on your ears I think you probably only hear it slightly in the background I think so hopefully but we are gonna power through just the Facebook questions here because Baz does want to get some love from Louie here So we're gonna answer all the Twitter questions on Pod Pod Plus this week So join up if you want to hear that now that's gonna be with you Louie you're coming on with stuff
00:54:57
Speaker
So it'll be really good to just throw some stuff at Stata and see what comes back. I think it'll be a, I think it's going to be a must listen. Don't you on this Wednesday for the pod pod plus. Absolutely.
Pod Plus Promotion & Listener Engagement
00:55:10
Speaker
But because we are running short on time, we do still want to get to some questions on the Facebook. So we'll just answer these because there was a few less on Facebook than there was on the Twitter sphere, which we will get to those of course.
00:55:21
Speaker
on the Wednesday, but here is the Facebook questions. This one from Michael, shoal and power to Ridley and Brayshaw or hold shoal and upgrade power to Guthrie, Oliver or Lyons. So he's got 255K in the bank and only had Finlay McCray and Cahill as red dots this way.
00:55:40
Speaker
First option, it's really difficult for me to pay up max price for those sorts of guys. I know they're killing it at the moment, but I always like to see a little bit of upside in who I'm trading in. And Ridley definitely presents probably 10 points upside, whereas blokes like Guthrie and Lyons probably present 10 points downside from this point on. Stewart says Billings or Ridley feels like he might be able to wait a week more on Ridley. Now I reckon maybe Checkers was sort of saying maybe we can maybe get another look there.
00:56:10
Speaker
Yes, so you have to worry with Ridley with their key position stocks at Essendon that he's going to play a lockdown role every now and then. Early on in the year, a lot of his scoring was facilitated from those kick ins. So he was probably closer to a 70 guy. We just got to remember that.
00:56:26
Speaker
In terms of going Billings over Ridley, I love it. I think Billings has shown a serious ceiling and from what I can see he's playing on that wing and and Saints got a win on the weekend so I'd back in Billings and and I'll just wait on Ridley a little bit. Billings is a gun as well and you can probably set himself up as a top six forward whereas you say maybe there's some questions about Ridley as a top six guarantee? Yeah, there's question marks over both I think.
00:56:52
Speaker
Brad wants to know, is it too much to overlook form with shoal and focus on how handy his buyer is? And if he goes to Duncan, is he too expensive to chase? Very expensive.
00:57:06
Speaker
Look I don't like trading mid prices even your lucky show I've still got Jordan to go I don't like trading these mid price guys before rookies on field even if they're killing it okay maybe I might make an exception with James Jordan at the moment it's coming off pretty much 100 average the last three weeks so maybe you keep him but apart from that I'd be looking to move on some rookies
00:57:28
Speaker
Hopefully you can get something good on the other end, but in terms of paying up for Duncan, I know he's a gun and I know he's going at 130 average, pretty much his last three, but you're paying top dollar now. And what did we see in round one, Dossie? We saw coaches that paid up for Gorn, Lloyd, Whitfield didn't play, but last year when he was max price, they all got burnt because there was nothing but downside with what they were priced at.
00:57:52
Speaker
Yeah, you're not wrong, Louis. So you're saying stay strong with Scholl and just ride it out for now. He's not staying strong for now. It helps his biostructure too. He's not a rookie and he's still going to put up some nice scores, especially when it opens up a bit. You know, it's been a bit of high pressure games lately. Hopefully he can get off the chain.
00:58:09
Speaker
in the coming weeks. Johnny Vogin, the final question on Facebook, best value premium that doesn't have the first buy. So looking at round 13 and 14 premiums, best value. I mean, we probably spoke about one before with Billings. Yeah, I think nicely valued. That came to mind straight away. Dusty Billings and Ridley are probably your main three. Brad Crouch is another one who's right down there in his pricing at the moment.
00:58:36
Speaker
Bailey Smith, if you were keen on him, he doesn't have that round 12 fight either, so have a look, but there are a lot of players, Isakini, there's a lot of players that, well, maybe, but yeah, there's a lot of players that don't have that round 12 buy that you can target, some really good ones too.
00:58:56
Speaker
All right, well, thanks for all those listening questions. Again, we'll get to some of the ones from Twitter as well on the Wednesday show. Sign up to Pod Pod Plus for that one. And we will try and next week get to more of your listener questions on the main show as well. We just ran out of time speaking with checkers. It was great, great chat, though, and hope you guys enjoyed it. You can follow us at Pod Pod AFL on Twitter. And we're also on Facebook and Instagram as well. Just find us at Point of Difference AFL Fantasy podcast on there.
00:59:23
Speaker
Louis, any final thoughts, your early trade plans, maybe, before we head off? Look, my trade plans are probably bringing in a 170K rookie, I think, regardless I might punt on that. Whether or not that's someone who's playing, or whether or not it's going early on Bianco, probably won't be, but that's where I'm looking there. On the other end, I'm looking at getting Sam Berry, who's on my bench, up to Ridley. So yeah, basically, I'm trading two bench rookies this week.
00:59:51
Speaker
One up one down to bring another premium onto the field and going into round 10 with just the two rookies on field So hopefully I can feel a full team before the buyers and being a really good spot. That's good stuff And I'm probably just gonna honestly I'll just be looking at that
01:00:07
Speaker
That list we made today, because I'm in a situation where I'll probably be trading out maybe a POW and even maybe a Markov. Just need to sort out my round 12 buy structure here. So I'm trying to get listening to you, checkers, Stado, and just sort my buy structure out. I'm very heavy on the 12ers, so I need to get them out. Are you heavy on 12? I am. A bit too heavy. Just brought in Manaju. Yeah, I know. It was... Oh, doc.
01:00:34
Speaker
Yeah. Not great. So, I'm looking at those bargains though to sort of even out there. There you ticket. There you ticket. That's where I'm heading. So, especially when I got about 15 mil in your, in your team.
01:00:49
Speaker
Just give the listeners a clue as well. When you're posting out your trades for the week, go the option that I go with. Make sure you crop out that team value if you're in my sort of situation. It's a great way. You need to make sure you crop it out though, so you don't cop anything. I accidentally left it uncropped in our group chat this week. Didn't we catch on to that? And I think hef mentioned that his value is about a one million more than mine. So make sure you keep cropping, everyone, and we'll see you next week. See you next week, guys.