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Week 11 NFL Main Slate Picks: The Main Menu
135 Plays11 months ago
Step into The DFS Deli, your premier destination for all things Daily Fantasy Sports! This week, we're dishing out a delectable spread of the finest NFL Week 11 GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) plays at every position on the main slate. Join our expert hosts as they dissect matchups, crunch the numbers, and serve up the tastiest picks to help you construct a winning lineup.
From quarterbacks with the juiciest matchups to running backs poised for a breakout, and wide receivers ready to light up the scoreboard, we've got your main slate GPP strategy covered. And let's not forget the tight ends who could be the secret ingredient to your fantasy success.
Whether you're a DFS veteran or a rookie hungry for victory, The DFS Deli has the insights and analysis you need to gain a competitive edge in Week 11. Subscribe now to ensure you don't miss out on the freshest GPP plays that could lead you to DFS glory.
Get ready to feast on fantasy football knowledge at The DFS Deli - where winning lineups are always on the menu! Subscribe and tune in for your weekly serving of expert DFS advice.
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Transcript
Introduction and Week 11 Overview
00:00:01
Speaker
Week 11 is upon us. And as we found out this morning on a Wednesday, we have a lot of QB news to shift through. So go on, pull up a chair, grab your favorite adult beverage. And if you're not the type that drinks, grab a cup of water and come on into the deli. It's week 11. Let's go.
DFS Deli Podcast: An Introduction
00:00:37
Speaker
And welcome in to the DFS deli. I'm the proprietor of this deli contest in Salih Ali Shahid. And it is a late Wednesday night as we take a look at the first look on the week 11 slate, the only podcast that shoots you the most accurate, the most defining first look of the main slate. Of course, I'm joined tonight by my main man, Chill. Chill, welcome to week 11. How's everything going tonight?
Building Lineups: Challenges and Strategies
00:01:04
Speaker
I mean, it's going pretty good. Can't really complain. Um, you know, it's taking a look at this slate here. It's, uh, it's another intriguing slate and, uh, you know, we'll go, you know, like you said, position by position and, uh, get ready to dive on it. Yeah. It's going to be a fun one. I mean, there's a lot to sift through. Uh, last week was kind of gross, but this week,
00:01:25
Speaker
not so much a lot of high team totals, uh, three games over or four games, excuse me, over a 45 total. So he got a lot to choose from. But if you want those higher price skill position players, as we kind of discussed earlier in the day via text a little bit, it is tough. I mean, tough to build some lineups. And that's why
00:01:43
Speaker
this point of the season, a lot of people drop off because building lineups is, is harder now. I mean, you got the Thanksgiving slate coming up, basketball's in full swing. I mean, either in your, in your yearly leagues, either you suck or you're going to try and cruise into the playoffs. A couple more sweats here and there, but you know, we're getting a little, little lag time and the amount of players that are playing DFS. But if you're still with us, we're going to, we're going to break down the plays to kind of
Reflecting on Last Week's DFS Mistakes
00:02:10
Speaker
I'm gonna show you how to how we're gonna break down the slate this week. So last week was a disaster chill. I think and my boy Darius kind of called me out about it because I played a lot of chalk and that is not me. He was like that don't even sound like you. I'm like, you know what? You're right. You're absolutely right. I am not a chalk donkey. I'd rather go down with the ship of contrarianism.
00:02:34
Speaker
or sell all the way to the top. And last week me playing Tony in Pollard when literally the pivot was right there and playing Dakota Prescott. And I didn't do it. A lot of us didn't do it. I mean, it, I got off the Cowboys defense. Like we, you and I discussed on Saturday night to go to the Ravens. That was looking like a sexy play until the Brown started like scoring, which was weird, but Hey, they still got there though. They did get there.
00:03:04
Speaker
And the Cowboys defense didn't help anybody with that solid eight points. I mean, again, we talked about it still. It was like, was timing the veto going to put themselves in a game environment that warranted a lot of passing and causing sacks and interceptions and defensive touchdowns. Cause that's what you really want anyway, but that didn't happen. Everything came from Dak Prescott and they got the, and they got the garbage touchdown.
00:03:28
Speaker
And they get, they sure did just to break it up, break up the points even more. So, but yeah, I mean, I think they're, I think because the slate this week is a little more wide open that we have a lot of pivot plays to go through. So, I mean, I think this will be a fun GPP bro type of slate. And that kind of, that kind of fits my style. You know what I mean? So we're going to break it down position by position. Like we always do here at the DFS deli. If you haven't already, make sure you hit that like subscribe button.
00:03:56
Speaker
And let's get into it.
Impact of Deshaun Watson's Season Ending
00:03:58
Speaker
Let's talk about the big news of the day chill. Well, big to us because we live in Cleveland, I guess. So, I mean, I guess we got to kind of talk about it because it opens up another play on the slate if you want to consider it. Deshaun Watson out for the year with some kind of shoulder thing, whatever. He gone. So, what is that? I don't know if it affects the slate that much because Lord knows we probably weren't touching this game anyway.
00:04:25
Speaker
right? I mean, I don't know how you felt about it, but I wouldn't consider into Sean Watson. Were you? No, no, no, not at all. Truthfully. But now will people consider $4,500 DTR on this slate? I don't, I don't think so. I think Pittsburgh's defense becomes the chalk now. You think so? You think you think they'll play the Steelers defense over the Jets defense? Yeah.
00:04:55
Speaker
OK, I think I mean, I get both. I get both sides of the coin there. But again, like Pittsburgh's defense going up against, you know, DTR here, we saw what you did in the first game. Obviously, that's a little bit more of a unique circumstance because he was essentially rushed in there. But, you know, what do you how do you think the game scripts
Browns vs. Steelers Game Analysis
00:05:20
Speaker
going to go? I mean, because the thing is, is like
00:05:22
Speaker
For as much credit as the Browns defense gets, they're still like 24th or 25th. They allow like 24 to 25 points per game defensively. So for as good as they are, people still score points on them. I mean, Baltimore did it last week, although they had a defensive touchdown, but it does go against your defense. I get it. But he didn't look good.
00:05:52
Speaker
It's Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is going to take away the run. You figure they're going to force them to pass. Pittsburgh's defense here makes makes a lot of sense.
00:06:04
Speaker
I mean, I understand that, but at the same time, I mean, we saw kind of what Pittsburgh wants to do. And we saw it last week against Green Bay. They're going to drain the clock and try to run it down your throat as well on offense. And as you know, this offense doesn't do anything until like the fourth quarter, if they have to. Well, they had like 14 points in the first half last week. You're right. It was turning into a shootout. Absolutely ridiculous. But did you see that this total is the second lowest total in the last decade?
00:06:34
Speaker
What's it at now? 34. I believe it. I don't know the final line because everything got pulled. But as soon as it, as soon as it went back up, I saw, I think I saw 34. I can triple check that here in a little bit, but I don't think I want anything to do with this game because if I noticed the fansky, he's not going to let DCR pass.
00:06:55
Speaker
I get it. I like two yards. I get it. But like at the same time, I could see this game ending up 17 to 10, but like maybe either way, but like the defense has both touched out. Like that could happen.
00:07:14
Speaker
I agree. I agree. I just I think I just think there's the total stay away from me. But I agree in terms of the game environment. Me personally, I'm not playing DTR for the contest I play in. I don't think you need to be that thin. I'd rather I would rather pay seven hundred or six hundred dollar more for Will Levis. We're going to really are third. Did you let us down last week? Oh, it was a huge letdown.
00:07:45
Speaker
That was rough. But anywho, let's talk about good quarterbacks.
Quarterbacks for DFS: Who to Pick?
00:07:51
Speaker
in pretty good match-ups. But I mean, if you want to talk about decent quarterbacks there, there's some expensive ones. And then there's a couple on the cheaper end that I'm kind of shocked that DraftKings and FanDuel alike haven't really altered their prices compared to not necessarily their upside, but their recent production, right? So Dak, we saw Shadow this late last week, gets Carolina on the road. CJ Stroud, who is a walking 350 and 2,
00:08:18
Speaker
minimum baseline 350 and two, you better put some respect on that man's name. You better go 350 and three. Hey, listen, he only had two last week, one to the ground, one in the air. Okay. So I've just got a little recent performance. All right. So I respect CJ shroud. I mean, when we were talking about a rookie, that's in the MVP conversation. Hey, I got some, I put some respect on the man's name. If they, if they had an, I think if they had another win or two,
00:08:44
Speaker
Like if they had, if they were like seven and two or whatever the case may be, like he would definitely be the MVP. They needed, they needed that Carolina game. They shouldn't have dropped that Carolina game. Yeah. That's, that's, that's what it really is. Yeah. Cause if you're at six and three, I would definitely put them in the MVP. I mean, honestly, I think the, uh, I think the MVP of the league right now is a defensive player.
00:09:08
Speaker
I could get behind that because all the quarterbacks keep like fluctuating in between one another. And there's no way I'm not a Browns truther or fan, but I think the MVP right now is miles Garrett. I think, uh, Mr. Watt is going to have something to say about that after Sunday. I listen, it's top two, three top, top three defensive players battling the now or top four, at least depending on how you want to rank them with Bosa and Micah Parsons.
00:09:37
Speaker
Yeah, yeah, absolutely. But like, I think Miles Garrett, like that dude is consistent, shows up every week. He's a force every week, every game, he's getting sacks, fumbles.
00:09:49
Speaker
I mean, I get it. I get it. But I mean, we'll see what it boils down to. But anyway, we got to talk about the quarterback's who probably that is their award anyway. I mean, quarterback's going to win, but it's still, um, you know, again, I mentioned, he's a shout on the other side of the ball.
Is Josh Allen a DFS Wildcard?
00:10:02
Speaker
You have Kyler Murray who came off. I mean, a decent performance. He just show he still got it with his legs, um, going into Houston here.
00:10:10
Speaker
high team total. I mean, I, I like the game environment for the way both of them set up. I mean, indoors should be back and forth. Um, and there's obviously chalkier pieces that Kyler have this week. Um, you got a ride receiver on the cheap end to go with them as well. So I mean, Kyler is going to peak a lot of people's interest this week. And then Jared Goff at home also sees the return of Justin Fields on the other side of the ball. And for some reason, at least on draft Kings, they don't move Brock Purdy's price like at all.
00:10:40
Speaker
I mean, was 303 not good enough for you last week to bump them up a couple hundred? I mean, and Tampa who's turned into lay pass funnel.
00:10:50
Speaker
we thought Will Leves was going to take advantage of this past funnel, but apparently he ain't there yet. But if anybody can do it, you know, Brock Purdy can probably do it because they formed, they formed Voltron all over again with the return of Deebo Samuel. So there's a lot of different options this week. And then at the top, you know, most of the sense of quarterback on a slate, James Winston.
00:11:12
Speaker
I mean, Josh Allen, excuse me, my bad, kind of confused the two. That Monday night game had to just be a dagger in your soul. Listen, man, I didn't want to go to work. I didn't want to talk to nobody. Like my buddy looked at me, he's like, how about I was like, you set your fucking mouth right now, dude. I'll punch you. As the resident Dolphins fan, like I'd even say a word. I'm like, damn, what's up Broncos?
00:11:38
Speaker
Yeah, man. So somebody was I was liable to fight somebody. Yeah, because you know, one of my friends hit me with a you okay text and I just didn't respond. I was not okay. I mean, I don't get why they fired Dorsey. It's not Dorsey's fault that they had 12 defensive people on the field.
00:11:57
Speaker
Someone had to be a scapegoat. So I guess it'd be Ken Dorsey. I don't know. You got one of the top offense in the league, you know, based statistically and you fire off its coordinator. I mean, it is what it is. Maybe, maybe it's, I don't know, man. There's something going on in that office. That team's window closed when they lost the game in Kansas city and they've not recovered from it.
00:12:22
Speaker
Like the one guy kind of put it best. He says Josh Allen plays every game like it's that playoff game. And the fact that they don't have a consistent running game, I don't care what anybody says. It hurts their team. I don't care how good of a quarterback you are. If you don't have somewhat of a consistent running game, you're screwed. For as much credit as we want to give Pat Mahomes, Kansas City runs the ball. With whoever they have back there.
00:12:50
Speaker
I mean, they had over a hundred yards rushing, you know what I'm saying? Like our James Cook did at least, but it's like, you can't have the first time you showed up when, cause I actually knew how to use them. Well, I mean, technically half of that came on, you know, the last damn drive. I'm trying to give a little credit where credit's due, but the fact of the matter is that Josh Allen goes against one of the top defense in the NFL on Sunday, late hammer.
00:13:20
Speaker
And he's going to be, in my opinion, I haven't seen ownership numbers yet. It is early Wednesday night, but relatively unowned. He's the most expensive quarterback on the slate. He's going against the top flight defense. He does nothing but turn the ball over because that's, that's what he's known for apparently. And, um, you know, I think that if I, when I, when I start building DFS lineups, and if I see Josh on less than 5%, I'll give a damn about the matchup. The dude can break a damn slate.
00:13:48
Speaker
So, uh, he's in the player pool. Believe that. Just because of who he is and what he's capable of. Defense be damned. You know, I don't know what their new offensive coordinator is going to be capable of minus Ken Dorsey, but like they have to do something. I mean, Buffalo as a team has to win out. They can't lose a game and they have one of the toughest schedules in the NFL. They, yes, they do. I know they got to play. I know that to play Dallas. I know that to play Miami. Uh, they got to
00:14:17
Speaker
I don't think they play Kansas City. I could be wrong, but I don't think they do. I don't remember the schedule off hand, but it sucks. No, it's tough. It's tough. No, I kind of agree with you.
00:14:30
Speaker
If Josh Allen's coming in at 5%, there's one lineup with him in it. This just screams the, I'll never forget, when you sat here and preached, play the Saints against the 49ers that one year, you're like, I should just play the Saints. I should just play the Saints. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. I do remember that. I do remember that. And then you didn't play the Saints, and that game shot out. It went berserk. Yeah.
00:14:59
Speaker
Again, both of those defenses are not all that great. The Jets may be able to keep up. But if there's a game, if Josh Allen's rolling, they're going to run up the score. They're going to need to build momentum and all that stuff. So 5% Josh Allen, I'm in. I don't really care. It's a great player in a bad matchup. I'll take it. I don't care, personally.
00:15:26
Speaker
You know, they'll keep, they'll keep digs away from sauce gardener. They'll just put Gabe Davis over there like they usually do. And the first game step digs do a little more for over a hundred and a touchdown. So sauce, got the sauce that game. Um, you know, taking a look here, like you mentioned deck. Um, I mean, after last week, I don't see how you can really go against it. It's going up against the Panthers. Um, it's in Carolina. So if you want to tell me like,
00:15:53
Speaker
The Cowboys on the road tend to not play as well. I mean, it is a cupcake matchup, but that would be my only concern for whatever reason, like they struggle on the road. Um, you know, taking a look here, uh, is such a weird team, right? Like they get, they're the only team really that gave CJ Stroud drama. Right. So weird. Yeah. Um, again, until it, like you said, weird team that,
00:16:20
Speaker
That situation's a little interesting. I mean, you mentioned Kyler Murray and CJ Shroud. Again, a matchup you figure is going to be a little bit up in pace here. Kyler looked pretty good back in his first game.
Sam Howell's DFS Potential
00:16:39
Speaker
Woody overthrew Hollywood Brown for that easy touchdown. Jerk. One quarterback.
00:16:47
Speaker
I think I like this week. And I don't know if people are getting hip to it, but like, I think Sam Hall was afraid, like appropriately priced. You talking about the dude that leaves the league in passing yards. Yeah. I mean, I like that whole offense as a whole. I mean, I think truthfully, if you're building lineups this week, you almost need a commander, right?
00:17:09
Speaker
I just wish the Giants weren't a dumpster fire because remember the Giants ate the commander's soul in that first matchup. But now because of a quarterback change, because Tommy DeVito is inept. I mean, this Giants team is a joke. So they're bad.
00:17:25
Speaker
I kind of, I kind of agree with you to the point where it's like, there's going to be a commander that does something. I just don't know where to go. You'd think like Brian Robinson, we'll get to running backs here in a minute, but like, do you think Brian Robinson is going to be like chalky because of the matchup or? I think because of his price and the matchup. Yeah. Good on Fandal. That's Fandal price sucks ass. Um, again, you know, we'll have to take a look there. Um, I think the most,
00:17:54
Speaker
The most intriguing quarterback on the slate is probably Trevor Lawrence. And listen, this is the time last year where he took off in terms of his stats. But the only thing that concerns me about Lawrence is he's never had a break the slate effort.
00:18:19
Speaker
This is true. This is true. He's more of a floor play. I agree with you. I mean, but like he's going up against Tennessee. If you want to argue for ETN in the next section, I get it. Like I don't think Tennessee's run defense is as good as what it, what it normally is, but like Trevor Lawrence at six K kind of let you kind of plays with some good pieces there. It's an easy bring back from the Tennessee side.
00:18:48
Speaker
You know, you're not guessing, you can play Chig. If you want to play our king, who's at the lowest price I've ever seen him in my life. The king is dead, chill. The king is dead. The king is hurting. And actually, I got a fun bet with you. I got a fun bet. We'll take a, so I'm going to establish my brand. And I feel like the, so you can have DTR and then I will let you take the
00:19:16
Speaker
I'm gonna take the quarterback from my brand. He's on the road this week. He's only $200 more expensive than DTR. He's got initials too.
00:19:32
Speaker
You talking about AOC? Yeah, I'm right. I'm talking about AOC. You want to do DTR in one of the lowest totals in the last decade versus AOC against a sieve of a Dolphins defense? Well, not technically. I mean, they can be had. They can be had. They are coming off a bye. And this is probably the healthiest that defense has been. But I'm not like Dolphins defense as a fan. It ain't good. All right.
00:20:00
Speaker
Like my dolphins, they are a playoff team. I don't think they're a favorite. Like I would pick the bangles over my dolphins. I don't care that they lost to Houston. Bangles ain't going nowhere dog. What's the elegance? The Ravens. Their season is over. I agree. I agree. A thousand percent. The Ravens tomorrow must win period because you know, who has the height, you know, has a harder schedule than the bills, though.
00:20:28
Speaker
They lose this game. It is a wrap. But, uh, yeah, I mean, uh, you know what, for funsies, of course we got to lose here. Um, we're gonna lose. I mean, again, I think this week quarterback, I don't see there being a dominant chalk quarterback. Do you think it's going to be pretty spread out?
00:20:48
Speaker
Yeah, because there's a lot of options. So like, for me, it's 100% ownership and pivot, right? So again, we already mentioned, if no one's playing Josh Allen, I'm playing Josh Allen. If CJ Stroud's the chalk, I'm playing Kyler Murray. If Kyler Murray's the chalk, I'm playing CJ Stroud. If Devin Sigelter is the chalk, I'm playing CJ Stroud. If Kyler Murray's the chalk, I'm playing James Connor.
00:21:12
Speaker
I mean, it's simple as that. So if the if the Lions backfield is going to be chalky because they see Chicago, I'm playing home, Jared Goff. If Goff is somehow come out chalky and his backfield is getting ownership. I'm playing Justin Fields. If Justin Fields getting ownership, I'm playing golf. I mean, like it's just 1000% ownership that and the other game that I really want to get into is Rams Seahawks.
00:21:39
Speaker
I mean, this is one of the higher totals on the board. It is a one point spread. So basically a pick them. So, you know, basically is expecting to have some back and forth. So like, I like, I don't like, I don't like Stafford, but I do like Gino never play Stafford, never, ever, ever play Matt Stafford in DFS, but Gino over 302 last week.
00:22:01
Speaker
I could see myself getting there. I could definitely see myself getting there. He tried so hard to get the fat chick at the bar there. He tried. He tried. We ended up with like 98 yards. Seven for 96, seven for 98. Almost. Almost. Get on the door. If he goes in the overtime, I think I'm solid.
00:22:22
Speaker
Yeah, but, you know, Gio Smith, you know, he's clutch, you know what I'm saying? He just drove down a field, you know, get the dub, you know what I'm saying? He is clutch. I won't argue that.
00:22:31
Speaker
Yeah, I mean, again, dolphins coming off a by I don't mind to in this spot as well, because for some reason no one plays him either. So I mean, you're talking dolphins off a by against the Raiders. Healthy wire receivers already know people are going to play Tiger kill. So might as well just go ahead and throw two in with him. And the last guy I want to discuss real quick might be a Saturday take depends on his ownership. I kind of mentioned to you earlier chill but Jordan love.
00:23:01
Speaker
I won't even comment on that till Saturday, bro. Listen, listen, the chargers can't stop anybody anywhere on the field. I mean, you're talking a cheap stack with whoever you want to pair them with either Watson, Musgrave, Dobbs, Re, whoever. I think the only way I would play Jordan love is if I go Jordan love Aaron Jones wide receiver. Is that fair?
00:23:32
Speaker
That's fair. And then what charger do you run it back with? Does it matter? No. I mean, we saw exactly what happened to the Packers defense on the ground last week when the Steelers ran for over 200 yards on them. So you can go Echler. I mean, Keenan Allen is just Keenan Allen, because the dude don't throw to anybody fucking else. Jalen Guyton had a touchdown. Come on.
00:23:56
Speaker
Yeah, so did quitting with one yard. Yeah. Well, I think well, I think that's because Keenan Allen got her. I think that's the only reason why Jalen Guyton got that touched. There it is. There it is. Um. You may be able to convince me of that on Saturday.
00:24:15
Speaker
You may. I want to see what the lineup looks like with them in it. There you go. There you go. I'm just kind of throwing it out there for right now. I mean, because right now it's an early look. That stack is less than 10%. That just sounds hot. Let's slide over to running back real quick. And you're Miami Dolphins. Welcome back. Devine Aichon.
00:24:41
Speaker
kind of feeling out how that situation is going to work in that backfield.
Miami's Backfield and DFS Considerations
00:24:44
Speaker
I think either of them is viable. They kind of have the same situation with the Lions with David Montgomery and Jameer Gibbs and Tony Pollard. Welcome back. It's the Panthers.
00:24:57
Speaker
If not, no, I can do it now. No, again, I think Tony Pollard is dead to me. If he is chalky, I'm just going to play CD layup all over again. I'm just going there. But if people are pissed like me and don't play him, I might play him. I mean, he's cheap ish. This is the relationship I have with Kyle Pitt.
00:25:23
Speaker
I know, I know. Yeah, yeah. Tony baller is the cowpits of running backs. You're absolutely right. That is a great comparison. No, I, I, I, everything you said there was, was right. You know, again, the, the Miami backfield, again, Devin, uh, H on, um, he, it's not like he was hurt hurt, like,
00:25:52
Speaker
They they only took him off and put him on the IR for precaution. Like they said he's with a brace, but he chose not to. So I mean, he's coming back 100 percent here. And honestly, this is probably the cheapest he's going to be. Going, you're going to get on, get on now. And again, like the Raiders do a good job of stopping the pass against the run. Not so much. We saw Breece Hall cook.
00:26:23
Speaker
against these boys. Again, Breeze Hall should have had a touchdown. It got called back. I just don't remember what it was for. I think if you want to play either one, you're fine. I think that's totally fine.
00:26:40
Speaker
Again, I think it's more of a coin flip. I, you know, take the guy that, I mean, both of them are capable kind of, but like, I'd rather take a guy that could get seven carries and 130 and two facts. Um, you know, I, again, taking a look here at some of these guys. I mean, I think my favorite place so far on the slate, it's probably like Gibbs. Um, I do like Gibbs this week. Um,
00:27:07
Speaker
might be more of a draft games type of play only for the perception. Again, Chicago has done a pretty good job as a blade of stopping the run. But honestly, this Detroit offense is, I'm just going to say, is built different. Like you said, Dan Campbell does not give a fuck what your run defense is. They built different. You're right. They are built different.
00:27:32
Speaker
Again, I think either one of those is fine. I can't see myself playing Montgomery in the revenge game. I get the move. It makes sense. Revenge. I don't think I can do it. I'm more likely to play Austin Eckler over CMC for the reasons you pointed out earlier, and Austin Eckler is cheaper. I hate to say it, but Austin Eckler is probably my favorite slam dunk play of the damn slate.
00:28:02
Speaker
I think I'm going to agree with you. I actually think your chalky is running back on the slate. It's probably Jacobs, right? Either Jacobs or I think people will convince themselves with the matchup to probably play Brian Robinson Jr. And there's still going to be people that play Tony Pollard. I mean, the matchup is there. I think that the Cowboys
00:28:28
Speaker
have this thing where they're trying to erase the perception of Dakota Prescott. I think they want to keep him throwing touchdowns and kind of push him into a pseudo MVP candidate. Zero reason why they had to drop four hundred and five on them last week. Zero reason the game was over from the second minute of the damn game.
00:28:51
Speaker
I think I agree with you. I also think they switched more to a passing team kind of early on in the season because Tony Pollard wasn't getting it done. And I think they realized early enough to be like, you know what, we have to throw first to establish the run.
00:29:09
Speaker
Well, you got to realize that they changed that offense for him like basically like they had Zeke slamming up the middle for three yards and then getting Tony Pollard on the outside. Whereas now they got him running into the back of the guard and they have nobody that that creates those explosive plays in space. Doodle. Do Kim. Doodle.
00:29:37
Speaker
You know, I do like, I do like Aaron Jones this week. Um, again, the Chargers defense can't stop nobody. They, and they struggle on the ground. Um, we watched Detroit run all over them. If there's one thing that Green Bay will attempt to do, um, it's, it's run. Uh, I like Aaron Jones here at home against the Chargers. Um, again, the Ryan Robinson Jr. I do like.
00:30:04
Speaker
Uh, Devin, Devin Singletary, if Damien Pierce has ruled out the one up against the Cardinals. Um, I think even if he plays, I think Devin Singletary kind of claimed his backfield to himself. I mean, there might be a split, but I think he's still going to be the guy. Yeah. I just, I don't want to play this. If like, if Damien Pierce is back, that to me, just go to CJ shroud at that point. I don't want to play Devin Singletary as the chalk.
00:30:29
Speaker
either, like I'm with you. I would just rather just play more pass catchers for CJ. So, I mean, I'm kind of there with you, but I mean, Devin Singletary is cheap enough to the point where it's like, what can you do to actually like hurt your
Travis Etienne: A DFS Favorite?
00:30:42
Speaker
lineup? I mean, you don't need, you don't, you're not paying that price for him to be a slight raker. And I mean, let's, and again, I mentioned him earlier, but again, let's establish the rules of running backs. Is the running back playing at home? Check. Is he favored?
00:30:57
Speaker
Check. Is he going to get 20 plus opportunities? Check. Have we seen this man get 30 yards and three touchdowns? Check. Travis Etn. At home playing the Titans. I know. And I think he's going to be the he's going to be the under owned guy on the slate, I think. When the cards flip.
00:31:22
Speaker
You think Travis Etienne will be under owned, really? I mean, people like playing Travis Etienne, man. I mean, so what is the, well, who's around him price-wise on Draft Gings, right? So like, you have McCaffrey, Echler, and then it's Etienne. And then nobody's playing, nobody's playing Saquon Barkley. Nor should they. And then Gibbs is seven, is $200 cheaper. Raheem is $300 cheaper.
00:31:51
Speaker
I mean, if Pollard is way cheaper, A-Chon is way cheaper. Jacobs is way cheaper. I think when the cards flip, man, I don't think anybody's playing ETM. And if there's one part of the Jacksonville's offense you trust, it's him. And Chris and Kirk. And Chris and Kirk. I'll give you Chris and Kirk. At least you don't have to worry about the third receiver in that offense because he got arrested.
00:32:21
Speaker
Is a Jones? Yeah. Oh, no. He was he was her anyway, but he was on his way back. But yeah, status arrested. Oh, damn. He's he's out there with Michael Thomas. Domestic battery. Idiot. Again, probably a Saturday take. But I do. I think I could be convinced to play James Connor. I think I can convince to take some shots at Derek Henry, too.
00:32:47
Speaker
I mean, he's cheap. And we've seen, we've seen over the years that this man, like he owns part of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Oh yeah. This man owns real estate there. So yeah, tell me my King is what? 6200? 63. Oh, is that a 6300? And he's 75 on a Fandula. I mean, I might take some shots too. I'm not gonna lie. Bro, I don't blame you. I might take some shots. Takes my shots.
00:33:17
Speaker
Okay, we safe to move over to some wide receiver takes. I think so. Hey, play Tyreek Hill, he's good. All right, moving on, tight end. Cool, tight end. So, but no, I mean, this is where the slate will probably be made is gonna be at this wide receiver position just like kind of is
Selecting Wide Receivers for DFS
00:33:38
Speaker
every week. I mean, it's like these superstars are getting there and they're not just getting there, they're breaking slates.
00:33:44
Speaker
So I mean, you're talking Tyree kill fresh off the by, even though he's the most sensitive receiver on the slate. Whoop, there it is. You can still play him. You can find the room to get him in. The sun got as consistent as they come. Plus match up. Sederius, who's been absolutely destroying worlds the past couple of weeks. He's there. You got the Rams guys at a discounted price. You know, we know what Cooper cup is capable of. Now he's got Matt Stafford back. So.
00:34:10
Speaker
There's definitely a chance there and then there's Kenan Allen. I mean, Kenan Allen just does what Kenan Allen does. So it's gonna be a choice whether you try to jam into these guys or just hope and pray that the one you don't pick doesn't put you to sleep. So this is gonna be a scary slate at the wide receiver position, especially at the top. There's a lot of mid tier guys because we got all the Houston guys. They're not priced up. The Cardinals guys, they're not priced up.
00:34:39
Speaker
I mean, we, we got some options, but if you were to choose one of the two or one or two guys up at the top, who are you leaning towards on a Wednesday night? Honestly, you, uh, you could pick one of the three. If you have my entire kill, I'm on Ross, a Brown or CD lamb. Or Keaton Allen. Yeah. I think I'm, I think I'm only going to play Keaton Allen if it's with Herbert.
00:35:05
Speaker
and Eckler, like I think if I'm playing the chargers, I'm just onslaughting the chargers. So chill. Here's what you do. You play, you play Eckler, you play Keaton Allen, you play Christian Watson, you play Luke Musgrave. There's a five man onslaught right there. Just ready for you, dog. Play some joy and love with me, man. Do it. I think, like I said, I think I can be convinced. Um,
00:35:36
Speaker
I think, I mean, again, taking a look here, again, if you're going to give me 5% Josh Allen and 5% Stefan Diggs, oh man. I didn't even put Steph Diggs in that category. I totally forgot. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. I think those two are going to be a Saturday take, but Garrett Wilson last week got an abundance of targets. He always does, but Zach Wilson is ass. He is ass, but again,
00:36:06
Speaker
That Buffalo, the Buffalo's defense is not as good as I think what a lot of people may think. You know, we did see, you know, Courtland Sutton had a good game against them as well. The Arizona guys kind of become interesting because like Marquis Brown again is a good value, but like
00:36:29
Speaker
You know people are playing Rondale Moore, bro. People are going to play the shit out of Rondale Moore this week. I will not play Chalky Rondale Moore. If he's Chalky, I'll play the other guy. I'll just play him. Oh, you're going to be Chalky. You're going to be Chalky. I'll just play Michael Wilson, right? Like McBride. You know, again, you mentioned a lot of these guys already. Insert Commanders Wide Receiver here. Listen, I played Jahann Dotson. I still cashed one of my lineups with him getting... Oh, Jahann.
00:36:59
Speaker
Yeah. Yep. I still cash though. I actually did pretty well in that tournament for him getting zero. A fat goose egg. But meanwhile, Diabe Brown, what again, the, the, the commander's office, they just pass way too much. Um, again, if you want to play either one of the wide receivers, I get it. And again, the giants team is so bad. It's bad.
00:37:27
Speaker
And I get a deck Prescott right now is that is playing out like a top five level. But Sam Hall is just going to throw Eric Bienen. We don't care. He don't. And like Sam Hall is getting better and better and better. They are playing at home. I think that makes a huge difference for the commanders here. So again, I do I do like putting a commander here.
00:37:51
Speaker
And again, I think if you're playing Lions, you have to take a look at DJ Moore here, regardless of who the quarterback is. Like the Lions are susceptible through the air. Like that's where they're week after week at corner. Um, again, you know, going off of that, uh, other net this week, you know, nobody's going to be playing the Seattle guys again. And I don't think anybody's touching the ramps. Nobody's touching the ramps. Seahawks game. True. Totally do it.
00:38:21
Speaker
And then the Packers game with me, come and play the Seahawks game with me, bro. You know, the Seahawks defense does scare me. I get it. Week one, like, cause like week one, they didn't know what they were like getting into with the Rams. And like they've gotten better. Like that their secondary is very good. Yeah. They were just getting scorched by fourth string wide receivers and two running backs.
00:38:50
Speaker
Right. So our receivers were sauce. You can't cover everybody. You can't cover everybody. You're absolutely right. You can't cover everybody. I mean, in terms of like, I don't think one of these wide receivers is going to be like the stone cold chalk. Oh, and which... Oh, are you talking about just the slate as a whole? Yeah.
00:39:11
Speaker
I think again, it's going to be an ownership thing. I think like if everybody flocks to Tyrik Hill, I might play more CD lamb, very by Fox to see lamb. I might play more sun guide, very by Fox or the sun God, I might play more Keenan Allen. I mean, this is, again, I want to play the ownership game, but like with those top guys in plus match ups, like all of them are, I don't, there's a, there's a really, there's a hard, there's a, it's very difficult to go wrong.
00:39:40
Speaker
I mean, it's just what happens if one of them that you don't have the one that puts you to bed? 100%. I could see Rondale Moore being the chalk. That's what I said. Oh, you talk about just, oh, yeah, yeah, oh, yeah. People are going to play Rondale. Yeah, I think I'm a slate. And I guess maybe it's so hard. Like, I would want to play Jaylen Waddle, but there's so many pieces on this Dolphins offense now.
00:40:10
Speaker
Just, just, just play Tyree Hill. Agreed. Stop bullshitting. Just play Tyree Hill. I mean, I guess we got to talk about the other wide receiver in that game, right? Devontae Adams. I mean, he's cheap enough and AOC only throws the two dudes. So I mean, yeah. Again, I mean, like you said, like the way you want to kind of put Jordan above, if you just go AOC Adams and then you put the dolphins around it,
00:40:39
Speaker
I'm not playing AOC, dude. Listen, I'm just saying, if AOC gets you A-chan and Tyra Gil... And listen, Jordan Love can do the same thing, okay? And he gets... I know! He gets the Chargers! The Chargers are so bad. I know. Oh my God, they suck. I know, but like... It's a...
00:41:03
Speaker
I just had not played AOC, dude. The Raiders, the Raiders, the Raiders, Dolphins game is the scariest game on the slate. You think so? I think it's the scariest one. I think you could see the Dolphins blowing them out. You could see that shit 30 to 35. Unfortunately, yes. Because like, again, the Dolphins defense.
00:41:27
Speaker
But like you said, this is the first time they're going to have this secondary, like completely healthy, healthy, and they get H on back. So it's like, true. I mean, they're, they're ready. I mean, they're ready to make a statement. So you know what they do against bad teams, a murder, but like the Raiders are five and five. Oh, so that means they go either way. Like are the Raiders a bad team? I don't know.
00:41:53
Speaker
I like I really coached. I could say that they did not want to play for McDaniels. No, at all. And like right now, like with Antonio Pierce, you think those guys were like going to the damn Super Bowl or get out the victory cigars coming up. I don't know. It's a wide receivers. Interesting. Like a lot of the takes here kind of depend on ownership for me.
00:42:20
Speaker
Yeah, I mean, this is again, this is probably for me a GPP bro week. So and I'm cool with that. I like leaning into that narrative. So
00:42:27
Speaker
Let's slide over to tight end real quick because we have to I think there's actually Decent amount of options.
Tight End Options in DFS
00:42:34
Speaker
I mean we don't have Kelsey. We don't have Hockinson I mean those guys are off the table. No mark Andrews either, but Dalton Kincaid Trey McBride Sam LaPorta George kiddo shoved it up our ass is saying that he couldn't do anything without or with the Deebo in the lineup, so
00:42:53
Speaker
My bad. Dr. Schultz as well. And of course, Jake, the snake has been solid for us over the past two weeks. So I mean, where are you a kind of leaning on this slate? Because there's a decent amount of options. I know Trey McBride is going to be the chalk because Houston is dead last to get it, you know, points allowed against the tight end. But like,
00:43:17
Speaker
I don't want to play Chalky Trey McBride again. I just don't want to. I thought I should, but I don't want to, but kind of kind of give you your lean on things. As they were calling them on the Swolecast mini Gronk. Is he mini Gronk? Stop it. I think tight end is this. If I can get to McBride, it's probably just play McBride and walk away like why overthink it?
00:43:45
Speaker
I'll give you another guy that I think is intriguing here. I must grave. Uh, no, actually be Dalton Kincaid. That's fair. Um, I do, I do like Don Kincaid. He's 4,900 little pricey, but nobody's playing them. Um, cause no one's playing Josh Allen. Initially, initially, like if he gets themed, I'm completely off.
00:44:12
Speaker
100%. No one's playing Josh Allen. Guess who's coming along with him in those stats? Dalton Kincaid. If you want to punt this week, Michael Mayer is 2,700. Dude, he's going to be so chalky. I think he's going to be chalky. Like, if it's not Big Brite, people are going to convince themselves to play Michael Mayer. You're probably right. I can't totally see that. But I mean, again, Evan Ingram is always fine.
00:44:44
Speaker
I mean, if you're running some Justin Fields, I'm never going to complain about Cole commit. I agree. Yeah, man. It's just, it's gross. tight end is gross. I don't think I honestly don't think it's gross. I think there's actual options that we need to consider this week. I mean, I know we got to be price sensitive, but at the same time, like, like Sam LaPorte is a beast. Dalton Kincaid has been bee sting. Shane McBride, same thing. Dalton Schultz, same thing. I mean, there's,
00:45:14
Speaker
There's some ways to go this week. I think, I think the tight ends have to be incorporated in your stacks. How about that? So I think there's zero one off tight ends this week. Like, Oh, I'm just going to put the position and I'm gonna play Michael Mayer. Well, don't play Michael Mary. If you're not playing, um, Tyra Hill, you know, I used to get our mini stack in there. Call it a day. I mean, if I'm playing commanders, I'm probably going to throw in Logan Thomas, dude. I'm all about some Logan Thomas. Um,
00:45:43
Speaker
But like you said, this week, because I don't want to play that game. But yeah, yeah, I get it. I get it. Totally get it. Yeah. If I'm going to one off a piece, it's probably McBride and LaPorta. I love Sam LaPorta. He's so good. And until Brock Wright catches the damn touchdown. My client. Brock Wright.
00:46:12
Speaker
I gotta say I was tilted by that touchdown, but it was kind of funny. I didn't know Brock Wright was still on the team. He's a Dan Campbell, bro. Dan Campbell. Okay. All right. I did not know that. All right. Well, let's slide over to defense where we kind of alluded to earlier in the show about what could be the chalk, other interesting plays.
Analyzing Defense Choices for DFS
00:46:36
Speaker
I mean, commanders go against Tommy DeVito.
00:46:42
Speaker
All right, but they're expensive, but they're expensive. Cowboys, Bryce Young, super expensive, hard pass. Buffalo gets, you know, Zach Wilson, always an option, but then the Jets get Jamis with Josh Allen. So it's like, are they going to be the chalk? Now that we know that DTR is going to be starting Pittsburgh's defense is on the table. So I mean, again, the Cowboys get Bryce Young. I said that.
00:47:13
Speaker
I think one that you'll have to think about is the Jags get Will Love Us. I mean, the 49ers get Baker Mayfield too. That is true. Even though Baker's been like good this year, but I mean the 49ers just embarrassed Trevor Lawrence.
00:47:36
Speaker
So what is Trevor Lawrence, the Baker Mayfield, you know what I'm saying? Right. I mean, again, the Jags at home against Levis. I know up until last week, at least they were leading the league in turnovers, I do believe. You know, so it is a ball hawking defense, quote unquote. Well, that never didn't change seeing as South San Francisco wax that ass. True. And then I guess if you want to if you want to
00:48:05
Speaker
Since we've been kind of talking about it, the dolphins against AOC? Yes. Okay. All right. On the table. Absolutely. If you're punting a defense, you just punt to the Packers.
00:48:24
Speaker
Absolutely not. I'm not playing the Packers defense. You crazy? Crazy. Um, you see all the boys say that up against the Steelers and nipped offense. I'm, I'm, I'm hot on that one. Nah, hard pass, hard pass. If I do something weird, I'm just going to play the giants against the commanders. I mean, they already beat that ass one time this year. Like it's somehow magically not going to get sacked.
00:48:52
Speaker
They're so bad on offense, chill. I can still get to the quarterback. Well, they gave up 400 yards in three quarters. Dad could have went for 600 yards. Did they intercept that Prescott, sir? I think they did, right? Yeah, they did. So you're saying it's possible.
00:49:15
Speaker
I want to get absolutely weird. I'm just gonna play the Giants again against the Cardinals because I guess the commanders because why not again, they all offensive line all of a sudden didn't just get good. He's still going to pass at an extremely high rate. Like if I'm going to get funky again, maybe a Saturday thing, but I play some giants just for the, just for S's and G's. If I can't get up to a defense that I prefer,
00:49:43
Speaker
I prefer the commies. I prefer Tampa or not Tampa. The 49ers against Tampa. I mean, like I don't want to play the Jets. I get the logic because like Josh Allen is all of a sudden going to have one hundred and fifty one point, you know, one hundred and fifty eight point one QBR, you know, I'm saying in one game. But like. They're going to be chalky. I don't I don't want to. I want to do that.
00:50:14
Speaker
I wanna do that. But I guess we'll see how ownership kind of shakes out. So- I agree. Yeah, we got a little extra time. So real quick, I wanna kind of get your side thoughts about like on Wednesday, not who you're playing, but how you're playing this week's slate.
Game Stacking Strategy in DFS
00:50:32
Speaker
Because here's how I'm playing this slate. And I'll tell you my logic behind it. I'm taking a game that I like and stacking the shit out of it. And I hope it hits. Because there are plays
00:50:45
Speaker
There's several games with a lot of plays and you can't jam everybody in. So I kind of want to take like a big game stack from Houston or a big game stack from Seattle or a big game stack from Miami, you know, get those guys and kind of just float them all together. Five to six pieces from the same lineup, like you said, or the Packers game to not the highest total in the world, but again,
00:51:08
Speaker
neither team can't stop nobody. So I mean, that could be one of the ones that easily go over at lower ownership. Again, if those games hit, then the other lineups die. I'm fine with that. But again, I want one lineup that has like one game centerpiece and kind of taking off. So I rarely play slates like that. But this week, I think I'm going balls deep in it. I'm going balls deep in game stacks this week. So
00:51:34
Speaker
I'm not against it. I like you said I'm not much of a game stack type of fellow myself I Think for me this week is really just gonna come down to ownership Like that's what it's really gonna come down to For me and just taking a look to see who's what I mean for as much as we do talk like for the Cowboys and the Dolphins they could be in potential blowout situations, right so like
00:52:04
Speaker
the CD lamb get there again in a blot situation, probably. Then again, we might just be overthinking this. Like it's just like, hey, like the teams, the teams that they're playing are so bad. Like, like last week, it should have been like, just put the put the entire Cowboys team in your lineup. Like, again, put the dolphins in your lineup. Like, what are you thinking? Like,
00:52:32
Speaker
It's a thing probably look at you know the Chargers and Packers same way like Hey, like the Packers are terrible. This Chargers offense is like good Yeah, but the Chargers are equally as bad agreed I Think for me, it's gonna be ownership and again, I get the Jets defense. I get it But Josh Allen already came out today and
00:53:02
Speaker
basically was kind of sad panda that Dorsey got fired. I'm sure. The bills are at home. Like they're at home like you're at home last month on Monday, too. That's true. It's like, it's true. But like, if not now, when? Okay, Tony Pollard.
00:53:30
Speaker
I see you. I mean, we got, if not now, if not, you know, now win from Bijon, you know, got aces from him last week. Could have been bigger. Although Arthur Smith thing get fired. I know. God dang it. Terrible job. The Cardinals did their job. Damn it. Do your job. Fire this. Arthur blank was just like, we're not going to fire him. God damn it.
00:53:59
Speaker
Shame. Yeah, I think for me, it's just going to be ownership plays. Like you said, I think it's a GP GP, bro kind of slate. And, you know, we're just going to take a look at ownership and favorite type of slate favorite and go from there, because like to me, the slate, it's pretty open in terms of plays like, you know, again, you're not jamming entire kill. I want to say Brown and CD lab like you're not going to be able to play one of them.
00:54:28
Speaker
Uh, correct. You know, like it's just not going to happen. You're not going to step digs. Correct. Or Eckler McCaffrey. Like again, you're going to have to make some tough decisions and it's like those decisions. There's like, what are you pivoting away from or who are you pivoting away from?
00:54:47
Speaker
So as long as we make those pivot plays in a smart way, then I guess, you know, like, again, if you're not playing the dolphins backfield, play a dolphins pass catcher and vice versa. If you're not playing the pass catcher, play the backfield. If you're not playing Tony pilot, make sure you play CD lamp and vice versa. I mean, like these team totals that are, that are
00:55:07
Speaker
you know, at the top of the slate, you need, you actually, I would prefer you have pieces from those teams. So a lot of different teams choose from, and that's what like kind of bogs me down to about the 49ers too, because they have a high team total, but like, am I going to pick Deebo out of, out of, you know, that team and put them on a lineup? Am I going to pick out CMC? Am I going to pick out Brandon Iook? Am I going to pick out George Kittle? Like, am I just going to play Bach Purdy?
00:55:35
Speaker
because he's cheap. So I just go down that narrative, you know, so.
00:55:39
Speaker
It's a lot to decipher.
Conclusion and Listener Engagement
00:55:41
Speaker
And again, we'll pop back in on Saturday, hopefully, and kind of break down where ownership shakes out and kind of our final descent into week 11. But until then, again, don't forget to like, subscribe on the way out. Share this podcast with your peeps. Make sure you download us, put us in your pockets. And for Baker at a, you know, I haven't heard from him, but I hope he's doing good at his job. For Dale, haven't heard from him either, but I hope he's doing well and for chill.
00:56:08
Speaker
It's your boy, Salah Alishahid, and we're going to go ahead on out and close up the shop. And of course, we'll see you all at the top.