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Week 13 NFL DFS Main Slate Early Look: The Main Menu
96 Plays11 months ago
Welcome to "The DFS Deli," your go-to destination for delectable DFS insights! Join us as we meticulously dissect the Week 13 NFL main slate, guiding you through the feast of fantasy football possibilities.
Our hosts are your culinary curators of success, breaking down the best plays at every position to help you construct winning lineups. From quarterbacks with a sizzling arm to running backs ready to carve through defenses, "The DFS Deli" serves up the prime picks that will have you stacking points on the scoreboard.
Get ready for a smorgasbord of strategic advice, as we analyze matchups, delve into player performances, and unveil the hidden gems that could be the secret sauce to your DFS success. We're not just breaking down plays; we're crafting a winning recipe for your fantasy football journey.
Whether you're a seasoned DFS gourmet or a rookie hungry for victory, "The DFS Deli" has a spot at the table for you. Subscribe now and let us be your trusted chefs in the kitchen of fantasy football strategy. It's time to feast on success with "The DFS Deli"!
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Transcript
Introduction to Week 13 with Salih, Dale, and Chill
00:00:00
Speaker
Ah yes, the week 13 slate is upon us and I'd like to congratulate all of you that have made it with us this far. Unlike Frank Wright, we will continue our journey on into the next week. So join us as we push push our way to the finish line in week 13. Pull up a chair, grab your favorite beverage and welcome into the deli. Let's do it.
00:00:38
Speaker
Welcome in to the DFS deli. I am the proprietor of this delicatessen Salih Alishahid and join tonight. Welcome me back to the shop Dale. And of course my main state, my main man, they call me chill in the building with me as well. Guys, welcome to week 13. It is another ugly, decrepit, terrible, ugly slate.
00:01:01
Speaker
But of course, we're going to break it down for everybody, given our favorite plays at each position.
Personal Stories and Week 13 Strategy Discussion
00:01:06
Speaker
Dale, what's going on, man? How was your PTO? It was not spent well. I was sick. The wife was sick. The child was sick. Then last week, I had a bowl for the wife because someone decided to go and roll their ankle in the snow. It's a good time. Ah. Ah. It's never good. It's never good. Well, we're glad to have you back. Chill. What's going on, man?
00:01:30
Speaker
Oh man, not much. Uh, just getting ready to take a look here at another slate. Um, again, I think this slate is going to be pretty straightforward. I don't think you have to get too crazy on it. Um, you know, we already had some tremendous value open up already on the slate and it's not even, uh, it's not even Thursday yet. So, um, you know, we'll see what else happens through the week, but I'm just ready to dive on it.
00:01:54
Speaker
Yeah man, I'm pumped, I'm pumped. It should be, like you said, a straightforward slate. You and I slanged some text messages back and forth concerning what we want to do on this slate. And of course we're going to divulge that information to the listeners and viewers out there on YouTube. And it's pretty much a
00:02:12
Speaker
I don't want to say straightforward slate, but it's one of those prove to me you can beat me slates, right? So it's the play the best play slate. There are some spots to get cute and contrarian, but I don't think you need to get that far off the reservation to succeed this week. So of course we're going to break it all down. But first, shout out to our boy Baker, who is steadily grinding out his training at his new job. And of course, shout out to
00:02:38
Speaker
Our boy, our boy Dajon, who finally got engaged. He did it. He did it. He did it. He did it. Congratulations. Congratulations. Anybody that knows him knows that we've been friends for well over 20 years and I've been married and had kids and separated and damn near almost married again. Just kidding. Not almost married again before he even got proposed. So I mean, that's another friend off the list. So I'm excited.
00:03:08
Speaker
Yeah, what? Nah, we don't need to. It's gonna be the day I'm the plane dealer. Miss a day. Miss a lot. Miss a lot. Miss a lot. Miss bitch in my PTO. Yeah, man. I mean, when you take some time off work, a lot of things happen. A lot of things happen. But of course, let's switch our focus back to DFS.
NFL Coaching Changes and Speculations
00:03:31
Speaker
What we actually sidebarred in our off-air conversation was,
00:03:35
Speaker
How the hell did Frank Wright get fired before Brandon Staley? Before Matt Eberfelous? If you're a Chargers fan, you're rooting for the Patriots this week, aren't you?
00:03:52
Speaker
The Patriots can't get out of their own way. I mean, they, they blatantly missed that ship shot field goal. You can't tell me that from what 33 down the middle, he was like overtime. Nah, fam. We, we got a, we got a quarterback to draft. Oops. So he was playing for the squad, man. So ain't no way to Patriots about the F around and win this game on Sunday. Right? I mean, I know, I know Belichick got the extension, but like,
00:04:17
Speaker
When, like, wouldn't Belichick just beating Staley, that way he could take his job in the off season, just be like, are we speculating? Are we speculating Belichick to the Chargers? I think, I think, I think you can expect Belichick to the Bears or the Chargers.
00:04:34
Speaker
I don't think he'd go to the Bears. I think he'd go to the Bears. That's an old school. Someone wants that Bears job. That draft equity is going to be pretty nice. I mean, listen, if he goes to the Bears, like the Bears have one of the oldest owners and she's a super old school. It fits what Belichick wants to do. The Bears are not in the 20th century offensively. You're still living in 85. Wait, wait, wait.
00:05:01
Speaker
Justin Fields just threw another screen pass. I just want to make sure he just fumbled again and he just fumbled again. I don't want to fucking talk about that game because I'm up 20. I don't even care. This past week I was up 20 going into that damn game and all he had left was DJ Moore. It's like 11 catches.
00:05:27
Speaker
Oh yeah. If you were telling me you were down 20 with DJ more. So I'm like, you lost, especially if it's a full point PPR, your full point PPR you're done. That's eight receptions. So pray to God, he don't get a hundred yards. Hey man, that game was obviously, cause I bowl like late Monday nights or whatever league starts at eight. So it's the same time as the game, you know, turns on.
00:05:50
Speaker
Listen, Josh Dobbs had more interceptions than I did open frames. That entire night, I missed one 10 pin, a split, and a washout. That man had faux picks. So. He looked like a backup. Yeah, he, yeah. I want to see that rookie. I know he's healthy. For the bikes? Yeah. I don't know who. He had one drive and got concussed.
00:06:16
Speaker
Our resident Vikings fan is not here to disclose this information. Oh yeah, he wouldn't know the college. He would know his, you would know his Spark score. His height, weight, mom's name, dad's name. Hands down, everything. He knows it. Without question. Without question. But we digress. So let's break it down.
00:06:36
Speaker
position by position, of course, talking about the week 13 slate.
Quarterback Choices for Week 13
00:06:40
Speaker
And again, like we mentioned, it's pretty straightforward to me. I don't know what you guys's thoughts are, but Tua, Tonga Valoa on the menu, Sam Howe is on the menu. And I mean, from a floor perspective,
00:06:56
Speaker
It's pricey, but Jalen Hurts is on the menu. And on the opposite side of that game, I don't know what the weather's supposed to be like. None of the quarterbacks cared. Josh Allen sure did shit in care that it was raining in Philly last week. But Brock Purdy, he's got the Avengers with him as Chill likes to call him. Everybody's healthy.
00:07:17
Speaker
It's the worst secondary in the league and it's not particularly close. So those are kind of the four that I'm starting off with and then kind of branching out from there. So chill initial thoughts late Wednesday night. Are you in the same spot as I am where there are a couple other quarterbacks that you may consider this week?
00:07:41
Speaker
Uh, there's no, I mean, for the most part, um, I'm keeping this rather simple. Um, it it's too, uh, it's Sam howl it's Brock Purdy.
00:07:55
Speaker
I think if you want to make the argument for Russell Wilson, you can. Houston's defense ranks pretty much in the top five against the run. They're bottom 20 against the pass in a game that is going to have a little bit of pace to it. Houston likes to get into these shootouts, especially with Stroud. Devin Tingletary is still the main back in that backfield, but they're more or less evolving into a pass first type of team.
00:08:25
Speaker
Um, so if you want to make the argument for Russ, um, you can, um, I think he will have a little bit of ownership to him. Uh, but Russ does Russ would have pass catcher and run it back with a Texan seems like a pretty simple stack. Um, you know, we'll cover the, you know, we'll cover the chalk of chalk in the next section, but it does help you open up some value here. Um,
00:08:50
Speaker
Now, if you want to get super gross and really just super gross, if Joe Flacco gets ruled the starter, he starts. If he gets ruled again, you know, we'll see. But on DraftKings, I think it could be fine. Again, it's forty six hundred. What does he allow you to open up, especially if you play him with Zach Moss at that point?
00:09:12
Speaker
Uh, you can jam in a lot of these dolphins guys, uh, in Eagles receiver, uh, 49ers receiver. But, um, I mean, for the most part, for me, it kind of starts with Tua. Um, and then from there, like, I'm really not interested in Jalen hurts. Um,
00:09:32
Speaker
It's a weird game against San Francisco because it's going to be a very personal game. Because you have the 49ers who are saying, basically, oh, we won the loss last year if we went and lost our 27 quarterbacks. You got the Eagles guys who will tell them to stop complaining, even though the Eagles guys complained about the turf and the Super Bowl. And that's why they lost, but only they get to complain. But I think in terms of quarterbacks this week, for me, it kind of starts with Tua.
00:10:02
Speaker
And then after that. You know, again, it kind of just depends on what slate I'm playing, because if I'm only doing early only, that kind of takes out Brock Purdy. You know, I kind of looking at Russ, but I just don't know the upside in Russ that, you know, that's again, that's something I kind of have to gauge here. But a one quarterback that I think is kind of super intriguing is Gardner Minshew going up against his Tennessee pass funnel and they're still a pass funnel.
00:10:32
Speaker
Again, you could still play him with the chalk of chalk that is Zach Moss in a game that I'll dub it as the sneaky shootout potential type of game. It's an easy run back with Hopkins. We saw Mike Evans cook these boys last week. The hop ain't no different. But for me, it starts and ends with two. Let's not get crazy, guys.
00:10:57
Speaker
I feel that, I feel that. Like I said, it might be a don't get cute week, but I mean, we'll see. Like I said, it's a late Wednesday night, so I do like the takes. I definitely like them. Dale, where are you looking at quarterback? Same boat as us or you got some off the reservation plays for us? I am the off the reservation guy because I'm the only person dumb enough to actually do it. No. Well, I'm mostly in the same boat as you guys with the Tua and the Brock party.
00:11:24
Speaker
Baker's Baker's dumb enough to do it. Hey Baker would do it. No matter what you say Baker would do it Baker would do it just to prove a point damn right he would No, but we are talking about to and Brock perdy you can flip the card a little bit on the Miami game with the Washington and go Sam Howell cuz like you guys say he's gonna throw it everybody's gonna keep throwing and
00:11:51
Speaker
That's expected from the resident commanders fan. Yeah. I forgot about that. He is the resident commies fan. That's right. I think, I think I got to get you some commander stuff for Christmas. No.
00:12:07
Speaker
I think so. I don't know. I think that Sam Houser is you look real nice on him. Yeah. In the background there. In the background there. Yeah. Get him a nice Brian Robinson bobblehead. Oh my god. Here you go. Here. This is this is where we can go right here. We'll take it back to my Phil Dawson. Oh, that's not a commie though. That's not a commie. We don't do commies in this house. I don't have any commies. I don't think. It's OK. Isn't your wife a Bengals fan?
Running Back Strategies and Key Picks
00:12:34
Speaker
My wife is a Bengals fan, just because she likes to troll the Browns. I mean, it's still Bengals fan. You can be a comedy fan. I'm getting my wife a Bengals jersey for Christmas. Oh, she don't listen to this show. Sam does not listen to anything that has anything to do with sports. All right, first, and we're good. But to get a little different if you want to,
00:13:04
Speaker
You could go back to the Kenny Pickett against Arizona because that defense is not good. I knew you were going to mention Kenny Pickett. I knew it too. Did you? I knew it. I knew it. I was going to say that was that'd be something that fucking Baker would tell Kenny Pickett. And you went on ahead and said it. He said it. He was there when he said it. But lucky for you now, you're not going to get the ain't no fucking way, bro, because I kind of agree with you. The Cardinals are
00:13:32
Speaker
And we just had that Stafford had a game. They fired old Canada. This is the first time in, in the season that the Steelers offense out produced their opponent. If it wasn't for a Deontay Johnson drop, which was technically a touchdown, but then they didn't review it, but then he should have completed the process anyway, but still anyway, I kind of agree with the Kenny picket take. They got the move back involved and we all know the flow chart when it comes to tight ends, Cardinals.
00:13:59
Speaker
Play the tight end. So the move is going to get loose. The stacking partners are easy. Pickens are still cheap. Yante Johnson is still cheap. So I mean, it allows you to fit everything else that you want to on this slate. It allows the Tyree kills and it allows the whoever you want to play from the 49ers or anybody that you're circling. You might even be able to fit CMC even in a tough matchup. So I'm not going to knock Dale on the can you pick it take because I actually like it. Am I going to do it?
00:14:29
Speaker
Maybe. It's there. It's there. But last one, for $400 more, can I interest you in a Baker Mayfield to go along with? No. Mike Evans? No? No. Carolina, Carolina, for whatever reason, makes a concentrated effort to stop the pass.
00:14:48
Speaker
Yeah man, they limited Dakota Prescott to 188 and he's on his MVP train tear. So ain't no way Baker Mayfield is hanging 303 on him. So nod man, just stick to the running game where we're gonna go here in a second. I can't do the Baker Mayfield thing. The Baker Mayfield reminds me of Matt Stafford. Like he literally has no upside. Like Matt Stafford tossed four touchdown passes last week and was nowhere near being the optimal quarterback. The dude still sucked and he threw four touchdown passes.
00:15:18
Speaker
like Baker Mayfield is him. He's Matt Stafford. So I just can't do it. I'd rather do Kenny pick it. I'd rather do pick it at home against the freaking Cardinals. Oh yeah. And everybody's gonna be playing the running game too. So it provides good leverage off of Jalen Warren and Najee Harris. Oh yeah. No Baker Mayfield outside looking in. Can you pick it up inside looking at more as we go. I like it. I'm just saying man. I'm chock full of DFS knowledge. I really am.
00:15:47
Speaker
The thing is, is that, I'm not bad at fantasy. Players are bad at fantasy. I'm not bad. You're bad. Hey, y'all's bad. So any other QB takes free head over to the running back position? Nope. What about you boss?
00:16:08
Speaker
Hey man, I got my list out. I'm good. Like I said, straight forward week. I got five guys, maybe four. So we'll see. Chill. Anything else that you find interesting on the slate? Uh, in terms of the quarterback position, um, I mean,
00:16:30
Speaker
Don't try to convince yourself of something. Don't try to convince yourself. I mean, I feel like the best place chill. We're trying to play the best place. I feel like I have to bring it up. Like how cool is it that CJ Stroud is 8100? What a monster.
00:16:47
Speaker
Like he's a hundred less dollars than Jalen hurt. I wish he would have won that game last week. I wish they would have had their regular kicker would have probably won the game. A lot of penalty flags that should not have flown. And we could be talking about the offensive Ricky of the year being the MVP of the league too. So I mean that was well, unfortunately, I don't think he'll, I don't think he could have won MVP because they have too many losses. Like if Philadelphia goes like 13 and like three or four, like it would go to hurts. It'll go to Dakota Prescott only because of the losses.
00:17:17
Speaker
But hey, it still would have been a sweet story even for him to be in the conversation. I still think he's in the conversation. I think he's probably like top. I think he would have stamped it if he if he wins that division, which after that loss to the Jags, he won't. But no, it's still in the playoff hunt. And that schedule is pretty sexy. So yeah, it's not bad. I mean, I don't think Jacksonville has too many hard games left either. But yeah, he will. Stroud. Good man. Good man.
00:17:44
Speaker
Yeah. All right. Well, running backs, let's go ahead and touch on it one time and just kind of move on. Are we good? Can I just say when I just play, can I just say play Zach Moss and like be done with it? It's good for me. Okay, cool. No JT, no JT thumb injury. I don't care about the matchup. He's super cheap because no one was expecting this JT thumb injury to pop up. You have a free square. Just play it. Moving on. Okay. That's all the Zach Moss talk we need for today.
00:18:13
Speaker
We good? Everybody good? Okay, let's talk about the other running backs on the slate. As I alluded to, you got the Steelers guys against the Cardinals at home. We saw what Kyra Williams did against them. The thing is with the Steelers backfield is that it's split. So you take Jalen Warner, you take Najee Harris and pray that one of them or both of them may or may not get there. So there's that split. You got Rachey Rice in the flow chart against the aforementioned Carolina Panthers.
00:18:42
Speaker
CMC is always CMC regardless of matchup. He was in a tough matchup last week. I mean, though the week before did great, did great the last week on Thanksgiving. Now he's get the Eagles on the road as three point favorites, by the way. Now, is that like indicative of how good the 49ers are or are the Eagles just kind of sus? I mean, this is Vegas saying that if San Francisco was at home, they would be touchdown favorites, right? Because you normally get three for being at home. Yeah.
00:19:12
Speaker
That's a good point. Yeah, I mean, I think I think a little bit of is is that and I think a little bit of is like the Philadelphia is winning. Jalen Hurts is balling out for sure. But like they've been down at halftime in all these games. Mm hmm. Like to me, that's only that's only sustainable with one quarterback and he's in Kansas City. But also like that that Philadelphia pass defense is only better than like
00:19:42
Speaker
Uh, the Panthers, the commanders, the chargers, and then it's like Philly. Like it's, it's, it's going to come back and get you. Um, cause I think, I think that's potentially the reason why, uh, I'm surprised you didn't mention, you know, maybe I'll bring it up the revenge game. I was on the way. I just got to cut myself off at CMC to like kind of mention
00:20:12
Speaker
You know, the game environment. But, wait. Revenge game? Yeah. There's run back in the revenge game. Oh, wait, wait, wait. Talk about somebody else. Talk about somebody else before I got to figure this out. Why do I not know this off the top of my head? I got to figure it out. Why do I not know this off the top of my head? I mean, you gave- Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, yeah. All right. All right. That's fair.
00:20:41
Speaker
Yeah. Yeah. I mean, Dale mentioned, mentioned, you know, mentioned the quarterback on the other side. It's just not, it's just not clicking up here. Oh, then there's two actually. But the other one really doesn't matter. Jamal Williams doesn't matter because he doesn't touch the ball anymore. Bro. Jamal Williams totally forgot about that one. Do we get a, do we get a sneaky? Stop it.
00:21:12
Speaker
That team can't freaking score anyway. Derek Carr is so bad. So bad. Can we just get Amos one time, please? We did, for a half. I need him for an entire day. I need him for the entire day, man. Please, just one time for the one time. Please. No, I mean, in terms of running back, I mean, I think it's kind of interesting, right? Like, I personally have no interest in CMC on this slate, especially playing on FanDuel.
00:21:43
Speaker
Um, Philadelphia does not give a damn. You're not running on Philadelphia. Like again, the way to beat them is through the air. But CMC can get it done through the air though. That is true. But like, I feel like that Philadelphia has the skill position players to match up with him, not necessarily cornerbacks and safeties.
00:22:07
Speaker
But there are other skill position players like again, I think if San Francisco is going to beat Philadelphia, it's going to be with Deebo, Iuke, Kittle, which could open up CMC, I guess. I just personally have no interest. I'd rather pay the a couple extra hundred dollars to get the guarantee that is Tyree kill.
00:22:28
Speaker
I mean, that's a fact, but I mean, I do want to mention that James Cook got there last week from a PPR standpoint against these same
Christian McCaffrey's Value Against the Eagles
00:22:35
Speaker
Eagles. So I mean, there is a chance that CMC who is millions of worlds better than James Cook can get there. So don't count, don't discount CMC. And because of the aforementioned Tyra Hill, CMC could be pretty low owned in this spot. I still have him at pretty, I have him at,
00:22:59
Speaker
on a Wednesday, he's at 21%. Yeah, remember how bad our ownership projections were last week in the industry? Like that was the worst projected ownership of like an entire slate across the industry, like ever. I just think people are getting either too caught in simulations, too caught in, I don't know, steam, hype, X talk, all that type of shit. That's either steaming up one person with the obvious play,
00:23:29
Speaker
should be straight up obvious and should be owned more than it is. I think when the cards flip over, you're going to see CMC at like 9% and be like, yeah, boy. Got him. Yeah, boy. This is true. My bad. I've been sleeping on the soundboard. I apologize. I mean, so the running backs I'll mention this week,
00:23:52
Speaker
Again, if you're following the flow chart, Rashad White going up against the Carolina Panthers, we discussed off air. Carolina will do everything at all costs to stop the pass. You burn that team on the run. I think if you want to play either one of the Pittsburgh running backs with either Najee or Jayla Warren, we saw this offense get cooking last week against the Bengals.
00:24:16
Speaker
We saw what this sorry Cardinals defense allowed the Kyra Williams. So again, I think that's okay. I think if you want to go back to Raimondre Stevenson at home against the Chargers, that's fine. You know, reminders are so bad and like how they even put up a fight against the Ravens. I'll never know.
00:24:41
Speaker
Just the same team that got cooked, cooked by the Packers and Jordan Love. And so did the Lions too. So I mean, I guess I should say. Yeah. I mean, speaking of the Lions, I mean, I saw one rookie running back towards this New Orleans defense. I could see another one doing it in Gibbs. I think that's a very intriguing play, although this will be in New Orleans, I do believe. Again,
00:25:09
Speaker
And then I'll take a look at it like I don't hate Jerome Ford here. Running against Aaron Donald in the middle. Why does everybody love Jerome Ford? I don't think I, I don't love them, but I don't, I don't hate them in this matchup. Everybody mentions them and then accidentally plays them. Like this dude is like double his ownership, what he actually should be every week. He's not good.
00:25:36
Speaker
Well, I think that's a guy. He's just out of the goal line. They use cream hunt more than anything else. Anyways, I think maybe he's a DraftKings play at that point because of the receptions. He'll get three receptions, 20 yards. He'll still get, you know, he's getting like screen touches a game. He's a he's a floor play for strictly 11.9 DraftKings points back to back weeks. There's your floor and ceiling.
00:26:03
Speaker
Right. You need that eleven point nine drone force. Got you. Right. And then again, you know, James Connor going up against this, you know, it's in the revenge game. Revenge. Again, the Pittsburgh defense hasn't been super great against the run. We know for whatever reason, James Connor when healthy gets an abundance workload in this offense, no matter who the coach is, apparently.
00:26:32
Speaker
Um, so I don't, I don't hate that either. All right. Uh, Dale, what you got at the RB position, like in some, like in some of the takes that show had, or do you got somebody that we haven't mentioned? Uh, I got two people you have not mentioned yet, but, uh, sticking with Joe said, uh, the flow chart of a shot white. I personally, I, I'm just, this is gut feeling. I really don't like the Steelers running backs this week.
00:27:00
Speaker
I just. Because I convinced you to play Kenny Pickett instead. Maybe. Maybe. Yeah. But if I play Kenny Pickett, you gotta play Jaylen Warren for the screen passes that he catches all fucking day long. I mean, that's not the worst idea. Just like Chill mentioned with Gartner mentioned, just play Zach Moss with him. You're still fine. So if you want to play chalk and kind of get away from it, why not just throw Jaylen Warren in with Kenny Pickett? Why not? Mm hmm.
00:27:27
Speaker
It works. The Cardinals suck like chill. You know what this reminds me of know this reminds me of chill two weeks ago. Two weeks ago when I said you're gonna play Jordan love with me. You're gonna play Jordan love charger suck play Jordan love. Let's play some Jordan love blah blah blah blah. Know who didn't play Jordan love this guy. You know who went off Jordan love. I'm doing it this week. I'm playing can you pick it. Fuck that. I had I played Jordan love that week for you except in my lineup. I had him with
00:27:56
Speaker
I had, I had Watson who I think got a touchdown in that game. He didn't do bad. And then, but I had, uh, I had Aaron Jones who got hurt. Oh, you should've just stuck with Jalen Reed, man. But I mean, it did get me on the bring back of Keenan Allen who dropped an open touchdown, but caught one, but still dropped one. How's that like every week? Any who, uh, Dale, who else, who else did we, did we not mention? Um, since their past defense is actually decent,
00:28:25
Speaker
going to run with the Falcons, Bijon Robinson. Or if you want to get totally different than everybody else, like Chills talking about everybody going with the guarantee of Tyree kill. Why not play the running game and Raheem must start.
00:28:45
Speaker
I think every dolphin is on the table against the commies. If you want to play Durham Smith in your tight end spot, I don't care. Do it. Julian Hall. Sure. Sure. Sure. Every dolphin, every dolphin is on the table. Highest implied team total on the slate. That game is 50 total because of the dolphins implied a 30. So I mean, you want to be like really big brain and play Salvin Ahmed. Sure. You want to play Robbie chosen, go for it.
00:29:12
Speaker
First of all, chosen got cut. Second of all, I'm not sure you got cut. What do you mean? Calvin Ahmad is on the IR. So it's Jeffrey Wilson Jr. So this is your team and use your team. Tell me I'm getting the brand. I don't get.
00:29:31
Speaker
Is Braxton Barrios still there? Yeah, we got a brand sighting at the Braxton Barrios. Actually, two members of the Dolphins are on the brand, Durham and Braxton Barrios. The brand is up this year. Oh my God. Is he any cheaper? No, he's the same price. I was gonna say, what about Bumaz Chase Claypool? He doesn't play.
00:29:54
Speaker
doesn't play. It's centered around four guys, Tyreke, Waddle, Rahim, and whoever the backup running back is, because Jeff Wilson got, I think 70 total yards last game. So, I mean, it's a possibility that he could be at least on DraftKings, certainly not on FanDuel, but DraftKings are kind of sneaky, cheap play. I mean, we got the cheap play in Zach Moss, I get it, but like,
00:30:22
Speaker
If you want a piece of this offense and you're not playing Tiger kill, or you are playing Tiger kill and you want more of the Dolphins offense, I don't run. I don't mind brother Raheem. I don't mind Wilson. I like every dolphin. If you want the 1% play on Draftkings, it's Jeffles and Junior. Why is Barrios running 54% of the snaps? Because he's the slot guy. They literally don't have anybody else to put out there. Correct.
00:30:51
Speaker
If they had, if they had a legitimate, another outside wide receiver, Jalen waddle would go to the slot and he would dominate.
00:31:01
Speaker
Jalen water would be a problem in the slot, but Tyreek Hill goes everywhere. So it doesn't, Tyreek Hill's like outside slot, other outside, other slot, right in the backfield, backfield. Yeah. Right. In motion, you know, the same motion play that, you know, got take Hills 64 yard catch nullified and Tyreek Hill literally does that almost every play.
00:31:22
Speaker
But anyway, I digress. Last person I'll mention is that I don't think we hard throw him enough is Kyron Williams. I mean, this dude gets all the toke. The only reason why Royce Freeman got toke last week is because they were kicking the Cardinals ass. So I mean, over 200 yards rushing, Kyron Williams accounted for almost 200 yards himself, two touchdowns.
00:31:43
Speaker
That's their offense. And we'll get to our receivers here in a second. I think Cooper cup and Puka Nakura are in spots where they could dominate. But at the same time, like this Browns defense is never, I mean, this Browns team is never on offense. We're talking about a potential Joe Flacco lead team. The amount of three and outs that this team is going to cause on the upcoming week is going to be ridiculous. So you're talking about a 20 plus touch guy.
00:32:07
Speaker
He's their red zone back. I mean, they love to run in the red zone. Kyra Williams dominated before he got injured. Then he comes back, dominates again. And it's like, now we're talking about maybe not playing him because everybody's going to see that big red one next to Cleveland. Listen, they gave up two rushing touchdowns last week to the let's ride. So it's like, they can be got. I mean, Jalen Warren got them in a low scoring game. I mean, you know, this team could be had on the ground. So home running back favored.
00:32:38
Speaker
Gets all the toke, Kyra Williams should be at the top of your player pool, besides Zack Moss, of course, because you're gonna play Zack Moss, period, so. We safe to move on to our receiver, Dale, you got anything else for us? All right, so our receiver, there's a certain cheetah on the slate, any place, any place, the commies.
Tyreek Hill's Consistency as a Must-Start
00:33:07
Speaker
So I think I'm gonna treat Tyreek Hill just like Zack Moss. If you can afford him because of Zack Moss, now you can't afford him, you should probably play Tyreek Hill. I would rather lose with Tyreek Hill than lose without him or win without him. Because if anybody can put you to sleep on this slate,
00:33:34
Speaker
Hell, not this slate, any week, it's Tyreek Hill. This dude has two, two, we're week 13, two dud weeks. Everything else has been over 27 DraftKings points. Everything else, he's minus the Sun God. He's the most consistent wide receiver in the NFL. AJ Brown is like, whoa, bam.
00:33:59
Speaker
Straighten and shitter. He's been in the past two weeks. Actually, I will give that to the Sun God and Keenan Allen. Oh, yeah. Keenan Allen is 18 targets a game or whatever the hell it is. Well, Keenan Allen could catch wide open touchdowns really dominating. No, it's even crazier on the season. Tyree kills only logging 62 percent of snaps on offense.
00:34:23
Speaker
because he's always going 80 yards up damn field every play. The man needs the rest. They are literally the AFC version of the Cowboys where their guys aren't playing halfway through the third and fourth quarter. This is true. They are at a time where he is literally out of the game, like, because they're done for the day. Right. Like, Tyree Kill can absolutely get you 30 points and a half and not play. He's done it in a corner before, Chill. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. I had a...
00:34:55
Speaker
I had a, uh, I had a Facebook memory of, you know, it was, uh, Tyree kill had gone for 60 against the bucks. Brother. That's what you get right there. I cannot tell you two times, two times this year, I went over my buddy Zach's house to watch football. Both times the dolphins were playing at one o'clock. Both times I walked in to a Tyree kill long touchdown.
00:35:23
Speaker
Literally both weeks I didn't play him and I was buried from the first series of the first quarter. You know what ain't happening this week? Tyree kill is not bearing me. Tyree kill is finding his way on to rosters. Yeah. So I can get cute. Y'all can get cute and pivot to Jalen or to, I'm sorry, to, yeah, to Jalen waddle, or you can load up the old fashioned to a double and play both of them.
00:35:49
Speaker
or just like chill mentioned earlier, you can play Sam how and Tyree kill and Jalen waddle. I mean, that's, that's up to you. Yeah. But again, you say dolphin, I say, go ahead. So enough of my, you know, sucking off Tyree kill. Yeah. Dale, where are you going at? Why would you go ahead? Three years ago today, Tyree kill seven minutes left to go in the third quarter had 61.10 points.
00:36:16
Speaker
And on my dynasty team, I also had Pat Mahomes. So together, they had me at a cool 95 points before the rest of the team. This dude scored an entire week with two people. Yeah, this was back when Deshaun Watson was relevant. He had Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson went for 41. Was that Deshaun's week? No, no, no, no. Let's see.
00:36:40
Speaker
Cause that's one of those, that's one of those weeks where like it, that sounds like the Seahawks Texans game. No, I think this was the Thanksgiving slate where the Sean beat Detroit for the 125. Oh yeah. Back when to Sean Watson was relevant. Those were the days. Those were the days. So you know what that sounds like? Honestly, him having 90 with two people in the third quarter. It sounds like when you're bowling that like one 10 average guy,
00:37:08
Speaker
and he slaps front six and you're just sitting there like what the fuck do you do what do you do yeah what do you do yeah you know you're in bed you know you're in bed here you pack that shit up and get ready for the game too that's it that's it you've probably got total on lock two the handicap is ridiculous
00:37:34
Speaker
It's like this man shot 200 and has a 308 handicap game. We're done. We're done. But yeah, I get it. Yeah. That's a good comparison to all our bowlers out there. When I subbed for Sam last week, we had three guys shoot over 800 handicap against us. Oh yeah. Pack that shit up. Oh yeah.
00:37:56
Speaker
We won four. We want four points in a 30 point system. Pack it up. Pack it up. Pack it up. But Dale, who are you playing a wide receiver if it's not? I mean, it is Tyree Hill. But who else alongside Tyree Hill are you playing this week? Brandon, I like it this week because we talked about how ass that Eagles secondary is and
00:38:23
Speaker
We keep talking about it, but it's just always there, Keenan Allen. How many targets does this guy get? Okay, put him in. They literally said on the broadcast last week and Sam pointed it out because she has Keenan Allen and Austin Echler on a roster, that they're like, he's struggling because he needs to throw the ball more to number 13 and number 30. It's like that's all he ever fucking throws to.
00:38:52
Speaker
Well, it's because the other guys can't get open. So he's like, well, unless you're unless you're a tight end on the goal line, because that's all he throws to on the goal line is fucking tight ends. Joe, whatever. Parham. Well, Donald Parham's like six foot eight. He's hard to miss. Facts. And you ever got the box last week, right? Ever got ever. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Anyway, because because everybody went towards Keenan Allen. No shit.
00:39:20
Speaker
just like Justin Herbert did. I'm pretty sure that was his first, second and third read. Thanks. Nope.
00:39:27
Speaker
Oh, nope, nope, nope. I'm sure that's how the play went, because I'll watch Chargers games, though. But I'm pretty sure that's how it went. But yeah, no, Keenan Allen's definitely a solid play. If you can jam in Tyra Kill and Keenan Allen somehow, then great. You obviously got a very solid floor. Can you pick it? Can you pick it? It'll make it work, dog. But yeah, who else do you know what she got? Darling, pick it.
00:39:57
Speaker
Runaway. Computer blue. Darling picket. I am not on your team, man. No, taking a look at wide receiver this week.
Wide Receiver Matchups and Analysis
00:40:10
Speaker
Yeah. If you want to play Tyra Kill and Jalen Waddle, obviously both of these guys are in plus match ups. Both wide receivers got there last week against the Jets. Again, they're coming off of what you would call the mini buy.
00:40:24
Speaker
the same thing with the commanders wide receivers uh... if you want to bring it back with mcclaurin uh... samuel dotson i think either one of the three are fine we do know that washington sam how's gonna attempt at least thirty to forty passes a game uh... again this dolphins defenses it's not it's not bad but it's not great either uh... again you know they're still kind of coming in the form here uh... as the season kinda winds down uh...
00:40:54
Speaker
You know taking a look here We do have Michael Pittman jr. Against the Tennessee Titans We know Gardner Minshew basically goes to three guys at this point. He's basically discount Justin Herbert He's gonna try to get it. He's gonna try to get to the Pittman downs Against the pass funnel that is still the Tennessee defense. I think again. I think that's fine. I
00:41:18
Speaker
Whoever you want to play as a 49ers wide receiver you want to spend the roulette you want to play I I uke debo I think either one of those is fine Philadelphia's secondary is literally only better than Washington Carolina's Chargers and Washington's like again, it's not a very good secondary
00:41:43
Speaker
Um, you know, they'll be, you know, we saw that Prescott, you know, beat up on these boys, you know, if it wasn't for him stepping out of bounds, they'd be leading the division. Um, so again, you know, Brock Purdy does have the full cast of Avengers with them. Um, I think if you want to go down in price and you want to look at these Broncos wide receivers against Houston, um, Houston is susceptible through the air. I think if you want to take a, if you want to
00:42:09
Speaker
you know, put a bullet in the chamber on one of these Pittsburgh guys, whether it be Deontay Johnson or, or George Pickens. I think it's fine. I could see Deontay, Deontay Johnson is going to have some ownership here. So if you want to go down to Pickens based on an ownership standpoint, I think it's fine. Both of them are cheap. And that's really cheap against this sorry defense that is the Cardinals.
00:42:34
Speaker
The Houston guys kind of scare me a little bit, because I don't know where Pat, you know, where Pat Sertain is going. I don't know who he's covering, but they're getting taken out of the game. Like, it doesn't really matter, you know, whether that be Nico, whether that be Tank Del. Again, I don't really know. And this, for me, will purely be a fan duel play. But like, Cooper Cup is really cheap on fan duel. Like, he's insanely cheap.
00:43:03
Speaker
I don't really care about that big red one in front of the Browns name. If you're giving me Cooper Cup at $7,100, yeah, I'm going to play it. Isn't that a Call of Duty title? Big Red 1? Isn't that Call of Duty 2? Medal of Honor. Medal of Honor? Oh, it is Medal of Honor. Yeah, Big Red 1. I was trying to think. I'm like, Big Red 1 is certainly a video game title. It's an FPS. Yeah, I knew it was an FPS. But I thought it was Call of Duty. But yeah, yeah, Medal of Honor. You're right.
00:43:32
Speaker
Yeah, I mean, and then again, so the, you know, the corner for San Fran Ward did a really good job last year of shutting down A.J. Brown. I don't know if you're a cornerbacks matchup type of guy, but it might be the move to go back to the Vonta Smith because Ward did do a really good job last year on A.J. Brown.
00:43:59
Speaker
But the way to beat San Francisco would be through the air, not as much through the run. It ain't running on him. No. Again, I know I named off quite a few guys here. Oh, if Amari Cooper sits, display Elijah Moore. No. If it's Joe Flacco, play Elijah Moore. With that Jets connection.
00:44:26
Speaker
Bro, the old shower narrative? The old team shower narrative? I mean, it's a thing, right? It is a thing. I don't care what anybody says. It is a thing. Just like James Connor scoring this week. I don't care. Somehow, someway, he's extracting revenge. His revenge is him. Oh, no, never mind. That's mean. I'm not going to say that. Yeah, reconsider whatever you're about to say. I'll put it in the chat, but it's mean.
00:44:56
Speaker
You get this off air. Yeah, you can tell us off air. I'll do that then. Oh, also. Also, I missed that D hop. I do like me some D hop this week. Is so are we just going to bypass that? The Sun God is on the slate. That's a weird Marshawn Lattimore. I don't even care that anymore. Is he playing? Can you play last week? Did anybody was injured?
00:45:25
Speaker
I don't even care that it's Marshawn Lattimore. It's a really interesting game, truthfully. That game is intriguing to me. Could it have shootout potential? Sure. Could Detroit just run all day on them? Sure. I mean, New Orleans has got a good run defense.
00:45:54
Speaker
I'm not knocking this on God. I was like, I won't say not don't play this. But the other part of me says, you know, pay 500 more dollars to get the sure thing of Keenan out. That's fair. But it could be that could be an ownership move, right? If Keenan has that much more ownership than the Sun guy, go down to the Sun guy. That's facts. I mean, something we should something we should mention real quick is that the Norland Saints have no healthy raw receivers.
00:46:25
Speaker
So like AT Perry. Is that why AT Perry is popping up on my list? I was like, who's that? Yeah. Rashid, Shaheed's hurt. Chris Alavi is still in concussion protocol. So I mean, I'm not playing him. I'd rather play Taysom Hill. Should we have mentioned Alvin Kamar then? Is Alvin Kamar getting 20 receptions? I mean, yes. For eight yards? Yes, he's getting 20 fucking receptions.
00:46:51
Speaker
Dale, did we miss anybody before you head over to side end, which I don't want to talk about? What about the old Greg torch? It depends on if Michael Wilson is healthy. I'd rather play DeMario Douglas. And DeMario Douglas hurt? No. I thought he was hurt. No. He's still on my list. He's still on my list. I saw my list. I won't say you're wrong.
00:47:22
Speaker
He's starting the list. Yeah, like I said, a guy like Greg Dorch, who hits people with a too small freaking celebration when they're down 800 points. I can get behind him. I can get behind him a little bit. He's still in concussion protocol. DeMario? Yeah. Yeah, he ain't playing. You can forget that. So let's slide over to tie it in real quick, as we've alluded to.
Tight End Considerations for DFS Lineups
00:47:49
Speaker
The moose, the moose getting loose against the Cardinals. I got nobody else. Dude, it's, I mean, you can always play Trey McBrizzle. I mean, that's always the thing. You can play Juwan Johnson, who's coming in as the highest projected ownership tight end. First of all, all right. No one takes away targets from Taysom Hill. Nobody. When there's no other wide receivers left, he's wide receiver too.
00:48:16
Speaker
I know. This is true. This is true. That just makes Taste of Hill a better play. I don't freaking care. But as long as Derek Carr is the quarterback, who cares who's that receiver at tight end? That dude stinks. Oh, brother, this guy stinks. Anybody want to pay up for Sam LaPorter this week against New Orleans? No. I mean, I won't knock Sam LaPorter.
00:48:46
Speaker
He certainly can get there. I'm not gonna knock it. Why? I mean, I don't mind George Kittle. I think about paying up, it's for Kittle. Ew. I just like Sam. Sam LaPorte is a beast, man. He's amazing. He's absolutely incredible. I could tell you who's gonna be overly owned and he shouldn't be is Logan Thomas.
00:49:12
Speaker
I can believe it. I think people are going to find a way to be like, I need to play a commander because I'm playing dolphins and it just fills the sight in spot. Oh, it, Logan Thomas is, you know, cheap and he's in the game. That dude stinks. He just played Chig and call it a day. You know, who else thinks Chigga Conquo? That guy sucks. No, he doesn't. In a second on team targets. Chill. Count how many games he has over 10 draft Kings points. Go ahead. I'll wait.
00:49:42
Speaker
That's a lot of research. It's it's not really because the answer is zero. Not one. Are we talking this year forever? This season. I think, Stu, this man produced his highest game total last week with eight point five on the season. And then the other the other person I'll mention who can't catch the football, but it'd be David, David and Joe Q.
00:50:09
Speaker
Oh God. But I mean, he's he's a good value this week. I'm going to throw one one name besides Pat Fryer moves in there, and it's only because he's playing the statistically worst team against tight ends. And that would be Kate Otten against the Panthers. No, I want to get behind a guy like Kate Otten, but like
00:50:38
Speaker
I don't think I want any part of that game if it's not Rachachachacha White. I think I'm just sticking with the move, man. The move is about to get loose. I played. Again. I chalked the moods last week, at least on DraftKings. Not on Fandul, but on DraftKings, I chalked them on Brose2900. Like I said, man, last week, I played that guy award.
00:51:07
Speaker
My point to my point three percent own Tyler Higbee
00:51:11
Speaker
Ding, ding, ding, ding, ding. Like, because I was playing so many Cardinals, like, because, you know, they were cheap. So I was playing like Dorch and I was like, you know what? I need some correlation. No, Sully. Don't play Kyron Williams. No, this loser. And then this loser goes off. But Kyron Williams was their place. So whatever. Anyway, you want to play some Tyler Higby? Go ahead. I don't I don't care. Titans always a dumpster fire. But I think there's some solid options this week.
00:51:41
Speaker
slight breaking options, but solid options.
Defense Plays for the Week
00:51:45
Speaker
I mean, I guess if you want to get maybe a little bit sneaky, you could go back to the Dalton Schultz. Well, if he's not hurt, I think some people were like he was almost out snapped and paced by Brevin Jordan because he didn't talk to the poor. Dr. Schultz is always in the table. He didn't play in the fourth quarter, but I think it's definitely worth a look. Yeah, absolutely. 100% agree.
00:52:12
Speaker
Dale, I'm pretty sure we didn't miss anybody because you only had like two guys. All right, then we can slide over to defenses. The Rams. The Steelers. They have an interception in eight straight games. Steelers. Are the Jets on the main slate? The answer is yes. Are they still starting Tim Boyle? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
00:52:41
Speaker
Yeah, they are. Yeah. Play the Falcons. I mean, like if you want to sit there and be like, Oh, okay. The Falcons are going to be the job defense. Cool. No problem. Play the bucks. They're at home playing the Panthers.
00:53:00
Speaker
chili chili on fan duel. We should rather play $4,700 Falcons defense going against Tim Boyle, or would you rather play $3,700 defense against Joe Flacco? Well, listen, I'm fan dual. We know, we know where to go. It's going to be the Rams. I'm not knocking the Rams, but this is a DK show. I mean, we, we,
00:53:26
Speaker
Dabbling both I mean anybody I know the listeners primarily play on draft kinks for some strange reason I don't know why Money prints the same exact way over your own fan do it. But hey, who am I? You know listen if you want to play the Browns defense at 3100 Stanford will throw you some picks I'm not knocking it. I don't think I'm playing it
00:53:53
Speaker
The big galaxy brain play would be like the Cardinals defense, right? Against Kenny Pickett. No, the galaxy brain play would be the 49ers against the hurt business because the 49ers are a good ass defense or, or let's be real. The galaxy plane is, is the judge defense against the Riddler.
00:54:14
Speaker
Dude, the Riddler is so bad. It's almost becoming cliche here at the deli that I just mentioned people that are so bad. But I mean, they the people that we say are truly just throws the ball to the other team. He does. What about the Patriots defense facing? No. The charges? No. That's big brain right there. I don't think I can pull that.
00:54:43
Speaker
I'd rather play the 49ers. I just want to let you know, I've had my bowl take lined up since the beginning of this show. Just so you know, no waiting on me this week from a bowl take of the week. Is it Kenny picket related? Nope. Nope. So, uh, do we miss any defenses before we jump into the bowl takes for the week?
00:55:08
Speaker
Oh, we're going to fire him up. And before we fire up the ball, it takes of course. Go ahead, Joe. If you want to play the Titans or the Colts defense, maybe. Question mark. No, we nailed it, bro. Jets, Falcons, Rams, maybe the Browns, big brain, galaxy brain, 49ers, mid-sized brain, Steelers. Just saying.
00:55:36
Speaker
And again, before we hit you with the ball takes, go ahead and make sure you hit that like and subscribe button wherever you're listening to this podcast on either on the YouTube streets or the iTunes streets. Just leave a rating. Leave a comment.
Bold Predictions for Week 13
00:55:49
Speaker
Engage. If you think this guy doesn't stink and we dogged your favorite player or something like that, call me out. I don't care. It's on you, man. Any way to engage. Any way to engage. But I'll take Dale. You already had it lined up.
00:56:01
Speaker
What's the bowl take for week 13 on a late Wednesday night? What we got bowl? Get ready to hit your soundboard. This is going to be having you hitting a lot of buttons on your soundboard. OK, I will have I will have something lined up for you. HTTC. Hail to the commanders and the commanders will knock off the dolphins this week with a last second field goal.
00:56:31
Speaker
Book it. Send it. All the way home. What did he say? Stop it. Get some help. Stop it. Get some help.
00:56:50
Speaker
Oh, my bull take goes against that. But you know what you just you hit your bull take this. The host of the show you're gonna go second. I just want to take a look at something on the old phone. I'm fine with that. I'm definitely fine with that. Um, I am gonna go against against my will because as a Browns fan and, you know, supporter, I don't want to put anything on the
00:57:19
Speaker
Pittsburgh Steelers in a positive way, but just the ultimate FU to Matt Canada. I think this is finally the week that people have been saying since he's been playing that Kenny Pickett is going to win somebody a million dollars one day. This is the week. Week 13, Kenny Pickett will be the optimal quarterback in the Milly making winner lineup. Kenny Pickett, three hundred and three.
00:57:48
Speaker
A little bit on the ground as well. Book it. Because the card goes on the ground. They're ass. So can you pick it? QB optimal, not QB1. QB optimal. There you go. Now, Dale, the money line for the commanders is plus 360. I'm in. If you believe in your conviction, maybe you should throw a nice five on it.
00:58:18
Speaker
Nah, man. We don't throw fouls. We throw hot 10s on everything. You gotta throw that hot 10 on the money now. By the way, your girl owes me a hot 10. I threw it on the Justin Fields any time touchdown. I was ready to ride the train. All right? Like, you let her know that she owes me a hot 10. I don't believe in it. I don't believe in it. Hey, man. She was two for two, bro. She was two for two. That's all I need.
00:58:48
Speaker
I was riding the hot hand, bro. I was riding the hot hand. I'm going to channel our, uh, our inner deli mate who's not with us Baker. I'm gonna hit you with a Baker bull take Tyree kill. Oh boy. It's going to have 10 perceptions. He's going to go for over two 50 at three. It's blurry.
00:59:18
Speaker
He's got it. I think he's got a hot 10 booked on the money line. High five. High five. High five. He believes. He believes. He believes.
00:59:36
Speaker
Well, I believe in all the listeners tonight on the deli. Again, if you made it all the way to week 13, you're one of the grinders. You're one of the people that have made it for the long haul. Your yearly teams are all set. You're ready to make some bank and DFS just like the rest of us here at the DFS deli. So I'm going to go ahead and close up the shop for tonight for a baker off working.
00:59:57
Speaker
Again, congratulations to our buddy Dajon for the engagement for Dale for chill. This has been Oh, I know. I know. I'm sorry. But I just throw I just threw a hot 10 entire kill scoring three plus touchdowns. What's that? What's the odds? Plus 2500. I threw a nice 10 on it.