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NFL DFS Week 1 Main Slate Top Plays: DFS Deli  image

NFL DFS Week 1 Main Slate Top Plays: DFS Deli

S5 E1 · The DFS Deli : A Fantasy Football Podcast
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57 Plays2 months ago

Welcome to The DFS Deli! In this episode, we’re diving into our favorite DFS picks for NFL Week 1's main slate. We'll break down the top players at each position, giving you the insight you need to build a winning lineup. From high-upside quarterbacks to value-packed sleepers, we've got the analysis to help you start the season strong. Tune in for expert advice, strategic plays, and the latest news you need to dominate your DFS contests.

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Transcript

Introduction and Technical Issues

00:00:00
thedfsdeli
Yes, the NFL is back and we are back back in the deli to talk to you about the NFL week one DFS main slate. We are primed and ready to go football in the books from yesterday as we were talking tonight. There is a game on in Germany between the ah Green Bay Packers and the Philadelphia Eagles. But we're here to talk about the week one main slate. So the doors are open. The open sign is on. So come on into the DFS deli and let's do it.
00:00:48
thedfsdeli
hey And welcome in to the DFS Deli. I am the proprietor of this delicatessen, Sully Alicia Heade, and it is time. We are primed for week one NFL DFS football. And unfortunately, this will not, well fortunately for us, because we get to talk about the NFL DFS main slate, but unfortunately we did record the actual initial opening of the DFS Deli.
00:01:15
thedfsdeli
last week, but someone's 1950s computer decided not to upload their file. Thus, we've been absent for the entire off season.

DFS Strategies for NFL Week One

00:01:26
thedfsdeli
But now we're back in the deli, cooking up some delicious stacks to get you to the top of your DFS brackets here on DraftKings and FanDuel for week one. I am joined, of course, by my main man, my best friend, Chill Man. What is going on?
00:01:45
Chilly
um it feels It feels good to be back at work, even though we were kind of at work. What's this be real? Baker's auntie's computer. ah ah Again, RIP auntie, but the the computer did not did not cooperate. Baker will make some adjustments, and maybe that's on us. Maybe maybe we should have told him absolutely not. so ah we'll we'll get We'll get him back here. and yeah whether You know, see if it's a week two thing, but, uh, man, it feels good to be back here. Uh, again, it's week one. It's the, um, it's the God only knows what's going to happen, you know, week, uh, take all of these, uh, ownership projections and stats with a grain of salt to new season. So, uh, the rate of dive on in and, you know, get some knowledge out there to the masses and

DFS Deli Segments Introduction

00:02:40
Chilly
let's go.
00:02:40
thedfsdeli
Yeah, absolutely. And if you don't know what we do here on the DFS Deli, we go position by position to break down our favorite plays of the DFS main slate. And week one is kind of an anomaly. It is what it is every year. It's probably the most traffic that DFS sites get. you know New players, returning players, the excitement of week one. Everybody, the the the tournaments are bigger. The prize pools are bigger because you know they get those initial you know free bets and you know free tournament tickets and you know everybody's in but we're here to drop that knowledge on you to make sure that you're building your lineups correctly and of course mixing in some of our favorite plays throughout the week one slate so before we get into Sunday how did you feel to be back on Thursday like how how was the Chiefs Ravens game for you that was
00:03:33
thedfsdeli
some Some unlikely things, pun intended,

Game Analysis: Chiefs vs Ravens

00:03:36
Chilly
i see what
00:03:36
thedfsdeli
happened on Thursday.
00:03:38
thedfsdeli
So what did you think about that game?
00:03:40
Chilly
yeah um I think your bills may regret given the Chiefs Xavier are worthy um he only had three touches that's the thing like he only touched the ball three times score twice um I again it was a really good game obviously the Ravens lost by a big toe
00:03:46
thedfsdeli
Oh, was he, oh my God, was he good? Yeah.
00:04:02
Chilly
They were going to go for two. So that would have been really interesting to see ah you know what what the play would have been there. you know You got Lamar and King Henry in the backfield. like It's pretty stuff bra tough to stop for two yards.
00:04:16
Chilly
So um no i mean again, I don't think anybody, I thought the Chiefs were going to win the game.
00:04:17
thedfsdeli
Yep.
00:04:22
Chilly
So I'm not really surprised that they won. um And it was just good to have football back. and you know Uh, yeah, I mean, she's starting off one and oh, I think, uh, you know, your perennial super bowl favorites, uh, again, until somebody knocks them off, they'll remain kings of the AFC.
00:04:40
thedfsdeli
Oh man. I know. I know.
00:04:43
Chilly
It's boring.
00:04:44
thedfsdeli
What?
00:04:44
Chilly
It's not the sexiest pick, but it's true.
00:04:46
thedfsdeli
It's not, it's not. I don't, I don't like how not sexy saying the chiefs are going to be good is. I mean, like I kind of wanted the Ravens to beat them, but at the same time, like the Ravens would be a good team. It's just, you know, Lamar Jackson needs to hit wide open receivers in the end zone.
00:05:00
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, jflow I think Zae Flowers couldn't have been any more wide open.
00:05:05
thedfsdeli
Like, how does an NFL MVP two times over miss a easy pitch and catch like that?
00:05:10
Chilly
Because he didn't see him.
00:05:12
thedfsdeli
Cause he did.
00:05:14
thedfsdeli
Fair, fair. He didn't see him. All right. That's fair. Well, you know, I think Travis Kosey and Mark Andrews ah owners are in shambles right now, but like I said, it's week one.

DFS Strategies and Bankroll Management

00:05:27
thedfsdeli
I mean, there's a lot of things that could, could happen that we certainly didn't see coming. All we can go is based off of off season moves last year's stats, things like that. So, Oh,
00:05:38
thedfsdeli
Pardon me, before I continue, um a shout out to our other co-host Baker, who unfortunately, and like Chil mentioned, couldn't be with us tonight. He is out with his new boo, watching the new boo, watching the game somewhere.
00:05:50
Chilly
Nooboo! Question mark? Yeah.
00:05:52
thedfsdeli
So, you know, it'd be nice to meet her every, you know, see her tomorrow.
00:05:54
Chilly
Yeah.
00:05:57
thedfsdeli
That'd be awesome. So shout out to Baker. At least he's having a, he's got the heart out.
00:06:00
Chilly
Yeah.
00:06:02
thedfsdeli
You know, for his sake, oh, we had to throw it out.
00:06:02
Chilly
i For his sake, I hope he does have the hard out. She's ah she's a 49ers fan, right?
00:06:09
thedfsdeli
49ers and Raiders.
00:06:11
Chilly
Raiders. OK, that makes a ton of sense. We won't discuss one of those teams, maybe not both. I mean, the Raiders game isn't It's not intriguing in the slightest, but we'll cover it if need be, but...
00:06:24
thedfsdeli
Yeah, cuz everybody's gonna be flocking to Brock Bowers, but you know we we don't talk about tight ends on the show. so yeah But we'll see, we'll see if we got some fantasy goodness from ah the Oakland side.
00:06:24
Chilly
We all...
00:06:30
Chilly
yeah
00:06:36
Chilly
If Isaiah likely proved anything last night, it was like, you fucking descend it.
00:06:41
thedfsdeli
Full send.
00:06:42
Chilly
Full sun.
00:06:43
thedfsdeli
Absolutely. 100% agree. So let's jump into it, man. um Actually, ah before we get into our favorite plays of each position, I will kind of want to know your philosophy on week one, like how you approach your bankroll.
00:06:59
thedfsdeli
Do you get into a lot of contests because there's a lot of noobs out there? Or is it like week one, week two, week three, to a certain extent, or kind of like a wait and see? How do you feel about that?
00:07:11
Chilly
Yeah. So week one, my bankroll might not be as high as other weeks because I'm just trying to, um, again, there's a lot of unknown and until you get like those, for like you said, those first three weeks, um, you're kind of using last year's data, um, to kind of go off of, you know, what you know. Um, I mean, I think there's. If you, if you'd like to think you're smart enough and you know who the bad teams are,
00:07:40
Chilly
or the bad defenses, so to speak, then you can kind of target them.
00:07:43
thedfsdeli
Yeah, sure.
00:07:46
Chilly
you know We'll cover some of these games here. um But again, you know am I going full send in week one? No. i Again, because there's just a lot of unknown there.
00:07:58
thedfsdeli
Yep.
00:07:58
Chilly
So I don't want to lose my money on unknown. Now, if I if i thought I had a good feeling or a good read on something, then i then I would. But for week one, I want to play the wait and see game.

Identifying High-Value Games and Players

00:08:11
thedfsdeli
Yeah, I feel the same way. Um, my bankroll is a little less. I mean, I'll answer my normal, you know, two to three single entry contest. Um, maybe five maxes, you know, my comfort zone where I'm at. But like I said, I like to, I like to wait and see for a little bit. I think that people get so antsy about, you know, it NFL is back and we got to play. We got to do this. Like, yeah, you can get some action, get some action. But,
00:08:40
thedfsdeli
to scale it back a little bit. I mean, just to this is this is a prime week to a take some shots. But this is also one of those weeks where you can literally fade the public and be like just fine. So we're gonna talk about some ownership projections coming up shortly. But again, if you wanna just go full send the opposite way, week one is definitely the week to do it. We have our known guys, we have our Josh Allen's, we have our new toys, Jane Daniels, guys like that, Marvin Harrison's, you know, the list goes on. But if the public's gonna be here,
00:09:23
thedfsdeli
this is the prime opportunity to go that way. So um yeah, let's let's let's talk about it, man. We got some we got some heavy hitter games on our on our board this week, man. A lot of, well, there's several high totals, not a lot, but there's several high totals out here on the board. And I tell you what, man, I'm pretty excited for a few of them. So let's get into it, starting with the quarterback position. tell me Are you targeting QBs in these high hi over under games or are we going somewhere else?
00:09:56
Chilly
I mean, so I mean, just kind of based on what I see here, it looks like a lot of your top quarterbacks right now, ah top five in ownership projections, a lot of them are dual threat quarterbacks. I totally get it. um I would say ah three of them are in high total games or decent total games. So you got a rich Anthony Richardson, you got Jaden Daniels, you got Josh Allen.
00:10:23
Chilly
And then Caleb Williams is coming in rounding off in the top five there with Trevor Lawrence kind of mixed in between those guys. we we'll We'll get to that game in a minute. But um again, I'm just going to kind of play a quarterback on feel. um I mean, I do like me some Josh Allen this week.
00:10:42
Chilly
ah again,

Exploring DFS Matchups: Buffalo vs Arizona

00:10:44
Chilly
Buffalo's at home going up against the Cardinals. We figured this Cardinals offense is going to be able to put points on the board. um Both of the defenses ah in that game too, Arizona and Buffalo, are both kind of unknown and are kind of riddled with injuries right now. ah We know Arizona plays no defense. And that's kind of going off of the last year's data point. So I kind of like both quarterbacks in that game. Tyler would be my my low ownership play.
00:11:10
Chilly
um So I do really like both quarterbacks in that game. um So if I'm kind of looking at the, uh, the top quarterbacks here, again, I'm going to kind of play the more known commodity. So like, a I would like Josh Allen, um, under the rookies and, uh, Anthony Richardson who's coming off an injury.
00:11:31
thedfsdeli
Yeah, I mean, to branch off your point, especially in that game, because I think a lot of ownership, even though you know Josh Allen's the most successful quarterback on the board, but people know what Josh Allen's capable of.
00:11:42
thedfsdeli
But the way that I like to build lineups, which is double stack, bring back secondary stack, who are we double stacking Josh Allen with again? MVS?
00:11:56
Chilly
to
00:11:56
thedfsdeli
Killel Secure? it's Curtis Samuel, obviously people, a lot of people are going to play Duncan Cade.
00:11:58
Chilly
So I almost So, I mean Would you would you feel more comfortable?
00:12:01
thedfsdeli
We get that, but what?
00:12:07
Chilly
See I would feel more comfortable with Alan cook Shakir or Alan cook Kincaid Okay,
00:12:14
thedfsdeli
All right, listen, here, here's the move. Here's the pro gamer move. You ready for the pro gamer move on, on Fandul on Fandul, Josh, Alice 9,200 Kyler is 7900.
00:12:20
Chilly
sure i'm I'm all ears
00:12:25
Chilly
that's fine sheet I mean that I mean that works too I mean again that game is the sneaky game in my opinion um I really
00:12:28
thedfsdeli
What if you went Kyler, the new toy and Margaret Harrison and like trade McBride and then ran it back with James Cook for all the ownership.
00:12:47
thedfsdeli
It's like this Buffalo defense is going to suck. I mean, they're going to suck. No, Matt Milano. They were already sus before and then they lose their best player. 50 year old Von Miller ain't going to make a damn difference. So again, that's my team.
00:12:56
Chilly
No.
00:12:58
thedfsdeli
I get it there at home, but let's say Josh Allen is playing and the Buffalo bills are playing up to their expectations. And putting points on the board with those methodical long drawn out drives because remember in the second half of the season, they were a run first team and they were efficient.
00:13:14
thedfsdeli
So having said that they were still putting points on the board. But what does Arizona do? They play no defense. So those long sustained drives that Buffalo wants are probably gonna turn into chunk plays for Buffalo.
00:13:14
Chilly
Correct.
00:13:27
thedfsdeli
That means Arizona is gonna be playing catch up. So I mean, Dual threat quarterback in Kyler. We got the new toy. Who's going to, who's going to be guard Marvin Harrison Jr.
00:13:38
thedfsdeli
And then of course like Trey McBride is due for, you know, 10 to 12 targets a game. I mean, hopefully it's not based off the tight ends that we saw last night, but let's hope he actually gets into his tight end.
00:13:47
Chilly
Right?
00:13:50
thedfsdeli
I'm telling you from an ownership perspective, if we're not, if we, if the public isn't playing Kyler Murray, even against my team, I'm playing me some Kyler Murray. Okay. I gots to get it in. So again, if the public is going to be there, I'm probably going to be that

DFS Potential: Miami vs Jacksonville

00:14:05
thedfsdeli
way.
00:14:05
Chilly
Yeah.
00:14:05
thedfsdeli
And with an over, under damn near almost 50. Yeah. Sign me up, I think the Cardinals can win this game outright.
00:14:11
Chilly
Yeah.
00:14:13
thedfsdeli
Cuz remember Buffalo does this every year, every year they come out flat. And then it's the second half of the season they start eradicating people. So we saw what they did last, you know first game of the year last year against the Jets.
00:14:25
thedfsdeli
No Aaron Rodgers after the first play and they fuck around and lose that game. So if you wanna say and this might be the upset special of the week is Cardinals over Bills.
00:14:36
thedfsdeli
So I'm just saying, if you want some DFS goodness, dual threat quarterback, he's cheap, his receivers are, you know, options are cheap. I mean, Trey Brides got some, you know, he's got some price to it.
00:14:48
thedfsdeli
But at the same time, you're thinking, all this ownership is going to be on like Kincaid. Let's go to the other side of the ball. These are tournaments we're trying to win, right? So give me some Cardinals, man.
00:14:59
thedfsdeli
I love the bills. I love the bills. Give me some Cardinals.
00:15:02
thedfsdeli
I gotta go. So I gotta be.
00:15:02
Chilly
Yeah.
00:15:04
Chilly
I mean, ah again, it's a great play. I mean, if you're my only one out of the box play, um I don't really like playing them, but nobody's playing Tua at home against Jacksonville and the highest total game on the slate.
00:15:21
Chilly
It's still um I still think it's the highest total game, but to what gives you but to ah but to it gives you no rushing upside.
00:15:22
thedfsdeli
I gotta disagree with that.
00:15:30
thedfsdeli
the No rushing for it, no rushing for it.
00:15:32
Chilly
No rushing for her, but nobody's playing to her.
00:15:36
thedfsdeli
But here's the thing, I think that i think that's actually gonna change. Because I think the more people want to play Tyreek Hill, and the more people that love the stack, because people gonna play the hell out of Tyreek Hill, they're gonna do it.
00:15:45
Chilly
Yeah.
00:15:46
thedfsdeli
So it's like, to us right there, and you know what, the Dolphins, man, they come out hot. They're the anti-bills. They come out scorching hot, where the bills come out dirt slow.
00:15:57
Chilly
Correct.
00:15:59
thedfsdeli
So yes, this could definitely be a two-a-type game. But like to to your point, people might still want to play Lawrence, because it's going to be a little more affordable. His targets are questionable at best.
00:16:12
thedfsdeli
I mean, you pay Gabe Davis some money.
00:16:12
Chilly
Well, in Miami's defense is horrible.
00:16:14
thedfsdeli
You got Ingram. And Miami's defense defense does suck, yeah?
00:16:16
Chilly
they' They're still they're still there're still kind of riddled with injuries. They ah really only have Ramsey lot ah left. They lost some key free agents. like Miami's defense is not good

Anthony Richardson's DFS Appeal

00:16:27
Chilly
either.
00:16:27
Chilly
like That team is led by the offense. It goes as far as they go. So like I get the ownership.
00:16:33
thedfsdeli
Yeah, that's a
00:16:34
Chilly
But Trevor Lawrence, man, it's ah it's a scary play. As much as I love him, like Sometimes he'll get you 35 or 13.
00:16:44
thedfsdeli
Yeah, facts, facts. Um, speaking of, you know, newer toys, because we only got to sell a handful of games with them last year is a lot of people are going to be playing at Anthony Richardson. I get that.
00:16:55
thedfsdeli
He is, got that rushing four. He definitely has the rushing four. But for, for 8,300 on fan dual, I, I don't think I can pull the trigger. Like I said, when I got Kyler sitting right there, $400 cheaper.
00:17:10
thedfsdeli
like i That's the route I'm going, man. I don't think I can bring anything rich too long. Again, i might I think I like JT a little better in the backfield as opposed to A-Rich as a quarterback, like I said, with his ownership. And ownership for quarterbacks are sometimes flat, but at the same time, like this is a situation where if he doesn't get those rushing touchdowns, I don't see a 300-yard passing performance out of him.
00:17:35
Chilly
Now, honestly, Houston is really weak to running backs.
00:17:36
thedfsdeli
so
00:17:41
Chilly
They don't stop to run all that well. So like as high scoring as this game could be, they could come out with Taylor. Because you want to keep Houston's offense off the field.
00:17:52
Chilly
right so um a And again, we were kind of just talking about it.
00:17:53
thedfsdeli
Oh, yeah, absolutely.
00:17:58
Chilly
FanDuel now has the multipliers. so
00:18:01
thedfsdeli
Yep.
00:18:03
Chilly
um For $900 more, I'd rather just play Josh Allen like or go down to Kyler and just avoid his ownership completely.
00:18:15
thedfsdeli
Right. That's a fact. Hey, um, I I'm tripping.
00:18:22
Chilly
Okay.
00:18:23
thedfsdeli
is, uh, so I'm looking at four four four projections, you know, shout out to four four four. That's what I do. Um, they have the, maybe I need to log on to Fandoor to check.
00:18:34
thedfsdeli
Why is the eight o'clock game on the main slate for projections? Am I

New Opportunities: Rams vs Lions Late Game

00:18:40
thedfsdeli
tripping? Do they have that available?
00:18:40
Chilly
Nope. Yep.
00:18:44
thedfsdeli
So Fandoor is running the night game.
00:18:46
Chilly
Yep.
00:18:47
thedfsdeli
Huh?
00:18:49
Chilly
Correct. So the Rams and Lions are eligible for main slate on FanDuel.
00:18:54
thedfsdeli
So ah let's talk about it. yeah Guess who's ah this is playing Matt Stafford? In the revenge game.
00:19:02
Chilly
You got golf?
00:19:03
thedfsdeli
Okay. very buy It's the double revenge game, man.
00:19:06
Chilly
yeah got to all It's the double revenge game.
00:19:10
thedfsdeli
So, you know, the fan dual players get a treat. They get the highest over under on the slate. Um, well, which is their slate and we get the late night Yammer. So, uh, yeah, man, I'm excited to the the play all day, you know, cause I'm playing the hell out of some Rams.
00:19:25
thedfsdeli
Okay. I'm playing the hell out of some lions. Okay.
00:19:28
Chilly
Yeah.
00:19:28
thedfsdeli
So if, if you have this game on your slate and nobody wants to play Matt Stafford and the revenge game indoors at his old field, man, you better get some Matt Stafford in your life.
00:19:43
thedfsdeli
That's all I'm saying. That's all I'm saying.
00:19:47
thedfsdeli
I'm ah i'm gonna throw i'm go throw a really bad one at you. Can I throw a really bad one at you?
00:19:51
Chilly
Sure.
00:19:52
thedfsdeli
Since since we probably won't be doing a show tomorrow. Can I? Can I interest you in Daniel Jones against Minnesota?
00:20:02
Chilly
No.
00:20:04
thedfsdeli
Yo, hear me out.
00:20:07
Chilly
I have another I have another quarterback that I'd rather play.
00:20:07
thedfsdeli
Hear me out.
00:20:10
thedfsdeli
Hear me out. Minnesota is trash.
00:20:14
Chilly
They are.
00:20:14
thedfsdeli
to what we've seen trash on defense on offense, Sam Darnold.
00:20:22
Chilly
So it's a
00:20:22
thedfsdeli
If you want, if you want a cheap double stack and a bring back and you want to play Jay Jetta so bad, um don't we actually, I think, I think the, I think the bring back is kind of overrated, but that's still how I'm going to build my lineups because that's how I like building my lineups.
00:20:36
thedfsdeli
But if you still want to play a guy like Jay Jetta and you want a little game stack, Daniel Jones rushing for Terrible defense. Cheap targets, man.
00:20:48
thedfsdeli
I'm just saying you want to get weird. It is week one. You want to get weird. Daniel Jones is like right there, bro.
00:20:57
Chilly
Yeah, so ah so um if because we may not be doing obviously the secret menu tomorrow, um my low ownership quarterback actually would be Baker Mayfield.
00:20:57
thedfsdeli
say I was hoping you would say that.
00:21:11
Chilly
um Everybody's playing Jayden Daniels. You just go to the flip side. Washington's defense again, if we're going off of last year, it's not good.
00:21:19
thedfsdeli
sucks.
00:21:20
Chilly
It sucks. um We know where Baker Mayfield is going with the football.
00:21:25
thedfsdeli
Facts.
00:21:26
Chilly
And you don't even have to double stack them. You could honestly go Mayfield, Rashad White, Mike Evans, bring back Washington wide receiver. You're good. Got a nice little stack there. We've seen Baker Mayfield be able to break a slate. We've seen him have these high, these high games. So um nobody's playing Baker Mayfield tomorrow. Everybody will be on the commander side of things. So.
00:21:54
Chilly
I kind of like Baker Mayfield as my kind of dart throw there.
00:21:59
thedfsdeli
And you know, the cool thing about it is that, and we're going to transition and running back here in a second, but Richard White is like the chalk. So if you want to get off the chalk, the easiest way to do it is the passing game. You just, everybody's running Richard White. You just run Mike Evans, Baker Mayfield. Call it a day.
00:22:18
Chilly
Oh, and that's the thing, too, because if you put Rashad White on that team with Baker, you're still moving ahead of the field, especially if it's a passing touchdown.

Building Effective DFS Lineups

00:22:28
thedfsdeli
I just I just then been watching sans like the last what two games of the season maybe where Baker Mayfield was dropping 300 yard passing games like it was a damn job because well technically it is but it's one of those guys that is just like playing with a chip on his shoulder he's at home he gets a trash defense so it's like
00:22:47
Chilly
Correct.
00:22:49
thedfsdeli
i I mean, and he's, he's cheap. I mean, like, what are we talking? 7,200 for Baker Mayville? Come on, man.
00:22:58
Chilly
yeah and i ah
00:22:58
thedfsdeli
Like people, people want to play, people want to play Caleb Williams at 7,100. Okay. Why? It's one of the lowest totals on the damn board. I'm good. Like, and then you got Jake nails at 7,000.
00:23:09
thedfsdeli
Why don't you creep up a couple hundred dollars, play Baker on the opposite side and play like F1 as the run back. If you want a piece of the commanders,
00:23:16
Chilly
Yeah, and Baker Mayfield on DraftKings does have a little bit of ownership at 6%. It's not a lot, but he's 5,600 on DraftKings.
00:23:26
thedfsdeli
Oh, that's so cheap. It's cheap. Oh, before we transition to running back, actually, is, uh, is Justin Fields going to be the chalk if Russell Wilson doesn't suit up?
00:23:39
Chilly
I don't know his price.
00:23:40
thedfsdeli
Like, well, Fandwell has them both priced the same. They're both 6,900, but I think he is 5,000 on DraftKings.
00:23:48
Chilly
Man, I you just run naked Justin Fields out there, basically.
00:23:53
thedfsdeli
I guess that's, yeah, I guess you could do that.
00:23:54
Chilly
ah I he's going to take he would definitely lower the ownership of guys like Baker and Kyler for sure.
00:24:03
thedfsdeli
Mm hmm.
00:24:05
Chilly
So.
00:24:06
thedfsdeli
Absolutely.
00:24:07
Chilly
I mean, it would just make me want to play the Falcons defense that much more.
00:24:12
thedfsdeli
That's fair. That's fair. I'll give you that. Um, well, let's, uh, let's transition over to the running back position. As we mentioned, Rashad white looks to gain a lot of ownership, especially at, uh, over arrow Fandall at 7700 against the, you know, a trash, like we said, Washington defense, but there are some other interesting plays. And I think there's some cool pivots in here as well. Um, you know, if you don't want to play the Josh Allen side with the passers,
00:24:37
thedfsdeli
James Cook is coming in relatively low on 7,600 is a solid price for him. Kyron for some reason 7,800. I don't think that's enough for Kyron as much as he's been scoring like I said, but fan dual main slate only. um And then of course, everyone's favorite toy. They want to see what Bijon has this year and Bijon gets Pittsburgh. So Is this a situation where you can pay the high price tag for Bijon or are we kind of looking somewhere else? Because I got a really juicy matchup that I think we should be exploiting tomorrow. But before I think you'll mention them because normally we're on the same wavelength, but running backs, who you got?
00:25:17
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, so like, if we're taking a look at Fandul here, ah the top three backs in terms of ownership. I have Alvin Kamara, Chuba Hubbard, and Rashad White.
00:25:28
Chilly
um Obviously, Chuba is just the salary dump on Fandul. He is 5,600.
00:25:36
thedfsdeli
That's crazy.
00:25:38
Chilly
So again, um you could play him with the field, because he he's coming in with some ownership. um
00:25:45
thedfsdeli
Oh yeah.
00:25:46
Chilly
i Again here, we kind of mentioned them earlier. I really like James Cook against the Cardinals.
00:25:50
thedfsdeli
Mm
00:25:53
Chilly
um Again here, Buffalo was more concentrated on the run.
00:25:53
thedfsdeli
-hmm.
00:25:58
Chilly
um They do have one of the biggest matchups here in terms of O-line versus D-line. Buffalo's offensive line was ranked 13th with the Cardinals D-line ranked 32nd.
00:26:10
Chilly
So they're going to be able to force their will, um so to speak. Um, so kind of really like those match ups here. Um, the Miami running backs, that's a literal coin flip.
00:26:24
Chilly
One of them is getting in the box. Um, so yeah, right.
00:26:28
thedfsdeli
Yeah, they can't play Denver every week. So yeah. Yeah.
00:26:33
Chilly
Um, but just taking a look here, I mean, uh, again, though I mean, I really like my favorite running back this week is probably James Cook um for For the bills here um Just kind of going off of that narrative.
00:26:51
Chilly
I do I do like Rashad white I understand he's the proverbial chalk and I and I understand that a lot but um Those are kind of kind of where I'm leaning towards here
00:26:56
thedfsdeli
Mm hmm.

Running Back Strategies in DFS

00:27:04
thedfsdeli
Yeah, like, i I mean, I like those pics. And like I said, over here on FanDuel, my main one was Alvin Kamara. um Carolina stinks, man. And I mean, they I actually, you know what, I think New Orleans stinks, too. But
00:27:16
Chilly
i think both teams are bad um
00:27:18
thedfsdeli
I think both things are bad too. But if they can establish the run, I think they'll be just fine. I think Alva Camaro is going to be one of those guys that get more touches as the season goes along. um But like I said, I think number one for me is probably going to be James Cook this this week. Again, Arizona plays no type of defense. The ownership is shifting towards Josh Allen and maybe one or two of his pass catchers, especially with Kincaid at tight end. And I think that's a sneaky way to get off the other side of the chalk and just play your lineups differently. I mean, like you can play.
00:27:49
thedfsdeli
smart without playing bad players. like That's the thing, like you can you can make good lineups away from the chalk and not be completely off the reservation. So this is one of those weeks where I feel like, you know especially again, it's week one.
00:28:06
thedfsdeli
So if you're going to get weird, get weird right now. Like don't, don't feed into the chalk man. Just, just get weird now. So I think that's one of those not, not necessarily weird place, but like from an ownership projection. Yeah, I can totally see that happening. Um, real quick seeing as how, you know, we're yeah representing Cleveland, you know, what do we think about the Browns backfield?
00:28:29
thedfsdeli
And to a lesser extent, the Dallas backfield, like, is anything going to happen in that game? Or it's just going to be like one of those slugfest that we want to avoid.
00:28:36
Chilly
I mean, the Browns all.
00:28:37
thedfsdeli
Vegas says it's going to Vegas says it ain't going to be one of those type of games.
00:28:41
Chilly
I mean, the Browns offensive line is scaring me right now because of the injuries. I think Jack Coughlin has to play left tackle ah for the first time in his career. I think we're starting a rookie as well, um I think.
00:28:50
thedfsdeli
Yeah.
00:28:55
Chilly
um Or, ah you know, Willis Junior is basically out, I do believe. So like the Browns offensive line, that's what scares me.
00:29:05
Chilly
um And then, I mean, I've been screaming it before. I mean, the dust bus has one consistent person on it.
00:29:13
thedfsdeli
They came out and said it is gonna be running back committee. So, but if you want to get cute, he does only have two stops. I mean, the the location may have changed from what uniform he's donning this year, but the Gus bus only has two stops.
00:29:28
thedfsdeli
The first down marker and the end zone. So you want to get cheeky. I kind of, I kind of dig that. I kind of dig that for sure.
00:29:28
Chilly
Yeah.
00:29:35
Chilly
yeah I can't, I can't, I can't play the Dallas backfield. um I just can't.
00:29:42
thedfsdeli
What do you think? So speaking of back fields, you may or may not want to play. um What do you think about Cincinnati's backfield? Zach Moss pretty cheap. We saw him in a workhorse you know load last year with Indianapolis. Not saying he won't split time, but T Higgins doubtful. Jamal Chase. have He literally said he might play, but it might be limited.
00:30:09
thedfsdeli
so like Are the Bengals going to be pass happy? Throw in the hoop. So don't you think they would shift to the run just a little more in this matchup and maybe lean on a guy like Zepmos?
00:30:22
Chilly
You think they would but like New England made this came out and take it away and just forced Joe Burrow to pass Like if Chait What's the I can't pronoun pronounce his name what is like ah I can't pronounce the the dude's name I think it begins with an I or his last name against with an I Cincinnati wide receiver
00:30:32
thedfsdeli
ah So you're saying load up Trenton Irwin. Got it. Got it.
00:30:48
thedfsdeli
bro, you're asking the wrong guy.
00:30:51
Chilly
um
00:30:52
thedfsdeli
I'm north of Cincinnati. I don't give a damn, but like I said, if ain't the crocodile hundred trickner and I don't care.
00:30:57
Chilly
uh... uh... it's andrea the only also this so i mean like i'm just gonna let you know right now on fandul he's forty three hundred so uh...
00:31:01
thedfsdeli
Oh yeah.
00:31:07
thedfsdeli
He's below the men.
00:31:13
Chilly
i mean it's usually behind uh... uh... and had tried to earn one by the way if you're curious is forty four uh...
00:31:20
thedfsdeli
Bruh, let's get it, dude.
00:31:23
Chilly
So again, yeah, I don't hate the Zach Moss take proven veteran played well last year. Again, this is, we're walking into week one with injuries and unknown at team's new spots.
00:31:34
Chilly
Like, is it going to be Zach Moss? Is it going to be, was it Chase Brown? Is that what his name was?
00:31:38
thedfsdeli
Chase Brown, yep.
00:31:40
Chilly
Yeah. Like again, like I don't really want to go into back fields that are by committee. I'd rather go with what I know.
00:31:49
thedfsdeli
Absolutely. I mean, speaking of things that we know, how about, you know, this trashy Denver run defense can walk with a third, maybe question mark. How you feeling about that?
00:31:59
Chilly
I mean, I love me some Ken Walker the third. Again, I fear Zach Charbonnet a little bit. um But I mean, Ken Walker, we know Ken Walker at home, is just he lives on 70-yard touchdown run.
00:32:14
thedfsdeli
Absolutely. We're going to look up at like what four 15 they play. And then all of a sudden we're going to be watching the Browns game and this just in from Seattle.
00:32:14
Chilly
so
00:32:18
Chilly
yeah
00:32:21
thedfsdeli
And then he's going to bounce off the left side and be to the house.
00:32:24
thedfsdeli
We're all going to say, why didn't we play Ken Walker against Denver? That's exactly what you and I will be sitting there together watching the game games going.
00:32:25
Chilly
Correct.
00:32:28
Chilly
Correct.
00:32:33
thedfsdeli
We said it.
00:32:34
thedfsdeli
And there he goes.
00:32:34
Chilly
Yep.
00:32:35
Chilly
Yep. Yep.
00:32:35
thedfsdeli
There he goes. Cuz I mean like, it's a $300 discount from, on FanDuel, from Rachot White, the chalk. And it's like, you got that late swappability because you know they're playing late. So it's like,
00:32:49
thedfsdeli
You got the flexibility, you got the ownership discount, you got the big playability, and you got a Seattle team, again, playing at home, where they can run you up. I mean, like, a lot of people want to run out, you know, new JSN, DK Metcalf's going to get his, um you know, no we've talked about quarterbacks, but no one's going to play Gino, but Denver's secondary, very solid. The way you beat these guys is on the run. we We could see this offense shift to a more run-heavy style, even though they were run-heavy enough with Pete Carroll.
00:33:18
thedfsdeli
but you know, ball control type of deal to keep their defense off the field. I think Ken Walker could be one of those guys where you get your 13 to 15 carries, but two of them are housed 40 plus yards.
00:33:32
thedfsdeli
Totally see that. So Ken Walker is definitely going to be in my pool this weekend. Absolutely. one and One of my top plays to be honest.
00:33:41
thedfsdeli
So
00:33:41
Chilly
So ah I'll give you this question.
00:33:46
Chilly
So you got you got a bullet in the chamber. You can fire it if you want.
00:33:52
Chilly
Would you play the Gus bus dobbins or hold your one shot?
00:34:00
thedfsdeli
Uh, I think I'd rather, you know, turn it around and just shoot myself. I don't want to, I don't want to play any of those guys.
00:34:06
Chilly
Now I'm just going to let you know, I'll let you know they're due ah their price on fan duals. So the Gus bus is $6k. Dobbins is $5,500.
00:34:15
thedfsdeli
If I really need a save salary, then I mean, I gotta go with, uh, I gotta go with the boss, man. You know, if they're going to, if they're going to, I mean, you know, Harbaugh.
00:34:27
Chilly
They're running 40 times.
00:34:29
thedfsdeli
They'll run it 40 to 50 times. So like, and who, who is Justin Herbert throwing too? I think Harbaugh knows the answer is and nobody. So yes, I could see them running the hell out of the ball this weekend.
00:34:45
Chilly
Yeah, so like that that becomes super intriguing
00:34:49
thedfsdeli
I like that take. I like it. Now you got me thinking about it. Now you got me thinking about it. All right. Well, let's, uh, let's slide over to wide receiver where we definitely got some, some interesting plays, man. Cause like I mentioned before, I think two was ownership is going to get driven up because the chalk on Tyreid Hill is going to be outrageous on, you know, fander with that late game. A lot of people are going to play the sun God totally understand that. Um, and then.
00:35:18
thedfsdeli
kind of questions everywhere. Um, you know, we got the new toy and Marvin Harrison Jr. Going against Buffalo. Like I said, really like that matchup because Buffalo place is going to play a lesser amount of defense. They are a solid defense scheme wise, but you can't replace guys that keep getting hurt. So um there's there's there's a lot of places I feel we can go. But again, let's I guess let's start at the top. Right. So our big salary guys, you know, are you willing to play a guy like Jay Jetta, Pooka, Nakua,
00:35:53
thedfsdeli
You know, guys like that, like, and again, we don't know Jamar chase the status. I think I'm just going to X him off the board, honestly. And if he goes off and plays somehow, then more power to him. Cool story.

Wide Receiver DFS Potential

00:36:04
thedfsdeli
But he's not going to be in my player pool. um So let let me ask you, where are you starting if you had to pick one of these higher price guys?
00:36:12
Chilly
Uh, I'll just toss this out here before we get into that. By the way, the Cincinnati wide receivers name, who I couldn't pronounce is currently the chalk on draft Kings.
00:36:23
thedfsdeli
All right, so cool. Instant fade, Trenton Irwin. Got it.
00:36:26
Chilly
Yeah, he is a, he's sitting at 35%. He is a 3k creper as we would call it.
00:36:32
thedfsdeli
Instant fade, Trenton Irwin. How much Trenton Irwin?
00:36:35
Chilly
Oh God, he can't, uh, on draft Kings, he is 3,900.
00:36:42
thedfsdeli
I'll pay the 900 extra. I'll find it. I'll find it.
00:36:47
Chilly
um Yeah, I mean if we're taking a look here at these higher price salary guys um I mean obviously we know Tyree kill is coming in with some ownership ah ah Again, we know what Miami does at home ah is the resident dolphin fan ah this team at home is they They play like a top five team at home. Tyreek Hill breaks slates. He likes to break slates at home. I totally get it. If I have salary to get to Tyreek and I can jam it in comfortably, I will try to. um Because i he's the scariest fade, I think, of all time.
00:37:26
thedfsdeli
ah Oh, well, yeah, yeah, yeah, absolutely. If there's one man that could just literally put you to sleep, his name is Tyree Kill.
00:37:34
Chilly
correct. tyry k could put you to sleep at one thirty and then you're going after afternoon only slates like me so um like he said the unknown there with jamar chase again you just don't know what his full workload's going to be.
00:37:39
thedfsdeli
Big facts, big facts.
00:37:50
Chilly
we We just don't know. I mean, that's a scary move. um I love Marvin Harrison Jr. in this game. um I actually do like the other Cardinals wide receiver as well, Michael Wilson.
00:38:03
Chilly
um He's looked really good. he is the He is their number two wide receiver. He's a big target. He had a good rookie season last year. I don't think he gets enough credit for that.
00:38:13
Chilly
so
00:38:14
thedfsdeli
He had spurts.
00:38:14
Chilly
um
00:38:15
thedfsdeli
Absolutely.
00:38:16
Chilly
So like, I don't hate that take if you need to save some salary or whatever the case may be. Um, so I don't hate that take at all. Um, I think, I think this is a pretty easy call here as well, but this, let me double check.
00:38:31
Chilly
Uh, let me check my resources here. Uh, yeah. Okay. Well, we're at that point in the night. It's getting real, it's getting, it's getting real low.
00:38:40
thedfsdeli
Oh, no.
00:38:43
Chilly
Look. The bar's clearing out. i You know, Baker, Baker likes, Baker would have loved to take this fat chick home, but he's got his new boo.
00:38:56
thedfsdeli
Ooh.
00:38:58
Chilly
He's got his new boo.
00:38:58
thedfsdeli
Right, yeah you know he's got the new boo. Yeah, he's got new boo.
00:39:01
Chilly
He's like, he throws his arm around Steph. He's like, hey, babe, like and look at her all alone over there. She's all by herself.
00:39:09
thedfsdeli
All alone.
00:39:10
thedfsdeli
All alone.
00:39:11
Chilly
He's like, he's like, I used to take that home.
00:39:14
Chilly
Used to be part of my favorite team.
00:39:17
thedfsdeli
Before he got wait I got with you, babe. Before I got with you.
00:39:21
Chilly
Baker, Baker leaves the bar. The door shuts behind him. Mean you ease on into the old girl.
00:39:30
thedfsdeli
Alright, and what is-
00:39:32
Chilly
This fat chick this week is none other than Jay Jetta, Justin Jefferson.
00:39:39
thedfsdeli
That is Baker's ex!
00:39:43
Chilly
I mean, again, Justin Jefferson, Sam Darnold alone, Justin Jefferson is going to get his. ah My only concern in that game is that like the Giants do have a really respectable defensive line. um But like, let's be real, Sam Darnold uh we'll just pepper this mambo target um i don't think there's anybody on the giant who can stop jetta um nobody's playing them um it's a very interesting take but i do like me some justin jefferson this week um yeah
00:40:13
thedfsdeli
Joey, Joey, hear me out. I'ma say it again. You run Daniel Jones, right? You double stack him with two of his targets and you run it back with the fat chick at the bar. Done.
00:40:30
Chilly
Do you have to double stack them because of the rushing floor? Can you just go Jones, Neighbors, Jetta?
00:40:36
thedfsdeli
You think a lot of, you think people are going to play, you think a lot of people are going to play Malik neighbors week one?
00:40:41
Chilly
I can check the ownership.
00:40:42
thedfsdeli
I mean, it's I know it's a new toy. you know A lot of people like to play the new toys, week one.
00:40:47
Chilly
thought So let's see.
00:40:47
thedfsdeli
But like I don't know, man.
00:40:50
Chilly
So he's got so so he has he's got ownership on DraftKings, right?
00:40:50
thedfsdeli
I mean, I would do it. I would single stack them. I would single stack them with neighbors. Why not?
00:40:56
Chilly
so like
00:40:57
thedfsdeli
Mm-hmm.
00:40:58
Chilly
There he is going to be played. The thing is, is like nobody's playing Daniel Jones with them, right? So that's how you would get.
00:41:03
thedfsdeli
I got ah got neighbors at 5% over here on FanDuel.
00:41:08
Chilly
Uh, DraftKings, he's at 15%. Let's check what I got for FanDuel. I am using ETR just in case for the, for the field there. ah ETR has him at 11 for FanDuel.
00:41:20
thedfsdeli
Mm.
00:41:21
Chilly
So again, and this is the great thing about week one, we don't know.
00:41:21
thedfsdeli
Mm.
00:41:24
thedfsdeli
Week one, right?
00:41:26
Chilly
We don't know what these numbers are going to look like. um So, I mean, on, let's see, he's probably, I mean, on FanDuel, he's pretty affordable.
00:41:28
thedfsdeli
We don't know shit. Nothing. Nothing.
00:41:37
Chilly
And he's got good value, truthfully, per with the state.
00:41:39
thedfsdeli
Mm-hmm.
00:41:40
Chilly
So, um I'm not hating the neighbor's take. um I think, I'm mostly going to put this out there. I think CooperCup on FanDuel at 7K, I think CooperCup
00:41:55
thedfsdeli
He's going to be so chalky.
00:41:57
Chilly
I don't know if he's going to be chalky. ah Oh, oh, oh.
00:41:59
thedfsdeli
I got him with a lot of ownership over here on Fandoor for four. So because people don't want to pay up for people don't want to pay up for Buka, which I get it, but.
00:42:03
Chilly
OK, OK, so. Yeah, like I will say Cooper Cup just as a hot take for the season, like ah he's coming in healthy.
00:42:16
Chilly
He wasn't really healthy last year.
00:42:18
thedfsdeli
Right.
00:42:18
Chilly
So like I think we're going to see a Cooper Cup resurgence.
00:42:22
thedfsdeli
I think you can get him while he's cheap. I agree.
00:42:24
Chilly
Um, I mean, debt, debt taxes and Cooper cup.
00:42:24
thedfsdeli
Get him while he's a little cheaper.
00:42:27
Chilly
So, um, you know, again here, like, again, it's week one.
00:42:29
thedfsdeli
Don't forget.
00:42:34
Chilly
Uh, you know, we got guys like Drake London, like, what is Drake London going to look like? Wait, our first cousins.
00:42:41
thedfsdeli
Yeah, man.
00:42:42
Chilly
Um.
00:42:42
thedfsdeli
Again, another that's another good pivot play, everyone wants to play Bijon, you can always just play the passing game. And again, that's that's one of the things I wanna preach so much to anybody that listens to us here on the DFS Deli, because you all listen to us here at the DFS Deli. Once again, you're all in my world. But like the easiest way to get off the chalk, everybody's on the running game, play the passing game.
00:43:09
thedfsdeli
That's the easiest pivot in the world. You don't have to pick another player. You don't have to go from Tyreke to waddle. You don't have to do things like that. If the passing game is hot. play the running game If the running game is hot, just play the passing game.

DFS Pivot Strategies

00:43:23
thedfsdeli
yeah do You dodge all the ownership that's on the opposite side, and you're surpassing the people that are so heavily invested in these other guys. So again, with with the ownership leaning so so much to Tyreek Hill, like Chills said, he could put you to sleep. But at the same time, if he's 25 to 35% owned, and you got the Miami backfield,
00:43:49
thedfsdeli
Or you just decide, I want to pay down and go to Jalen Waddle. And he goes off. You surpass that entire portion, that 35%, that has that one guy. And your lineup is already at an advantage. The easiest pivot in fantasy football. It's just that.
00:44:11
thedfsdeli
So everybody's on Bijon. Like Chill said, play a guy like Drake London. Play Kirk Cousins. Play Kyle. Don't play Kyle Pitts. But anyway.
00:44:21
thedfsdeli
oh But we'll get there. We'll get there.
00:44:24
Chilly
um ah
00:44:24
thedfsdeli
But I digress. Go on.
00:44:25
Chilly
A couple more things here. I obviously like Mike Evans this week because I do like me some Baker Mayfield.
00:44:31
thedfsdeli
Yes.
00:44:32
Chilly
um It's Mike Evans.
00:44:32
thedfsdeli
Yes.
00:44:34
Chilly
That's all we got to say. um I'm kind of looking here, at least on DraftKings.
00:44:35
thedfsdeli
Yes.
00:44:39
Chilly
I'm going to take a look here on FanDuel as well. um Just taking a look.
00:44:44
thedfsdeli
Was I screaming that last year?
00:44:46
thedfsdeli
Was I doing the Mike Evans every week, bro?
00:44:46
Chilly
Yeah.
00:44:49
Chilly
Yep.
00:44:50
thedfsdeli
Yeah, that's it.
00:44:50
Chilly
Yep.
00:44:50
thedfsdeli
yeah Okay. The same thing applies. Mike Evans every week, bro.
00:44:56
Chilly
So um I'm just going to toss this out to you, and you can take a look at your rankings here.
00:44:56
thedfsdeli
Simple as that.
00:45:03
thedfsdeli
Yes.
00:45:03
Chilly
Nobody's playing the Houston passing game.
00:45:09
thedfsdeli
Strange, isn't it?
00:45:13
thedfsdeli
Strange.
00:45:14
Chilly
like Stroud is not owned, neither is the passing game.
00:45:18
thedfsdeli
We'll get to it at the end because CJ shroud is definitely in one of my top three stacks for this week. So we'll we'll get to it when we get the favorite stacks. But I love me some Nathaniel Bell.
00:45:29
thedfsdeli
I love me some Nico. I'm playing Steph digs that guy. All right. Completely done with them.
00:45:35
Chilly
Thank you.
00:45:36
thedfsdeli
All right. You left my team. Well, we basically removed you, you know, Learn how to freaking catch a deep ball with the playoffs on the line asshole. um Anyway, again, I digress. But yes, I agree with you. We we might wanna load up some some Houston passing game, bro. I'm just saying, we might wanna do that.
00:45:54
Chilly
Yeah, and I'll tell us one more out here. Christian Kirk is essentially the Jacksonville Jaguars, number one. He's pretty cheap. It's a high total game.
00:46:05
Chilly
um you know Gabe Davis is essentially 70-yard touchdown or bust. ah Christian Kirk, I think, is is absolutely worth a look to in that game.
00:46:17
thedfsdeli
I respect that. Um, last one I mentioned before we go over to tight in, unless you got somebody else, but again, already mentioned it before, but F one.
00:46:28
thedfsdeli
you should probably consider Terry McClellan this week. Just kind of kind of throwing that out there. I mean, everybody wants to play Jane Daniels, but like, who are you gonna pair him with?
00:46:41
thedfsdeli
You would think you would naturally go to F1, but F1 has like next to no ownership and Tampa Bay's defense is sauce on secondary, secondary.
00:46:51
thedfsdeli
They can stop the hell out of a run. They they they stop in the run.
00:46:53
Chilly
Always, always, always care.
00:46:55
thedfsdeli
Oh, you ain't running no Tampa. Okay. But you can sure as hell pass on them. So, um, yeah, I'm just saying, if you like chills playing Baker Mayfield, we're playing Mike Evans every week, bro. There's your run back F1 kind of sitting there. 6,200. I think that's pretty damn cheap for a guy as explosive as F1. So I mean,
00:47:24
thedfsdeli
kind of signed me up, kind of digging it. So there we go. That's my take.
00:47:30
thedfsdeli
We ready to head over to tight end or we we missed somebody in Tight end is always ugly.
00:47:30
Chilly
there and
00:47:32
Chilly
They're not tight end is just kind of ugly Take
00:47:37
thedfsdeli
Is Sam LaPorta on the main slate? He is. Cool.
00:47:41
Chilly
the head technically on Fandul. Yes, he is Well, did I fandul I ain't paying eight cave per sample Porta
00:47:44
thedfsdeli
Technically, I'm a fan of him. Yes, he is.
00:47:49
thedfsdeli
Hail to the gnaw when I can play 6400 for a Trey McBride, okay?
00:47:50
Chilly
but
00:47:54
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, honestly, my tight intake this week is um as much as I love Kyle Pitts, I don't like chalky Kyle Pitts.
00:48:04
thedfsdeli
I don't like Kyle Pitts.
00:48:06
Chilly
A chalky Kyle Pitts, I mean, on DraftKings for $4,600, I may just join the field um because it's just so cheap. um
00:48:16
thedfsdeli
Yeah, fair. That is a pretty good price.
00:48:19
Chilly
So, um I mean, obviously you have Dalton Kincaid
00:48:26
Chilly
Honestly this tight end this week is a start throw.
00:48:29
thedfsdeli
Yeah, I think ah this is where you want to save some money and kind of, I mean, I would point it off, um, to be honest. I mean, like, again, new toy, Brock Bowers playing the chargers.
00:48:41
thedfsdeli
But again, when is Vegas going to see the field of the charge is going to be running 50 times.
00:48:45
Chilly
I agree.
00:48:46
thedfsdeli
So, uh, you know, there's that that's already off the freaking board. Um, again, I love Trey McBride. I think he's probably on the the higher end of the price scale.
00:48:57
thedfsdeli
My favorite. Titan, honestly.
00:48:59
Chilly
is He's mine as well.
00:49:01
thedfsdeli
Yeah, I mean, if I.
00:49:01
Chilly
If I can if i can jam it with pride, I'm going to.

Tight End Options and Listener Engagement

00:49:05
thedfsdeli
Yeah, if I can get a McBride, I think he's I think he's the guy for me and. I would be remiss if. I didn't I didn't say ah weapon X.
00:49:20
thedfsdeli
He's finally got the non QB pricing built in on Fando, he's 5500 so like. gimmicky wise, if you want to play Taysom Hill, you totally can. I love Taysom Hill. So any opportunity I get to play them, if I got 5500 remaining, you can, you can go ahead and sign me up. But, um, I think another, I think another really interesting one. And again, you know, and main slate only is a guy like random dart throw, Colby Parkinson ramps. Question mark.
00:49:58
thedfsdeli
Gotta throw to somebody else.
00:49:58
Chilly
Yeah. Hey, did you know Micah Sickie is on the Bengals?
00:50:01
thedfsdeli
So.
00:50:05
thedfsdeli
Yes.
00:50:06
Chilly
I did not.
00:50:07
thedfsdeli
I randomly knew that, yes.
00:50:09
Chilly
I did not. I for sure did not know that that's a thing.
00:50:13
thedfsdeli
Mm-hmm, it's a thing.
00:50:14
Chilly
And it, like, I don't hate it. Don't hate it.
00:50:20
thedfsdeli
i Don't hate it. Yeah, tight end sucks. I mean, it always has. It always will. Travis Kelsey ain't on a slate, even though he didn't do anything on Thursday. But we and't we don't have no tight ends breaking slates, OK?
00:50:31
Chilly
You can put Johnny Mutt in there with your Sam Darnold double-sacks.
00:50:37
thedfsdeli
Who the hell said I was double stacking Sam Darnell? I said I'm playing Jay Jetta as a run back. I'll play Daniel Jones way before I play Sam Darnell.
00:50:46
Chilly
So is this where the dolphin that hits big is Janu Smith?
00:50:52
thedfsdeli
I am, well, at least Jono Smith is away from Kyle Pitts, right?
00:50:56
Chilly
True.
00:50:57
thedfsdeli
At least we got that. we We do got that. So I mean, that's a good thing.
00:51:01
Chilly
But yeah, I mean like either pay up, you're either paying up for tight end, you're just playing the chalk or dart throw. If I can get the trademark right on either site, I'm getting the trademark applied.
00:51:11
thedfsdeli
Or, or you can double stack them with your Baker Mayfield stacks and throw in Kate Otten.
00:51:19
Chilly
Always.
00:51:20
thedfsdeli
5,200 K dot and he's good for a one yard touchdown.
00:51:23
Chilly
Always.
00:51:23
thedfsdeli
That's all you need.
00:51:25
Chilly
That's all you need.
00:51:26
thedfsdeli
Always, always K dot.
00:51:27
Chilly
Well, Mike, ah what Mike Evans is getting three.
00:51:29
thedfsdeli
You damn right. Because a hard fast rule on the DFS deli, Mike Evans every week, bro.
00:51:38
thedfsdeli
Simple. And then K dot is like, Hey, So I mean you playing Mike, you playing Baker, gotta throw me in, throw me in.
00:51:38
Chilly
Hey.
00:51:49
thedfsdeli
Defense, I mean, whatever. Who can you fit? Right? Who, who, who can you fit?
00:51:58
Chilly
Right.
00:52:00
thedfsdeli
For some reason. So can you explain to me why the Vikings defense is 5,000?
00:52:08
Chilly
This is Daniel Jones and the Giants.
00:52:10
thedfsdeli
Daniel, mark my words.
00:52:12
Chilly
yeah
00:52:12
thedfsdeli
Hold on, I want to make sure that I'm looking direct, because I normally look at myself when I'm talking. I'm going to look directly into the motherfucking camera. Look at me when I'm talking to you. those on YouTube. And while you're looking at me, make sure you hit that subscribe button is right down there.
00:52:25
thedfsdeli
It's really simple takes two seconds. And if you're listening to the podcast version, make sure you hit subscribe. Because as soon as we upload, it goes to your feed. And you can listen to us here right here on the DFS deli.
00:52:38
thedfsdeli
But what I was about to say is look at me look into my eyes when I'm so speaking to you. Okay. Daniel Jones is going to win someone a million dollars week one.
00:52:50
Chilly
damn
00:52:51
thedfsdeli
That's my bowl. Take, take it, take it with however you want to take it.
00:52:55
Chilly
Damn.
00:52:56
thedfsdeli
Okay. Daniel Jones, watch, watch this week when it's someone a million dollars.
00:53:05
Chilly
Wow.
00:53:05
thedfsdeli
There it is. So I'm not paying $5,000 for the inviting Stevens. That's going to get absolutely wrecked by Daniel dimes. Okay.
00:53:15
Chilly
That's ball move.
00:53:18
thedfsdeli
Watch, watch. Watch any who, uh, defenses that we actually care about that we need to, uh, like defense really don't ever take a priority for me. So like I normally on fan dual, at least, and on draft Kings to a lesser extent, like pay in the $3,000 and below range on fan dual was $4,000 and below. There's some people are, I'm sorry. There's some places I do want to take a look at, you know, some of the lower total games, but some of the games that might be more pass happy than others, because again,
00:53:48
thedfsdeli
More passes him. This means more interceptions, potentially pick sixes from retired, et cetera. Defenses I'm trying to probably avoid is probably like Vegas against the chargers. They're not passing the king ball. So I'm not playing a defense like that. Opportunistic defenses may be like Jacksonville against Miami to was not perfect.
00:54:11
Chilly
No.
00:54:11
thedfsdeli
They might put up 35 on you, but some of them could go the other way. So there's, there's another option. You know, you got the Falcons against Justin Fields, potentially 3,600 is pretty solid price. I mean, there, there's a lot of different ways you can go.
00:54:27
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, you got, um, so on Fandal here, your, your top three own defenses are Falcons, Bears, Browns. Um, you got Seattle at home against a rookie.
00:54:39
Chilly
Seattle is a tough place to play. Uh, I think Seattle, Seattle is going to be pretty chalky, probably on both sides.
00:54:41
thedfsdeli
Yeah.
00:54:44
Chilly
Um, on Draftkink, uh,
00:54:45
thedfsdeli
I picked them up in yearly. So I mean, you know, I hope they're over each other.
00:54:48
Chilly
I mean, on DraftKings, the Chargers are the highest-owned defense, which I totally get with Gardner-Minchu, because Gardner-Minchu don't care. He's just chucking it. um
00:54:59
thedfsdeli
Damn right. He is a shout out to Baker.
00:55:01
Chilly
You know, yeah, shout out, Blake. Yeah, so again, here, I think there's a good ton of good defenses you could play. um I don't know if I would necessarily pay play the Bills or Cardinals defense, only because, like,
00:55:18
Chilly
Tyler Murray is not that much of a turnover prone quarterback. Josh Allen is, but with this newer offense and they kind of play a little bit slower, he is less likely to turn over the ball. But again, you know, that's kind of what we saw, uh, at the end of last season.
00:55:32
Chilly
But again, you know, it's part of that unknown factor. Um, on Fandul here, the Falcons, Bears and Browns are our highest defense, own defenses.
00:55:35
thedfsdeli
right
00:55:42
Chilly
Um, on Fandul, I'm probably just with the field and playing Atlanta's defense.
00:55:44
thedfsdeli
right
00:55:46
Chilly
It's 3,600. really cheap. um I mean, if I was gonna pay up for a defense on FanDuel,
00:55:50
thedfsdeli
yeah you're probably right you're not
00:55:56
Chilly
ah
00:56:00
Chilly
honest honestly, if I if i was gonna pay up, it it's it's the Seahawks.
00:56:00
thedfsdeli
You're not.
00:56:04
thedfsdeli
The Seahawks is the highest you will go and you know it. yeah
00:56:08
Chilly
I mean, part of me pardon me was thinking Tampa against Jayden Daniels, um especially if Tampa puts them in a situation where they're gonna have to pass, and with ah And with a quarterback who does run, you get fumbles. So you get a little bit more opportunity there. So I probably won't, but I don't i could totally see somebody playing Tampa and that making a ton of sense.
00:56:31
thedfsdeli
Well, you know what you're not going to do on Tampa run. So, uh, they're going to be in a situation where they have to freaking pass buddy.
00:56:35
Chilly
You're not running. I can't remember. i don't i don't think I can't remember the last year you could run on Tampa, what, pre-COVID?
00:56:45
thedfsdeli
and Right. Seriously. I think I was graduating high school last time you can run on Tampa, but still, um,
00:56:50
Chilly
Yeah, right? It's like...

DFS Stacks and Predictions for Week One

00:56:54
thedfsdeli
but yeah, man, uh, as we conclude things here,
00:56:57
thedfsdeli
You got to hit me with it. If I was running out three lineups, you're running out three lineups.
00:57:01
Chilly
Okay.
00:57:02
thedfsdeli
We're running out three lineups.
00:57:03
Chilly
Okay.
00:57:04
thedfsdeli
I need three stacks that the people can take to the bank. Three stacks that you got some confidence in this week. They don't necessarily have to be a double stack. They can be a single stack.
00:57:14
thedfsdeli
Of course, you know, I'm double stacking, but yeah. Give me three stacks that you got that you like this week that the people can grasp onto and take away from the Delhi.
00:57:25
thedfsdeli
Serve them up some serve them up.
00:57:25
Chilly
Yeah, so yeah so um I kind of have one.
00:57:29
Chilly
I'm going to include this as one stack. um I like the Bills game.
00:57:31
thedfsdeli
Hmm.
00:57:33
Chilly
So i if I'm going to stack it, I'm probably going Allen, Cook, Shakir, or I'm going Allen, Cook, Kincaid.
00:57:34
thedfsdeli
Okay.
00:57:44
Chilly
The Cardinals side, i'm probably going I'm going Kyler, Harrison McBride. I don't think I'm changing that. um I could be convinced to um get rid of McBride for Michael Wilson, but that'd be like a large field take, like a very large field take.
00:58:03
Chilly
um So I like that.
00:58:03
thedfsdeli
yeah
00:58:05
Chilly
So I'm going to include that as one. um I mean, we've mentioned it already. I really like this Tampa Bay side with everybody being on the Jane Daniel side. So um I'm kind of good like Baker, Mike Evans, Rashad White.
00:58:19
Chilly
um I really like that angle of the game um And then honestly, it's the Homer and me but the dolphins at home Yeah ah You browns Yeah, but the show might be worse Like again, that's that's a game that's an unknown to me like I
00:58:27
thedfsdeli
Yeah. Sean Watson. Oh, wait. No. Oh yeah. I forgot. You're an officer. Never mind.
00:58:36
thedfsdeli
Hey man, Dallas Davis is gonna be ass. So I mean like, he right. That guy, he's right.
00:58:49
Chilly
You got the Browns missing O alignment, Dallas is missing Bland. I don't know what I'm getting out of anybody there. Like if the Browns are smart, they literally triple team CD lamb a call of the day, like every play.
00:59:02
thedfsdeli
Every play.
00:59:04
Chilly
Um, so I, I kind of do like the dolphin side of things. Again, nobody's playing to, uh, um, it's, it's a pricey double stack, but some value has opened up to kind of jam it in.
00:59:11
thedfsdeli
Pardon.
00:59:16
Chilly
Um, So I definitely, and again, the Jaguars wide receivers are cheap. um You can bring it back with ETM. Miami's run defense ain't nothing either. So um it's going to be hard for me to kind of get away from a to a stack, especially with the value opening up. The value opening up makes that stack easier to jam in.
00:59:40
thedfsdeli
Mm-hmm.
00:59:41
thedfsdeli
Mm-hmm.
00:59:41
Chilly
So, and again, I'm just kind of learning today about this value.
00:59:45
Chilly
Um, it is chalky value, but I mean, you got Cincinnati.
00:59:48
thedfsdeli
From Cincinnati? Cincinnati receivers?
00:59:51
thedfsdeli
Yeah.
00:59:51
Chilly
Um, so, um, I mean, you got Cincinnati guys, like I can be convinced to jam in a chargers running back.
00:59:59
Chilly
If I got to jam somebody in like there there's value here, uh, Cuba.
01:00:04
thedfsdeli
Or you're not jamming in anything. You're playing a charger running back to jam someone else in.
01:00:09
Chilly
Correct.
01:00:09
thedfsdeli
You're not jamming in $6,000, OK?
01:00:12
thedfsdeli
You're using that guy to jam in someone else.
01:00:12
Chilly
I mean, like, I mean, technically, I mean, Chuba, you like Chuba Hubbard is the jam in there on Fandal 5600.
01:00:19
Chilly
So ah I ain't doing it.
01:00:21
thedfsdeli
I ain't playing that. I'm not fucking doing it. I'm not doing it. I ain't doing it. You can't make me do it either way.
01:00:26
Chilly
I fucking played it.
01:00:29
thedfsdeli
I fucking leave it.
01:00:31
Chilly
ah But the those are the three stacks I'm going to kind of lean on this week. um I think you'll kind of mention my other stack, so I kind of left that one to you, but. those Those are the three I'm looking at.
01:00:44
thedfsdeli
If I'm playing the type of tournaments that I'm playing, because you know, I like small field single entry or three entry max, my three stacks is CJ Stroud pick two and you go Nico Nathaniel, run it back with whoever you want.
01:00:58
Chilly
That's the one I got.
01:01:01
thedfsdeli
If you don't want to run it back, don't, don't bother me. Michael Pitt, you know, whatever, whatever you want to do, but there's not enough ownership on CJ Stroud that needs to change.
01:01:13
thedfsdeli
Actually, for my sake, I hope it don't change. Boy, if I'm me. CJ Stroud, pick two. Baker Mayfield, pick two.
01:01:23
thedfsdeli
yeah And Kyler, pick two. You know, again, McBride's probably my number one tight end for this week. Love James Cook, probably top two or three running backs on my board for this week. I like that game environment. So kind of want to stick there. Fan do only, like I said, because they got the Rams game on the main slate.
01:01:44
thedfsdeli
Matt Stafford in the revenge game, Jared Goff in the revenge game, either side works for me. Um, you know, in that Stafford stack, I would prefer to pay up to get the Puca, but you know, Cooper cup cheap. And again, he's healthy. Like, you know, you mentioned chill, so I kind of like that. And of course for large field only, you want to run out some Daniel Jones. Okay. Against Minnesota and run it back with the fat chick at the bar.
01:02:13
thedfsdeli
Those are my three to four stacks that I will be using this weekend. there there There might be some other people that creep in, but I highly doubt I will use any other quarterbacks other than Stroud, Murray, Stafford, Mayfield, and Jones. And again, if I'm playing on DraftKings, that eliminates Stafford. So those are your four guys. And the larger the field gets, the more Daniel Dimes I will be exposed to.
01:02:44
thedfsdeli
So as we close up, chill. I need a bold take before we get out of here. I need I need you to get bold. I need you to get bold.
01:02:54
Chilly
need me to get bold, huh?
01:02:55
thedfsdeli
We need we need a bold take before we before we shut down the grill.
01:02:58
Chilly
All right.
01:03:00
thedfsdeli
You know, you got to get some takeout for the people.
01:03:02
Chilly
That's all right.
01:03:03
thedfsdeli
So.
01:03:04
Chilly
We can get some takeout. So we need we need a bold take here, huh?
01:03:08
thedfsdeli
Mm hmm.
01:03:10
Chilly
Let's go. ah So I think this week, I think it's pretty bold enough. I'm just going to go i'm just goingnna go one ah James Cook is the highest scoring running back on the slate.
01:03:25
thedfsdeli
Ooh, he's cooking. That helps my fantasy teams. That's for sure. That's for sure. As bold as I'm going to get, James Cook could be the number one scoring running back, but it's going to be in a loss because not only is Kyler Murray going to be your highest scoring quarterback, not only is Trey McBride going to be your highest scoring tight end. Not only is James Cook going to be the highest scoring running back because that will be the highest scoring game on the slate.
01:03:54
thedfsdeli
right behind Kyler bank right behind Kyler, not Baker Mayfield. No, no, no, no, no. Daniel Jones is going to win somebody a million dollars this Sunday. Watch Malik neighbors is going to be your number one scoring rookie raw receiver this week.
01:04:11
thedfsdeli
Put on the board, put on the board.
01:04:13
Chilly
fold. If we got to give a real life scenario um for for a from a betting aspect, I kind of like the Panthers plus four.
01:04:25
thedfsdeli
Oh, okay.
01:04:26
Chilly
just I'm just tossing that out there. This is a random thing. I kind of like the Panthers and plus four.
01:04:33
Chilly
I know they're i know they're on the road, but like I don't think the Saints are that good of a team.
01:04:34
thedfsdeli
Okay.
01:04:39
thedfsdeli
The saints suck.
01:04:40
Chilly
so I like the Panthers in four.
01:04:44
thedfsdeli
Okay. I like that. I like that. Whatever the line is for the Cardinals, take the Cardinals just, and it's coming from a Buffalo fan.
01:04:50
Chilly
i
01:04:53
thedfsdeli
And it internally, I would love to see Buffalo win, but this shit happens every freaking year at the beginning of the season. They stink.
01:05:01
thedfsdeli
I don't know what it is.
01:05:01
Chilly
the I got the line at six and a half.
01:05:04
Chilly
so the car
01:05:04
thedfsdeli
Oh my God. Cardinals take the fucking Cardinals to take it. Take it. I'm betting it. I don't give a damn. I'm betting it. Whatever, whatever the totals for Daniel Jones is rushing passing.
01:05:17
thedfsdeli
I'm taking it.
01:05:19
Chilly
And the ah the sense in that the Cincinnati line has dropped down from ten to seven and a half.
01:05:20
thedfsdeli
I'm gonna parlay it together.
01:05:24
Chilly
Like, it's interesting.
01:05:27
thedfsdeli
That's what happened ah the happens. That's what happens when you make receivers don't freaking play.
01:05:31
Chilly
It's interesting though because like New England is not good.
01:05:34
thedfsdeli
I know, but some things you just can't overcome.
01:05:35
Chilly
It's interesting.
01:05:38
thedfsdeli
So, you know.
01:05:39
Chilly
facts
01:05:40
thedfsdeli
Well, I think that'll do it for the of official first episode of the DFS Deli. um Make sure you hit that subscribe like on the way out. If you got any questions, you can find me, my boy chill on Instagram. So for chill for Baker, we hope you all have a successful week one. We're going to go ahead and close up the shop. And of course we'll see you all at the top. Thanks for listening.