Podcast Returns: Playoffs & DFS Insights
00:00:01
Sully Shaheed
After several week long hiatus, we are back here in the deli to break down everything that happened from weeks one through 18 leading up into this weekend's playoff matchups as we send you home with one or two more DFS take shows.
00:00:16
Sully Shaheed
I'm joined tonight, of course, by one of my best friends, Chili. We're going to go ahead and turn on those open signs, pull out the menu of of playoff games this weekend and get right into it as we welcome you in into the show.
00:00:30
Sully Shaheed
DFS Deli. Let's get it.
00:00:52
Sully Shaheed
And welcome in to the DFS Deli. I, of course, am the proprietor of this delicatessen, Saleh Ali Shahid.
Saleh's Absence: Life & Illness
00:00:57
Sully Shaheed
And it has been a long couple weeks. Had to take a break. I got sick.
00:01:03
Sully Shaheed
I'm recovering from another sickness. So excuse me if you hear some sniffling. I apologize. But I'm just now getting over this last cold. And kids, life, things happen. But I had to talk some playoffs. Had to had to break down every...
00:01:19
Sully Shaheed
coaching, firing, and changes within the NFL that we have going on. So welcome back in to the DFS Deli. Chili, welcome back to work. ah thanks for Thanks for coming off your vacation for a few weeks to join me. It's good to have you back. How's everything going?
00:01:35
Chilly
Yeah, man, everything's going good. Um, obviously the season's over, um, you know, we're starting the the second season, so to speak.
NFL Coaching Changes: Impact & Speculations
00:01:44
Chilly
So, uh, you know, just, you know, taking a look here, we got like a lot of news, a lot of coaches fired. i think we got like seven or eight positions open.
00:01:53
Chilly
Um, some big coaches fired. Um, a couple of coaches can actually get fired over this weekend, I think as well. So, um, it's, it's going to be an interesting 48 hours coming up here.
Miami Hurricanes in National Championship
00:02:09
Chilly
Also. And then, and then also, uh, I know what pains Baker, uh, but my Miami hurricanes are in the national championship game. I am not getting right.
00:02:19
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, they are.
00:02:20
Chilly
I am not going to say the U is back, uh, I do you believe they would need to win a national title for that. The last time I checked, in Indiana was absolutely slaughtering Oregon.
00:02:32
Chilly
I think it 35-7 at the half. So it looks like we're going to get Miami versus Indiana at the Hard Rock at Miami's home field. So go Canes.
00:02:44
Sully Shaheed
The U is back.
00:02:48
Sully Shaheed
Congratulations on that. I know it's always good to have a college team of, you know, there are teams in general that you're rooting for
Buffalo Bills Playoff Hopes
00:02:54
Sully Shaheed
succeed. So, I mean, speaking of teams that we root for, you know, oh not in your case, but in my case.
00:02:59
Sully Shaheed
we will get into talking about the Buffalo Bills playing this weekend and see if ah Josh Allen can overcome the demons of the playoffs and actually take down a Super Bowl this year, even a Super Bowl appearance, whatever the case is. But um before we get into that, we have to, I got to ask you a few questions from, you know, DFS land and and the season as a whole.
Chili's DFS Season Success
00:03:22
Sully Shaheed
How did 2025, 2026 season treat you in these dfs streets?
00:03:28
Chilly
Yeah, the 2025 season for me...
00:03:33
Chilly
was really good. It was probably my best season to date. um You know, we took down a couple of GPPs. I got second. um So it was honestly super profitable for me. Long story short. um Wasn't too many weeks where I zeroed out, ah which is good.
00:03:55
Chilly
So yeah, man, 2025 was good. And hopefully we can work on that going into 2026.
00:04:05
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I mean, but there are a few short slates to go. So, you know, anybody still wants stay in DFS streets, you can, as we're going to go game by game, position by position, breaking down the favorite plays and how we should play these short slates.
00:04:18
Sully Shaheed
But I would say for DFS wise, um I mean, I was positive on the year. You know, it wasn't like any big takedowns, but we were consistent. You know, we were consistently hitting cut lines in tournaments. um i think i I think, no, I know I only deposited once and that was in week one. So, I mean, they got the initial money. I got my money out.
00:04:39
Sully Shaheed
And we we were
Saleh's Fantasy Football Championship
00:04:41
Sully Shaheed
cooking up. You know I'm saying? So, I can't say it was. I mean, it was a disappointment to not take down a tournament. But at the same time, like, we had several close calls. We had some runs. We had one. We had two sweats this year. So, I mean, like, I'm i'm happy. You know, I'm happy about it. And in the world of fantasy football, regular fantasy football, your boy is a two-time champ.
00:05:04
Sully Shaheed
In our main league, this guy, not one, not two, but three championships. Yes, brought it home. Actually, Derrick Henry brought it home. So, you know, we got one more. We got one more for that.
00:05:19
Sully Shaheed
You know, just said taking down our former, or not former, but current deli mate Baker, who finished in dead last. He has to face the punishment of the league.
00:05:30
Sully Shaheed
Yes, it's going to be great. It's going to be great, man.
00:05:34
Chilly
who is ah Who is deciding Baker's fate for the punishment?
00:05:38
Sully Shaheed
That would be AJ.
00:05:41
Chilly
Oh, I almost lost my mic there.
00:05:43
Sully Shaheed
Oh, don't drop the mic.
00:05:45
Chilly
No, no, no, no, no. nope No, no dropping the mic there.
00:05:49
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, AJ. AJ has decided his punishment. He's got some good cooking, so I'm pretty excited. Pretty excited.
Unpredictable NFL Season
00:05:56
Sully Shaheed
Joe, what was your biggest surprise of the season? Was it a team? Was it a player? What what do you think your biggest surprise was?
00:06:05
Chilly
I mean, I think this season as a whole was surprising, right? um i mean, if you take a look at the playoffs, you could probably, you could poke holes in like all the teams, right? Normally it's like, Hey, we know the ASU championship game is this team versus this team.
00:06:25
Chilly
um I mean, it was just a lot of like, it was, it was just really interesting, man. Like I don't think double stacking two wide receivers was very successful this year.
00:06:36
Chilly
um I mean, cheap tight end, always double tight end seemed the more, more ish way to go more often than not.
00:06:46
Sully Shaheed
or optimal.
00:06:46
Chilly
Um, yeah, I mean like, so it was just, I mean, i think the chalk was always pretty chalky.
00:06:47
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. Yeah.
00:06:57
Chilly
Um, yeah it was It was a weird year. it was just a weird year.
00:07:04
Sully Shaheed
The chalk slid this year.
00:07:05
Sully Shaheed
The chalk slapped this year. Like, in other years, we could get contrarian and be really happy about it.
00:07:11
Sully Shaheed
But, like, this year, if you didn't play the chalk, you were you're losing. I mean, like, it was hard to win without some of the chalkier pieces on the slates.
00:07:20
Chilly
Yeah, and i and I agree with that a thousand percent. Yeah. You know, and like, obviously a lot of offenses struggled. You know, Philadelphia's ah offense was a struggle. um If you wanted to.
00:07:31
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, after, like, week five, they were ass-ass.
00:07:33
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, if you wanted to do stuff with the Rams, you couldn't double stack. um I mean, you're
Broncos' Season Analysis
00:07:40
Chilly
taking a look at the bills.
00:07:41
Sully Shaheed
Right. Right.
00:07:43
Chilly
Can't play Josh Allen with anybody. um i mean, if a lot of people were like yourself, nobody wanted to play Trevor Lawrence until it was too late. um Jacoby Brissett was a thing. ah I mean, it was just, I mean, the Broncos are the best team in the AFC, but it seemed to not be fantasy relevant or, you know, relevant at all.
00:08:09
Chilly
So, you know, Joe Burrow got hurt.
00:08:13
Chilly
Lamar got hurt. Mahomes got hurt.
00:08:17
Sully Shaheed
We had, hey, listen, we had millionaire mini winning weeks from three different Giants quarterbacks, for Christ's sakes.
00:08:28
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, think about that.
00:08:33
Sully Shaheed
Oh, Russell Wilson in the Cowboys game.
00:08:34
Chilly
yeah That was week two?
00:08:37
Sully Shaheed
We thought we had something until we didn't.
00:08:43
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, something like that.
00:08:45
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but rollercoaster indeed in the DFS streets, man.
Coaching Losses & Future Moves
00:08:48
Sully Shaheed
But um we're going to get into it, man. We're going to talk about this weekend's games, give some predictions, give some hot takes. Everything is going to be on the menu tonight.
00:08:57
Sully Shaheed
But first, if you don't know what we do here on the DFS Daily, we have to raise the glass to the fallen. So please grab your beverage of choice, whether be water, pop,
00:09:09
Sully Shaheed
or an alcoholic beverage, wherever you're listening to in these podcast streets, make sure you raise the glass for the fallen as we remember you well.
00:09:20
Sully Shaheed
Mike McDaniels.
00:09:24
Sully Shaheed
John Harbaugh.
00:09:27
Sully Shaheed
Jonathan Gannon.
00:09:31
Sully Shaheed
One season Pete Carroll.
00:09:35
Sully Shaheed
Two-time coach of the year, Kevin Stefanski.
00:09:40
Sully Shaheed
And Raheem Morris. Honorable mention to Brian Dable, even though you lost your job early in the season, but still, you're part of the fallen as well. We all wish you success in your future endeavors.
00:09:52
Sully Shaheed
And wherever you land, land on your feet. To the fallen.
00:09:58
Chilly
You got any hot takes for coaches or what you would like to see happen?
00:10:06
Sully Shaheed
um I think... ah I was going to say with Cliff Kingsbury depart, like literally mutually separating ways um from the commies, I can see him as a Raven.
00:10:18
Sully Shaheed
I can see him as the Ravens head coach ah because inconspicuously Harbaugh gets fired right after Cliff Kingsbury says that he's out. So because remember, John Harbaugh didn't get fired on Black Monday.
00:10:29
Sully Shaheed
That happened. After the fact. So I can see him as a Raven. um But it really depends on what they want to do at QB. Because I mean, like, Lamar is aging. um He's not the Konami cheat code he used to be.
00:10:41
Sully Shaheed
And they've figured out that maybe Todd Monken isn't the guy there either. I mean, like, you know, that blind loyalty to that guy. um Even though I think he runs an efficient offense, but at the same time, like your head coach has to step in and say, Hey, here's what works.
00:10:54
Sully Shaheed
Maybe we should do that as opposed to, you know, ah going out and trotting out the hobble at Lamar Jackson. I mean, did you know, it's not his fault that he missed that kick at the end of the game, but at the same time, like you should have been that situation in the first place.
00:11:09
Sully Shaheed
Like, I don't know. It's, it's a lot.
00:11:11
Sully Shaheed
I'm also surprised that Zach Taylor didn't get fired.
00:11:14
Chilly
I think everybody's surprised.
00:11:15
Sully Shaheed
like Why does he still have a job?
00:11:17
Chilly
That's... Listen, the Bengals should fire Zach Taylor and go get John Harbaugh.
00:11:25
Chilly
I mean, that that's that's what should happen.
00:11:29
Sully Shaheed
I respect that. I respect that. I mean, like, he I know he's not taking interviews until after, what is it, after this week? Because he knows that the Steelers are about to lose. And, a spoiler, and Tomlin's probably going to get fired.
00:11:41
Sully Shaheed
So maybe he ends up as a Steeler.
Job Security in NFL Coaching
00:11:45
Chilly
I don't think, I don't think Harbaugh winds up as a stealer. Cause I think, I think, I think Tomlin is going to stay. um Even if they lose in the playoffs, I think the fact that he got them there is good enough for the Rooney family. Um,
00:12:02
Chilly
The Homer ism in me is saying ah Mike McDaniel was not getting fired until Harbaugh got fired. And um Harbaugh and Steven Ross, the owner, they go way back and like their families both like each other. And there's a lot of deep roots and ties. Yeah.
00:12:26
Chilly
Again, i don't know if he goes. ah He can literally go to the Ravens. who'll have He could use Tua for one year and then go draft his guy. um But it's certainly ah interesting because they were going to use McDaniel to look for their new GM, and then Harbaugh got fired, and then he got fired. And then, um you know, spoiler alert, they hired the Packers GM?
00:13:00
Sully Shaheed
Could. Yeah. up Shit. it's It's so much up in the air, man.
00:13:04
Chilly
So, I mean, we'll talk about the Packers-Bears game, but the rumor was if if the Bears win that game that Matt LaFleur could get fired.
00:13:16
Sully Shaheed
Yes, I did hear that. Yes. I did hear that. I mean, that yeah, like you said, there could be more vacancies right after the playoffs. So these next 48 hours could be very indicative on whether people keep their jobs or get the boot.
00:13:29
Sully Shaheed
So, um yeah, I'm here for it.
00:13:29
Chilly
i think i i think I think there are three coaches who, if they lose, could get fired. I got three.
00:13:41
Sully Shaheed
Go on. Well, Tomlin, LaFleur.
00:13:44
Chilly
So you think Tomlin. I think Tomlin is safe.
00:13:46
Sully Shaheed
think Tomlin.
00:13:48
Chilly
So um I think, yeah, I don't think Pittsburgh will – I don't think that's their style.
00:13:55
Chilly
du how many How many times have we seen this team?
00:13:55
Sully Shaheed
I didn't do David's style either. And then 18th season then. Bye.
00:14:00
Chilly
Well, but well right there was there was a couple people early on in the season saying Harbaugh and Lamar just were not getting along.
00:14:11
Chilly
And ah Lamar is going to be up for another contract extension. And if it were up to Harbaugh, he wouldn't have paid him. so
00:14:20
Sully Shaheed
No, no, no.
00:14:21
Chilly
it's topline So the franchise chose Lamar over Harbaugh, which, you know what, after 18 years, you just need a new voice. um So I think LeFleur, if the Packers lose, ah I think i Bill's head coach, Sean McDermott, if they lose.
00:14:43
Sully Shaheed
Not McDerms, no!
00:14:47
Chilly
And then... um Nick Sirianni.
00:14:52
Sully Shaheed
Nick Sirianni, the season after a Super Bowl victory, you think he's gone?
00:14:56
Chilly
Yeah, because the Eagles do crazy shit. So what if the Eagles fire Sirianni and just go hire Harbaugh? Because Harbaugh is a better coach.
00:15:06
Chilly
Is it an upgrade from Sirianni to Harbaugh?
00:15:10
Sully Shaheed
You would think.
00:15:12
Chilly
I would think so too.
00:15:12
Sully Shaheed
You would think.
00:15:13
Chilly
And they have like the most aggressive GM and owner in the league. And that's what somebody was pitching as an idea. Although, I do you know my i know where Mike McDaniel should go as a coordinator.
00:15:29
Chilly
ah The Lions. He should be Dan Campbell's offensive coordinator.
00:15:34
Chilly
You give up Mike McDaniels...
00:15:34
Sully Shaheed
That would be kind of be kind of hot. A
00:15:36
Chilly
Mike McDaniel with Gibbs. my I don't know Montgomery's coming back, but you give them Gibbs, Goff, Amon Ross, A. Brown. Sheesh.
00:15:46
Sully Shaheed
little Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta coming back.
00:15:49
Chilly
Yeah. Let that little nerd coach up the offense.
00:15:51
Sully Shaheed
I mean, we might well do it proper. Hold on.
00:15:59
Sully Shaheed
and so That's a fair take. I like that. Who do you think has the best coaching situation? like who what What's the best job available?
00:16:05
Chilly
Oh. Baltimore. You haven't.
00:16:09
Sully Shaheed
You think so?
00:16:09
Chilly
yeah Yeah, because you have um you have the Ravens culture, so you don't have to build a culture there. And you do have a two time NFL MVP, regardless of how you feel about Lamar.
00:16:24
Chilly
He is a two time NFL MVP. You still have Derrick Henry. You still got some pieces there. the defense will probably be better. You know, unless the Bills job becomes available.
00:16:37
Chilly
But even if you look at the Bills job, it's like you got Josh Allen, but man, the rest of that offense sucks.
00:16:43
Chilly
And if the Bills lose, it's going to be the defense's fault.
00:16:48
Sully Shaheed
I mean, it's been the defense's fault for several years now, sir.
00:16:55
Sully Shaheed
I don't know. I like McDermott. I hope he doesn't go anywhere regardless of the outcome this year. But, you know, we'll well definitely. It's enough to be seen. That's for sure.
00:17:02
Chilly
Yeah, like, I just don't see if if the Bills don't make it to the Super Bowl ah because of the field that they're in.
00:17:13
Chilly
I mean, i don't see how he makes it out. Maybe if they lose in the championship game, but like if the we'll get to the games here, but if they lose to Jacksonville, it's like, really?
Bills vs Jaguars Playoff Concerns
00:17:27
Chilly
um Although, again, i got a hot take for that game, but ah Or it's like if they go to you know, heaven forbid they lose to the Patriots or the Broncos, you know, it's like, really, really?
00:17:41
Chilly
That's you couldn't get over that hurdle. Like, although both again, well, the Denver Denver's defense is quite good, but, you know, what well we'll cover what we need to cover.
00:17:54
Sully Shaheed
Denver's defense is quite good, but they are on a bye, so we don't have to talk about Z's and the Broncos today.
Rams vs Panthers Playoff Prediction
00:18:00
Sully Shaheed
But what we can talk about is the first game on the docket for tomorrow.
00:18:06
Sully Shaheed
Rams. NFC South representative. Probably should have been the Saints because they were the best team in that division. But I digress. ah her ah The Rams are 10.5-point favorites against the Carolina Panthers. But the Carolina Panthers have also defeated the ah the Rams earlier in the season. So could we see a repeat?
00:18:29
Sully Shaheed
Could we see just the Rams doing what they should do and defeat the Carolina Panthers? What what do we think about this game?
00:18:38
Chilly
I think this is going to be the one game that's a massive blowout. I don't, I think the Rams go.
00:18:48
Chilly
Yeah. I think this is a blowout.
00:18:51
Sully Shaheed
okay. Okay.
00:18:52
Chilly
I, I, yeah, I, this, um in that first game that the Panthers kind of barely, barely won, you know, the the Rams had a lot of turnovers and,
00:18:52
Sully Shaheed
Tell me reasons why.
00:19:07
Chilly
ah Stafford didn't play particularly well. um I think they're going to go into Carolina. There will be a more of a respect level. um I think the Rams are going to take away that Carolina run game. Is going to make Bryce Young beat them?
00:19:23
Chilly
I don't see how it happens. ah Panthers are kind of in by default. um Low key, and I would have to double check this. um Do you remember if the Falcons lost to the Jets?
00:19:38
Sully Shaheed
The Falcons did lose to the Jets, yes.
00:19:40
Chilly
Yeah, so can you imagine if they beat the Jets, they would have been the NFC South representative?
00:19:46
Sully Shaheed
No, because it's the NFC South. I mean, they all those teams are atrocious. I mean,
00:19:51
Chilly
They would have been nine. They at least would have been nine and eight. But, listen, I mean, but again, I digress.
00:19:54
Sully Shaheed
yeah at least it would have been over 500, right? like
00:19:59
Chilly
Falcons are out. You know, they technically tied for first, but they were third and whatever the case may be
00:20:04
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, all this other tiebreaker bullshit. Yeah, I got it.
00:20:07
Chilly
Yeah, I think this is a blowout here. i think the Rams go to Carolina. they this they get ah they get on with their lives and and they get out of there. So I don't think this game is close.
00:20:19
Chilly
Again, 10 points, 17 points, 13 points. I see Rams by double digits here.
00:20:27
Sully Shaheed
I agree only because of what happened in the initial Rams Panthers game. Like if anybody so took the time out to watch that game, it was literally fourth and years and yellow ball fourth in whatever yellow ball, touchdown, yellow ball, touchdown. Like,
00:20:46
Sully Shaheed
You can't count on that all the time, Bryce Young. So if we get down to earth, Devontae Adams, of course, start should be returning for the Rams tomorrow. um Yes, I think they cover this 10.5 easily. um And just like, you know, in the in the DFS portion of it, they're still hard to stack. Like, Puka plus Devontae plus Matt Stafford is still extremely hard to stack.
00:21:10
Sully Shaheed
But... In a short slate, you can get away with onslaughts. So we saw what every tight end for the Rams did last week. We saw the return of Tyler Higby, which is another key piece their offense.
00:21:21
Sully Shaheed
um Like I said, Devontae Adams should be back. If you want to play the short slate with the two gamers, I think that the Rams onslaught is probably going to be the way to go. Even though it's going to cost you an arm and a leg, you can fit it because there's only a two game slate.
00:21:35
Sully Shaheed
So I think that i think that's going to be the way to go if you're building lineups for Saturday only. Now, if you're going to take lineups and into the whole weekend, then we can talk a little bit. But for the short slate for the two gamer. Yeah, I'm i'm going every every Ram you could fit, including the tight ends.
00:21:53
Sully Shaheed
Just do that.
00:21:54
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, I was kind of playing around with lineups a little bit earlier today. um If you want to make the onslaught fit, at least on like FanDuel, you can just play Blake Corum and he makes it all fit.
00:22:07
Sully Shaheed
And there's nothing wrong with the play of Blake Corum. I think he's a really good running back.
00:22:11
Chilly
Yeah, I think on FanDuel, he's only like 58 5600. fifty six hundred
00:22:17
Sully Shaheed
yeah What are they doing?
00:22:19
Chilly
Yeah, I think Kyron was like 8K if you're doing like the two-game slate.
00:22:25
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, at that at that point, Kyron's probably unplayable um because you could probably get the same exact production from Blake Corum. like There's no difference between the guys.
00:22:35
Chilly
i know but I know Blake Corum's coming in on the goal line at least once.
00:22:41
Sully Shaheed
Oh, without question. Without question. So, yeah, I'm not a big fan of Carolina in this one.
00:22:46
Sully Shaheed
I think i think we're on the same wavelength. I think they get smacked. And I think that 10 1⁄2 is an easy cover. Yeah. so Anything else, anything fun nuggets we have to say about this game before we move to the nightcap of Saturday?
00:23:00
Chilly
I mean, i guess a shout-out to Carolina for making the playoffs, right? I mean, like, whether...
00:23:09
Sully Shaheed
the The NFC South should be annexed from from the fucking playoffs. Like, just give you what you just give me I don't care.
00:23:19
Sully Shaheed
i don't I don't care at this point.
00:23:21
Chilly
I mean, listen, I get it, but at least your team made the playoffs, right? If you're a Panthers fan, like if you're, brand i mean, if the Browns or Bills made it into the playoffs at like eight, nine, you're like, you know what?
00:23:34
Sully Shaheed
We're here.
00:23:36
Sully Shaheed
We're here. Yeah, you just need tickets to the dance. I guess you're right. I guess you're right.
00:23:43
Chilly
Although that means the Panthers are playing a first place schedule next year.
00:23:48
Sully Shaheed
Yes, they are. And whatever their win total is, take the under.
00:23:53
Chilly
It's not going to be good.
00:23:55
Sully Shaheed
Because the Saints are winning that division next year, chill. Book it.
00:24:01
Chilly
is he going to be the most, are they going to be the most draft team in best ball?
00:24:07
Sully Shaheed
The Saints?
00:24:09
Sully Shaheed
Oh, I can see that. I can see it.
00:24:12
Chilly
Especially if they, especially if they go draft a running back with their first round pick.
00:24:18
Sully Shaheed
It's funny because like on the other podcast that I that i ah guested or guest sometimes on, my buddy Jimmy and ah and Evan on the Broken Legs podcast, make sure you check them out, No Broken Legs. um I actually predicted the Panthers to win the division this year.
00:24:32
Chilly
Good for you. Did you bet that future?
00:24:34
Sully Shaheed
Got it right.
00:24:35
Chilly
Should have bet the future.
00:24:37
Sully Shaheed
I did it! I did it! did it! I did it! I should put my money where my mouth was, man. You're 100% right, and I apologize.
00:24:46
Chilly
could have threw what we call a hot tip.
00:24:49
Sully Shaheed
The hottest of ten s ah Let's talk about it. I would say one of the more intriguing matchups of the weekend with the Bears hosting the Packers.
Bears vs Packers Playoff Preview
00:25:01
Sully Shaheed
ah The Packers are actually favored by one and a half.
00:25:07
Sully Shaheed
Division rivals. They know each other like the back of their hands. Big rivalry game. I'm glad they put it on the nightcap because it should be good. um I got a feeling that Caleb Williams ain't ready, dog.
00:25:22
Sully Shaheed
I don't think he's ready.
00:25:23
Chilly
I mean, their offense has not looked good the past, like, last two or three weeks. um They're actually quite lucky that Philadelphia rested their starters. ah Because if Philadelphia starts their starters, Philly would have been the two seed.
00:25:41
Chilly
And they would have avoided the NFC West. um Man, it would have been a lot cooler to get Bears 49ers again. But I digress. um Yeah, I don't know, man.
00:25:54
Chilly
What version of Jordan love shows up? Although the last time we did see this Packers defense out on the field, ah they were getting shit on in the run game. So Ben Johnson ain't no dummy.
00:26:11
Sully Shaheed
Ben Johnson will pound the pill with Kyle Momongai and Swift. So, I mean, yeah, I think that if they can establish a run, um they should be in a winning position. But at the same time, you know, the Packers want to do the exact same thing. um You know, to your comment about which version of Jordan Love do we get, I think we get the version that ah has their backup quarterback that's probably better than him. Yeah.
00:26:38
Sully Shaheed
I'm just saying, man, that dude do not lose. Like he is a good NFL quarterback. I hope someone pays him next year. i hope he gets the bag and gets an opportunity for some team next year.
00:26:49
Sully Shaheed
But Jordan Love is their franchise quarterback.
00:26:50
Chilly
I think he can get
00:26:54
Chilly
Malik Willis can get one year, 10 mil to start.
00:26:58
Sully Shaheed
I agree. 100% agree. I think Malik Willis is a good quarterback. But at the same time, Jordan Love has shown MVP flashes. And straight dog shit flashes. So it's like, I think that with his weapons, he should be okay.
00:27:17
Sully Shaheed
But at the same time, like the Packers run through the ground, just like the bears run through the ground. Like, On the opposite side, without um Michael Parsons to pressure Caleb Williams to actually get his ass on the ground, because we've seen Caleb Williams on the move is very deadly. And he should get Roma Doomsday back this game.
00:27:35
Sully Shaheed
So with Luthor Burden emerging and DJ Moore just being in you know a veteran presence or whatever, Colston Loveland had a solid rookie season. So they have the pieces in place.
00:27:46
Sully Shaheed
I think it's just... experience versus the inexperience in this one. And I'm going to take the Packers to cover. I think they win this game and cover the one and a half.
00:28:00
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, this boils down to if the Packers protect the football, because the Bears defense, number one in the league in turnovers.
00:28:11
Chilly
So, I mean, if you literally just avoid that, you should beat their defense pretty consistently.
00:28:19
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, but that doesn't mean like, and that's the thing though. That doesn't mean the Bears defense is good. They're just opportunistic. Like, that's it.
00:28:27
Chilly
But, you know, in the same light, if they're... Like, Jordan Love is like Jimmy Garoppolo. He's going to throw you the ball twice a game. Like, right to you. So, um this is tough.
00:28:44
Chilly
I don't like it, but I think the Packers win as well. I think this game comes down to a field goal. I think this is...
00:28:52
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Okay. Yeah.
00:28:54
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. I can see that. Yeah.
00:28:56
Chilly
I think this is whoever has the ball last and needs to score ends up winning the game.
00:29:03
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. And from a DFS standpoint, I think you got to go with what you feel is going to be the game script of, the game. So like if the bears can't establish the run, you're going to have to, you're going to have to consider Swift. You're going to have to consider him among guy. I think Colston Loveland is a solid choice that tight end. Luther Burton is still cheap.
00:29:20
Sully Shaheed
So he could emerge as a target that people want to gravitate to. And the other side, if you want to play the old Packer receiver roulette, pick anybody, he'll be fine.
00:29:34
Chilly
if you're, if you're going to play Jordan love, I'm probably going to play him with Jacobs and two wide receivers, right? It's got to go somewhere. Um,
00:29:46
Chilly
and And then the Bears guys, they're they're both pretty cheap. So I like either one. and even at this point, the Bears kind of have the roulette wheel going as well. I mean, Loveland is emerging. You got Rome's back.
00:30:03
Chilly
Luther Burden. Zacchaeus is just in there enough to piss you off that's ah That's probably a showdown play for being serious, but
00:30:08
Sully Shaheed
Oh my God. Now Ova Media is the keyest, man. Come on.
00:30:16
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, for the cheap. Yeah, yeah, for sure. That's showdown play. Yeah, absolutely.
00:30:23
Chilly
you could probably, if you were going to tell me that you're going to play the Rams guys with one of these two teams defenses and like the running backs, I think that makes sense.
00:30:36
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for it. I'm here for it. right, well, let's turn to Sunday, and we start off at 1 p.m.
Bills vs Jaguars Game Analysis
00:30:43
Sully Shaheed
with the Bills visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars. 51.5 point total in this one, and the Bills are favored by 1.5. Chill, thoughts?
00:30:53
Sully Shaheed
How does this game turn out?
00:30:55
Chilly
A couple things here. One, I don't understand why the Bills are favored. um
00:31:03
Chilly
Jacksonville, the way hotter team ah playing at home. i just don't think that makes a ton of sense. Obviously, they have Josh Allen. Trevor Lawrence has been the most hot quarterback for like the past eight or nine weeks um so my hot take for this game if you're ready for it uh i think the winner of this game goes to the super bowl
00:31:30
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for it. I'm here for it.
00:31:33
Chilly
that i i i think the bills unfortunately have this is the i think this is the worst draw they could have had um
00:31:34
Sully Shaheed
I like that.
00:31:43
Chilly
Cause like, I think the bills beat new England. I just really have no faith in new England intent. um
00:31:50
Sully Shaheed
The schedule merchants, the schedule merchants known as New England.
00:31:54
Chilly
Yeah. um And like the bills would have crushed Pittsburgh obviously, but that's neither here or there. um I think this was the, I think this was the worst case scenario.
00:32:06
Chilly
Jacksonville, if we're going from a DFS standpoint, Jacksonville has not allowed an 85-yard rusher in like the last forever weeks. um And and like to Jacksonville's credit, they have a really good pass rush. Now, this does open the door for the Josh Allen being the Superman ah game because, um well, Buffalo likes to throw it to their tight ends, and Jacksonville struggles to stop that.
00:32:35
Chilly
ah So I think every single Bills tight end is in play from a DFS standpoint. um i don't I know like Kincaid was on the injury report. i assume he's probably playing.
00:32:46
Chilly
um And then again, if you're going to go to, if we're going to go to the Jaguars side, um Bills have a hard time stopping the run, although they've been better.
00:33:00
Chilly
um You know, that game against Philadelphia was pretty eye-opening to the Bills being good ah defensively. i mean, but again, man, Philadelphia's offense is so sporadic.
00:33:13
Chilly
You want to talk about, you don't know what you're getting. So, um you know, it's interesting, man. Jacksonville doesn't have like a main wide receiver. They got three. They got Dr. Strange. Yeah.
00:33:26
Chilly
it's probably it's It's the funnest game on the slate for sure. But i really hate...
00:33:38
Sully Shaheed
You sound so depressed about so but what you're about to say.
00:33:38
Chilly
It's tough. Dude, dude.
00:33:43
Chilly
I think Jacksonville wins. I also think Josh Allen... If they if Jacksonville wins, it's not going to be Josh Allen's fault.
00:33:53
Sully Shaheed
I hear you.
00:33:54
Chilly
that like I think Josh Allen's going to ball out. he's gonna he's gonna He literally will probably break the stat sheet. But that Bills the defense, like can you so if the Jaguars have a lead in the fourth quarter, can you stop the run?
00:34:11
Chilly
Because not only do you have to worry about ETN, apparently you got to worry about Trevor Lawrence taking off. So I got Jags. I don't like it I don't like it, but I...
00:34:24
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, this is this is probably one of the tougher games to predict. I think that the total is indicative of what we should see in the ah in the game. I mean, 51.5 is a high total. I mean, from the Sunday slate alone, you're probably going to be stacking this game up.
00:34:37
Sully Shaheed
And like I said, I completely agree with you about the tight end situation. these tight these this This Bills offense runs through James Cook, Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox, Jackson Hawes, and...
00:34:48
Sully Shaheed
A little bit of Khalil Secure. That's it. So there are no perimeter receivers. They are there to run block. And that's it. Buffalo Bills, the number one rushing offense in the NFL versus the Jacksonville jacksonville Jaguars, the number one rush defense in the NFL.
00:35:02
Sully Shaheed
So it also depends on what gives. Now, Trevor Lawrence should have success through the air because the Bills are down Maxwell Houston III. And even though they're the league's number one pass defense, it's because they're a run funnel. So everyone just runs on them.
00:35:18
Sully Shaheed
And I can understand the ah propensity to be a little shaky about that defense. um You know, it's always tough to go on the road. ah The Bills have yet to win a playoff game on the road. um And it's going to be a tall task. I mean, like a lot of people are putting the pressure on Josh Allen because there's no Patrick Mahomes. There's no Mar. There's no Joe Burrow. I completely understand that.
00:35:41
Sully Shaheed
But you have to realize that the deck is completely stacked against Josh Allen. And the only reason why they're favorite is because the Bills have Josh Allen. That's it. So, yes, it has to be on the back of him.
00:35:52
Sully Shaheed
But at the same time, like the Bills defense has to get one or two stops. Now, if Trevor Lawrence reverts to early season Trevor Lawrence, where he was literally questioning the fact that he's a franchise quarterback, as opposed to the last eight weeks, Trevor Lawrence, when he was damn near an MVP candidate, it depends on what you get. So I think this is Liam Cohen's first experience with Duvall in the playoffs. um And it could be,
00:36:20
Sully Shaheed
a taller task than we think. I think that if the Jaguars stay committed to running Travis Etienne and Byshelle Tootin, I think they'll be fine and I think they can escape with a victory.
00:36:30
Sully Shaheed
But at the same time, if they're trying to go back and forth and pace points with the Buffalo Bills, it's not going to happen. So if one of the one of the wills of the strengths of the team breaks, as in if the Bills can establish the run, they'll win.
00:36:46
Sully Shaheed
If the Jags can't pass on the Bills, which again, they're down key pieces in their secondary, they're going to lose. But if they stick to the script and attack Buffalo's weakness, which is running the football, they can win. Having said all that,
00:37:02
Sully Shaheed
I'm still taking the Buffalo Bills because, duh, I'm taking the Buffalo Bills. And it's going to come back, again, from real-life standpoint and a DFS standpoint between Dawson Knox ah and their other two tight ends. So if you want to sprinkle in a little kill little Shakur, you might get a cheap touchdown.
00:37:20
Sully Shaheed
But I don't know. and the in the And the one player that people aren't going to play on the on that short slate is probably James Cook. I mean, they see both those run defense. They see ETN's been hot lately.
00:37:32
Sully Shaheed
um There are other running back options in the later games with both Patriots running backs and Saquon Barkley to follow him. So from an ownership standpoint, I think if you play James Cook, you're automatically against the grain.
00:37:45
Sully Shaheed
So you could go like Josh Allen, James Cook, and...
00:37:45
Chilly
Oh yeah, for sure.
00:37:49
Sully Shaheed
ah pick your Pick whatever Bills tight end you want.
00:37:55
Sully Shaheed
I don't care.
00:37:57
Sully Shaheed
you know and then But again, I want about four or five pieces from this game because total-wise, game-flow-wise, I think it's the game you want a lot of.
00:38:05
Chilly
I got I got two funny scenarios. ah One will one will make you mad.
00:38:09
Sully Shaheed
Talk to me.
00:38:12
Chilly
This other one's a DFS scenario. What is the percentage that both defenses actually show up in this game is like 17 to 10?
00:38:25
Sully Shaheed
Don't make me cry. i Yeah.
00:38:27
Chilly
I mean, but like we have seen like Buffalo's defense, it can show up.
00:38:35
Chilly
Jacksonville's defense can show up. I mean, again, like it's thin.
00:38:44
Chilly
It's thin. if you if you want If you want a real bold take on the three-game slate, fade this game.
00:38:53
Sully Shaheed
That's bold.
00:38:53
Chilly
Fade it. Fade it. I mean, you just fade it and pray to God both defenses show up. Or you just do what he says. Play James Cook, play Buffalo's defense, walk away.
00:39:07
Sully Shaheed
There you go.
00:39:08
Chilly
or Or play ETN and play the Jags' defense and walk away. My other fun scenario is um on a scale of one till you're going to punch a hole in the wall.
00:39:22
Chilly
ah Here we go. Let's go. Buffalo drives down the field. they they they They take the lead. They're up by two. All right. jacksonville Jacksonville gets the ball with like 12 seconds left.
00:39:37
Chilly
No, they only got to go 15 yards to be a field goal range. If that kicker beats the Bills on a 70-yard field goal, because that's a thing, i would be, as a fan, I think i Could you imagine?
00:40:00
Sully Shaheed
First of all, like I texted you, Cam Little is the greatest kicker of all time. I don't care. Already, he's the greatest. He's the freaking greatest. But yeah, that is a very disturbing scenario. As in, they get the ball with X time left knowing they only need to go 15 yards.
00:40:16
Chilly
I mean, like, what's a touchback nowadays? Is it the 30?
00:40:21
Sully Shaheed
dude can hit from 70 easily.
00:40:21
Chilly
Is it? but um they're ah
00:40:24
Sully Shaheed
Like, what what are we talking about? What are we talking about? Like, knowing knowing as a Bills fan and the Bills defense, you can't let them pass the 40 without without allowing points.
00:40:39
Chilly
The 40 on their side of the field, not yours.
00:40:44
Sully Shaheed
Stupid. Stupid.
00:40:45
Chilly
Right? Yeah, right. I think a touchback is like 30. You get the but ball to 30. That's just 10 yards.
00:40:54
Sully Shaheed
ah Well, I guess we can get into a game that could be fun or it could be absolute dog water.
49ers vs Eagles Playoff Expectations
00:41:01
Sully Shaheed
Your 430 game is the San Francisco 49ers traveling to the NFC East champs, the defending Super Bowl champs, Philadelphia Eagles. Five and a half is this spread. Why the Eagles are favored by five and a half against anybody, i don't know, but whatever.
00:41:21
Sully Shaheed
This game could be really fun. Or it could suck. Like if you're taking the stand of fading that first game, i would think this is the game that you want to be
00:41:34
Chilly
Yeah, this is this is the game.
00:41:34
Sully Shaheed
Because it could be really fun. It could be really fun.
00:41:37
Chilly
It could be. Yeah, um i think this is where
00:41:42
Sully Shaheed
But will it?
00:41:44
Chilly
I think this is where San Francisco's miracle run, I think it comes to an end here. um i think this is potentially where all of their defensive injuries are going to catch back up to them. Listen, I know Philadelphia's offense has been terrible. Yeah.
00:42:02
Chilly
But low-key, if we think Philadelphia is going to hit that old Kansas City switch where – you know, ah again here, man, the 49ers kudos to y'all, but I think this is where you're too hurt. Philadelphia's defense since like their bi-week has been the number one defense in the NFL that nobody's talked about. We've all heard the Broncos. We've heard, you know, the i shit the Browns defense. We've heard the Rams defense. We've heard all of these defenses. Yeah. Philadelphia had been casually number one, but,
00:42:37
Chilly
they literally stonewalled Josh Allen at Buffalo. Like, although Buffalo should have one on the two point conversion, he missed the throw, neither here or there. But again, like that was literally to win the game, like 15 to 14. So like, what, ah like, again, man, Philadelphia's defense is really good.
00:42:57
Chilly
um Although Philadelphia in like their history with Sirianni, they do not blow out good teams. So from a betting standpoint, I'd probably take San Francisco in the five and a half.
00:43:10
Chilly
From a betting standpoint, um from a DFS standpoint, I like the Eagles side. um I think my biggest fade is I'll probably fade CMC and pray in this game. But, yeah, I'll die on the Eagles offense one more time. Fuck it.
00:43:31
Sully Shaheed
have a hot take. Actually, it may not even be that hot, but I think the switch does turn on. And we've seen that this 49ers defense is, but I mean, they they're, they're truly bad.
00:43:44
Sully Shaheed
And I think if it's any time to flip on the switch for the Eagles, it's now, And I think that Jalen Hurts plus A.J. Brown plus Devon Smith plus Dallas Goddard, yeah, is the stack.
00:44:00
Sully Shaheed
I think it's literally an Eagles onslaught day.
00:44:03
Chilly
Yeah, I mean, like...
00:44:03
Sully Shaheed
I think they they blew out the 49ers.
00:44:05
Sully Shaheed
I really think they kicked their ass.
00:44:08
Chilly
Yeah. I mean, if the 49ers had Bosa and Fred Warner, well, first of all, they have Bosa and Warner, they're probably the number one seed. If we're being honest, um, uh, again, neither here or there. Um, yeah, I'm with you. I i don't know if they blow them out.
00:44:28
Chilly
i said I kind of like San Francisco to cover. um ah San Francisco does get Trent Williams back for this game. I don't believe he was in in the game against Seattle.
00:44:40
Chilly
ah When they're missing one of the big three, CMC, Kittle, or Williams, that team is completely different. um But, yeah, I like to the Eagles side from a DFS standpoint here. um I think you could even play Barkley here, too. It's not the most...
00:45:01
Chilly
prettiest click, but we watched San Francisco give it up to the, to the Seattle running backs, the Chicago running backs. It's probably a big day for Barkley here.
00:45:13
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, I could see. I mean, yeah, if you want to go the inverse, I mean, just throw in Barkley Hurts and X receiver or tight end. I'm good with that. I'm. reluctantly really high on the Eagles and only because again the public public perception of the Eagles offense is that they suck and you know you had in a hot take earlier in the show that Sirianni might get fired if they lose this game and I just think that it's one of those things where we're seeing the NFC version of the Chiefs I think that they don't care I mean, they have no competition in NFC East, so they knew they can go and back into the division. They literally didn't care about the two seed.
00:45:51
Sully Shaheed
They said, oh, we can win this game. Well, don't care. Just we're fine. Like, and it takes a lot of nuts to say, I don't want the two seed. I'm still resting my starters. We're putting out Devonta Smith to get his thousand yards and get you on the sideline. That was it.
00:46:08
Sully Shaheed
So I think that whatever switch that they've been waiting to turn on is now because the playoffs have started. And I think it's time for the Eagles to fly. So E-A-G-L-E-S, Eagles. They cover this five and a half.
00:46:21
Sully Shaheed
And you know what? I'll even take the over. I think they hit the 44 and a half. Because the San Francisco 49ers will score. they They will score.
00:46:29
Sully Shaheed
It just depends how. So I think CMC has been a volume monster. His efficiency has went way down, but he gets tons of touches. So you know his floor is completely safe.
00:46:40
Sully Shaheed
But against this Philadelphia defense, whoo-hoo! It might come from an ancillary.
00:46:47
Sully Shaheed
It might come from an ancillary piece. So maybe Kittle or Jennings or somebody like that. So I'm here for that. So give me all the Eagles. Give me all the Eagles. All Eagles.
00:46:58
Chilly
Yep. I too like the Eagles.
Patriots vs Chargers Game Outlook
00:47:03
Sully Shaheed
Sunday night. Sunday, Sunday, Sunday night. The schedule merchant New England Patriots face off against... You, me, Baker, protecting Justin Herbert on the offensive line as they go to New England.
00:47:20
Sully Shaheed
um Can you keep Justin Herbert upright? Is the question.
00:47:26
Chilly
yeah Yes, they can.
00:47:27
Sully Shaheed
Because if that happens, I think they have a real chance of beating the New England Patriots. Having said that, I think that they're well coached. I think that the MVP, ah potentially, um Drake May, can have a game here.
00:47:46
Sully Shaheed
um But the Chargers defense is no joke. And I think their offense can cook. So it really depends on which version of the Chargers offensive line and run game, for that matter, that we see in this game. So three and a half is the spread. Patriots obviously favored.
00:48:05
Sully Shaheed
reluctantly I'm going to take the Patriots, but I wouldn't be surprised the Chargers win.
00:48:11
Chilly
Yeah, ah ah yeah i'm um I'm picking the Chargers here.
00:48:12
Sully Shaheed
What say you?
00:48:17
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Okay. Hey, I figured. I figured.
00:48:20
Chilly
so So let me let me see if I can sell you on this. I am not doubting that New England's offense is elite with Drake May.
00:48:33
Chilly
I'm doubting the fact that their defense is as good as what it is when you have faced the trash teams that they have played. I think the chargers are going to be the best offense they faced all year, minus the bills and the bills almost don't count because you've been playing against Josh Allen for forever.
00:48:52
Chilly
um Obviously it's a new coach and everything, but it's not like variable is not played against Josh Allen or knows what to do. um think, this Justin Herbert by far has the most to lose in this game.
00:49:08
Chilly
Right? Because if he doesn't win this game, it's he can't win the big one. He's not big time. He's not this. He's not that. So i think here this...
00:49:23
Chilly
I think the Chargers get it done. i don't think New England has that elite of a pass rush to begin with. So I think this is going to be the game where Herbert will be able to stay upright.
00:49:35
Chilly
We've seen New England struggle with running quarterbacks as well, ah and Herbert can do that. So i like i liked I like the Chargers here, and i do like this I do like the Chargers offense from a DFS standpoint as well.
00:49:52
Sully Shaheed
Listen, I know it was week one. I understand that. But it's hard to trust the team that lost to the Raiders.
00:50:02
Sully Shaheed
I'm just saying. I know they turned it around.
00:50:05
Chilly
yes film Week one almost does not count in the game of football.
00:50:05
Sully Shaheed
I know they ridded the ship and everything. But there is a big black eye on your schedule. And it happened in the first week of the C-Series.
00:50:19
Sully Shaheed
I understand that, but it gave us hope for the Raiders, and it turns out they were trash. And I thought the Patriots were like two years away, and it turns out they're pretty damn good. But again, i think they're schedule merchants. I think they beat where they were supposed to beat with the exception of the Raiders. They should have beat the Raiders, and maybe they would be the number one seed, but they're not.
00:50:39
Sully Shaheed
So I think that the Patriots are frauds. I think that the Broncos are frauds. I think that yeah did ah je it's just so much going on right now that The AMC is wide open. I'm taking the Patriots. I really don't want to. I'm not going to be surprised if the Chargers come out and win this game. Because, like, on paper, minus, you know, I don't want to take away his MVP stats because he's, getting these's he had an MVP season. There's no doubt about that. But behind J-17, Justin Herbert's probably the best quarterback in the playoffs by Stafford, maybe?
00:51:16
Chilly
So well we'll get to him here in a second. So um obviously Jalen hurts is a, is a different quarterback in the playoffs.
00:51:27
Chilly
um The way I'm going to rank the quarterbacks is number one, Josh Allen. I think two is Stafford. I think three is hurts.
00:51:41
Chilly
A bold take care is number four. Aaron Rogers.
00:51:46
Sully Shaheed
Price Young. Is there for A-A-Rod? Oh, man.
00:51:52
Chilly
So, I mean, if you watch that game on Sunday... he was holding onto the ball and getting hit. I think it's because he now knows he can get hit.
00:52:03
Chilly
So I think you're going to see a different era. Rogers. We'll get to a We'll get to an extremely bold take here. Foreshadowing here about who's winning on Monday night. um ah But so you, as you mentioned, the schedule merchants that were new England,
00:52:25
Chilly
We're going to go through their schedule real quick. Week one, they lost. right
00:52:30
Sully Shaheed
They lost to the to the Raiders.
00:52:34
Chilly
Okay. So week two, they beat the Dolphins. So they played two up. Week three, they had 8 million turnovers and lost to the Steelers.
00:52:48
Chilly
Week four, they beat Bryce Young.
00:52:51
Chilly
Week four, they beat Bryce Young.
00:52:53
Chilly
ah Week five they is when they beat Buffalo. So at Buffalo.
00:52:59
Chilly
Week six, I don't think they were playing Tyler Shook yet. I think that would was that still Spencer Rattler or was that Shook?
00:53:06
Sully Shaheed
That was Rattler. The Rattler, Tyler Shuck played the pat the last six games for him.
00:53:13
Chilly
Okay. ah After that, they beat up Cam Ward. Okay.
00:53:22
Chilly
The next week, Dylan Gabriel. ah The next week, was it Penix or Cousins?
00:53:34
Sully Shaheed
I can't remember. Either way, trash.
00:53:37
Chilly
ah After that was Baker Mayfield, who was trashed down the end of the season here, truthfully.
00:53:43
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, he they fell off a cliff.
00:53:47
Chilly
ah Whoever was playing quarterback for the Jets.
00:53:51
Sully Shaheed
Tyra Taylor?
00:53:53
Sully Shaheed
i i don't know.
00:53:54
Chilly
Was it? I feel like it was a Thursday night. i think that was Taylor. no No, no, no, That was Justin Fields. We'll look. I can get the stats. Yep.
00:54:04
Chilly
It was Justin Fields.
00:54:09
Chilly
ah After that, ah was Burrow back for the Bengals or was that Flacco? ah It was Flacco.
00:54:21
Sully Shaheed
so they beat Joe Flacco. All right.
00:54:24
Chilly
And then it was ah the Giants. And then they lost to Buffalo. ah They barely beat. ah Was it Snoop? Was it Snoop Huntley in the Ravens game? Or was that Lamar?
00:54:39
Chilly
It may have been Lamar. think that was Lamar.
00:54:43
Sully Shaheed
So, hey, that's kind of a qua but still a non-playoff team. So, you digress.
00:54:48
Chilly
Yeah. Yeah, combined Lamar and Snoop were 16 for 20. They didn't crack 170 yards.
00:54:59
Sully Shaheed
Ah, gotcha.
00:55:00
Chilly
and then the ah the vaunted Jets again. So was that Brady Cook?
00:55:06
Sully Shaheed
Yeah, it was cooking.
00:55:08
Chilly
And then Quinn Ewers.
00:55:08
Sully Shaheed
And cooked.
00:55:12
Chilly
That is all the quarterbacks the Patriots played this season.
00:55:18
Sully Shaheed
So they have a key win against Josh Allen. That's that's it.
00:55:24
Sully Shaheed
They also lost to Geno Smith. I don't care. You know what? I'm changing my pick. You sold me. It's going to be the Chargers. The Chargers and the upset. Bolt up.
00:55:35
Sully Shaheed
It's the Chargers. Screw it. It's the Chargers. You sold me.
00:55:41
Sully Shaheed
I'll just go.
00:55:46
Sully Shaheed
And like you said, DFS wise, I do like some of the chargers pieces, um especially at wide receiver. You can get away with a Rodney Gatson Jr. if you want to at tight end. Patriots wise, like I just said, Steph digs if he's not, you know, in jail or something like that. I'm cool with that.
00:56:01
Sully Shaheed
And either of the running backs.
00:56:01
Chilly
don't just don't get it Just don't get his order wrong. That's all.
00:56:04
Sully Shaheed
Just don't get his damn order wrong. I mean, what's was so hard about that, right?
00:56:10
Sully Shaheed
ah All right, we better move on to the last game on the Monday night finale for week one of the playoffs of wildcard weekend. We're talking Texans heading to Pittsburgh.
00:56:21
Sully Shaheed
Three-point favorites. Three-point favorites going into Pittsburgh. So how are we feeling about A.A. Ron, who you said is probably the third best or fourth best quarterback in the in the playoffs?
00:56:35
Chilly
Yeah, I ah think Pittsburgh wins this game.
00:56:43
Sully Shaheed
A popular boy band once asked, tell me why.
00:56:46
Chilly
um um I am literally only basing this off of Mike Tomlin's record on playing Monday Night Football games at home.
Steelers vs Texans Prediction
00:56:55
Sully Shaheed
oh so you think the NFL gifted them a little advantage?
00:57:00
Chilly
I think... I think they got lucky that they played the Sunday night game and they weren't on Saturday. If they had the Saturday game, they would have they wouldn't have had this Monday night game. um So if we are, so and i and this is literally the stats, the Steelers have won 21 consecutive Monday night home football games.
00:57:24
Chilly
Mike Tomlin on Monday nights is 22-3. He's won in a row at home. That's all I got. but I have no football logic. I got nothing for you.
00:57:38
Chilly
i just got I'm just going to ride and die on that stat alone.
00:57:42
Sully Shaheed
You got history. That's it. You got history.
00:57:45
Chilly
that's that's That's all I got. I know Houston's defense has been aces, although they got their asses handed to them by Riley Leonard.
00:57:55
Chilly
Dude, I don't know, man. This is... Pittsburgh. Here's what will happen. Pittsburgh's going to win this game and then Tuesday at the water cooler, everyone's going be like oh, want to play those Steelers.
00:58:13
Sully Shaheed
You're so right. You're so right. A thousand percent right. Yes, yes, and more yes. Oh, man. Yeah. um
00:58:22
Chilly
the one the the The winner of this game is the water cooler team.
00:58:22
Sully Shaheed
You know what?
00:58:27
Chilly
I don't want to put.
00:58:27
Sully Shaheed
Oh, the team that you don't want to play?
00:58:28
Chilly
of Yep. Yep. That's what every talking head is going to say. That's what that'll be at the water cooler. It'll be in your text threads with your friends that that that's that's what it's going to be.
00:58:39
Chilly
I don't want to play them.
00:58:43
Sully Shaheed
Hey, listen, I watched the entirety of the Ravens and Steelers game, and A.A. Ron was kind of looking vintage. He had a little rushing upside. he was he was getting the ball out quickly. They get D.K. Metcalf back in this game, so they have their downfield threat.
00:59:00
Sully Shaheed
um And Houston can't run the ball to save their and lives. So it's going to come down to C.J. Stroud in the playoffs. And it ain't been great outside of a Browns beat down.
00:59:14
Chilly
Dude, he he he rides he rides on that game just as Jordan Love rides on the game that he beat down the Cowboys in.
00:59:23
Sully Shaheed
yeah, gosh, darn it. My initial playoff take, I definitely did take the Texans because screw the Steelers, but you did, you did with the chargers.
00:59:29
Chilly
Don't listen. Don't let me convince you. Your gut your gut has been good. i try will hawk
00:59:35
Sully Shaheed
You already with the chargers. Yeah.
00:59:37
Chilly
I tried for the Chargers. That one I was trying. This one I literally just have that i have no football logic i have no thing like if you're playing the showdown slate both defenses and put one as your captain like
00:59:44
Sully Shaheed
history yeah if if aaron can stay out of that pass rush because he does get the ball out really quickly still um i think they have a great chance of winning you know what
00:59:56
Chilly
get the kickers all right like i got nothing for you
01:00:11
Chilly
Trust your gut. Listen, you were the guy who was going to play Mitch Trubisky. Didn't trust him.
01:00:17
Sully Shaheed
And I didn't trust the gut.
01:00:18
Sully Shaheed
I wanted to play Mitch Trubisky. I had the lineup. I had it, Chili. It was right there. All the money. And no, I went back and played Jackson freaking dirt.
01:00:29
Sully Shaheed
But you know what? That's fine. It's neither here nor there. I still won money, so it's okay. But still, I'm going to take the Steelers.
01:00:34
Chilly
bad. Dart was not bad. dart dart was not bad
01:00:38
Sully Shaheed
He wasn't Mitch Trubisky.
01:00:41
Chilly
No, but jack Jackson Dart didn't play the Jets either.
01:00:45
Sully Shaheed
Yeah. Like I said, they had me at jets and I, I caved, but that's okay. We're good. So you know what, chill? going to join you.
01:00:55
Sully Shaheed
going to take the Steelers. I'm going to take the Steelers and it's a showdown thing anyway. And we don't talk about showdown. So screw the DFS shit. I don't, I don't care.
01:01:04
Chilly
Like I said, if you're literally if you're literally playing the showdown slate...
01:01:08
Chilly
Just both defenses. If you're playing on DraftKings, Kenny Gamewell, both like but
01:01:17
Chilly
Boswell. i mean, at this point, like if Calvin Austin could just do what Alec Pierce did and just run open down the field, he'd be right.
01:01:28
Sully Shaheed
Alec Pierce made himself a good chunk of change with that game, too. he was already gonna He was already going to get paid.
01:01:33
Chilly
I thought he was...
01:01:35
Sully Shaheed
But he solidified it.
01:01:36
Chilly
I think he had a good, he, he was like, he kind of emerged and took that number two role from like Josh Downs.
01:01:44
Sully Shaheed
Oh, for sure. For sure. He a good season. He had a good season.
01:01:47
Chilly
Hey, I'm um related.
01:01:47
Sully Shaheed
Go ahead. Go ahead. good
01:01:49
Chilly
note This is not related to football at all. How do you feel about Drew McIntyre being your new WWE champion?
01:01:57
Sully Shaheed
I saw the spoilers earlier, and I'm i'm happy about it. I'm happy about it.
01:02:01
Chilly
Okay, okay. I was happy that they pulled the trigger. He may lose the title at the Rumble. We'll see. um But, like, if there's anything that this company needed to do it's um get out of the norm. I also read a report here today that they don't see Javon Evans as a star. um If that's the case, this company in promotion is fucking stupid.
01:02:24
Chilly
I don't mean to curse like that.
01:02:26
Chilly
And, like, listen, Obafemi, listen, i can get down with an Obafemi, you know, big guy, you know, doing this.
01:02:32
Chilly
to yeah And his, so you know, and his, like, you know, snakeskin shirt. You know, he he probably, you know you remember when we went that thrift shop in Cuyahoga Falls? That's where he gets this close.
01:02:43
Chilly
That's probably where Obafemi shops. yeah
01:02:48
Sully Shaheed
That is for another podcast on another day.
01:02:51
Sully Shaheed
We gave the playoff predictions. We got to wish you best of luck in your DFS lineups. Oh, and last quick hot take before we get into the Super Bowl prediction. um Myles Garrett's sack record is fraudulent.
01:03:04
Sully Shaheed
I don't care what anybody says.
01:03:06
Sully Shaheed
It's not because of the 17 games. It's because of that half sack they gave him against Josh Allen. He should have never had that. He didn't even touch him. And they give him a half sack like a quarter later.
01:03:18
Sully Shaheed
His sack record is fla fraudulent. I don't care. i don't care what anybody says. Don't care.
01:03:25
Chilly
So who's your... So is it TJ Watt in your eyes? Because you can't... Favre took a dive. I Listen.
01:03:36
Sully Shaheed
thought it was all sides.
01:03:38
Sully Shaheed
I thought he was offsides on that sack. He jumped the shit out of that snap count. He was in the backfield when Joe Burrow got the ball. Like, I thought he was offsides.
01:03:46
Chilly
listen Listen, Miles Garrett and Joe Burrow, low-key kind of friends, cool with each other. could just be like, hey, like worse're this this play, you let your left tackle know. Just tell them, hey, like we're going on two. Listen...
01:04:02
Sully Shaheed
I like how they stopped the game and Jamar Chase was pissed about it.
01:04:08
Sully Shaheed
What the fuck? We're trying to move the ball. We're trying to win a game. huh
01:04:11
Chilly
Listen, I would have i would have fired Zach Taylor for saying, we're playing for our lives out here.
01:04:11
Sully Shaheed
Man. That shit was hilarious.
01:04:16
Chilly
don't you No, you're fucking not.
01:04:18
Sully Shaheed
They're not.
01:04:18
Chilly
You're playing for you're playing for Cancun.
01:04:22
Sully Shaheed
And they're there right now.
01:04:24
Chilly
if They are there.
01:04:26
Sully Shaheed
Chili, who's going against each other in the Super Bowl and who's winning?
01:04:31
Chilly
All right let's see.
01:04:32
Sully Shaheed
you You already said the winner of the Jacksonville Buffalo game is going to the Super Bowl. So we have your AFC representative already.
01:04:38
Chilly
we we do, we do. I think it's... Oh my god. um So this year has been weird. This is going to be the weird year of the Super Bowl.
01:04:50
Chilly
Give me the Jacksonville Jaguars
01:04:56
Chilly
and the Seattle Seahawks.
01:04:59
Sully Shaheed
Okay. Okay.
01:05:00
Chilly
i am so i I'm sticking with the year of weird...
01:05:00
Sully Shaheed
I'm here for it.
01:05:05
Chilly
I almost, cause like the Rams are too easy, right? If I, if I have a, if I have a second bet,
01:05:15
Chilly
second bet would probably be like Eagles bills. Yeah.
01:05:23
Sully Shaheed
Eagles bills. Okay. Okay.
01:05:26
Chilly
Yeah. I don't know, man. Like ah the Rams are probably the best team in the NFC. hiis It's too easy.
01:05:36
Chilly
It's too easy of a pick. I like chaos.
01:05:39
Sully Shaheed
Nothing's easy this year, brother. Nothing. Nothing. Nothing is easy. this that it's it's this This season has just been all over the place.
01:05:50
Chilly
That's what i say, man. Seahawks. Seahawks Jags.
01:05:55
Sully Shaheed
Well, I'm sticking with my preseason pick. Rams, Bills, still got my futures for the preseason on that. So I'm just going to ride it out all the way to the end.
Super Bowl Predictions: Jaguars vs Seahawks or Rams vs Bills?
01:06:04
Sully Shaheed
Super Bowl winner.
01:06:06
Sully Shaheed
The Bills Mafia finally gets it done. And then we can hear all the bullshit next year about how, oh, Josh Allen was only able to do it without Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson in the playoffs. red red bla bla So he can't win for losing. and He can't lose for winning. So it doesn't matter what J-17 does.
01:06:24
Sully Shaheed
He's going to get ridiculed. So might as well have a Super Bowl banner to go along with it. So screw it. Bills Rams. Bills win. That's the take. Let's do it.
01:06:34
Chilly
Again, good pick. I, again here, not, I was not the biggest Josh Allen guy, um but with new information, I'm allowed to change my opinion.
01:06:46
Chilly
That's because of the, code you know, ah like that's the way you like, you feel about Trevor Lawrence, right?
01:06:46
Sully Shaheed
You're right.
01:06:51
Chilly
Like, Hey, i used to think this guy sucks. And you know what?
01:06:54
Sully Shaheed
He got me. He got me. He's pretty good at the game of football.
01:06:57
Chilly
Some, you know, listen, it could change next year. And you know again, that's the beauty of football. Um, I will not be one of those people. If Josh Allen wins the Super Bowl, it's fair and square.
01:07:09
Chilly
Again, Burrell got hurt. Lamar got hurt. Mahomes got hurt. And even if Mahomes doesn't get hurt, Kansas City wouldn't have made the playoffs anyway.
Sign Off: Playoff Predictions & Well Wishes
01:07:24
Sully Shaheed
Right. What are we talking about? What are we talking about?
01:07:26
Chilly
What are we talking about?
01:07:28
Sully Shaheed
Well, guys, it's been a pleasure. Guys and girls, it's been a pleasure. um Good luck in your DFS lineups this weekend. Good luck with your sports betting this weekend. And if your team is in the playoffs, good luck to them. And shout out to the one at Carolina Panthers fan, wherever you are outside of that actual area.
01:07:45
Sully Shaheed
I know you exist somewhere. But we're going to go ahead and close up the shop. It has been an absolute pleasure this season. Hopefully, we'll be back for divisional next week to see how right or wrong we were and discuss from there.
01:07:58
Sully Shaheed
And for Chili, for Baker, I've been your boy Sully. This has been VFS Deli. And we'll see you all later. Peace.
01:08:22
Sully Shaheed
Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait.