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Week 11 NFL DFS Main Slate Breakdown
35 Plays2 days ago
Get ready for Week 11 of the NFL DFS main slate! This week on The DFS Deli, we're breaking down our favorite plays at every position. From reliable studs to under-the-radar values, we’re diving into the top picks to help you build those winning lineups. Whether you’re a seasoned DFS player or just starting out, this episode is packed with insights and strategies to give you an edge. Tune in and let’s cash together!
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Transcript
Looking Ahead to Week 11
00:00:01
Sully Shaheed
Week 10 mercifully is behind us and I don't ever want to talk about it again. We are on to Cincinnati and the DFS deli is on to week 11. So join us as we dive in and take the 50,000 foot view of the main slate here on the DFS deli. Turn on the open signs and welcome in.
Introductions and Host Backgrounds
00:00:21
Sully Shaheed
um for the de
00:00:36
Sully Shaheed
Hey, welcome in to the DFS deli. I'm the proprietor of this delicatessen Sully Alicia he'd, and it is a cool, cold, crispy Wednesday here in Cleveland, Ohio. And I am joined tonight,
Reflections on Week 10 NFL Events
00:00:50
Sully Shaheed
of course, by my favorite coworkers on the entire planet. Probably my only coworkers actually.
00:00:54
Sully Shaheed
ah Baker chill. Welcome back to work. It is week 11. The NFL season is flying past as per usual. The full disclaimer that we have to mention that I can't believe we're halfway through the season, blah, blah, blah, etc, etc. Baker, how's Columbus, Ohio treating you?
00:01:14
Baker
Um, it's not as cold or as crisp, crisp down here. So, you know, we're, we're, we're still getting used to the lay of the land. Every so often I still get lost because I refuse to use my GPS. I'm like, I can find my way home a half hour later. I'm still in the same area. Like where the fuck am I? But we're having fun. Uh, and yeah. Um, Sally, how was your week 10 by the way?
00:01:44
Sully Shaheed
Chilly, welcome to work.
00:01:46
Chilly
Yeah,
00:01:46
Sully Shaheed
yeah I appreciate you joining us tonight, even though you're fighting a a little ah little illness.
00:01:50
Chilly
just No I'm hanging in there. It's just hard to speak for long periods of time, but we'll power through Yeah, just some interesting slate kind of some
00:01:54
Sully Shaheed
Like I said, ah you know the weather in Cleveland has not been favorable for any of us.
00:01:55
Chilly
yeah just
00:01:59
Sully Shaheed
So basically how are you doing, man?
00:01:59
Chilly
no
00:02:00
Sully Shaheed
You hanging in there?
00:02:01
Chilly
um i'm hanging in there it's just hard to speak for long periods of time but we'll power through um yeah just some interesting slate kind of so I don't know. I don't know. Hopefully it won't be as bad as last week, so it's ready to dive on in.
00:02:20
Sully Shaheed
Nothing happened last week. Nothing. Absolutely nothing happened last week. All right, fine, fine, fine. I would like to apologize to anybody that listened to any advice that I gave you. There were, there were very few hits in between the terrible plays that I got off the wall with. There was Jalen hurts came through thumbs up Cooper rush. Wow. That was an all timer. How does one score zero and not get hurt?
00:02:58
Sully Shaheed
I just, I, but I, you know what? It would have been different if CD lamb could see the ball, right? I could have been off to the races. If you would have caught that touchdown or Zeke doesn't fumble inside the red zone. There were a lot of things that happened inside that game, but at the same time, I think there's one moral of the story in that the Cowboys are trash.
00:03:22
Sully Shaheed
And I think we said this weeks ago, right? So they're just just solidifying the point that I brought up here on the show several weeks ago, that their season is completely done and dusted.
00:03:31
Baker
But they traded for Jonathan Mingo. Clearly they're still in contention, bro.
00:03:37
Sully Shaheed
Was he even active?
00:03:39
Baker
No.
00:03:41
Sully Shaheed
that ah
00:03:44
Chilly
They gave up more from Mingo than what they got back from Murray Cooper.
00:03:51
Sully Shaheed
I can't talk about that trash team anymore because they're not on the slate. Thank God.
00:03:56
Baker
Unless you wanna play the full Thursday through Monday slate and then, and then, we can talk about the Cowboys, just saying.
00:03:59
Chilly
Absolutely not. No.
00:04:07
Sully Shaheed
You know, the Thursday through Monday slate would be kind of fun because we are deprived of commies Eagles tomorrow night. And I think that game could be fun. I really think it could be fun.
00:04:17
Chilly
i think I think one side of that game is fun.
00:04:21
Sully Shaheed
The commies.
00:04:22
Chilly
No, I think it's the Eagles side.
00:04:25
Sully Shaheed
The commies are always fun to play.
00:04:27
Chilly
Yeah.
00:04:28
Baker
in what world?
00:04:31
Sully Shaheed
Sands two weeks ago, because, like, Jay Nails was cooking up until that point in the last couple of games. 53 and 55 completion percentage in both games, respectively. Zero touchdowns. um You know, it's that kind of sucks. But oh zero touchdowns last week because they all came with ground. But still, it could have been. I think it could
Boxing Talk: Paul vs Tyson
00:04:49
Sully Shaheed
be fun. I think tomorrow's game would be nice. But ah before you get into football,
00:04:55
Sully Shaheed
There's a big fight this weekend. You guys watching the the the Paul Tyson fight or what what what are we doing here? What are we doing?
00:05:02
Chilly
I will not pay for it. I may watch it, but I'm not paying for it.
00:05:06
Sully Shaheed
It's on Netflix.
00:05:08
Chilly
I don't have Netflix.
00:05:10
Baker
You can use my Netflix if you want to.
00:05:10
Sully Shaheed
Oh.
00:05:12
Chilly
okay
00:05:15
Chilly
I'm surprised it's still not behind a paywall on Netflix.
00:05:20
Sully Shaheed
That kind of surprised me too. I thought there was going to be like, you know, they advertise for the fight, like put it up, put it up, put it up. And then when you click on it, it's like $59.99.
00:05:30
Baker
and You're sitting there like.
00:05:31
Sully Shaheed
Oh, got him, coach.
00:05:36
Sully Shaheed
Baker, will you be watching the Tyson Paul fight on a Friday night?
00:05:39
Baker
I'll be watching a fight this weekend.
00:05:44
Sully Shaheed
Are you watching Paul Tyson?
00:05:49
Baker
If I randomly click to HBO and watch HBO's Friday night fights, then yes. Yes, I'll be watching a fight.
00:05:55
Sully Shaheed
They, they still do Friday night fights.
00:05:58
Baker
I think so.
00:05:59
Sully Shaheed
I was going to say, is that a thing? I haven't had HBO since I was like 10.
00:06:03
Baker
Nobody's had HBO since the Sopranos, let's be real.
00:06:09
Sully Shaheed
What did they, so they, they changed it to HBO max and then they just went to max. Did they change it
Critique of Consumerism and Media
00:06:16
Sully Shaheed
again?
00:06:16
Baker
I don't fucking know.
00:06:18
Sully Shaheed
I think they did.
00:06:18
Baker
everything Everything's a part of some sort of package to do this, that or the other. So fuck if I know, bro.
00:06:25
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, you're, you're totally right. If you want one thing, you got to get a damn package. Everything's in package. Like I can't even, I can't buy one thing on Amazon without it suggesting seven other things, which I eventually buy, by the way, because it sounds like such a good damn idea.
00:06:38
Baker
yeah
00:06:42
Sully Shaheed
And now what was a $25 cart just to get to the free delivery, turn it to $150 and I have seven packages coming to my apartment. So that's how the TV networks get you. That's how Amazon gets you.
00:06:53
Sully Shaheed
It's all the cahoots. They're all working in conspiracy together to freaking hold us down, man. And I don't like it too much. Just put it out there.
00:07:02
Baker
I mean, this is why you don't get any packages. You just, you know, you're like, give me this. Give me this.
00:07:10
Sully Shaheed
I can't, I can't do it.
00:07:10
Baker
And yeah, oh.
00:07:11
Sully Shaheed
I can't do it. Grocery stores are set up the exact same way. I'm surprised there's not dudes walking around in the freaking gas station parking a lot selling fucking slurpees while you're pump are you're pumping gas. Like, Oh, that sounds like a good idea right about now.
00:07:25
Baker
Well, luckily, the grocery store, you're safe there, you personally, you're safe because nobody's selling the shit that you eat.
00:07:33
Sully Shaheed
Listen, tell me you wouldn't buy an extra six pack that you weren't intending on buying. If some dude at the gas station ran up on you with six pack in hand, as you were pumping gas, like you went to the gas station specifically for gas, but if some dude was like, Hey, you look like a drinker, or you look like you could use a break or you look like you use a coupon for this said six pack or our beer, would you not buy extra beer? Even though you didn't intend on doing it?
00:08:03
Baker
Nobody has to coerce me into buying extra beer.
00:08:05
Sully Shaheed
ah That's That's what I'm saying.
00:08:10
Sully Shaheed
They're going to start getting us even more. They're going to find more and more creative ways to get us. I'm just saying. Just put it out there. Like remember how or you guys don't remember, but I think they took it.
00:08:22
Sully Shaheed
They had to have taken away because I don't see it anymore. Like they had the, um, the guru thing on fan dual where it was suggest players to play alongside the other players.
00:08:30
Chilly
I remember the guru.
00:08:31
Sully Shaheed
You remember guru?
00:08:33
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
00:08:33
Chilly
Yeah.
00:08:33
Baker
not not a
00:08:33
Sully Shaheed
Then they took it away.
00:08:37
Sully Shaheed
That's how they get you, man. It's the package. It's the package. Um,
Preview of Week 11 NFL Games
00:08:43
Sully Shaheed
before we start talking about football and the, uh, you know, the position by position breakdown, of course, that's what we do here on the DFS deli, because that's what you're all here for. Not the banter that I've spent to the side. I'm just like, I'm so over week 10. I don't even want to talk about week 11. Like I'm so mad.
00:09:02
Sully Shaheed
and what transpired during the weekend. But it's my obligation to do so.
00:09:07
Chilly
Thank you.
00:09:08
Sully Shaheed
So it's about that time, fellas.
00:09:15
Sully Shaheed
Let us raise the glass for the ones we lost over the weekend. Joe Flacco is no longer the starter in Indianapolis. We have to go back to the Anthony Richardson experience.
00:09:31
Sully Shaheed
I don't even know who got hurt this week. All I know is that it's a sad day because we didn't get the Joe flack a revenge game. So bottoms up to those ones we lost and the ones we will not see for the foreseeable future bottoms up boys.
00:09:50
Sully Shaheed
Uh, we answer the Anthony Richardson era again. I guess that's a good segue to start talking about the QB position, huh?
00:09:59
Baker
Did we start talking about Anthony Richardson?
00:10:01
Chilly
Thank you.
00:10:02
Sully Shaheed
I guess you can start there seeing as how he's the, he's going to be being tried it back out there this week when he doesn't tap himself out the games. So I mean, okay.
00:10:10
Baker
um I think it's safe to say he will not tap out this week.
00:10:14
Sully Shaheed
Okay. So tell me Baker, are you interested interested in a, what a $5,200 you said, Anthony Richardson, 50, my apologies.
00:10:19
Baker
53, 53.
00:10:24
Baker
It always intrigues me because of the you know you have, as you people like to say, the rushing floor. So obviously he has that built into him. He can snipe any goal line carry if they're able to get and towards the goal line. We've seen the man put up 30 points, you know being a top tier fantasy quarterback at this price versus a Jets team that can't stop a nosebleed.
00:10:54
Baker
It's intriguing. The only downside to him, in my humble opinion, is you know obviously we always look to who we can stack so so we can get less things right. And stacking Anthony Richardson is the biggest shit show in the world.
00:11:11
Baker
So that's the only thing that scares me a about them. But I definitely don't mind playing a rich because I don't mind playing the Jets on the other side. Like we know this Colts defense can be had in multiple ways. So I don't mind getting getting weird with the Garrett Wilson and Devontae Adams or Breece Hall.
00:11:28
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but excuse me. You're talking about a team that mustard six points last week.
00:11:34
Baker
Hey, these Cardinals are for real. Like we tried to pick on this Cardinals defense a bunch also far this season and we've been wrong more times than not.
00:11:43
Sully Shaheed
The Cardinals are so good where they're like efficiently good.
00:11:46
Baker
Like this Cardinals defense is good.
00:11:48
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. They're like efficiently good.
00:11:49
Baker
Yes.
00:11:50
Sully Shaheed
And I don't like that. That's not good for fantasy, you know,
00:11:55
Sully Shaheed
Like I don't like that. They're, I don't like they're the six best rushing ah offense in football. I don't, I don't like that. And it's spread out between, you know, their quarterback and, and obviously James Connor. I'm sorry. They're there.
00:11:55
Baker
It's not.
00:12:05
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. Yeah. James Connor is six in the NFL on rushing. I think as a team, they're second or third, some stupid like that. Like this team is good. So apologies to the Cardinals.
00:12:18
Sully Shaheed
And it just, that just solidifies the fact that the jets are just ass.
00:12:23
Baker
Yeah, the the Jets are trash, but the Colts are trash.
00:12:23
Sully Shaheed
They're ass dude.
00:12:29
Baker
ah We're not about to act like the Colts are good.
00:12:32
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. 100% correct. Yes. The Colts suck. This is, this is facts.
00:12:37
Baker
And in the right matchups, Aaron Rodgers has looked like a competent quarterback.
00:12:43
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but you know, we're not thinking about playing Aaron Rodgers, are we?
00:12:47
Baker
No, no, no, no, no, no.
00:12:48
Sully Shaheed
Okay.
00:12:49
Sully Shaheed
Okay.
00:12:49
Baker
I'm just saying that he could put his players in a position to the point where they could be fantasy relevant.
00:12:52
Chilly
right I may Here's the thing like even if he even if he goes off I don't think he's gonna be owned to the point where you could probably survive it
00:12:55
Baker
Gross. I heard people trying to talk up playing Aaron Rodgers last week.
00:12:56
Sully Shaheed
The dude,
00:12:58
Baker
I'm like, nah, Aaron Rodgers beats me. out just I'll just gladly take my L.
00:13:16
Baker
I think if Aaron Rodgers is going off, there's a better chance on the other side of that game that Anthony Richardson is going off as well.
00:13:23
Chilly
and The only reason why I'm interested in playing Rogers is because they're at home and the They tend to beat up on bad teams at home at least for this season And we know we ah new england New England Houston and
00:13:36
Sully Shaheed
Don't they have they have three wins. What teams have they beat up.
00:13:41
Baker
Jacksonville?
00:13:44
Sully Shaheed
We just assume everyone's beat up on Jacksonville.
00:13:51
Chilly
I don't remember where their third one was. Maybe it was New England in...
00:13:52
Baker
Oh no, they didn't play Jacksonville. I apologize.
00:13:58
Chilly
Oh, in Tennessee.
00:13:58
Sully Shaheed
That's okay.
00:13:59
Chilly
Tennessee. That would be their other one.
00:14:01
Sully Shaheed
Ah yes.
00:14:02
Chilly
So technically, they've beat they've beaten a division leader.
00:14:03
Sully Shaheed
Yes.
00:14:10
Sully Shaheed
That's so sad.
00:14:12
Baker
So, so sad. So, so sad.
00:14:14
Sully Shaheed
That is so, so sad.
00:14:14
Chilly
It's because Houston is so houston is so hurt.
00:14:16
Chilly
But um I have some interest in Rogers.
00:14:22
Sully Shaheed
Well, Baker, I'll slide it back to you. who else that you are Who else are you targeting on this slate for quarterbacks? Because there's ah there's probably like two to three places that I want to go. And I think we discussed a little bit offline. But let's see if our ideals line up on this one.
00:14:39
Baker
All right, I know this is going to be the biggest shock of anything that I say this evening. You ready for it? You ready? You ready? yeah You, you, you, you? I'm playing James Winston.
00:14:53
Baker
I know, biggest shock of the world, Baker playing James Winston. Crazy, right?
00:14:57
Sully Shaheed
No you're out here trying to extract some revenge.
00:14:58
Baker
I know, right? I know, it's like, it's so crazy, James Winston. um
00:15:11
Baker
Well one, New Orleans, New Orleans can be had and they've shown that in multiple ways. And two, I love Jamis. And three, yes, I will extract my revenge. I will, I will take my pound of flesh of Jamis from New Orleans, deciding to go with Derek Carr over Jamis.
00:15:27
Baker
Derek Carr, this bum ass.
00:15:29
Chilly
It's because Derek Carr is better.
00:15:31
Baker
Not even close. Jamis Winston shits on that man.
00:15:34
Chilly
Derek Carr.
00:15:34
Sully Shaheed
Baker, if Kurt cousins can't do anything against the New Orleans.
00:15:40
Chilly
I just want to know, has James Winston led his team to the playoffs?
00:15:43
Baker
Yes.
00:15:46
Baker
Yes, yes.
00:15:46
Chilly
what When? When?
00:15:48
Baker
In Tampa, what are you talking about? When he was in Tampa, he's been, he's been in the playoffs.
00:15:55
Sully Shaheed
Yes.
00:15:56
Chilly
I don't remember.
00:15:58
Sully Shaheed
It was the season before 30 30, right?
00:16:00
Baker
Yeah.
00:16:01
Sully Shaheed
Because they didn't, they, he didn't make it 30 30.
00:16:03
Baker
So right there, that's for you.
00:16:08
Chilly
Derrikar is still better, but...
00:16:10
Baker
Absolutely not Derek cars been given more opportunities my So what you're telling me is Derek cars better than Pat my homes cuz Pat my homes couldn't make shit of MVS.
00:16:10
Sully Shaheed
yeah If Derek Carr, if Derek Carr, if Derek Carr can make a man out of MVS, I don't see James Winston make it.
00:16:19
Chilly
right
00:16:21
Sully Shaheed
He made a man a Cedric Tillman. Well, come on, man. MVS is on his 16 this year and he came out for a hundred plus and two because of the arm, the right arm of Derek Carr.
00:16:38
Baker
That's what I heard
00:16:40
Chilly
That's not true. MVS didn't start on the Chiefs this year.
00:16:45
Chilly
You could argue for Josh Allen.
00:16:45
Baker
I mean, and we I mean, in, in, in BS started for the chiefs last year, but it, it, it, it was not, in BS did not do it not have a single game like he did this past Sunday.
00:16:48
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, Josh Allen is trash then. Yeah, you're right.
00:16:48
Chilly
But he may have got it.
00:16:50
Chilly
but
00:16:50
Sully Shaheed
You're right. He couldn't make a man out of MVS.
00:16:56
Chilly
Yeah, and they won the Super Bowl. but are you What's your point? he's a really good He's a really good run blocker. He does the little things for the Chiefs.
00:17:07
Baker
He's just fast. Okay. He's fast.
00:17:08
Sully Shaheed
It's the little things.
00:17:09
Chilly
He's a really good run blocker though.
00:17:11
Baker
He's just fast.
00:17:12
Chilly
He's a good run blocker.
00:17:13
Baker
He's hashtag fast.
00:17:15
Chilly
You gotta remember it's just more than being fast. He got a block for the run, but he's he's good at. This has been stated a lot by Andy Reed. That's why MVS was wide receiver two
DFS Quarterback Strategies
00:17:25
Chilly
on the depth chart.
00:17:30
Sully Shaheed
Listen, you could be fast and get away with just being fast in the NFL.
00:17:30
Chilly
Hey.
00:17:34
Sully Shaheed
Ted Ginn made an entire career out of that. Okay. I didn't see him be having accolades for his run blocking ability. All right. It was you field run, run fast. Okay.
00:17:44
Sully Shaheed
That was it.
00:17:47
Sully Shaheed
I miss those old Panthers stacks with Ted Ginn.
00:17:51
Baker
Oh, Lord Jesus.
00:17:53
Sully Shaheed
You getting two catches.
00:17:53
Baker
But get it getting back on on target on what we're talking about, yes. You mentioned the fact that Kirk Cousins couldn't do shit versus this at ah New Orleans secondary last week.
00:17:59
Sully Shaheed
I was reminiscing.
00:18:04
Baker
I don't think that's indicative of the fact that New Orleans defense is good, Atlanta was still able to score a decent amount of points. Like they were still driving, you know, just things didn't kind of go well. Their kicker kept missing kicks, which is kind of weird for that young ho. Uh, so drives weren't really sustained, but you can drink it. Like it's been shown pretty much all year. You can move the ball on New Orleans definitely on the ground without Marshall, uh, Marsha and a lot of more. Now I don't feel like their secondary is going to be
00:18:36
Baker
anything that I'll be scared of. And we know Cleveland's gonna throw the ball 30, 40 times a game. So, Jamis, volume, revenge, yes. And lastly, Baltimore's on the slate, play the quarterback versus Baltimore. That's my analysis.
00:18:52
Sully Shaheed
Revenge. So, uh, I'll kick it to you. Jill Baker alluded to it. We can ride again this week against a terrible Baltimore secondary. So, uh, is this the week that we can fire up Russell Wilson?
00:19:08
Chilly
I mean, you can. Obviously, Baltimore's defense is just incredibly bad. um So if you want to fire up Russ, I'm not going to not gonna knock it. I don't know what his ceiling may be in that game. um That would be my only only concern, but like I'm not going to knock the play.
00:19:28
Chilly
um obviously
00:19:29
Sully Shaheed
I think we saw the ceiling last week. You get 200 plus and three, efficiently.
00:19:33
Chilly
that That's probably it, right? um He's got easy stack partners, so i don't I don't hate the rust play at all. It is Baltimore, um so I don't hate that at all. a Just a couple of other quarterbacks I'll just kind of point out. um The Jaguars are going to Detroit. People don't like playing Jared Goff. He did just throw five interceptions.
00:20:00
Chilly
um i Could see Detroit absolutely lamb based the Jaguars here um So I so I do like I mean I like that Detroit offense as a whole so I think I think you're gonna need a lion again. He's got easy partners as well the stack um Kind of a weird play but like anybody got interested in playing Bo Nicks and
00:20:28
Sully Shaheed
That's not weird. I don't mind bonex.
00:20:32
Sully Shaheed
I can get behind it.
00:20:32
Baker
I believe.
00:20:34
Chilly
um I mean, it like Atlanta does give up a decent amount of projected fantasy points to quarterbacks.
00:20:34
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I can get behind it.
00:20:43
Chilly
About 5% over expectation. I already mentioned Aaron Rodgers could be kind of thin, but like if there's a week for him to look relevant, it's this one.
00:20:57
Chilly
um if you Again, I understand all the arguments against it. This offense has been absolutely awful. all year, doesn't matter who the coordinator is, doesn't matter.
00:21:08
Chilly
um And then just kind of taking a look here. I think you if A-chan is going to be very chalky, I think two will become super intriguing if you want to pivot. um So those are kind of the quarterbacks I'm looking at.
00:21:26
Sully Shaheed
I was going to say to and rush. They're probably my favorite quarterbacks on the slate. Like to it gets Vegas at home. What what else? if If you want to get the scorched earth Tyreek Hill week, this is it.
00:21:41
Sully Shaheed
This is it.
00:21:41
Chilly
Yeah.
00:21:42
Chilly
Plus there's a lot of rumors that some of those players may not want to play for Pierce. Um, so this could look like the, you know, the 70 point Denver game.
00:21:54
Sully Shaheed
Oh, It seems like so long ago last year, but yeah.
00:21:58
Chilly
Right.
00:22:02
Sully Shaheed
Um, other than those quarterbacks, like I'll mention the big boys on the slate and the game of the week. Obviously the Buffalo Bills take on the undefeated Kansas city chiefs in Highmark stadium.
00:22:13
Sully Shaheed
So it's like, yeah, you got to pay for Josh Allen, but at the same time, like, do we get scorched earth Josh Allen that we got from beginning of the year? Fire Hawk, Josh Allen, or we get Colts, Josh Allen.
00:22:25
Sully Shaheed
Like that's, that's the conundrum. I get it. The chiefs are good on defense and, you know, efficient on offense. But again, I don't know if a lot of people are going to be targeting this game that I think they just want it for the enjoyment of the game and not the fantasy aspects that you could be produced from the game. But if you want a piece, obviously Josh Allen, and then, you know, they can't stop the run.
00:22:48
Sully Shaheed
whatsoever and we'll go over and running back here in a second but whoever I know Isaiah Pacheco just came off IR so we have three months to the guy cool Pacheco still the guy cool so you got runbacks on the other side so I like Josh Allen this week but again ah Russ and Tua are probably leading the way for me at quarterback. Baker did we miss anybody?
00:23:14
Baker
Um,
Debating Running Back Strategies
00:23:16
Baker
I mean, I think the last person that I will say is Lamar. Cause if Russ, if Russ is going to get there on his side, it could come from a scorched earth fucking game from Lamar Jackson.
00:23:29
Baker
Cause all they do is get these.
00:23:29
Chilly
But he doesn't do that. he he He doesn't do it to Pittsburgh. That's that's the thing. That's my concern.
00:23:36
Baker
I mean, historical historically, historically, you are 100% correct. But this defense is so is giving up so many points to the point where Lamar Jackson like he like easing these games where he has to continue to score except for that Denver game and what you still continue to score.
00:23:52
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, you right though.
00:23:55
Baker
So Baltimore is running it up. And you know, you get a game environment that people are going to target but nobody's targeting Lamar Jackson.
00:24:05
Sully Shaheed
Fair. Fair. Oh, it's a lot of a running back then um chill. I'll start with you. Who are you eyeing up this week because it's Wednesday. Like I said, ownership's spread out for the most part.
00:24:17
Sully Shaheed
I guess the real question on DraftKings at least is to CMC or not CMC. That is the chalk question of the week.
00:24:28
Sully Shaheed
So what is your stands on CMC and you mentioned divine HA might as well harp on him too real quick.
00:24:28
Chilly
and
00:24:29
Chilly
ah
00:24:35
Chilly
Which one of those two is the lowest ah the lower owned of the chalk that's who I'm playing That like So I'd rather play a Jan and get the discount Cuz like at the rate he's catching passes where he you know brother Rahim is slowly getting phased out of the offense a little bit and
00:24:43
Baker
I think it'll be divided Sean.
00:24:57
Chilly
I'd rather display HN. Again, CMC is fine, obviously. um His usage rate last week was pretty ridiculous. um I mean, we we know what he's getting. He's getting 20 points. Seattle, last couple of games, as not their defense has been a little bit rough. So again, ah those are probably the two chalkiest running backs on the slate.
00:25:26
Chilly
um And then I'm probably playing Jameer Gibbs and nobody likes to play Jameer Gibbs.
00:25:34
Sully Shaheed
I have sad news for you this week. Everyone's playing Jameer Gibbs this week.
00:25:40
Chilly
and Not it not. I mean, like it may be like last week, right? Where it's like seven running backs are all 20 percent. ah You just pray that yours hits.
00:25:52
Sully Shaheed
That is true. Yes. Yes. If ownership, because I mean it looks flat with the exception of CMC and Devani Sean. Uh, yeah, it looks pretty flat. So yeah, if you know, not everyone, I'd say everyone, not everyone's going to be playing it, but he will be significantly more owned than he normally is.
00:26:09
Sully Shaheed
But my gold star play is David Montgomery.
00:26:09
Chilly
I mean,
00:26:12
Chilly
I was going to say, just play David Montgomery, then, if he's going to be in single digits.
00:26:13
Sully Shaheed
I think that's the gold star play of the week. Exactly.
00:26:18
Chilly
Or or play them both.
00:26:21
Sully Shaheed
Or, or, or Baker, could it be the week we can play the the two running backs from the same team system?
00:26:33
Sully Shaheed
Is this the week?
00:26:35
Baker
If it is the week I won't be on it.
00:26:37
Sully Shaheed
Oh, come on, man.
00:26:38
Chilly
I think it would be a better chance if Trevor Lawrence was playing. I don't know his, what that looks like, but yeah.
00:26:45
Sully Shaheed
Uh, he is out officially.
00:26:48
Baker
He's already been rolled up.
00:26:49
Sully Shaheed
Yes. Mack Jones is your starter this week. Yes.
00:26:53
Chilly
Um, and and I mean, I mean, you mentioned it earlier.
00:26:53
Baker
Lord Jesus.
00:26:58
Chilly
Um, whatever Kansas city running back is playing probably play that or I mean, but the thing is, is like, cause Kareem ah Did so good like I just be feared that it could turn into running back by committee like they just ease in Pacheco I Know but like Because like this is the last relevant game for the Chiefs until the playoffs I
00:27:18
Sully Shaheed
The bills run defense is sauce bro. I think they yeah both could quote unquote get there. But yeah, I agree with you. Maybe it's going to be an easing in type of factor. So I'm with you on that.
00:27:36
Sully Shaheed
Yes.
00:27:37
Chilly
If they win this game, they're like and like up four or five games for the one seed or something ridiculous like that.
00:27:38
Sully Shaheed
Agree.
00:27:45
Chilly
um Pretty much nobody's catching them in their division and they're probably going undefeated.
00:27:54
Chilly
they have They would have two more hard games left or three if you want to count the Chargers.
00:27:54
Sully Shaheed
hello
00:28:00
Chilly
They got Houston and Pittsburgh. And I think the Pittsburgh game is on Christmas Day. so They're probably trying that game.
00:28:09
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I think, uh, you know, as, as far as that game goes, you know, even from a fantasy environment, I think that, you know, we're going to have to get fire heart fire Hawk, Josh Allen, only because if the bills have their by next week and then their schedule is stupid.
00:28:25
Sully Shaheed
So if they have any chance, any hope of getting the number one seed and getting the playoffs to Highmark, you best believe they have to beat the chiefs this week. Have to, if not, it's wraps.
00:28:36
Sully Shaheed
And then just chiefs, like you said, are going to take the rest of the season off. They are locked in to the number one seed.
00:28:36
Chilly
I mean.
00:28:43
Chilly
Literally, they're locked in. um I mean, I mean, like history says the bills are winning this game. That's that's what history says. This is basically the Bill Super Bowl every year.
00:28:55
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but we'll see what the refs say.
00:28:59
Chilly
it and i hit You only care about the rest of the playoffs, bro. Who cares about the regular season?
00:29:05
Sully Shaheed
The chiefs are the most fraudulent nine and O team I've ever seen since the freaking Steelers of a what? 2020.
00:29:12
Chilly
No, I would say Philadelphia last year was pretty fraudulent.
00:29:16
Sully Shaheed
Listen, they have out of every, every, editor out of every nine and oh team to this point, they have the lowest point differential of any of those teams.
00:29:19
Chilly
yeah
00:29:25
Sully Shaheed
And it's not close. Their point differential is 58 over the course of nine games. That is the lowest in NFL history to a not to a nine and oh team. This team is great.
00:29:36
Sully Shaheed
Don't get it twisted.
00:29:38
Chilly
They I mean,
00:29:38
Sully Shaheed
but there's been some sus things. Isaiah likely's big toe. Yes, he was out of bounds, but it was a damn toe. The block field goal last week, the pass interference against the bagels. I don't even know what the that damn team is doing. They're just so.
00:29:54
Sully Shaheed
Boring. They're boring like the Chargers. The Chargers, the AFC West is the most boring division in NFL football history. Up until this point, all of them were boring.
00:30:06
Sully Shaheed
They're tolerable to watch.
00:30:07
Chilly
I Don't know bow next bow next is intriguing Justin Herbert has been playing pretty well
00:30:15
Sully Shaheed
He's boring. That team is boring. The Chargers are boring.
00:30:18
Chilly
They've been playing pretty well. Don't knock the Chargers.
00:30:24
Sully Shaheed
it's chilly.
00:30:24
Chilly
The Raiders got Brock Bowers. That's relevant. Toss now, guys.
00:30:31
Sully Shaheed
ah So boring. Anyway, I digress. I went on a tangent and I apologize. Baker, uh, before I swing it back to chill, man, who's, uh, who's playing running it back for you and your lineups this week.
00:30:37
Baker
Yes.
00:30:43
Baker
I mean, obviously CMC, great play. Devana Sean, great play. ah Either Detroit running back, great play. If I'm coming off the top rope, if I'm coming with something that's off the board and
00:31:02
Baker
We can look up at you know four o'clock on Sunday and be like, oh damn, their run defense does suck. mean None of us wanted to play him. They're coming off a bye. If there is a potential get right spot, especially if my boy ends up being a little bit more popular than he should be, I don't hate the idea of playing Nicholas Jamal.
00:31:25
Chilly
Well, he's free on FanDuel. Just going to point that out there. He's 6,200 on FanDuel.
00:31:34
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, he's gonna be the chalk on fan rule.
00:31:37
Baker
ah
00:31:39
Sully Shaheed
The damn stone cold chalk.
00:31:39
Baker
I mean, for in for the fan dual players, I would play chase Brown for the for you people for you people.
00:31:45
Sully Shaheed
We need you people.
00:31:46
Chilly
i just I do want to say, which may help your case or not help your case, that the Browns defense
00:31:47
Baker
You.
00:31:53
Chilly
is allowing the highest explosive play rate during the last month at 15%.
00:32:00
Baker
So are you trying to talk me into playing MVS this week or something?
00:32:04
Chilly
It's probably just played Kamara, right?
00:32:09
Baker
Well, the Browns are giving up deep shots. That's the NVS special.
00:32:14
Sully Shaheed
It is.
00:32:15
Sully Shaheed
It is the NBA special, isn't it? It is.
00:32:15
Chilly
It is.
00:32:20
Baker
Which, you know not to get us over to white receiver already, but I guess the interesting thing if we're going to go the NVS route is he's basically the Rashid Shaheed in this offense right now. At least through one week, he played that deep role, which once again, he's fast. So against a team that's giving, that gives up explosive plays to random people, i.e. Quentin Johnston, MBS makes some sense on the other side of the brown stacks that I'm in. Will I go there? Still undecided, but makes sense.
00:32:57
Chilly
I mean, New Orleans is pretty bad against running backs too. They do allow they do allow like 5% over projected running back point total. So they are pretty bad.
00:33:12
Sully Shaheed
Uh, what do you think about, what do you think about Denver's running back situation?
00:33:12
Baker
I mean, pass estimate
00:33:19
Chilly
I don't see how you could play it confidently. I mean, if you want to take a shot on the random, I forgot his name. um you
00:33:29
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. audra guess the
00:33:29
Chilly
if you get it.
00:33:30
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, like who is it? It's a Gileo McGoughlin. Is it that guy? It's a Javante Williams. Is it? Is it another guy starting next week? Who knows?
00:33:41
Chilly
Like probably just.
00:33:42
Sully Shaheed
I'll say Williams confidently got benched another one of students boys that he had a boner for that stinks and now he's not playing anymore. So I guys got a hit rate of zero, but I digress.
00:33:53
Chilly
Studer, Studer, I'll just blame Sean Payton. He'd be like, Sean Payton.
00:33:58
Sully Shaheed
yeah
00:34:02
Chilly
Or he'll blame the knee injuries. that's
00:34:07
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I mean, well, I mean, the thing about Audrey is that he's 5,400 on Fandool. So like, you want to take the chance of there being some potential in this offense. This might be the week to do it. So in a 5,400, I'd be willing to take a shot against Atlanta. So just kind of throwing it out out there. ah we saw We saw the Gus bus kind of cut into ah cut into the workload of JK Dobbins. I'm not saying that the Gus bus is an option, but does it take a little bit away from JK Dobbins?
00:34:39
Chilly
Oh yeah, for sure.
00:34:40
Baker
ah Yeah, I think it just takes away from the shine of, you know, the shiny new toy that a lot of people, you know, were excited about in, in LA.
00:34:50
Sully Shaheed
fair. Uh, we miss anybody. Cause like I said, my gold star play is Monty. Just, just play, just put play as many lions as humanly possible this week. Play the defense, play the sun God play Williams play.
00:35:04
Sully Shaheed
Uh, what's their point returner's name that plays, uh, second grade play that guy made Monty play.
00:35:06
Chilly
is is um did Do we know any, um, any news on the porta is the porta?
00:35:14
Sully Shaheed
Uh, the injury.
00:35:17
Chilly
Yeah.
00:35:18
Sully Shaheed
No, but I haven't seen anything as of today, but you can obviously if he doesn't play for some strange reason, you can play our, you can play our client.
00:35:24
Chilly
Our client. rock right Um, so.
00:35:29
Sully Shaheed
Brock.
00:35:34
Chilly
I think this team is going to be forgotten this week um coming off of their really poor performance on Monday Night Football. But like let's not forget, like although the Patriots are playing better, they're not good at football either.
00:35:51
Chilly
So like if to me, like if Kyron Williams is going to have the lowest ownership out of that group, right because like on DraftKings, just kind of taking a look here. He's he's basically, he's he's in between A-chan, he's in between Breece Hall. It's not that much more to Kamara or CMC. I think if Kyron Williams is coming in at single digits, that's probably the guy you play and walk away.
00:36:20
Baker
So you like him overarching?
00:36:23
Chilly
Yeah.
00:36:27
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, because you got to remember, like, that's a divisional.
00:36:27
Sully Shaheed
That's good.
00:36:30
Chilly
That's a division matchup. um I don't know. Is that game in Pittsburgh or Baltimore?
00:36:35
Baker
Pittsburgh.
00:36:38
Chilly
um And again, like, um obviously, that team can break the slate. Like, let's not that's not out of the realm of possibility, but like. I don't I don't know. Like, I'll never say don't play our king, but At this point, he hasn't been doing the greatest. He kind of gets there, but for that salary, like these $200 below CMC, so like Derek Henry has to have a game to keep you safe from CMC, right?
00:37:12
Baker
I mean him or Kyron, they need to put up, you know, 25 to 30 to.
00:37:16
Chilly
But like Kyra, but Kyra and Kyra could do that a little way easier against the Patriots. And he's cheaper. You may need that couple hundred dollars.
00:37:27
Baker
Hey, we we just know the rule when it comes to Derek Henry. There's a rule. We follow it.
00:37:32
Chilly
Yeah, I...
00:37:32
Baker
Nobody's playing him. You play him.
00:37:35
Chilly
I mean, Eckler did get there last week, so I mean, again, I get it. Oh, I get it.
00:37:40
Baker
I mean, Eckler got there, ah Tyrone Tracy got there a few weeks ago on Monday night, like Pittsburgh. I'm not saying that there are defense that we're going to attack, but it's I'm not scared of it.
00:37:51
Sully Shaheed
See our boy McWeapons got in the end zone too.
00:37:55
Chilly
a Dude.
00:37:58
Sully Shaheed
ah Let's s slide over to receiver because obviously it's an important topic of discussion. Chile, I'll start with you. um Jamar Chase coming off the 900 point game on Thursday last week.
00:38:12
Sully Shaheed
Although he's not playing the Ravens, we do have them in our lives sitting at the top of the charts here.
00:38:16
Baker
You have him in your life, you.
00:38:17
Sully Shaheed
I have them in my life. I have them. ah We, we as fan to a players have them. So he's an option to say the least. Um,
00:38:27
Baker
He's a swaption, he's a swaption.
00:38:29
Sully Shaheed
so option option. I'll build around them. I mean, you know, $9,000 worth of, worth of Jamar chase, but you know, one might argue that he's under priced after last week's performance.
00:38:44
Sully Shaheed
But, uh, Joe,
Wide Receiver Strategies for Week 11
00:38:45
Sully Shaheed
where are you starting? And if you're going to start at the top, because again, we mentioned some high end running backs that we do want to play. Not saying that CMC, at least on Draft Kings is a jam, but you're going to start there and you got to pick one of these guys up top. Who are we feeling?
00:39:01
Chilly
um I mean like I'm probably only playing I'm on Ross 8 Brown if I play him with Jared Goff Like I think if I do a lions if I played Alliance, it's probably an onslaught um So I don't so I don't hate I'm on Ross 8 Brown I'm kind of interested in Jetta because we obviously know what the Vikings did last week against that vaunted Jags defense um
00:39:29
Sully Shaheed
oh oh
00:39:30
Chilly
I mean, it's not it's not a great matchup go at like at Tennessee. um Obviously, Sam Darnold may be revering back to what they call pumpkin mode. But um like at this point, I'd be kind of interested in Jetta, kind of depending on what I'm doing at running back.
00:39:50
Chilly
um If I'm picking a Rams guy, I'm probably picking Pooka.
00:39:55
Sully Shaheed
Oh, oh.
00:39:58
Chilly
like If you say cup, I agree. I think, you know, the the those are fine. um But I mean, I think probably, and then probably the gold star play of the week, I think is probably going to be Tyra Kill, right?
00:40:15
Chilly
Is that how we feel on this show?
00:40:16
Sully Shaheed
he gets, he gets my gold star.
00:40:20
Baker
Nah.
00:40:20
Sully Shaheed
If it was, if it was playing to Bonnie chain, guess what? You know what? That's, that's the bowl call. That's the tank. That's the, that's the in show for me. I don't care guys.
00:40:31
Sully Shaheed
It's Tyree kill week. I never say it, but I'm the one that's going to say it this week. Okay. It ain't going to be the dolphins fan over there. No, no, no. It's going to be me. Tyree kill. He's going to shut down this slate. He's going to put people to sleep this week and deal with it, especially if he's going to be projected at less than 5%. Oh, you can and forget it. It is Tyree kill and the rest of the field that you got to combat. Sorry about your luck. If you don't play Tyree kill this week.
00:40:59
Sully Shaheed
Sorry about it. And as Baker politely cat pointed out in the chat calves still undefeated. Let's go. Shout out to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Still undefeated. Yeah.
00:41:11
Sully Shaheed
Good times, baby.
00:41:11
Baker
82 and 0.
00:41:11
Sully Shaheed
Good time.
00:41:12
Baker
Here we go.
00:41:13
Sully Shaheed
Right. we're We're well on the way to 82 and Oh, baby.
00:41:15
Chilly
we' on pace
00:41:17
Sully Shaheed
Season's sweet. Season's sweet. But, uh, but yeah, man, again, only person is getting gold star for me. It's how you go deal with it. Um, Baker, can I, can I trust Calvin Ridley again, man?
00:41:37
Sully Shaheed
Like will Lewis is trash, but like he does for that guy. like a lot
00:41:43
Chilly
We're on pace
00:41:44
Baker
And that guy only. There's nobody else to throw to. What are you gonna play, Nick Westbrook and Keeney?
00:41:49
Sully Shaheed
I did.
00:41:51
Baker
Gross. The fuck is wrong with you?
00:41:58
Sully Shaheed
Baker, I would like to point out in a in a contest on draft Kings. Obviously, we do our doll hair. um I mimic I mirror that lineup in the actual doll hair lineup for, you know, draft the draft Kings lobby or whatever.
00:42:14
Baker
Yes.
00:42:14
Sully Shaheed
I finished 50 spots out of dead last.
00:42:19
Chilly
and You do have the new record low. You took it from me, you bastard.
00:42:24
Sully Shaheed
It's got over a hundred thousand individual lineups.
00:42:27
Chilly
yeah
00:42:30
Sully Shaheed
That's a single entry contest. So a a hundred thousand plus people.
00:42:33
Chilly
it
00:42:37
Sully Shaheed
And I only beat 50 of them. Not saying Nick recipe, Bikini was in that lineup, but he might as well have been. So that's why I don't want to talk about week 10, just like I don't talk about Bruno.
00:42:49
Chilly
Yeah.
00:42:53
Sully Shaheed
So, um, Anywho, yeah, you don't throw to nobody else, but Calvin Ridley, but can I trust him?
00:42:55
Chilly
a
00:42:59
Sully Shaheed
can Can I confidently with your blessing, put him in a lineup? Can the people put Calvin Ridley in their lineups this week?
00:43:09
Baker
I mean buyer beware. That's what I will say. I will say buyer beware.
00:43:14
Chilly
I mean, Minnesota does give up
00:43:18
Chilly
Fourth like kind of projected like of Fourth highest point total projected for wide receivers at like 7% So it's like Calvin Ridley is the gold star. I'm getting a garbage touchdown play of the week And like Minnesota does blitz a lot like he can get one for 60 and
00:43:44
Sully Shaheed
He's not wrong and he's like damn near free on fan dual. He's 6400 like it's like literally nothing.
00:43:55
Sully Shaheed
But
00:43:55
Chilly
I mean, if you're jamming in running backs, you kind of have to play them, right?
00:44:00
Chilly
Or are you playing like 20% owned Nick Chubb?
00:44:05
Sully Shaheed
No, I'm playing 4% on Tyreek Dam Hill. I don't care what anybody. I'm doing it. It's Tyreek Hill week, boys. Deal with it.
00:44:15
Chilly
i
00:44:15
Sully Shaheed
Deal with it.
00:44:16
Chilly
I'll ask this gross question. I don't think either one of you are going to play one. But if you had to pick a Jets wide receiver,
00:44:21
Baker
No. Garrett Wilson
00:44:25
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, Garrett Wilson, I think Ty or I'm sorry, Devontae Adams dealing with a foot. Is that what I saw? Not saying he this seems like he's a little less than 100%, but at the same time, yeah, man, if I want ceiling and probably an ownership discount, it'll be, it'll be Garrett Wilson.
00:44:45
Chilly
I was kind of leaning towards Adams. obviously i don't Like I said, I would have to check the injury stuff. He's like, yeah, 13 targets last week.
00:44:55
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I think he's got a foot, but I will triple check for you.
00:44:59
Chilly
just Just kind of curious.
00:45:02
Sully Shaheed
Baker, who are you running in these James stacks? That's what I want to know.
00:45:06
Baker
oh So I have two ways of building Jamis so far this week. It's Jamis with Nick Chubb. And then a pass catcher and then I have my double stack of Jamis in which Cedric Tillman just had like. Cedric Tillman is just easy to play. So then my my question for myself becomes do I trust Jerry Judy or do I trust Elijah Moore? I think the floor of Elijah Moore is higher than Jerry Judy's, but the ceiling of Jerry Judy I think is higher than Elijah Moore.
00:45:42
Baker
So it just
00:45:42
Sully Shaheed
um On on four or four fours breakout model Jerry Judy and Cedric Tillman are at the top of it So if that gives you any confidence um They are projecting both those receivers very well this week Not on fan do
00:45:56
Baker
And I can honestly see why, and that's why I think the ceiling for Jerry Judy's higher than Elijah Moore. But on DraftKings, or we're a predominant PPR site, you know,
00:46:10
Baker
ah Elijah Moore, you know, i I think within the realm of possibilities is a seven catch, 70 yard, and toss a coin if he accidentally falls into the end zone. Seven for 70, we're already at 14 points, you accidentally fall into the end zone, we're close to 20 points now.
00:46:28
Baker
So that's why that that's why there's that dilemma for me ah between those two specifically. ah For some reason, I'm not coming on David Ojoku. I'm just not there right now, don't know why.
00:46:40
Baker
But for you, Sully Ali Shahid, I have a prop for you, 1v1.
00:46:46
Sully Shaheed
yes
00:46:52
Baker
You have fallen in love, absolutely in love. You're ready to propose, you're ready to get married again to Tyree Kill right now, right?
00:46:59
Sully Shaheed
I am, I am ready to pronounce to the fantasy gods that my heart and wallet belong to Tyreek Hill this week. So yes, I am ready.
00:47:11
Baker
So you're SpongeBob, you're ready.
00:47:14
Sully Shaheed
Uh, bet.
00:47:15
Baker
1v1 Tyree kill DK Mecha. You want it?
00:47:19
Sully Shaheed
Bet.
00:47:20
Baker
You don't want this smoke.
00:47:21
Sully Shaheed
Bet.
00:47:21
Baker
you don't you do You do not want this smoke, sir.
00:47:22
Sully Shaheed
Bet. Baker, how many props on this show do I gotta whup yo ass in before you stop taking them against me? How many?
00:47:31
Baker
I was was keeping track of the props, but I lost my folder in the move.
00:47:34
Sully Shaheed
Nah. I'm sorry.
00:47:37
Baker
So unless I go through some random crap and find it again, ah Yeah, but it was a lot closer than you think before I moved. Okay, so I don't want to hear your shit.
00:47:49
Sully Shaheed
sorry. I'm looking for a, I'm looking for a handy dandy notebook.
00:47:52
Chilly
Do you um you guys have a preference out of any of the 49ers wide receivers? Obviously, Devo kind of burnt everybody last week. Juwan Jennings is still kind of cheap and this man just racked in targets I Think Rick I think I think I think Ricky's oh we lost a boss.
00:48:06
Baker
I mean, Juwan Jennings, Ricky Pearson, I think are both fine plays. I don't mind either or. I think it just depends on.
00:48:15
Chilly
Oh, he's back ah Ricky's kind of Ricky's kind of thin I think Like I need to see it more. Is that but is that fair?
00:48:25
Baker
I mean, that's fair. I just don't play in the world of I need to see it.
00:48:27
Chilly
I
00:48:30
Chilly
Yeah, I think for him, i idea I think I'd rather play Jennings. I don't know what his ownership is going to be though.
00:48:36
Baker
I mean, as of right now, and obviously early week, um, the two chalky ist 49ers are Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel.
00:48:44
Chilly
Yeah, and like Jennings was pretty good last week.
00:48:44
Baker
So right now, if you play a 49er, not named those two, you're different.
00:48:53
Baker
I think, uh, interesting.
00:48:53
Sully Shaheed
um Did y'all see they switched their positions that Jenny's moving to the X now?
00:49:02
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, and they're putting the Pearsall at the Y and then Devo at the other one.
00:49:02
Chilly
so
00:49:09
Chilly
so is that is that So who in that is in the slot?
00:49:10
Baker
So they're they're moving Deebo inside slash flanker, or no, no, Pierce, I'll be flanker, sorry.
00:49:12
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. Yeah, yeah, exactly. That would be Ricky Pearsall.
00:49:23
Chilly
Interesting.
00:49:26
Sully Shaheed
I guess to free him up to give him more space.
00:49:26
Chilly
i mean
00:49:28
Sully Shaheed
um I don't know what the logic was. All I know is that I did see the report that he will be moved that Juwan Juwan Jennings moving to the X.
00:49:37
Chilly
I mean, for one of the better games on the slate, you would think, unless a Christian McCaffrey breaks the slate, like one of those wide receivers is going to probably do pretty well.
00:49:49
Baker
I think the way for these four Uniteders to break the slate is obviously Seattle pushing it and I don't think there's a better person on Seattle to push it than ah One DK Metcalf And talk about somebody who's damn near free DK Metcalf is typically a low six mid seven thousand ah seventy two hundred or so seven thousand to a high six, okay ah He's now sixty five hundred on directings.
00:49:49
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I would think so.
00:49:57
Chilly
No, i think d k I think DK Metcalf is fine. I won't i won't knock that at all.
00:50:17
Baker
So
00:50:20
Chilly
It's not bad.
00:50:22
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, sorry to follow up on that. um Yeah, Juwan Jennings is moving forward. We'll be playing the role of Brad and Iook, basically. So he's the X, Deebo's the Y, and Ricky Pearsall will remain in the slot.
00:50:30
Baker
Are you looking?
00:50:35
Chilly
Yeah, I'm Fandul Baker, DK Metcalf 8K. They don't fuck around.
00:50:40
Baker
yeah If Andal said you ain't getting this man.
00:50:43
Chilly
Now, JSN is 73.
00:50:46
Sully Shaheed
Oh, no way. That's not, that that can't be right, right?
00:50:50
Baker
What are you looking at?
00:50:52
Sully Shaheed
Yo, was that wrong? There's no way I could have sworn I heard today that Gardner mentioned was starting for the Raiders.
00:50:59
Chilly
No, he won.
00:50:59
Baker
Is it still AOC?
00:51:00
Sully Shaheed
This report says the Rittler is starting.
00:51:00
Chilly
He no.
00:51:03
Chilly
I now I read earlier that it was Gardner Menchu, so unless they changed it in the past couple hours.
00:51:10
Sully Shaheed
This was, I mean, I'm literally reading this from yesterday that says the Rittler is going to start, but It may or may not be updated, because I could have sworn I heard today that Gardner-Minchu was officially starting.
00:51:17
Chilly
I mean, we got computers, right?
00:51:22
Baker
There's no way. There's no way. There is no fucking way, guys.
00:51:24
Sully Shaheed
OK, here's the new report. OK, it is Gardner-Minchu.
00:51:26
Sully Shaheed
I was going to say, because if it was the Rittler, guess what? I'm not playing another i'm not playing another quarterback.
00:51:27
Chilly
I mean, four hours ago, this says Raiders to stick with Gardner Minshew.
00:51:31
Chilly
Per ESPN, per ESPN, this says Gardner Minshew. Yahoo Sports says Gardner.
00:51:38
Sully Shaheed
its the
00:51:40
Chilly
The Raiders wire.
00:51:44
Baker
I mean, it looks like all, all signals are pointing to gardener and for them playing gardener, I don't mind.
00:51:48
Chilly
it so it's but It sounds like his leash is about yay big.
00:51:52
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, that's what I'm saying.
00:51:55
Chilly
He's just going to play the Riddler and pray.
00:52:00
Chilly
think
00:52:02
Baker
I mean, and because of, because of that, I don't mind that you call me Myers. Uh, if Desmond river was named the starter, I'd be a little bit scared, but would gardener meant you at least starting with this sort of a leash.
00:52:12
Sully Shaheed
have
00:52:15
Baker
I don't mind Jacobi Meyers.
00:52:17
Sully Shaheed
Baker, who scores more fantasy points this week? Cooper Rush or or last week or Desmond Ritter this week?
00:52:25
Baker
I think by default I want to say Desmond Ritter.
00:52:28
Sully Shaheed
You got to score more than zero.
00:52:30
Chilly
Well, wait, like there's a couple of form.
00:52:31
Sully Shaheed
That's it. You can't take in the game and take a knee.
00:52:33
Chilly
There's a there's a couple of formats where like Cooper Rush got negative points.
00:52:33
Sully Shaheed
That's it.
00:52:39
Chilly
So if he literally sits on the bench, he's outscoring him.
00:52:43
Baker
yeah
00:52:45
Baker
Yes, as I told y'all off air, I had to start a rush. He got me negative two points.
00:52:51
Sully Shaheed
Baker, I started a new tally. So any other prop bets you want to take against me?
00:52:55
Baker
I mean, here's the thing i'm about it.
00:52:55
Sully Shaheed
I'm keeping track.
00:52:57
Baker
I'm about to fucking run the table.
00:52:57
Sully Shaheed
Breaker.
00:52:58
Baker
I'm about to be like the Cleveland clever leaders on you, bro. You can't, you don't, you don't want this smoke Sally.
00:53:01
Sully Shaheed
All right. we'll We'll go. We'll go back in every position then if you want to smoke. So.
00:53:07
Baker
I promise you, you do not want it.
00:53:08
Chilly
Yeah, on on fan duel, Cooper Rush got minus two, bro.
00:53:12
Sully Shaheed
Oh, man. Then yes, that's been written by default as officially as long as he does not step on the field.
00:53:15
Baker
Yes.
00:53:21
Chilly
Yeah, 45 yards, two fumbles. The two fumbles were worth minus four.
00:53:29
Sully Shaheed
Got it.
00:53:30
Chilly
yeah um I mean, we kind of already stated it, but like play George Pickens.
00:53:32
Baker
bad.
00:53:36
Chilly
going up against Baltimore. um We see this defense just gives it up to everybody. um And basically Pittsburgh's offense now is run the ball, moon ball, run the ball, moon ball.
00:53:51
Chilly
Like, so good for them.
00:53:52
Baker
I mean, the yellow King is back in effect.
00:53:56
Chilly
I mean, if you're feeling really frisky, I mean, it's ultra mega thin, but you can play Mike Williams.
00:53:56
Sully Shaheed
Hell yeah.
00:54:03
Baker
No, no, like my first looked up like, Oh, Mike Williams, that might not be, no, I talked myself out that shit real quick.
00:54:11
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
00:54:11
Chilly
that's That's large field.
00:54:14
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, we can make the transition over to tight end because we can certainly play the move this week, right?
00:54:18
Baker
Oh, the moose can get loose.
00:54:20
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I think it's time for the move to get loose. Oh, ah excuse me. Side note, by the way, Baker, you're not invited to next week's show.
00:54:26
Baker
Yes.
00:54:28
Chilly
Damn.
00:54:29
Baker
Hurtful.
00:54:30
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I can't let you I can't let you on. You know why?
00:54:34
Baker
Why?
00:54:35
Sully Shaheed
Because it looks like the Giants will be starting drew lock next week.
00:54:44
Chilly
yeah
00:54:45
Sully Shaheed
And I don't want an hour show ah about Drew Lock.
00:54:48
Sully Shaheed
I just don't. and just I just don't. I just don't.
00:54:48
Baker
Let's go.
00:54:52
Baker
Drew lock for all the monies.
00:54:55
Sully Shaheed
I just don't want it. Malik Neighbors is back on the menu.
00:55:01
Baker
Taking all the Drew Locks.
00:55:01
Chilly
I mean, did you see who the Giants are playing next week?
00:55:05
Baker
Who do the Giants play next week?
00:55:07
Chilly
it's The fucking Bucks at home. They're at MetLife.
00:55:14
Baker
Sully, you load up Drew Lock, god damn you. You load up Drew Lock next week, god damn you.
00:55:22
Chilly
We might have to.
00:55:22
Sully Shaheed
Are we, I think we're foreshadowing for next week. I think it's Drew Lock week, next week.
00:55:32
Sully Shaheed
Anyway, ah
Tight End and Defense Plays
00:55:34
Sully Shaheed
now that that excitement has died now.
00:55:36
Baker
oh No, I might skip this week like we might skip week 11 to get to week 12 fuck this week Just so I can play my boy drew lock god damn it I Saw that I was gonna look when we get off the air
00:55:37
Sully Shaheed
ah
00:55:41
Sully Shaheed
Right, he's like, nah, pass. this this is this is make This is Baker's bye week.
00:55:52
Sully Shaheed
Baker has officially entered his bye week.
00:55:55
Chilly
There was a trade in our dynasty league.
00:56:02
Sully Shaheed
Okay. So tight ends. We'll slap it real quick. Um, if Sam LaPorter plays, I think that's gold star play 4,300 on DK. Looks like the chalk is yours going to be our client, Brock.
00:56:14
Sully Shaheed
bowers Bowers this week. A lot of people playing Travis Kosey as well. Eh, I don't mind the play, but he's been hot lately. So I guess I can't mind that.
00:56:22
Chilly
um I think Dalton Kincaid would make a lot of sense. ah right If not, then I think Dawson Knox is probably a free square.
00:56:28
Baker
I think, I think that's the injury to monitor, honestly.
00:56:30
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. If he plays. Yep. Correct. If he plays.
00:56:36
Baker
Abso-fucking-lutely.
00:56:38
Sully Shaheed
at 3500. I think that just makes like guys like Khalil secure, like more interesting. If all the chalk's going to go that way.
00:56:43
Chilly
true I mean, but Kansas City, is a they don't care about tight ends. You just get your three for 50 and you get out.
00:56:53
Sully Shaheed
That's a good point.
00:56:53
Baker
Three for 50 and two touchdowns incoming from Dawson Knox.
00:56:57
Chilly
I mean, Dawson, yeah.
00:56:57
Sully Shaheed
And two and two.
00:56:59
Baker
You heard me. I didn't stutter.
00:57:01
Chilly
Dawson Knox could go two for two for two.
00:57:05
Chilly
Two receptions, two yards, two touchdowns.
00:57:08
Sully Shaheed
He's not wrong.
00:57:09
Chilly
fifty
00:57:12
Sully Shaheed
You're not wrong.
00:57:12
Baker
And you will return value.
00:57:15
Sully Shaheed
You're not wrong.
00:57:17
Chilly
I mean, like,
00:57:20
Sully Shaheed
What if we don't get Isaiah likely back this week again?
00:57:23
Baker
I was going to comment on that. Uh, Mark Andrews, Mark Andrews is is definitely a slam play.
00:57:24
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, Mark Andrews question mark.
00:57:28
Baker
I mean, I've been playing a lot of Mark Andrews, even before the Isaiah likely injury. Um, I think Mark, Mark, Mark, Andrew, the funky bunch is in another great position.
00:57:33
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I like that.
00:57:37
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I like that as well. Chill, who's on your shortlist for tight end?
00:57:43
Chilly
Hunter Henry? question mark
00:57:48
Chilly
I'd say Hunter Henry, ah David Ninjoku, if you're playing famous. I mean, Taysom Hill was really close to an 80 yard touchdown last week, wasn't he?
00:58:03
Sully Shaheed
I didn't see the game, so I can't comment on that.
00:58:05
Chilly
I think I don't know if like if they hit. Oh, I don't know if he got like knocked out of bounds, but like he arguably should have had like a 80 yard touchdown reception.
00:58:18
Chilly
I do believe.
00:58:18
Sully Shaheed
So you're saying play tight, take some Hill on the other side of your James stacks.
00:58:19
Chilly
me I mean, I don't hate it.
00:58:22
Sully Shaheed
That's what you're saying.
00:58:26
Baker
I mean, I have a grocer played in Taysom Hill.
00:58:27
Sully Shaheed
I doing that.
00:58:30
Chilly
It's tight and it's all the same.
00:58:33
Baker
Kyle Pitts, question mark.
00:58:38
Chilly
Sure.
00:58:40
Baker
Here's the logic behind it. I got logic. I got logic, Sully.
00:58:43
Sully Shaheed
Okay.
00:58:44
Baker
I got logic.
00:58:44
Sully Shaheed
All right.
00:58:45
Sully Shaheed
Talk to me.
00:58:45
Baker
All right, so Patrick Sertain will take away the combination of Darnell Mooney and Drake London.
00:58:53
Baker
potentially forcing more targets to one redacted tight end. Not to say that like it's a great matchup or anything of that nature, I just think that more targets to be forced his way because of the greatness of Patrick Sam.
00:59:06
Chilly
It sounds like it's a Ray Ray McLeod week then, huh?
00:59:12
Baker
No. No. Hell,
Final Strategies and Predictions for Week 11
00:59:19
Baker
it still could be a Drake London week, honestly, because he plays the big slot.
00:59:22
Baker
like He plays in the slot more than he plays outside nowadays.
00:59:24
Chilly
I mean, I mean, if we're all being honest, this just seems like this would be like TJ Hockinson. This like goes 10 for 10 for two. Like 10 receptions, 100 yards, two touchdowns.
00:59:37
Sully Shaheed
TJ Hogginson is another pass catcher that is on top of the 4-4-4 breakout receiver model.
00:59:45
Chilly
There you go That
00:59:46
Baker
Shockingly, I actually played some T.G. Hopkinson last week in my leverage of Jetta and AJ or Aaron Jones.
00:59:51
Chilly
was that was that was smart smart.
00:59:53
Baker
It was what wasn't smart as I played him with Brian Thomas.
00:59:53
Chilly
It was a good play You know how bad my job I
00:59:59
Sully Shaheed
Playing any jag last week did not work.
01:00:04
Baker
ah
01:00:07
Sully Shaheed
it It just, it didn't work. It didn't work.
01:00:09
Baker
Yeah, I was trying to be too sure.
01:00:12
Sully Shaheed
You do shop, Baker, you do shop.
01:00:14
Chilly
I mean, honestly, with the way he's kind of selling me on Tyree Kill, it kind of makes me want to play Brock Bowers on the other side.
01:00:23
Baker
Just play to Kobe Myers and walk away.
01:00:25
Sully Shaheed
For your client, Barack Bowers.
01:00:30
Baker
I got you.
01:00:30
Chilly
so So Baker answered me this question. but let's Let's set the scene here.
01:00:37
Baker
God.
01:00:38
Chilly
Miami is in that ass. right So Tyree Kill has already done his thing. is Is the Riddler more inclined to throw to Brock Bowers? Or Jacoby Myers?
01:00:56
Chilly
Because this show is forecasting that the Riddler is getting into the game.
01:01:02
Baker
I think the Riddler's more inclined to throw it to the other team.
01:01:09
Baker
So load up the dolphins defense question mark.
01:01:13
Sully Shaheed
Segway.
01:01:17
Chilly
I mean, I think I think they're gonna be the chalk defense. I would think right He got himself sacked like I'm a Caleb Williams defender but that dude that dude was playing awful and
01:01:21
Sully Shaheed
ah Yeah. Yeah. They're, they're projected as the highest owned defense currently, but I mean, there's, there's another team that, you know, plays the team that got their quarterback sack nine times and hit 13.
01:01:41
Sully Shaheed
Well, guess what? He gets to play the Packers this week off a bye. So ah you think he played awful last week? Just wait.
01:01:48
Chilly
Right, um, would you play Tennessee's defense of 2300?
01:01:49
Sully Shaheed
Just wait.
01:01:57
Baker
It's defense, why the fuck not?
01:01:59
Chilly
yeah I Mean at this point, I mean based on Jared Goff's last performance he played Jags defense
01:02:01
Sully Shaheed
He's got a point.
01:02:09
Sully Shaheed
The Jags defense played well.
01:02:12
Baker
They did.
01:02:12
Sully Shaheed
They played exceptionally well actually.
01:02:15
Chilly
It's good. It's good. Sam Darnold was trash. I don't think Jared Goff.
01:02:19
Baker
it's because
01:02:20
Chilly
I don't think Jared Goff is only five picks again.
01:02:22
Baker
We're post Halloween and Sam Darnold had to take off his ah Tom Brady costume.
01:02:27
Chilly
ah I also believe that the i i believe that the Bears defense at 2400 is not a bad option either.
01:02:28
Sully Shaheed
Big facts.
01:02:35
Chilly
Jordan Love is just, he'll throw it to everybody.
01:02:38
Baker
Oh, Absafuckin' Lily. Jordan Love makes the spectacular play and he will make the fuckin' boneheaded play too.
01:02:46
Sully Shaheed
You ain't never lied.
01:02:49
Chilly
i mean like I mean, let's be real as well.
01:02:49
Baker
Well, that's ah that's a lie, because I've lied.
01:02:49
Sully Shaheed
You ain't never lied.
01:02:53
Chilly
The Saints defense is a play.
01:02:57
Baker
No, they are not.
01:02:58
Sully Shaheed
Because James will throw it to everybody.
01:03:00
Chilly
Everybody.
01:03:03
Baker
The Saints defense is not a play when they get negative 10 points and you can't even score that low chill. Let you know.
01:03:10
Sully Shaheed
Let's just play the Jets against freaking Anthony Richardson, please.
01:03:14
Baker
Don't do that.
01:03:15
Sully Shaheed
Let's just do that.
01:03:16
Baker
Tell you not to do it.
01:03:18
Sully Shaheed
I'm doing it.
01:03:19
Baker
how Don't you dare just because you're doing it in yearly does not mean you have to do it in DFS.
01:03:20
Sully Shaheed
I'm going to do it.
01:03:24
Sully Shaheed
Oh man. My yearly team was asked to we did was just so terrible.
01:03:33
Chilly
I
01:03:34
Sully Shaheed
We are due for some get back this week, Baker.
01:03:37
Baker
the first rule of week ten was
01:03:37
Sully Shaheed
We are due for some
01:03:38
Baker
the first rule of week ten we don't talk about
01:03:40
Sully Shaheed
It is, it is, it is positive regression week.
01:03:42
Chilly
yeah
01:03:44
Sully Shaheed
That's what week 11 is positive regression. That's what, that's what I'm deeming this week.
01:03:48
Chilly
I don't I don't. I don't think I mind. I'm probably not the bills defense because if Kansas City is going to run, but like I don't mind the Chiefs defense.
01:04:03
Baker
The first rule of the week 10 was the first rule of the week 10 we don't talk about.
01:04:08
Sully Shaheed
I'm sorry, you know, the rules chill. If it fits, play it.
01:04:08
Chilly
You can't.
01:04:12
Chilly
That's that's also true if you need the money.
01:04:13
Sully Shaheed
That's ah I'll do it.
01:04:14
Chilly
If you need the money, go play Tennessee's defense and walk away.
01:04:18
Baker
I mean the facts, big facts.
01:04:22
Sully Shaheed
You know me, man. I'll friggin do it. oh Before we get into our top stacks and bowl calls. Let's make sure we do all the things that help out the DFS deli get to more eyes and ears.
01:04:32
Sully Shaheed
Hit that like and subscribe always well appreciate it. Leave comments if you would like to And obviously I will try my best to reply to anybody that would love ah to talk to us on the DFS deli on YouTube or your favorite podcast streaming services, Baker, your favorite stack going into week 11. And of course, a vocal
01:04:56
Baker
Favorite stack. It was my first look when I looked on Monday evening. I'm going to go James Winston. I'm going to go Nick Chubb. And I'm going to go Cedric Tillman. My bold call is DK Metcalf. Seven catches. 175 yards. Not one. Not two.
01:05:27
Baker
He finds that painter three times.
01:05:29
Chilly
You better go bet that prop.
01:05:33
Baker
I can't read it.
01:05:37
Sully Shaheed
I got it written down. I'm just, I'm putting, I'm putting bold right here.
01:05:42
Chilly
Bold.
01:05:42
Baker
Oh yeah, and so to put a bow on DK Metcalf, he is my beast of the week.
01:05:42
Sully Shaheed
So that's your bowl call.
01:05:51
Sully Shaheed
Shut up, dude. Chili favorite stack. And of course something bold.
01:06:00
Chilly
My favorite stack is the Lions yeah I Mean like if we're being honest here, um, I think you're gonna need a lion, right?
01:06:03
Sully Shaheed
Just the team.
01:06:04
Baker
the two
01:06:11
Sully Shaheed
oh
01:06:15
Chilly
So That that's my humble of opinion you're gonna need a lion it could be Jamison Williams could go three receptions for a buck fifty and two like You know But I mean, if we're out here getting bold, is it is it bold to say that the Kansas City Chiefs will beat the Buffalo Bills?
01:06:35
Chilly
They are underdogs.
01:06:38
Sully Shaheed
They're an undefeated team.
01:06:40
Chilly
They're underdogs, though.
01:06:42
Sully Shaheed
So they're an undefeated team and you call it bowl for them to beat the bills.
01:06:43
Chilly
It's bold. yeah
01:06:47
Sully Shaheed
Get the fuck out of here.
01:06:49
Chilly
to um No, ah I sort of like the Lions. so
01:06:56
Chilly
I don't care, however you want to stack the Lions is fine. If you want to do running back defense, you want to onslaught it, you want to go Jarrett golf or pass catchers, Jarrett golf, insert running back here, wide receiver, however you want to do it is fine. Um, so I do like the Lions. Um, and then I, I, man, I'll just give you, I'll give you a bold, a bold take here. Uh, I'll just go that Puka Nakua breaks the slate.
01:07:26
Sully Shaheed
Oh, you need some pook nukem, huh?
01:07:29
Chilly
Yep.
01:07:31
Sully Shaheed
I'm gonna put, I'm gonna put chill with his bold call.
01:07:36
Sully Shaheed
Pooka. Pooka. All right, got it. Obviously, I'm um i'm still tailing. ah Favorite stack, two Tonga by Loa, Tyree Kill, Jonu Smith.
01:07:50
Sully Shaheed
Put them all together. You have a nice dolphin sandwich. And of course, the
01:07:55
Chilly
right?
01:07:56
Sully Shaheed
the The mini bowl take is that David Montgomery will splash the dirt two times. So put him on T for two, put him on T for two. But the the the the Sandman himself, Tyreek Hill will be putting those that did not own him to sleep. As Tyreek Hill, he will be your wide receiver one week 11.
01:08:25
Sully Shaheed
As he goes for 170 on the dot on five catches just five. That's all he'll need. Five catches a buck 70 and he will splash the dirt two times.
01:08:40
Sully Shaheed
So write it down 572. I'm not crazy enough to say three because I think the Von A chain is going to get his. I think I think the chalk donkeys will be rewarded for playing divine a chain.
01:08:52
Sully Shaheed
But if you want to get a little weird, I could play them all together play John who play play divine a Tyreke. Hell, even Jalen water might do something at some point this year.
01:09:02
Sully Shaheed
So just go just go dolphins crazy. Oh, and that's the last bowl call. You will see you will see the Riddler this week.
01:09:14
Sully Shaheed
He will see the Riddler.
01:09:15
Baker
Lord Jesus.
01:09:18
Sully Shaheed
ah Baker closing thoughts for week 11.
01:09:22
Baker
It's not week 10.
01:09:27
Sully Shaheed
Thank you, Jesus, it is not week 10 anymore. Chilly closing thoughts for week 11 man.
01:09:35
Chilly
No, like I said, I think it's a lot of interesting games. I mean, kind it kind of depends on how you want to play. Do you want to play the running backs? Do you want to pay up for wide receiver? Obviously, I think there's a lot of good running back plays. So we'll we'll see. Like I said, you're I think you're going to need a lion. So good luck.
01:10:04
Sully Shaheed
I like it. I like it. Well, this has been a great episode of the Davis deli. I appreciate you all for listening in for Baker for chill. I've been your host, Sally Alicia heed, and we're going to get it and close up the shop. Of course, we'll see you all at the top.