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EPISODE 30: CONTENDER PUSH TIPS
32 Plays1 month ago
We made it to episode 30!!! As always, we catch you up on the happenings around the league and then we provide some advice for the contending teams in dynasty leagues about types of trade targets to focus on while making your push for a title. Finally, we let you know what NFL prop bets we'll be riding in week 11! Feel free to help support the podcast as well as finding a book with the best odds for you via our special link: signupexpert.com/nsfw.
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Transcript
Celebrating 30 Episodes and Podcasting Challenges
00:00:26
David Reed
Well, come to the NSFW Dynasty Podcast. We are your hosts, Dave Reed, Ryan Wilksen, and Joey Gallo for episode 30.
00:00:38
David Reed
We did it. How do you guys feel?
00:00:40
Ryan
30, big milestone.
00:00:41
David Reed
Good.
00:00:42
Ryan
Do you think we'd get here, Dave?
00:00:45
David Reed
ah Honestly, no, man.
00:00:47
Joey
Probably not.
00:00:47
David Reed
It's a lot of work to get here, man. I respect all all the podcasters out there.
00:00:52
Joey
Yeah, sure is, but 30 30 episodes in still having a lot of fun doing it, so I think that's probably a good sign.
00:01:00
David Reed
That's right, that's right.
Fantasy Football Season Progress and Playoff Strategies
00:01:01
David Reed
I mean, I feel a little aged, but I think it's more the fantasy itself than the the podcast.
00:01:01
Ryan
yeah
00:01:07
David Reed
But what are we 10 weeks in now? Can't believe we're like this far into the season.
00:01:11
Joey
Yeah, that is. That's the unfortunate thing, really. I was like. ah listening to a podcast where they were like they made it one of the guys made a comments like, um, it's all right.
00:01:24
Joey
We still got a couple more weeks left to go in this season. And I'm like, Jesus, a couple more weeks left. Like, it seems that it seems like we just started, but yeah, it goes by quick.
00:01:33
Ryan
Eh. Yeah, no, it's it's crunch time, man. Four weeks left in the regular fantasy season here before the playoffs. It's time to decide if you're going for it or you're going for some draft picks.
00:01:45
David Reed
Yeah. And every time I try to make a choice, my team decides through the opposite, uh, which is driving me nuts. Uh, but also it's, it's, we're going to talk about it a little bit later in pop, but this is also the time where you need to start preparing for the playoffs. So like not only are you deciding if you're going to go for it, you got to start being more strategic about making sure you're you're picking up players that give you that edge, maybe based on schedules or give you that leg up in the competition. So can't believe we're at this point in the season, man. It's crazy.
Impact of Quarterback Injuries on Fantasy Teams
00:02:11
David Reed
Um,
00:02:12
David Reed
But with that, first going to jump in. There's still some injuries we got to address. And honestly, these there's a lot of impacts here, especially for those contending. So there's a lot of players impacted that. We're probably on contending teams, but we'll jump right into it and we'll kind of break out our views on how this situation is going to play out. But first going to jump into the quarterbacks. Got a couple here. Of course, both somewhat directly reflect the impact of my team. But we got Dak Prescott, who has a torn hamstring and is going to undergo so or and if it's official but it's most likely he's going undergo
00:02:44
David Reed
surgery and will end his season brush got to start last week traillist to get repair Uh, but Kupras is apparently the starter again this week. Don't really understand that move to be honest, but who knows? Jerry Jones is losing his mind. And then, uh, Trevor Lawrence, uh, has a significant AC joint injury. It may require season ending surgery as well. Someone should be Anthony Richardson injury from last year. Um, so it's no word if that is going to happen yet. He's missing this week as well. So Mack Jones is going to get his second start.
00:03:14
David Reed
So you're getting some backup quarterbacks, and there's some key wide receivers, obviously, that get impacted by this that we'll dive into a little bit later, but focusing more on the quarterbacks, what's your takeaway here?
00:03:25
Ryan
Yeah, two big names.
Role of Backup Quarterbacks in Fantasy Leagues
00:03:26
Ryan
I mean, especially in super flex, those guys are you know definitely probably starting for teams. So, uh, you know, Trevor Lawrence going down for the season, you know, who, who would have thought we'd be seeing Mac Jones again, uh, excited just to see, see if he can do anything relevant, but.
00:03:44
Ryan
If it's anything like the Cowboys, I mean, like you said, Cooper Rush came in there and just did not look good at all. So maybe, you know, Dave, there there will be a little celebration for you in the future.
00:03:56
David Reed
I think Trailheads is going to start eventually. I think they're just holding on to one more week. But Koopa Rush was terrible last year. He had negative fantasy points.
00:04:04
Ryan
Yeah, he he looked real bad.
00:04:05
David Reed
I traded for both these guys in a singular trade because I had no quarterbacks. And the combination of them gave me, I think, one point between the two of them because I think Max Jones ended up with like three or four and Koopa Rush at minus two.
00:04:18
David Reed
One thing of Max Jones I want to say too. I think I said this in our league. I was following it very closely. he After like the first or second drive, but he had like a rushing touchdown. He had like eight points or so. And he finished the game with like four or five points. So for like 70% of the game, he lost another three points. Like it's absolutely crazy. he had He lost points the rest of the game and saying these guys are terrible.
00:04:41
Ryan
Yeah, I mean, I feel like they are who we thought they were. And I don't and't expect too much to change there yet.
00:04:45
David Reed
They're worse. They are worse. and And I'm probably starting at least one of them again this weekend.
00:04:53
Joey
Yeah, I mean between the two, i i would be I would still be more confident starting Jones.
00:04:58
David Reed
I am.
00:04:59
Ryan
Well, for sure.
00:05:00
Joey
But
Running Back Injuries and Fantasy Implications
00:05:01
Joey
yeah, I mean, it its it's maybe an interesting make or break on the Trey Lance kind of running saga where if he can't get on the field in this situation, then yeah, I mean.
00:05:13
David Reed
Oh man, he's never again.
00:05:17
Joey
um I think, I mean, with him, it's like he's always been very super prone to turnovers. So like, I'm sure, but I don't know. To me, it's all it I will concede that I think it's a likely he does get out there for a start. And when he does, ah it's going to be a lot of rushes, quarterback rushes. So I think he'll it'll he'll probably end up having some fantasy value before the end of the season at that point.
00:05:45
Joey
so ah That's the most likely scenario, in my opinion. But as far as like offensive weapons on either of those teams, um but yeah, I'm out on it.
00:05:54
David Reed
Yeah, it's tough.
00:05:55
Joey
like There was a ah news break today about ah the Cowboys have decided that Rico Dowdle is their definitive number one.
00:06:02
David Reed
yeah
00:06:03
Joey
And I'm like, first of all, the fact that it took until week 12 is just like seriously mind-numbing for that.
00:06:03
David Reed
That's right.
00:06:06
David Reed
Yeah, it's insane.
00:06:09
Joey
And second, they're not going to score many points. So that's that's kind of like a nothing burger.
00:06:14
David Reed
Yeah, it's a good point. and All the Rico Daddle truthers are like, I'm kidding me. This is when we get to celebrate, is ah this dumpster fire.
00:06:20
Joey
Okay.
00:06:24
David Reed
But yeah, QB landscape, getting uglier out there, so. Uh, tough to see these key quarterbacks go down, especially in super flex. As we mentioned, you may be scrambling and it's going to get ugly, but you know what? You can still survive. You just need a quarterback to get hot. But moving into the running backs, uh, Aaron Jones, he had a rib injury. He left the game. He did come back. Uh, should be able to go this week, but keep an eye on Cam Acres at the back up there. Tank Bigsby, uh, had an ankle injury. He was forced out of the game. Um,
00:06:56
David Reed
Still questionable if he plays or so this week. We don't really know the full extent of the injury, but honestly, Etienne and Deanna Johnson, those are the other options. I don't know if I would start either of those guys.
00:07:07
David Reed
Etienne has been horrible and they're playing the Lions.
00:07:10
Joey
Yeah.
00:07:11
David Reed
I know, Joe, that you...
00:07:11
Joey
They're a full bench. I have him in, I have Etienne in a redraft and he is firmly planted on the bench, even if big speed doesn't play.
00:07:18
David Reed
Yeah, that you cannot make me play ATM at this point. I have him in another place, and I'm like, I don't know. I might play Cordero Patterson over. Just anyone else. He's just so bad. and the offense is a going to stink. And then Najee Harris, another one banged up, but played through it. He is a tough, tough guy, and I do expect him to play, but he is not the most explosiveness of players, and with an ankle injury, if he loses it any explosiveness, it's not a good look for production. So keep an eye on John Warren, who is someone who is starting to get more and more action and does have a little bit of juice. And then a positive note, Isaiah Pacheco designates a return from the IR. Likely not playing this week, but the fact that there are even
00:07:57
David Reed
Talking about that means that he's probably coming back pretty soon. He has to come back within the next three weeks. So the cream hunt ride may Maybe not be coming to a full stop right away. it Maybe slows down But just know that if you're someone who's been riding that and going to playoffs that you probably shouldn't Relying hunt going into the playoff on there, but what other takeaways you guys got for the running back position?
00:08:20
Joey
Yeah, the Pacheco one is an interesting one for me because I feel like there's a lot of ah dialogue around him in both redraft and dynasty leagues right now. um Teams that are in playoff position potentially looking to acquire him. um I have him in a in a keeper redraft league where I'm like debating if I should just hang on to him as a potential keeper for next year rather than feeling him and, you know, I don't know if you're necessarily getting tip top value when um there's the possibility that they ease him back in. He's unlikely to play this week. um His playoff schedule is tough. I don't think that Kareem Hunt is just going to sit up. He's going to like all of a sudden go from like producing and playing pretty well. Then they're going to bring back Pacheco who
00:09:14
Joey
uh, was, it was, is coming back from like a pretty significant injury. And all of a sudden just give him a hundred percent of the carries. I think it's going to be a split for a while. So I don't know exactly how much he contributes down the stretch this year. So I think that's an interesting one right now, as we're like, you know, getting to the trade deadline and in many leagues and with him, like his his possible return kind of coming back, uh, looming. So I'd say of, of the running backs, that's probably the one that I find to be the most interesting.
00:09:47
Ryan
Yeah, it's definitely the most significant one. I mean, the other three, thankfully, aren't major injuries. And so, like Dave said, a lot of people have been riding Hunt. And, you know, does that come to an end now? I don't i don't know, but definitely has the most significant fantasy implications for sure.
00:10:05
David Reed
Yeah, for
Wide Receiver Injury Updates and Fantasy Impact
00:10:06
David Reed
me, obviously, i'll I am also a Pacheco shareholder, share owner in multiple leagues. So maybe I'm coming a little bit biased here. So I just want to put that out there for everything I say. I think it just depends. Like if Pacheco is healthy, I think they do go back to them. They love Pacheco.
00:10:25
David Reed
And we've seen this happen a lot of times where you get an old and busted running back off the bench, off the couch. You sign up and they do really well in that role for a little bit. And then you're like, oh, when the start comes back, they definitely have the time. And they go right back to the starter a lot.
00:10:41
David Reed
And the Andy Reed and the chiefs trust Pacheco with everything. Uh, and like they got home cause he knew the system, but Pacheco was way more explosive than her. I just don't see how, like if you're a real offense that you'd want to be splitting up carries between these two guys who provide such different types of output. But if the check was not a hundred percent, like that's the only thing if they feel like they need to ease him back because of the injury, then I can see hunt getting more touches. But Pacheco was healthy. I just.
00:11:07
David Reed
I think you get the, maybe like not a 80% like it was getting to like 70%. It's still going to get like a lion's share of touches.
00:11:14
Ryan
Yeah, I agree. If he's healthy, I do think they'll go back to him. I think the only other concern with them is they're undefeated. Do they get to a point where they even want to arrest some of these guys and Pacheco is someone they could potentially arrest for the playoffs a little bit having Hunt now, you know, they could realistically have the playoffs locked up by week, you know, 15, 16 and not have to play them in the fantasy championship or something like that. So.
00:11:40
David Reed
Yeah, they sacrificed some versions or something because the way they're winning, we'll talk about that in in a little bit, but Jesus Christ blocking a game when he feels old.
00:11:44
Ryan
I know, it's always close, but somehow they keep winning.
00:11:45
Joey
Yeah.
00:11:49
David Reed
Come on, get out of here.
00:11:49
Ryan
yeah
00:11:49
Joey
yeah I'm like 30 yards.
00:11:52
David Reed
It's a chip shot.
00:11:53
Joey
yeah
00:11:55
David Reed
Anyway, moving to the wide receivers. ah Got a couple of significant ones here. So one, this is from a couple of weeks ago, but we we didn't get to talk about it. Chris Olave had his, I believe it's his fifth documented concussion and it's second, I believe, on the year. He's been put on the IR. It's still questionable if he returns this year. The Saints are really, really bad. I would be personally shocked if they even return this year because the the biggest concern is just making sure he doesn't have a third one in the same year. So I think you just like play it safe and and make sure that he's healthy going into next year. ah But definitely tough because he was actually starting to eat a little bit before the injury and it was a pretty nasty hit.
00:12:32
David Reed
And the bills wide receivers key on Coleman the rookie as a wrist injury. He was an early out designation a week ago He is already ruled out for this week. The timetable is still unclear for him, but big piece that offense will explosive piece of that offense is missing which is tough because you also have a mark Cooper who missed a last week as well for the second week in a row with ah another wrist injury. It was a pretty late scratch last week, ah so we'll see what happens this week. It's still unclear what the timeline is looking like, but you got to play clip close attention because then you're kind of left with the only true receiving options. We got to one other injury related to the bills a little bit later, but Shakir and Hollins are really of the only pass catchers left outside of like maybe James Cook. But then moving also to
00:13:18
David Reed
Some positive outlooks, Nico Collins activated from the IR last week. A lot of people threw him in starting lineup, which was brutal because it's a later game and last minute inactive, which was kind of.
00:13:30
David Reed
and unexpected for I think many owners and that's something you typically see. But with that being said, it seems like he's going to be a go this week. DK Maccaff has missed the last two games within MCL's frame, but he did have a full practice this week, so he should be back this week. Michael Pittman was out last week with a back injury. He's been kind of dealing with this all season.
00:13:53
David Reed
We'll see if he gets to go this week. He seems like he's weak to something to monitor there. And I will say AD Mitchell and Alex Pierce stepped up in his absence, but that was with Joe Flacco, a quarterback, which again, we'll get into a little bit later. But of these wide receivers, who do you guys want to call out?
00:14:11
Joey
um I guess the the bills won the bills ones. It's interesting. These guys both have bum wrists, but um hopefully they'll get Cooper back because it would be nice to I mean like as a as a as a Cooper owner, like he's only played the one game since ah joining the team right at this point. I'm pretty sure he's only played that first game.
00:14:31
Ryan
and thanks so yeah
00:14:31
David Reed
or like maybe a game and a half, yes I'm like that.
00:14:33
Joey
and Yeah, yeah. ah So it'd be nice to see him get back out there. I'm interested to see what happens in Seattle. I feel like ah JSN kind of had his a little, you know, breakout in DK Metcalf's absence. So obviously DK is going to go to command the number one target share in that offense. Interesting to see if JSN can keep his production going. Hopefully Collins actually plays this week. I'm assuming he will because he should have played last week and apparently didn't. And.
00:15:07
Joey
um
00:15:09
Joey
Yeah, with Anthony Richardson coming back at quarterback, then um every single Colts wide receiver goes back to irrelevancy so. Who really cares about Michael Pittman's back because he doesn't get
Tight End Injuries and Lineup Considerations
00:15:21
Joey
any catchable targets anyway?
00:15:24
Ryan
Yeah. And then the only other comment I'll add is, is Chris Alavi, obviously fifth concussion is, is not great. I feel like he's heading down the Tua path, which is not a good path to be heading down.
00:15:35
Ryan
And you know, if you're an owner there, you definitely got to be concerned long-term in dynasty.
00:15:40
David Reed
I will say to it does lead him with his head down. So that's a guy.
00:15:44
Ryan
He's not afraid.
00:15:46
Joey
and
00:15:46
David Reed
He almost got another concussion this past week. He wants to tackle a guy. What an idiot. Um, I mean, respect the Gavin. Come on.
00:15:53
Ryan
Yeah.
00:15:53
David Reed
But after so, uh, one thing I will say, Nico Collins coming back. Hopefully that elevates CZ Stroud's stat lines going forward. It seems like Stroud needs Nico and that deep bomb to really be productive. So he's been struggling in the past couple of months. So it would be nice to get Nico back for him as well. Um, movement to tie the end real quick. Samuel Porta has a shoulder sprain. Uh, it seems like it shouldn't be a long-term issue, but it is something that could put this weekend down. So keep an eye on that.
00:16:19
David Reed
Duncan Cade as we were talking about the Bills pass catchers another one who's also injured It's a PCL spraying who came back with a brace but was clearly hobbled It's looking very unlikely that he'll play this week and they have a buy in week 12 So you're likely gonna be without a tight end if that's your go-to tight end for the next two weeks and then George Kittle He had a hamstring issue. He missed Wednesday practice Doesn't sound like it's gonna be a big concern and he seems like he should be able to go this week And he's the tight end one of the year. He's been dominating I think I don't think he's had a single week not a top ten tight end And I think almost every week it's almost been like a top five tight end So hopefully he can get out there because he's been a huge difference maker Any final call outs on the injuries guys?
00:17:03
Joey
no not for me
00:17:04
David Reed
All right, well Joe, you
Quarterback Returns and Team Impacts
00:17:07
David Reed
alluded to it. Anthony Richardson is back, baby. That's right.
00:17:10
Ryan
for
00:17:10
David Reed
Two game absence to Joe Flacco. Flacco definitely showed his age a bit. He was definitely a better passer than Richardson, but he was throwing a good amount of pecs and the team was not winning.
00:17:21
David Reed
So why not go back to A-Rich? Come on. I need you. Another young quarterback who who came back and maybe inspired the Colts to make this move was Bryce Young um for the Panthers. He got the job back, I believe, three games ago, but he's won two straight now. Won against the Giants, obviously, and I think they' i believe they won by this week, so he's riding a winning streak going into to the bye, which is good. so he's looked better i would not say he looks great but he didn't it look as bad as he had before it looks confident so we'll see what goes on there maybe he can keep that job speaking of the Giants also on a buy something keep an eye on if you've been riding Daniel Jones in the contract if he gets injured and can pass physical in the offseason his contract for next year becomes fully guaranteed
00:17:59
Joey
Thank you.
00:18:08
David Reed
um So the giants want to keep them healthy so that they potentially cut them and save a lot of cap space. Something happened with I think Derek Carr and Russell Wilson over the past couple of years. So they may be moving to DeVito or most likely Drew Lock out of the buy. So just know that you may be losing Daniel Jones soon. Christian McCaffrey came back as well. And then, yeah, I'll stop there with Christian McCaffrey coming back. with So any of these major takeaways of these storylines here, guys?
00:18:34
Joey
Yeah, the one like the one that ah ah that I one tend to want to comment on is the giant situation where um I think it it almost has to be Drew Lock coming out of the buy.
00:18:48
Joey
Frankly, if it's not Drew Lock coming out of the buy, i'm I'm of the belief as a fan that I would like to see um Joe Shane and Brian Dable given a shot to draft they draft their guy at quarterback and stick around.
00:19:01
David Reed
I agree.
00:19:03
Joey
but but I, this is a huge, but if, if they're, if they're dumb enough to put, to to put Daniel Jones out there and have him get injured and then fuck things up from the salary cap perspective for next season, just for no other reason than like, either they don't want to hurt Daniel's feelings or they're too stubborn to like, Oh, you know, everybody's saying we should do this, but we're going to do it anyway.
00:19:08
David Reed
Win games.
00:19:29
Joey
Uh, That will piss me off to the point where I think that like that decision alone could be worth worth enough. These guys to lose their jobs, right? Like they've they've made some poor decisions. I feel like they need to. They need to stick his ass on the bench now and then cut him at the end of the season and start over. So the only concern with that, like you said, is that I
Player Performances and Fantasy Value Analysis
00:19:48
Joey
actually think Drew Drew lock is more more functional and they might actually stumble into a winner too. So that's unfortunate, but losing to Carolina was nice because if there's any sort of like a tiebreak situation then.
00:20:00
Joey
ah Yeah, the Giants will have the the edge. So I think they're in a good position as long as they don't do anything stupid.
00:20:09
David Reed
Yeah, I get all all those but the stuff.
00:20:09
Ryan
yeah
00:20:10
David Reed
I'm sure I was another Giants fan.
00:20:12
Ryan
yeah Yeah, I'll leave the Giants alone. That's for you guys to talk about.
00:20:16
Joey
yeah
00:20:17
Ryan
um But yeah, I mean, CMC came back, immediately caught six catches and finished as the RB 11 on the week. So I feel like you got to be pretty excited if you've been waiting for his return and you know most likely as he ramps up over these next couple of weeks, he should be back to his usual self and right in time for the fantasy playoffs.
00:20:37
Ryan
So let's see how that plays out. And then, you know, Bryce Young making a little bit of a comeback is nice to see even though his stat lines haven't been great from a fantasy perspective, just the fact that he's back out there starting games is a huge win if you're a fantasy owner of him because it was looking pretty bleak there a couple weeks ago.
00:20:56
Ryan
Yeah.
00:20:57
David Reed
Yeah, he looked like a zero in value before. Now he's got something again.
00:20:59
Ryan
yeah
00:21:00
David Reed
And yeah he's given just enough values to x Xavier Legette and then Jalen Coker. Is this Jalen? I feel like it's Jalen Coker.
00:21:07
Ryan
Yeah.
00:21:09
David Reed
To get my parlay to hit last week, so that's all I needed.
00:21:13
Ryan
It's an interesting point though, if you have Bryce Young now, you've already seen a little bit of an up and down, and you're an owner. I can see someone you try to sell right now, he's got a little more value, or are you still just holding?
00:21:24
David Reed
I don't know how much value you can really juice out yet, so I'd probably hold it a little bit more. I think everyone's still a little skeptical about it, but if if he can finish the year as the starter and have...
00:21:31
Ryan
Yeah.
00:21:36
David Reed
He has to win a couple more games, too I think, to save his own job, because if they don't, they're going to have too high of a draft pay to maybe threaten the ability to draft another quarterback.
00:21:43
Ryan
yeah
00:21:47
David Reed
If you can give value, yes, take it. But i just I don't see anyone giving more, I don't know, like a third. Right now, yeah I don't know what you, I would not give anything higher.
00:21:55
Ryan
Yeah, I mean, that's the max.
00:21:57
David Reed
Um, yeah, a couple of other quick, uh, hitters to hit there is, uh, as we mentioned, uh, chiefs in my homes, they, you know,
00:21:57
Ryan
Yeah.
00:21:57
Joey
Yeah.
00:22:06
David Reed
sacrifice virgins to keep winning here. But I do want to say in that same game, Bo Nix is looking very solid as a rookie. And putting a pretty solid fantasy stat lines. On the other side though, Darnold looked real bad this past week. He got a question, potentially it's one week, but it's the magic running out there. So, something to keep an eye on there. Caleb Williams, I'm potentially putting a,
00:22:32
David Reed
the Yellow light on I'm a little concerned what we're starting to see out of Kayla Williams. He's putting up. Honestly, we're stats and brush young Really gross stat lines. They did just hire Waldron who was their OC got rid of him. He was terrible He was with the Seahawks last year and he heard JSN ever talk about him You kind of so see the writing of the ball that he was terrible um and yeah, so we we got some good quarterbacks and some bad quarterbacks here so we a couple rookies and one guy who's trying to play like everyone expected him to be as a rookie. So what are the takeaways for you, Bo Nix, Darnell, and Caleb here?
00:23:07
Joey
Yeah, um I do agree that I'm a little concerned about the darn old magic running out. um I just like, yeah, I don't know. it's a I think that the offense can, or he can get a little like ah tunnel vision on Justin Jefferson sometimes. And I mean, not that's a terrible thing, but it's just, I i find it to be frustrating.
00:23:34
Joey
um And yeah, I'm hopeful ah on the Caleb Williams front. I'd be excited to see them show some signs of life on it from an offensive standpoint this week. I wasn't loving the old rumor mill this week that some of the guys on the offense wanted to see Tyson be agent in there at quarterback.
00:23:53
Joey
Like I, I first, first of all, I don't, I don't really buy it because
00:23:54
David Reed
Oh, wow. Did I hear that?
00:24:01
Joey
Like I just like, I can't see any legitimate NFL veteran being, being like, uh, you know, we, we feel like it's Caleb Williams who's, who's weighing this team down and we want to see Tyson out out there, but at the same time,
00:24:18
Joey
There's like there was a video this past week of Williams getting like sacked and he was like laying down pretty hard on the ground. And like one of the DBs was like the first one over to like help him up after like a long like five or six seconds of him just like laying there. ah So like that was a little like alarming from like a locker room standpoint. So I don't know. I think like things are not particularly good right now in Chicago.
00:24:47
Joey
And maybe it was like, you know, he did kind of like throw the team, throw some of the guys on the defense under the bus after like the Hail Mary game. And, you know, like, it's just been like not a great situation for the team. I think Eberflux needs to go and he will go.
00:25:04
Joey
Uh, but we'll see, you know, like maybe the change at offensive coordinator will do something for this year. I just, I'm not totally sure that like this situation is like exactly worth like fully judging Caleb's future NFL potential on because.
00:25:20
Joey
One, it seems like he has a little growing up to do and two, it seems like a fucking just absolute mess in Chicago. And I think that's probably the main reason why he hasn't been performing, but just my, just my take there.
00:25:27
David Reed
Mm hmm.
00:25:36
Ryan
Yeah, no, I agree. I mean, it's definitely concerning. Like, he hasn't been what you thought he was going to be, especially with all the weapons that they have. You thought he'd be performing a little bit better, but it's interesting you mentioned that held Mary play. I feel like a lot of issues did kind of start after that and the way you acted with that. So, you know, who knows what's going on in the locker room and I don't know, maybe that is affecting some of their play, but
00:26:02
David Reed
Yeah. I mean, I, I feel like this is what all the concerns coming out of USC was though, is that he does. He thought he was better than everyone. He didn't seem like he cared about the team or, or the team and you see like anything. If a game team loss is like, it's not my fault. I'm doing everything I can.
00:26:20
David Reed
And like that on that lack of accountability, you can't you're not going to get better from it. And like he's playing back your body. He can't do those type of things. So all these with the red flags coming out of college, and you're seeing the issues now.
00:26:33
David Reed
So to me, it's like it is a character problem. He has to change himself.
00:26:35
Joey
Yeah.
00:26:36
David Reed
or Otherwise, he's going to be a bust. He'll never get better unless he starts holding himself more accountable. He has all the talent in the world to do it. and It is, ironically,
Strategies for Fantasy Contenders and Trade Considerations
00:26:46
David Reed
I understand the coaching, uh, scheme was the best, but from a personnel standpoint, one of the best personnel standpoints that rookies ever come into.
00:26:51
Joey
Yeah.
00:26:54
David Reed
Like how, like, how are you this bad? Like I, I, a lot of it is on you.
00:26:57
Joey
yeah
00:26:59
David Reed
I know Waldron's, uh, schemes kind of stank and, uh, Uber flu needs to go, but he's putting up like a hundred yards passing a game. He's like, he's missing throws.
00:27:09
David Reed
Like that's not on the.
00:27:10
Joey
Yeah, there are videos out there of him like just missing throws by like 10 yards.
00:27:11
David Reed
Yeah.
00:27:14
David Reed
It's missing, through yeah, like, horribly listening.
00:27:15
Joey
Yeah. And that's where, that's where like the only part of me that was like maybe one of the receivers or maybe somebody said something about wanting in bed because like there's like, there's like montages out there of him just like missing like four, five, six, seven guys by like um a wide margin and they're open and the throw is just like nowhere near them.
00:27:26
David Reed
Yes, they're back.
00:27:35
Joey
So yeah, not great.
00:27:35
David Reed
Yeah, so, yeah.
00:27:38
Ryan
Can't imagine. Can't imagine Tyson Badgent is the answer, but, but yeah.
00:27:41
Joey
No.
00:27:42
David Reed
No, definitely not.
00:27:42
Joey
No. Assuredly not.
00:27:45
David Reed
I think that's a, that's, we feel like that's an emotional statement that you just feel a little bit in making me.
00:27:48
Ryan
Yeah.
00:27:49
Joey
yeah
00:27:50
Ryan
Yeah.
00:27:50
David Reed
But yeah, you're not, your future cannot be tasted passion. At least we saw that.
00:27:54
Joey
yeah
00:27:56
David Reed
But yeah, it's, it's, it's tough being the one-on-one it seems like over the past two years. It seems like being the one or two is the better, the better quarterback these days. So hopefully the Giants get the second thing. Um, but anyway, moving on to those, uh, those teams, let's, uh, as we kind of talked about at the beginning of the show, it's that time for contenders to really start a deciding, are you contender? And if you are going to start making moves, start leveling up for the playoffs, because, uh, you want to be in the best position position to win. We also know that the rest of the league is going to be doing the same too. So it does become a little bit of an arms race at this time of year. Um, so with this, we kind of want to break down some players that if you're a contender,
00:28:33
David Reed
you may be trying to target and if you're a seller and and you happen to have these players on this team, you should be very vocal that they're on your team and make these contenders come to you. So with that said, see if there's any of these targets guys that, I don't know, Joe or Ry, if there's any players that you want to throw at that, because you guys are on the fringe right now of contenders. I'm technically in the same record, but I don't really, I think I'm a facade. If you will, what are some players that you think that you're kind of targeting right now as a contender?
00:29:03
Ryan
So I do like a couple of the receivers that we have noted here. Sutton, you know, we just talked about Bo Nix, who looks great. um You know, Sutton, wide receiver one, I feel like there's not really a ton of competition for targets there. I feel like he's someone that you could buy and you could be pretty solid, not just this year and for this fantasy playoffs, but would still hold a good amount of value going into next year.
00:29:29
Ryan
So I do like him and then Shakir on the bills. We talked about a lot of injuries on that team. He's and one that's still there and anyone that's at the top of that depth chart is pretty valuable in that offense. I feel like he's someone that There is some potential risk if all of a sudden Cooper and Coleman and Kincaid are back and healthy, he gets dropped down a little bit and doesn't do much. But right now it looks like could be someone you could buy a relatively cheap and if things stay the way they are, he could help you in the fantasy playoffs.
00:30:04
David Reed
Yeah, I think Josh Allen like really trusted here too, which is why he seems like a safe option and kind of what you just mentioned to rise. It's a good call out, especially when you're a contender, there's certain players like elite players. Obviously, if you have like a million pictures, you can level up, but there's also like trying to find more of the middle of the pack players that could level up and provide additional value that you don't have to break the bank on. And and also you're trying to find that right balance. So these are players that.
00:30:30
David Reed
Rebuilders could are more willing to part with so yeah, Courtland seven is a great call. It is a little bit older Not viewed as highly sha secure to secure just seems undervalued and redraft and and dynasty in general So I agree. I think those are two good calls. What about you Johnny any calls?
00:30:45
Joey
yeah so um I like the idea of Jacoby Myers. I think Jacoby Myers is one of those guys who, um as you were just saying, like doesn't break the bank to acquire, but he's quietly like um making ah you know establishing himself as the number one target there, even ahead of Brock Bowers over the last couple of weeks. um So I think he could do a lot worse than Jacoby Myers. I actually saw him get acquired in a redraft league that I'm in ah today, earlier today.
00:31:18
Joey
um
00:31:21
Joey
I'm going to I'm going to mention Romeo Dobbs here too, because ah and not in like and i I saw yeah you. We have him on the list in the dock and he's a good name to bring up, but also I just want to get your guys take like what's your what's your your temperature check on the whole Green Bay a wide receiver landscape at this point? Because I've Jaden Reed in a couple places and I almost feel like he's in like a weird situation where he's been like.
00:31:49
Joey
kind of underperforming the last several weeks. Like he started the season really hot and just like hasn't really been doing as much since then. ah So I'm wondering if there might be like a little bit of like an opportunity ah to Snag him right now at like maybe a so ah slight discount or would you even want to grab him at a discount? Because you never really know when Green Bay, you know Like sometimes it's Dobbs that catches touchdowns and sometimes it's read and other times if they're running touchdowns so it's like a little bit hard to predict who's gonna end up with the big games there like
00:32:25
Joey
know they but They also have Dontavian Wicks running around, and Tucker Craft manages to like catch a bunch of balls and catch touchdowns you know here and there as well. So it's a pretty tough offense to predict. So if you want it if you wanted to have a share of that offense somewhere, would it still be Reed that you would target? Or um you know are you do you have concerns about maybe the price that, especially in the dynasty, Reed would command?
00:32:52
Ryan
I think before we even talk about the playmakers, my comment would be Jordan Love is is kind of driving some of that. He's been... a little bit up and down. He's had some injuries, missed some games. So if Jordan loves back and fully healthy and himself, then I definitely would buy Reed. And I do also think Dobbs would be a good buy and both of them should have a lot of value. It's one of those situations, I know we're going to talk about it, but when your top QB goes down, you have these replacements coming in and they're just not as good. The receivers take a huge hit right off the bat. so
00:33:28
Ryan
it It could be a good buying opportunity for some of these Green Bay playmakers if Jordan Loves comes back and is himself. um But Dave, what do you think?
00:33:37
David Reed
Uh, I think that's a great call because I do think love has been part of the issue. Even when he's played, he's been hobbled and he hasn't looked as great. And that's had an impact on the past sketches. I still think Reed is the player in a vacuum I'd want the most, uh, regardless of like not talking about what it takes to acquire them. Just like.
00:33:55
David Reed
who I think is the number one player there. I think he's the most explosive. And and we he's very much got that like Deebo role in San Francisco. And Deebo, we see this all the time, he blows up. But then he goes like weeks where you're like you're a little disappointed and he just doesn't get the same volume. But then he always bounces back there. So you you may fluctuate a little bit more than you typically want out of a wide receiver one. But I think Reid is a pretty special talent there. But Dobbs is so who just always seems overlooked. and I think the reason i we have him on the top here is because i think I feel like he's more attainable because he doesn't have as much flashy upside, but I think he's also super, super safe like week in and week out. he does He's very involved in the offense. He's not always making the flashy plays. He does have like the tendency to get a a nice bomb touchdown here and there, but
00:34:42
David Reed
I also think defenses view him more as the secondary receiver, so he's probably usually up against lighter cornerbacks in general, which is probably what opens the field up for him a bit more. So if it came to what it takes to acquire players, it more so in Dynasty, I'm probably going to first kick the can on Dobbs, assuming that Reid is still going to demand a little bit, because I think what Reid was is a second-year wide receiver, and most teams drafted him in the late rookie draft, so you know they kind of Uh, like second to third round, people have like that emotional attachment to him.
00:35:15
David Reed
So I still think it's hard to get read for like a value. yeah I would definitely check it out, but I think the object can get for far, far cheaper and auto consistency standpoint.
00:35:24
Joey
Yeah.
00:35:25
David Reed
I think it's probably, I don't think it's far off. I think the upside is still on the read side, but I think like when you
00:35:30
Joey
Yeah, no, 100 percent.
00:35:31
David Reed
yeah
00:35:32
Joey
Yeah, just to throw out some numbers, right? The last three weeks, again, like take it with a grain of salt because Jordan loves been like iffy for some of these games. But week seven, week eight, week nine for Green Bay, Dobbs played eighty three, eighty four, eighty three percent of snaps and had ten, six and five targets.
00:35:53
Joey
Right, that is compared to Jaden Reed, who, hold on one second, just have to toggle back, played 74, 59, 68% of snaps and had four, three and six targets.
00:36:10
Joey
Now, like it's so that so that just kind of validates the point that we're trying to make here, which is like you know Dobbs is a significantly but cheaper player to acquire, and he's on the field more, and he's getting the ball thrown to him more, at least over the last couple of games. So ah it's definitely there's definitely some opportunity there.
00:36:27
David Reed
Yeah, wide receivers are also trickier sometimes and in dynasty in particular because obviously everyone wants a young wide receivers that they're valued so highly in that mistake so
00:36:37
Joey
Yeah.
00:36:38
David Reed
Obviously, if you can look for a little bit older guys and a couple other names that throughout there is like Calvin Ridley. It's someone who he's had a rough beginning of the year.
00:36:45
Joey
Yep.
00:36:46
David Reed
He's starting to heat up. We'll get into it a little bit later when we run through straight to schedules and some of these players, but he's got a very nice playoff schedule. So someone I definitely look into and see if you can get but at a value there.
00:36:57
David Reed
And then another one is kind of. He already blew up a couple of times this year. It's Juwan Jennings. He's a great opportunity. He didn't have a lot of draft gavel. He did get an extension in the off-season. And he looks great. He looks like the, honestly, number one wide receiver, like, prototypical wide receiver there. But I know, Joe, this is something that you've been kind of looking into as well.
00:37:18
Joey
Yeah, no, 100%. If you didn't mention him, I definitely would have, um, it just kind of feels like he's the perfect example of somebody who's in a good offense and getting targets. And as far as pass catchers go, I mean, McCaffrey coming back might eat into his like upside a hair.
00:37:39
Joey
And obviously, Kittle's the number one tight end, and Deebo's there. But he's on the field a ton, and he's going to have big games the rest of the way. um And especially in Dynasty, right? like If you're thinking about potentially acquiring Juwan Jennings, right like what you're thinking is, like he's go to add well yeah at a minimum, he's going to add me value for this particular stretch run this year. But then beyond that,
00:38:06
Joey
you know, like they they just extended to Ayuk. So like, you know, what exactly is his role in the offense moving forward? That's a little bit more of a question mark. um So maybe there's an opportunity there to get him just because his near-term value seems a little more secure than his long-term value.
00:38:26
David Reed
Yeah. And it, and I mean, going into this year, like that was kind of the same thought, but I, it's also going to be recovering from injury next year. They're going to have a cap space issue with purdy next year. So, Joe, do you point, I think it's like there's a selling team that is like where most people are thinking it's like, he feels more like a current year asset than a long-term asset. But if you're the contender buying it.
00:38:50
David Reed
Also know that there, it's not like he is only a near turn asset. There is like a pass for him to be useful going forward as well.
00:38:55
Joey
Oh yeah, yeah.
00:38:56
David Reed
So like it goes to me like when you're trying to buy, like you're trying to thread that needle. Like, you know, you're not going to get like a young ass of a crazy long future most likely, but finding someone who can help you this year and still probably help you in the future is also like a nice bonus to get.
00:39:10
Joey
Yeah, there's a running back that fits this kind of similar profile that I'll mention later
Evaluating Running Back Trade Values
00:39:16
Joey
because I feel.
00:39:16
David Reed
Well, Well, let's jump in the runbacks now. These runbacks generally feel like those are easier for rebuilders this to kind of trade away because they have shorter lifespans and contenders want them, they have bigger outputs.
00:39:28
David Reed
So this is where I think it's a little bit easier to make those trades. But Joe, I want you to jump in and tell us what runbacks you're talking about.
00:39:32
Joey
Yeah.
00:39:35
Joey
Yeah. So there's a couple that come to mind. Um, one of them is, uh, a guy that I've been looking at in a couple of leagues, Chase Brown. Um, I'm, I think he's got some, so I think he's got some solid upside in your term, but like my hesitation towards acquiring him or paying up big to acquire him is there's a ton of uncertainty about what his role will be in the longer term.
00:39:43
David Reed
Yeah.
00:40:00
Joey
And frankly. Does them add in Khalil Herbert or looking to add even more than just Khalil Herbert?
00:40:11
Joey
Was it? was it um I think it was Cincinnati that was, ah was it them who was working out Leonard Fournette?
00:40:21
David Reed
yeah they were
00:40:21
Joey
I think it was, yeah, yeah. So like they're they're obviously looking to add a little bit more depth at the running back position. But that being said, right? Like Chase Brown had like 11 targets last week or something like that. so Was that just a reflection of T Higgins being out? um you know like Do you really want to give up like high draft capital to pick up a ah running back who maybe profiles more of like a change of pace back for the rest of his career, but might smash for the next couple of weeks of this season? ah ah like so that's He's been like a really polarizing guy for me as I've been like thinking about running backs who acquire, so curious where you guys stand on him.
00:41:00
Ryan
Yeah, I actually tried to acquire him in our league like not too long ago. So i I think everyone kind of thinks pretty highly of him. I think that's the only issue is his price has skyrocketed it at this point. So if you want to acquire him, you have to give up a good amount. But I do think he is someone that could definitely help a lot and lead you to a championship. If he's someone you can like throw in your flex.
00:41:25
David Reed
Yeah. He, and what is he, a second year player?
00:41:28
Ryan
Yeah, he's young.
00:41:28
Joey
Yeah.
00:41:29
David Reed
Yeah. That's anyone who like, when you're dealing with the, the teams that drafted the players and it's like still like in the first two, even three years, it's always, there's the emotional attachment makes it a tougher to pry them away.
00:41:41
David Reed
Uh, cause I feel like because he was probably like a third round pick if I had to guess. Um, Yeah, I mean, other, a couple of running backs that I've been thinking about, we already talked about the check on, uh, uh, dynamic there, either one of those thing, good targets Montgomery, I think is always just a target. It seems like he's always in the zone all the time. Someone teams over is looking to acquire.
00:42:04
David Reed
But I do want to throw out from older guys Gus Edwards is coming it back and I feel like you can get him really cheap and he's be someone I like I wouldn't bank on like you're like the only movie makers contender But someone I might just like throw in to try and like get his additional debt and see what happens there ah With charges seems like he's starting to get more work. He had a pretty good Manatee like 10 rushes or something this past week So some someone I might try to get you can get him probably pretty cheaper maybe in a package deal But also tuber Hubbard is in a weird spot right now. He just got a big contract extension. Brooks is coming back after the buy. I don't know how the owners of either of these players are feeling right now, if they want to try to cash out before the dynamic of the split happens. So that I would at least have a conversation with that owner and see what it's going to cost you. But I do think some of the hubber owners might be like, oh, he's the lead back. And I'm like, no, but I would at least like reach out to him. I know where you guys are feeling on that.
00:43:02
Ryan
Yeah, Hubbard's been great. It definitely will will be interesting to see what happens ah down the stretch. And it's weird that they gave him you know that contract because they had Brooks.
00:43:14
Ryan
But I don't know. It'll be interesting to see.
00:43:16
David Reed
They still have a lot of money tied into Sanders, too.
00:43:18
Ryan
Yeah, true.
00:43:19
Joey
and The timing of it is so so bizarre.
00:43:19
Ryan
and
00:43:24
Joey
I just like I can't like I don't understand who they're bidding against, giving a giving him gift giving him that contract at this point in the season. And like before Brooks has even had a chance to like show something that he's got on the field. I don't know if it's a situation where they must see something in practice or like they almost have to like they use high draft capital on Brooks.
00:43:53
David Reed
Yes.
00:43:53
Joey
I don't know it's not to me that was like a pretty puzzling decision and it only adds tons of uncertainty to both of the both of these guys for dynasty to the point where like i've looked at them on squads like where i'm trying to acquire running back and i'm just like you know what Can't do it.
00:44:11
Joey
its there I just don't wanna dip my toes in those waters because as soon as I trade for Hubbard, just got a contract and he's been playing well.
00:44:11
Ryan
Yeah, I know.
00:44:17
Ryan
yeah
00:44:18
Joey
All of a sudden Brooks is gonna come back. He's designated to return from IR. He's gonna eat, what if he like flashes and now all of a sudden I got a mess. So I'm personally out.
00:44:26
Ryan
And I agree. It's tough to buy either one. You can't buy Brooks just with everything going on with Hubbard. You have no idea what's going to really happen. and But yeah, similar to kind of what Dave was talking about, I feel like running backs are a little easier because typically in Dynasty you can just target some of the older running backs. And even if they're having a really good year, people are more willing to sell them because generally if they're older, they're not going to have too many years left. So, you know, Camara,
00:44:53
Ryan
Uh, and James Connor, I feel like are two that are on that you know cliff age that people are starting to get worried about, but they could definitely carry you through this year and the playoffs. And James Connor, I think based on what we had looked at has the easiest running back schedule for the fantasy playoffs. So he could, he could really help you win a championship. And, you know, it's not always a guarantee that these guys hit the cliff and all of a sudden their value goes to zero. We've seen that with Derek Henry, who.
00:45:23
Ryan
A lot of people last year thought was going to hit that cliff and all of a sudden it's the number one running back this year. So it can work out well.
00:45:31
David Reed
who Is that a little plug for a trade you made last year?
00:45:33
Ryan
I get i got i gotta to throw that in there just because, you know, yeah you got to pat yourself on the back once in a while here.
00:45:41
David Reed
oh For sure. I mean that that his values just continues to hold and that's also where like people over Overvalue youth in dynasty. So this is when you try to take advantage of that. Obviously Henry is like an anomaly but
00:45:55
Ryan
Yeah, I mean, look, no one was expecting that from Henry, including us, but it's just, it brings up a good point of you can buy some of these older running backs for these fantasy playoffs because people are more willing to part with them and then it's not like their value just goes to zero next year.
00:46:10
David Reed
yeah
00:46:11
Joey
Um, all right, quick game right here. Um, I was thinking about this before the podcast.
00:46:14
David Reed
and love it.
00:46:16
Joey
I'm going to, we're going to call this game, um, first or more first round pick or more. So I'm going to name a bunch of running backs and you guys tell me if their value is a first round pick or, or more.
00:46:29
Joey
Right. So you have to tell me like, would you look to acquire this player for it? Would you pay a first? Do you think it would take more? So first, first name on the list, James Connor. Um, it's, if you were, if you were looking to acquire a running back, would you be willing to trade next year's first round pick to acquire James Connor right now?
00:46:50
David Reed
If it was a late, if I knew it would be a late first, I agree with that too more.
00:46:50
Ryan
potentially yeah Potentially a first, I wouldn't give up more though. like like i If someone was going to trade them straight up for a first and I was really contending, I'd consider it, but I'm not giving up more.
00:47:00
Joey
Yeah. That's that's that's kind of the way I was envisioning the game.
00:47:05
David Reed
Yeah.
00:47:05
Joey
Like you would not give up more, but at first you would.
00:47:08
David Reed
Yeah.
00:47:09
Ryan
Yeah.
00:47:09
David Reed
And I have, it has to be like a late, like I have to be in a position where like, I am pretty good and this is going to make sure it's a bottom four pick in the first round.
00:47:17
Joey
Yeah, if you're on the fence like a five and five team, you're not you.
00:47:18
David Reed
Yeah, I wouldn't do it. It's too risky then.
00:47:20
Joey
Yeah, yeah. ah All right, next one, Bucky Irving.
00:47:25
David Reed
I don't think I would do that.
00:47:27
Ryan
Yeah, now I'm not giving up the first for him.
00:47:28
Joey
No.
00:47:29
David Reed
No, I'm not giving up the first.
00:47:30
Ryan
yeah
00:47:31
Joey
Interesting I feel like I feel like there's there's more future upside with bucky Irving that it it could almost be worth it Yeah, yeah, yeah now we're sad why it's been pretty good Well a couple of like one or two weeks he said one or two good weeks but Yeah
00:47:37
Ryan
so So that's my thing, though. I feel like he's less likely likely to win you the championship this year. He he probably holds value a little longer, but Rashad White has, you know, and he's been great.
00:47:51
Ryan
We keep saying that he stinks, but he's been its been pretty good.
00:47:53
David Reed
Yeah.
00:47:56
David Reed
Yeah, I.
00:47:57
Ryan
Yeah, but I'm not buying Bucky Irving hoping to win a championship with him, so I wouldn't give up first.
00:48:02
David Reed
I also think I don't ah when we did the rookie read off, I also don't think we drafted him in the first round. yeah I just don't think he's worth their first round pick in general. I would do a second and then something else with it, but I don't think I could give up the first for Bucky.
00:48:14
Joey
Yeah. ah All right. Along those same lines, Chase Brown first or more.
00:48:19
Ryan
Chase Brown, I would.
00:48:21
David Reed
I would probably give it away, just because I think you can help me this year.
00:48:21
Ryan
Chase Brown, I would give up a first.
00:48:21
Joey
You.
00:48:24
Ryan
Me too.
00:48:25
David Reed
I don't think Bucky's helping you win this year. I think Chase will help you win this year.
00:48:29
Joey
Yeah, so that that's the thing. Like I was I'm I've made offers ah for Chase Brown in in several leagues, several dynasty leagues, including ours. And I haven't been willing to go to a first round pick because I don't I don't think that I'm not convinced enough ah on his long-term outlook where I think I'm like willing to commit a potential high first to acquire him.
00:48:52
David Reed
Well, that's, I think partially the difference with kids. It sounds like for the bookie chasing, you're looking at the long-term. If I'm contending, I'm more concerned about current year. I'm not giving a per person on any player that doesn't help me more. So this year, I don't think Bucky gets you a championship this year. I think Chase can.
00:49:07
Joey
Yeah, fair enough. Okay, ah keeping the keep going down the list. Aaron Jones.
00:49:13
David Reed
No, not giving up the first.
00:49:14
Joey
No.
00:49:15
Ryan
yeah Yeah.
00:49:17
David Reed
I can't, I have no faith in Aaron Jones's health at all. I can't, it's too much risk involved in Aaron Jones.
00:49:22
Joey
Yeah.
00:49:23
David Reed
Yeah, he can blow up games, help you. I just, it's so much risk for me to give up a first.
00:49:27
Joey
Yeah.
00:49:29
Ryan
Yeah, he's only there running back 16 on the year. It's not like he's having an you know, an amazing year where where he's going to win either league.
00:49:33
David Reed
Does he keeps getting hurt?
00:49:34
Joey
Yeah.
00:49:34
David Reed
I recommend feel like.
00:49:36
Joey
Yeah. I have, I have Joe Mixon on this list, but I feel like Joe Mixon is an obvious.
00:49:39
David Reed
I would, yes, I would easily give up the first and probably
00:49:41
Joey
Yes. Yeah.
00:49:42
Ryan
Yeah.
00:49:43
Joey
Yeah.
00:49:44
David Reed
Well, some will not actually a little bit more for took together across the because I I think he could be like a top five option tours in the I feel like he's that this year and Yeah, so like he got a contract with them.
00:49:46
Joey
More.
00:49:53
Joey
This year, yeah, and maybe next year too.
00:49:58
David Reed
So I think he's definitely worth the
Trading Strategies Based on Playoff Schedules
00:50:00
David Reed
first plus
00:50:00
Joey
Yeah, and last one, and this is this one's a little interesting to me because it's. An offense that I mentioned earlier, there's uncertainty around and they always try to like committee their backfields, but Josh Jacobs.
00:50:15
David Reed
Yeah, I think I would give up a first.
00:50:20
Ryan
i don't think that I don't think I would.
00:50:20
Joey
So i I lean no on this one for that same reason as earlier.
00:50:23
David Reed
Really?
00:50:23
Ryan
Yeah, I don't think I would.
00:50:24
David Reed
just
00:50:24
Joey
like i just like like I want to, like in in theory, as I'm as i'm like out there like testing the waters, I'm like, oh, maybe Jacobs. And then you know they give Emmanuel Wilson a shitload of carries.
00:50:37
Joey
And ah what the what the hell is his name? um
00:50:43
Ryan
Marshawn Lloyd.
00:50:44
Joey
Marshall and Lloyd, that's right. It's designated to return from IR.
00:50:45
David Reed
but ah you go to get hurt again come on
00:50:47
Joey
I mean, he's probably going to get hurt again. Yeah. but like
00:50:50
David Reed
ah
00:50:50
Joey
I like I don't know like I just like.
00:50:53
David Reed
I see I and he just gets so much work in the couple games the So two of the last three games where he didn't he was like he had just so many yards It was so efficient and he had but he was still solid. He's like it always at least in RB 2 But he has that upside to be more in a good offense. I I and And I think he's got value going forward.
00:51:15
David Reed
Again, I'm not giving more than a first right now.
00:51:18
Joey
Yeah, no, that makes sense.
00:51:19
David Reed
if
00:51:20
Joey
And I think these are like really interesting questions.
00:51:22
David Reed
yeah
00:51:23
Joey
Uh, especially like running backs tend to be more interesting to to talk about because like, as I was, I was like thinking about potentially adding a couple wide receivers to the list, but like, it's just so hard with it's so hard at wide receiver.
00:51:34
David Reed
that's tough but why i' doing yeah
00:51:37
Joey
Yeah. Cause like people just value wide receivers differently depending on their age and situation and whatnot.
00:51:41
David Reed
The thing too is like when I'm thinking about this game too, I'm considering like I'm an actual contender. We're like, I'm not fringe. Like these are going to be late for some texts. And to me, that's a little bit different. Like I would give up a late for Josh Jacobs.
00:51:53
David Reed
I would not give up probably a mid to early first at all for gushing.
00:51:56
Joey
Yeah, but that's the decision you gotta make right now.
00:51:57
David Reed
Yeah.
00:51:58
Joey
If you're five and five, like like, if you're like right now I'm five and five and I could use a running back in two league two leagues, two dynasty leagues, both five and five, both need a running back in both.
00:52:00
Ryan
Right.
00:52:00
David Reed
Well, five that's what I mean. But if you're like seven and three, I would be i would be like,
00:52:10
Joey
And I'm just like, do I trade this week?
00:52:11
David Reed
and
00:52:12
Joey
Do I trade next week? Do I not trade at all?
00:52:13
David Reed
Yeah.
00:52:13
Joey
Do I, trade you know, like I mean, yeah, that's kind of like the decision you have to make.
00:52:14
David Reed
Look at the rest of your roster. Is it strong? is Was it just bad luck and you can bounce back? Yeah.
00:52:21
Joey
But like the thing is, right? Like even if it's a strong roster, um, you make a trade like that and you suffer like one or two big injuries this week, you have some bad luck and before you know it, like that's like a top five or six pick, maybe even higher that you just traded.
00:52:35
David Reed
It happens. I'm not going to lie. It happens. I've i've been there.
00:52:39
Joey
Yeah, it sucks.
00:52:40
David Reed
it
00:52:40
Joey
You know you you never wanna be stuck holding the bag. That's why i like in the situation I'm in, with these five and fives, I'm probably gonna let it play out one more week before I make a move because I don't wanna be stuck holding the bag and not have my first if it's a top six.
00:52:55
David Reed
I'm going to be here this weekend. All right. I'll just keep you on the tank and I can't take, um, so annoying. Well, yeah. Uh, Lastly, I just want to throw out a couple tight ends because we're tying in premium, but tight ends I can't help.
00:52:55
Joey
so
00:53:07
David Reed
Uh, last year, if you had David and Joe who he definitely helped a lot to get to the title.
00:53:10
Ryan
And we'll see you next week.
00:53:12
David Reed
He's also, it should be someone I'd be targeting this year, but I also throw out Hunter Henry is a nice chief option and John Smith has been very involved. Um, and I don't think should be super expensive to acquire either.
00:53:23
David Reed
Um, but just a couple options that I would throw out there. I don't know if there's any other guys you want to call out.
00:53:29
Joey
Now, Henry's interesting to me too. Because I feel like he gives the impression of someone who's unreliable and trending down. And every time you think that's going to be the case, he gets like nine targets and catches a touchdown.
00:53:40
David Reed
hot
00:53:44
Joey
So I definitely think there's value there. And I'm not just saying that because I have.
00:53:49
David Reed
i haven't another That's the only reason why you know about it, yeah.
00:53:50
Joey
Come get them folks. yeah Exactly.
00:53:53
David Reed
You wouldn't know if you didn't own them.
00:53:54
Joey
Yeah.
00:53:56
David Reed
I do want to call out, so there, and this is a unique situation for a lot of contending teams because obviously, if you had some top tier wide receivers, you probably were doing pretty well. But as we mentioned, there's been some quarterback injuries that have negatively impacted some wide receivers since wide receivers are tied to those quarterbacks. and And we've seen in the past with like, Shamar Chase with Browning last year, how bad it could be.
00:54:20
David Reed
that these players really get tanked. So what are you guys doing with ah C.D. Lamb and Brian Thomas Jr., if you're a contender right now, knowing that they're likely without a good quarterback for the rest of the year and their ceilings are at least lowered?
00:54:37
Ryan
I'll let Joe go first since I'm an owner of one.
00:54:40
Joey
I think it's worth it to, if you're a contender, I think it's worth it to kick the tires with a squad that is potentially not a contender and looking to treat or possibly looking to trade you a receiver of similar, maybe slightly lesser value, ah but who's going to contribute more the rest of this season.
00:55:10
Joey
I'm trying to think of some examples and obviously with lamb, you'd have to look at like the very, very tippy top of the, of the wide receivers, but like, I don't know. Let's see. Maybe you could get a trade for.
00:55:28
Ryan
That's the thing with like a lamb, his his value is so high, it's like, well, you're going to sell him, but who's going to buy him?
00:55:29
Joey
Yeah.
00:55:34
Joey
Let's see. Malik neighbors, Malik, Malik neighbors, which
00:55:38
David Reed
That's tough because the and quarterback situation also probably not just cause like, yeah, they haven't felt like the quarterback is situation is just, you're, you're making such a huge risk because you're, why are you giving sick lamb away?
00:55:39
Joey
if If you're a lamb owner and and somebody offers you Malik neighbors for CD lamb, do you take it?
00:55:49
Joey
even even with Even with the Giants having the best playoff schedule for wide receivers?
00:56:01
David Reed
Cause the quarterback situation. So then why you're going to take neighbors back, who else is a bad quarterback? Because the the Cowboys, I believe, have a pretty good schedule too. So it's not really the schedule. It's the quarterback situation. So you're just trading one bad situation for another.
00:56:15
Joey
Yeah, lamb's 25. Who else? Let's see. I'm i'm going.
00:56:20
Ryan
Yeah. it's It's tough to sell them because the long-term outlook is still there. So it's like youre you're selling them to potentially contend this year, but then you're losing all that future value. I don't know. It's tough.
00:56:34
Joey
AJ Brown, would you trade lamb for AJ Brown?
00:56:38
David Reed
Yeah, that would make sense. If ah i guess if you were a rebuilder, I could see you maybe wanting to do something like that. Yeah, yeah I could see that happening.
00:56:45
Joey
Yeah, yeah, like I think i think that like, i guess I guess my comment is that sometimes if you're a contender and you're and and you have one of these like unfortunate situations befalling you, um it's worthwhile to try try and look and see if you can make a move like that. that Granted, it's not going to work out every time.
00:57:08
Joey
It's probably like a 50-50. And AJ Brown's always hurt.
00:57:09
David Reed
That's
00:57:11
Joey
So you could acquire him, and then he could continue to be always hurt.
00:57:12
David Reed
true.
00:57:14
Joey
But he's still going to be ah he's still gonna be like a similar value wide receiver as Lamb moving forward. So even if it doesn't work out this year, you're not like completely screwed.
00:57:26
Joey
And his upside for the rest of the season, and he puts you in a significantly better likelihood of winning the championship this year. So there's that.
00:57:36
Joey
Yeah, that'd be what I... I would at least kick the tires on that.
00:57:37
David Reed
Yeah. yeah yeah You got to go to the standings and go to all the losing teams and see who they got.
00:57:39
Joey
I wouldn't just...
00:57:42
Joey
Yeah, exactly, exactly.
00:57:44
David Reed
It's going to be situational there.
00:57:44
Joey
Yeah.
00:57:47
David Reed
And then what about Brian Thomas?
00:57:47
Joey
like like Like Harry's team, I think they have AJ Brown in our league and they're a big time loser team.
00:57:49
David Reed
Yeah. That actually would be... well They did their best.
00:57:54
Joey
So if you had ZULM and you were contending, that's actually something that you could...
00:58:00
David Reed
They ah got um unlucky a couple of times.
00:58:00
Joey
Yeah, no.
00:58:05
David Reed
Um, but they, they, you know, they get the whole college truck. Uh, but what about Brian Thomas Jr.? What do you, what, what are you thinking there? Would you be making that move or like what type of play would you look and return there?
00:58:18
Ryan
I mean, I feel like it's very similar to what Joe was saying. If you're gonna give him up, you gotta to be getting someone that you're really sure is gonna help you not only win this year, but still retain a good amount of value after this year because you're not gonna give up someone like that.
00:58:31
David Reed
Mm-hmm.
00:58:34
Ryan
for, you know, just the next few weeks and then, you know, be out that future. So I feel like it's tough to make trades like that because although these players have a QB issue and you know, they're not going to be as valuable the rest of the year as an owner, you're holding on to that hope of like, yeah, but next year they're going to be right back where they were before the quarterback injury. Right. Like if you're a lamb or a Thomas owner, that's what you're hoping. So.
00:59:01
David Reed
Sure, but you also might not have a championship at that point. That's the difference.
00:59:04
Ryan
It's true, it's true.
00:59:06
David Reed
Gotta get that title. It's all that matters.
00:59:08
Joey
i would I would look at Thomas as more of like ah if my team was not contending. um I might like try to initiate a trade to acquire him.
00:59:17
David Reed
I may have done that.
00:59:19
Joey
Yeah, just because.
00:59:19
David Reed
I may have already did for that, but got rejected. I'll try again later.
00:59:26
Ryan
There's talks happening.
00:59:27
David Reed
There's no talks happening. I think there's a fit. but
00:59:33
Ryan
But yeah, it's tough, it's tough.
00:59:34
David Reed
It's definitely tough. All right. Now, I want to quickly run into each position and just talk about some of this. ah We alluded to a little bit, but the ah the teams that have a very good playoff schedule and the teams that have bad playoff schedules and kind of see, based on that position, if there's any moves that you maybe kick the tires on a target in, one thing I have seen is a lot of the, at least for quarterback smart receivers, it's on bad teams that have good schedules. It's very unfortunate, so I don't know how much moves you can make, but I'll toss it out there real quick.
01:00:03
David Reed
yeah jumping out first at the quarterbacks, the teams with the best, or the weakest, I should say, strength of schedule going into the final weeks of the year for the playoffs. You have the Tennessee Titans, the New York Giants, Las Vegas Raiders, Carolina Panthers, throwing up in my mouth right now, Tampa Bay Bucks, and then Denver Broncos, and then finish it up with, you have the Cowboys and the Jets, and the Cardinals are pretty solid too to close it out. But then the bottom five,
01:00:32
David Reed
ah Hardest schedules we got the Buffalo Bills the Bengals the 49ers the Seahawks and the Lions so all the strong teams have the tough schedules, but are you worried about any like if because obviously most teams have quarterbacks in the bottom five teams there like are you
01:00:40
Ryan
I was going to say, it's interesting. It's like all the bad teams with the bad quarterbacks have the easiest schedule, and then the best quarterbacks have have the toughest schedule, which is kind of crazy.
01:00:51
Ryan
um
01:01:00
David Reed
I don't think you're pivoting off of Burrow or or a Josh Allen, but are you are you nervous at all making out of the plans?
01:01:06
Ryan
I feel like Jared Goff is one that if you're relying on him, he's like your QB one, you're a true contender going into the playoffs.
01:01:16
David Reed
And he's got the top of the squad.
01:01:16
Ryan
Like, yeah, that's definitely concerning. Like, he has by far the hardest schedule, um you know, playing all the top defenses.
01:01:18
David Reed
Yeah.
01:01:23
David Reed
Bills, Bears, and 49ers, yeah.
01:01:26
Ryan
So, you know, if you can flip him for someone of equal value that's got a little bit of an easier schedule and and you're a true contender, I feel like it's not it not a bad idea.
01:01:39
David Reed
And I would look into maybe, I know he's been hot lately, but he did have a down game last week. He's checking out Baker. If you have golf, maybe trying to make a flip, the Baker, I don't know if it'll definitely work, but he's getting, getting Evans back and he's got a pretty nice schedule to close up the year, especially the final two weeks with the Cowboys and the Panthers. So that's what I'd look into bone next. We've already kind of talked about, um, but yeah, I mean, if.
01:02:03
Ryan
Uh, I mean, I, yeah,
01:02:03
David Reed
If you really need you, I can give you, I don't know, you yeah viu if you want to get deck, get Minshu, Mac Jones, and Cooper Roch over at pretty lands.
01:02:12
Ryan
yeah you're not, you're not doing it for those guys. I mean, if someone would trade me Baker Mayfield for Jared Goff, I would do that instantly.
01:02:19
David Reed
Well, I think you have to do something else with God, but that might be the combo I'd be looking into.
01:02:21
Ryan
ah Yeah.
01:02:25
Ryan
Yeah.
01:02:25
Joey
You think you'd have to do something else with golf for me, for Baker in, in a dynasty.
01:02:29
David Reed
Potentially.
01:02:29
Ryan
See, that's why I would be going after Baker. I feel like he's like undervalued, where people people still think of him at that level, but...
01:02:33
David Reed
That's the thing, I think, I think, I'd rather have Baker than Goff personally.
01:02:39
Ryan
Yeah, me too.
01:02:40
David Reed
And yes, they both have great contracts.
01:02:42
Joey
All right.
01:02:43
David Reed
I think Baker's the better actual quarterback. Goff is great, but they run the ball so much that they're often score so many points and he doesn't always put up the points, but Baker's, you know.
01:02:54
Joey
This year, this year though, like.
01:02:55
Ryan
Baker's been on fire for two years straight.
01:02:56
David Reed
That's their identity. And it's not going to change. They so they have Gibbs signed through and they re-extended Monty. All offense is not changing.
01:03:04
Joey
Well, they are going to run. Yeah. But like they, their defense this year is, is a little bit stronger. And I feel like that's why they're, they end up in these like negative game scripts for the quarterback where they're up by a shitload and they just.
01:03:17
David Reed
They get Aiden Hutchinson back next year. It's going to be even better next year.
01:03:20
Joey
Yeah.
01:03:22
Joey
I don't know. I mean, ah look, i I think it's I don't I don't know that it's like a guarantee that everybody would would feel that, you know, they prefer to have.
01:03:31
David Reed
I would first do ah a straight swap or play around. Joe, you're a good point. I would feel out what that person thinks first before blowing the doors off with a big offer because maybe you can get Baker and something for golf.
01:03:39
Joey
Yeah.
01:03:45
David Reed
But I don't think golf has been putting up like monster weeks lately. So I don't i think that'd be a tough sell this year.
01:03:50
Ryan
I mean, I think even just this conversation has proven that, you know, they're like similar value, but people clearly value them differently. So that's where if if you can sell golf for someone like that, maybe it makes sense.
01:03:50
Joey
Yeah.
01:04:03
Joey
Yeah. The five picks last week certainly didn't help.
01:04:04
David Reed
Yeah, yeah, it's still one.
01:04:06
Joey
That was like a nice minus 10.
01:04:06
Ryan
Yeah, I mean, I had a rough game.
01:04:08
David Reed
forming again
01:04:09
Joey
Yeah.
01:04:09
Ryan
yeah
01:04:09
David Reed
yeah
01:04:10
Joey
Yeah.
01:04:11
David Reed
Sticking with because strength schedule is going to be pretty similar for the wide receivers. When it comes to quarterbacks, but running through the wide receivers, you actually get the Giants at number one with the easy schedule. Titans, then the Bears, Raiders, Packers.
01:04:26
David Reed
Jets, Broncos, and then, honestly, the Chiefs have a pretty decent schedule as well. And then the bottom five, you're looking at the Saints, which they don't even have wide receivers anyway. The Rams, who, that's tough, Puca and Cuca Cup, the Lions, as we already mentioned, the Jags and the Colts.
01:04:44
David Reed
That's all right, Anthony Richardson's not past the ball yet.
01:04:46
Joey
Yeah.
01:04:47
David Reed
um but
01:04:47
Joey
It's really just the Rams that you're worrying about there.
01:04:49
David Reed
Interesting that you were, yeah. Which is tough, because that's actually, those are two key wide receivers there.
01:04:55
Joey
Yeah.
01:04:56
David Reed
But,
01:04:56
Ryan
It brings up a good point with Brian Thomas Jr. again, though, of if you do hold on to him, not only did he lose his quarterback, but now he's got a really tough schedule in the playoffs.
01:04:59
David Reed
no
01:05:06
David Reed
yeah.
01:05:07
Ryan
But I mean, on the flip side of it, some guys we did kind of already talk about too, but Courtland Sutton, you know, having the seventh easiest schedule, I feel like could be a really good buy there again. And then Jacoby Myers with the fourth easiest schedule.
01:05:20
David Reed
Yeah, and the factors too that we mentioned, so I can take a shot on any packer, honestly.
01:05:20
Ryan
So it's interesting that those guys that we talked about yeah have the easiest schedules. Yeah.
01:05:27
Joey
Yeah, and I mean, so Chicago is interesting too, because you never like you don't there's the there's that little shred of uncertainty of uncertainty with the new offensive coordinator where maybe things just start to click for them. But I don't know, I'm not necessarily banking on it. So I i I like, I dropped DJ Moore in a redraft this week and he was immediately picked up, which I figured that he would be, but I have options.
01:05:55
Joey
And I just like, I just, I look before I dropped him, I looked at his upcoming schedule and it was a sea of green. And I'm just like, you know, but yeah,
01:06:05
David Reed
It also had been green for like it hasn't, it hasn't been right.
01:06:06
Joey
yeah yeah, yeah.
01:06:08
David Reed
in in easy schedule
01:06:09
Joey
So like if Chicago can figure it out, there's there's tons of opportunity there and you would think more stands the chance to benefit the most, but yeah, I would want to see it first, so.
01:06:20
David Reed
Yeah. Another couple of it is funny. A lot of the names that we called all have good schedule to go to Kobe Myers on the Raiders. Um, and then Ridley on the Titans as well. Uh, so. Could be good value for the playoffs there.
01:06:31
Joey
Yeah.
01:06:32
David Reed
And then obviously if you have neighbors, we'll see what happens with the quarterback situation, but it is very juicy.
01:06:39
Joey
Yeah, I have it. I have a funny feeling that. Drew lock if they do go to him, which I pray that they will might actually do some good things for their offense, so we'll see.
01:06:49
David Reed
Yeah. Yeah, I mean, it can't be worse.
01:06:52
Joey
Yeah.
01:06:53
David Reed
Dan Jones, like, I think we were talking about live when the game happened. Neighbors got open. There wasn't a player within seven yards of him.
01:07:00
Joey
Yeah.
01:07:00
David Reed
And Dan Jones was just outside of the pocket. And there wasn't really any defenders between the two of them. And he overthrew it by like 15 yards. I just don't even understand how you do that. And I left the inside watching the game, took a shower because I was like, I can't believe this is happening right now.
01:07:13
David Reed
But anyway, moving to the running backs. Running backs with the teams with the best running back schedules. And again, just as it's all coming from the fantasy footballers, they have a cool dashboard. It's all schedule adjusted, so it's based on who you play because obviously some team defenses play bad teams, so their stats get popped. This is actually adjusting for who did you play if you played good teams or bad teams. They they adjust what you the expectations should be.
01:07:36
David Reed
But for running backs, the best schedules we have in the playoffs, Arizona Cardinals, Tampa Bay Bucks, New York Jets, the Falcons, the Lions, the Raiders, the Jags, they don't matter, the Runbacks think, and then the Saints. And then for the bottom five, we are looking at The Broncos, the Bears, the Texans, the Browns, and the Steelers. So again, like I know we talked about Joe Mixon. It's still, I'm okay with Joe Mixon even though it's a tough schedule, because I think he'll catch him passes. But you do got some, like the Steelers have a couple running backs there, but there is some juicy matches from like pretty dominant running games on the top. It was a big call that you guys are looking at. um I mean, we just thought about the Lions. It seems like they're gonna eat at the end of the year.
01:08:23
Joey
Yeah, I mean, the lions and the falcons, like Bijan.
01:08:23
Ryan
yeah
01:08:27
Joey
Bijan is quietly dominating right now and you kind of...
01:08:27
David Reed
yeah
01:08:32
Ryan
Yeah, I mean we just talked about James Connor too, who literally has
01:08:34
David Reed
Yeah.
Analyzing Team Schedules for Playoff Advantages
01:08:35
Ryan
the easiest schedule.
01:08:38
Ryan
so
01:08:39
David Reed
And that even the Jets do, I know Breeze has been a bit of a disappointment. He's been more running back to on the year. Um, but, and honestly, there's a lot of green leading up to the playoffs too. So hopefully you get going, but also in case anything happens, just brailing Allen to someone that maybe if you're a Breeze owner or you just try to grab hopefully in the chief, I know he's a rookie, but that schedule is juicy.
01:09:01
Joey
Yeah. And, uh, my man, Bucky Irving, you know what I will say for Tampa Bay with Tampa Bay, having such a favorable schedule for running back.
01:09:04
David Reed
in effort.
01:09:09
Joey
Like if one of those two guys does happen to get hurt, which we saw Rashad white miss a couple of games earlier in the season and Bucky kind of like was pretty dominant. So if one of those two guys gets hurt, then the other will absolutely dominate.
01:09:23
David Reed
Yeah, the one thing the keep called for the boxo is their first week of the playoffs is pretty tough to play in the Chargers who are the fourth toughest against running backs. But then it's like a cakewalk after that.
01:09:35
David Reed
So if you get beyond that, it's like you're golden.
01:09:36
Joey
Yeah.
01:09:37
David Reed
You're playing the Cowboys and the Panthers.
01:09:40
Joey
yeah
01:09:41
David Reed
And then quickly run into the tight end position. Best schedules here. You get the Titans, the Vikings. That's interesting. Cardinals, Saints, Giants, Seahawks, and then Jets, and obviously the Raiders, too, just to give Brock Bowers a look. Packers coming at the end, just because I know Tucker Crafts is getting some hype as well. And then ah the worst schedule is to get the Colts, the Rams, the Bengals, the Bills, and the Dolphins there. so Any major takeaways for you? Oof, the Dolphins are brutal. They got 6-8-2, toughest match-ups there. But yeah, I'm just saying, Hopkinson and Trey McBride are goingnna gonna eat this year.
01:10:21
Joey
Yeah.
01:10:22
Ryan
Yeah, I mean, definitely looking good for both those guys.
01:10:27
Joey
It feels like it's looking good for Kyler, you know, like the the running backs, the tight ends, pretty much everybody that they're that the Cardinals are playing in the playoffs are not good.
01:10:29
David Reed
The Cardinals schedule.
01:10:36
David Reed
Not even the playoffs, from week 12 on, they play all do-do defenses.
01:10:39
Joey
Yeah.
01:10:42
David Reed
So it's a good run.
01:10:43
Joey
Yeah. And they're like, they're, they're a very sneaky, good team.
01:10:47
David Reed
They're tops of their division right now, aren't they?
01:10:48
Joey
Arizona. Yeah. They're like very.
01:10:51
David Reed
The defense has been, doesn't make sense why it's so good because it shouldn't be.
01:10:54
Joey
It's good. Yeah. And they played like a gauntlet of a schedule earlier in the season.
01:10:58
David Reed
Yeah.
01:10:59
Joey
So.
01:11:00
David Reed
No, they should, they have it set up nicely to like make the playoffs pretty easily.
01:11:04
Joey
Yeah. I mean, like, look at this. Bill's Rams, lions, uh, Redskins. Niners, Packers, that's like, that was their first six weeks of the season, which is like pretty tough.
01:11:16
Joey
And so to go to get through that and be number one in the division, that's a, uh, not a, not a small feat.
01:11:20
David Reed
Yeah, I mean, they're on by and then we get the Seahawks, the Vikings, the Seahawks, the Pats, the Panthers, and the Rams. And then they have 49ers in week 18, but we don't care about that.
01:11:33
Joey
Yeah.
01:11:33
David Reed
That's real football.
01:11:34
Joey
Yep.
01:11:36
David Reed
All right, well, some takeaways. Hopefully, if you're a contender, this helps you out when it comes to identifying the type of moves that you should be making. And if you are a rebuilder, be proactive. Find those contenders,
Advice for Contenders and Rebuilders: Trading Strategies
01:11:48
David Reed
float these players out there, make them known that they're available.
01:11:51
Joey
Yeah, that's definitely ah the the most important tip is that like just because you're not contending doesn't mean that you don't want to be active. you If you let the the this part of the season come and go without making any moves and you're also rebuilding, like you're kind of just wasting a good opportunity to make your team better.
01:12:10
David Reed
Yeah, this is, this is one of the busiest times in dynasty. Honestly, this is what everyone's talking, trying to make moves. Um, and yeah, I mean, you gotta, you gotta put that little lure out there for those contenders to come after. Got to go fishing, man. All right. Well, judge jump into the next segment.
01:12:28
Joey
Yeah, so it's time to get into the kitchen we weren't we haven't been in the kitchen in a while ah But the chefs are ah the chefs are pretty hot chef Dave specifically has been killing it with the same game parlays
Introduction to Betting Strategies and Parlay Discussion
01:12:39
Joey
lately um He's got a couple good ah tasty options to give out for you guys for this week um So yeah, I think we'll just jump right into the kitchen But first I'm just gonna throw our usual plug out there We're going to keep it short and sweet this week.
01:12:56
Joey
Go to signupexpert.com slash NSFW, sign up for new sports books, deposit money, get bonuses, and make some profits.
01:13:07
David Reed
Not guaranteed, but but the potential.
01:13:08
Joey
You're not guaranteed profits, but you got to be in it to win it. So just get in it. and ah Well, if you're going to get in it, then you got to get some, some, uh, new user signup bonuses, right?
01:13:22
David Reed
Of course.
01:13:22
Joey
I mean, definitely like signing up for a new sports book, the best, the whole like reason you do that is one to give yourself more opportunity to better line shop and two to get a bonus.
01:13:33
David Reed
It's free money.
01:13:34
Joey
So as soon as I, as soon as i I like enter a new state, I'm immediately like, Oh, let's see what kind of new sports books we have here. And I do that by going to signupexpert.com slash and NSFW.
01:13:45
Joey
So. I'd encourage you all to do that because it's fun. And um you might win, you might lose, but either way, you'll have fun.
01:13:53
David Reed
Yeah, and I also want to just quickly throw out. It's nice that they have a website now, because in the past, I remember I'd have to be walking through a casino. And I usually ignore people, but Joe, I'll be with you if I'm on a casino typically.
01:14:05
David Reed
And they'd be like, oh, send it for the sport book and a bonus. And he's like, oh, well bro, bro, did you actually haven't done this yet? You need to sign up for it. It's free money, man. You got to get it. and i just made them And like, never let me to leave the booth until I did it, which was great, because it's it's right.
01:14:16
Joey
Yeah.
01:14:17
David Reed
It's free money. But now you can do it from the comfort of your home or your bathroom stall if you want.
01:14:20
Joey
That's right.
01:14:21
David Reed
You can do it anywhere.
01:14:22
Joey
Yeah.
01:14:23
David Reed
but You don't have to interact with people.
01:14:25
Joey
While you're taking a poop, just go to and NSFW, signupexpert.com slash NSFW.
01:14:29
David Reed
Oh, man.
01:14:34
Joey
All right, so on to this week's picks.
01:14:38
Joey
Dave, you know what? um'm gonna I'm gonna let you go second because your picks have been pretty hot lately and You should have the the honors of going last. um For mine, I'm going to just throw out there two that I really like this week. One, I'm going to throw out Jamison Williams.
01:14:57
Joey
um 50 plus receiving yards. I think his line is 45, 45 and a half. Um, we were taking a look before, uh, before recording.
01:15:08
Joey
Um, some might call that pre-production, um, and 50, 50 plus, uh, receiving yards plus one 10.
01:15:10
David Reed
That was appropriate.
01:15:16
Joey
I think that's ah a really good opportunity. One, they're playing the Jaguars who have terrible defense to their at home and their, their, um, passing offense is more effective at home. Granted, they're probably going to end up getting off to a big lead. They're 14-point favorites, and it's probably going to be a game where the running backs get a lot of action. um I think that with Sam Laporta looking to potentially be out, um he hasn't practiced yet this week, Wednesday or Thursday. So I personally am anticipating he's going to be out, obviously monitor the injury report and see if he's active.
01:15:49
Joey
um So yeah plus 50 plus yards plus 110 75 plus yards plus 320 I think those are both interesting and I'll probably put a unit on 50 plus and half a unit on 75 plus and hope that they both come in for a nice, you know two and a half unit win And then I also just want to throw out there um I know you're we're generally focused on props in this section, but the Cleveland Browns um James Winston making his long awaited return to the New Orleans Superdome. I just feel like this is a great opportunity for ah to bet on the Browns. I really like what I've seen there, actually dogs in this game. I think they have the better defense. I think they have the better offense. So I just, yeah, I i love the Browns. So I will be a plus one and a half money line, whatever you're interested in. um I think the Browns are a good bet this weekend in James's return to New Orleans.
01:16:48
David Reed
I actually love that, too, in our confidence pool, Joe, that we're in. They're one of my highest ones, too.
01:16:53
Joey
High one, yeah.
01:16:53
David Reed
Yeah, because I love them. I think the the line is skewed by the win that the Saints just had, which was, I think, under the new coach. I think that was the facade is kind of messing up the line there.
01:17:05
David Reed
I think the Browns stopped the Saints out.
01:17:07
Joey
Yeah, 100%. So yeah, let's get back in the win column, boys.
01:17:11
David Reed
Yeah, we got this.
01:17:12
Joey
Dave, what do you got?
01:17:12
David Reed
And then ah for me, I get two parlays for you, one with a little bit more upside, and then another one that I feel a little bit more confident in, but it's not as juicy. So, you know, I want to give you like a nice, you know, hearty meal first. yeah So the first one is, I'm targeting the Falcons and the Broncos.
01:17:30
David Reed
Uh, four pieces at this parlay. I'm going with, uh, Bo Nix over 27 and a half rush yards. Uh, he's had a nice rushing baseline in most of his games. Anyway, the last week was, uh, I feel like it was a tally game, but in general, I think we'll get back to this game. and The Falcons defense isn't overly strong or too scary. So I think Bo Nix rushing should be solid there. Uh, Audrey estimate is the new lead back in the, um, for Denver, uh, for Denver. And I feel like.
01:17:57
David Reed
his line is only going to start going up more as much start seeing his utilization go up so I feel like this is one of the times you can get in before the lines start going up too high and his line is at 57 and a half which feels pretty good I could see him easily getting into the 60s in this game so I'm going to throw him in Courtland Sundom, we talked a lot about early in the pod. Again, the Falcon's defense isn't too scary, and his line is at 53 and a half receiving yards. And he seems to be getting a solid amount of usage, and he gets some pretty downfield targets. So I like that line for him as well on the over. And then finally Bijan over three and a half receptions. He usually gets around four, so targets a game, but the Broncos, because their secondary is so strong, usually the quarterbacks want to start targeting the running backs because they're blanketed. I'm actually probably going to be taking Bijan receptions later, maybe, just because
01:18:47
David Reed
I think he's going to get a ton there. And if you actually look last week, Kareem Hahn, I think had like 10 targets and seven receptions. So against the same defense. So I think Jean is going to eat there on the reception side. Pull all those together, mix them together, you know, cook it at 350 and you get a a nice parlay of plus 900 there. So nice nine to one parlay for you.
01:19:06
David Reed
And then the next one, I feel a lot of confidence. These are all correlated, so this is why the odds are not as high on this three-legged parlay. But it's ah the Raven Steelers game. The Raven secondary is very bad. If you played against Burrow or Jamar Chase last week, you are very aware of how bad the Raven secondary is. They're one of the the best off offensives ah defenses to go against for your quarterback and your wide receivers. And Russ has been cooking.
01:19:32
David Reed
And he's also in the kitchen here. And George Pickens has actually quietly been pretty solid too. And he's the type of receiver who I think can exploit that defense. So all my bets are gonna correlate around this. So Russ Wilson at over 226 and a half pass yards. I feel like that should be easy. I do think the Ravens score points. So I think the Steelers have to move the ball down the field. So I do think that he will be passing a a decent amount even though the Steelers defense is solid. I think Russ should exceed this total there of 226 and a half.
01:20:01
David Reed
I'm also gonna take Russ Wilson over one and a half passing touchdowns. That's actually plus money plus 115 right now in DK Because again, I think they will have to throw a decent amount there and then George Pickens I'm taking him at over 69 and a half I think if you actually do in the same game parlay on DK if you do the over 70 or like at 70 or above you actually get you save a couple cents there So just like look at those two blinds see which one's the better one But when you combine all three of those together, you get plus 320, so a little over three to one. For all these that are correlated, I think they're all related to game script and and the match-ups, so I feel very confident on that one.
01:20:39
Joey
Yeah, I like them both. Honestly, the 9 to 1, that's that's its pretty nice pretty nice for a 9 to 1.
01:20:45
Ryan
Yeah, I was you going to say, I like that one too.
01:20:48
Joey
Yeah.
01:20:49
Ryan
We talked about those guys a lot.
01:20:49
Joey
and
01:20:50
Ryan
I feel like they're on the up.
01:20:52
Joey
Yeah.
01:20:52
David Reed
That's right. Let's get it done, boys.
01:20:57
David Reed
Yeah, and then ah real quick, you know, house cleaning in our league. I want to just give some props to the weekly highs that we had. So we'll say we missed last week. So I want to just throw that
Fantasy League Recap and Strategic Trade Encouragement
01:21:08
David Reed
out. So two weeks ago, Clark saw us took the top score with 184 and a half, which actually was the highest score on the year. So giving them, you know, giving them their flowers for the day.
01:21:20
David Reed
And canals actually came in at the lowest with a score of it was 93.24 not ah That's a respectable low score. So that was two weeks ago, but Parkes lost, they're in the pole position right now. And then last week, Joey Gallo had a very strong showing with the top score of 165 and a half. And the first time I think potentially ever, Mike Kaffer and Mike Williams were the low score in our league. And I'm talking going back to last year, I don't know if they've actually been here before, with 77.08 points. Still not the lowest score in the year, but
01:21:55
David Reed
in the unfamiliar place for this team. But, uh, Tharkshaw's still holding a pole position, but props to Joe for getting that high score last week.
01:22:03
Ryan
What's the lowest score on the season?
01:22:05
David Reed
Lowest score is Canellas with a score of 64.52. And we got four four weeks left, man.
01:22:10
Ryan
It's getting close to to the end here. Yeah, I feel like I feel like Clark sauce is that's a pretty solid Yeah Yeah
01:22:14
David Reed
ah the
01:22:17
Joey
Is it just, is it just, it's just the regular season, not playoffs.
01:22:17
David Reed
That is, uh, just regular season.
01:22:21
Joey
Just the regular season.
01:22:23
David Reed
Yes.
01:22:23
Joey
All right. Let's see if there's some moves that are made to further nerf some of these teams.
01:22:26
David Reed
to avoid it.
01:22:27
Joey
Cause that will be definitely the key aspect and whether or not somebody comes in lower than that.
01:22:33
David Reed
I know that's one of the hesitations I had. And that's also why I made the trade for those two quarterbacks. I was like, I just like me to make sure I can't have no quarterbacks here. No points.
01:22:42
Ryan
Almost made it worse for you though.
01:22:43
David Reed
I know. Seriously. I gained two points.
01:22:47
Ryan
yeah
01:22:49
David Reed
Brutal. But yeah, with that, any the other takeaways or things you want to call out, Cass?
01:22:57
Ryan
i think I think we're in the course piece of the season. Go make those trades if you're contending or if you're selling. like
01:23:05
David Reed
All right. Final stretch, boys. Good luck to everyone going into week 11. And if your trade deadline is coming up, make the most of it.