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Week 15 Contrarian Plays & Parlay Picks | NFL DFS Main Slate | The DFS Deli
25 Plays3 days ago
Welcome back to The DFS Deli for our NFL Week 15 DFS Main Slate breakdown! 🏈 In this episode, we dive deep into the best contrarian DFS plays that can separate your lineups from the field in tournaments. If you’re looking to get different in DraftKings DFS, FanDuel DFS, or Yahoo DFS, this is the episode you don’t want to miss.
We also lock in our favorite parlay picks for Week 15, breaking down the logic behind each leg and identifying the best spots based on matchup data, usage trends, and game environments. Whether you’re building GPP lineups, searching for low-owned sleepers, or just want smart angles for NFL player props and parlays, we’ve got you covered.
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Transcript
Introduction and Welcome
00:00:01
Sully Shaheed
Welcome in to the Saturday edition of the DFS Deli. We are joined today by, of course, by two of my best friends on the planet, Baker and Chill, to bring you a special secret menu where we break down all the under-the-radar plays on the slate and, of course, dissect the chalk, see if it's good chalk, bad chalk, break up the games you want to target and avoid, and help you navigate to the top of your DFS tournaments. So pull up the secret menu.
00:00:29
Sully Shaheed
Grab a chair, turn those open signs on, because this is the DFS Deli, secret menu.
00:00:51
Sully Shaheed
Welcome in to the DFS Deli. I, of course, am the proprietor of this delicatessen, and I am joined on this fine Saturday afternoon, breaking down the final descent into the main slate for Sunday with Chill Baker.
00:01:07
Sully Shaheed
Welcome to work. Thanks for joining me. Chill, how's everything going? You're fresh off the, uh, just waking up, uh,
00:01:16
Chilly
Yeah, I've been up for a grand total of 40 minutes, I think. But we're good, man. We did the hair. We brushed the teeth. got some water. ah that that's That's really all I need, truthfully.
Thursday Night Football Frustrations
00:01:30
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I mean, you know, keep it simple.
00:01:30
Chilly
So, I mean, i'm ready to di I'm ready to dive on in, man.
00:01:36
Sully Shaheed
Baker, we caught you before your shift. Thanks for joining me on this fine Saturday afternoon. How's everything going with you?
00:01:44
Sully Shaheed
Is he muted now? What are we doing?
00:01:47
Chilly
oh oh no
00:01:47
Sully Shaheed
What
00:01:51
Baker
I did mute myself. My bad. Oopsie.
00:01:53
Sully Shaheed
the hell? Jesus Christ.
00:01:54
Baker
I'm sorry. I'm sorry. I was coughing, so I didn't want to hear and I forgot to unmute myself. My bad. That's my fault.
00:02:02
Baker
I'm sorry.
00:02:03
Sully Shaheed
ah God.
00:02:04
Baker
I'm sorry. What I was saying is Thursday pissed me off. I'm still pissed off for Thursday. Like, I am literally livid from watching Thursday night football. And the only reason I'm pissed is because they weren't on the main slate.
00:02:18
Baker
Like, the way to jam in.
00:02:18
Chilly
you wouldn' have play you wouldn't have applied You wouldn't have played Kyle Pitts anyway.
00:02:22
Baker
I would played Kirk O'Chainz.
00:02:23
Sully Shaheed
I would play cow pits.
00:02:24
Baker
I would have played Kirk O'Chainz, which probably would have put me on the Kyle Pitts.
00:02:27
Chilly
ah You're not allowed to play Kyle Pitts. All your blasphemy. This dude sucks and blah, blah, blah, blah. So you don't get to appreciate that 44-point burger he dropped.
Player Injuries and DFS Impact
00:02:42
Sully Shaheed
Oh, i made some ah I made some small prop bets on Kyle Pitts specifically, and apparently I set them too low. So ah that that kind of way too low.
00:02:49
Baker
Way too low.
00:02:52
Sully Shaheed
I put a hot 10 on Kyle Pitts anytime and plus 60 yards. I should have tripled that and would have been a little more profitable.
00:03:00
Baker
Yes.
00:03:02
Sully Shaheed
So.
00:03:02
Chilly
you should have bet his You should have put a hot 10 on his three-touchdown prop.
00:03:02
Baker
Yes, you should.
00:03:05
Chilly
You would have made like $300. No. No, it probably
00:03:07
Baker
Lord Jesus.
00:03:10
Sully Shaheed
That was way more than that. Three TDs.
00:03:12
Chilly
now no it would it a probably only think it only had him at like or okay think
00:03:20
Sully Shaheed
That's still a synonym for absurdity. But again, we we're not we're not worried about Thursday.
00:03:23
Chilly
facts
00:03:26
Sully Shaheed
We're worried about the 13 gamers. The big main slate eight early five late.
Quarterback Strategies and Under-the-Radar Plays
00:03:32
Sully Shaheed
We're going to break it all down for you here on the secret menu of the DFS deli. Let me go ahead and get into some injury news real quick for those that want to know about the shakers and movers of the Sunday slate.
00:03:44
Sully Shaheed
So um we do have two two new starters for the slate. Old man Philip Rivers is starting officially starting.
00:03:51
Baker
Let's go, i got oh
00:03:54
Sully Shaheed
So Seattle's defense is a lock. um Just go ahead and pay up for that. Kenny Pickett will get to invoke the revenge dagger for Sunday as he is officially starting for the Raiders.
00:04:08
Sully Shaheed
Mark Andrews, who was questionable leading into the week, is good to go. If you care anything about old man out of Camara, he is officially out. The Browns will be missing the Chief and Dylan Sampson for the week.
00:04:20
Sully Shaheed
T Higgins officially out opening up some value, which we of course discuss here. No starving Marvin due to a heel injury. Mason Taylor, if you cared about any jets, him and brought Brady cook are the starters this week. I mean, he's the starting quarterback. So Jacksonville's defense is right alongside Seattle's defense when it comes to a key plays at the defensive side. But those are all your big movers and shakers. We're waiting on, um,
Josh Allen's Performance Prospects
00:04:50
Sully Shaheed
ah the Washington running back and Josh Jacobs, who might shake up the slate just a little bit if he is out. um So yeah, let's ah let's get into it, man. We're going to talk at the chalk report for the quarterback position, running back position, wide receivers, tight ends, defense, of course.
00:05:08
Sully Shaheed
see who we want to jam in, see if there's somebody flying under the radar. Let's see what we can do. So, Chill, I know you have some ownership projections um brought up. If you want to break down some of the DraftKings plays for us at the top, and I will look up what we got cooking on FanDuel and see if we can maneuver through that we we'll see how We'll see how both sites compare to one another.
00:05:20
Chilly
Yeah. I got both up, if you want me to do both. um but for
00:05:32
Sully Shaheed
How about that?
00:05:33
Chilly
Yeah, so DraftKings right now, it's basically really spread out. Baker kind of mentioned it off air. Right now, your top three highest owned quarterbacks on the slate, DraftKings-wise, is you're looking at Lamar, Jackson, CJ Stroud, and Stafford are your top three. And then you kind of get into a weird area of Mariota, Dart, and Lawrence kind of all coming in together.
00:06:01
Chilly
If we jump over
Quarterback Analysis and Picks
00:06:02
Chilly
to the old FanDuel, FanDuel, a little bit different. You're looking at Statford, Purdy, Lawrence, and then you're kind of looking in that same area again, Dart, Straub, Mariota.
00:06:13
Chilly
um So that's what you're looking at this week in terms of that. But it's like, again, like we kind of mentioned, it your your quarterback ownership is really kind of, Flat. um So, I mean, you know, there will be some low own plays that we'll get into here for sure, but it's kind of a flat week this week. um if it Chances are, if a quarterback really does have a super good game, it's not going to bury.
00:06:39
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. Yeah. I can agree with that. And Baker, like you said, you alluded to it. Ownership is kind of flat at the quarterback position. Our differentiators are going to be at the wide receiver and running back position. um So tell me.
00:06:51
Sully Shaheed
Where are you starting? If you got one or two rosters to build, who's the guy?
00:06:57
Baker
Well, for me, I mentioned it on Wednesday's show and kind of seeing where ownership is. I still think this is a spot where we see Super Josh kind of take over because the Bills need it. The Bills absolutely need to win. Like if they want any shot at if they want any shot at you know winning this Division I and II, having any shot at you know really staying in contention for a wildcard spot, they need this game. So in a game that shootout potential. Yeah, Super Josh is a thousand percent with no ownership.
00:07:33
Baker
One of my bigger plays for me.
00:07:37
Sully Shaheed
Well, Baker, we're here to play devil's advocate on the contrarian show, the secret menu.
00:07:41
Baker
Mm-hmm.
00:07:42
Sully Shaheed
Let me give you the scenario where Josh Allen does Josh Allen things. It's when he's pushed, right?
00:07:47
Baker
Mm-hmm.
00:07:48
Sully Shaheed
When he has to go out and win the game. As we saw in the first matchup, um yeah, there was a couple um touchdowns in the second half of that game, but it really wasn't like the explosion spot we were looking for. Obviously, the Bills lost that game.
00:08:00
Sully Shaheed
This is a must win for the game or must win for the Bills. to even have a outside shot of taking the division, but their playoff lot playoff lives are still on the line. But the scenario where he needs to become Superman is if the Patriots want to push him. And we've seen the Patriots play football.
00:08:17
Sully Shaheed
They just kind of want to win.
00:08:17
Baker
Yeah.
00:08:18
Sully Shaheed
They don't really hang it on people like we want them to.
Running Back Options and Strategies
00:08:22
Sully Shaheed
um I don't think, and I mean, I'd be happy to be wrong, but I don't think this scenario where ah the Patriots going to drop 35 to 40 and Josh Allen has to put on a Superman cape to put on, you know, the fantasy display that we want for tournament wins. um And we saw how Buffalo likes to win games as well. If Josh Allen doesn't become superhuman,
00:08:47
Sully Shaheed
it's they want to run the piss out of the ball and get the hell out of there. I mean, we saw it against the Steelers that if the bills are in control, it's not through J 17. It's through James cook. And I get it. The Patriots are number one against the run this year, but if the bills can establish what they want to do, they don't need Josh Allen. Like out of the, you know, eight wins that they have, I would say three of them were Josh Allen games. The rest were just wins. I mean, so I don't know if,
00:09:15
Sully Shaheed
he's going to be able to put up that tournament winning upside, especially at that price. So, but I get where you're coming from. If we see the Superman cape. Yes. If we don't, then you just wasted a lot of money on someone that you could have put somewhere else. um So chill bakers on J 17 to become Superman.
00:09:34
Sully Shaheed
Who are you looking forward to for this weekend?
00:09:36
Chilly
Yeah, one one thing I'll just kind of add to the Josh Allen ah take there. Again, obviously you're playing a super, you know, probably the one of the best players in the league at no ownership.
00:09:50
Chilly
So I get the logic. um My only concern would be is actually the Patriots run defense, which used to be really good, is now down in the 20s. um James Cook basically has been Jonathan Taylor without the touchdowns, if you really compare them side by side.
00:10:08
Chilly
So I think he might be better off just playing James Cook, and we'll kind of get to that in the running back section. But like you said, my only concern is is both teams come out and try to run the ball. Yeah.
00:10:19
Chilly
Again, the the way to beat the Bills is by running. The way to beat the Patriots is by running. So, like, I just can see this game being, you know, in the 20s, and you just don't know where the touchdowns are going on either side.
00:10:35
Chilly
So that's really my only concern in this game with which Josh Allen, truthfully. But, again, I get the logic. playing
Ownership Concerns and Risk Management
00:10:43
Chilly
ah Again, i've I've said it before. You play a really good player in a questionable matchup. If he hits, then you don't really have to get different in your lineup, so I totally get it.
00:10:53
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, you just fly past the field. And yes, James Cook would be Jonathan Taylor with the touchdowns, but he needs to stop, you know, um what's that thing? Fumbling. That would be pretty cool. um but
00:11:04
Chilly
i mean, and plus he has Josh Allen to steal his touchdowns as well.
00:11:10
Sully Shaheed
And Ty Johnson. but ah But yeah, outside of that, I mean, where where where are we looking? If we're going to feed into the ownership and then we'll get to the place that we want to kind of steer away from the ownership.
00:11:20
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, the two guys, there's three guys that I'm looking at. They're really not like too low on, but they'll still be lower than most. um The first one is Marcus Mariota.
00:11:31
Chilly
um the The Giants have, the Giants starting three defensive linemen are all not playing. um So he's going to have time. Plus, I believe he's averaged 30 rushing yards in all his starts as well.
00:11:46
Chilly
So he's got, you know, the old Russian floor. um And he's been averaging like 19 points when he starts. ah Terry McLaurin looks basically super healthy. um His last start, you know, he did kill the Broncos, which is a great defense. And Washington as a whole is basically like now kind of healthy.
00:12:05
Chilly
So, um and basically, i think we've seen it before. Jackson Dart is going to run no matter what the team says. Even if it's not a designed run, he's still going to run. So the Giants can certainly push this game on the other side.
00:12:22
Chilly
So I like Mariota. um If you want to get really gross, I'm kind of interested in Cam Ward. um I think, yep, hi yep, yep, yep.
00:12:36
Chilly
Cam Ward. The reason being is that San Francisco does not pressure quarterbacks whatsoever. um And sam basically, I think that's the more sneakiest shootout game on the slate, believe it or not, is going to be that one. Yeah, I know, right? It's gross. San Francisco is going to score.
00:13:02
Chilly
they they They are going to score. which is going to put the Titans in a in a passing situation. um And I can pull a little bit more stats here later. but um Plus, if you stack Cam Ward, you're getting a stack for under 10K, which allows you to put the Avengers around him.
00:13:20
Chilly
um So i'm I'm not against it in the slightest.
DFS Strategies and Match-Ups
00:13:25
Chilly
Honestly, if you want to get really gross, you just do Cam Ward with double tight end with Chig and Gunner.
00:13:34
Sully Shaheed
What in the Billy maker type shit are you talking about right now?
00:13:34
Chilly
And but I'm telling you, man, for small field, for small, for a small field where it allows you to get Puka, a JSN and like a CMC, it works, man.
00:13:54
Sully Shaheed
um I'm here for this. I'm here for this. I'm here for all of this. Baker, can you get worse than cam ward doubles?
00:14:03
Baker
No, it's not even a cam ward double cam ward double tight end cam ward. What? No, I can't get worse than that.
00:14:10
Sully Shaheed
don't you want that Don't you want the guy that returns punts for them at least? so Maybe you get a cheap one in ah in dk like
00:14:18
Baker
No, no, no, no, I can't.
00:14:18
Chilly
The same.
00:14:20
Baker
I literally can't get grosser than that. Like, um, but this is a week in which I don't think there's as much perceived value in paying down, but I think that the strategy can still be paying down at quarterback to, you know, to get the Avengers as Chil said around, you know, get a lot of these expensive pieces that Jamar Chase, the Pukunikulis, the sun gods into your lineups.
00:14:48
Baker
I do like the Mariota call. I like the Jackson dark call just because we know once again, like you said, he's going to run. He has, you know, zero regard for his body. and his messed up head.
00:14:59
Baker
I think outside of the Cam Ward play, which obviously you know I love the Cam Ward play, absolutely love the Cam Ward play, but I think the the quarterback on the other side of Cam Ward is very viable as well.
00:15:00
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm.
00:15:10
Baker
um I do believe that Brock Burdee very much so in play this week. Obviously, Christian McCaffrey is going to garnish a lot of ownership and for right for right reasons. Tennessee's run defense has been a little bit better and their past defenses has just been leaking all over the place where early in the season, I think the perceived notion was that their run defense was terrible. And it was, but a lot of that was inflated by Jonathan Taylor doing Jonathan Taylor things.
00:15:35
Baker
What's really been the Achilles heel of this defense has been their past defense. So on Sunday afternoon, would it surprise me if Brock Purdy throws, you know, three or four touchdowns and like say one of them can still go to CMC, but Brock Purdy might be a way to go.
00:15:48
Baker
in that game and potentially leveraging a very popular CMC.
00:15:53
Sully Shaheed
um um I'm here for that as well. um I'm going to get the the main play of my rosters and then the gross one because the main play is going to be, and I haven't played them all year, but for some reason, because it is the press price, I'm going to pull the trigger for this one week and it's going to be Lamar.
00:16:10
Sully Shaheed
Now, I and understand that he was trash at the last Bengals game, but if you really get into it, You take away the Zay Flowers OPI, which was not an OPI. Let's be real here. um Isaiah likely is what 70 yard touchdown that he fumbles on the one yard line and another wide open play to Mark Andrews that was tipped at the line.
00:16:32
Sully Shaheed
Lamar was close to breaking the Thanksgiving slate. I mean, it was right there for the taking, but you know, circumstances led to that not being the case, obviously, but in a 100% must win for the Baltimore Ravens. I think that because of the exploitation of the defense's inability to guard the tight end position,
00:16:53
Sully Shaheed
I think we can funnel our stacks of Lamar to maybe one or even both of his tight ends with Mark Andrews being healthy this week. Maybe Isaiah likely shakes off the anti-touchdown thing that he's got going on and can push the Bengals into a victory.
00:17:07
Sully Shaheed
um The runbacks on the Bengals are easy because they're concentrated. You're going to go through either their tight end, Gasicki, the punt play of the slate in Tinsley, or pay up to Jamar Chase, and then I think you'll be just fine. So my number one quarterback is going to be Lamar.
00:17:20
Sully Shaheed
I hate doing it because every time I play him, he sucks. But here I am back
Wide Receiver Analysis
00:17:25
Sully Shaheed
advocating for Lamar Jackson. And then just like I mentioned on Wednesday, if you haven't checked out the Wednesday show, make sure to go back in the playlist and check that one out as well. I'm sorry, man. I'm still going with the revenge dagger of Kenny Pickett.
00:17:37
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Just because it's the same thing that chill said. Double stacking Kenny Pickett costs you absolutely nothing. And then form the Avengers. You get one of the best tight ends in the NFL in Brock Bowers, and he gets to throw that guy. And I mean, at zero, probably negative ownership on Brock Bowers. And then throwing a John Beck, who's going to get some increased opportunities because of injuries.
00:18:04
Sully Shaheed
I think you could do worse and then just form the Avengers around him. um I have no interest in Phillip Rivers. I have no interest in any of the pay down options besides Kenny Pickett only because like I said, he's an unknown. He's going against his old team and he has arguably one of the best tight ends in the game and Philadelphia stinks, man. I mean, they, they got some shit going on. I understand this might be a get right spot. And I know Chile you're on Jalen hurts as well because Jalen hurts was third on my list, but
00:18:34
Sully Shaheed
I know they want to have a get right spot. Let's say Philadelphia does get right. If Kenny Pickett's trailing the entire game, garbage points counts the same as regular points. So I will take the lax environment that a Kenny Pickett can provide against Philadelphia.
00:18:48
Sully Shaheed
So oz sir those are my guys.
00:18:48
Chilly
Yeah, plus they – so one thing I will say in Philadelphia's favor, which does help Kenny Pickett, is that last week Sirianni did start calling a little bit more of the plays, um and they are really trying hard to adjust and fix their passing game. um I don't think Philadelphia is going to stop scoring if they are on a run. Yeah.
00:19:16
Chilly
they They need to – like, they're going to put up 40 points with their starters. um I don't see them pulling out their starters because they're going to want to flip this narrative that, you know, it's everything is, you know, okay there.
00:19:31
Chilly
So, um and the passing game wasn't doing too bad. um It's just that they were playing the Chargers, who are a good football team. um It's really different playing against the Raiders.
00:19:43
Chilly
who are you know traveling from the West Coast to the East Coast. So in the sense that Kenny Pickett can get garbage time, it makes a ton of sense. But it also is more of an advocacy here for Jalen Hurts.
00:19:55
Chilly
ah As Sol and I learned, it's probably easier to play Hurts on DraftKings rather than FanDuel. So um I think Hurts is worth a look as well because they are trying really hard to make this passing game relevant.
00:20:12
Sully Shaheed
And because he's an expense, I mean, he's expensive to the point where people will avoid him. So his ownership is gonna be sub 3% easily.
00:20:20
Chilly
Yeah.
00:20:20
Sully Shaheed
And he's one of those guys that uses legs that could break a slate because of his legs as well. So yeah, I'm i'm behind the Jalen Hurts call right there. Also, um side note before I let you guys finish up, if you've got any more plays of quarterback, if if you're building Matt Stafford lineups and your one o'clock guys don't hit, you still got Jarrett Goff that you could swap to at sub 3%.
00:20:43
Sully Shaheed
So late swaps are a thing. Don't let your lineups burn just because something happened at one o'clock. Jarrett Goff is easily capable of putting up a 30 burger on the Rams and at no ownership so if you're if you're sitting there with puka and stafford and your one o'clock's didn't hit and you're sitting there with you know your cmc's your pukas and you're just swap to the lions and you'll be okay or you might be okay it'll give you a fighting chance baker did we miss anybody
00:21:15
Baker
Well, to your point of it can give you a fighting chance, you can like Michael Wilson last week. And then I swap off of Michael Wilson and he just buried that team even further. That's also a possibility. Just kind throw it out there.
00:21:26
Baker
um I think the only other person we didn't mention was Jose Brose. I think if like, obviously, if we're interested interested in Lamar, we're interested in Jamar.
00:21:32
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm.
00:21:36
Baker
that but That rhymes. So it must be true. Um,
00:21:40
Baker
like We have to talk about Jose Brose. I understand he's more efficient with T. Higgins on the field. That's 1,000% factual. But if that game's going to shoot, like Lamar can do it with his legs.
00:21:53
Baker
and i like Joe Burrow doesn't have the rushing upside, but if we flip over the cards and he has four touchdowns with 350, would it surprise anybody? it's like Lamar can get there and Joe Burrow can get there, but if Lamar, like Derrick Henry can also get there If the Bengals are getting there, it's coming purely off the right eye of arm of Jose Jose.
00:22:15
Baker
So I think putting him in that pool with Lamar Jackson makes a lot of sense.
Defense Strategies and Late Swap Tips
00:22:21
Sully Shaheed
that that Shawn Michaels lost his smile interview doesn't like deter you away from Joe Burrow
00:22:28
Baker
No, no, not not at all, actually.
00:22:32
Chilly
if that is to scream in Andrew Luck or he's getting traded.
00:22:37
Sully Shaheed
Well, I mean, he's got the option after next year. So, but yeah, I got some Andrew Luck vibes out of that.
00:22:44
Chilly
But if you... believe I mean, there is definitely one team that could use him that makes a ton of sense.
00:22:45
Sully Shaheed
I'm not going lie.
00:22:53
Sully Shaheed
I mean, would you like a drum roll or would you like to reveal that?
00:22:57
Chilly
Oh, yeah.
00:22:57
Baker
Thanks.
00:22:58
Chilly
Yeah. So he had two really good college wide receivers. I think he just goes to play with the other one.
00:23:06
Chilly
Are you telling me that Minnesota doesn't go to them and give them three first round picks and J.J. McCarthy?
00:23:13
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this. I'm here for this. I'm down. I'm down. But we all know Minnesota's front office is fucking idiots. So ah I don't think that's going to happen. But it makes, it almost makes too much sense, chill. It almost makes too much sense.
00:23:29
Chilly
Yeah, then he I mean, Jamar Chase would be sad. Justin Jefferson would be pretty pumped about it.
00:23:34
Baker
Justin Jefferson, he'd be so fucking public. Like, ain't got to play with nine trash asses no more.
00:23:44
Sully Shaheed
ah Let's roll over to running back. Get some sneakiness in there. Divulge the chalk. Chili, why don't you hit me with some of that ownership at the running back position?
00:23:53
Chilly
Yeah, Chalk, um your I'll just go top five. You're looking at Woody Marks by a large margin, a very large margin. um Christian McCaffrey, Mr. Gibbs, Saquon.
00:24:08
Chilly
Everybody still loves Ken Walker III. God bless him. um So that's who you're looking at in terms of ownership on DraftKings. On FanDuel.com.
00:24:19
Chilly
you are looking at, again, much of the same, McCaffrey, Marks, Gibbs, Walker. And on FanDuel, you get a little bit more James Cook, Derrick Henry, um which does make sense.
00:24:35
Chilly
More of a touchdown-dependent side, so I get it. um But that's what you're looking at in terms of ownership in the running back position.
Tight End Picks and Impacts
00:24:44
Sully Shaheed
Baker, are you with me in the, we got to stop this Ken Walker shit.
00:24:47
Baker
absolutely
00:24:49
Sully Shaheed
Like the guy sucks. I mean, like he doesn't, he doesn't know.
00:24:51
Chilly
It's going to happen. It's going to happen.
00:24:53
Baker
no stop
00:24:55
Sully Shaheed
It's not like, no, it's not dude. Like I'm not playing chalky Ken Walker for what bro. For what? I mean, I get, so like, you know, sifting through the chalk, I get the Woody Marks thing. He's affordable. He's going against the Cardinals. Nick Chubb might not play. So he has Daria Gumbawale as his backup.
00:25:16
Sully Shaheed
I mean, he gets the touches. He's a workhorse. ah Houston wants to control the game. So I can understand that he can do that against the Cardinals. CMC is CMC. He has been super, hyper inefficient, but he gets so many touches that he makes up for that. So I get the i get that in the matchup.
00:25:35
Sully Shaheed
The questionable ones are the broken um offensive pro the broken office of prowess of the Eagles with Saquon. And Chili, I mean, like, you you've invited him on the bus multiple times.
00:25:48
Sully Shaheed
I don't trust Derrick Henry, even against the Bengals. That scares the living shit out of me. i get it.
00:25:55
Chilly
Well,
00:25:55
Sully Shaheed
in Himber and all this other shit. Man, them snow tires are still at the shop waiting to be put on.
00:26:01
Baker
Ha ha ha ha ha.
00:26:03
Sully Shaheed
So I don't know, man. but But yeah, thank you, Baker, for being a lockstep with the Ken Walker shit. It's got to stop. It's got to stop.
00:26:12
Chilly
one thing ah One thing I forgot to mention in the quarterback position, um just really quick, um Sam Darnold is playing the Colts, and the Colts are missing their two top corners.
00:26:22
Chilly
They're missing Ward and Sauce Gardner. Just going to throw that out there.
00:26:27
Sully Shaheed
I'm not paying 10K for JSN on FanDuel. It's not going to happen.
00:26:31
Chilly
I understand it, but just to let just let the public know you know that the c Colts are literally missing their secondaries.
00:26:40
Sully Shaheed
So, uh, chill. I'll start with you. Who, who at the top are we, jamming into our lineups?
00:26:46
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, it goes with Banker's Buffalo tank. Nobody's playing James Cook. um I think people are still on the narrative that the Patriots' run defense um is good, and it hasn't. Like I said, it's fallen into the 20s.
00:27:02
Chilly
ah Buffalo wants to establish the run. Yeah. So, I mean, at this point, nobody's playing James Cook. He's going to go in probably less than 7%, 5%, somewhere in that range. um So, again, i would be looking at James Cook. Obviously, you do have the pitfalls of um him fumbling, Josh Allen, heaven forbid, some random dude off the bench for the Bills gets a rushing touchdown because that's a thing.
00:27:35
Chilly
Um, but James Cook would be the, would be the interesting click there.
00:27:41
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for that. ah Yeah, that's a good top end play. um I'm behind that. um Mid-range and, um you know, I'll slide it to Baker for his top and mid-range guys. But the ownership that I'm, and again, it always happens with me when I play him, he sucks.
00:27:57
Sully Shaheed
But I think there should be significantly more ownership on Travis Etienne Jr. I mean, he gets the Jets against their third string quarterback.
Defensive Options and Matchups
00:28:05
Sully Shaheed
When are the freaking Jets going to be on the field?
00:28:08
Sully Shaheed
Like, and we saw last week when Bajel Tootin fumbled, he got shadow-realmed. He didn't see the damn field. So we're going to get Travis Etienne and more ownership on Trevor Lawrence as well. I think mid-range, Travis Etienne should be like the one guy that you should have some confidence in, especially after last week scoring two touchdowns. We've seen blow up games from him. If there's no by shell tootin, uh, stealing some touches inside the red zone. The only thing that I worry about with Travis ETN is Trevor Lawrence has been rushing more. So, you know, I've seen some design quarterback draws to get him in the end zone and that's going to tilt my face off.
00:28:40
Sully Shaheed
But I think Travis ETN is probably like mid range guy. Like, just sitting there. So, I mean, that's, that's my take on the mid range, upper range guys. I mean, CMC has got the safest floor in the game. I think if you're looking for a foreplay combined with ceiling access, CMC is, you know, a great pay up option. And um yeah, like I said, I just don't trust, I don't trust Saquon and I don't trust our King. I just, I'm very weary of the matchups are great, but Fuck, they've been so dusty.
00:29:11
Sully Shaheed
But like I mentioned in the thread, if Lane Johnson plays, I think you can trust Saquon a little more. If Lane Johnson still remains out, I'm not going to do it. So I know offensive lineman news, right? um yeah
00:29:25
Chilly
Hey, it matters.
00:29:27
Sully Shaheed
It matters. It matters. It matters. um Baker, who you got at the top? Are we sliding in the mid-range? And do you have some cheap punts that you would like to discuss?
00:29:39
Baker
A top end will first of all speak on kind of Jameer Gibbs. I think he's I think his ownership is projecting high only because of the game environment, which makes sense.
00:29:45
Sully Shaheed
Thank you.
00:29:48
Baker
Obviously, this Rams run defense has been phenomenal this year, but obviously Jameer Gibbs can you know we had an 11 catch game what two weeks ago. So him getting there via the air. I think he his ownership is kind of depressed because of the matchup, but it's also high because of the environment, but I think it should probably be a little bit higher.
00:30:08
Baker
I'm not sure if I'll be able to get to him because obviously he is a priority play if you're building around him, but I think he deserves a little bit more attention just because of the electric nature in which he is. it's It's so sad to because I normally start lineups. Who's playing Cincinnati? Running back, put in lineup. And I kind of feel the same way you do, Sully, about Derrick Henry because I haven't been doing that on my practice builds, which scares the living shit out of me.
00:30:31
Baker
um But yeah, like the Ravens offense looking broken. It came to life a little bit last week for via Lamar, but it's it's still not Derrick Henry. Would it surprise any of us if Derrick Henry has two or three touchdowns tomorrow? No, we'll just be sitting here tilting our face faces off.
00:30:47
Baker
And 100% agree on Travis Etienne. Literally 100% of the time I play Travis Etienne, he sucks. Was it two weeks ago where he was uber mega chalk and he did negative why production? Like it was absolutely freaking absurd.
Final DFS Strategies and Parlay Discussions
00:31:01
Baker
and then last week he scores two touchdowns um but i feel like in a lot of lineups where you're jamming in the pukas and the uh jamar chases you like you're not going to be able to afford the cmc so hence the reason woody marks is gaining so much ownership because he is uh so low price and it's a great matchup i said it i said it on wednesday and i still kind of feel this way i feel that chuba chuba hubbard's price is just criminal i New Orleans isn't a glaring matchup. You know, they're kind of mid-pack in against the pass and the run. And we know Carolina wants to run the ball.
00:31:37
Baker
And we saw before their bye week, once again, like Chuba Hubbard was just as involved as Rico, if not more. And when it comes to like, they kind of ride the hot hand a little bit. If Chuba starts breaking off runs at the beginning of the game, it'll be a Chuba game.
00:31:48
Baker
So at 4,600, I'm still willing to kind of lean into that variance of Chuba Hubbard just for that simple fact. Outside of that, I think that R.J. Harvey, who was you know stupidly popular last week in the mid-price, the role's still there. The matchup's a little bit tougher, but the role's still there. And Denver's kind of just leaning on just run the ball, run the ball, run the ball. Let's get the hell out of here, too. They're not, depending on Bo Nix, nearly as much the past month of the season. So I think R.J. Harvey is definitely a very interesting play at his price tag coming off of a two-touchdown game.
00:32:27
Sully Shaheed
I mean, opportunities, opportunities, opportunities. RJ Harvey ain't really splitting that much with his backfield mates. So I'm here for that. Chill, quick question. um Do you think if we do not get Josh Jacobs tomorrow and Emmanuel Wilson becomes available, do you think he takes that ownership away from Woody Marks or would it be like, I don't know, Tyrone Tracy Jr. or um Ken Walker III? Like, where does that ownership go? Because even though,
00:32:55
Sully Shaheed
the matchup sucks, honestly. I mean, it's not a great matchup for a main Wilson, but he's a cheapie that allows you to fit stuff in. Does the ownership get pulled from, uh, some of those guys?
00:33:05
Chilly
No, people are going to see the Denver Broncos defense. They're going to see the red number next to him, and they're not going to play him.
00:33:13
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for that. All right.
00:33:13
Chilly
I think everybody everybody's going to stick with Marks.
00:33:14
Sully Shaheed
Uh,
00:33:16
Chilly
I do believe from what I read, Lane Johnson isn't playing, but his backup, Fred Johnson, is playing. Okay. it
00:33:26
Sully Shaheed
Wrong Johnson.
00:33:28
Baker
Thank you.
00:33:29
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
00:33:29
Chilly
um And then one other matchup, and I don't know if anybody mentioned him, but Gentie's ownership is kind of is really low as well.
00:33:40
Chilly
um And Jalen Carter got ruled out for this game, which does make a really big difference.
00:33:44
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
00:33:45
Chilly
um So I don't mind Gentie at all.
00:33:46
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm.
00:33:49
Chilly
um He's probably – he's almost a direct pivot from Woody Marks at that point, a little bit more expensive. At least on Fandle, I think he's a little bit more expensive. I actually don't the price, but he's pretty close. So, um, it if you want, if you want to go directly from the Woody Marks chalk, it would probably be Gentie.
00:34:11
Sully Shaheed
Ashton Genshi is 6,300. Woody Marks is
00:34:15
Chilly
Yeah. So, um, I just would kind of be remiss. I would just mention Gentie. Um, one more, we we'll get the hometown narrative in here. um nobody's playing Judkins tomorrow. Um,
00:34:28
Chilly
And ah Samson, Samson, right, got ruled out. Jerome Ford got put on the IR. So Judkins does figure to get a little bit more work in the passing game as well.
00:34:40
Chilly
um The Bears don't really have a great defense. They just get a lot of turnovers. But um we know
00:34:49
Sully Shaheed
Opportunistic is the word, opportunistic.
00:34:52
Chilly
that would be – that's a big word. um But –
00:34:58
Sully Shaheed
Ever since I got the prescription for my glasses, I've become astute.
00:34:58
Chilly
But,
00:35:02
Sully Shaheed
So, you know I'm just throwing them out there now. All of a sudden, my IQ went up like 23 points because of these. so
00:35:08
Chilly
yeah yeah um but yeah, I do like Jenkins here. Again, the Bears' defense isn't particularly well. We know the Browns and Shador, their second favorite play call is Screens.
00:35:20
Chilly
um So like I get to see, I mean, Judkins gets a screen. um Josh Jacobs did have a pretty good game against these guys last week. um So, again, I understand the Bears are at home. It doesn't look great, but i do like Judkins this week as a low-on play.
00:35:38
Sully Shaheed
Well, I'm going to play devil's advocate, chili, and go to the opposite side and say you can play one of these Bears guys at less than 3% ownership. we saw
00:35:46
Chilly
It would be, it would be Mononga guy.
00:35:47
Sully Shaheed
We saw what? we Yeah, I would take my one guy over anybody, but over Swift. But um we saw we saw last week that Tennessee absolutely went nuclear on these guys. And to the Judkins' point,
00:36:01
Sully Shaheed
All five of their starting offensive linemen are out. I mean, they have no one on their offensive line. The Browns are so hurt right now that literally their starting unit from the beginning the season, they're all gone.
00:36:14
Sully Shaheed
So they just lost their starting center. So it's like now Shador's got to operate under someone else. So it's just like, I don't think they couldn't run the ball. period, to begin with.
00:36:24
Sully Shaheed
So you're telling me with a brand new offensive line, they're going to be able to run against the Bears on the road in negative 15 degree freaking wind chill? No. I would rather take the Bears side on, we know what the Bears want to do.
00:36:37
Sully Shaheed
They want to run the living piss out of the ball. And if the Browns show anything that they showed last week and their inability to stop Tony Pollard, then I'm just going to go to the opposite side. I'd rather take the home guys against the Browns because we all know The Tennessee Titans did exactly what they were supposed to do. They ran at Miles Garrett.
00:36:57
Sully Shaheed
Because we know he's coming for that sack record, but it's hard to get a sack when you're not attempting any passes. He's going to be literally what um Mitch Trubisky was when all he did was play all they did was play defense and he was attempting 12 passes a game.
00:37:13
Sully Shaheed
Whatever it unders you see on Caleb Williams passing yards tomorrow, take it.
00:37:19
Sully Shaheed
Kyle Mamongai and DeAndre Swift will have combined 40 attempts. Book it.
00:37:25
Chilly
what is so mean
00:37:25
Sully Shaheed
And if you're giving me those type of opportunities, I'll take it
00:37:29
Chilly
So I won't disregard. i won't disagree with anything you said. Makes sense. I guess the only devil guy at the devil advocate I will play here is that if you are Chicago going into the playoffs, you need Caleb Williams to be playing well because how he's playing right now is not going to win in the NFC.
00:37:49
Chilly
It might win in the AFC, but it's not going to win in the NFC for sure. Yeah. this would be the spot where you would want to try to pass, wouldn't it?
00:38:00
Chilly
to to try to get To try to get that
00:38:00
Sully Shaheed
No, i'll always i only say that yeah because they're the seven seed right now. Like, they're still in must-win territory. Even, like, the NFC is that stacked.
00:38:11
Chilly
But, like, at the end of the day, like, you should be able to beat the Browns no matter what you're doing.
00:38:11
Sully Shaheed
So,
00:38:15
Chilly
Yeah.
00:38:17
Sully Shaheed
I mean, the Titans agree.
00:38:19
Chilly
he um But, yeah, I mean, again, it makes total sense. um I'm not going to disregard anything with it.
00:38:28
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I'm going find me some props on Caleb Williams tomorrow. this guy's He's probably only like at 160, 160 probably, but i'd still I'd still take the under. um Let's slide over to wide receiver chill, man.
00:38:40
Sully Shaheed
Hit him with it.
00:38:42
Chilly
Yeah, so on DraftKings here, wide receiver-wise, um We are looking at Puka Nakua. We are looking at ah Jamar Chase, Amon Ross St. Brown, Jackson Smith, Njigba.
00:39:00
Chilly
Everybody got hit to Mitch Tinsley is up there in ownership on DraftKings. um And then you're looking at Nico Collins, Terry McLaurin, Jameson Williams.
00:39:06
Sully Shaheed
Makes sense.
00:39:13
Chilly
Switch over to the old fan duel.
00:39:18
Chilly
We are looking at,
00:39:23
Chilly
doesn't really change by too much. Others do small field. For FanDuel, you are looking at Wandale Robinson, Jacoby Myers, Jamar Chase, Jamison Williams, Amar Ross St. Brown, Jawan Jennings.
00:39:37
Chilly
ah More of the large field stuff, kind of the same there. You kind of get Puka and Devontae Adams kind of sprinkled in there. But that's what you're looking at in terms of ownership. So a little bit different from site to site there.
00:39:52
Sully Shaheed
Baker, can we stop with the Wondell Robinson shit?
00:39:54
Baker
Yes.
00:39:57
Baker
I can't like I can't definitively back that one like a back end walker.
00:40:02
Sully Shaheed
I can, here you go. So Wondell Robinson's two good games, two usable games were with quarterbacks not named Jackson Dart. His two best games, Russell Wilson and j and ah and our our boy, our our poster child of the show, a famous Jameis.
00:40:21
Sully Shaheed
When Darius Slayton is on the field, he only has one more target than the man. So I can't justify him being chalk at a more expensive price than Darius Slayton when they're literally the same dude.
00:40:34
Sully Shaheed
And again, Jackson Dart is starting. So I'm not going to see. He has not had one positive game with Jackson Dart.
00:40:38
Baker
Thank
00:40:40
Sully Shaheed
So why is he chalk? Like, I think we could find some better, cheaper pieces to fill in lineups than Wondell freaking Robinson. Like, i'm I'm sorry. That was my rant. I'm over it.
00:40:51
Sully Shaheed
Baker. i
00:40:53
Chilly
I will... So, I mean, I got some numbers here for you. When Jackson Dart is on the field, his target distribution to Wandale Robinson is 62. Theo Johnson is 48. Darius Slayton is 29.
00:41:04
Chilly
Bellinger is 20. And then the running backs are 10 and 9. So he does throw the ball to Wandale Robinson, or at least targets
00:41:11
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but you got to remember that half those starts that Jackson Dart was in, Darius Slayton was out. Like, he literally didn't play in half those games.
00:41:18
Chilly
him. But I mean...
00:41:19
Sully Shaheed
I'm talking when they're on the field together.
00:41:21
Chilly
I mean, i he's still he he still throws him the ball.
00:41:26
Sully Shaheed
Again, look at his box scores with Jackson Dart.
00:41:29
Chilly
Okay, so, hey, I'm still going to play him.
00:41:29
Sully Shaheed
He's put up zero usable games. Zero.
00:41:36
Sully Shaheed
I mean, hey, I support anything that Dele does. I'm just not going to play Wondell Robinson.
00:41:41
Chilly
good Him or Theo, but that's neither here nor there.
00:41:46
Sully Shaheed
I'm with that. Baker, if you're starting at the top, because I know you want to play one of these high priced guys, which one is it? And which one are you willing to fade?
00:41:57
Baker
Would you believe me if I said I'm not willing to fade either?
00:42:00
Sully Shaheed
I would, I would believe you. You'll find ways to jam it in.
00:42:02
Baker
Yeah.
00:42:04
Sully Shaheed
Okay. All right. Well, who are we jamming?
00:42:06
Baker
Both of like that that's that's That's a lot of my strategy this week is playing Puka and Jamar Chase together and finding ways to get different around that. I understand they're the two. ah like They're projecting in the 20s and 30s. When we turn the cards over, they're going to be in the thirty s and 40s.
00:42:26
Baker
um And I'm fine eating that because I definitely see the the variance of them both putting up 40 points game being very high or the variance being very low, sorry, um as far as them both putting up 40. And if they both put up 40 together, there's ways to construct lineups in which you need those two 40-point games because it's going to take 230, 240, maybe 250 to shift lineups this week, I think, with so many games on the slate and so many good plays.
00:42:53
Baker
good place high price plays that can absolutely put you to bed. So baiting both of them is not an option. One of them is on every single team. And it's going to be a priority to try to get different other places and build with both of them together for me this week.
00:43:09
Sully Shaheed
I muted myself. So that means you're leaving out JSN and and the God of the sun.
00:43:12
Baker
Yes, yes, JSN is probably going be up eight.
00:43:17
Baker
We're going to find ways to get Amon Ra in here. I'm not going to fade Amon Ra. I'm probably going to end up fading Jackson Smith and Jay, but I think he's the one that even left, even,
00:43:27
Chilly
Again, I will just say, Indianapolis' is secondary is not there. And he's not fighting.
00:43:34
Sully Shaheed
Non-existent.
00:43:35
Chilly
And he, and I mean, he is not fighting anybody for targets. I think on FanDuel, you want to fade him at ten k That's fine. On DraftKings, you want to fade him?
00:43:48
Chilly
thing Good luck.
00:43:53
Baker
So, I mean, I'll use last week as a perfect example. Jackson Smith had a two touchdown game. He had almost 100 yards and Puka absolutely shattered that. The afternoon window started and you didn't need JSN.
00:44:06
Baker
You know, you're you're getting, he's, you're paying a hundred more dollars for Puka. I think Puka has a higher ceiling. You're paying $500 cheaper for Jamar Chase. I think Jamar Chase has a higher ceiling. With those two thought processes in my brain, at least, I think that even if JSN has 102,
00:44:23
Chilly
I personally disagree on the higher ceiling narrative. Again, JSN is literally trying to shatter every receiving record this year. So I totally disagree on the, he has the higher ceiling.
00:44:34
Chilly
I totally disagree.
00:44:35
Sully Shaheed
Well, only and I only disagree with your disagreeing because baker to Baker's point, he's got the two game environments that would warrant the ceiling access. Whereas the Seattle Seahawks could be up by 14 and say, right, we're good, right?
00:44:49
Sully Shaheed
let's just Let's just go.
00:44:49
Chilly
the seahak But the Seahawks don't do that. They get up by 30 or 40 and do that. So I totally disagree.
00:44:56
Sully Shaheed
They get it by 30 or 40 because they they have the one of the best kickers in the damn game.
00:44:57
Chilly
That's why.
00:45:01
Chilly
Hey.
00:45:01
Sully Shaheed
ah Look, we're in the red zone again, field goal. Look, we're the red zone again, field goal.
00:45:06
Baker
Well, I mean, obviously this is an outlier game, but you think back to when the original bro was out there, Max Brouserman, and like nobody on the offense did anything.
00:45:17
Baker
Like the offense was completely shut down. i understand the Vikings have a good defense as well, so that's part of it. But like all their points came from other things. And, you know, I don't play much. I haven't played much Jackson Smith and Jigba this year.
00:45:29
Baker
Overall, that was one of the weeks in which I had a decent amount of Jackson Smith.
00:45:31
Chilly
but And Jamar Chase literally did nothing in that shootout against the Bills.
00:45:36
Baker
I understand, I completely understand.
00:45:37
Chilly
I mean, so you can counterpoint.
00:45:38
Baker
and if
00:45:39
Chilly
We can keep counterpointing each other all day. No matter what. No matter.
00:45:43
Sully Shaheed
Counterpoint, there's no T.
00:45:44
Chilly
it good
00:45:44
Sully Shaheed
Higgins.
00:45:46
Chilly
He was.
00:45:46
Sully Shaheed
T.
00:45:47
Chilly
he
00:45:47
Sully Shaheed
Higgins was in that Bills game. I'm just saying.
00:45:49
Chilly
He did get injured and Jamar Chase still didn't do shit.
00:45:53
Sully Shaheed
He came back in, made a nice one-handed grab for another touchdown.
00:45:56
Chilly
And then RIP.
00:45:59
Sully Shaheed
He was still dizzy as shit.
00:46:00
Chilly
Yeah.
00:46:00
Sully Shaheed
Like, he barely, is this a football? Like, get it.
00:46:04
Chilly
I mean, at the end of the day, you can't play all the good plays, so it's neither here or there.
00:46:08
Sully Shaheed
Correct.
00:46:10
Chilly
So, like, I think on'm on FanDuel, I don't even think it's a question. You just fade JSN at 10K.
00:46:17
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah, I'm here.
00:46:17
Chilly
I think and on DraftKings, it's awfully terrifying.
00:46:21
Sully Shaheed
Right. Well, I mean, and you know ah we we'll get to it because there's another high-end receiver that's probably not going to get any ownership because of the other guys that we mentioned. um No one's going to play Rasheed Rice.
00:46:33
Chilly
Can he catch?
00:46:36
Sully Shaheed
This week, potentially?
00:46:40
Baker
He read the syllabus this week. He he he he knows what he spoke to them.
00:46:42
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah.
00:46:44
Chilly
i don't
00:46:44
Sully Shaheed
Get his hands together. Get his hands together.
00:46:46
Chilly
I don't know the stat for sure, but there there's an insane stat that I heard that when you play at Kansas City at night, like that boosts up like the drops rate by a lot.
00:47:01
Chilly
Yeah, yeah.
00:47:02
Sully Shaheed
just we just got we just got stats for everything. like is Everything has to do.
00:47:04
Chilly
Yeah. So, um but also, too, like, that was the biggest game Rasheed Rice has ever played in.
00:47:13
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm.
00:47:14
Chilly
So I think there was nerves there for sure. But, yeah, there was an insane stat about playing at Kansas City at night and with drops.
00:47:23
Sully Shaheed
um well, let's talk about some other under-owned slate-breaking potential receivers in that in Philadelphia. Sub-5% owned Slim Reaper, sub-5% owned A.J. Brown.
00:47:35
Sully Shaheed
A.J. Brown is way more palatable on DraftKings, so his ownership might be a little higher, but definitely not on FanDuel. um So is there a way we can get to? Because we like Jalen Hurts.
00:47:47
Sully Shaheed
because the ownership you want to make your lineup completely unique sub percent own slim sub sub five percent own slim sub five percent on aj brown sub five percent own jalen hurts and you could just chalk it up if you'd like so again it's the raiders bro like is this the get right spot we want to find a way to jam in one of these guys if not both baker eagles question mark
00:47:50
Chilly
Oui!
00:48:13
Baker
I mean, I think the only eagle I'm probably going to get to this week is Saquon. Just because I've been the thought process is like the Eagles get right. They hang something stupid. And I think they hang something stupid via just establishing it ah very similar to the way they did versus the Giants.
00:48:30
Baker
I don't think this is a game in which they're going to actually need Jalen Hurts to do anything because the Raiders don't have much pushback in them. So getting
00:48:38
Chilly
I don't think it's a matter of need. i think it's just a matter of want. they this I think the Eagles want to defeat this narrative that they're not in a Super Bowl hangover like they were but the last time they won the Super Bowl, where they were the best team and then got absolutely fucking annihilated by Tampa Bay in the playoff game.
00:48:57
Chilly
they like The Eagles are just trying to break narratives in this game. That's what they're going to try to do. But you're right.
00:49:05
Baker
That's fair.
00:49:06
Chilly
But you're right. Because, like, especially on FanDuel, it's a little sketchy. DraftKings, just...
00:49:13
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, DraftKings, you can do it. DraftKings, you can do it.
00:49:15
Baker
You could definitely go to DraftKings.
00:49:15
Sully Shaheed
um Baker, you had a you had a punt play that's not Mitchell Tinsley.
00:49:19
Baker
Yeah.
00:49:22
Baker
It's not Mitchell Tenson.
00:49:22
Sully Shaheed
Spice it up for him. Spice it up for him.
00:49:24
Baker
Well, before I spice it up, look ki them sand sand let me let me warm up
00:49:30
Baker
Obviously, once again, we're talking about the game. I think Jamison Williams' ownership is criminally low for wanting to get into that game. I mean, I'm seeing a projected 10% ownership. That's probably closer to 15%, 20% in actual when we put over cards.
00:49:42
Sully Shaheed
It's crazy, it's crazy to me.
00:49:43
Baker
I still think that's too low. You know, since the injury to Sam Laporta, this guy has, you know, been so involved in the in their passing game to the point where I think that, like, that ownership should probably be higher than Devontae Adams, who's touched down or nothing.
00:50:01
Baker
And the fact that he's coming in from what I'm seeing right now, lower than that, i think Jameson Williams is one of the best plays on the slate dollar for dollar.
00:50:09
Sully Shaheed
Jameson Williams is averaging 18 points a game. With a zero in there over the past six weeks. So, yes, I'm i'm with you. I'm on Ross St. Brown. It's like 19.2.
00:50:21
Sully Shaheed
Jameson Williams, at significantly less ownership and price, is averaging what this man is doing. And he had a zero in there. so we want to talk about accessing stealing.
00:50:31
Chilly
yeah
00:50:33
Sully Shaheed
Give me, yeah, Jameson Williams, I'm thousand percent with you.
00:50:35
Chilly
but thanks the thanksgiving The Thanksgiving Day game does does inflate that a little bit with Amon Rod not being there. But last...
00:50:46
Sully Shaheed
This is true, however, the other four games, includ net zero he was there.
00:50:50
Chilly
Well, it was the zero. Amon Rod was gone. He did play with the Cowboys. And we...
00:50:56
Sully Shaheed
yeah
00:50:59
Chilly
it So ah we do we do miss our Cowboys.
00:51:04
Baker
We do.
00:51:04
Chilly
really Hey, exactly would you would you have guys have – we'll get back to wide receivers here in a second in Baker's Take, but would you have guys have played nine?
00:51:04
Baker
We do. absolutely. Yes.
00:51:06
Sully Shaheed
This would have been a whole Viking show if the Cowboys were on the damn slate.
00:51:10
Baker
oh absolutely
00:51:19
Sully Shaheed
Yes.
00:51:20
Chilly
Man, we did a complete 180 on this show. Yeah.
00:51:24
Sully Shaheed
Cowboys.
00:51:25
Baker
You had me at Cowboys.
00:51:25
Chilly
question And then he would have thrown like four touchdowns to Oliver and we all just been pissed off and be like, why don't play number nine? I'm a fucking idiot.
00:51:38
Sully Shaheed
And Jalen Naylor back in the end zone again.
00:51:39
Chilly
specific but go Go on, Baker.
00:51:44
Sully Shaheed
You're so right, you're so right, you're so right.
00:51:48
Baker
Absolutely.
00:51:48
Sully Shaheed
God dang it.
00:51:49
Chilly
I'm sorry. Yeah.
00:51:50
Baker
it's It's okay. It's okay. um ah Two other receivers that I really like. I mentioned on Wednesday, or three other receivers. Michael Wilson, I mentioned, has a great play. understand the matchup's difficult.
00:52:01
Baker
Mentioned him on Wednesday. He's a great play with the chalky when he marks as he still doesn't have as much ownership because of his inflated price and the matchup. Still love him. And two other receivers that I love before I get to this pump play, which is absolutely delicious.
00:52:12
Baker
It's
00:52:13
Sully Shaheed
yeah Absolutely delicious.
00:52:17
Baker
absolutely delicious. ah
00:52:18
Sully Shaheed
ah
00:52:22
Baker
I hate you.
00:52:23
Sully Shaheed
I love it.
00:52:23
Baker
They're actually they're actually in the same game. um Chris Alave and Cedro McMillan. I mean, both defenses are just kind of middling. Obviously, we have no elements. Games in the Superdome tend to be or not Superdome. Mercedes-Benz dome tend to be a little bit more high scoring, but both defenses can be had. So I like T-Mac, even though he doesn't like being called T-Mac. I'm still call him T-Mac. And I like Chris Alave for those reasons, because just think that game can have a little bit of points in it, not something that I'm really targeting that game. But I like those two players. And now for the deliciousness, the returning 114 pounds dripping wet.
00:53:00
Baker
Just got the that notification on my phone five minutes ago that he's officially active activated off the IR. Tutu Atwell for the Los Angeles Rams. I think that obviously Devontae Adams, he is a he's a touchdown machine.
00:53:16
Baker
He has 19 fucking end zone targets versus man coverage alone, which which is what the Detroit Lions play a lot of. Pukunikua, his splits versus man coverage, absolutely absurd. I think when the ball's not going to one of those two, I think there's a very good possibility that Sean McVay, who...
00:53:33
Baker
schemes his games individual for teams. And it's not like, you'll go 13 personnel, he'll go 11 personnel, he'll go 12 personnel, depending on what the matchup kind of dictates. Understanding that this team's going to play a lot of man versus him. He's going to be like, all right, you want to do this?
00:53:46
Baker
let me get Let me get these three wide receivers out here and let you try to cover these guys one-on-one all day. And I think there'll be certain shot plays that they that we'll see to two, two, two, that we will see two, two, two And um I mean, if if you're just praying for a long touchdown, I think he's just as good a bet as anybody, especially Mitchell Tinsley, to catch that long bomb. And and once again, you're just targeting of the game that you're really looking forward to.
00:54:15
Chilly
my recommend I was going to say, my recommendation is if don't play Tutu Atwell on DFS, but just go bet his touchdown prop then.
00:54:15
Sully Shaheed
Baker.
00:54:25
Baker
That's a spoiler, Chiu. That's what we call a spoiler for later in the show, sir.
00:54:29
Chilly
Hmm.
00:54:31
Sully Shaheed
Don't you dare put freaking Tutu Atwell in our parlay.
00:54:32
Chilly
Hmm. yeah
00:54:34
Baker
Hold on.
00:54:35
Sully Shaheed
We actually want to hit another one.
00:54:36
Baker
Hold on. Don't you come at me because you have made some of the dumbest picks in this fucking parlay since we started doing this. And the last time you X-Nate one of my picks was a Jameis Winston fucking anytime touchdown, which fucking hit.
00:54:45
Chilly
He did. He did
00:54:50
Baker
I want to hear your shit right now.
00:54:51
Chilly
hit.
00:54:53
Sully Shaheed
First of all, first of all, I left the dumb shit in the past, okay? And I gave you two good ones this week, and we hit it, all right?
00:55:03
Chilly
he did he did hit
00:55:04
Sully Shaheed
So now that it's now that it's Saturday, and I've recollected my thoughts, and I'm going to give you smart plays, picks for the parlay this week, okay?
00:55:09
Baker
Okay. Okay. Okay.
00:55:16
Sully Shaheed
But what I was going to say is I will take your 2-2 Atwell versus my Jack Beck.
00:55:23
Baker
Oh, give it to me all day. Let's go print money.
00:55:28
Chilly
is jack back is jack back or is it john back is it jack okay i know it was a jay
00:55:29
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
00:55:32
Sully Shaheed
Jack. Yeah, it's one and a Jack Beck. ah Anybody else? Anybody else that we missed?
00:55:42
Chilly
yeah um
00:55:42
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I went there. Yeah, I went there, Baker. Yeah, I went there. Yeah, went there.
00:55:48
Sully Shaheed
One and a.
00:55:52
Chilly
Yeah, um I would be kind of failed or missed. The Titans guys, Alec, DK. um I do like the Titans guys. um One other guy, um again, boots on the ground here. Denzel Ward is not playing tomorrow.
00:56:09
Chilly
um And Tyson Campbell allows like the second highest receiving yards to wide receivers. um Nobody is touching Roma Dunze tomorrow. um But again,
00:56:21
Chilly
But I'm just saying um with with a worn out tomorrow, um could be a Roma Dunze type of game.
00:56:30
Sully Shaheed
Let us pray, let us pray. um And before we slide over to tight ends real quick, I will say again for your late swaptions, if you build with Puka and your one o'clock stone hit, swap to Devontae Adams, at least save some ownership, help your cause. And again, like Baker mentioned, James Williams, super under owned um compared to relative to the environment he is under owned.
00:56:54
Sully Shaheed
So that's another guy you could probably swap to. And if you're really desperate, Tutu Atwell, there you go. ah
00:57:00
Chilly
What about Stephon Diggs in the revenge game again?
00:57:05
Sully Shaheed
He already extracted his revenge in the first matchup. We are not going to any New England pass catchers this week. I can't do it.
00:57:11
Chilly
I'm not. I'm not, but just toss it out there.
00:57:13
Sully Shaheed
I can't do it. Tight ends bake or sorry, chill hit them with it.
00:57:18
Chilly
Yeah, tight ends. Nothing too crazy here. Harold Fennin Jr., ah Mark Andrews. Theo, Isaiah, Likely, ah Kittle, Gesicki, Colby Parkinson, AJ Barner.
00:57:32
Chilly
That's on DraftKings. On FanDuel, I'm sure we'll get much of the same. Yeah, Kittle, Andrews, Fannin. um ah Mostly it's just George Kittle on FanDuel. So...
00:57:46
Chilly
So once you kind of get past Kittle, it's flat. um I mean, Andrews, i probably put Andrews up there. He's 12%. Kittle's at like 20%.
00:57:57
Chilly
So basically if you don't play George Kittle on FanDuel, he's cheap. He's only 6,300. And we just saw here.
00:58:02
Sully Shaheed
He's very cheap.
00:58:03
Chilly
and we just saw the brown And we just saw the Browns tight ends nuke the Titans.
00:58:03
Sully Shaheed
it's very cheap
00:58:07
Chilly
So it makes sense. um And again, the the Titans are a pass funnel or turning into the league's pass funnel. Um, Yeah, FanDuel. Then you get like Hunter Henry, Theo, Dalton Schultz, Doctor Strange, Gesicki.
00:58:23
Chilly
ah Nobody's playing Isaiah Likely on FanDuel. So, my...
00:58:28
Sully Shaheed
And that's crazy to me. Holy shit. What are we doing in these DFS streets where realized there's a tight end that is going against the freaking Bengals.
00:58:36
Baker
uh
00:58:40
Sully Shaheed
He's a tight end.
00:58:41
Chilly
I mean...
00:58:42
Sully Shaheed
Jackson Hawes or Spencer or whatever hell his name is scoring against the freaking Bengals. And we're not going to play Isaiah Likely. That's crazy.
00:58:52
Chilly
It's because they're all playing cause they're playing Andrews.
00:58:56
Chilly
yeah That's crazy.
00:58:57
Sully Shaheed
It's crazy to me. It's crazy. I'm playing Isaiah likely God dang it. I don't care if it's ineptitude to get in the damn end zone or at least fumble the bag when he gets there. I'm playing Isaiah likely God dang it. That's crazy dog.
00:59:14
Sully Shaheed
That's crazy. But I mean, and, and chill, you've alluded to it multiple times, but sometimes, You just play the better players even in bad matchups. So we're talking about unowned Brock Bowers and unowned Trey McBride.
00:59:31
Sully Shaheed
why what What slate in existence are you going to get these two sub 3%?
00:59:40
Sully Shaheed
This is crazy to me.
00:59:40
Chilly
yeah i mean trey mcbride is still really expensive so i get that brock bowers
00:59:46
Sully Shaheed
But he's so good at the game of football, Joe.
00:59:50
Chilly
yeah you just yeah you just really need houston to fucking put him down and then trey mcbride will come alive with bursette um
00:59:50
Sully Shaheed
Like really good.
00:59:58
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. That's fair.
01:00:00
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, Bowers is probably the intriguing one. um You know, the last time he was unowned, he dropped like 40. So, I mean, I know that was like way back in week five or six or whatever it was. But, yeah, it's kind of it's kind of crazy. Philadelphia doesn't have the greatest defense, so.
01:00:17
Sully Shaheed
I'm just saying, man, if you're Kitty Pickett, I'm throwing a one dude. And it's not Jack Beck, even though i like Jack Beck this week. But come on, man. We we got to find room to at least one. If you build 10 rosters, one of them should have Brock Bowers in it or Trey McBride or whatever. like Because we've seen that the high-priced elite tight ends can put a slate to bed.
01:00:45
Sully Shaheed
Period. We've seen Trey McBride do it. We've seen Brock Bowers do it. And I mean, I get it. Even if Brock Bowers like goes off or whatever, like we could look up on our non-Brock Bowers rosters and go, well, no one played him. So it's really not affecting you. But if you're the guy that played him, that puts you significantly ahead of everyone else in the damn field.
01:01:04
Sully Shaheed
So I'm definitely going to take a shot on Brock Bowers tomorrow. without question. And even if you want to, like, spice it up, find your early only roster and be like, all right, I'm to play Brock Bowers in this because he's still going to be unowned in early only, too.
01:01:18
Sully Shaheed
So...
01:01:19
Chilly
Oh, yeah. He'll be unknown by a lot. um I'll just give you one take here. know we we've we've done nothing but trash Phillip Rivers. um But if we do know one thing about Phillip Rivers, he's going to throw to the tight end.
01:01:37
Chilly
And This might be one of the best tight ends he's played with, of course, outside Antonio Gates. We don't foresee Phillip Rivers chucking this ball 20, 30 yards down the field. um Seattle is not the greatest against tight ends. They actually do allow, like, the fifth most points to tight ends. Yeah.
01:01:57
Chilly
Again, man, it's a gross click, but again, good players and bad matchups. You could just play Warren here against the Seahawks here.
01:02:08
Chilly
Makes a ton of sense.
01:02:09
Sully Shaheed
Can he still throw it 20 yards
01:02:12
Chilly
they They did release video of him throwing the ball like 30 for, you know, yeah that that motion, but. So, um I mean, I guess that would be that would really be the only take that I have um
01:02:22
Sully Shaheed
I put that shit, son.
01:02:28
Chilly
yeah at this point, truthfully.
01:02:31
Sully Shaheed
Baker, can we get weird at tight end?
01:02:34
Baker
Can we get weird at tight end? I got weird. Like, come on. This is me we're talking about here. ah if like you Here's a mid-price tight end for you. Now, this is an absolute punt play, all the way punt play.
01:02:46
Baker
Obviously, we saw the gruesome injury to Zach Ertz last week, ah potentially potentially career ending.
01:02:49
Sully Shaheed
Ah, yeah.
01:02:52
Baker
um It's very uncertain in that tight end room, in my opinion. I think John Bates is listed as the starter, but we have their second-year tight end. I do't believe this is his second year, Ben Sinat. former second-round pick, so who could be an expanded role, bare minimum, why the hell not?
01:03:09
Baker
like That's literally a why-the-hell-not play. I'm not saying it's a great play. I'm just saying why the fuck not? It gives you the opportunity to jam in whatever the hell else you want on top of playing of one or two other. You play him in Tutu Etwell, do whatever you want.
01:03:22
Sully Shaheed
No interest in Jeremy Rooker, Baker?
01:03:26
Baker
I'm not all about the Rucker, okay? I'm not about the Rucker. But I do think Trey McBride is actually the the pivot off to off of Puka. I think that is probably like you got Puka in your flex, you swap to Trey McBride and pray Puka fails.
01:03:41
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I mean, it is it is nice that you know we got some we got some flexibility.
01:03:44
Chilly
Well, Trey McBride plays in the early window, i do believe.
01:03:45
Sully Shaheed
Okay, aren't they in Houston?
01:03:51
Chilly
They're in Houston.
01:03:51
Baker
Oh, crap. you That is a one o'clock game.
01:03:53
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah they they do play at one.
01:03:53
Baker
My bad.
01:03:54
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
01:03:55
Chilly
i was like, hold I was thinking, I'm like, shit, am I wrong?
01:03:55
Baker
My bad.
01:03:57
Chilly
Hold on. Hold up.
01:03:59
Sully Shaheed
As they hold up, hold up.
01:04:01
Chilly
I'm like, I'm the one who, I get the game times wrong here on this show, damn it.
01:04:02
Baker
I thought I thought
01:04:07
Baker
I'm sorry. I didn't mean to take your thing.
01:04:09
Chilly
You steal my bit?
01:04:09
Baker
I'm sorry.
01:04:11
Chilly
Yeah.
01:04:11
Baker
I didn't say dive on in.
01:04:12
Sully Shaheed
How dare you steal the bit?
01:04:13
Chilly
she
01:04:13
Baker
i didn't say dive on in. We're good. Sheesh. But my tight end pool is pretty small. Mark Andrews, Isaiah likely more than likely playing together with with with.
01:04:27
Sully Shaheed
lama
01:04:27
Baker
With Lamar. Thank you. Uh, Harold Fannin, like I'm just out of that Chicago Cleveland game because of the weather.
01:04:30
Chilly
I love you.
01:04:32
Baker
Otherwise I think Harold Fannin would be a great play. Um, everything else is just quarterback, uh, dependent. I'll play Dalton Kincaid with my Josh Allen lineups just because he's the only pass catcher I think we can rely on there.
01:04:46
Baker
Um, I,
01:04:48
Sully Shaheed
Parkinson in your Stafford lineups question mark.
01:04:52
Baker
I'm playing two, two. So no, I'm not triple stacking, uh, Matt Stafford, Mass Stafford, even though it's possible it's just not going probably going to do it.
01:04:58
Sully Shaheed
It's a 52 and a half point total, man.
01:04:59
Baker
Matt
01:05:00
Sully Shaheed
I mean, why not the triple?
01:05:03
Baker
Stafford, not i've never been a fan of triples doubles is I feel comfortable in doubles I don't I don't I don't really feel comfortable in triples.
01:05:07
Sully Shaheed
Is where you stop.
01:05:10
Chilly
If you're playing large field, I think triples is fine.
01:05:14
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah. it Depends on the field size for sure.
01:05:16
Chilly
One other guy I'll just mention, um you know, Dr. Strange. Trevor Lawrence has been pretty convinced where the ball is going. um If you do figure that the Jags will have a lot of possessions in this game, um I don't think it's the worst thing you could do. Obviously, it's not the greatest thing, but i don't know. Warren and Strange at this point would be who I'll toss in there.
01:05:39
Baker
Yes, he's selling to everybody but Brian Thomas, Jr.
01:05:43
Sully Shaheed
ah Poor Brian Thomas.
01:05:47
Sully Shaheed
a Poor guy. ah Let's slide over defense and slap that. Hit this parlay and ah get Baker off to work. So ah chill. Hit him with the defense ownership, baby.
01:05:57
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, at this point, ah it's it's not it's kind of flat. You're looking at the Texans, Seahawks, Bears, Jags, Eagles, Raiders, ah your top six there on DraftKings. On FanDuel.com, you are looking at ah Houston, Carolina, the Giants um are your top three there. Yeah.
01:06:22
Chilly
And then you New Orleans, question mark, is like your fourth. And then it's pretty much flat from there. But um that's what you're looking at defensive-wise.
01:06:33
Sully Shaheed
The Jaguars are playing a creative player. Find the money to get to Jacksonville. That is all.
01:06:44
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, for real. Yeah.
01:06:48
Sully Shaheed
but I mean, I get Seattle against Phillip Rivers. Understandable. Again, I mentioned that the Browns have literally no offensive line. The Bears. That's fine. Even though there's not probably not going to be a lot of dropbacks in that game.
01:07:02
Sully Shaheed
But if you want the shutout, ah the Bears? Question mark. But yeah, Jacksonville.
01:07:07
Chilly
I mean, do you want to go on do you want to go on the narrative that Stefanski is trying to ruin Sanders' career so he might just make him pass a lot in this game?
01:07:17
Sully Shaheed
You know what, after that two-point conversion bullshit last week? um Yeah, I'm here for that.
01:07:22
Chilly
It feels like a thing, like boots on the ground. It really does.
01:07:25
Sully Shaheed
Feels like a thing.
01:07:25
Chilly
It does feel like a thing almost.
01:07:27
Sully Shaheed
Feels like a thing. Feels like a thing. Baker, who you got on defense, man?
01:07:32
Baker
So Adam Scheffler just tweeted this out with running back Josh Jacobs questionable for Sunday due to the knee injury the Packers elevated quarter running back Pierre Strong Jr. for Sunday's game so it looks like if they're elevating there could be some concerns with Josh Jacobs just wanted to throw that out there.
01:07:46
Sully Shaheed
Yep.
01:07:47
Chilly
mean, that makes sense, but, like, you know Jacobs. Jacobs will be out there with, like, half a body stealing carries.
01:07:56
Chilly
I mean, for real, dude. that That dude is so ignorant. He's, ah, I'm not playing, I'm not playing. Then he goes out there. He gets 15 totes for, like, 80 yards, no touchdowns. It's like, bro, I could have just played the backup here. God damn it.
01:08:09
Baker
But as far as defensive takes, I don't give a fuck.
01:08:15
Sully Shaheed
cool you're playing Jacksonville with me find the money for Jacksonville got it uh Chili who got oh yeah
01:08:21
Chilly
For defense? ah Yeah, at this point, Bears, Jags.
01:08:27
Chilly
if you if If you got a punt, if so
01:08:33
Sully Shaheed
I got a feeling there's going to be a good amount of punting on defense this week because we want to jam in so much.
01:08:39
Chilly
ah but if I'm going to punt, maybe the Chargers?
01:08:44
Chilly
Eh.
01:08:45
Sully Shaheed
just play the Just play the Raiders at 2K. Philadelphia is broken, bro.
01:08:49
Chilly
I just don't feel – if I'm playing Jalen Hurts, I just don't believe. I don't think Philadelphia is going to be broken. But, I mean, if I –
01:08:55
Sully Shaheed
And you're not Jalen Hurts, Stax.
01:08:58
Chilly
ph
01:09:01
Baker
Edgerbet, Edgerbet. There you go
01:09:02
Sully Shaheed
Hedge, hedge, hedge, hedge.
01:09:07
Sully Shaheed
Oh, shit, I'm here for it. I'm here for it. um Well, I mean, we've been talking for a while, but, ah you know, I think these contrarian shows, like, get us into the correct mindset going into Sunday. But we got to make some extra money.
01:09:20
Sully Shaheed
We got to put some money out there. Pigs for the parlay. It is time to pray for the parlay. So if you haven't already, make sure you like and subscribe. First of all, hit that follow button on your podcast streets. Make sure you catch every new episode of the DFS Deli brought to you by, of course, Chill and Bake and myself.
01:09:36
Sully Shaheed
But we got to make some extra money, man. We got to get six legs, a hot 10 that we hit last week for the parlay. So if you need some extra coin,
01:09:50
Sully Shaheed
Join us and follow the parlay. So, Baker, who are your picks for the DFS Deli special, the Hot 10? Who is the Hot 10 for you?
01:10:02
Baker
so like i tease before we go we're gonna work
01:10:06
Sully Shaheed
I'm not fucking playing 2-2 fucking Atwell. It is not going to happen. You better get an alternate because I am not spending my hard-earned American dollars on 2-2 Atwell. It's not going to happen.
01:10:22
Chilly
his any's His anytime touchdown, I don't feel like is high enough. It's only a plus 370.
01:10:28
Sully Shaheed
Maybe Vegas knows something. But then remember, remember Taysom Hills was plus 120 that week when I picked them. So I don't want to fucking hear it.
01:10:35
Chilly
and rather I'd rather, I honestly would rather play Tesla in that same game Tutu Atwell.
01:10:40
Sully Shaheed
Well, all he does is catch touchdowns, though. I mean, Tesla is a good bet for a touchdown.
01:10:44
Chilly
Tesla. and But Baker, it seems like Tutu Atwell is getting the boot, so we play him.
01:10:49
Sully Shaheed
It's
01:10:51
Chilly
Hmm. Hmm.
01:10:51
Baker
I'm so when this parlay hits for me, because I play to Hatwell, just know you people missed out
01:10:56
Sully Shaheed
just you.
01:11:03
Baker
And I'm only talking to YouTube, not the people watching this on on the Internet. YouTube missed out on thousands upon thousands upon hundreds of thousands of dollars because you need up cause you did not play Tutu Atwell.
01:11:13
Sully Shaheed
Hundreds of thousands.
01:11:19
Baker
you guys' fault, YouTube.
01:11:21
Sully Shaheed
Got it. Hit him with it, Zoe.
01:11:24
Baker
Bada boom, realest guy in the room. How you doing? All right. So if you don't want, if you don't want to, you want to take Tutu away from me, which I think is absolute blasphemy.
01:11:35
Baker
Like, I am so, I am so beyond limit with you right now.
01:11:35
Sully Shaheed
Heh.
Secondary Parlay Strategies
01:11:39
Baker
All
01:11:40
Sully Shaheed
If you pay Tutu Atwell, just going to put Jack Beck in it and really fuck it up.
01:11:44
Baker
right. In that case, come back to me. let Give me a second because I was, I was had doubt dead on Tutu, so give me a second. Come back.
01:11:52
Chilly
Listen, how about this?
01:11:53
Sully Shaheed
Chill. Hit me.
01:11:54
Chilly
We will do a secondary parlay. We'll do three picks.
01:11:58
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Yeah, yeah.
01:11:59
Chilly
The guys...
01:12:00
Sully Shaheed
All right. Yeah, yeah.
01:12:01
Chilly
Okay, and the guys got to be like plus 200 and above. Alright?
01:12:05
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, a secondary three leg, a gross three leg, and a solid six leg.
01:12:07
Chilly
Yeah. A gross three leg. Alright? We'll do a gross three leg. That way everybody can get everybody can get their fill in.
01:12:12
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
01:12:15
Chilly
me Give me some Brown...
01:12:16
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
01:12:20
Chilly
a give me some aj brown
01:12:24
Sully Shaheed
Okay.
01:12:25
Chilly
and then uh my second pick um give me some george kittle
01:12:33
Sully Shaheed
Ooh, okay. A little squiddle me bit. All right. I'm here for that. um Since Baker's still contemplating, I am going to take Isaiah Likely to to get out of the ah the the cursed realm of actually scoring touchdowns.
01:12:53
Chilly
so
01:12:53
Sully Shaheed
And, hmm. I mean, you already took your 49ers, so I'm not going to jam in CMC. you know, CMC is very obvious, but... You know what? J-Mo.
01:13:06
Sully Shaheed
Jamison Williams. I'm going to go with J-Mo on this one.
01:13:13
Sully Shaheed
Baker, who you got for that six-legger?
01:13:16
Baker
So you took my second one. And Jamison Williams, you piece of shit.
01:13:19
Sully Shaheed
Nah. Should have went first.
01:13:20
Baker
ah That's fair. So I didn't really talk about him, but I did mention him on Wednesday as well. On the other side of Josh Allen, I think what pushes Josh Allen, once again, is this run game.
01:13:33
Baker
So give me Trey Beyond Henderson.
01:13:35
Sully Shaheed
Trey Henderson.
01:13:39
Sully Shaheed
And the last leg of the parlay, make.
01:13:39
Chilly
Sorry.
01:13:41
Baker
And the last leg. oh if you're going Isaiah likely i'm playing the two of them together does that mean I take mark Andrews.
01:13:50
Sully Shaheed
You want both Baltimore tight ends on the same parlay?
01:13:53
Baker
Mike Nobley, i'm playing him in DFS might as well play them here together to.
01:13:56
Sully Shaheed
Mark Andrews.
01:13:58
Baker
Mike Nobley, might as well, are you going explain this one for me to.
01:14:02
Sully Shaheed
Nope.
01:14:02
Chilly
i I personally don't like it, but that's okay. We live, we ride.
01:14:08
Sully Shaheed
We ride, chill. We ride. Let's ride. ah Chill, who you got for the gross parlay? The gross three-legger.
01:14:16
Chilly
let me ah Let me find ah let I'll get you a gross one. young i needda I'm to need to wait for that one. ah let me Let me look up the numbers.
01:14:24
Sully Shaheed
You're good.
01:14:26
Sully Shaheed
Well, Baker's going 2-2 Atwell, correct?
01:14:28
Baker
The numbers, Mason, of course.
01:14:32
Sully Shaheed
I'm going Mr.
01:14:32
Baker
We are, oh my God.
01:14:32
Sully Shaheed
Beck.
01:14:34
Chilly
Our deli parlay is plus 27,972.
01:14:34
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I'm doing it.
01:14:37
Chilly
That's...
01:14:41
Sully Shaheed
What?
01:14:43
Chilly
that's That's what I got. A hot 10 wins you 2.7.
01:14:47
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for it.
01:14:50
Chilly
Shit, I should.
01:14:53
Chilly
Yeah, like.
01:14:53
Sully Shaheed
Might throw 25 on it. Wow. That's not bad.
01:14:56
Chilly
Well, the funny thing is, is Isaiah likely does fit into the gross parlay at plus 220.
01:15:03
Sully Shaheed
really
01:15:03
Chilly
Yeah, at least I'm a fan duel, yeah.
01:15:04
Sully Shaheed
wow let's say
01:15:07
Chilly
But hold on, let me place this bet, and then going to look for a.
01:15:07
Sully Shaheed
that's not bad
01:15:12
Chilly
ah guy here.
Favorite Stacks for the Week
01:15:14
Sully Shaheed
While chills looking Baker, who's your favorite stack for this week? Who should the people glob on to?
01:15:19
Baker
So ah like the Matt Stafford double. um I like that. I like all jokes aside. I do actually really like Tutu. So Tutu, Puka, Matt Stafford.
01:15:30
Baker
I really like that with a JMO run back. I do like the way it differentiates you with Lamar Jackson playing both his tight ends. um And then I like, i like my Josh Allen stuff.
01:15:41
Baker
um Running Josh Allen where fit with, with Duncan Kade. So those are, I give you three of them. You asked for when I gave you three.
01:15:51
Sully Shaheed
Well, that's fine. I mean, obviously my, my, I'll give you three, two, seeing as how two of ours match Lamar with X tight end, um Matt Stafford with, you know, Devante or Puka, if you can fit it.
01:15:57
Baker
Thank you.
01:16:03
Sully Shaheed
And, you know, Cody Parkinson, if you want to just throw in the extra person. um And then, like I said, that Jameson Williams run back is pretty hot. And I, I, You know, like i said, if I'm super punting, it's going to be the Kenny Pickett revenge dagger. I really want to find a way and a reason to play Brock Bowers this week. Yes, I feel like he can be a one-off. You don't definitely don't have the Jack Kenny Pickett with you. But um with his price and what it allows you to fit in the rest of your lineup um kind of makes you absolutely different. I mean, you can do that and chalk and still have a shot.
01:16:37
Sully Shaheed
So those are but those are my three picks right there. So...
Diversifying Lineups and Final Tips
01:16:41
Sully Shaheed
Chill favorite stacks and a gross pick for the parlay.
01:16:43
Baker
Tighten
01:16:43
Chilly
a Gross pick for the parlay. Give me some DK.
01:16:49
Sully Shaheed
Chimary DK.
01:16:50
Chilly
if And then ah and it adds stacks for the week.
01:16:52
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Hot 10 on a three-legger.
01:17:00
Chilly
um Eagles. Again, ah I do like the Eagles stuff. ah Titans, because this is the growth show. ah Titans.
01:17:11
Chilly
um On the same side of that game, San Francisco. um i don't think a lot of people are playing the San Francisco passing game. That could be more of a swaption for you. If you really need to get weird, you just swap to that game and pray.
01:17:28
Chilly
um So those two. And then, you know, kind of from there, it's just, again, it's really spread out. Burrow, Lamar, both sides of that ball as well. So there's just a ton of good options you can honestly go to this week. So I'm really not going to try to condense myself to one.
01:17:48
Chilly
ah But i like for sure, i will have the Eagles in some sense.
Show Conclusion and Farewell
01:17:54
Sully Shaheed
I'm with it. Well, if you made it to this point in the show, we appreciate y'all. We of course wish you the best of luck on your main slate rosters and your tournaments this week. Get weird. Have fun.
01:18:05
Sully Shaheed
For Baker, chill. I've been your boy, Sully. This has been the DFS Deli, the secret menu. And we were going to close up the shop. And of course, see you all at the top. Peace listening. Peace.