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Thanksgiving DFS Deep Dive & Parlay Build — Part 2 | DraftKings, FanDuel & Betting Breakdown
27 Plays23 days ago
Welcome back to The DFS Deli, and Happy Thanksgiving! In Part 2 of our special NFL Thanksgiving DFS breakdown, we’re serving up another helping of winning strategy for the DraftKings and FanDuel showdown and main slates. We dive deep into every Thanksgiving Day matchup, breaking down the top DFS picks, value plays, cash-game locks, and GPP ceiling options to help you build winning lineups.
We also walk through our favorite Thanksgiving parlay, discussing game scripts, yardage props, touchdown props, and where the best value sits across the slate. If you’re looking for NFL DFS advice, Thanksgiving DFS picks, sleepers, or sports betting angles, this episode is packed with everything you need.
Don’t forget to like and subscribe if you enjoy NFL DFS strategy, player prop picks, and Thanksgiving football breakdowns. The DFS Deli is open—let’s cook up some winners!
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Transcript
Introduction and Technical Difficulties
00:00:00
Sully Shaheed
Hey, hi, how you doing? Welcome back to the DFS Deli.
00:00:02
Baker
you
00:00:05
Sully Shaheed
I'm your proprietor once again, Salih Ali Shahid, and we had some technical difficulties. So we're doing two parts. The first part was Thanksgiving Day banter, and we started talking about the slate.
00:00:17
Sully Shaheed
So now I don't have to put a timestamp.
Lions-Packers Game Analysis
00:00:19
Sully Shaheed
I can just say, watch part two.
00:00:19
Chilly
exactly
00:00:21
Sully Shaheed
So this is going be all football. We were getting into ah the Lions Packers game and about how Jared Goff was born around water and ah Jordan Love wasn't. So that's the distribution between who you should play and who you shouldn't play. But, Chili, I'm pretty sure you'd like some individual pieces from this game, especially on the Lions side. So what are you looking to target tomorrow?
00:00:49
Chilly
Yeah, i mean, you could take – just taking a look here, obviously Jameer Gibbs coming off of the, you know, 50-point, you know, monsoon he put on ah this past Sunday. Obviously, he's going to be a very um chalky play. So um it's a little bit harder to fade him on DraftKings because of the the reception use. He could probably get away with it on FanDuel and Prey.
00:01:15
Chilly
Um, but I'm interested in both of the running backs. Um, I'm interested in Montgomery as well, especially on a short slate. You kind of got to just keep an open mind here with things.
00:01:26
Chilly
And Montgomery is not like the most outrageous play that you could probably play.
00:01:29
Baker
Thank you.
00:01:31
Chilly
And if he just, you know, kind of lumps his way into the box here, it's not a terrible play. Obviously, I'm on Ross St. Brown, uh, is going to be another popular play as well.
00:01:44
Chilly
Um, Again, coming off of another huge game himself. um It does help that this game is in the dome for Jarrett Goff. They do tend to play a lot better at home.
00:01:55
Chilly
um So I'm not mad about Goff. Christian Watson is probably the most chalkiest Green Bay wide receiver on the slate. um The Packers wide receivers are all really cheap. So I think i think this particular game and this the whole slate might come down to Does a Packers wide receiver get there? If so, which one?
00:02:18
Chilly
um I'll let you guys talk about some of these other pieces. um Go from there.
00:02:24
Sully Shaheed
ah Baker, how are you feeling about Lions Packers to to start our appetizer for the Thanksgiving sleep?
00:02:30
Baker
Well, I'll be enjoying appetizers during this because I found out that I actually do appetizers, which is weird. But...
00:02:42
Baker
but
00:02:47
Baker
If I had to pick a Packers wide receiver, I think it's the chalkiest one of ah Christian Watson. But I've never been one to just stray the way of chalk, even though I was once made fun of on this show for just picking cho picking chalky picks.
00:03:01
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, you were.
00:03:05
Baker
I've never been one to once it comes down to making lineups and just picking chalk. So I would take the Romeo Dobbs. I would take the Dontavian Wicks to a lesser degree and just say, you know, if if Christian Watson puts me to bed at one o'clock or 10 o'clock out here on the West Coast, cool. I'm going to enjoy my time.
00:03:24
Baker
um and doing the bullshit that I do on Thanksgiving anyway. And if he doesn't put me to bed, in that case, I have a chance because there's going to be one of these Green Bay receivers that hits unless the play is just to play Josh Jacobs at ats not suppressed ownership, but not as popular as he possibly could be.
00:03:46
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, definitely reduced ownership in the Packer backfield for sure.
00:03:48
Chilly
That
00:03:49
Sully Shaheed
I think like my my stance on this game is I'm probably, it's the lowest one on the board as far as total goes, 48 and a half. And then the Packers defense is solid. We've seen Jerry Goff kind of crumble against solid defenses.
00:04:01
Sully Shaheed
But again, we've also seen this offense absolutely explode on anybody. So um I'd be more than willing to take a couple pieces from the game. You know, Jamison Williams gave us a zero last week.
00:04:13
Sully Shaheed
So maybe there's a bounce back.
00:04:13
Chilly
that i mean I mean, we could have saved this for the main show, but that has to be the worst snowflake of all time, right?
00:04:22
Baker
Terrible. It's absolutely terrible.
00:04:24
Chilly
I mean, he literally... There was over a thousand... A thousand yards of offense in that game. His motherfucker didn't get.1.
00:04:32
Baker
And he got zero of them.
00:04:35
Sully Shaheed
I don't know, man. Roman Dunes a was up there in that Bears-Bengals game, too. so
00:04:40
Chilly
But it wasn't like... 1,000 yards. 10.
00:04:44
Sully Shaheed
It was damn close.
00:04:47
Chilly
10 football fields.
00:04:50
Sully Shaheed
Jamison Williams did cardio on it.
00:04:51
Baker
And
00:04:54
Chilly
Oh, my goodness.
00:04:54
Baker
he barely did that.
00:04:56
Sully Shaheed
That's true.
00:04:57
Chilly
I mean, note do you know how many people scored over 200 points, though, with Jamison Williams in their lineup?
00:05:03
Sully Shaheed
You were one of them.
00:05:03
Chilly
it was I was one of them.
00:05:08
Baker
That's mildly disturbing.
00:05:08
Sully Shaheed
That's fair.
00:05:09
Baker
I mean, I put up a buck 70 with Jamison Williams in one of my lineups.
00:05:14
Chilly
Right.
00:05:15
Sully Shaheed
Last week was weird, but we are for thinking for thinking anything else we need to say about this game.
00:05:19
Baker
Nope. We are not forward thinking. We live in the past.
00:05:22
Chilly
Um,
00:05:23
Baker
because Our chill should be running the show because he is the proprietor of this delicatessen.
00:05:27
Chilly
nah, nah, nah, man. I'm just, I'm just a dude that's over here. I don't want that pressure.
00:05:33
Sully Shaheed
ah
00:05:34
Chilly
I'll just be over here.
00:05:34
Baker
I'll put the pressure on you, goddammit.
00:05:36
Baker
I will anoint you like I am fucking Freddie Mercury anointing you as a fucking knight for fucking sake.
00:05:36
Chilly
Um,
00:05:45
Chilly
um Yeah, I mean, i don't think there's any Detroit tight end you want to play. i don't think you want to play.
Chiefs-Cowboys Game Insights
00:05:55
Chilly
i mean, if you want to play somebody who's going completely unowned, nobody's playing Musgrave.
00:06:00
Baker
No. me
00:06:02
Chilly
I mean, he'll be less than 5%. If you really want to change your lineup, again, he's that's less than 5%.
00:06:14
Sully Shaheed
No interest in my client, Brock Wright.
00:06:20
Baker
no
00:06:22
Baker
Absolutely not.
00:06:23
Chilly
is
00:06:24
Sully Shaheed
That's fair.
00:06:24
Chilly
she He might be not playing.
00:06:29
Sully Shaheed
Oh, then we really don't want to play a lightning tie-in.
00:06:31
Chilly
So the the two tight ends I see here, didn't even know this guy was still in the league. Anthony Ferkshure
00:06:41
Chilly
and Ross Dwelly.
00:06:44
Sully Shaheed
Dude, I remember Anthony Ferkshire.
00:06:47
Baker
I remember Ross Dwelley.
00:06:49
Chilly
Yeah, they're both the men.
00:06:49
Sully Shaheed
Wow.
00:06:50
Chilly
On DraftKings, they're $2,500.
00:06:53
Sully Shaheed
Oh, there you go. If it makes it fit, Ross Dwelly.
00:06:56
Baker
You could convince me to play Ross Dwelly. Okay. I'm not gonna lie. You can convince me to play Ross Dwelly.
00:07:02
Chilly
But for an extra $600, you get the Mike Kosicki.
00:07:06
Baker
I'm not playing Mike Kosicki, chill. I'm not doing it. Hold on.
00:07:11
Chilly
He's literally there he's their second best wide receiver.
00:07:11
Baker
Let me get closer to this camera. No.
00:07:16
Baker
No.
00:07:18
Sully Shaheed
Just wait until Mitchell Tinsley says something about that.
00:07:21
Baker
no
00:07:22
Chilly
Hey.
00:07:23
Sully Shaheed
But we'll cross that bridge when we cross said bridge.
00:07:23
Chilly
a
00:07:26
Sully Shaheed
Your next game on the docket at 430 is Chiefs-Cowboys. The highest total on the board, 52.5. The Cowboys hosting the basically in must win mode, Kansas city chiefs, um, a bounce back win for the Cowboys last week. We saw the offense cook for one half.
00:07:44
Sully Shaheed
Um, can the boys do this against, uh, a solid chiefs defense or can the chiefs exploit a weaker on paper? Cowboys defense Baker, where are you starting off with this game?
00:07:59
Baker
And the home of the cheese. Give me all Kansas City. All of it.
00:08:10
Baker
Besides the running back, because that's the clusterfuck. Give me all the Kansas City's. You want to tell me you want to play Patrick Mahomes? You tell me you want play Rasheed Rice? You tell want to play Travis Kelsey? You tell me you want to play Hollywood Brown? You tell me you to play Taequann Thornton? You tell me want to play Juju Smith?
00:08:25
Baker
um My answer is yes.
00:08:28
Sully Shaheed
So you are a Noah Gray fan this week.
00:08:31
Baker
You tell me you want to play Noah Gray. You tell me you want to bring Tony Gonzalez back to Kansas City and play Tony Gonzalez. Absolutely. Come on. You tell, like, any Kansas City. I don't give fuck what era of Kansas City you tell me you want to play.
00:08:48
Baker
Give me all of the cheese.
00:08:48
Chilly
You'd even name the greatest the greatest Kansas City pass catcher.
00:08:56
Chilly
How dare you?
00:08:58
Baker
I mean, I didn't go down the lineage of Kansas City in in my rant, okay?
00:09:01
Chilly
I mean, you pick Tony Gonzalez. There's like one guy that would definitely pick before him. ah Give me some Dwayne Bowe.
00:09:07
Baker
I mean, did um must say did you want me to say Dwayne Bowe?
00:09:11
Chilly
I want you say Dwayne Bowe. Come on now.
00:09:15
Baker
Come on, man.
00:09:16
Chilly
Come on.
00:09:16
Baker
I could have said Dwayne Bowe.
00:09:16
Sully Shaheed
Love me some Dwayne bow.
00:09:18
Chilly
i' gonna run kansas city I'm run the Kansas City defense.
00:09:18
Baker
No, you don't.
00:09:20
Chilly
So got Dante Hall on the back end. I'm ready to go.
00:09:24
Baker
Wow. Wow. No.
00:09:26
Sully Shaheed
Dude, the human joystick, bro.
00:09:29
Baker
I mean, here's the thing. I'll play the Kansas City de defense if Eric Berry's lining up at safety. That's perfectly fine with me. But he's not there anymore.
00:09:38
Chilly
some Eric Berry.
00:09:41
Baker
Pride of Tennessee.
00:09:41
Sully Shaheed
Any more retro pieces that we need to talk about?
00:09:42
Baker
Let's go.
00:09:46
Baker
Give me Priest Holmes. Give me, like, shit.
00:09:48
Sully Shaheed
but Yeah.
00:09:50
Baker
I can do this all day. I will literally do this all fucking day.
00:09:52
Chilly
Give me Tyreek
00:09:57
Baker
That's not even like an interesting piece. Fuck that guy. Give me Meiko Hardman, okay?
00:10:03
Sully Shaheed
Oh, poor Mikko Hartman.
00:10:05
Chilly
Hill. I'll load up some Super Bowl champ, Sammy Watkins.
00:10:10
Baker
Give me some Skymore, okay?
00:10:11
Chilly
so
00:10:13
Sully Shaheed
Sammy Watkins, dude. Yes. Listen, if you if you participate in any conversations with your friends, you know we spend about 10 to 15 minutes naming off random-ass players.
00:10:18
Baker
I'll take some...
00:10:25
Sully Shaheed
Okay? If you don't do that with a friend group, you need to find a new friend group.
00:10:31
Sully Shaheed
Just saying.
00:10:32
Chilly
Yeah. um I mean, I think Baker.
00:10:34
Baker
Give me Jamal Charles. Give me Jamal Charles. Give me, like, Larry Johnson. Give me all the fucking Chiefs.
00:10:42
Chilly
Dude, Larry Johnson.
00:10:42
Baker
Do this all fucking day with your ass. Do this all day with your ass.
00:10:44
Chilly
well know What a legend, Larry Johnson.
00:10:49
Sully Shaheed
Chill, any interest in the Cowboys?
00:10:51
Chilly
Oh.
00:10:55
Chilly
ah Cowboys, yes, I will get there. Yeah, i' I'm interested in Troy Aikman. I think you can play him with Michael Irvin. I think it's going to great stack.
00:11:10
Chilly
ah good No, in all seriousness, again, i i do think this is going to be a game here.
Cincinnati vs. Ravens Strategy
00:11:20
Chilly
I think if you do want to play, again, Pat Mahomes is going to probably be the chalkiest QB on the slate here.
00:11:20
Sully Shaheed
Oh, man.
00:11:30
Chilly
least on DraftKings he is. Let's check FanDuel. um So, yeah, I mean, Pat Mahomes is the chalkiest QB on the slate. um If you want to get different and you want to go Dak Prescott, I'm not, again, in a game that could be a potential shootout,
00:11:47
Chilly
ah We know how much better this offense is um at home, especially. We saw the Cowboys last week go down instantly 21-0, which basically just puts them in pass-happy mode. Dak Prescott does have a little bit of the rushing floor, so he did get a rushing touchdown last week. so um you know Once they get to the one-yard line, it's like they really hate giving the ball to Javante Williams.
00:12:16
Chilly
For whatever reason. um But yeah. Again. Both of the Dallas. All three. The two pass catchers. And Jake Ferguson. Jake Ferguson. Again here.
00:12:27
Chilly
Will probably be. In terms of the. You know. Good tight ends on the slate. He's definitely going to be the lowest owned. Out of Kelsey Andrews.
00:12:37
Chilly
um Again. He's coming in at less than like 7%. um So if you want to get different there. With Ferguson. You can. ah You know, it is it'll be a tall task for Mark Andrews not to put you asleep because they are playing Cincinnati, but we'll cover that in a second. um I think on FanDuel, I don't mind Javante Williams.
00:13:02
Chilly
it's it's It's a gross click, but, like, it makes you different. um You know, if you think the game's going to be competitive and you want to bring Javante back,
00:13:14
Chilly
um in the ah in in your Chiefs springbacks, I think it's fine.
00:13:20
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I can definitely get behind that. i mean, like you said, this a short slate, so some clicks are going to be gross.
00:13:27
Chilly
um I mean, i'll also I'll also mention, like, in these short slates, you can absolutely get away with onslaughting teams.
00:13:28
Sully Shaheed
Absolutely gross.
00:13:34
Chilly
If you do want to play Kelsey with Worthy, Rice, and or Mahomes with Worthy, Rice, and Kelsey, you could you could certainly do that. um The Kansas City backfield is really weird because you have Isaiah Pacheco coming back.
00:13:51
Chilly
and you know I just heard a stat the other day. like They have not given him a carry within the five-yard line. So like if you want to play Kareem Hunt,
00:14:02
Chilly
if you want to play karb hunt And he falls into the end zone twice. Again, like, the Kansas City backfield is just really weird.
00:14:16
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this. So you don't want to run the the Romo, Des Bryant, Roy Williams double?
00:14:23
Chilly
Oh, Roy Williams. What
00:14:25
Baker
No, you got to play Jason Witten. You got to play Martellus Bennett. Come on. Got to play Mercedes Lewis.
00:14:32
Sully Shaheed
I listen.
00:14:32
Chilly
a...
00:14:33
Sully Shaheed
We're not talking about the cheapest quarterback on the slate, and that's Quincy Carter. So we should probably just play Quincy Carter, right?
00:14:43
Chilly
I think i think you just i think you just played Marion Barber. We call it a day.
00:14:48
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah, Marion Barber. Hey, what was the ah what was the pitcher's name that was a QB for the Cowboys?
00:14:56
Chilly
Oh, was it Drew something?
00:14:59
Baker
Drew Hansen?
00:14:59
Sully Shaheed
Yeah.
00:15:02
Chilly
Hanson, right? Is that what you said, Baker?
00:15:05
Baker
Yeah, Drew Hansen?
00:15:07
Sully Shaheed
Henson?
00:15:07
Chilly
Yeah.
00:15:08
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, yeah, yeah, think it was. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
00:15:11
Chilly
Oh, I would also like to point out that um that ah Dakota Prescott was kind of born close to water.
00:15:23
Chilly
and a
00:15:26
Sully Shaheed
ah
00:15:26
Chilly
here's but He was born in a hu he was born in Sulfur, Louisiana, which is kind of in the southern part, and it's kind of close to the Gulf of Mexico there.
00:15:40
Chilly
ah Patrick Mahomes was not born near water in Tyler, Texas.
00:15:45
Baker
In that case, I retract anything I said about Patrick Mahomes earlier because he was not born near water.
00:15:52
Sully Shaheed
What is all these quarterbacks being born in California? Jesus.
00:15:57
Baker
I mean, here's the thing.
00:15:57
Chilly
California is ah is a pipeline for football players.
00:16:00
Baker
Here's the thing, Sally. I can tell you motherfuckers different out here in California. Just saying.
00:16:06
Sully Shaheed
But only a select few are born around water. Like CeeDee Lamb?
00:16:11
Baker
I mean,
00:16:12
Sully Shaheed
He's born around water.
00:16:15
Baker
Would San Jose be considered borderline water? that Is that considered borderline water?
00:16:18
Chilly
is it Is it by water?
00:16:19
Baker
warm water I mean, you're not far from water. There's a beach like a half hour away. All
00:16:25
Chilly
Yeah, you're you're you're born that's near water. A half hour it ain't shit to me.
00:16:30
Baker
right. In that case, my girlfriend's born near in water. That's why I'm with her.
00:16:35
Chilly
Yeah. Yeah, you've been thinking a long time about this. I've been thinking about this. If you were born next to water, you just got a different way of life
00:16:48
Sully Shaheed
A different way of life.
00:16:48
Baker
To be fair, to be fair, chill, you and I were both born in Cleveland, right? You were born in Cleveland?
00:16:55
Chilly
I was born in Fairview Hospital. That's where I was born.
00:17:00
Baker
That's close enough to Cleveland. We were born around water.
00:17:02
Chilly
that Basically. We were born.
00:17:04
Baker
You and I. Sully, on the other hand, punk-ass Nebraska over here, not born near water.
00:17:08
Chilly
yeah he just...
00:17:14
Baker
he's just it it
00:17:18
Chilly
He's got a different way of life than we do, Bank.
00:17:20
Baker
He does. He really does. This is why it's me and you, Chill. Like, we need to kick Sully off this show because he was not born near water. This needs to be the chi to Chill and Baker show. We were born near water. That's the name of the show, Chill. Born Near Water.
00:17:35
Chilly
He's the gang to our gang, though. He balances it out.
00:17:40
Sully Shaheed
In the famous words of Baker, I hate you both.
00:17:44
Chilly
So, you got any takes?
00:17:45
Baker
Why? cause Because we were born near water?
00:17:46
Chilly
yeah Got any takes in this game?
00:17:49
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. ah For Chiefs Cowboys, and i mean, Pickens dealing with a hammy, but he said he's going to play through it.
00:17:56
Baker
Thank
00:17:57
Sully Shaheed
um I know CeeDee Lamb is always going to be the one to produce there. But, I mean, some of these ancillary guys, you know, could get a big play. um But honestly, I mean, I think you're just messing with the big guns in this in this in this game.
00:18:10
Sully Shaheed
You know, play your pickings, play your lambs, play the Chiefs guys. But I would stay away from the Kansas City backfield. I know Kareem Hunt's a cheap piece or whatever, but at the same time,
00:18:23
Sully Shaheed
um The addition of Quinn and Williams can't be understated for Dallas's defense. I mean, they just nuked Saquon Barkley. So cream hunt ain't Saquon. So even though Saquon's been nuking Saquon too, but that's neither here nor there. But yeah, the addition in the middle to that with that guys is a lot. So if they're going to do anything, it's going to with the, the aerial pieces and the pass catchers with the Kansas city chiefs. So, Yeah, I'm behind Baker, 100%.
00:18:50
Sully Shaheed
Load up on the Chiefs if you'd like, 100%. so ah Let's go to the nightcap.
00:18:57
Sully Shaheed
Bengals, Ravens, 51.5 point total. The return Adrenaline and my soul.
00:19:06
Chilly
Yeah,
00:19:09
Sully Shaheed
Something, something, Joe Burrow.
00:19:10
Chilly
absolutely he can.
00:19:11
Baker
A big Cody Rhodes.
00:19:11
Chilly
Um,
00:19:15
Sully Shaheed
ah Chili Lamar has not been playing like himself as we stated on the podcast last week um and he's still not back to slate breaking form. He's been solid because he's winning games, but we're here for fantasy points.
00:19:28
Sully Shaheed
Can Lamar provide for you this week?
00:19:31
Chilly
yeah absolutely he can um ah Although Lamar's been taking sacks at an incredibly historic rate recently, so clearly there's probably still an injury issue there.
00:19:44
Chilly
We'll probably find about it like once the season's over. um Cincinnati's, although they're a terrible defense, um he can definitely still break the slate from the pocket.
00:19:55
Chilly
he can probably so He can still get you know three or four touchdowns. He's probably coming in at the second highest ownership. for QBs on both sites. So um he will have some ownership.
00:20:11
Chilly
um I think that's why he kind of makes Derrick Henry's ownership the highest on the slate um because people aren't fearing Lamar vulturing touchdowns. um This game to me does have a couple of weird pieces. i think this is the game where if you want to get weird on the slate, it's probably going to be this game um So I got some weird plays. I'm not too scared of playing. Because sometimes, like, if they even get, like, one reception for a touchdown, it's all you need to kind of put you ahead of the field.
00:20:50
Chilly
um So, i mean, I'll let you guys go just to see if you may mention them. But um I'll play. I'll probably play Lamar here. Cincinnati's defense is too...
00:21:04
Chilly
putrid to not throw Lamar in there.
00:21:08
Sully Shaheed
I mean, we saw ah two tight ends from Cincinnati kind of get there last week. So why can't we see a repeat performance from Mark Andrews and Isaiah likely this week and likely is obviously the cheaper piece. So any interest there, Baker?
00:21:23
Baker
I don't hate the Isaiah likely because you had me at Cincinnati. I think the way to start...
00:21:28
Chilly
I just... I despise the Isaiah likely play. The only time that dude was relevant was last year, week one.
00:21:36
Baker
I mean, here's the thing. I'm not disagreeing with that concept, but if there's a chance in which we're going to get there, we saw Austin Hooper getting targets in this Patriots offense last week, though it didn't turn into anything.
00:21:51
Baker
I think that would would it be surprising to us if we saw Isaiah likely have three catches for 50 yards in the touchdown at his price tag on a short slate? um If Mark Andrews completely bust, which I'm not saying that that's going to happen, you're pushing yourself ahead.
00:22:09
Baker
That's the thought process behind an Isaiah likely play, which I don't hate.
00:22:15
Chilly
The only reason why I would play likely is if you need to late swap. Because Mark Andrews is going to be easily 35 to 40% owned.
00:22:26
Chilly
So if you're behind, then you definitely need to go to likely.
00:22:30
Baker
And that's fair. And that's 100% fair. um I mean, i I start my build. like Once we get away from main stacks and you know what that that and what it is, my build starts with Derrick Henry Mark Andrews.
00:22:44
Baker
Let's be real about this.
00:22:46
Sully Shaheed
So you're saying that Derrick Henry is the mac and cheese of the Thanksgiving slate.
00:22:46
Baker
And Derrick Henry is my mac and cheese, he's your mac and cheese, and he chills turkey gravy.
00:22:51
Sully Shaheed
Is that what you're saying?
00:22:52
Chilly
think that's what America is saying.
00:23:01
Sully Shaheed
The chalk.
00:23:02
Chilly
Okay.
00:23:04
Baker
Like, you play it and you move the fuck along. If you if you're if you're behind and you need to come off and you need to go somewhere else, I pray you good morrow. um I hope you move off of it in the 2 o'clock, or the um the second game, the cowboys ah the Cowboys game, versus moving off of it in the later game, because I don't really think Chase Brown's going get you there, in my humble opinion.
00:23:25
Chilly
I think chase brown chase Chase Brown, I think, is the worst chalk on the slate.
00:23:25
Baker
But if you choose to move off the 2 o'clock,
00:23:31
Baker
I mean, Chase Brown's been the worst chalk of the last, you know, two to three weeks. And he, like...
00:23:35
Chilly
No, past two to three weeks, he's been good, but Samadjay Pirine is back tomorrow.
00:23:41
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, the usage didn't.
00:23:42
Baker
Yeah, I'm... I'm still not... I still don't think he's been a good chalk, though, even with P. Ryan out. Yeah.
00:23:49
Chilly
he he's He gets there because they get down and Joe Flacco literally will just check down, check down, check down, check down.
00:23:58
Baker
If that's the concept, he's still good chalk then.
00:24:01
Chilly
Not with P.
00:24:01
Baker
Because like...
00:24:01
Chilly
Ryan because P. Ryan is going to take all of the third long work.
00:24:07
Baker
I don't think he's going to take all of it.
00:24:09
Chilly
I think he'll take most of it because that's how it was before he got injured. And actually, if you go back to watch their case, Samaj P. Ryan was actually the better was the better runner of the two.
00:24:22
Chilly
In my opinion, at least.
00:24:24
Sully Shaheed
I guess we can move over to the Cincinnati side of the ball since we're here. No T Higgins this week. So we have TJ Hushimazod filling in.
00:24:34
Chilly
Oh.
00:24:35
Sully Shaheed
um You know, John Ross will be in the slot and Chad Johnson is going alongside with Jamar Chase. So um how do you guys feel about Akili Smith and the Cincinnati Bengals this week?
00:24:47
Chilly
I'm more of an Adam Pac-Man.
00:24:47
Baker
Give me Rudy Johnson.
00:24:49
Chilly
I'm more Adam Pac-Man Jones.
00:24:50
Baker
Give me
00:24:53
Baker
Give me.
00:24:53
Sully Shaheed
Not Pac, man.
00:24:53
Baker
Give me all the Rudy Johnson. Give me all the Carson Palmer. Like, like, come on, man.
00:25:00
Baker
But seriously, i will. I will take.
00:25:00
Chilly
I'm kind of interested in Chris
00:25:03
Chilly
I'm kind of interested in Chris Henry.
00:25:04
Baker
ahead, Joe.
00:25:07
Sully Shaheed
Ah, yes, yes. Chris Henry is pretty, pretty solid. Uh-huh, uh-huh.
00:25:13
Baker
But no, honestly, give me all give me all the Jose Brose.
00:25:14
Sully Shaheed
i mean...
00:25:16
Baker
Like, we've seen over the last two years, we've seen what this matchup does. Jose Brose and Jamar Chase nuke, absolutely nuke this slate every single time they played the Baltimore Ravens.
00:25:31
Chilly
<unk> Baker, I do i got ah got one key thing for you. It's going to change your whole outlook. You understand this.
00:25:38
Baker
I doubt it.
00:25:39
Chilly
you You understand this because we were both we were both born close to water.
00:25:39
Baker
I doubt it.
00:25:45
Baker
Okay.
00:25:46
Chilly
um One of these quarterbacks in this game was born next to water, and one wasn't.
00:25:52
Sully Shaheed
Oh boy.
00:25:54
Chilly
yeah
00:25:54
Sully Shaheed
Oh boy.
00:25:57
Baker
Hold on. The Ohio River is near water. Okay. Just so just so we throw it out there.
00:26:00
Chilly
joe burro Joe Burrow was not born in Ohio per Wikipedia.
00:26:06
Baker
could have sworn he was born in Cincinnati.
00:26:09
Chilly
um Per Wikipedia, that man was born in Iowa. Ames, Iowa.
00:26:15
Baker
That's not near water.
00:26:17
Baker
That is not near water, no.
00:26:17
Chilly
It is not.
00:26:18
Chilly
It is not.
00:26:19
Baker
No. I don't give fuck what we're talking about Iowa.
00:26:19
Chilly
um
00:26:20
Sully Shaheed
It's not.
00:26:21
Baker
Yes.
00:26:22
Chilly
ah Now, Lamar Jackson was born in Pompano Beach, Florida. So it's kind of in the name.
00:26:31
Baker
Yes.
00:26:32
Chilly
So
00:26:34
Baker
Near water.
00:26:34
Chilly
okay deal with that information, which you will.
00:26:39
Sully Shaheed
I'm under the assumption he was born near water.
00:26:41
Baker
near war
00:26:42
Chilly
But continue.
00:26:45
Chilly
but continue
00:26:45
Baker
I think Joe Burrow might be, he might be the exception.
00:26:45
Sully Shaheed
So Baker, has that changed your perspective?
00:26:51
Baker
Because Sully's not the exception. Not a chance at hell.
00:26:53
Sully Shaheed
Shut shut up
00:26:56
Baker
Joe Burrow may be the exception of people not born near water who may be exceptional. He might be because he like like like all jokes aside, every time he's played the Baltimore Ravens over the last two years, he is absolutely positively nuked, destroyed, fucked in every sink in every single hole you can possibly imagine this Baltimore defense, whether they were ranked good, bad, or indifferent. He has fucked this Baltimore team.
00:27:25
Baker
So you mean to tell me we now have Jose Brose with no T Higgins, with Jamar Chase, his best friend, his boner boy, his number one go to. And like, we're not going to Jose Brose.
00:27:38
Baker
What?
00:27:39
Chilly
Are we worried about that it's his first game from injury?
00:27:42
Baker
No, no, not even a little bit.
00:27:46
Sully Shaheed
It bothers me a little bit, but I think I'm okay with it.
00:27:48
Baker
And because it bothers you, it might bother other people, which means his ownership is down, which means I'm all the way up.
00:27:49
Chilly
mean...
00:27:57
Chilly
So, I mean, the way I'm looking at the ownership right now for Burrow, he's basically the third... ah he's He's basically fourth in terms of ownership. He's only higher than Love and Goff.
00:28:13
Chilly
So the himment him at him and Dak Prescott are at the same ownership.
00:28:13
Sully Shaheed
That's fair.
00:28:13
Baker
So you mean to tell you mean to tell me one v one versus love or golf?
00:28:22
Chilly
But no, Love is going to be way way less owned than Burrow. And then Goff is the lowest QB on the slate.
00:28:30
Chilly
Burrow is...
00:28:30
Sully Shaheed
And listen, without the without ah T. Higgins this week, we have to fill in the other second the other secondary wide receiver slot. um We saw Yoshivas out there last week. But what I was most impressed with was full name Mitchell Anthony Robert Tinsley, who, if you didn't see his touchdown catch last week, was...
00:28:50
Sully Shaheed
dunking on one of the premier corners in the NFL in Christian Gonzalez. So if we have any confidence that he may be able to fill in just a little bit for T Higglesby, I think he could be a very cheap piece to get into this game.
00:29:03
Baker
Thank
00:29:06
Sully Shaheed
And that's, I would say, with your Jerobozo stack so you can add on to see as some of these other premier guys. But yeah, I think think Mitchell Tinsley, hell, he might even...
00:29:17
Sully Shaheed
He might even be chalky. I don't know, but it is a cheap way to get in the game.
00:29:20
Chilly
So, if again here, just based on what I'm seeing, on DraftKings, he's got little to no ownership, roughly about 5%. FanDuel, he's got ownership.
00:29:35
Sully Shaheed
He's probably because the men. 4,500 for position players,
00:29:37
Chilly
he is ah one hundred dollars is is the men four k andfado
00:29:43
Sully Shaheed
4K for tight ends.
00:29:47
Chilly
Okay, I mean, I don't know if ETR is just wrong, but they they they they have his salary at $4,100 on FanDuel, but he's probably the man.
00:29:56
Sully Shaheed
Holy moly. Holy moly. They might have adjusted it. ah Well, all right then.
00:30:01
Chilly
Yeah.
00:30:02
Sully Shaheed
Well, that was the takes for the Thanksgiving slate. Make sure you listen to part one about our takes about food for the slate.
00:30:08
Chilly
Oh.
00:30:10
Chilly
Can I give my two?
00:30:10
Sully Shaheed
Go on.
00:30:11
Chilly
So we mentioned to Tinsley. The two kind of off-the-wall plays, if you want to do it, they're gross. One would be Keaton Mitchell um because this Cincinnati defense is absolutely terrible against the run.
00:30:25
Chilly
ah And Baltimore likes to sub out Derrick Henry at random times.
00:30:30
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, that that's true.
00:30:30
Chilly
So... So Mitchell um and then Rashad Bateman. All he really needs to do for you is get one big reception for a touchdown.
00:30:41
Chilly
And that's probably enough to get you to where you need to go.
00:30:46
Sully Shaheed
Well, gentlemen, I think it's time. Since it's a short slate, we're going to do a short parlay. We're going to three-man parlay here for the hot 10, but your parlay pick has to be a gross play.
00:30:57
Sully Shaheed
So we're going to make a gross three-man parlay to turn this $10 into something
Thanksgiving Parlay Picks and Predictions
00:31:03
Sully Shaheed
special tomorrow. So you already know I'm taking Keaton Mitchell.
00:31:09
Chilly
Hold on. um ah I'm going to put this in. You're taking Keaton Mitchell?
00:31:14
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I'm to take Mr.
00:31:14
Baker
Because it has to be gross.
00:31:15
Baker
Give me a minute. Give me a minute.
00:31:15
Sully Shaheed
Mitchell.
00:31:17
Sully Shaheed
I'm sorry, Mitchell Tinsley.
00:31:17
Baker
That's good.
00:31:19
Sully Shaheed
Mitchell Tinsley, you can take Keaton Mitchell if you like. i don't want I don't want to.
00:31:21
Chilly
Oh, you're taking you're taking ti you're taking Tinsley. Okay, that's fine.
00:31:24
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I'm take Tinsley on this one. Even though I might throw Keaton in just to do it.
00:31:26
Chilly
Alright.
00:31:28
Sully Shaheed
okay
00:31:29
Chilly
Right now, you're currently ah
00:31:32
Chilly
roboting it.
00:31:33
Sully Shaheed
Such is life. Such is life. Such is life.
00:31:39
Sully Shaheed
Baker, hit me with something gross, man.
00:31:42
Baker
I'm thinking of something gross. i I'm trying to get there. like Something gross? Oh, man.
00:31:46
Sully Shaheed
Uh-huh. Mm-hmm. Mm-hmm.
00:31:48
Chilly
Well, I'll give you...
00:31:48
Baker
is hollywood brown Is Hollywood Brown gross enough for you?
00:31:48
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm.
00:31:51
Chilly
Yeah.
00:31:53
Sully Shaheed
oh Yeah.
00:31:54
Chilly
Yeah.
00:31:55
Baker
Yeah?
00:31:55
Chilly
ah Yeah.
00:31:57
Baker
Hollywood!
00:32:01
Chilly
Dude, this parlay is going to kind of...
00:32:02
Baker
Hollywood Peppin'.
00:32:03
Chilly
it this If this this is the parlay we need to hit, this one's going to kind of slap.
00:32:09
Sully Shaheed
Without putting in third person.
00:32:09
Chilly
Yeah.
00:32:10
Sully Shaheed
Boy.
00:32:12
Chilly
a Mine's going to be Rashad Bateman.
00:32:16
Baker
Master Bateman.
00:32:19
Sully Shaheed
oh boy probably he's about to cook
00:32:23
Baker
Well, once again, like I said off air, Sully, we need, me and Chill, the guys who are born near water need you. to carry your weight on these parleys like i did I may not be on Friday's show. I'll be in Napa enjoying some fine wine.
00:32:40
Baker
it's it's It's very debatable whether I'll be on Friday's show. But I'm going to put it out there. Y'all will know my picks. And I'll text them in the group. Sully, we need you to carry your weight.
00:32:51
Baker
We need you to carry your weight. Because me and Chill was dancing last week. We was over here saucing, dancing, and everything. And then Sully over here with fucking punk-ass Alvin Kamara.
00:33:01
Sully Shaheed
It's been a rough week, okay?
00:33:01
Baker
Punk-ass Alvin Kamara.
00:33:08
Sully Shaheed
Give me a break. Okay.
00:33:09
Chilly
Listen, hey, listen. out Listen, a lot of people played Alvin Kamara. Again, another thing that helped me in afternoon only, i faded old Alvin Kamara.
00:33:23
Chilly
And I got lucky.
00:33:25
Sully Shaheed
Because you're smart.
00:33:26
Baker
Industry talked up Alvin Kamara. The easiest fade of my entire DFS life was Alvin, Harold, and Kamara.
00:33:29
Chilly
Oh, boy. He was. He was knocked out.
00:33:38
Baker
I said you couldn't pay me. Sully, I told Zach on Sunday, I'm like, bro, you can send me $100 right now to put together a lineup. I promise you, I'm not putting Alvin Kamara in that lineup. I don't give a
00:33:52
Sully Shaheed
Well, that's for when we rant about the main slate this Thanksgiving. Let's wrap it up. Chili, hit me with some bullets. We can get on up out of
00:34:01
Chilly
Let's go something bold here. ah You know what? Give me... you know what? I think it'll be a very Jerry Thanksgiving. Give me the Cowboys to upset the Kansas City chefs to keep their playoff hopes alive.
00:34:24
Sully Shaheed
I like it! I like it, Baker Bolt!
00:34:28
Baker
So we saw Joe Flacco absolutely target the living shit out of Jamar Chase. He targeted that man 23 games in that game versus Pittsburgh.
00:34:39
Baker
The first game versus Pittsburgh, at least.
00:34:40
Sully Shaheed
Mm-hmm. 30!
00:34:42
Baker
Jose Brose is about to say, hold my beer. Jamar Chase gets 30 targets. 30 targets.
00:34:52
Baker
targets He flirts with breaking the single game reception record of 21 catches in a single game.
00:35:03
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
00:35:05
Baker
And he scores two touchdowns.
00:35:07
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
00:35:08
Chilly
and It'll be a little hard for him to break that with Terrell Owens out there.
00:35:08
Sully Shaheed
um
00:35:17
Chilly
You think a lot of people if think you think allowed people forget that T.O.
00:35:17
Baker
You know what? Taking my earpieces out. done. I'm out here.
00:35:22
Chilly
was Bengals wide receiver?
00:35:27
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for all of this. All of it. um um I'm here for this.
00:35:31
Baker
I hate you people.
00:35:31
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for this.
00:35:33
Baker
I hate you people. hate you.
00:35:37
Sully Shaheed
Oh, man, something bold. Wow. I really want to leech off that Cowboys thing because I like that call. Holy crap. um Wow. Wow. That was, yeah, that was good.
00:35:48
Sully Shaheed
That was good. um i think I think you're going to have everybody get pissed off at the Ravens tomorrow as three different random receivers, or sorry, three different random players will be scoring touchdowns for the Ravens.
00:36:03
Sully Shaheed
Likely Mitchell Bateman all get in the end zone for the Ravens tomorrow and all Derek Henry owners will be pissed off.
00:36:13
Chilly
That's, he definitely would have to go put a dollar on that for a parlay.
00:36:18
Sully Shaheed
Oh, act like I won't.
00:36:18
Baker
old words.
00:36:19
Sully Shaheed
Oh yeah. I'll throw a, I'll throw a hot five on that and call it a motherfucking day. hot five. But like I said, be sure to go back on the first part to listen to the food takes. These have been the football takes.
00:36:33
Sully Shaheed
Of course, have a happy and safe Thanksgiving with all your friends, loved ones, whatever you're doing for the day. Or if you're going be like me, sitting on that couch in the den doing absolutely nothing but watching football, I've been your boy Sully.
00:36:48
Sully Shaheed
For Baker, for Chill, this has been the DFS Deli. We're going to get enclosed up the shop. And of course, see you all at the top. Peace.