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Round 10 Review | Jordy's Best 22 | Bye Round Targets | #PODPOD
3.7k Plays5 days ago
PODPOD Team Names
Holmesy - Holmesysheroes
Lewy - Hawk Tuah (Pittonet Thang)
Harmey - Hirdy’s Heroes
Sam - Mandaclawrian FC
Jordy - AIRJORDAN
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Transcript
Introduction and Credentials
00:00:18
Holmesy
G'day and welcome to the Pod Pod brought to you by Moreira's Magic. I'm your host Holmesy, three-time top 10 finisher and twice runner-up in AFL Fantasy Classic. Round 10 has been
Round 10 Review: Highs and Lows
00:00:30
Holmesy
and gone. We are one week away from the mid-season buys kicking off.
00:00:35
Holmesy
We've seen a round where we've had some really big highs and then also some lowly performing premium and rookie players. And we are here to dissect it all. And as always, we do have two-time top 10 finisher and runner-up in 2019, John Harmy.
Essendon vs Fremantle Analysis
00:00:53
Holmesy
Your Bombers boys four weren't really competitive against Freo on the weekend. My boys got the win. are you feeling, mate?
00:01:01
Jon Harmey
huh Well, I'm feeling okay. Thanks, host Holmesy, but not really feeling that good about the Essendon season, be fair to say.
Trade Regrets and Considerations
00:01:09
Holmesy
And ah just I'm just wondering, has your life changed after paying up a 118 price tag for Archie Roberts just to get 100 flat-ish score on the weekend? Do you feel any different or do you regret that trade?
00:01:25
Jon Harmey
Must have.
00:01:26
Holmesy
Must have.
00:01:26
Jon Harmey
Must have. know, buying him in at price at 120. Well, lost 20 points, didn't I? Priced at 120, only scored 100. So, terrible pick. But the other one that I was tossing out was Lockie Whitfield.
00:01:41
Jon Harmey
So, could have been worse, couldn't it, Holmes?
00:01:44
Holmesy
Could have been worse. Yes, we will get to that in a little bit.
Port's Performance and Coaching Speculations
00:01:48
Holmesy
We do have our perennial 1K finisher, Louis, with us again tonight. Good to have you on, mate.
00:01:55
Holmesy
Port, not quite getting it done on the weekend, but you were saying to us off air that you're not too unhappy with the brand of footy and the competitiveness that you're seeing from them at the moment.
00:02:05
Lew
Good to be here, mate. I'm not sure that 1K streak will be continuing this season, but yeah, I'm relatively happy with Port. I think you've got to look at the positives. it's It's good to see a new sort of a game style being rolled out and starting to take shape. So yeah, certainly not getting the dubs on the board, but I think we looked the part so far. So we're getting there.
00:02:27
Jon Harmey
So it sounds like you're still claiming Ken out as a win then, Lou.
00:02:31
Lew
Oh, mate, absolutely. yeah I've never shied away from that one.
00:02:38
Holmesy
Good old Kenny boy and front runner for Tazzy, maybe.
00:02:42
Jon Harmey
oh ah ha ha ha ha Oh, if you have to ask Louie where he got those signs made.
00:02:42
Holmesy
that You'll enjoy that, won't you, homie?
00:02:43
Lew
but ah hope he goes to Carlton.
00:02:44
JORDAN DSENA
Thank you.
00:02:53
Lew
That'll be funny.
00:02:53
Holmesy
though There's talk of that too, isn't there? And Jordy is back with us this week and you've come in with a bang, Jordy. You've got something that you want to pose to the listeners in the group.
Team Dynamics and Silence in Group Chats
00:03:04
Holmesy
So why don't you why don't you take it away, Nate?
00:03:07
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I'm back this week, which is yeah it's good to be back. I had to yeah play in the reserves, I think, last week. Louis, I've mozzed all your players, so wasn't very good.
00:03:15
Lew
but
00:03:15
Jon Harmey
I'm
00:03:16
JORDAN DSENA
and I was listening last week, and it was a good, yeah funny listen. But um I made sure this week that I didn't mozz any of your players. We've got a bit of ah a group chat going, and I didn't really say, well, I hope I was silent enough.
00:03:31
JORDAN DSENA
And because I haven't said anything, the group chat is, I think it's dead.
00:03:32
Jon Harmey
sorry.
00:03:36
JORDAN DSENA
It's just nothing is happening in there.
00:03:37
Lew
ah but
00:03:39
JORDAN DSENA
And Holmes, he even said, he goes, what's going on? I said, it's just me and you, you know, ah think Louis, don't know where Louis is.
00:03:43
Holmesy
yeah
00:03:45
JORDAN DSENA
Vams is, ah got this chat, Vams is in China and I think Lemon's a bit busy. So anyway, it's just no mozzing, group chat's dead.
00:03:54
Holmesy
a what's What's Lemon busy with?
00:03:55
JORDAN DSENA
And yeah, yeah.
00:03:57
Holmesy
specific
00:03:58
JORDAN DSENA
Oh, he's got some, I won't say, just, yeah.
00:03:58
Holmesy
We'll let let that one go through to the keeper, but not not good for his fantasy game,
00:04:01
JORDAN DSENA
got a good life update. Yes.
Impact of Trades and Buy Strategies
00:04:05
Holmesy
that's for sure.
00:04:05
Holmesy
That's going to have to be have to be studied.
00:04:05
JORDAN DSENA
yes
00:04:07
Holmesy
No, you are right. The the group chat was very quiet. You will notice, Geordie, that Harmi typically just comes into the chat once his trades have come off, so we don't actually hear who he's thinking about, so they'll come in after.
00:04:22
Holmesy
or you'll he'll come in and just ah complain about what he's done. So you're you're starting to get the the lay of the land a little bit. But let's get stuck into the round that was. We've got another big episode where we're going to go over your best 22, Geordie, and kind of link that into some buy-around strategy and tie it all together as we're coming into the part of the year where the switched-on coaches that put the planning in, we typically see a ah pretty big rank rise.
Geordie's Scores and Stato Picks
00:04:47
Holmesy
But Geordie, why don't you unfortunately kick us off with your score, rank, and picks this week?
00:04:53
JORDAN DSENA
Yep, so I got the twenty thirty two The rank went back about 1,000 spots, so into 5,371. So not the worst. Hopefully, yeah, some of these boys can bounce back, as we saw a pretty low-scoring round. But the Stato pick of the week for me, I've been waiting for this, and it has to go to Justin McInerney for the 1-10.
00:05:16
JORDAN DSENA
It was that week where I went McInerney over Warner. I didn't want to go Warner. And I finally got that J-Mac 110. So he has to get the Stato pick. Had the good role. think he had more CBAs than Heaney on the weekend. So happy with the role.
00:05:30
JORDAN DSENA
Hopefully Goulden doesn't hurt him when he comes back. And I'm very happy to have him there. The Dossie pick. I know yeah Harmy sort of mentioned it, but I'll give it to Whitfield for that 59. I almost was going to captain him too, but so I put it on Archie Roberts. um So I got lucky there. But yeah, a bit of a tag, which is concerning. But um yeah, give it to Whitfield for the
00:05:57
Holmesy
Yeah, that that Whitfield score was was not fun, especially when you've got... Milan Murdoch tagging him. So i didn't have him on field last week as I looped Jagger and and had to watch him go, you know, mid-90s, whatever it was, and then has a random tagging game. We're just very lucky. a lot of A lot of coaches have him on, but that tackle, holding the ball, free kick, goal after the siren, definitely saved that score. Without that, he was looking very, very dire, but hopefully that can change moving forward.
Score Struggles and Captaincy Mistakes
00:06:28
Holmesy
Next on the list, we have Louie. And I suppose you've just logged into the app and you can give us the news.
00:06:34
Lew
Yeah, um it's good not to be um to be last. I think maybe Jordy's just lacking a bit of match fitness after the week off. So i scored the 20-52, brought me ranks.
00:06:42
JORDAN DSENA
That's it.
00:06:48
Lew
So sort of just... Dwindling in that 20k range, I can't really get out of there at the moment. So um that's okay. My stator pick of the week, I'm going to give it to Josh Lindsay. I had the 86, but he's put together a really, really nice um month of footy and is is pretty much holding up my back line down there. So...
00:07:08
Lew
um certainly a tip of the cap for that and then uh my dossie pick of the week's probably me because i've i've messed up my vc loop i didn't realize when my captain was actually playing so i've skipped a 122 zach butters vc for a was it a 93 or a 98 from from harry schiesel so uh certainly not ideal i've left about 25 points on the table there but um
00:07:33
JORDAN DSENA
That's the second time we cheese all see Louis this year.
00:07:35
Lew
Yeah, yeah. Look, he may have um he may have carried that C over from the week previous, I think. But, um you know, rollbacks and such. But Vicentini with a 14, he's still kicking about in my side. and He is just going backwards at a rate of knots at the moment. He scored the 14, which is just...
00:07:56
Lew
Which is just grim. I think the good news is we probably won't see him for the rest of the year. So I think that might stop the bleeding a bit. But um yeah, certainly one I probably should have traded a little while ago now.
00:08:06
JORDAN DSENA
Thank you.
00:08:08
Jon Harmey
You'd hold him now though, Lou. He might help you through the bias.
00:08:12
Lew
Yeah, it should pick up forward status. So you never know.
00:08:17
Holmesy
Jeez, Louie, this will really test on whether you actually came into the group chat or not to see if you've got my captaincy story, which I'll get to as well. We've had ah we've had a nightmare between us this week, but um i'll get I'll get to mine in a bit. But Harmi, you're up next.
00:08:31
Jon Harmey
Yep, no, I had a score of 2097, so must have been a little bit above average because it brought me up 1,000 ranking positions as well to 6956. So still haven't recovered from that big drop couple of weeks ago.
00:08:48
Jon Harmey
My Stato pick of the week, well, speaking of captaincies, the VC on Brodie Grundy, he absolutely dominated. um to the extent that they only had Ned Long tossing up an arm against him. So, yep awesome game by him.
00:09:05
Jon Harmey
My dossier pick of the week, we'll trade in a couple of weeks ago, the underpriced premium, Hugh McCluggage, with 52. um Just scratch your head at some of the things that were going on in that game, in Brisbane.
00:09:20
Jon Harmey
Yeah, it was a bit of a strange one, that.
00:09:23
Holmesy
Sure was, Harmi. And yeah, I think 15 points second half. Just, yeah, Brisbane for the last six quarters now have been a shell of what we've seen. Normally, they're just this high scoring fantasy side that just control the ball and and they all get it done. But yeah, the Hugh McCluggage score was definitely not something that I thought he had in his wheelhouse, especially when he wasn't tagged. So yeah, definitely one to watch moving forward.
Captaincy Mishaps and Unexpected Gains
00:09:48
Holmesy
I had another bounce back week this week. i had a twenty one forty two um which brought me down to 5,786, which is good.
00:10:00
Holmesy
It's been ah been a while since I've had a few good weeks in a row. Lou, This is a similar similar lines to you. So I've had ah had a nightmare here. There's a bit of a story. So Thursday afternoon, working late, I've come home after work and ah the dog needed to to have a walk. So I'm out walking the dog and I'm listening to the to the traders show as i'm I'm walking the dog and the news of the Zorko laid out comes in. So here was someone that I was actually considering.
00:10:28
Holmesy
So that comes in and I'm like, all right, well, I can't ah can't focus on Zorko at the moment. My big decision is do I loop Tanner Bruin or not? So over and over, I'm just working through the scenarios. Do I loop Tanner? Do I just straight play him and loop someone else?
00:10:43
Holmesy
And then I go who's my captain going to be this week? Or I know I'm vice-captaining Brodie Grundy, so I put the VC on him and I was like, I'll sort the captaincy out later. Little did I forget that my captaincy from the previous week was Baz and he was playing in that same game. So I've had that bounce down. So they're walking to the middle and I've gone, oh, crap.
00:11:04
Holmesy
Baz is still my captain here. You go into the app, locked out. Oh, what have I done here? But straight captaincy on Baz Thursday night, 1.57. Can't be upset with that But if I lose the comp by three points when I could have had Brodie Grundy, I don't know, but that's not going to happen this year. But sometimes sometimes you get really kissed in this game and Baz is always going to be a good option, but you wouldn't have expected him to do that in that Brisbane matchup up at the Gabba. So he gets my Stato pick of the week, my Dossie pick of the week. And I fully blame you for this one, Harmy.
00:11:38
Holmesy
Sam Durham, why did you convince me into Sam Durham?
00:11:39
JORDAN DSENA
you
00:11:43
Holmesy
You're all bombers, mate. Had the role. Couldn't get it done against Frio. Was open a lot. Bombers just weren't good enough to get him the ball. Yeah, a few tackles and stuff let go through. A few free kicks. I think he'll be better for the run against Richmond and then the Eagles. But yeah, not good to get a 62 on debut, Harmi.
00:12:01
Jon Harmey
Led the CBAs for the bombers, I'm pretty sure, Durham, and I said, as I said, Merritt, Parrish, Caldwell, Durham, they were the ones. And then you've got the man that I traded in, Sully Roby as well. So they were the five in the CBAs for the Bombers.
00:12:18
Holmesy
Good coaches have had Sully Robey for a few weeks now, Harmi.
00:12:22
JORDAN DSENA
Mm-hmm.
00:12:23
Lew
You said that was a bad trade last week, didn't you, Hummy?
00:12:26
Jon Harmey
Yeah, probably did.
00:12:26
Holmesy
Yeah, Harmi.
00:12:27
Lew
Salty Romy?
00:12:28
Jon Harmey
I think I did. I think Holmes, he's just taking the piss there. That's all right.
00:12:34
Holmesy
Just on that, because there is a question later on. Is it too late for Sullivan Robey now, priced at $4.91K?
00:12:39
Jon Harmey
Yep.
00:12:39
Holmesy
Yeah. Yeah.
00:12:40
Jon Harmey
Yeah, I reckon 500 is too much, surely. Anyway, I think last week was the last week that I thought would be a decent pick and I was still sceptical, but I'm glad I did given that you got the 89, but could very well have been less.
00:12:44
Holmesy
yeah
00:12:54
Holmesy
what do you What do you project him going at moving forward, Harmi?
00:12:58
Jon Harmey
um Oh, look, I think a 70 would probably be lucky. Like... Yeah, I mean, 20 points upside from here.
00:13:06
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:13:08
Jon Harmey
It's possible.
00:13:11
Holmesy
Yeah, handy coverage throughout the buy. I think there's been some better, not better, but some cheaper options that have come through, which means that we're not necessarily have to gravitate towards the more expensive rookies at the moment. But yeah, could be some handy coverage throughout the buys, especially in that forward line um in round 12. But yeah, we can kind of talk about the rookies as we move through the episode.
Pod Challenge Standings
00:13:34
Holmesy
Quick update on the Pod Pod Challenge and a massive... increase in the number of coaches inside the top 100 in the pod pod community which is good to see so we now have six coaches inside the top 100 with a further two that are sitting at 102 and 104 so really good to see that many starting to enter the top 100 at this time of year it is very very strong We have the Cooper Troopers, a new member there, overall rank of 32. So that's a big increase. Megatron, one, two, three, ranked at 50.
00:14:08
Holmesy
And then the Powerhouse ranked at 57. Just a reminder that the Pod Pod Challenge, the winner will receive a custom AFL fantasy ring from our friends over at supercoachchampion.com. The lead code is still in the show description below if you would like to get involved. But boys, let's get stuck into the hot...
Bailey Smith's Value and Mid-Season Strategies
00:14:28
Holmesy
topics and Jordi speak about the group chat you came in yesterday and you posted a video of the channel 9 news some news around Baz probably just did it just to kind of freak me out a little bit but what we've done is we've gone straight to the best in the business over at Goat Fantasy Drew Jones and he's actually got a Baz update for us so I'm just going to play that now
00:14:41
JORDAN DSENA
I did.
00:16:05
Holmesy
Now, Louis, you've labeled it the Bailey Smith experience or the Baz experience.
00:16:10
JORDAN DSENA
Mm-hmm.
00:16:10
Holmesy
And we do know, like we trust Drew Jones 100%, but the trust in Geelong has always been a little bit shaky. Cam, like, is there a world, we always talk about value, but there's some clear top end premiums that have just been getting it done for so long now.
00:16:27
Holmesy
Is it time that coaches should consider paying up for a Bailey Smith type?
00:16:33
Lew
No, think that's something I'd still wait until post the buys. You never know when you're going to need to to utilize that cash. And it's still a value game. And I still think there's plenty of value premiums out there. Now, they're not averaging 123. But in terms of value for money, I think you can probably still shop elsewhere.
00:16:52
Lew
um I'm not sure if Sydney are tagging at the moment. But um can't be an ideal matchup for him this week. I wouldn't have thought, although it is at GMHBA. But...
00:17:02
Lew
Yeah, that injury cloud, that's certainly going to be one to watch. ah I did say the baiis Bailey Smith experience during the week just because this has got extremely late out written all over it or maybe a a tag for a lower score and then ah and then a missed week next week when he pulls up sore again. So ah we'll see. But for me, I would rather not shop in this range just yet. But...
00:17:29
Lew
I know you're an owner at the moment, Holmes. Are you sort of insinuating that maybe you would be considering paying up this much? I know you paid a lot about six weeks ago and it's certainly paid dividends, but would that still be the case now as we come into the buyers next week?
00:17:45
Holmesy
would think I would think so, to be honest. and And that's just because we're about to go into the mid-season buy rounds. So we've got five weeks of best 18. the The ceiling scores are really going to pay off throughout the buys. And we still have some good rookies that are fieldable that are hopefully going to contribute to our best 18. So as long as you've got a plan to not have any rookies on field come the end of the buys or potentially one of these rookies that are going to get forward status that we'll speak about soon,
00:18:16
Holmesy
they might be right in the forward line. But outside of that, it's it's that time of year to start to attack these players. If we're not going to look to get these players in now, when when do we look to get them in? So I'm thinking, you know, Bailey Smith, Nick Dacos, although that Eagles matchup might not be as soft as as what it's been in the past. that's ah We can talk about that later.
00:18:35
Holmesy
A Brodie Grundy keeps getting it done. And then we talk about Anachi Roberts. So Harmi paid up for last week, ormit albeit regretted it last week. But if he comes out and has a 150 against Richmond this week, then it doesn't matter if he puts up a low ton because he's just going to keep getting it done. So Harmi, I suppose you preach value as well.
00:18:53
Holmesy
But when can coaches start to look to get these guys that are just so much better than everyone else?
00:19:01
Jon Harmey
Yeah, well, typically after the bias, mate, when um you've got a completed team and you're less focused on um building the the overall value of your squad. So that's typically when I would...
00:19:16
Jon Harmey
um Look, I don't know, it seems to have paid off. You know, everything's not always linear, it's not always the same year on year. And I'm still looking at the discounted, guys, if we can find some, which I think we'll probably get to over the course of this pod.
00:19:33
Holmesy
Yep. No, that is fair enough. I'll just say that having Bailey Smith can change your life, but we've seen there's been a tag 70. It's just, you got to hope that there's ah a string of two or three games where he's able to come down in price. And at the moment we haven't seen that. And Nick Dacos is similar. He's just had his tough, tough run and he hasn't gone below 95 or whatever it is. So,
00:19:55
Holmesy
Really, really tricky. Jordy, you've put this one on the run, Sheedon. Talk to me about Jagger, Smith and Milan Murdoch.
00:20:05
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. So as of today, they locked in for forward status. So we're pretty sure we knew Murdoch was, but Jagger on the weekend, he had 52% CBAs, but yeah, CodeSports put out an article today and he hasn't moved on that forward status. So he was at 39% forward. It's still at 39% forward.
00:20:26
JORDAN DSENA
And what the article was saying is that no matter how much mid-time he plays this week, it's not going to change him going under the threshold. So he's locked in you're going to get him at the end of this round which is massive obviously a few weeks ago was like do you trade him but it's ended up becoming really valuable and I definitely will be looking to hold Jagger as long as I can probably even as an f6 so yeah and it it seemed like he had a bit more mid-time on the weekend with Josh Fraser as the coach so hopefully that can continue
00:20:36
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:21:01
Jon Harmey
So, Geordie, you don't regret not trading him to Hugh McLuggage two weeks ago like me?
00:21:09
Jon Harmey
Upgrading him, sorry.
00:21:09
JORDAN DSENA
that's fat yeah That's hard, isn't it?
00:21:13
Holmesy
So, Jody, you go, Simon.
00:21:13
JORDAN DSENA
love Oh, no. A lot of people, you know even Tanner Bruin, people went him to McCluggage and lost points. And now he's losing cash. But, yeah, hopefully he can bounce back.
00:21:25
Holmesy
So, Jordy, you kind of touched on it with Jagger and Milan. Now, Milan before this week, we would have said that almost he was a lock to play it at F5 and F6 alongside Jagger.
00:21:37
Holmesy
We've now seen the role where he can tag in the forward line, and and that was a ah real tag where he wasn't hunting the footy at all. What would you need to see for him? Because I've sort of was hoping that they would get forward status and had kind of been planning a trade scenario around that.
Player Tagging and Fantasy Impact
00:21:56
Holmesy
Has that now changed with Milan where you'd much rather just get him to the bench in the forward line and then trade him out around his buy when he's topped out in cash? Or are you still kind of holding onto the thought that maybe he'll be fieldable and we can just really go up further to the top around some of the other underperforming premiums that we have currently?
00:22:15
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think if he's going to tag, like he there's a chance he could go to Josh Dacos this week. Archie Roberts is the week after. I thought he did the role really well. Obviously, he shut Whitfield out of the game and and they won.
00:22:28
JORDAN DSENA
um I definitely need him for next week. I need that extra number in my forward line for round 12. After that, i you know depending on what happens this week,
00:22:39
JORDAN DSENA
And the next week I could, I'm happy to trade him, but I've got forwards already. I've already got Cozzy and a few of these guys. So I'm happy to trade. I've also got Jagger as well, so I can use him there. I've still got Cook.
00:22:52
JORDAN DSENA
So I, at the moment for me, it would be Cook and Jagger almost like a loop at F6. So it just sort of depends. But I think if he's tagging, he was on zero in the first quarter, he would have got a probably a 49 or something. And then he got that 63 just with that last tackle and and goal. So he could have been in a 40. So we've just got to see if that roll happens this week. I know some, like looking at the trade out, some people are just jumping straight off of him at the moment, which I think he's the fourth most traded out at the moment. So i guess, it's team dependent really.
00:23:26
Holmesy
Are nervous that he's going to go straight to your boy, Josh Dacos, on the weekend and and clamp him?
00:23:31
JORDAN DSENA
Definitely. that might They might do the double Dacos. Hoff to Nick and Murdoch to Jacos. So who knows?
00:23:39
Holmesy
Dersmer on Pendlebury, just full-on 22-on-22, one-on-one defense.
00:23:41
JORDAN DSENA
m
00:23:43
Holmesy
defense
00:23:45
Holmesy
They did play well, to be fair, although I think it says more about the Giants than it does about the Eagles. The other DPP news is that at this stage, Max Holmes is on the threshold, so he he will get defender status, but that will it's still pretty tight, so that's still a watch to see this
00:23:45
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah.
Position Updates and Fantasy Strategy
00:24:04
Holmesy
week.
00:24:04
Holmesy
I think if he played full-time midfield, he might struggle, but he has been going back into defence, so you think that holds? and Tanner Bruin is not going to get defender status at this stage. He's right under the 35%, but has been playing as a forward two weeks ago and then as a midfielder this week. So have a look at him in your trade plans. He's been fantastic.
00:24:25
Holmesy
Maybe have a look at team sheets to see whether, you know, a Warple comes back or a Bose or someone like that, just to get an indication on what role he might play. Because if he does get defender status, he might be a handy hold up until his buy. But as a mid only, I think his time is almost up.
00:24:41
Holmesy
Louis, we're about to go into the buy rounds there one week away.
Buy Rounds Strategy: Trades and Timing
00:24:45
Holmesy
Talk me through a little bit about how that is influencing your trade plans and what you're kind of looking to do at this time of year.
00:24:53
Lew
Yeah, I mean, we say it every year. I'm just trying to find a balance between every single buy-around and just field the most competitive side I can. And, you know, that involves sort of making sure that what I'm fielding is actually fieldable. I think you can easily get yourself into little traps where, you know, maybe you do have 20 players playing, but if you've got seven in one line or even more, then then you can't actually get them on field. So I'm just trying to find a nice balance there.
00:25:21
Lew
That's why I've been addressing the forward line the last couple of weeks. I could see that coming a mile away just with um the weight of some of those round 12 guys. And ah yeah, pretty much it's all about finding that balance. And as well as that, just starting to highlight some targets that you're interested in as the buys start ticking over. So yeah,
00:25:42
Lew
There's going to be lots of round 12 targets. I'm sure there's going to be a couple of Gold Coast boys, especially that we'll all be looking at post the round 12 buy and just planning around that and how that looks like in two, three, four weeks' time.
00:25:55
Holmesy
Harmi, what's your process with having a look at your side now and then making your your are your trade plans throughout the buys?
00:26:04
Jon Harmey
Look, I haven't been too fixed. I guess we've got a bit of an easier spread this year over the buy period and with that round 13 with only Tigers and GWS.
00:26:16
Jon Harmey
I've just been looking at making sure I've got a fairly balanced spread of players over those buys as if we're not loading up you know one particular week. And I've also been having a look at, as Louis said, people that I'd be targeting to trade into over that period. um but also probably discounting any round 12 buy players at this point, given you'll only get one week out of them. So probably something else I've been bearing in mind.
00:26:46
JORDAN DSENA
Just with the bias that we're thinking. So last year, Louis and I, we traded out of Sheezal one round and we went to Whitfield and it was a premium to a premium. um is that something that you guys are looking at this year? Like we've got someone like you Jack Steele who's under, well, he's lost a lot of money.
00:27:05
JORDAN DSENA
um You know, when he gets to his buy, would you just trade off a Jack Steele or a Sam Walsh? These guys that are underperforming, is that the chance to with the extra trade to jump off? um It's probably something that I'm um'm looking at.
00:27:17
JORDAN DSENA
I know people are keen to get off Jack Steele maybe this week, but I think for me, maybe at the buy, I can look at trading him.
00:27:25
Holmesy
Yeah, I think you can. you've just got to You've just got to plan it out accordingly. So if you can um come out of the buys in round 17 and you're happy with the best 22 that you're rolling out, and that doesn't mean all rookies off field. Like last year, ah Tom McCarthy was more than capable of having that D6 spot. And as you said, Geordie, maybe a Jagger Smith can hold down that F6 spot with ah with a Cook loop as well.
00:27:51
Holmesy
But you've just got to make sure that coming out of the buys, you don't have, you know, as good as he's been, you know, a Josh Lindsay still on field or a Dersma on field or a Carroll, one of those types. Because come the end of the buys, when most teams are going to have, you know, close to full premiums, if not all premiums,
00:28:09
Holmesy
that's when you're really going to get hurt. So if you can trade a Jack Steel and still accomplish all of those things, I tick it off. You know, I did, I didn't do Whitfield. I didn't do She's Little Whitfield last year, but I traded, ah think I traded in three different Ruckman throughout the buy or two different buy. I brought in,
00:28:26
Holmesy
Cherry, I traded out Marshall. Then I traded Gorn back to Marshall. And I was still able to come out at the end with the team that didn't have any rookies on field. So it's really important that you're still thinking ahead of what your side needs to look like at the end of the buys.
00:28:40
Holmesy
I like to just have a look and think, okay, what are the players I need to pick off as the buy rounds go on? So that might be a Jack Steele. I've got McAndrew still on field. I've still got Lindsay on field. So i need to make sure I correct that as I go along because you can be hidden during the best 18.
00:28:55
Holmesy
But come best 22 after the buys, you need to make sure that that's all set.
00:29:01
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. And um a player that reminds me of that is last year, Adam Chera. I know you jumped off him. Basically the perfect time. You went to Butters and Merritt and I didn't do that and it ended up hurting me for a few weeks. So it's definitely something going look at. And if that's a Jack Steele and he's just going to go at 80s, I guess we'll get a look next couple of weeks. But um definitely something I'm looking at this year.
00:29:25
Holmesy
Yeah, you've got Jack Steele, you've got Sam Walsh who we're hoping turns it around but he's not getting it done at the moment. I've got Hugh McCluggage, I've got Finn Callaghan. So I've got a number of these underperforming premiums and if you get the rest of your side set, then there's nothing wrong with jumping across.
00:29:41
Holmesy
You've just got to make sure that the role isn't there but... Jordy, what we're going to do, a bit of a flavor from the buyers is that we do, ideally, we're targeting close to best 22, if not best 22
Best 22 Player Analysis
00:29:53
Holmesy
premiums. Now, we don't want to under, so we don't want to overpay, but we want to be trying to get these guys throughout the buyers. That's the whole point of this time of year is to get to the top, to be able to really launch in the back end of the year. So you've done your best 22. So we're going to go through line by line and We're going to talk a little bit about you know when to target a few of these players.
00:30:12
Holmesy
If we target a few of these players, I know Harmi feels like he's going to rip your list to shreds because that's what he does. He won't won't do his own, but he's more than happy to to give some advice.
00:30:18
JORDAN DSENA
I know.
00:30:21
Holmesy
um And then we might just talk about some under-priced players in that line as well. So why don't you kick us off with the defensive line?
00:30:28
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. So best, the best six. So I've got Archie Roberts, your boy, Harmy at D1 here. So averaging one at 112 at the moment, just absolutely racking it up back there. So hard to not see him going ah at 112 pretty much. so I've got him at the D1.
00:30:48
JORDAN DSENA
In at D2, Jack Sinclair, 108 average at the moment. Just getting it done at the moment. So I'm happy to have him there locked in. And D3 and D4, I've locked in the GWS boys. So Lockie Ash, Lockie Whitfield.
00:31:05
JORDAN DSENA
Whitfield's average at the moment is a bit lower because of the tag game, but he was going with Ash in the midfield. A pretty good average there. he could even push... you know, quite, well, he could probably push the top two potentially, depending on on this role, if Ash stays in the midfield.
00:31:22
JORDAN DSENA
At D5, I've got a bit cheeky. I've put in Max Holmes here. So as you said, Holmes, yeah he needs 26% defense this week to get the status.
00:31:33
JORDAN DSENA
So he should do that. He's currently averaging 104. I've put him here at D5.
00:31:38
Holmesy
Thank
00:31:38
JORDAN DSENA
I'd be happy trading in into him this week even. And at D6, Nassai Wanganian Malera at the 99 average. That's my top six defenders.
00:31:50
JORDAN DSENA
um I've left off Dane Zorko, I think, last week. There was a bit of talk about him potentially being managed for the rest of the year. Josh Dacos isn't getting it done at the moment.
00:32:02
JORDAN DSENA
And another guy here hovering is Cal Wilkie. If... if
00:32:06
Holmesy
he so I was going to bring up, Jordy, no love for Cal Wilkie outside of his, outside of his ta are not tagged, he's injured 21 the previous week, has been getting it done.
00:32:08
JORDAN DSENA
hu
00:32:17
Holmesy
What, price at 100? You just think that that's not sustainable?
00:32:22
JORDAN DSENA
Probably. He's just that key defender, isn't he? But he is killing it. And he's going to get cheap. So I'm okay trading into him. I probably will trade into him. But he's just ah sitting under there, probably a D7, D8 range, which I'm happy to take. And like I've got Josh Dacos.
00:32:38
JORDAN DSENA
I'm happy to keep running him until we get to that point of the year where he can go to the Ubers or do these guys become that 23rd primo. But I think ah I'm scared off of Zorka at the moment with what happened on on Thursday night, unless he gets really cheap.
00:32:53
Holmesy
So you've obviously got the GWS boys who are both priced at 107. So priced around what they've been doing, albeit Whitfield's average looks a little bit lower. They have the good buy, but it it is in two weeks' time. So are you now targeting them off their buy to help them through or you'd still be happy going there this week knowing that the week that they have their buy, youre you're pretty much going to be able to cover that with ease?
00:33:18
JORDAN DSENA
I think you can definitely still go there this week. I really want Lockie Ash. um But for me, I ended up trading into Newman last week and he's got the R14 buy. will come off of that buy. That will be exactly what I'm targeting. It will be Newman Lockie Ash.
00:33:34
JORDAN DSENA
So i think I think you can get them this week depending on where your team is, what's what you need to upgrade. But um I think after round 13, you need look at targeting them because...
00:33:48
JORDAN DSENA
their top four defenders.
00:33:51
Holmesy
Harmi, some names that haven't quite made the list in terms of value. If if coaches aren't willing to go all the way to the to the top and and they're a bit strapped for cash. So Carl Amon, four tons back-to-back now, getting it done, priced at $96,000.
00:34:07
Holmesy
Dale hasn't had any real stinkers since he hit that runner form, but he's now priced at 96. Jake Bowie priced at 95, still coming back from that injury, but Melbourne are playing some very good footy.
00:34:19
Holmesy
Nick Newman priced at 89. Roll has kind of changed a little bit and didn't get it done in that Bulldogs matchup. And then Nick Blakey off the back of a 140 priced at 86. Are there any love...
00:34:31
Holmesy
for these value type players or would you be looking to not muck around in defence and trying to lock away as many of these quote unquote top six players as we can?
00:34:41
Jon Harmey
um Look, I'd probably still be inclined to have a dip at some value, mate. um Yeah, there's probably others you didn't mention. But anyway, I guess out of the ones that you've reeled off there, I think maybe maybe Bailey Dale with his ceiling has probably got a chance to um give that the the top six at Geordie how to run for their money.
00:35:06
Holmesy
Louis, I'll just get your opinion on the defenders and how you're seeing it before we move on to the midfielders.
00:35:12
Lew
No, I thought that top six was solid. I'm um'm not as sold on Ash as I was a couple of weeks ago, just with that role being a little bit shaky. I ah might even replace Zorko with him personally, but...
00:35:25
Lew
I don't see too much of an issue with that. I think certainly that um that lot is going to be in and amongst the top six to eight with with a couple of guys that are just going to be a little bit of a level level under, which we'll still be targeting just in terms of value. But yeah, I'm ticking that off personally.
00:35:46
Holmesy
Yep. Zorko is the definition of high risk, high reward, but they have some fantastic matchups coming up in the next few. And it was very clear on the weekend that they missed his ball movement in defense. So I think that whole, we're going to go through Wilmot, Coleman, Fletcher theory.
00:36:03
Holmesy
i think they just really miss a fit Dane Zorko. So it wouldn't surprise me if he's back this week and puts up a ah monster game against GWS with the the ceiling scores they've been giving up and the way they've been playing. But,
00:36:14
Holmesy
you do take on a fair bit of risk if you trade into a Dane Zorko. Jordi, talk us through the midfield.
00:36:21
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. So this line is pretty interesting. Obviously you've got the top two guys who are in their own league at the moment. That's Nick Dacos and Bailey Smith. So they're up there at M1 and M2. And, you know, as we've talked all season, how do you get these guys? You just pay up.
00:36:37
JORDAN DSENA
ah Priced, well, Nick Dacos is going at 120 and Bailey Smith is going at 123. So, and they're about, they're priced at about that as well. So we're going to need them at some point.
00:36:47
JORDAN DSENA
Um, Look, even the tags this year just haven't even affected them really. They are just in a tier of their own. So Dacos and Smith. And then I've come down to four other the players who I think are locked into this group of six.
00:37:04
JORDAN DSENA
So sort of what Harman did in the preseason. Those two are the top tier. This is the next tier. And the four players I've got here are Jordan Dawson, Zach Butters, Marcus Bontempele and Isaac Heaney.
00:37:18
JORDAN DSENA
Dawson, I mean, we saw he moved to half-back the other week.
00:37:22
Holmesy
Thank
00:37:22
JORDAN DSENA
He's looking, you know, high CBAs this week, looking unreal. Butters is having an incredible year, especially without Rosie. Could win the Brownlow, and he's obviously asking for the contract. So you definitely want him.
00:37:36
JORDAN DSENA
Bont's a bit sore, but we know what Bont can do. And I think Isaac Heaney is also having an incredible year. And he's had a couple of, well, might have a tag this week, but I think he's going to put up some big scores coming up soon. I think we're going to want him.
00:37:53
Holmesy
Yeah, that I think I'd agree with with most of that, Jordy, without putting too much thought into it at the moment. You know, a lot of them aren't sort of cheap. So, I mean, Bont still priced at 105. I think he's still very much gettable this week, even though he is sore.
00:38:09
Holmesy
Where's Heaney at? Heaney must be... I'm trying to find him at the moment while we pad out. So, Heaney priced at 108. Not cheap. Lockie Neal, not one that you mentioned, but he's priced at 111. Dawson priced at 111.
00:38:22
Holmesy
um And then, yeah, the others that we're going to get into get into in a second. So, I suppose it's that... These top eight mids, we've been targeting all this value, but the value hasn't been getting it done whilst the top guys just seem to just hover around that $105 to $110 type price range outside of a Nick Dacos and a Bailey Smith, as you mentioned. So i think we are going to have to start to pay up at some point.
00:38:46
Holmesy
But yeah, if if you can find that top eight mid that's priced between that $102 to $106 range, I think that's the sweet spot this year because they're not really getting any cheaper than that.
00:38:56
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, definitely. I think Bont, like I haven't got Bont personally, pretty much going to grab him this week.
00:38:59
Holmesy
Mm-hmm.
00:39:02
JORDAN DSENA
I know he's sore, but just going to grab him because as you guys said, like you've grabbed Callaghan, McLuggish, these guys, and they've actually started to go backwards. So I'm happy to pay up a little bit more for these guys.
00:39:14
JORDAN DSENA
So the next line, M7, M8, it's a little bit, I feel like this is a different tier. So I've currently got, again, Harmi's man, Zach Merritt in here. Currently averaging 105. He's just keeps getting it done. Doesn't really sort of matter what role he's playing. Like didn't have as many CBOs on the weekend, but he can still score.
00:39:35
JORDAN DSENA
He's got a pretty good run in the next three weeks. I'm pretty sure. And this is about the time that you sort of jump on Zach Merritt and he starts putting up some massive ones. I know Louie and Homsey, you got on him this time exactly last year for the Richmond matchup and he went absolutely massive.
00:39:50
Holmesy
Nah, not me.
00:39:51
JORDAN DSENA
And no, oh,
00:39:51
Holmesy
Not me, Geordie. I missed the Richmond matchup and then got three weeks of 80s and then traded him out. So not me, bro.
00:39:57
JORDAN DSENA
But then you got him back for a big one, I reckon.
00:39:57
Holmesy
But yeah. Yeah, did, yeah, against Gold Coast. That's right.
00:40:02
JORDAN DSENA
So I've got him here. Look, again, yeah. Just, I guess the only thing with Estenon is the role. He keeps changing the CBA mix. And i'm might be bit biased, but I've got Will Ashcroft here at M8.
00:40:16
JORDAN DSENA
Obviously, as you said, Lockie Neal currently averaging 105. He's priced at 111. He's just, the age is just like, i would just prefer Ashcroft over Neal personally, just with the age.
00:40:29
JORDAN DSENA
um That's what I've got here at m seven and andma
00:40:34
Holmesy
Yeah, it's it's really hard because that M7, M8 spot is right. I feel like it is shaky and that's why we did go, well, me
Midfield and Ruck Strategy
00:40:41
Holmesy
personally, the the McCluggage, the Callaghan, hoping that they could go 100 to 102 and put their hand up for that spot. But unfortunately, it hasn't been happening and you combine that, as we mentioned before, with your Walshes and your Steeles not getting it done,
00:40:57
Holmesy
I think we do need to start to fill this midfield out throughout the buys. And I suppose it is going to be handy now that we can throw Jagger and Murdoch forward. Harmi, have you got any other sort of midfield options that we could put under the under the blanket or even throw into the top eight discussion?
00:41:15
Jon Harmey
Well, I guess if you think back to the start of the year, the people that we were talking about were Josh Dunkley, Andrew Brayshaw, Caleb Sorong, these types of players. And I can't really make an argument for any of those guys to um come in and compete with the ones that Geordie's got, I don't think, mate. um You know, I would have liked to have thought, you know, Jack Steele, Sam Walsh, these sorts of guys, part to step step but behind, aren't they?
00:41:42
Holmesy
Yep.
00:41:45
Lew
I wonder if Noah Anderson can rediscover some of that form. I know we've been saying all year that I think all the Suns mids score well, but don't necessarily score amazingly, but um he can find a nice little vein of form.
00:41:49
Jon Harmey
Mm-hmm.
00:41:58
Lew
That's one I could see sneaking in there. And um just one other, just to just as a little bit of a pod pod for the pod, are we underrating Clayton Oliver a little bit?
00:42:10
Holmesy
We are. Yep, he's probably where I should have gone instead of Finn Callaghan. I think we've been a little bit biased from the last couple of years of Clary, but he's starting to hit some form. But i do ah do wonder whether there's a bit of correlation here between you know the way GWS are playing and the way Melbourne are playing, right? Clary coming in and...
00:42:30
Holmesy
Playing his part for the team, but the team clearly not playing well there. But he's tackling and and getting a lot of inside ball, Louis. So, yeah, it wouldn't surprise me if he if he sneaks into the top eight at some point. That's not a not a bad shout.
00:42:43
Holmesy
Jordy, let's go through the rucks nice and quickly now. I think there's probably a ah pretty clear two that are emerging at the moment just because of particular roles. But talk us through that.
00:42:54
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think Grundy has to be one at the moment, just absolutely flying. And with his rucks, he's obviously solo ruck. So they haven't tried with Laddams in. I guess the only concern is, yeah, there has been stuff from Dean Cox saying about maybe they bring Laddams in. But right now he's the R1 and he's in form and has an incredible run as well coming up.
00:43:15
JORDAN DSENA
And the next pick, R2, I have to put Luke Jackson here. This average is at 107 at the moment, but that dropped from that 70 on the weekend. He was flying the last couple of weeks. So I'll put him here.
00:43:28
JORDAN DSENA
Doesn't seem to matter if Sean Darcy and Mason Cox are in the side. He's obviously the number one ruck. And There's probably a conversation with when Darcy's fit, maybe Mason Cox is is better suited to Frio. So that probably helps Jackson.
00:43:44
JORDAN DSENA
The other two rucks as well, Gorn and Cherry, I think they're pretty close. I'd be happy to trade into those guys as well if it's the timing's right and price. Yeah.
00:43:54
Holmesy
Yeah, I think, and this is where a bit of game theory comes in.
00:43:55
JORDAN DSENA
yeah
00:43:57
Holmesy
I think we've had McAndrew and he's gone so well. I'll put hand up. I didn't predict how well he would go, but he's been so well up until now, but it's time to go. I'm just not sure whether the play is to go all the way up to a Luke Jackson or ah or probably is for a Grundy.
00:44:15
Holmesy
I think we just need time throughout the buys to get the Ruckman coming off their buys. And Louis, I think that's where... ah I'm shivering even saying this, but either like a Darcy Cameron now that he's going to be rocking solo or a Tim English now that he's come down, coming back from that concussion. I think that's probably going to be the play to try and make a little bit of money off them to give us a little bit more time to assess to see whether Gorn ends up being solo again, whether it is a Luke Jackson, whether it is a Tim English that hits more form or or however it looks. Is that how you're kind of seeing it too?
00:44:48
Lew
Yeah, definitely. We know that Steen went down on the weekend with an ACL, so Cameron's probably going to to keep that number one ruck role for the rest of the year now and hopefully can go back to to the 100 that he was going at last year. And then we know what Tim English can do. um He's still got a high break even at 132, so he should continue to come down just a little bit up against ah Max Gorn this week. So,
00:45:13
Lew
ah yeah Hopefully we can pick them both up for about 800 to 900k in the coming weeks and I think that's the ideal McAndrew pivot and it's not going to cost you too much either.
00:45:25
Holmesy
All right, Jordy, finish us off with the forwards. I think we're all going to be in agreeance that there's the tiers here again, but let's go through and see where you've landed.
Top Forwards Analysis
00:45:36
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, so obviously Harry Sheasel is F1. He's just always 13 points on average better than Christian Petrarca at the moment. So Trax coming in at F2.
00:45:45
Jon Harmey
Thank
00:45:47
JORDAN DSENA
Now I've still got Cosi Pickett, F3 here. couple of quieter games, but he was averaging in this top tier. So I'll have him here. um There are, yeah, I guess some concerns with tags and et cetera, but...
00:46:01
JORDAN DSENA
Hopefully he can push through him. He's done that during the Hopefully he can get some ceiling scores. He's got an incredible run the next five games. I don't think he's got any tags um coming through. So him at F3.
00:46:13
JORDAN DSENA
Flanders is coming in a here at F4. He's found a little bit of form with Naz out of the midfield. Back-to-back tons. um find a bit of form. I wonder if, yeah, he's just in that system.
00:46:27
JORDAN DSENA
A bit more opportunity, CBAs. Hopefully he's, I know he was in ah a non-contact hat a couple of weeks ago. So, you know, maybe he's passed a niggle or something. So he can come in here.
00:46:39
JORDAN DSENA
um F5, I've put Isaac Rankin in here. I think if he's going to play 70% of the time in the midfield, which he has, it's going to be hard to see him not going 90+. So I think he's a really good pick, especially with the buyer coming up. Do you just launch into him as soon as you can or after these tag games? I think he's going to be a top six forward and I'm Be pretty keen to grab him as soon as I can. And finishing off at F6, the guy that was my Stato pick, Justin McInerney. So high CBAs, 94 average at the moment. So I think he is, that's the top six for me.
00:47:20
JORDAN DSENA
Do want to mention Sparrow as well. He's getting it done. He's got an 88 average. You take that round one score out and he's probably in this bracket. So I like him as well.
00:47:32
JORDAN DSENA
JHF, could he get there? Potentially.
00:47:37
Holmesy
Harmi, I don't know about you, but I said it last year that I mucked around in the forward line way too much with these value options and it just didn't really pay off. And I've kind of done something similar this year. I think the coaches that can get to the very clear sort of top four, top five that Jordy's mentioned, so that be your Sheasel, your Petrarca, your Pickett, your Flanders, and then I think Rankin is in that category now with this midfield role.
00:48:05
Holmesy
I don't know about you, but i you can't because you've traded him out.
00:48:08
Jon Harmey
Thank you.
00:48:09
Holmesy
But I i just want to get Jagger at F6 and then I want to try and lock away those guys and then I can you know sort out the rest of my side because mucking around with the Baileys, the Warners, um you know they've they've they've been up and down.
00:48:21
JORDAN DSENA
Durham.
00:48:22
Holmesy
But I think we just want these consistent guys that you don't have to worry about week in, week out, albeit because he has been getting the tag. So maybe he's slightly different, but we know what he can do.
00:48:32
Jon Harmey
We probably differ for a bit, mate. I think I'll still be tinkering around, stuffing around with these guys. I think presents some level of value for the next 10 weeks or so.
00:48:40
Holmesy
you
00:48:41
Jon Harmey
um Let's have a look. I mean, I'll probably question Rankin. um Let's have a look. It was only three weeks ago I wrote this down. Isaac Rankin, $735,000. could be very and down still as Adelaide,
00:48:57
Jon Harmey
could be very up and down still as adelaide finalize what their midfield mix is. um Some others to consider potentially, Jason Horne-Francis, if he yeah has some level of consistency, Lou.
00:49:13
Jon Harmey
um Took Miller, if he got more of midfield role, I don't think he's you know he could he could be up there. Conor McDonald, the man I picked as being a top six few weeks back and unfortunately hit some great top end, but there's some real flaws in there as well.
00:49:31
Jon Harmey
um And, look, if if by any chance Tom DeCone were to go down in a heap, Royal Marshall could certainly be up there as well. So, yeah, just a few others that weren't mentioned, I thought i think, are worth a shout.
Mid-Priced Options for Buy Rounds
00:49:44
Lew
Tim Kelly.
00:49:44
Holmesy
we do We do know that Geordie's been watching Rowan Marshall very closely.
00:49:47
Jon Harmey
Tim Kelly, Elliot Yeo, Jordan Degoe, some of my favourites, Lou.
00:49:53
Lew
How did Yo go on the weekend?
00:49:55
Jon Harmey
Yeah, all right, didn't he? 90-odd, wasn't it?
00:49:58
Holmesy
Yeah, was all right again, Luke.
00:49:59
JORDAN DSENA
I can't believe it.
00:50:01
Jon Harmey
Bailey Williams, 140.
00:50:05
Holmesy
Oh, did you see the guy that took Bailey Williams off field to take the Butters 122? I saw that on Twitter. that on twitter that
00:50:11
Lew
ah
00:50:12
Holmesy
Made me feel sick that the team with Baz Far out he was here was very good. Jordy, thanks for that, mate. That's that's really good. I think, you obviously we're not targeting all of these players because, you know, you do you do still have to find value punts, as Harmi mentioned, throughout the buys. We can't just go to the top. and And some of the best picks that I've done have been in the buy rounds. Think of Colby McKercher last year priced at 66. So if you are able to find a mid-priced option that can put up close to top six numbers in the buys, they are definitely valuable and and will go a long way to helping you get that twenty third premium
00:50:46
Holmesy
to start looping through. But boys, let's finish off the podcast with some questions. And just as always, a reminder that the PodPod has once again partnered with Q Platforms in 2026 to help answer all of your AFL fantasy questions.
00:50:59
Holmesy
During the season, myself and Selby are still recording our podcast on Thursday night over at Marera's Magic for all of our in-season members where we talk about all of the general questions and themes of the week and I go through my trade thinking. But if you would like a fully personalized answer to any of your AFL fantasy questions, whether it be team reviews or general questions coming into the buy rounds, if you'd like an extra eye um for your buy planning, head over to askmeonq.com forward slash pod pod AFL.
00:51:29
Holmesy
The link is in the show description below and I will help you with those. But Jordy, first question is from good friend of the show, Bontsville Wizard. Hey guys, interested in your thoughts. Is it a Darcy Cameron in for and mana for Rochelle type week?
00:51:43
Holmesy
Or does he wait a week on Cameron and just do Rochelle up to Sparrow with a rookie down or even English if he's back? He's a bit confused, so help him out.
00:51:52
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. I think, look, people can go to DC this week. I think obviously he's coming off an ankle, but they said he was okay. I think for me, I'm going wait a week on it. I would rather get Rochelle up to Sparrow, who, you know, ticking like those top six forwards. He's pretty much there. He could be an F6.
00:52:09
JORDAN DSENA
Mano is an interesting one. He obviously kicked 30 and five. I don't know if I'm going there because it might be a trade again later for me. I mean, that's just me personally. I want to lock away these forwards.
00:52:20
JORDAN DSENA
And we actually probably didn't talk about the rookies, but I'd be keen to get one of these rookies that had come through because then next week you might want to grab another one. So, you know, we had Jack Eisen, Charlie Banfield, Harrison Oliver. They've all got really low break evens. um I think I'd be grabbing one of those and Sparrow.
00:52:41
JORDAN DSENA
And then you can get another rookie next week and DC. That's what I would do.
00:52:47
Holmesy
Yeah, I think I'd be in agreeance. The one thing I will say, and I'm actually planning on doing this week now, not everyone can do it because they might not have the red dot at R3, but I'm actually going to loop McAndrew on the Thursday night and actually have a look at his score. And and probably I'll still take ah a... a 60-65 but if there's a real stinker then i might look to pivot and trade in a darcy cameron or an english to make up those points but it just gives you that extra flexibility to to have a look unless you need mccandrew's money to make your trades work but yeah i think i'm along the same thoughts there geordie that we have a good rookie crop coming through it it seems that way anyway before we see teams and and who's made it and i think we want to take advantage of grabbing one of those this week.
Trading Strategies: Darcy Cameron's Role
00:53:30
Holmesy
Louis, this question is from Olivia Calvi. Dear Podpod, is it time to have a leap of faith with Dugowie?
00:53:37
Holmesy
Low break even and upcoming best 18 during bri buy rounds and has a good matchup? Or do they pay up for Sparrow? So value in Dugowie or paying up for Sparrow?
00:53:48
Lew
um' surprised I'm surprised you've thrown me this one and not, Harmy.
00:53:48
Holmesy
Harmi, don't speak.
00:53:51
Lew
um I'll let Harmy speak for ah for Jordan Dugowie, but I'm really liking what Tom Sparrow has done. he He's lifted up his game massively and with that pure midfield role, I think he's probably one of the main reasons that...
00:54:06
Lew
ah Jack Steele's just not getting it done as a premium for all of us now so um yeah I thought maybe it wouldn't continue and it might be a flash in the pan probably about six weeks ago but Sparrow has just continued to prove me wrong so in a team like Melbourne where they just they're playing pretty good football and he's a big part of that especially over the last couple of weeks I think that's where I'd be going.
00:54:32
Holmesy
John Harmy?
00:54:33
Jon Harmey
Oh, look, Jordan Ngoi, I think his price is about $720,000, so he's priced at around $70,000. Guy was on about $50,000 at quarter time, wasn't he? so I think that he's still underpriced for what he is, and I think he's probably a fairly good pick.
00:54:49
Jon Harmey
You know, underpriced on the back of the 17 when he was concussed, so there's a good reason why his price is sort of depressed at the moment. Or suppressed, sorry.
00:54:59
Holmesy
Yeah, I can't knock what Tom Sparrow's done, to be fair, and I wouldn't talk anyone out of trading into him. I think you're going to get what you get with Tom Sparrow. You're probably paying a fair price, and he's probably someone that you're going to be out to hold throughout the year unless that Melbourne, you know, the form starts to shift a little bit.
00:55:16
Holmesy
Dugowie, clearly, not clearly, he's underpriced for what he's been doing over the last four, has that concussion game bringing him down. So he has a good run with the Eagles in Penderbury's game. So,
00:55:29
Holmesy
Yeah, don't mind either, to be fair. I suppose it just depends on what you can do on the other end. Harmi, I'll stick with you. Max Stoneman asked, do we focus on trading in rookies? So an Ison plus Roby on the bench for cash gen or the proven one up, one down strategy. So getting a bont and a rookie from say Dersmer or Murdoch just sitting outside 200 in rank. So no pressure.
00:55:53
Jon Harmey
Awesome rank. Well done on the season thus far. I think you continue that cadence and you go one down, one up. If you could get ah Bont and Ison for Dersmer and Murdoch, I think that you know history says that's the right way to go.
00:56:11
Holmesy
Yeah, I would agree with that just because as well, we're going to get the three trades next week. So you pick the rookie that you feel is the best option this week. We then get another week just to have a look at some of the others. Yes, they're going to go up a little bit in price, but then you get to grab two of them next week and then go go up and really launch. so Really like that one, Harmy, especially in the 200 rank position. Jordy, this one's from Henza360. We kind of spoke about it before. heard Harmy's thoughts, but is it too late to get Roby at nearly So priced at 51.
00:56:47
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I feel like I've missed the boat on it and I'm not going to there. But I'm just wondering, so say you don't have Jaggersmith, you traded him out. you know, maybe looking at Murdoch out or something, does that extra forward rookie for the buyers help your team? And if you haven't got a McInerney or a Pickett, what do you, like he's gonna go up in price, he's probably not gonna make a heap more, um but I don't know whether youve you fully write it off if it helps your team structure. So um yeah, that's just sort of, if you have got rid of Jagger, could you just go there?
00:57:23
Holmesy
Yeah, look, i'll I'll put my hand up. I think it's i think he's gone and that's that's as an owner, but I paid up pretty much the same amount for Farrow this year. So I missed the two and paid nearly 500K and I regretted that trade. Yes, he's made me 100K if I can get out of him in the next couple of weeks, but there was other options coming through that that made more cash. And now that we're going into best 18,
00:57:48
Holmesy
you know you're probably going to get the scores elsewhere and the extra cash is going to be handy to get up further. So unless you're really, really dire in the forward line and you you may be only able to field two or three next week because you've got you know Sheasel, you've still got Rochelle, you've still got Cook, you've got, who's the GW?
00:58:06
Holmesy
Gold Coast rookie, sorry, Lombard, Dev Robb, and you're really struggling.
00:58:06
JORDAN DSENA
Lombard.
00:58:11
Holmesy
I think you can look at it, but I think personally the the price is too high. Louis, this one is the last one. And this is from Robert Phyllis.
Rookie Rankings and Buy Round Impacts
00:58:22
Holmesy
He wants you to rank the rookies. And I deliberately finished on this one because we didn't really talk about the rookies. There are a lot of options this week and a lot of it's going to rely on teams, but he wants to rank for Oliver from GWS, Banfield from St. Kilda, and then Ison from Carlton.
00:58:38
Lew
Yeah, um this is probably a bit of a tricky one. I think Banfield and Ison I've probably got at the top. um ah i'm I'm getting a good vibe from Charlie Banfield, though. I think that's a rookie that was hyped up quite a bit in the preseason, and we even thought that maybe we'd see him earlier on.
00:58:58
Lew
He's in a nice Saints team that do accumulate the fantasy points and and all the hype even coming after the game. I think it might have been Wilkie who said that Banfield's one of the best kids that's been coming through in some time. So think just based on that sort of rep, I might be going Banfield number one. um Great to see that Ison was brought in pretty much from the get-go for Josh Fraser. It's clearly a kid that he's been wanting to get into the side and he was pretty impressive on the weekend too. So I'm liking him as well. I don't think you can go wrong with either of these. So whichever suits your buyer structure um is where I would land there. And then...
00:59:37
Lew
Oliver coming in third. I wouldn't knock this kid either. I think this is another one who should get plenty of opportunity in a struggling GWS side, but I think they do move the magnets a little bit too much at the Giants and and a little bit of a longer injury list. So that's where I'd put him in number three.
00:59:54
Holmesy
Yeah, personally with Oliver, as much as he did impress me with some of the things he did on the weekend, I wouldn't be trading him in this week. They have their buy in two weeks and we know what typically happens after a buy. There's a reset, they get players back and you just have to look at their injury list. So had it here. Sam Taylor is due back in one to two weeks time and they have really missed him down back.
01:00:20
Holmesy
You've also got Jack Buckley, who's a test coming back from his hammy. Ryan Angwin, concussion, he's a test. Even Lee Kalia, two weeks away. So there's there's players coming through for GWS. So that kind of worries me a bit, although they are sort of different players. So I'd be looking at, um yeah, those other two personally. I think I like Banfield having that mid-forward status. Nice little go down from Leo Lombard if you've still got him hanging around.
01:00:47
Holmesy
um And Eisson, I'd like a lot more if he was forward. I think he's going to be good, but a lot of us still have a lot of these midfield rookies, whether it be a Sam Cumming, whether it be a Retchko, Jagger, Murdoch. And yes, they are going to free up in a week's time, but it's it's trading this week too.
01:01:03
Lew
Do we have any interest Bodie Ryan at all? Is it as simple as he's just in for Tom Barris, even though they did cross paths um for that week against Freo? Just because it doesn't seem like Jack Scrimshaw um is is coming back for a little while.
01:01:22
Jon Harmey
Yeah, I think that um ah his job security just does feel shaky though, doesn't it? Like you got, well, you know, Barris, Scrimshaw, but there are probably others as well.
01:01:35
Jon Harmey
I think the depth is pretty good at Hawthorne and he's not a name that is very like, it's not as if he was smashing it out in the VFL and, you know, he has to has to be in the team.
01:01:45
Jon Harmey
So, um yeah, I'm not as keen.
01:01:46
Lew
Yeah. No, that's fair. I just like the
Episode Wrap-Up and Strategy Highlights
01:01:50
Lew
fixture there. Adelaide Saints, Bulldogs, Suns, could be a nice four um if you can get a run at it.
01:01:58
Holmesy
All right, boys, that is going to wrap us up another monster episode. Really looking forward to this round of fantasy and then hitting the mid-season buys. The best 18 always adds a different element of strategy there. So thank you as always.
01:02:12
Holmesy
Make sure you are following us at PodPod AFL. I'm at HolmesiesHeroes on X. Please make sure you subscribe to us on Spotify, Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to your content.
01:02:23
Holmesy
As always, we'll be back this time next week for another round review on the eve of the buys and we will talk you all through it then. Have a good week and we'll see you then.