Become a Creator today!Start creating today - Share your story with the world!
Start for free
00:00:00
00:00:01
One Last Hail Mary?! | The Final Round of 2025 | AFL Fantasy Q&A #PODPOD
1.6k Plays8 days ago
If you love our content and want to help support us for all of our years of work, please consider giving back by having your specific AFL Fantasy questions answered. At the link below, you have the option for a full team review, specific player / strategy questions and in-season trade and captain options. For a small fee you can have your questions answered whilst also supporting the PODPOD. All questions are greatly appreciated!
Ask me a question to get a personalized audio response! - https://AskMeOnQu.com/podpodafl
Want to join the PODPOD challenge and go up against this amazing community? We would love to have you! Join with the code below:
HDPYPX6X
The winner will receive a custom AFL Fantasy ring courtesy of our friends at Supercoach Champion. Head over to supercoachchampion.com if you would like to enquire about custom rings or accessories for your own leagues!
Like this episode? Follow us on spotify or subscribe on Apple Podcasts to make sure you are up to date for when new episodes are released!
This episode was brought to you by Magic Sports. Magic Sports have a number of new products to help take your fantasy games to the next level:
Slyder - https://www.slyder.team/login
AFL Fantasy Team Picker - https://picker.bolter.team/login
Follow us on X:
The PODPOD: @podpodAFL
Holmesy: @Holmesyheroes
Lewy: @LewyAF
Harmey: @jonharmey
Dos: @HKdos
Sam: @grillis03
Recommended
Transcript
Introduction & Season Climax
00:00:18
Holmesy
G'day and welcome to the Pod Pod. It's Holmesy here talking all things AFL Fantasy Classic for you on Monday the 18th of August. yeah We are back for the second last time this season. We have one round of fantasy footy to go.
00:00:33
Holmesy
and it is, ah look, not going lie, it's pretty tight at the top and and things have been a bit nerve wracking. But we plow on. We don't have Sam today, but he has promised us that he'll be back for the final review podcast next week.
00:00:47
Holmesy
Hoping that a Lockie Ash can get a good score for him this week so that he can save face on the podcast. But as always, we do have two-time top 10 finisher and runner-up in 2019, John Harmy with us for some final round um magic and and advice, mate. How are you?
Can Kyle Holmes Make a Comeback?
00:01:05
Jon Harmey
Going pretty well, thanks, Holmesy. Yep, no, look, hopefully, um in the lead-up to the Kyle Holmes victory lap on the weekend as ah the charge to first place continues.
00:01:19
Holmesy
Yeah, look, don't know about that. We're going to get to it. It never would have been done before coming from this far back. But hey, you never know. There's ah there's a first time for everything. But we will give it a good shake. And he's back for us this week. He's finally off the gin tasting and decided to show up for us. We have perennial top 1K finisher, Louis on track for another top 1K finish, mate. How are we doing?
00:01:43
Lew
Yeah, not too bad boys. Good to be here and good just to bask in your glory, Holmesy, into the top five. Hopefully
Team Reviews & Performance Highlights
00:01:52
Lew
the Dockers can get it done for you and you'll either be driving over to Melbourne with a brand new Hilux or you'll be yeah sitting in one of those boxes up there with some of your other winners. So um yeah, exciting times.
00:02:07
Holmesy
Far out. don't Don't even get me started on the Dockers, Lou. Only team more disappointing on the weekend was your boys, the Port Adelaide, who um seriously cooked me in my trades. But we we'll get into that a bit later. But why don't we do the round review that was so haven't even looked. Tommy, you can kick us off. what What's your rank and give us your picks.
00:02:30
Jon Harmey
Okay, so my score was 2-1-2-5, which means I must have had some terrible performing players in there. Yeah, let's have a look. ah Dawson, 91. Sinclair, I said last week on the pod, I was looking at Sheezil, Sinclair, Wentz, Sinclair.
00:02:48
Jon Harmey
The 100 points that cost me. Andy Brayshaw, 90. Sarong, 83. Don't know if you'd look at any of those two guys next year. Far out. So anyway, look, just a ah team full of underperforming players.
00:03:03
Jon Harmey
And that's put my rank, something awful as well. Let's have a look. 4,900. How about that? Jeez. Anyway, but... um ah I've had to try and pick a winner, don't I, as a plus three, my Stato pick of the week.
00:03:17
Jon Harmey
um now We'll go go Bont, 131. You can't really complain about that too much. So he's everywhere. And I think my minus three, my dossie pick of the week has probably got to go to Isaac Rankin, who should be warming up for a grand final for me this week in my draft comp.
00:03:39
Jon Harmey
But it looks as though he may be spending that time sulking on the sidelines after a bit of an indiscretion there. So he can most certainly have my dossie pick of week.
00:03:52
Holmesy
yeah Yeah, no good,
Surprises in Game Schedules
00:03:53
Holmesy
Harmy. And to all the listeners just getting a look in behind the curtains there, I think Harmy just opened his app for the first time since Teams on Friday. So um you're watching watching his reaction to his team in real time.
00:04:06
Holmesy
Lou, give us your review.
00:04:08
Lew
Yeah, it looked a little bit like Harmy. um I only had the five players that went over the ton. Oh, sorry, seven. So the rest of them all scored between 56 and 97. So it was one of those weeks where...
00:04:23
Lew
ah My whole team didn't horribly underperform, but it was just those sort of stinky scores between 70 and 90 that um you don't like to see. So unfortunately, um i also may have not realized on Friday night that the Bombers game started earlier than what it usually does on a Friday night.
00:04:46
Lew
And I held Zach Merritt. So... I got the
Captain Choices & Unique Strategies
00:04:51
Lew
Tom McCarthy 82 off the bench. Thank God for that. But yeah, a little bit of a late season blunder there and maybe a bit of a reflection of sort of where I'm at in fantasy at the moment.
00:05:03
Holmesy
Yeah, but Lou, now you know Cooper Lord's out with concussion coming into a Carlton matchup. He's going to be unique for You're just playing the long game, ah
00:05:12
Jon Harmey
He's a poet, pot pot.
00:05:12
Lew
exactly Exactly right. It's going to be a pod um next week and it's going to rocket me into the top 500, hopefully.
00:05:21
Holmesy
eh? Are we going to discuss the cheeky little Tristan Cherry trade-in, Lou? Yeah.
00:05:27
Lew
No, no, we're not because I didn't i didn't trade him in.
00:05:30
Jon Harmey
Ah.
00:05:30
Lew
i I traded in Tim English. I relented to the pressure. He was everybody's number one captain. And I thought, okay, well, I better not get clever with this. um But yeah, that turned out to be a pretty good call. 162 was absolute monster. And if anybody did jump on, then well done because, look, I ah know I didn't do it myself, but I thought that um he was a pretty good shout this week.
00:05:56
Jon Harmey
You must listened to the podcast last week, Louis, when I told everybody not to bring him in.
00:06:03
Lew
I didn't harm you, mate.
00:06:04
Jon Harmey
Oh, jeez.
00:06:06
Holmesy
just Just on that, Harmi, let's put our hand up because I'm pretty sure there was a question last week about bringing in a forward and we toed and froed.
00:06:06
Jon Harmey
Got that one wrong.
00:06:14
Holmesy
We couldn't get there and then we both ended up settling on Luke Jackson as being the safe forward trade-in and he's gone out and put up 56.
00:06:18
Jon Harmey
Oh, that's right.
00:06:22
Holmesy
And...
00:06:23
Holmesy
and Yeah, no good, which I'm sure we'll get to. um Yeah, far out, Lou. When I fired off that message in the group chat about you and Cherry, I actually still thought you did it. So I didn't realize you pussied out. I saw him going massive and was happy for you. So that's right. English was still good. um You got a dossie pick for us?
00:06:23
Lew
o
00:06:43
Lew
I did have him in draft though. I think I sent you a screenshot, Holmes. I had all three players that went 160 plus in my draft prelim. So that was just unbelievable.
00:06:54
Lew
um My Dossie pick or my Stato pick?
00:06:57
Holmesy
Bye, both.
00:06:59
Lew
Go both. Well, i ah didn't I didn't even do a dossie pick. I just said majority of them stank. But um my Stato pick of the week has got to be Harry Sheasel for the 186. Career highest score for him. And I think it's actually the highest fantasy score um of this season. It was just unbelievable to watch.
00:07:18
Lew
Broke the disposal record. And yeah, ah anybody who had the captain on him would have been absolutely elated on the weekend. And well done to you.
00:07:28
Holmesy
Yep. Once again, spoke about it on the podcast last week. I floated the ah idea by Harmy. I said, Chazel's going to be a good captain option ah against Richmond down in Tassie. And Harmy, like the good bloke he is, dismissed it and said it's no good. So thanks, Harmy. Thanks for deceiving us.
00:07:46
Jon Harmey
Who'd you captain?
00:07:48
Holmesy
Rowan Marshall, VC.
00:07:50
Jon Harmey
Oh, yeah, Marshall.
00:07:50
Holmesy
So it's no
00:07:51
Jon Harmey
Yep. No, good one.
Game Previews & Player Potentials
00:07:52
Holmesy
186, but you take a 120 every day of the week.
00:07:55
Holmesy
ah Myself this week had a 2270, so not too bad. Went from seventh into fifth, which I was very surprised to come the end of the round with a few underwhelming scores.
00:08:04
Jon Harmey
Thank you.
00:08:07
Holmesy
But I think it was just one of those rounds where... where everyone sort of struggled a bit. ah My Dossie Pick of the Week, just going to give a quiet shout-out to Chad Warner.
00:08:17
Holmesy
um 98 after a 94 last week. Tough matchup against Geelong. um Having already had a Luke Jackson, 56, Jack McRae, 66, and some of the other forwards,
00:08:28
Holmesy
um starting to fail, it was just, yeah, a big sigh of relief that ah Chad Warner went 98 and that was up against a lot of the top 10 that had a Jeremy Cameron 50 or a Sam Darcy 60. So that was a that was a nice little points upgrade there. And he does have the West Coast matchup this week. So fingers crossed um he can go out with a bang and and give me some points there is a bit more of a unique My dossie pick of the week, and this one this one hurts a bit, and I'll talk through process because we talk about process a lot, and I still back this trade.
00:09:03
Holmesy
um I traded Jordan Clark out as I was worried about ownership in a tough matchup against Brisbane, And I traded him to Connor Rosey, thinking that he was the safe option to match in and around the 10, had been as consistent as anyone all year. Yes, he's playing a bit sore at the moment, but that didn't stop him with a 95 against Adelaide and then a 103 against Frio. Both top tough matchups.
00:09:28
Holmesy
ah Carlton have been pretty bad as of late and Port played pretty well at Marvel Stadium. But Lou, you just can't discount the Ken Hinkley factor. Kanye and Port are in all sorts at the moment.
00:09:40
Jon Harmey
Bloody eyes.
00:09:41
Lew
Yeah, they're in a bit of trouble. they They just can't wait until the season's finished. We might see a bit of a dead cat bounce this week. Obviously, it's going to be Boke's farewell, um as well as Hinkley's last game. So potentially, we see them a little bit more up and about for that. But it was picks to the slaughter on the weekend. and It was a very grim watch.
00:10:01
Holmesy
Yep, that was part of the the reasoning why I did it as well, um knowing that this Gold Coast matchup at home in Hinkley's final game um is hopefully going to be a good matchup. But with what we saw on the weekend and now Gold Coast coming down, hungry after a pretty bad loss, um who knows what will happen. But yeah, that's my Dossie Pick of the Week.
00:10:21
Holmesy
Boys, let's just get into some quick sort of strategy before we we go through game by game sorry and and finish off with some questions. so Harmi, I got your advice last week, so we'll come back to you after. But, Lou, talk us through sort of the strategy of this last week and and how it's a little bit different to to all the other rounds, knowing that after this, it's it. We don't have to worry about sort of trading players out and then being burnt by them in the weeks leading after this and whatnot. So,
00:10:49
Holmesy
what is What should coaches be looking to do if you know they're at the pointy end and they're trying to jump into the 100 or um you know they're trying to consolidate? Talk us through the sort of different ways that coaches can attack this week.
00:11:01
Lew
um look I think the main one this week is going to be around ownership and if you're at the pointy end where you can find the little gaps that coaches have missed. So um little shout out to Hef on Twitter. Every single week he uploads the top 100 fantasy coaches and who is in their sides and you can kind of get an idea of um who's a bit more unique at the top end. And being that it's going to be one more game of data, we can sort of play that matchup game and maybe get a little bit fruity in terms of some of the players that we're looking at in what they can produce because it is only one game of footy um and we're just trying to maximise ceiling here to finish off strong. So...
00:11:46
Lew
For me, I like to look at some unique players that have really high ceilings just to finish off with one last crack to to really, yeah, just to finish off because um there's no real, no one's going to care if you finish 500, 800, 900.
00:12:02
Lew
eight hundred nine hundred Everybody only really cares if you finish top 100. So I think you just have to have a crack now.
00:12:10
Holmesy
ah you Are you someone in this final round that's more likely to trade out a popular premium option rather than trading in a real unique option or you don't mind a mixture of both?
00:12:24
Lew
I think it's a mixture of both. I think there's couple of premiums that we could probably all point to have been underperforming the last couple of weeks or months rather. um i mean, Andrew Brayshaw immediately probably comes to mind a bit.
00:12:37
Lew
um But also keeping in mind something that we've sort of parroted throughout the season is that the midfielders have been a little bit unreliable. So maybe we're better off. um looking towards somebody that we can bring in knowing that some of these guys can turn it around on a dime.
00:12:57
Holmesy
Yep, agree with that. Harmi, do you have anything else um to add after last week? you're You're pretty good with your advice. I suppose maybe just highlighting the difference between... and let's Let's put it out there. So we've got a few PodPod members that are sitting just outside the 100. So i think we've got three that are 102, 103, 104.
00:13:16
Holmesy
And then there's several that are you know just inside. do these Do these coaches need to do anything differently to try and crack into the 100? Or do you think it's still just... pick the best players, make the best trade for your individual team and and just letting everything else take care?
00:13:33
Holmesy
or do you think they need to do something like swinging for the fences a bit?
00:13:37
Jon Harmey
ah No, I think just pick the best players, you think, for the weekend. I mean... that That shouldn't really change. Probably something I will say for you, Holmesy, is that you need a few points of difference um for your team, obviously.
00:13:53
Jon Harmey
ah For the, you know, probably 10, well, the five four people in front of you and the 10 people behind you, you'll need a few points of difference. And I'd certainly be doing that. I'd be going all out try and, um yeah, to try and get up the ranks into at least second if I were you.
00:14:12
Jon Harmey
I actually, once we started recording, remember in 2017, I was fifth going into the last round. um But hopefully um my luck is different to your luck because I ended up in sixth that year. I went backwards one, but but ah yeah, that's what you've got to do. i think I just picked random Captain Joyce and and a couple of other pods. and But yeah,
00:14:39
Jon Harmey
I mean, I don't regret it at all. There's a world where I could have gone and the other way and it went in my favour and was still happy with six. So, yep, yep, you've got to pick yeah your points of difference, mate, for this weekend.
00:14:52
Lew
You mentioned um the captaincy too, Harmy. Obviously, that would be a massive factor ah in terms of finding that point of difference too.
00:14:58
Jon Harmey
Oh, you too.
00:15:00
Lew
If you can land that C on you know a 186 from Harry Sheasel, that can really um just catapult you up the rank. So getting, or not necessarily creative, but being a little bit shrewd about how you select those VCCs as well.
00:15:14
Jon Harmey
Yeah, 100%. I mean, as Holmesy's already said, um the distance between Marshall and Sheezal on the weekend was 60 points. And that's, you know, a third of what Holmesy needs to get into first. So it does make a huge difference, of course.
00:15:31
Holmesy
The only issue, Harmi, and the Jeremy Cameron maneuver that was made famous in 2019 that actually came over the top of you, every man and his dog's going to be pulling that move this week if they haven't already pulled that trade.
00:15:43
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:15:44
Holmesy
And that matchup's a scary matchup to go against if
Listener Questions & Strategic Advice
00:15:48
Holmesy
you're you're trying to differentiate from the comp. So there's yeah there's definitely a little bit to play out still, but... Yeah, let's go through game by game now and and just have a ah few talking points for for what's to come. So the first game on Thursday night is your mighty Bombers, Harmy, up against Colton.
00:16:05
Holmesy
um Bit of news, so Cooper Lord out with concussion, ah which means probably the midfields go head-to-head with maybe George Hewitt doing a bit of a cooler role. if If a Zach Merritt in his 250th comes back and gets off the chain,
00:16:21
Holmesy
Hami, is there anything that we're looking for in this game? Or do you think because it's Thursday night and knowing what we know about the final round and and late changes and whatnot, yeah you're not locking in a trade this early and you're just kind of letting this game um go to the wayside a bit?
00:16:36
Jon Harmey
It's probably not really one you're goingnna target, is it? I mean, the Bombers are so bloody undermanned. We've probably got a better team as all the people that are sitting in the stands. But um yeah I don't really know if you're going to target anybody out of this, because in there's nobody cheap enough to bring in for a flyer on the bench who's there. So yeah you really just, i mean, merit?
00:16:59
Jon Harmey
Nah.
Final Encouragement & Strategy Recap
00:17:00
Jon Harmey
I think you'd probably sit this one out.
00:17:03
Holmesy
Louis, Zach Merritt did have 145, I think it was, in the corresponding fixture last year. No tag. You've got him. Cheeky VC option for you or or not?
00:17:15
Lew
ah Potentially Harmi, sorry, Holmesy, but he's been a hard prediction week in, week out, Zach Merritt. We don't know whether or not he's going to cop a little bit of attention and and go ghost mode or if he goes absolutely nuts.
00:17:30
Lew
So VC only for coaches that for some reason held him after last week. But I think, yeah, there's probably a chance that he can find a bit of ceiling there, Holmesy, especially with no Lorde.
00:17:43
Holmesy
ah louis heat Louis, he does play on Thursday and most coaches at this time of the year are still opening their app before the Thursday night teams and don't just accidentally leave their captain on a player playing Thursday night.
00:17:57
Holmesy
So definitely VC only, but...
00:17:59
Lew
um No, well, I did do as much a couple of weeks ago too. If you'll remember, ah vis I captained Whitfield on the Thursday night and I VC'd Grundy on the Sunday. It didn't work out as well as what I was hoping, but...
00:18:14
Holmesy
Oh, very good by you. I tell you what, i'm I'm lucky I'm up the top because I'm not sure you boys would still be hanging around if I wasn't going so well.
00:18:22
Jon Harmey
Mm-hmm.
00:18:23
Holmesy
All right, let's go into the Friday night. So we do have two games starting off early with the Collingwood-Melbourne game. I suppose the interesting part here, um Melbourne tagged Dacos in the game earlier on in the year, but they did have a new coach,
00:18:42
Holmesy
Harmi, do you like a Dacos VC option in this game, knowing that Collingwood need to win and win big to make sure that they are lock their final spot away in potential top four?
00:18:58
Jon Harmey
Well, I said before the weekend, yeah sit on
00:18:58
Lew
Potential brown low too.
00:19:01
Jon Harmey
yeah I said before the weekend, Holmes, I was a bit off, Dacos as a captaincy option, and what did go? 106. So... so
00:19:12
Jon Harmey
ah and I don't know. this I think it's just been a little bit of a, in the last month, a bit of a shut Dacos out of the game. um You shut out Collingwood a bit and I would like to think that Melbourne do apply that tactic.
00:19:21
Holmesy
Thank
00:19:26
Jon Harmey
So I'd probably not be going Dacos as my VC, um but I haven't had a good look into it to be fair.
00:19:36
Holmesy
Could you then, this is where the game theory comes in, and this what fascinates me. So i have the opinion that he's a good VC option, knowing that if he avoids the tag, I think he went 150 on them last year.
00:19:48
Holmesy
But at the same time, if they do tag him like they did last time, Lou, he had 83, but that was with a gifted goal. Is there scope to put him on the bench as an early loop option to try and gain some points there if they do clamp him with um langdon Langdon, I think, tag him?
00:19:48
Jon Harmey
Damn.
00:20:04
Lew
Oh, see, I think that one's getting a little bit cute. I don't like what goes on in round 24. I think there's some teams that are named up that do happen to change over the weekend.
00:20:16
Lew
And I'd hate to get stitched up by, you know, benching Nick Day because I think he's going to be fine. I think at an absolute worst, we might be looking at a floor of like 90, which is more than enough to put on your field.
00:20:27
Lew
I'm probably leaning more the other way. I'd prefer to put a VC there. um As I said, i think that the Brownlow race has tightened right up as we've come to the conclusion of this season. And I think if he can come out with a really big game, um secure those three votes, then that might be enough um for selfish reasons for him to sort of really get up and about. So I quite like the VC there. And I think that's one that um it could be a 150 coming.
00:20:56
Holmesy
Is there anything else from this game, Lou, that's kind of piquing your interest?
00:21:01
Lew
No, not particularly. I think Collingwood are probably struggling a little bit and I'm not sure about Melbourne right now. I don't know if I want to shop there at all.
00:21:11
Holmesy
For for the Gorn owners, you see a ah VC option up against Darcy Cameron, who's lowered his colours. ah No, sorry, he was good on the weekend, but um has been giving up some scores of late. Could you go Gorn? He's been so good.
00:21:25
Lew
I think Gorn's always a VC option just because he establishes a really high floor from his hit-out dominance and obviously his marking ah along the wings.
00:21:27
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:21:34
Lew
But um yeah, for me, ah I think um um'd I'd prefer Dacos here. But yeah, I wouldn't talk you out of Gorn by any stretch.
00:21:44
Holmesy
Yep, fair enough. And just one thing on Christian Petrarca before we move on. To the eye, looked better. He had, I think, equal fourth most CBAs with Clary. Cozzy Pickett, for some reason, was out of the CBAs a bit on the weekend. I'm not sure whether that was because maybe he was getting some attention at stoppage. I'm not too sure, but Cozzy didn't have a very good game. So...
00:22:06
Holmesy
Petrarca potentially last game for the club if he wants to move on. He's probably going to want to put his best foot forward to to get a trade somewhere. And um he did look better to the eye, um maybe because he got smashed by the media. So i think for me, Petrarca is a good loop option playing so early. I don't think he's worth enough to trade out unless you've got a fair bit of money on the on the bench. So yeah, I'd be having a look at him early and then letting that dictate your trades later on and in the week if you still have him.
00:22:34
Holmesy
Lou, I'm going to throw to you because you're the Port man later on on Friday night, I think close to an hour after we have Port versus Gold Coast. So talk us through what's likely to happen here in in Hinkley's last game and and what what we should look for.
00:22:49
Lew
Gee, it's a good question, Holmesy.
00:22:49
Jon Harmey
Thank you.
00:22:52
Lew
I don't think anybody knows what to expect from this game, especially with um so much of it actually dictating the the final positions of the top eight. so look, ah I'm expecting the Port Adelaide players to get up and about. Certainly, some of, you know, Pinkley's biggest fans there in like a Rosie and a Butters have always gotten around him. So, I'm expecting them to to show up and ah probably neglecting to mention Bokey too. So I reckon that the Port players should be up and about for it. So most popular owned players from Port, Butters, Rosie, think they will be fine.
00:23:31
Lew
um I reckon we want to talk more about the Gold Coast Suns here and it's going to be an absolute must-win game for them. I think that... No one really expected them to lose, certainly not by as much as they did on the weekend to the Giants.
00:23:46
Lew
And I don't think most people thought that Essendon would be sort of half competitive with them with their injury list at the moment. So that Wednesday night game has suddenly become...
00:23:57
Lew
a little bit of a danger game and um if they were to drop that as well as the port game they just wouldn't play finals full stop so i'm expecting them to come out breathing fire against port and i think that's going to be off the back of matt rau and noah anderson their leaders in the midfield there um i'm expecting some really big scores from them and i think uh Tuke Miller and John Noble could be two outside chances too to to really pop up and um and put up some really nice fantasy scores for us.
00:24:28
Holmesy
Yep, and Gold Coast did lower their colours against Adelaide. The last time they played at Adelaide Oval, they got jumped and and never really recovered. To be honest, the dead cat bounce, like you said, wouldn't surprise me if Port come out breathing fire in in Hinkley and Boak's last game.
00:24:44
Holmesy
I suppose, Lou, before we move on, do you see any tags coming in this game? is ah Is a Willem Drew going to go to an Anderson or or stand Rowell at stoppage? I mean, at the time of recording, Wines is out for three weeks, right? So they're already depleted in the midfield.
00:24:58
Holmesy
um They have run double tags in the past going after Sarong and and I think Brayshaw two weeks ago. Where do you see the tags going, if any?
00:25:07
Lew
I'd be surprised if we run a tag this week. I think that would me, to honest. to be to be honest
00:25:14
Holmesy
Yep, fair enough. Moving on to Saturday, the first game is North Melbourne and Adelaide in Melbourne. um Is that at Marvel Stadium? I need to check that. i would assume it is with those two clubs.
00:25:26
Holmesy
um Look, Adelaide... Clearly, they're going to score well against North if they decide that they want to put everything into this game. But you would be a little bit concerned that they probably manage players in game if it's if the game's in hand, which it might not necessarily be with how they played against the Eagles the other day, Harmy. But Jordan Dawson has a ceiling like anyone in the comp. He's after a brown low as well. Is he a sneaky VC option this week?
00:25:54
Jon Harmey
He definitely could be. He's got such a good score build, Dawson, doesn't he, that he doesn't need 35 touches, but against North, he could bloody get it. So I think he's he probably going to be the best bet in this game for a VC.
00:26:11
Holmesy
Yep, and there's not too much else relevant in the Adelaide game outside of, you mentioned, Isaac Rankin, which we don't know that ah the details at the time of recording, but um it's seeming very likely that he'll be out at least this week.
00:26:25
Holmesy
I suppose moving over to the North Melbourne side of things, Adelaide being quite a tough matchup in the midfield and even for defenders, I think they're just really hard to score against in general.
00:26:36
Holmesy
What are your plans, Harmi, for a Colby McKercher who just quietly has still just kept going on about his business but does come into a tougher matchup this week? And we did see Lockie Murphy tag Josh Dacos as that running halfback last week.
00:26:51
Holmesy
So that's a pretty good matchup for Colby there too.
00:26:52
Lew
Thank
00:26:54
Jon Harmey
Yeah, 29 touches again for Colby on the weekend. He's been, uh, he's been super in the last two months. So, um, to be honest, he, he wasn't really somebody that I had looked at and thought I need to get rid of.
00:27:06
Jon Harmey
Um, and he still scored more than bloody Max Holmes, who's been a terrible pick for me the last couple of weeks. But, um, Yeah, I don't think he's a his definite trade-out or anything like that. I think he'll still score all right. ah And if he is getting tagged, he at times has some ah sort of three three yeah pass free right to roam the field and he'll get up on the wing or into the forward line too. So I think, yeah, he's not really a big concern for me. But i got a crap team, so it doesn't really worry me too much.
00:27:39
Holmesy
Yeah, I suppose... i mean, he was on for another big score on the weekend, 81 at three-quarter time, I know, because I don't have him and I was tracking it pretty closely. um Lucky he did sort of fade out, but when Sheezil was doing what he was doing in LDU and stuff, you can understand why.
00:27:53
Holmesy
ah suppose the big concern for... For Colby, is on the weekend, he wasn't marking and and and wasn't really tackling much like he normally does. So you know against Adelaide, maybe that's a ah lower possession game and more of a floor score. So for coaches that want to get funky, maybe you do loop him as he's early enough and and decide what to do with that. But yeah, he just keeps on keeping on and ah definite ah regret of him being traded out two weeks ago for myself.
00:28:20
Holmesy
Moving on, and and this is the big game that no doubt many coaches in the comp will will target here. Geelong versus Richmond at the MCG. um Over the last couple of weeks alone, we've seen St. Kilda in Sinclair, Marshall, Winhagar, Messiah, Hugo Garcia, the Goat Army all go massive against Richmond. And then you just have to look to Sheasel, Cherry and LDU all going above 160 on the weekend combined with you know Parker, Tunning and a couple of other tons slash 90 scores.
00:28:52
Holmesy
Louis, I'll go to you. i mean, the obvious target here is the Jeremy Cameron. Nick Vlosten confirmed out for the year with that broken leg. um This has all the dangers of an absolute monster score for some of the Geelong players.
00:29:05
Holmesy
So there's Jezza, which we don't really need to speak about too much, but you like a Sean Manor. And how could you not after a 66 point last quarter, 120 score last week?
00:29:16
Lew
And he's probably been one of the form cats, even with you know how elite their list and their top end has been um all season. He's got a last five average of 110, which um we've been talking about forwards all year. And um most of them have been sort of 90 at best, nudging a little bit further. But yeah.
00:29:37
Lew
Yeah, I think Sean Manor is a massive option here. I think he's the sort of player that isn't so far on the radar for oppo coaches that they're going to put necessarily too much attention into him. And I think that...
00:29:51
Lew
Because of that, he's going to get off the chain and he's going to you know fill up his boots a bit in this game. um So i'm like I'm liking Sean Manor, but I'm also obviously big fan of Bailey Smith, Brian Myers, Max Holmes.
00:30:05
Lew
Those five, including Jezza, are going to be massive on the weekend, we presume. So I'll throw it back to i'll throw it back to you Harmy. Out of those five Geelong players,
00:30:17
Lew
What order of score are we sort of looking at? um And ballpark it for me too, for the listeners.
00:30:26
Jon Harmey
Yeah, all right. So we had Baz, Jezza, Manor. I've probably got them in that order, I reckon, as it as the top three.
00:30:35
Lew
Mm-hmm.
00:30:36
Jon Harmey
Home's going to do anything this this month, Kyle? What's going on with him? Far out. Can't handle the tag, can he? um Yeah, look.
00:30:47
Lew
There could be some Brownlow sort of stuff there as well, maybe.
00:30:51
Jon Harmey
but I should tell I also brought in Dangerfield off the waiver wires in my draft comp. Yeah, all right. I reckon that that's what it is, though, Lou. Baz, I'm going to 135, conservatively.
00:31:06
Lew
Ooh, okay. Yep, conservative.
00:31:07
Jon Harmey
um Jezza, he'll be up there, too. He'll be 120. And Manor, I nah, he'll be 100, if that. So there you go. There's my prediction.
00:31:18
Lew
So is Jezza, if we assume that he goes 120, is it enough?
00:31:19
Holmesy
Okay.
00:31:22
Lew
Holmesy, you're at the top end. and What are you sort of looking to bring in this week? i mean, you're not going to turn your nose up at 120, but is that the ballpark you want to shop in?
00:31:34
Jon Harmey
He's trading out...
00:31:34
Holmesy
Oh, mate, one...
00:31:34
Jon Harmey
Oh, I'll answer that. He's trading out Baz and he's going to trade out Nick Dacos. Who else are you looking at?
00:31:45
Holmesy
Well, to be fair, to be hit harmy, you've...
00:31:46
Lew
Well, I suppose the big thing is you' you're trading out forwards, aren't you? So...
00:31:50
Holmesy
Harmi, you've put that out in the universe, but there is nothing to say that come Saturday afternoon, Baz isn't a laid out because he's up in Sydney with his girlfriend that you know we're all just finding out about an hour before the game or something like that.
00:31:56
Jon Harmey
yeah
00:32:02
Holmesy
But I suppose the question would be, are there any players here that we're sort of not comfortable fading, but is there a world where you fade any of these players knowing what they're going into against Richmond or you know do you just have to go there?
00:32:20
Lew
Gee, after last week, young young Richmond team, mean, they've obviously given up. They probably gave up a little while ago, but as you get right to the end, it becomes very tough. You've got young bodies, sore bodies.
00:32:35
Lew
ah people worrying about their futures. I don't think they're as focused as a group as what they could be and what they probably were towards the beginning of the season, even when they were giving up large scores. So for me personally, I'm not overthinking this. I think the most obvious answer is generally you know the right one. And I think targeting Geelong players this week is going to be a massive play.
00:32:59
Jon Harmey
Yeah, don't know.
00:32:59
Holmesy
Yeah, yeah, it's, yeah. I suppose if you can't if you can't get to all of them, so say you need a pick between ah a Jeremy Cameron and a Manor Lu, who are you settling on?
00:33:16
Lew
I reckon Jezza would be way more fun, even if he had a bit of a poorer game. I think you can you can write that one off as you tried sort of thing, personally.
00:33:27
Holmesy
How did how did he have...
00:33:27
Lew
I reckon he's hungry. he how How many times has Jeremy Cameron been held goalless in his career?
00:33:32
Holmesy
Mate, he only had one stat for the second half, and that was a kick on the siren that registered a behind.
00:33:39
Lew
He'll be feeling it, mate.
00:33:39
Holmesy
um
00:33:40
Lew
He's going to come out breathing fire.
00:33:42
Holmesy
Yeah, yeah. And those yeah those Richmond defenders are going to be deers in headlights.
00:33:48
Jon Harmey
Well, he needs about 20 goals, doesn't he, to crack the tonne? So is that a chance?
00:33:53
Lew
Yeah, but ah i think I think there's a greater picture in place.
00:33:53
Holmesy
He's got time. He's got finals.
00:33:53
Jon Harmey
Yeah.
00:33:56
Lew
Yeah, it's the finals where he can get it done, so...
00:33:59
Holmesy
Yeah. I suppose just before we move on, the one thing to monitor in this game is that Geelong, yeah, big picture, you know, they were they're going to win big, but their their main goal is making sure everyone is rested and and good to go for that round one, that final first finals game. So just be careful. You know, Baz VC is a very good option, but...
00:34:21
Holmesy
you You just never know with in-game management and things like that. We've seen Baz have massive halves and then fade out because he rests big portions in the second half or or goes forward or whatever. So,
00:34:31
Holmesy
low
00:34:32
Lew
Yeah, Holmes, I won't be surprised if we get a shot of the Cats bench with about 10 minutes to go in the last quarter.
00:34:39
Jon Harmey
Yeah. Yep.
00:34:40
Lew
And it's got Bailey Smith, Max Holmes, Patrick Dangerfield and Tom Stewart or Jeremy Cameron, um a mix of those five sort of players.
00:34:43
Jon Harmey
tip
00:34:48
Lew
I think, yeah, that's that's a familiar sight, to be honest, even this season. So, yeah, it's definitely within the realms of possibility.
00:34:55
Holmesy
Yep, and that's ah that's why the allure of a Sean Manor is is good because he's he's as hungry as anyone um and he's he's young in the scheme of things and and fit and ready to go. So, yep, good target.
00:35:09
Holmesy
The last game on the Saturday night is the Eagles versus Sydney game and this has all the hallmarks of an absolute fantasy blockbuster. It's going to be a pretty crap game, I would have thought, but we've seen these dead rubber games in the past just produce some absolute monster scores.
00:35:25
Holmesy
Grundy more than likely comes in. I'm not sure you'd waste a trade going one of those other rucks that we've got either in English, Marshall, Gorn, up to to Grundy. But if you do have a a Meek or a Cameron or someone like that still floating around, absolutely Grundy could be ah a pretty cool pod to finish knowing that no one else in the comp has him.
00:35:46
Holmesy
But Lou, Errol Goulden. um hasn't been the error we know and love, but has did get attention on the weekend and and comes up against the Eagles. Is this the type of ceiling that players or coaches should be hunting as a bit of a differentiator to finish the year?
00:36:02
Lew
Yeah, I think so. I ah know that the form hasn't been fantastic, but this is an easy kill, as you said. And the same things sort of apply to West Coast as they did Richmond. As I said earlier, that it is a young side and there they are a bit cooked at this stage. So I'm expecting some a blowout result, but some blowout fantasy scoring. And I think...
00:36:22
Lew
Gordon off the back of some some just some okay form. He's going at 100 over his last three. ah can see him filling up on this one and you know setting Swans fans' sights a little bit higher for 2026 and hopefully back to finals for him.
00:36:37
Holmesy
Yeah, this is the type of game that, you know, we're all we've all got him penciled in to start next year and he comes out and has a 150 and all of a sudden that high 90s average goes from there to 103, 104 and all of a sudden he's not as much value to to finish off or to start the year next year. But,
00:36:54
Holmesy
Yeah, Errol, I think, is a fantastic pick this week. And if he puts up a monster, then he's going to pay those coaches back that jumped on him throughout the last few rounds. I'm not sure there's too much else here you want to target.
00:37:06
Holmesy
I mean, you know, Tom McCarthy, who?
00:37:07
Lew
Haney's the one, isn't he?
00:37:10
Lew
Haney.
00:37:11
Holmesy
Oh, yeah, far out. Sorry, Heaney. Yeah, you are you're right, Lou. He was flying on the weekend. He had 34 in the first sort of 10 minutes and then but O'Connor went and absolutely clamped him. And so he's he's cheaper than what he but he should really be. He could have one of those games. I'm not sure there's anyone that can go with him. However...
00:37:32
Holmesy
You know, does a Ruben Jimby go to him if he goes into into into the forward line? I think yes. and And we've seen Jimby do some okay jobs at times on those type of players. But through the midfield, you know, Hoff's not going to be able to go with him. Tim Kelly's washed. Do you still have Tim Kelly, Harmy?
00:37:48
Jon Harmey
Yeah. Yeah, my forward line. Very good player.
00:37:51
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:37:53
Lew
the The absolute grin that I've just seen from Holmesie after...
00:37:53
Holmesy
He'd been good. club
00:37:57
Jon Harmey
yep
00:38:00
Jon Harmey
Oh, dear. Nah, he's my still sitting on the bench.
00:38:01
Holmesy
he'd been He'd been good, to be fair. 90
00:38:03
Lew
Was that good news, was it?
00:38:06
Holmesy
and 100 in the previous weeks, but yeah, he wasn't very good against the doggies on the weekend, was he, Harmy? No doubt when you would have put him back on your field.
00:38:16
Holmesy
ah Tom McCarthy, he he's got a midfield and kick-out role. I don't think you trade him out anymore. I think you just have him there on the bench as a bit of a loop option if things go wrong throughout the weekend. He's e he's been fine, and and Sydney have actually been giving up some points to defenders at times, so I'm pretty sure you hold on to him.
00:38:35
Holmesy
Let's move into the Sunday games. Now, this one here, GWS and St Kilda, I think is... could be on par with the Geelong-Richmond game, if you're brave enough, in terms of some of the GWS defenders and chipping the ball around against this St Kilda team. So Saints have gone back to that team that are giving up huge amounts of points to defenders over the last couple of rounds.
00:39:00
Holmesy
um You know, that game against North Melbourne, you had Caleb Daniel and Colby just kick it around back there for fun. um even on the weekend. who Who did the Saints play? They had Essendon. You had Mason Redmond go 130.
00:39:14
Holmesy
McGrath played midfield, but he was getting back at times 140. So they're back to flooding and just letting teams chip around, Harmy. So Lockie Whitfield, most coaches have, but could you be brave enough to trade into a Lockie Ash this week?
00:39:27
Jon Harmey
Yeah, that's what I was going to say to you. Is this the sign? Sam has been talking this up all season, week in week out. Is this the year that Locky Ash brings you through to the new Hilux?
00:39:43
Holmesy
it i don't I don't know. It it could be. ah You kind of get the feeling that, you know, GWS have changed up their game style a little bit recently, like Finn Callaghan playing through the middle, just getting the ball and going.
00:39:54
Holmesy
um There's been a clear shift. Whitfield hasn't gone as big recently and and Lockie Ash has had the two, one stinker and then the game last week with only four marks. Maybe there's directive to go a bit further, you know, forward a bit faster, Harmy, but yeah, it's it's definitely a consideration.
00:40:10
Jon Harmey
look I think the 19 minutes or whatever he spent on the bench in that last quarter, not last week, the week before, is indicating that he's probably not 100% and he may not be the one for you.
00:40:24
Holmesy
Yeah, I i think Finn Callaghan's been a good option over the last two weeks, but I'd be staggered if, you know, a Windhager a Garcia didn't pay more attention at stoppage. And clearly he's going to be still dominant around the ground with his speed, but it could be more of a Finn Callaghan sort of 25 to 30-ish possessions with a a lot of handballs and moving the game forward. So, but yeah, he's been unreal and and definitely one to watch moving forward next year.
00:40:50
Holmesy
um Saints boys, Louis McRae has to go or has to be benched. 55% time on ground on the weekend for a 66. They've moved past him. Jack Steele scored okay on the weekend, but you can't trade into him with any confidence, I suppose.
00:41:06
Holmesy
Are we nervous at all about Nassaya and Sinclair? Nassaya probably no, but ah Sinclair, does he get a ah Bedford attention in the forward line? And they're a pretty tough matchup for defenders as it is. Is there a way there to kind of differentiate?
00:41:21
Lew
Potentially with Sinclair, I wouldn't have the balls to do it with Wanganeen Millera, but personally, i do think if they're going to send anybody attention, it's going to be Wanganeen Millera. He's their best player by an absolute mile, and Giants are right on the precipice of the top eight at the moment. They can't afford to to have something go wrong here, and a good place to start will be stopping their best player. So I'm expecting...
00:41:50
Lew
Probably a bit of Wanganee Miller attention over Sinclair, but not enough for me to um to want to take that on with just the form that he's been in across essentially the whole season, really.
00:42:01
Holmesy
Yep. Yeah, fair enough. Late in the round two. So it's not like you can um loop him and have a look. You're going to have to straight bench him if someone goes well from the bench and that can that can backfire.
00:42:12
Holmesy
Let's go through the last two games quickly. We have Frio and Bulldogs. Harmi, Luke Jackson, he lost a bit of the midfield role on the weekend, was predominantly forward in the last quarter.
00:42:25
Holmesy
Do you think that's something that'll happen moving forward if Young and Fife come into the side properly? Or do you think that because the game was gone, they were just throwing a Hail Mary and and putting Jackson forward late to try and snag a few...
00:42:37
Jon Harmey
Oh, yeah, just mixing it up because they going so crap, I'd say, mate. um But look, ah i really do like really do like the Bulldogs. this This is actually going to be a really good game because you've got two teams that are right on the edge of that top eight, don't you?
00:42:53
Jon Harmey
So I think that, yeah, this should be a really good game. And the Bulldogs need to win. um like and I'm not sure if... At that point in time, well, no, we won't. where we I think Gold Coast should should really get a win against Port. So they'll go to 60, which means that Bulldogs will be sitting in ninth going into that game. So if they get a win, um I think going have some good scores from Bulldogs players in that one.
00:43:22
Holmesy
Yep, yeahp absolutely. which you know Andy Brayshaw, it's been eight weeks now where he hasn't put up any ceilings outside of that Hawthorne game. you know Some coaches have traded him out.
00:43:33
Holmesy
I keep towing the company line, but maybe there's a potential to get a score off the bench and and your your bench Brayshaw knowing that a lot of the comp own him and that could be your leg up. Is there any concern for a Matt Kennedy with Adam Treloar having 40 and 10 clearances in the VFL coming back in and and Kennedy being exclusively played forward? That could be a bit of a floor score there, Lou, or you think just in the forward line you don't bother with it?
00:43:58
Lew
I don't think you bother. I don't think you bother with a Matt Kennedy.
00:44:04
Holmesy
Yep, fair enough. And the last game before we get into the questions, the round is finishing with Brisbane versus Hawthorne at the Gabba and there's only one name I want to float by you, John Harmy.
00:44:16
Holmesy
Are we jumping on the Zorko train in his 300th game against Hawthorne in a must-win game at the Gabba?
00:44:24
Lew
It was all set up to say Neil Holmesy.
00:44:29
Jon Harmey
ah You definitely could. I think, yes. Yes, you can, Holmesy.
00:44:35
Jon Harmey
He gets the rest of the following week anyway, doesn't he? so they'll be just be chipping it around and doing their thing. And um I keep getting... I'm still surprised that Hawthorne is winning. like They don't even look that great. So I expect the Lions to win and win well, but who bloody knows?
00:44:54
Holmesy
Mate, they're not resting Zorko in his 300th. If anything, they're up and east just he's just junking. So, ah yeah, I don't mind that at all. um i was very close to getting him last week. um Couldn't have predicted that they would dominate Freo by as much as they did, but Zorko's a top six defender. We know that. He's just got that foot issue, but his time on ground's back up and and he seems to be going well, Lou.
00:45:18
Lew
No, was just going to say, I'm not sure I want to touch that. We know that he's been injured for a number of weeks now and we've known that he's been a pig for for years now. So him popping some nice scores...
00:45:30
Lew
ah Isn't a surprise, I'm a little bit worried about how that looks in the last game of the round with the top eight, maybe potentially completely set that Zorko spends time on the pine because there's greater things at play than his 300th and four games later he could be winning a flag. So I wouldn't be surprised if they do rest him.
00:45:54
Holmesy
Yeah, I think that game though, I think it, I mean, they they probably have to win to end up top four, I think, um coming down to it. So I think it's a pretty big game for them regardless.
00:46:02
Jon Harmey
They will, yep, they'll have to win.
00:46:03
Holmesy
But yet yeah, you are right, Lou. I suppose one more player before we move on. um If coaches haven't traded into a Josh Dunkley by this point, do you fade him against the Hawthorne matchup or do you think this is set up for him to have a Josh Dunkley-esque game at the Gabba to finish off the fantasy season?
00:46:24
Lew
whoa how contested do we think it's going to be this game yeah if it's if it's top four on the line which i didn't realize it was then potentially dunkley does get heavily involved with the tackles which you know a score will in turn follow harmy you're thinking similar
00:46:28
Jon Harmey
Very.
00:46:45
Jon Harmey
Hard to tell. I'm not sure. I'm not sure what his ceiling will be. i don't think it'll be huge, but yeah, I'm not sure.
00:46:54
Lew
Dunkley is tricky because it feels like his scoring is very dependent on the context of the game that he's playing. And he does sort of make up for a really nice average come the end of the year. But there's a few open matchups where you can point to him and say he'll only get his 90 floor.
00:47:11
Lew
um And then there's other games you can sort of bank on him to go 120 with the Huggs.
00:47:17
Jon Harmey
But he just sits on John Newcombe, doesn't he? That's what his role is going to be, um keeping Newcombe away from the ball, and he should match up well with his size and that Newcombe's not ah super quick. I think that that's probably what his role in the night is going to be.
00:47:35
Holmesy
Yeah, unless he goes head-to-head with Nash. Both Bulls just go at it. But you'd think Nash probably goes to McCluggage and and he sits on Newcomb, you would have thought. Over the last five rounds, Hawthorne be the toughest matchup for inside mids.
00:47:49
Holmesy
But we know Dunkley is kind of matchup proof where he kind of, not proof, but he goes better in some of the tougher matchups when it's contested. So yeah, maybe a fade to finish. But um yeah, he's been he's been unreal for the better part of six or seven weeks now.
00:48:03
Holmesy
right, boys, we don't have many questions today, so let's fire through these. Super important. The pod pod doesn't work without the listeners, and clearly the listeners that are still sending in the questions are our diehard, so let's give them some good advice to finish.
00:48:18
Holmesy
Louis, first one is from Ben Regan, and he's one of the coaches I was talking about just outside the 100. I think he's sitting 103 at the moment, so um he was in the 100 pretty much the whole year until he copped that Whitfield break.
00:48:30
Holmesy
um either captain or just the with the Whitfield score. So um yeah, really want him to get back inside the 100. So he says, good day team. Is it best to match those around me by getting Darcy to Dunkley with a rookie upgrade on the other side?
00:48:44
Holmesy
Or do I move McKercher to Butters and then Darcy to Warner for matchups? Ranked at 103. Appreciate all the advice this year and good luck, Holmesy. Thanks, mate.
00:48:53
Lew
So that that's Sam Darcy, I assume, with a bit of DPP.
00:48:56
Holmesy
Yep.
00:48:58
Lew
Yeah, the the first one probably jumps out to me the most. I think that Dunkley has the highest ceiling there. I'm not sure what to expect from Butters. It could exceed expectation, but I could also see Port still shitting the bed and that being quite a disappointing pick.
00:49:17
Lew
I don't think Darcy to Warner is necessarily an upgrade on the other end, um depending on how that game unfolds. So on the surface level, I think Darcy to Dunkley is the most reliable upgrade there.
00:49:30
Lew
I'm keen to hear your thoughts, though, Holmesy. As a fellow 103er,
00:49:38
Holmesy
Yeah, look, I mean, Darcy's been pretty underwhelming, right? 60 against the Eagles on the weekend, and he was on 28 very early in that game off the back of two goals and then faded out, and that was off the back of the 70 the week before against Melbourne. So...
00:49:53
Holmesy
Oh, it's tough. I think you are right, though. I think the trade of Darcy to Warner, you're kind of just flipping a coin, aren't you? Where you're not really sure who's going to score more in that scenario, but the upgrade to get Dunkley, I think, is is a solid upgrade as well.
00:50:09
Holmesy
I suppose with Butters, like McKercha to Butters as well, you've got to lock that in. So if you're trying to play the loop game, your trades are going to be locked in quite early and and you might find yourself in a bit of a hole. So...
00:50:20
Holmesy
ah Ben, we'll chat throughout the week. um I think the first upgrade option is the better one here, but I don't mind you thinking of of trying to go aggressive here as well because Darcy is still quite highly owned and and he has the has the potential to put up that 50 or 60 that would you.
00:50:36
Jon Harmey
I think that Dunkley is the best player out of all those listed and that that's what he should be aiming for.
00:50:42
Lew
Yeah, I think Bud only going big if it's a very contested game, but I don't think Gold Coast going to want Port to control the footy here, which may um stop a little bit of ceiling. and
00:50:54
Holmesy
All right, Harmi, this one's from moe Can get Amon to Rao, Dunkley or Zerrett or with cash available, he takes Amon to Zorko and then McCarthy to Jai Simpkin as a 23rd forward primo to loop with McRae.
00:51:09
Holmesy
Jai is the last round specialist, has averaged 120 in the last couple of years. What do you think here?
00:51:15
Jon Harmey
No, I don't love Josh Simpkin. I think that Amon to Ria Dunkley or Zerrett is the way to go. Wait and see Zerrett's named first, but um all three of those players are good options, in my opinion.
00:51:29
Lew
Shout out for the research, though. the The average score in the last round of footy across a number of years is ah is a pretty good effort.
00:51:38
Jon Harmey
Hmm.
00:51:38
Holmesy
Yeah, well, what he do what did he do? he had the I'm pretty sure he went massive in the game against Gold Coast that they won, which cost them Harley Reid. And then I know he had a 120 last year because he was on my bench that I couldn't take. And then Heaney was a laid out and Simpkin came on. So, yeah, look...
00:51:55
Holmesy
They're playing Adelaide. I wouldn't wouldn't guarantee that Simpkins is going to outscore McCarthy this week. So I don't think that's necessarily an upgrade. So I just think you get Amon up to the best available player that you think has the best matchup.
00:52:09
Holmesy
Louis, would you go Rau, Dunkley or Zerrett in this example?
00:52:15
Lew
I'd go Rao.
00:52:18
Holmesy
Yeah, you think he feasts against Port Adelaide after...
00:52:20
Holmesy
ah
00:52:20
Lew
I think he feasts against Port.
00:52:22
Lew
um And I think there's just so much on the line. I'm not sure that Port's got... I don't think Port are going to deploy a tagger. and I think Rao can get off the chain. And if they did deploy a tagger, I think it's going to go straight to Norah Anderson.
00:52:36
Holmesy
Yeah. ah Weirdly enough, I think Zeret has the highest ceiling there. But like I said, I'm not willing to trade into that blind on on Thursday night, lock out those trades and and potentially be stuck. And yeah, we don't know what his hand's like, so that's risky. And I think Dunkley's probably got the the highest floor out of those guys, which is weird to say because Rouse just only lost the ton run for 11 games straight and that was within 86.
00:53:01
Holmesy
Yeah, I think you're right. I think you have some fun with Matt Rau and see what he can do Louis, staying with you, this one's from Dave. He needs a play to make up 10 spots to get in the 100. So another one just outside.
00:53:16
Holmesy
He could get anyone under 870K from McCarthy, but kind of leaning to keep him as a loop, which I really like. Or target an F7 to loop and try to make up points there.
00:53:26
Holmesy
So... Do you like the idea of targeting an F7 to try and loop and make up points there first?
00:53:34
Lew
Oh, it's it's tough without seeing the forward line and who he doesn't own. um We don't have any clues on that, do we?
00:53:41
Holmesy
I'll try and get his team up, but it's going to be interesting. Is he sitting at 109 or is he sitting at 110? t Would you read that as 10 spots to get into 100th place or 10 spots to get into 99?
00:53:51
Lew
Oh, 110, I guess.
00:53:51
Holmesy
99. ninety nine
00:53:52
Lew
You still get hat for the 100, don't you?
00:53:54
Holmesy
Hat for 100. You do get a hat for 100, don't you? All right, let's let's bring this up. um
00:54:00
Lew
We'll give him the ah the proper pod-pod treatment.
00:54:01
Holmesy
Where are we?
00:54:03
Lew
But in terms of players under 870k, if he wasn't going to go that forward loop, it's probably a little bit grim just in terms of the players that are in form.
00:54:15
Lew
Maybe I'd be looking at a couple of those matchups that we mentioned earlier. I'm not sure what Jeremy Cameron comes in, but that could be a shout there. But then again, that could be your forward loop too.
00:54:27
Holmesy
So the team sitting at 110 is Dan's team, not Dave, but let' we'll just go 110 anyway. Let's have a look. This will be funny. um Forward line, Bailey Smith, Sean Manor, Jeremy Cameron, Matthew Kennedy, Jack McRae and Christian Petrarca. So he's already loaded up with those options. I suppose McRae's the interesting one.
00:54:52
Holmesy
you got You got to trade out to try and... minimise that McRae damage right against GWS.
00:54:59
Lew
Yeah, yeah, I think so. Look, personally, if the if the midfield is intact, I think maybe I'd be looking at that seventh forward loop.
00:55:11
Lew
What do you think, Harmi?
00:55:11
Holmesy
Actually this, yeah, sorry, you go, Hummy.
00:55:15
Jon Harmey
I reckon he is the guy in 112 and he has McKircher in his midfield. So I reckon getting McKircher up to a better primo mid might be a good idea.
00:55:22
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:55:27
Lew
Midfielder.
00:55:30
Holmesy
Yeah. He can't be the guy in 110 because he says his follow-up question is he can get anyone in but Rao. And that team at 110 has Rao. So this is this is great stuff from the pod pod here.
00:55:42
Jon Harmey
Yeah, I think it's Colby.
00:55:42
Holmesy
Forward line of Myers.
00:55:43
Jon Harmey
think it's Colby up to the best mid you can get.
00:55:46
Lew
Yeah, I've got to agree with that, yeah.
00:55:49
Holmesy
yeah Yeah, I think that's the that's the play. I think we love Colby. I regret trading him out, but you'd be nervous against Adelaide this week, and he's the one that you could see potentially have ah a 70-ish score against Adelaide, who's tough as it is. And if he puts up a good score, you say, well done. You say the process was right, and and you move on knowing that you had a crack. um Harmi, this one's from Tyler Finlay. We didn't speak about him, but Sam Walsh, is it worth a swing for the fences?
00:56:19
Jon Harmey
Jeez, it would be a bloody swing, wouldn't it? I mean, actually, I didn't see... No, I didn't see that game, don't think. He was named on the wing. Did he just play on the wing?
00:56:31
Jon Harmey
Lou, did you see any of that?
00:56:31
Holmesy
ah He winged through the middle, but it was a very Sam Walsh game.
00:56:32
Jon Harmey
Port? don't think so. No.
00:56:35
Holmesy
he got He got managed heavily in the last. I think he had about 26 touches, but not many marks and not many tackles.
00:56:38
Jon Harmey
No.
00:56:41
Holmesy
It was pretty bruise-free, so...
00:56:44
Jon Harmey
Yeah, it's 76 points and he'll be managed through again, so don't even bother. I just don't.
00:56:50
Holmesy
Yeah, these swinging from the fence options, we want ceiling um and everything points to Sam Walsh being managed. And if he does have a ceiling, then yeah, I'd say that the the the likelihood of that is and isn't high. So if he does, you just say, well done. But yeah, I wouldn't be backing it in.
00:57:09
Holmesy
Lou, this one's from Bontsville Wizard. Hey, lads. Great to see you still moving up. Holmes into fifth, mate. Fantastic job. Just wanted your thoughts on Petrarca to Myers or should he go Rosie to Ash or Noah Anderson? Thanks, lads, for all your great advice.
00:57:26
Jon Harmey
First one.
00:57:27
Lew
Gee, I think I'd be going track to Myers here. It feels like track is dished up between 70 and 90 for the best part of, you know, three months. Whereas, you know, Rosie in the final game, as we've discussed already with Boak and Hinckley,
00:57:43
Lew
is probably going to be okay. I think he could um could try to turn one on there. And I'm not entirely sold on Ash at the moment.
00:57:55
Lew
ah Nando could be big, could be a little bit of a tension there if he gets off the chain. Look, oh... I feel like Myers with the Richmond matchup is the is the guy.
00:58:06
Lew
ah he He could drop a 130 there, whereas on the other end, I just don't see track um getting near that. And that could be an extra 50 points in your team this week.
00:58:16
Holmesy
Yeah, yeah i think you're right. I mean, oh not all year, but for the last sort of 10 weeks, we've been saying don't trade in the forward line because that sort of F6 to F10 is all up and down. And sometimes they're up, sometimes they're down. But I think if you're trading Petrarca to one of those Geelong boys this week in that matchup, um I think you're you're probably going to come out better on the other side.
00:58:38
Holmesy
Petrarca, if there's a way to loop, then maybe look at that. But yeah, I think in that in that particular option, Petrarca up to Myers, I think is probably the the avenue that I'd be looking at as much as Rosie killed us last week.
00:58:53
Holmesy
um I just ah just think, yeah, the Ken Hinkley final game captain, I think he's going to be up for it. And I don't think we're going to see another 60 score like we did last week. And the last one, not really a question, but from Hawker, thanks for all the content this season. Another ripper season in brackets.
00:59:10
Holmesy
Well, not by me. Hawker, thanks for thanks for listening, mate. Really appreciate it. And yeah, finish strong. Finish strong. That's going to wrap us up, lads. Lou, can you just give the listeners one final closing thought before we enter round 24 and the final round of the season and our last pod for the year?
00:59:29
Lew
Good luck to all the listeners. As I said at the top of the pod, don't be afraid to just have a crack because it's much worse ending the season with a what if rather than a you know, I gave it a crack. So my best advice would be just to keep your options open, but, you know, don't don't be afraid just to take a risk.
00:59:53
Jon Harmey
And Holmesy,
00:59:53
Holmesy
Thanks, Lou. Hang on, Harmy. you could have You could have just said that to me privately off the podcast, lou you didn't have to You didn't have to put me up in lights in front of the listeners there without taking a risk in the what-ifs.
01:00:03
Lew
ah no No, no stress, Holmesy. We'll give the real fantasy advice to you after the show.
01:00:12
Holmesy
Harmy?
01:00:13
Jon Harmey
ah look And I just wanted to say all the best to all of the coaches out there and all of those in the top 10. I just want to reveal that Holmesy has let us know his targets and they are Lockie Neal in the midfield and Isaac Rankin in the forward line. So bringing those two pods and all the best.
01:00:31
Lew
Just bring in both nails. Neither are playing, but bring them in.
01:00:36
Holmesy
i In all seriousness, good luck to all the coaches out there that are in the 100 or just on the edge, just trying to crack in. um Hopefully you can make it all happen and and get that hat. it's It's been an unreal season from you regardless. So fingers crossed you can finish strong, um just hopefully not as strong as my team this week, but we'll see how we go.
01:00:54
Holmesy
um As always, make sure you're following us on X at PodPod AFL. Make sure you're subscribed. All that jazz. um We'll be back next week for the final review podcast of the year where you know we we'll go through our seasons and and really review before we wrap up. But enjoy, have a good round, and we'll talk then.
01:01:13
Holmesy
Bye.