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Sam’s Chasing A Hat! | Bye Round Monster Scores | Do we Trade Max??!! #PODPOD
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On this episode, Join Holmesy, Harmey and Sam as they review round 14, discuss key strategy for the week and set you up for another big bye round!
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Transcript
Introduction and Apologies
00:00:00
Jon Harmey
Thank
00:00:18
Holmesy
G'day and welcome to the Pod Pod. It's Holmesy here talking all things AFL Fantasy Classic for you on this Monday, 16th of June. Apologies to the listeners. We weren't here last week. Unfortunately, life got in the way, but we are back this week and we are looking to recap a huge round of fantasy footy where we saw some monster scores, especially from the buy round.
00:00:40
Holmesy
And we're here to have a chat with, ah you know I'll go to him first. Current
Meet the Coaches: Sam and John Harmy
00:00:44
Holmesy
top 100 coach. Sam, back back this week, which means we must have had a rank rise and you are charging, mate. How are you?
00:00:53
Sam
Yeah, look, thanks, Holmesy. I'm getting a nosebleed at this point. It's a bit unusual to be in this position. Normally I'm sitting around, I don't 2,000, 3,000, 2,000, 3,000, 4,000 at the buyers. But yeah, very happy to be here and and had a good week. So keen to have a chat about all things AFL Fantasy.
00:01:14
Holmesy
Beautiful. And there's no Louis today, unfortunately. He's been held up, but still going very strong. But we do have, as always, two-time top 10 finisher and runner-up in 2019, John Harmy.
00:01:27
Holmesy
Team value in the mid-24 millions. Score must be flying, right?
00:01:33
Jon Harmey
Yep, 100%, Holmesy. Sam and I got to very similar teams, same team value, in fact. Just 7,500 ranking positions between us
00:01:45
Holmesy
Yeah, k can't quite figure that one out. Lads, let's ah let's go through the
Analyzing High Scores and Rankings
00:01:51
Holmesy
round that was. So who would have thought that, you know, having a score like myself in the mid 2000s would mean I'd actually s split ranks in a buy round with some teams going absolutely nuclear, you know, some even going above 2200, which is insane. But Harmi, why don't you kick us kick us off? What did you score this round and and what's your rank doing at the moment?
00:02:10
Jon Harmey
Yeah, I think I was actually the lowest score for the pod, but we all went pretty bloody well this this round. So I scored 2,035. And yeah, um and yeah that puts my ranking at 7,680, which is a little bit up, but not much. So yeah, it must have been a high scoring round, as you said.
00:02:30
Holmesy
Yeah, we we are going to get onto it and and talk a little bit about strategy and and what coaches have been doing. And man, I'm i'm really hoping that coaches have sort of been sideways in premiums to have elite scores on field and and they're going to drop off ah over the buys because yeah, 2046 myself after the bond 50 on Thursday, I thought I was in a bit of trouble. Luckily I got saved by a rookie, but Over 200 points more than what I scored the week prior and I thought yeah I was on for an okay week. But yeah, slid another 30 spots myself. So back down at 172.
00:03:03
Holmesy
Still holding on to hopes of that top 100 finish and and launching after the buys. bit But yeah, there's some serious teams out there. But Sam, why don't you let us all know where's the rank going and what did you score this week?
Sam's Journey to the Top
00:03:17
Sam
Yeah, so I scored 2,101 and you're spot on, Holmesy. It was an interesting week because i yeah started the weekend watching Bont get tagged to 50 and was wallowing in a bit of self-pity. But um thankfully, a lot of our popular picks posted nice scores this week.
00:03:35
Sam
Rank is now up to 82. um So pretty happy with that um to improve the rank on a very high scoring week. And yeah, just looking to see if we can navigate these last two buys, which look to be a bit tricky.
00:03:51
Holmesy
All right, Sam, let's get honest here. so you haven't had a hat before. So clearly you clearly you're chasing a hat. But is there is there any part of you at the moment that is thinking, I could be on for the car here?
00:04:05
Holmesy
Are you going to attack and try and win the Hilux?
00:04:07
Jon Harmey
Oh.
00:04:09
Sam
Oh, Holmesy, like any well-media trained footballer, I'll tell you that we're just taking it week by week and um we're firmly focused on the process and getting four points.
00:04:20
Holmesy
Have you have you called Ashley's Bombers for a bit of guidance and support?
00:04:26
Sam
Yeah, i've um I've also given Toyota a ring just to see what colours the Hilux comes in um and whether or not metallic finish is an option. But yeah, they haven't got back to me yet.
00:04:38
Holmesy
look in In all seriousness, like myself and Harmi know how hard it is to be in this position. And just because you're here now doesn't mean you you might never be there again. So i think I think you put all your cards on the table and and have a crack to to try and win it myself. But yeah, absolutely. Being in the top 100 at this point in the year is very impressive to see. Sam, Harmi, why don't you kick us off with your Stato and Dossie picks for the week?
Player Highlights: Sorong, Ashcroft, and More
00:05:04
Jon Harmey
Stato pick of the week. um Look, i think I might have to give it to Caleb Sorong on debut. said to you guys I was bringing him in, but we must have got lost in transition that one because nobody followed suit. So, yeah, I was pretty happy with what he did. and He's got a couple of good games coming up. So and that one worked out quite well.
00:05:23
Jon Harmey
Dossie pick of the week. Look, I'd like to give it to Sam Walsh because he came in for one week for me. i was out spewing when that injury news came through. um But, you know, I had to trade him out, so I guess he doesn't count. oh Look, I'll just go ah Levi Ashcroft, 39. Don't know if he made my scoring players. He'd just about be my lowest scoring player, I reckon. But um just held him a bit long, I think, and I'm keen to jump off now, that's for sure.
00:05:53
Holmesy
Yeah, look, yeah, unlucky that one. We do tend to see that these first-year players start to tie, but yeah, a 39. I mean, I considered holding him to try and and get an extra best 18 scorer on field after Bont happened, but luckily still traded this week. So yeah, yeah yeah you have to get him off and this week. Harmi, is your buy structure going to be strong enough to to jump off, Levi? Yeah.
00:06:15
Jon Harmey
Yeah, should be no worries. I've actually done quite a good job of getting the the players off there by so I don't have too many more to go, which is good.
00:06:25
Holmesy
Beautiful. Sam, what are your Stato and Dossie picks?
00:06:29
Sam
Yeah, I'll give Stato pick of the week to Harry Sheasel. um Obviously, there's been a little bit of role uncertainty around him. He gave us ah almost a heart attack last week um with his performance up until that last quarter. But yeah, this week looked really good in the midfield.
00:06:47
Sam
um Just seemed to be everywhere. He was chit popping up in the deep 50 to get free marks. He was um peeling off the half-forward flank up to stoppages. So yeah, he looked um he looked really good.
Trade Strategies and Player Management
00:07:00
Sam
I'll give dossie pick of the week too. It's not very often you give a dossie pick to some guy who scored 272 for you with the VC on, but Bailey Smith, between the fireside chats, the shin injections, the hamstring tests, up just pulling your hair out on a Saturday um only for him to then go bang. So Bailey, keep doing what you're doing just with a little bit less drama. That'd be amazing.
00:07:22
Jon Harmey
I can't believe you guys all VC'd him. Just like even the fitness test before the game and stuff, are you that was, I suppose it was the bye week, wasn't it? But yeah, was surprised you all went with him.
00:07:35
Holmesy
Harmi, did you not learn anything from the Max Gorn fiasco last year where he had the fitness test pre-game and then had the 150 against Royal Marshall?
00:07:39
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:07:46
Sam
That's it. It's all smoke and mirrors.
00:07:46
Holmesy
Guess not. Fly on.
00:07:47
Sam
It's all smoke and mirrors.
00:07:50
Holmesy
He was always playing closely, played in the VFL. Yeah, look, ah at that point, Harmi, I just just checked out and I'd left it on him. I wasn't putting any more thought into a VC.
00:08:01
Holmesy
um My Stato pick of the week is actually Zach Johnson for his 104. Now, some might say kissed. I'll say absolutely.
00:08:08
Jon Harmey
Yeah, I will.
00:08:09
Holmesy
But... ah da you should have him harm me as your your bombers Bombers boys. But ah the fact that Bont only got that 50 meant that i I was really in need of a rookie score this week. And then Lohman was subbed and I thought, yeah, i mean I'm in some serious strife here. But yeah, Zach Johnson um coming through with that meant I kind of pivoted my trades a bit and looked to get a bit more value rather than paying up for a premium that I wasn't sure was going to be the right pick moving forward. So very good by Zach Johnson and and some very good cash to be made over the next few rounds.
00:08:46
Holmesy
My dossier pick of the week, i said it, yeah, Bont, 50, tagged by Wynne Hager. Can't believe that tag held through all the way to the final siren despite them being down by more than 10 goals.
00:08:57
Holmesy
um Well done, well done, Ross Lyon. night No attack to try and win the game, but at least you held Bont to 14 touches. So yeah, might it may as well give it to Ross Lyon, but Harmi, you've got Bont. Sam, you've got Bont. Let's just get it out the way early. Is he a target now that he's lost so much coin or do you think Ed Richards, all these players have now gone past him and he's going to be a bit more of a role player? Sam, I'll go to you.
00:09:22
Sam
um I mean, I don't know if he's going to be a role player because the bond is the bond. But, um i mean, it's between him and Ed at the moment attracting the tag attention. He's not a trading target right now if you don't have him.
00:09:34
Sam
um After his 50, I think you can watch. But, ah
Debating Player Viability: Bond and Madden
00:09:38
Sam
you know, he's coming up against Richmond this week, so I'm hoping he bounces back with a 150. But, no, I think if you haven't got him in your team, just see what happens.
00:09:48
Sam
um And if you have, you just have to hold Harmi.
00:09:52
Jon Harmey
Yeah, no, Holmesy, I didn't bring him in. There was that week, was it only last week? It was, wasn't it? then All you guys were keen. Everyone seemed really keen. ah I didn't agree. um I thought he was a bit overpriced and I guess that's now come to true come to pass. But I traded in Sam Walsh, so that didn't bloody work out for me either, did it? But... um Yeah, you guys are all after Bont at 1.03 mil or whatever he was. And I took Sam Welsh at about 900,000. So it's a different way of approaching it.
00:10:23
Jon Harmey
anyway no ill look and But but I also think that Bont actually is a trading option now.
00:10:24
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:10:28
Jon Harmey
He's dropped a bit. He'll probably wait another week. um He'd be highly owned. But I think he's getting to be the price that I would be trading him in now.
00:10:38
Holmesy
Yeah, look, it ah I'd convinced myself to not go Bont two weeks ago, but when there was the Roberts laid out, a bit frazzled with the 40 minutes before the game started, I wanted the safety of a Bont, knowing that he probably was maybe three or four points overpriced, but it's the Bont and it's he's going to be a top eight mid for us.
00:10:58
Holmesy
um Little did I know that he was going to go and drop the lowest score that he's had in five or six years. So I think he is a trading target. Look, we saw this with Zach Merritt. ah Look, the the tags are gonna be there and and that's why I've decided from this point in time, I'm only gonna trade in defenders.
00:11:13
Holmesy
I plan to have 10 defenders in my side by the end of the year. um But yeah, the tags are the tags are scary at the moment. And that kind of leads us into a bit of a discussion point, Sam and Harmi.
00:11:27
Holmesy
This is a little bit off the cuff. It's not in the run sheet, but i want to let's talk about it a little bit. The tags are definitely back in vogue. In the last three weeks alone, we've seen Dacos, Anderson, Bont.
00:11:38
Holmesy
um there's There's others that are getting tagged to these really low scores. The 23rd premium was a way that Chris was able to to dominate the comp in the back half of the year last year by benching these players, getting tagged, not having to trade them out and and then potentially missing a tag score. harmy Is this something that coaches with good team value should be looking to employ this year or do you think the cash isn't there for the 23rd premium? What do you think?
00:12:04
Jon Harmey
I think the cash will be there for those teams at the top end. So I think it's something that you would have to be eyeing off, whether that's somebody that's ah coming in at a discount and you're taking a bit of a flyer on them. But yeah, i think that every every team in that top 100, Sam, will have to be bringing in a ah twenty third premium
00:12:26
Holmesy
What I will say, mean, McCarthy had the game of his life on the weekend, right? 31 touches, kick-ins. However, if if he's someone that, and clearly we're going early, he's played one game, but if he's someone that can go at sort of an 80 clip with that
Trading Premium Players During Buy Rounds
00:12:39
Holmesy
role, is there a reason that we need to be getting that sort of last rookie off-field desperately by going to McKercha, Mills,
00:12:48
Holmesy
um you know, someone in that sort of 800K range if if we're potentially going to get an 80, 75, 80 score, Sam, from ah from a McCarthy each week and then you can upgrade the team around it. What do you think?
00:12:59
Sam
Yeah, and i think it's a good point. I think Louis raised it on the pod ah two weeks ago because we didn't have one last week, um talking about how he would rather get kind of 18 players who are, you know, in that uber premium category we talk about and maybe still exit the, sorry, say 20 and still exit the bye with a couple of, you know, rookies playing on his field rather than kind of spread the load and end up with,
00:13:26
Sam
you know, 22 guys and six of them are mid-prices. And so, yeah, I mean, if we've got someone like McCarthy scoring really well and consistently, then it's probably not a huge rush to get to that 22nd and 23rd premium army.
00:13:41
Jon Harmey
yeah Yeah, well, I thought the same too, mate. And I had Levi Ashcroft on field, who's the best, best fantasy scoring rookie from last year, coming in, playing a full game.
00:13:53
Jon Harmey
So I don't agree. You're talking about McCarthy, who's playing for the worst team in the competition, and he has played one game. Now, look, he did look very good.
00:14:04
Jon Harmey
and he had a good role, but I wouldn't rely on it. So I'd still be trying to get him off field as quick as I can. Maybe loop him, Holmesy. Maybe loop him as your you know next player, but I wouldn't be relying on him in your 22.
00:14:17
Holmesy
Yeah, yes I suppose that's fair. it's It's like the question, right? Like I went Colby this week, who went 85, and don't get me wrong, I'm happy with Colby, I'm happy with his role. But if you've got McCarthy, who in theory is playing the same role as Colby, is actually older than Colby, yes, he hasn't been in the system as long, but if they can have comparable scoring, why why go to Colby when when you can get that from a...
00:14:42
Holmesy
from a McCarthy. Admittedly, is you know he's he's a lot cheaper, but it's just a price tag. If we actually look at role and scoring, yes, Colby's got runs on the board.
00:14:53
Holmesy
It's just, yeah, just something I'm thinking about, Harmi.
00:14:56
Jon Harmey
Nah, well, you'd be going Carby. For a start, McCarthy's not born in Launceston, so he doesn't have the pedigree, mate. I wouldn't be, I'd be going Carby every day of the week.
00:15:06
Holmesy
That's true. That's true. At least... No, no. Moving on. What I would like to do is just talk a little bit about sort of strategy on what we're looking to do with our trades this week. I think...
00:15:17
Holmesy
From looking at it at the moment, there's coaches that don't have a lot of players on the bar. You've got Jordan Dawson, who's quite popular, Isaac Rankin, Christian Petrarca, Max Gorn, I think would be the main four. And then you've got sort of sprinkles of a Dylan Moore type that um coaches have got on. So coaches should be able to hopefully get sort of 18, 19 premiums this week.
00:15:43
Holmesy
But the buy round the week after round 16 is where we see a lot of the popular players, your GWS guys, your Brisbane guys, and some others harm me. So, What I'm trying to say is, let's talk a little bit about how many premiums we have on the buy this week in terms of how many are playing and what we're looking to do with our trade. So at the moment, pre-trades, I have 18 premiums on field and and the three rookies. So 21 playing, my biggest decision will be whether or not I go down from a Max Gorn, which we'll we'll talk about later as I think it deserves a bit more discussion. But
00:16:17
Holmesy
For coaches that have even less premiums on the buy than I do, maybe they don't have a Rankin or a Petrarca, do you think it's worth going sideways on a round 16 premium, even if it means you score a little bit less this week to bolster your squad next week?
00:16:34
Jon Harmey
Yeah, well, I guess it depends on who the premium is and whether you'll be looking to trade them out next week. If you were going to trade them next week, Holmesie, then I have no issue with going a week early.
00:16:46
Jon Harmey
um i guess I said before that um I'll be trading at Ashcroft. I'm even tempted to trade out Shea Bolton because I've sort of lined myself up pretty well. But for somebody like Dane Zorko,
00:17:01
Jon Harmey
Some of that I had planned on holding through, I think it's a bit of a waste of a trade.
00:17:07
Holmesy
Well, that's the thing, right? So let's Sam's probably got a little bit more premiums on the buy next week than most. So, I mean, for example, I've got Nick Martin, Zach Merritt. I've got, who else? Max Holmes and Bailey Smith. So the four players I have on the buy...
00:17:24
Holmesy
Do I really want to trade them? Merritt, maybe, if that role doesn't change and he's keep going to keep getting tagged. But you know for other coaches that might be even heavier with a Lockie Ash, Lockie Whitfield, Dane Zorko, Dunkley might be you know coming to an end and coaches might have done that this week. But coaches are ah very heavy, Sam.
00:17:43
Holmesy
how do they How do they look to balance this week with next week knowing that as well, cons considering we might not even have the rookies to come on field and they might be looking at maybe 17, 18, 19 on field only?
00:17:54
Sam
Yeah, um I think so someone asked me this the other day it was is how many premiums is too many to have next week on that on that big buy. And I think if if you've got seven at the moment, alarm bells would be ringing for me.
00:18:11
Sam
um If you've got six, maybe you can manage it if you've got a deep bench. I've got five and I'm you know still looking at only having 16 premiums on field pre-trades.
00:18:21
Sam
even I'm tempted to maybe yeah pivot off emeritus you've just said, but um plan now is to hold and try and pick up one more premium that week, if you will. So try and add my 22nd premium next week. And so then I'll have kind of 17 premiums on field and and just try and hope I get one rookie score out of the, you know, the three or four rookies I might have playing for me.
00:18:46
Sam
Um, So if you're if you're in that boat of six to seven, I'd be having a really good think about you know whether or not all of those guys um you want after you know after the buys. If there's one maybe that you're you know having trouble with because of the role or the scoring output, then yeah, maybe you look to shift them this week or next week.
00:19:09
Holmesy
is Is Zach Merritt an option for you, Sam, as someone that is in that camp of a ah premium that you might look to trade off? I know he has the Gold Coast-Richmond matchup after his buy.
00:19:23
Holmesy
But outside of the 149 he had against Richmond, he hasn't gone over a ton in his last six. He's getting attention and he's finding himself out of the midfield. I might throw it you, Harmi. Will the Bombers change things up and get Zach Merritt back into the midfield or are they going to continue with this role player and let Setterfield, Caldwell and that go to work in the midfield and get pumped each week?
00:19:45
Jon Harmey
ah Well, he did play more in the midfield on the weekend. I was just trying to find the CBAs, mate, because the week before that, who was that against when he was playing in the back on the whole game? I felt sick watching that.
00:19:57
Jon Harmey
um But on the weekend, yeah, he was back in the midfield. So the role was but better this week, just gone against the Cats. And I expect that that will continue on that basis. so I won't be trading him if somebody's been a top eight midfielder for the last 10 years in a row or something ridiculous.
00:20:15
Jon Harmey
And I'm pretty confident that he'll be right. I think, and I'm not sure what it was.
Impact of Midfield Role Changes
00:20:20
Jon Harmey
You're right, was a bit of a tension. But ah yeah, I'm pretty pretty confident in him moving forward in my team.
00:20:29
Sam
Yeah, concur with Harmi. he's Out of the five, he's the one I'm thinking about it, only because his scoring's dropped off, but I probably won't. As Harmi said, i when I traded him in, I traded him in thinking that he would be top eight. He's averaged, what, 105 to 110 for God knows how many seasons. I'm very confident he'll you work through this little patch and bounce back, and ah I think most teams will have more pressing issues than trading out Zach Merritt.
00:20:57
Jon Harmey
But why would you bother tagging Essendon? We're going so terribly, they don't need to tag Zach Merritt.
00:21:04
Sam
Russline tag anything with a heartbeat, I reckon.
00:21:04
Holmesy
Yep, and that's true. Freo is going to run Wagner with him this week as well. um
00:21:12
Sam
Oh, it would make me sick if I saw that as a Freo fan.
00:21:15
Holmesy
how How good is it watching Thursday night footy, Sam, and watching one of your premiums get tagged? I can't wait to to sit down and have that happen three weeks in a row. Let's go good segue into a player that never gets tagged and has been putting up numbers that just are unbelievable and make no sense for the age that this player is at.
00:21:26
Sam
jeez.
00:21:36
Holmesy
But Max Gorn, priced at 1.2 mil, so over 120. I don't think he's gone under 95 since round four. And I think only one score has been under 110. So the man's been on an absolute mission. However, cash is tight.
00:21:54
Holmesy
Is there scope, Sam, this week, knowing that he's on his buy, going down to a Rowan Marshall or a Tim English or another premium ruck to to 170K, getting the extra game out of the ruckman, plus Max Gorn's run after the buy?
00:22:13
Holmesy
Is it something you're considering? Because for me, I am, but I've torpedoed my season before by trading out the highest averaging ruck to Jordan Sweet who got COVID. So I've got PTSD, but is it a play?
00:22:28
Sam
ah Yeah, look, I mean, we talked about it a couple of weeks ago, didn't we, Carl? And ah i'm I'm not considering it at this stage, but I actually think there is good reasons to consider it for coaches. So, I mean, you talked about the run post-buy. He's got Wits, O'Brien, and Cherry.
00:22:46
Sam
And he had 63 on Cherry and 84 on Wits earlier in the season. So he's got, A, a very tough run. B, he's incredibly... you know, very high priced. C, he's on his buy.
00:22:59
Sam
um so there's reasons there to consider it. The thing that you're giving up, though, is, of course, A, the value of a trade, and B, he's where do you go to?
00:23:11
Sam
Because all of the other rucks have similarly difficult runs in these next few, and you want him back for, I think, round 19 against TDK,
00:23:23
Sam
ah guess tdk 20 against Marshall, 21 against
To Trade or Not: Max Gorn Debate
00:23:28
Sam
Eagles. So he goes three hard ones, three easy ones. how How bad are you going to feel if come round 21, he goes 150 against the Eagles and you've got Tim English or Darcy Cameron who only go 110?
00:23:42
Sam
So that's the reason I'm not considering it, only because I can't identify another Ruckman that has a good run at a nice price.
00:23:53
Holmesy
So you're not you're not interested in Roan Marshall. let's have a look Let's have a look at the ruck run for Roan Marshall.
00:23:57
Jon Harmey
Yeah, that's just what I was about to say.
00:24:00
Holmesy
um So Marshall has, where are we? After his buy, so Collingwood, red-ish.
00:24:07
Sam
Yep. So Darcy Cameron.
00:24:10
Holmesy
Frio, who's a lot tougher now with Darcy and Jackson, admittedly. But then he goes Hawthorne, Sydney, Geelong, which is green, green, mega green. You probably want him for the Geelong matchup.
00:24:23
Holmesy
And then that's when Gorn has against TDK, who's actually a red matchup for for Rucks at the moment. And then Gorn goes into his green run to pretty much finish the season. So there's scope to do it.
00:24:37
Holmesy
And it's ballsy. It is really ballsy.
00:24:40
Sam
But do you really have do you really have that much faith in Rowan Marshall matching it with Max for the next six weeks?
00:24:40
Holmesy
I know a very...
00:24:47
Sam
ah Marshall is an absolute jet, but his scoring has been up and down this year. i know he's come good in the last few weeks, but he's dropped to 70, what, just before his bye, I think.
00:25:01
Holmesy
90, wasn't it? But yeah, look, it it comes with so much risk. You're you're right. it's It's just ah these types of moves, they they can pay off and they can shoot you up or they can bite you.
00:25:13
Holmesy
Part of me wants to have a crack knowing that I'm outside the 100. I need to do something to get in. Trading max might not be the answer. we ah We've had it penciled in for a few weeks now and we knew he was going to get it. he We knew he was going to score all the up to his buy, didn't we? We knew he had Vicentini.
00:25:28
Holmesy
We knew he had some soft matchups. Nothing's changed. Can you really see him going at 120 for the rest of the year? How often do players do that, Harmi?
00:25:39
Jon Harmey
Yeah, but look, I tell you, Holmesy, I floated this with you boys about five weeks ago and you all shot me down straight up. And nothing has changed.
00:25:50
Jon Harmey
Nothing has changed except we're in the buys and you've planned poorly. If you were smart like me, Holmesy, you would have brought in Nick Madden and you would be happy with your 47 you'll get this week.
00:26:04
Holmesy
I think he only got 43, didn't he?
00:26:05
Sam
you
00:26:06
Holmesy
He might have been 47. Look, something has changed, Tommy. He's now priced at 1.2 million instead of 1.05 or 1.1. um That is a bit of a difference. But yeah, Marshall's not at 920 anymore either. So food for thought.
00:26:21
Holmesy
and we've We've given all arguments whether I do it or not. It's a different story. But I know some coaches will be we'll be looking to go and do that as a way of generating cash. All right, let's go through some some trade targets quickly because a lot of the trade targets we have, um you know, players that have had their buy or coming off their buy, they're not cheap anymore.
00:26:41
Holmesy
So I do want to sort of do a bit of like or dislike and spitball bit bals some ideas, Harmi. So first one, Matt Kennedy priced at 111 now. So 111, that's a ridiculous price tag.
00:26:55
Holmesy
40% CBAs on the weekend. He saved it late in junk time against St. Kilda. Bulldogs are good, but you'd expect Bont to get going at some point. Can we pay 111 for Matt Kennedy? No doubt he's a top six forward.
00:27:09
Holmesy
No doubt in my mind whatsoever. But are we going to be able to get him in maybe two, three, four weeks' time, maybe priced at 100 instead of priced at 111?
Forward Options: Kennedy and Others
00:27:18
Jon Harmey
Yeah, look, I can't. um if yeah If you had money in the bank and, you know, it was ah you weren't sort of so struggling to fill your side elsewhere, you could.
00:27:32
Jon Harmey
But for me, I sort of prefer the value of a Jason Horne Francis or a Jack McRae. Oh, that is if JHF gets a clean bill of help on his shoulder. But, um yeah, they they're the sort of the two that I would prefer in that bracket. They're just so much cheaper.
00:27:47
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:27:49
Holmesy
Sam, it's a big discussion point, so I want your point of view as well.
00:27:53
Sam
Yeah. um The only, I think I'd only be doing it if I was actually doing a genuine upgrade and grabbing my sixth forward. So if you're taking like a, I don't know, someone priced in a seven, 800,000 up to Matt Kennedy, that's going to cost what? Three, two, 250 to 300 K now.
00:28:15
Sam
So that's almost the cost of getting a fattened rookie up to a Callum Mills or a Colby McEacher or someone of that ilk. And that's probably going to net you more points.
00:28:27
Sam
He's definitely top six. If you trade him in, I'm sure he's going to go well and I'm sure he's going to finish the season strong. All those concerns we had about Adam Treloar and, you know, we've seen Libba roll back into the halfback now. So I think the scoring is going to be there.
00:28:42
Sam
um And he's got Richmond this week. So you probably get a nice juicy bump. ah from the first round. um Look, if it if it suits your structure, then do it. But I think we can extract more value from other trades at this point in time.
00:28:58
Holmesy
Let's stick with his teammate, ah Bailey Dale. So I think personally, we've missed the boat on Bailey Dale. We've missed the 150. He does have Richmond coming up, so he's going to score this week. But is he you know priced at 104, Sam?
00:29:14
Holmesy
Do we see him as a 104 guy? He's never been this in the past. Is he going to regress back and have a ah couple of 60s, 70s and be that mid to high 90s guy? or do you think this is different for Dale this year?
00:29:28
Sam
um ah I'd like to think he regresses back. You're right. It is a bit of a, it would have to be something approaching a breakout season. um He's, he doesn't really have the same distributor competition around him that he has in the past. um Although last year he was basically playing a lone hand and still only went at sort of high 90 average. So ah I can honestly see him outscoring some of the midfielders.
00:29:56
Sam
So if you wanted to trade him into your back line and move a Sinclair or a Sheasel or a Holmes back into your midfield, then go for it.
Defensive Strategies with Dual-Position Players
00:30:04
Sam
um But yeah, I think you're right, Holmes. We've probably just missed the boat on him.
00:30:09
Sam
um Yeah, it's a tough one, but it's a no for me.
00:30:14
Holmesy
Mate, I'm telling you, we trade out all of our midfielders and we feel that we fill our back lines and then we fill four midfield spots with mid-defender guys and we just launch.
00:30:25
Holmesy
No tags.
00:30:25
Sam
Absolutely. No tags.
00:30:27
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:30:27
Sam
Yeah. Happy days.
00:30:29
Holmesy
Life is good on the halfback flank, I tell you. They can just do whatever they want. Harmi, Harry Sheasel, priced at 108. We were all worried about this mid-forward split and whether the forward time was going to be detrimental to his scoring. But outside of 181, he's gone tons in all of his last five or six games with, I think, two 130s basically and 119.
00:30:57
Holmesy
Can you pay 108 for Shizu if you're one of the coaches that don't have him?
00:31:01
Jon Harmey
Yeah, you can. Yep, i actually don't mind. Shoes all... um You know, he's a bit below his starting price. He's... I think his price is just below 108.
00:31:13
Jon Harmey
But, yeah, as a defender, I think he's a good pick. I guess, for me, I'd probably prefer Wanganin Malira as a back. But, yeah, he's got to be in the top handful of backs that you would consider trading in at this point in time at his buy. So...
00:31:31
Jon Harmey
everything is sitting sitting quite well to trade in shoes.
00:31:36
Sam
Yep, I reckon if he continues playing the same role as he did on the weekend against Frio, he is a massive target. He had he just seemed to be have given the keys.
00:31:47
Sam
um He was everywhere. He was back, middle, forward. ah was just it seemed He was always asking for the ball no matter where it was on the ground. so There is a little bit of role uncertainty there, perhaps still, but um geez, he looked absolutely fantastic.
00:31:58
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:32:01
Sam
Almost had that Nick Martin role, you know, starting at lining up at half forward, but then just rolling deeper and deeper into the field. I really liked it
00:32:11
Holmesy
Yep, agree with that. Sam, I'll stick with you. I need this player for my own mental health. I can't watch these games of footies without having him. Nassai Wanganeen-Miller, priced at 110.
00:32:24
Holmesy
It's a big price tag, but surely he's going to be a top six defender. And even if even if you lose five points of value on him at this point and he ends up going 105, he's still going to be a good pick.
00:32:36
Holmesy
Do you think we go Nassai this week?
00:32:40
Sam
I think if you can afford it, do it and don't think about it. um Looks incredible. He's clearly the the the player they want to get the ball in the hands of at at Saints. And kind of like Sheasel, he seems to have this this freedom around the ground at the moment. Sinclair is taking the kick-ins at the moment and is probably playing a little deeper than Nazair, but Nazair seems to just be free to go wherever he plays.
00:33:04
Sam
um Yeah, it's it's it's expensive, ah but I have every confidence that he goes at 105 from here on out.
00:33:12
Holmesy
Harmi, I'll throw you a couple of Saints, sorry, not a couple of Saints, but a couple of forwards that you mentioned earlier. So Jack McRae and Jason Horne-Francis for coaches that are looking for a forward upgrade, given that Jason Horne-Francis gets up, which of those two do you think is the better option at this point in time, knowing that there's ah a big bit of a price difference there?
00:33:32
Jon Harmey
Well, if JHF gets up and he has no issues with his shoulder, then he is probably the one, I think. um He's going to be cheaper and he's playing in the midfield and um he hasn't missed too much time. So I think he's probably the one. I mean, he got 110 in three quarters the game, didn't he? So, jeez.
00:33:53
Holmesy
Was he... Just give me a sec while I get the CBAs up, but did he actually play much midfield on the weekend? I'm not sure he did. I think his CBAs were actually quite low.
00:34:02
Holmesy
um Clearly, that'll...
00:34:02
Sam
Yeah, they were.
00:34:03
Sam
i've I've got him in front of me. He only had two CBA attendances on the weekend, um but he was definitely
Comparing Forward Options: Horne-Francis vs. McRae
00:34:09
Sam
playing midfield.
00:34:09
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:34:10
Sam
So I would say i'd say he was playing that half forward, rolling up to the stoppage type.
00:34:12
Jon Harmey
yeah
00:34:15
Sam
position um Yeah, looked really good, had that nice spread about him again. he a guy, I don't know if you remember, but at the start of the season, we were talking about how CBAs don't necessarily have a direct correlation for his scoring.
00:34:27
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:34:30
Sam
um There were times last year where he would have, say, 30% CBAs and comfortably knock over 100. And there are times where he would go 50% and and you know only pump out If he's playing that half forward rolling up to stoppage roll, I think he can still do it. I mean, Price at 84, geez, that's tempting.
00:34:53
Holmesy
Yeah, yeah, agree with that. Just need to monitor what's happening with the shoulder. ah Sam, I'll stick with you just because this one is a big talking point for for coaches that don't have him. So Nick Dacos priced at 105.
00:35:08
Holmesy
Probably not the week to get him with a high break even and an impending Windhager tag. But is he someone that you're looking to get onto as soon as you've got the ability to do it? Or do you get worried by these tags and think that he could be up and down like a lot of our midfield premiums are?
00:35:25
Sam
Yep. um He's someone I haven't had all year. um He's someone I hate watching as a non-owner because he's obviously very, very good at fantasy football.
00:35:36
Sam
I had penciled him in all year to get him in after the bye, but then having watched that Windhager tag on Bontempele, I'm just getting a little bit nervous. I definitely want him for the round afterwards.
00:35:48
Sam
I think he has the Eagles the week after. So I'm actually okay with you going for Dacos this week. um You know, yeah we can't always predict tags. and um But if you wanted to take a raw risk-averse approach, as you say, the break-even is there. You can probably lean into that a little bit.
00:36:06
Sam
Definitely a target next week if you haven't got him.
00:36:10
Holmesy
Harmi, two guys here, two mid-priced options in defence. Mkircher priced at 68 and Mills priced at 70... What's that? 78. If you had to go one of those two, is it Mkircher or is it Mills?
00:36:27
Jon Harmey
Just give me one sec.
Mid-Price Defensive Trade Analysis
00:36:32
Jon Harmey
Yeah. Well, the thing about Mills is he's not playing.
00:36:35
Holmesy
Okay.
00:36:36
Jon Harmey
Like, he scored his 100 two games ago, still playing in the back line. So they're both playing that back line role. 100 grand between them.
00:36:49
Jon Harmey
Hmm. ah and I don't know, if Mills is in the midfield, I'd probably feel a bit more strongly that way. But as it is, probably a toss of the coin for me. um
00:36:58
Sam
yeah
00:36:59
Holmesy
It's Colby, isn't it?
00:36:59
Jon Harmey
Maybe you save your hundred grand and you take Colby.
00:37:01
Jon Harmey
Yeah, that's who I have got in my team. Had him for weeks at Holmesy, so as you know, early adopter.
00:37:09
Sam
Yep. so So I have probably McKercher ahead of Mills in terms of a value play, um same as you boys, and that's because I think Mills scored his 110 against Richmond with Roberts out, and he was just kind of waxing in that back line with Blakey, getting a lot of easy marks.
00:37:29
Sam
I would want to watch Mills' ah role against Port Adelaide this week because if he's – ah not getting cheapies in the back line, how many is in the midfield. I'd want to see how much time on ground is he playing?
00:37:42
Sam
How many centre bounces is he attending? um Because there's no guarantees there.
00:37:49
Jon Harmey
Come on, Sam. Be honest with the listeners. You told us about 40 minutes ago that that's who you wanted to trade in this week.
00:37:55
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:37:56
Sam
I said I was tempted. I said I was tempted. Actually, also'll I'll throw one back to you boys now because I've come full circle on this guy. Is Myles Bergman... too expensive now.
00:38:07
Jon Harmey
What's he worth?
00:38:11
Holmesy
I think if if he is your player that you're looking to get as your final upgrade on field, I'm a big fan. I've been a big fan of him since he played that first game in the midfield against Jordan Dawson. He's very good.
00:38:25
Holmesy
The only issues were that they kept throwing him back when they had injuries and things like that. But if he's going to be a full-time mid, Absolutely, I think he's a play. However, with this year, with the defenders that we have, you're going to want to back six of Zorko, Whitfield, Messiah, Sinclair, Holmes.
00:38:43
Sam
Mm.
00:38:46
Holmesy
um there's I'm sure there's another one.
00:38:47
Sam
Shazel. Oh, you're forgetting Lucky Ash.
00:38:47
Holmesy
um Sheezil. um There's probably even Lockie Ash, who's D1.
00:38:52
Sam
The best to ever do it.
00:38:55
Holmesy
So i think he could be a short-term play, but if you're coming out of the buys still with Bergman at D6 and you're you're going up against teams that have six of these players, I don't think he's going to have the ceiling to match it with it but those guys just yet.
00:39:10
Holmesy
um
00:39:10
Sam
Mm.
00:39:10
Holmesy
He seems like a...
00:39:11
Sam
Mm.
00:39:12
Holmesy
a mid-90s to low-ton guy with the tagging and stuff that he has to do. And he's not out there winning easy ball. He's winning tough ball. But I really like him. like Well done to the coaches that took the punt on him and and got him at 660K.
00:39:24
Holmesy
had to ride a bit of a role change and things like that. But he's a fantastic pick at the moment. I'm just not sure I'd be going there just at the moment with the options we have in defense. Sam, let's quickly get through some of these so we can get onto the questions and the rookies.
00:39:39
Holmesy
Let's go two midfield underpriced premiums to finish. Zach Butters, who you went last week, probably did what you thought he was going to do against a tag.
00:39:49
Jon Harmey
Thank you.
00:39:50
Holmesy
And then Caleb Sorong, Harmi's boy, who's just had an absolute belter with a soft matchup to come before it gets a bit trickier. Can you advocate trading in either of those players this week?
00:40:01
Sam
ah Yeah, I can. um I can advocate for Butters for sure. I think yeah you know he's clearly M1 at the port at the moment. um He's a guy who I actually don't mind having even through a tag because he will tackle back.
00:40:18
Sam
um and he And if he's not getting tagged, he'll pop up for the cheap marks. I like those guys who balance marks and tackles. And he's one guy that that will do it. And I think at his price, you know, i looked it into his into his stats over the last kind of two, three years even.
00:40:33
Sam
He's basically gone at 105 pretty consistently when you take out his injured games. So he's someone I'm very comfortable having in my team and I can advocate for him. I'll throw it to Harmi to speak to Sarong, having watched him go 146 for his team on the weekend.
00:40:49
Jon Harmey
He always is going to have a good run coming off his bye.
Timing Trades for Natural Scorers
00:40:53
Jon Harmey
Look, ah both of those guys I had been eyeing off watching their price drop with a view to picking them up um about now.
00:41:01
Jon Harmey
So I've got no hesitation with either of those guys. They're both just natural scorers. they They are going to be around about the top 10 scorers in the midfield from from now on. So, um yep, go for it.
00:41:19
Holmesy
Beautiful. Let's go through some rookie downgrade targets now. We still need some good rookies coming through um to make sure we're generating cash to get those final upgrades.
00:41:30
Holmesy
I'm going to put McCarthy to the side at the moment. I think, yes, you can go there if you're really desperate and and get ahead, but... Personally, I'm just going to wait a week. You never know what happens in these bye weeks. He could get injured at training and then it's a bit of a disaster. So let's pencil him in for next week's trades. But Sam, two players here if you're looking for a midfielder. You've got Harry Roston with a break-even of negative four.
00:41:54
Holmesy
Had, I think, 60% CBAs for GWS in a win against Brisbane. I can't see that role changing at least for this week. And then I don't know his first name, but Liddy from Port. You know,
00:42:05
Holmesy
half-forward sort of role pushing up, scored the 42, I think. So break-even's 12, not overly low. out of those two, it Liddy because he's off his bye or do you think Roaston with the ability to pop a best 18 score and and making a bit more cash this week?
00:42:25
Sam
um Yeah, tough one. Liddy, as you say, is off his bye. Rosten, the GWS centre bounce mix has been very interesting. Obviously, been a lot of chop and changing over the last few, like four or five weeks with Green injured and Callaghan injured and Kelly injured.
00:42:45
Sam
But, I mean, he had 21 CBAs on the weekend. I think he was... He was second behind to Tom Green. Oh, sorry, third behind Callaghan and Green. So, yeah, massive vote of confidence from the coach. um I think you could do worse than take a
Evaluating Midfield and Rookie Trade Targets
00:43:01
Sam
punt on Roaston. I prefer him, knowing he's got that midfield role. Just keep in the back of your mind, you're probably taking a little bit more risk with him by coming up, could get dropped or return to the sub after the bye. But, yeah, in that role, um i'm I'm pretty happy to take a punt on Roaston if you need a midfield trade-in.
00:43:21
Holmesy
I really like it. I think he, from the little bit I saw on the weekend, it it looked as though he was doing a bit of a job on Lockie Neal and it didn't look like Bedford had too much of a role inside the midfield for parts of that game. So if that if that role sticks, it's a bit of a risk, but at 250K, what's the worst that can happen? and He becomes a red dot after the bye.
00:43:43
Holmesy
We're going to have Zach Johnson. We're going to have McCarthy making money. and we're getting towards the end of the season. So, yeah, I really like Harry Roston, and if I was picking out of those two, it's Roston for me.
00:43:54
Holmesy
Harmi, we had, um was it was it May from Essendon? I can't remember. Is it May, the forward who who debuted, scored the 42? Can you see him being in the team long-term, or do you think, you know, they have their buy, and then they might get a few of their soldiers back that he might be, you know, sort of one in, one out?
00:44:14
Jon Harmey
It's a bit hard to tell because the Bombers are tanking. They're trying to lose every game from now on in. But, yeah, I think Lankford's still out for a while, so he may hold his place. But, look, I think if they had their, know, first choice forward line, he wouldn't be in it that way.
00:44:34
Holmesy
And I'll stick with you, Harmy, just because I know how much this one hurts you. Zach Johnson now priced at 39, break-even negative 34, priced at 380 or whatever he is exactly.
00:44:45
Holmesy
Is it too late for Zach Johnson? Or with that break-even, you just go there knowing that yeahre you're going to make a quick hit of probably 80 to a hundred k this week and then after his buy, you can deal with it.
00:44:57
Holmesy
So what do you think? Too late or have a crack?
00:45:02
Jon Harmey
um I think you could trade him in, even though I don't think he's got much longevity. I think the short-term play, the cash gen, we've got three trades at the moment.
00:45:12
Jon Harmey
I think you you could still bring him in, but i'm not um I say that and I'm not sure whether I will because, um yeah, I'm not sure if it's going to suit my team and I'll just rely on making up that money somewhere else like Nick Madden, which is who I brought in instead.
00:45:26
Holmesy
Yeah, I suppose that...
00:45:28
Sam
He goes 100 this week. He goes 100 again, for sure.
00:45:31
Jon Harmey
I hope so. I hope so Thank you, Sam. Yep.
00:45:33
Sam
No, not Madden.
00:45:34
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:45:35
Jon Harmey
Which
00:45:37
Holmesy
madam and Madden has wits, Army. so um they might even They might even bring in Moyle to double-team the young fella.
00:45:40
Sam
Yeah, that should go well.
00:45:44
Jon Harmey
which one?
00:45:45
Holmesy
Who knows?
00:45:45
Jon Harmey
Which one can keep up with him? He can't keep up with men.
00:45:47
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:45:48
Jon Harmey
Youthfulness.
00:45:50
Holmesy
Yeah. Look, I think if you if you need a forward, um so like going back to May, I think if you need a forward because you need to unlock the stone cash or the Cleary cash or whatever it is, I think you can do worse than May.
00:46:03
Holmesy
He's not going to be a big scorer, but you hope hope that he's a heartbeat that can get up to 350, 400k at some point that you can maybe access towards the end of the year. Johnson, I think, is the interesting one because, you know, unless you've got a Finno Sullivan, someone else, maybe be a Lindsay you had to hold on to, and you've got that sort of, you can still make 100 to 150K going down to him.
00:46:27
Holmesy
I'm not sure it's worth it. Like, you're going to have to find money to go up from a red dot to get to him, and that's where it gets a bit spicy, knowing going to upgrade to get to him. But the cash is going to be he's going to be huge over the next couple of weeks, three, four, five weeks. So,
00:46:41
Holmesy
Definitely haven't missed the boat. Just make sure you don't torpedo your team to get him in. Lads, let's go through these questions nice and quickly.
00:46:49
Sam
Whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa.
00:46:49
Holmesy
so
00:46:50
Sam
Hang on a minute. We've forgotten of one rookie trade target, Holmesy. Don't tell me you're skipping over Orazio Fantasia.
00:47:00
Holmesy
see exactly what you're doing.
00:47:00
Sam
Priced it.
00:47:02
Holmesy
You are hoping that other coaches in the top 100 go to him go to him For an injured five. I can see exactly what you're doing, Sam.
00:47:09
Sam
ah
00:47:10
Holmesy
That's very deceivious. Now, sell us on Orazio Fantasia.
00:47:14
Sam
Well, I wouldn't ordinarily, but I need a forward rook and um I don't love May. So the only other guy that I've, that's caught my eye is Orazio.
00:47:25
Sam
72 in the system, priced at 382. He's got North this week. You'd think the job security is there. um Look, he had a 32 against Essendon last week.
00:47:34
Jon Harmey
Oh,
00:47:37
Sam
Well, I mean, Carlton have got, what, Mackay struggling. Kurnow's got calf tightness. I know they're not the same player, but they need they need good forwards. So, i mean, I'm leaning there it this week.
00:47:49
Holmesy
areas There is zero chance that you are trading in Orazio Fantasia this week, Sam, being in the top 100.
00:47:50
Sam
um
00:47:58
Holmesy
If you do that and he tanks your season and you lose a hat, I'll be hearing about it for six months about how you had a hat in your grasp, it was on your head, and you traded in Orazio Fantasia.
00:47:58
Sam
I'm doing it.
00:48:11
Sam
i'm I'm doing it and you can check the Hef top 100 ownership stats next week and there'll be a Razio Fantasia one there will be one bloke who has him and it'll be me
00:48:25
Holmesy
ah Stay tuned. That's going to provide some good content. Good luck, Sam.
Wildcard Strategies and Rookie Trades
00:48:29
Holmesy
I hope it i hope it goes well. ah Oh, boy. All right, the first question we have this week is from Lee Humphress.
00:48:33
Sam
jeez I hope so too
00:48:39
Holmesy
ah With no forward rooks presenting at the moment, Orazio Fantasia, can we grab both May and Hayes to extract the cash sitting on dead rooks like Cleary and Stone, Sam? So you're going Orazio, but do you think it's a play, even though they're not going to be good scorers, to grab these guys so they can actually get the money from Cleary and Stone?
00:48:59
Sam
Hmm. Yeah. um i mean, Holmesy, you and I were talking about this just last week. we' We've still got, what, 10 rounds to go in the season?
00:49:13
Sam
We've still got more cash that we need to make.
00:49:13
Jon Harmey
Mm-hmm. Yep.
00:49:16
Sam
I'm not sure if grabbing guys like May and Hayes is the answer because you're potentially trading out two dead rooks in Cleary and Stone who are probably only, what,
00:49:17
Jon Harmey
yeah
00:49:27
Sam
$440 in price, I think. $440, $450. you're only making $200k and then you're probably carrying those red dots for the rest of the year. So ah don't love it. um If it's your only option to make an upgrade on the other end, maybe.
00:49:44
Sam
But I definitely can't endorse grabbing both.
00:49:47
Jon Harmey
Who's highs?
00:49:49
Sam
I think he must be talking about Hayes from Collingwood.
00:49:53
Holmesy
Yeah, Will Hayes. Yeah, good shout.
00:49:55
Jon Harmey
Ah, yeah, we're high.
00:49:57
Holmesy
yeah ah Yeah, I wouldn't be going Will Hayes personally, just with how strong Collingwood are. it's Yeah, it's a ah vest or whatever waiting to happen, but...
00:50:07
Jon Harmey
Nah.
00:50:07
Holmesy
Look, you've got to access the cash somehow. But what I will say is if you can, maybe try and hold off another week. And the rookies do come through. We might end up getting it the next McCarthy in the forward line yet or Johnson. Johnson came from nowhere. So personally, I'd be holding off there.
00:50:23
Holmesy
Harmi, I love this question and it's very interesting. Goes against everything we know as fantasy coaches. But Bondsville Wizard wants to know our thoughts. on trading in Sam Darcy.
00:50:33
Holmesy
So I did see a stat, I think outside of his injured game, don't fact check this Sam, but I think he's averaging close to 98 on the season.
00:50:42
Jon Harmey
Oh, yeah.
00:50:43
Holmesy
He is a very good player with the price, that that injured score in his cycle. He's ranked 11.25 and coming home hard. So he wants to know your thoughts, Harmi, on Sam Darcy.
00:50:57
Jon Harmey
ah Look, he's a key forward, so I can't really advocate for you trading him in, but if you watched that game on the weekend, he was the best player on the ground. Like, the they can't compete with him, and who they got?
00:51:10
Jon Harmey
Richmond, do they?
00:51:11
Holmesy
Yeah. Yeah.
00:51:13
Jon Harmey
Yeah, so, and...
00:51:14
Holmesy
yeah
00:51:16
Jon Harmey
Oh, no, it's a day game in Melbourne, so he'll probably have a bolter, maybe. little But mean he's so tall in that forward line, like, they just can't keep him down. But anyway, look, he relies on a lot of marks and goals, so he's he's not going to average 115.
00:51:31
Jon Harmey
We mentioned other forwards earlier who I prefer to go to.
00:51:36
Holmesy
He reminds me of those videos you see on Twitter of like the seven foot two guy playing basketball in high school where he doesn't even have to jump to dunk and no one can touch him.
00:51:42
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:51:46
Holmesy
He's so good, man. a he's going to be ah He's going to be a fantasy star at some point when maybe he's a ah ruckman and and whatnot.
00:51:48
Sam
Yeah.
00:51:54
Holmesy
But I don't think I could pay that for Sam Darcy. He's going to have his ceiling scores, but you'd think at some stage he's missed a lot of footy that he's going to have some quiet games. But Yeah, it's he's an interesting one.
00:52:04
Holmesy
And he could keep going at 98 for the rest of the year and be a top six forward, there's no doubt. But he's not someone that...
00:52:10
Sam
Well, remember like 15 years ago, we used to have Nick Riewoldt, Lance Franklin, Jonathan Brown in our forward line. Why not? Why can't Sam Darcy bring back the the key forward in AFL fantasy?
00:52:24
Holmesy
Yeah. Yeah. You're not wrong. Oh, yeah. No, do it. Do it. Just enjoy the year.
00:52:29
Sam
Yeah.
00:52:31
Holmesy
Well, he's playing Richmond this week. he'll He'll kill it this week.
00:52:33
Sam
Yeah.
00:52:34
Holmesy
Are you sure it's a day game, Harmy?
00:52:34
Jon Harmey
Yeah. Yeah, it's Sunday Arbo, isn't it?
00:52:36
Holmesy
I thought it was the last game of the round.
00:52:39
Jon Harmey
Yeah, in the afternoon, Yeah.
00:52:40
Holmesy
I thought it was the last.
00:52:40
Jon Harmey
Yeah. Yeah.
00:52:42
Holmesy
Is Bolter going to be able to play that game? Yeah, I suppose he's got to be back home by 10, doesn't he?
00:52:45
Jon Harmey
yeah yeah yeah
00:52:47
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:52:47
Jon Harmey
yeah
00:52:48
Holmesy
fair Sam, this one's from Adrian. Is George Hewitt worth trading in now with Walsh out for over a month? So what do you have, 105 on the weekend? I think we just want Chera, right?
00:52:58
Sam
ah Yep. Yep.
00:52:59
Holmesy
It's Chera season, but, you know, Hewitt, could you do it?
00:53:05
Sam
Yes, you could. You could. um I was tossing up between him and Zach Butters as the trade-in this week on off the back of the Sam Walsh news.
Trade Dilemmas and Final Advice
00:53:14
Sam
um Alps has had a massive start to the year.
00:53:18
Sam
And ah you know I don't think anyone traded him in at the start of the year because it was there was no history there. you know The best we've seen Hewitt go out as maybe like a high 90s average. so But he had, what, eight, nine games in a row there where he was averaging 110 and was was nearly leading the competition.
00:53:39
Sam
um Why not? Cripps seems to be falling off. Chera has obviously upped his scoring and picked up a lot of points. So, um yes, I think at that price it's it's attractive.
00:53:50
Sam
um I probably won't be going there at this stage just because I've got Chera already in my side, and so I've got the Carlton mid-exposure, and I don't like having too many double-ups.
00:54:02
Sam
Carlton are a high-scoring AFL fantasy team, though. They're probably in the top five, I think, when I last looked at the the total points per game. So there's no reason why him and Chera can't both go at 100.
00:54:14
Sam
But, you know, if Cripps returns to some form, maybe it's a bit of fall-off, but I like it. I like it.
00:54:22
Holmesy
Yep, I like it too. ah But yeah. Yeah, no, I like it. I think he's an option. Very humble, happy on the weekend, but he's a tackler. He bobs up for marks, scores goals sometimes as well.
00:54:33
Holmesy
So you could do worse than George Hewitt.
00:54:34
Sam
and never, never going to get a tag.
00:54:40
Holmesy
Yeah, and that's that's what we're all about. Our new philosophy, Harmi, this one is from Paniotti. So we'll go for an old school state or not a state stamp of approval because he's asking for an opinion, but he wants to go Hardeman to McKercha, tick.
00:54:56
Jon Harmey
Yes.
00:54:56
Holmesy
Rankin to Mills, a little bit sideways, but don't mind it for the buy play. And then he's asking whether it's Bergman or JHF. So if you had to go Bergman or JHF, what are your thoughts?
00:55:10
Jon Harmey
um I'm not convinced on that ranking to Mills, just quietly. And if I had the choice of Bergman or GHF, I'd probably go JHF. um But, yeah, I...
00:55:24
Jon Harmey
Look, Hardeman to Mkircha, I'm um pretty happy with that. But the other two, there may be other options, I reckon. Well, couldn't you go Rankin franken to JHF?
00:55:35
Sam
Yeah, if he's asking Mills, Bergman or JHF, I would have JHF, Bergman, Mills in that order.
00:55:36
Jon Harmey
That'll make you money, won't
00:55:43
Jon Harmey
it? I see.
00:55:45
Sam
That's that's the order I would have in at the moment.
00:55:47
Jon Harmey
Yes, same. Yep.
00:55:49
Holmesy
Yeah, I wonder if he's got enough cash to to get um JHF and Bergman. Probably not.
00:55:55
Sam
Yeah, okay.
00:55:55
Holmesy
That's why he's asking for it. because He's got the DPP. But yeah, I think I'm JHF over Bergman. I think Bergman's the better player and potentially the better scorer. But for the reasons I said before, I think you want to be filling your defensive lines with those real top-end guys.
00:56:10
Sam
yeah
00:56:10
Holmesy
um Whereas the forwards, to you know you you can raffle the forwards at the moment outside of Baz, Martin and Kennedy, Sam.
00:56:19
Sam
Yeah, i would just say on Mills, like I think we said it earlier, but I would strongly endorse watching Mills for a week. um We don't know what his role is going to be this week, and he's versing Port Adelaide. He's probably not going to kill you and get away from you.
00:56:31
Sam
If you need ah ah mid-price defender, I think we're all endorsing McKercher over Mills at this stage. There's a lot more role certainty there.
00:56:40
Holmesy
Sam, last question for the night. This one's from Ryan Sharp. So Levi Ashcroft is the last rookie left on his field for best 22. He's asking whether he goes two rookies down to then get Levi Ashcroft up to Bailey Dale, which means he's got 21 on field this week, which is 19 primos, or...
00:56:58
Holmesy
Does he sideways Rankin to Mills and Ashcroft to McRae, which gives him 22 playing and 20 primos? So I left this one piece one for you because it's that old, you know, he's 20 primos too much and he's better off going sort of 19 this week to hopefully get more next week.
00:57:13
Holmesy
and I'm guessing you're going to say the first option because you're not sold on the Rankin to Mills move.
00:57:19
Sam
Yep, yep, pretty much spot on. I'd be going traditional, two rookies down, one rookie up. Yep, Bailey Dale's good enough to be there. He's going to be, I mean, we put the mocker on him a little bit earlier, but I'm confident that he's still going to be top eight to ten defenders.
00:57:34
Jon Harmey
probably, yeah, I'd probably prefer Wanganimalira or Sinclair over Dale. But, yep, if he's you've got those two, then go for it.
00:57:45
Holmesy
Yeah, good teams will have those players, Harmi, unlike us. But I'm fixing that this week. Please don't let me trade in anyone else other than Nassai Wanganin-Miller. Thank you, lads. And on that note, we will wrap up. But before we do, I'd like to get a closing thought from Sam, top 100 coach.
00:58:04
Holmesy
You know, every every podcast we do might be the last last time that he's actually in the the top 100. So we've got to savor it, Sam. So yeah the give our listeners some and closing thoughts.
00:58:16
Sam
Closing thoughts. um Enjoy watching Orazio Fantasia kick five against North this weekend. That's all I'll say.
00:58:26
Jon Harmey
See if he's available in draft comp.
00:58:27
Holmesy
ah
00:58:32
Holmesy
As always, make sure you're following us on X at PodPod AFL. Make sure you subscribe to us on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your content. Apologies for last week, but we will be back next week with another round review.
00:58:46
Holmesy
Hope you all go well with this week in the buyers and we will speak soon.