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Round 19 Preview | #PODPOD
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Holmesy - Holmesysheroes
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Transcript
Introduction and Round 19 Preview
00:00:18
Holmesy
G'day welcome to the Pod Pod brought to you by Moreira's Magic. I'm your host Holmesy, three-time top 10 finisher and twice runner-up in AFL Fantasy Classic. Bit of a different episode this week. The boys have been off doing ah a number of different things and yeah, I've just got back from holiday and and so has Geordie. So no Harmy or Louie tonight.
00:00:39
Holmesy
a bit of a later podcast in the week. So we're going to a bit different, as I said, a bit of a sort of upcoming round 19 preview and sort of talk through all of the hot
World Cup Experiences and Fantasy Strategies
00:00:49
Holmesy
topics. But Geordie, we do have you back after a few weeks gallivanting around the world, mate. How are you and how was the ah the World Cup game that you were telling me about?
00:00:59
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, it's good to be back. um Yeah, it was a really good trip. Did Canada, did America as well. So I had a wedding in Canada and then I was able to get to LA and Spain versus Belgium were playing. And I just, yeah, there were some guys that I was with that were keen to go and I just paid up and yeah and watched it. And it was an awesome game in spain and Spain are now in the finals. So,
00:01:22
JORDAN DSENA
Getting around the World Cup a lot. And yeah, um the footy as well, like all the games were on at like 1am or 3am. So I'd wake up in the morning and then see the group chat and all the messages.
00:01:33
JORDAN DSENA
And, you know, all the injury carnage, it was like, this guy's out, this guy's out, this guy's out. And I'm like, oh, but um yeah, so that was that was good. But my rank my rank did go up. So um yeah, that's good to know. And yeah, it was great trip.
00:01:49
Holmesy
Yeah, I'll tell you what, your your team's secretly been flying. So I suppose that means that you you're probably just going to have to do more world trips just to not watch as much footy and just watch the team just fly ahead.
00:01:57
JORDAN DSENA
Yes.
00:02:01
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. Yep. And I guess that's like, this thing is the loophole. I couldn't do a loophole, like say on a Saturday with a game, like on a Saturday night because I'd be sleeping. So it's like, I had to make sure I had like, Oh, I'll do a loop on a Thursday. And then I've got a whole day with the jet lag and not jet lag time lapse to do it. And it seemed to work. So I think you're right. Sometimes we overthink in this game.
00:02:26
Holmesy
oh we all we do is overthink and agonise and watch the scores and do we loop this player or
Injuries Impact on Trades
00:02:31
Holmesy
not. But it's been a season like I can't remember in a long time and I haven't listened to many podcasts over the last week or so, but I dare say they're all kind of echoing the same sentiment where – We just can't we can't complete our sides properly. We can't do the moves that we want to do because we we're patching holes with all these popular premiums.
00:02:50
Holmesy
I mean, I had the three in one week that were the not popular ones as well, which means there's just there's just nothing I can really do to get ahead at the moment. I think I said to you during the week that the last four trade-ins that I've done have all been tons and they've been big tons, but i just I'm going backwards at a rate of knots because I just can't seem to get ahead of these forced trades.
00:03:11
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, it's it's quite annoying and um we can't even get these, like, for example, Ron Marshall is the guy to get, right? But does he have a time limit?
00:03:22
JORDAN DSENA
I mean, we we'll talk about that. And then it's like, well, what happens if there's another injury? Then he stays in our side, which I'm a propy. He's iss okay to stay in there. But, um you know, yeah,
Player Performance Challenges
00:03:32
JORDAN DSENA
definitely. and I've been, yeah, sideways. I'm looking at cheaper guys. i'm looking at like, i was looking at like Filippo last week and I probably should have got him because he got 117, you know. So like these sort of guys of like, how can you go one down, one up, but also upgrade your side.
00:03:49
Holmesy
Yeah, you talk about these cheaper guys though, but I mean, a Durham was a great example where I've i've had him longer than most, but a couple of weeks ago, he was looking like a, you know, a pseudo top six forward with the numbers he was putting up.
00:04:00
Holmesy
And then all of a sudden he's gone 70, 60, you know, Dugowie really saved it on the weekend, but I don't know if you were checking those scores, but he was on he was on three at quarter a time.
00:04:10
JORDAN DSENA
Oh God.
00:04:10
Holmesy
um was on zero about five minutes into the second quarter so he's been a bit up and down had the 40 the week before so Petrarca's lost the role I've still got a Dan Houston who's up and down like you've still got Darcy Cameron who admittedly was good on the weekend but he's been he's been disappointing as well so it's just it's at that time of year where we want to be making some really big moves and unfortunately these bullets just keep coming
00:04:35
JORDAN DSENA
yeah Yeah, that Darcy Cameron one, I remember waking up and I was like, oh God, he 120, how good's that? And now he's playing Carlton and Pito Nett's injured, right? So he's going to play basically a no ruck. So I have to hold him now and hopefully he goes 120 again.
00:04:50
JORDAN DSENA
and twenty again
00:04:52
Holmesy
Should i bring him in for the third time this year?
00:04:54
JORDAN DSENA
Oh,
00:04:54
Holmesy
It'd be on brand.
00:04:56
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah. Oh, there's a guy actually that I'm looking at bringing in that's one of your guys and be keen to talk about him. But yeah, exactly right. There's just... I guess that goes on to the Petrarca thing. Like I'm looking at trading him out. Is there any way he can bounce back into a Darcy Cameron and Ton? The thing is, is Darcy Cameron had the role.
00:05:16
JORDAN DSENA
His role didn't really change. Like the CBAs were there and the Ruck Contest were there. And that was sort of what looking at. But Petrarca completely out of the CBAs now. So it's like his role has changed.
00:05:28
Holmesy
Yeah, not only that, completely out of the CBAs. we still get that He's still getting that 20 to 30, but you know Gold Coast are just in an absolute form slump.
00:05:34
JORDAN DSENA
Hmm.
00:05:36
Holmesy
What is it? ah Off the top of my head, six or seven in a row. Damien Hardwick's already talking about next year, not this year. um
00:05:44
JORDAN DSENA
I saw that, yeah.
00:05:46
Holmesy
can't Can't really see it turning around, but you know with these injuries, which we'll get to now, you know unless you you don't have a few of these players, I find it very hard that PR coaches are going to be able to get off Petrarca this week.
00:06:00
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, that's probably my thing is do I just jump off Petrarca or try and get rid of someone else? Like ah I ended up getting Mekircha last week just for a punt, which didn't really work.
00:06:12
Holmesy
Yep. All right, let's go through some of these injuries then. so yeah, Zach Butters had the syndesmosis injury, so he's five plus weeks. so he he has to go Bailey Dale with that shoulder six to seven weeks. He has to go if you've got him.
00:06:29
Holmesy
Jeremy Cameron, who I'm not going to lie, three-quarter time of the game on the weekend, he was my get-out-of-jail-free card considering I've still got Brent Daniels. That was going to be the easiest sort of downgrade to make some money and upgrade my side. But he has the AC or the collarbone, so he's done for for four to six. Rory Laird, two to four with ah with an ankle injury.
00:06:52
Holmesy
John Noble, a test after that corking on the weekend. Carl Amon, four weeks. they you know They all keep coming and they're all trades. But suppose the one I want to talk to you about is Jason Horne Francis. So has been suspended for a week, but also we saw the footage of ah a bit of a hammy tweak.
00:07:09
Holmesy
So you know you always kind of speculate that know they're not challenging it because he's probably injured with that hammy anyway. Do we have to trade him this week? Because if it does end up being two weeks, that's ah that's a bit of a disaster, right?
00:07:24
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, so Hammy awareness, that can be a week, can't it? But it can also linger on. um Yeah, I feel like it's just they're on the side of caution. I feel like maybe if it wasn't the suspension, he'd play hopefully and they just sort of, you know, he's got the suspension and they're going to give him a week. I think I would hold him as long as you've got cover.
Luxury Trades and Player Upgrades
00:07:46
JORDAN DSENA
um is this one of the things where i mean this is like super luxury but could you go for like that filipo type to try and cover him for for a week if you know 600k or something like that i don't know what other options are around um otherwise i guess if you don't have cover you probably just do have to just trade him And I guess this is sort of like Whitfield last week.
00:08:09
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:08:11
JORDAN DSENA
like I traded Whitfield out last week because I had no cover. HHK was out. And now I'm looking at trading Whitfield back in this week for Butters. And I think that's okay. But it's team dependent, I guess.
00:08:23
Holmesy
Yeah, it's it's that time of year and I ah suppose this is where that sort of strategy came in that I was speaking about at the start of the pod. It's if you keep going sideways, you'll never you'll never get ahead. But at the same time, any any injury at this time of year, you've got to trade out, right? like
00:08:38
JORDAN DSENA
Hmm.
00:08:38
Holmesy
this And we can kind of, we'll talk our trades before we go into the games, but um I'm kind of stuck because for the last sort of three, four weeks, I've had two 700K players on my bench that I just haven't been able to get that cash onto the field because of all these sideways trades. So it's like, do I just cop it for a week, downgrade one of those players to carry cash into the following week to start to make some big moves or...
Match Previews and Player Potentials
00:09:02
Holmesy
with the amount of injuries we've had, then that that cash could just be stuck there again, unable to be used.
00:09:08
Holmesy
It does get really sort of tricky, but I think all of those players that I mentioned off the top there, I think they are all trades, unfortunately.
00:09:16
JORDAN DSENA
And I think, you know, over the years, like, okay, Horn Francis is a top six forward. Who would you go to? But I guess there is a guy and that's probably Brad Hill at the moment who's highly traded in and averaging 113 in his last five.
00:09:32
JORDAN DSENA
um So they're probably, I don't think many would have him. So maybe you just jump to a Brad Hill. I don't know how much, don't think it's much more money. And then you're going to points on field.
00:09:43
Holmesy
priced at 100 now. he's ah He's not cheap, but the the triple position status is definitely handy. so I mean, that's a good segue. Our first game of the week is tomorrow night, Geelong versus St Kilda. Geelong have seven changes, so they've swung the axe a little bit, but they're also in that sort of management mode leading into finals.
00:10:03
Holmesy
You mentioned him off the top. ah So Rowan Marshall, if you haven't got him yet, TDK still listed as one to three, I think. I haven't checked the injury list, but
00:10:12
JORDAN DSENA
yeah
00:10:13
Holmesy
think that's what you've got there, Geordie. So, I mean, could be a one-week play, could be longer. You'd think, though, tomorrow night, Marshall's going to be as good a VC option as any against Mitch Edwards and and Geelong.
00:10:27
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think so. Because it's last week, just tryingn get trying to get it up at the... Who was the ruck against the Cats? Oh, Briggs. Briggs went 134.
00:10:39
JORDAN DSENA
against the Cats. That's Kieran Briggs. like How's he done that? 51 hit outs.
00:10:43
Holmesy
Yeah, no i Mitch Edwards though.
00:10:46
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah. um Or Blitzar's has been... Blitzar's a little bit of ruck. He's out. So I just think, Marshall, you just got to get him and I'm going to BC him. I think it's a 150, hopefully. I should ah know yeah I'm saying it and it's not good to say, oh, it's 150 because that never usually comes off. But I think...
00:11:06
JORDAN DSENA
um I think you just grab him, don't you? And hopefully TDK isn't a week. It's two or three weeks and you've got a bit more time. But even with TDK in like this form that Marshall has, is there a way he we can hold him a bit longer?
00:11:19
JORDAN DSENA
Like it's not a complete exp expiry date. Yeah.
00:11:23
Holmesy
Saints, I think, would be, you know, they're playing some good footy now. They've had a couple of good games. Marshall's been in in really good form in his two games of solo ruck, not only just rucking well but kicking goals as well. I think they'd be stupid. And this was the, when we sort of floated the Marshall move two weeks ago when TDK was out, this was the matchup that we all kind of penciled in as even if TDK was back back in three weeks, we were going to get this Geelong matchup and he's gone two big tons around that as well. So,
00:11:50
Holmesy
yeah I think he is one to grab. I suppose the other two that ah were popular over the last couple of weeks but now needs a little bit more thought is the the Brad Hill and Cal Wilkie combo. So now Wilkie priced at 98, Brad Hill priced at 100.
00:12:07
Holmesy
They're not cheap anymore and they've had their good matchups and now they're coming into some tougher ones. Do you think those guys are still options to bring in if you need a trade in, ah a forward or a defender?
00:12:20
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I still like Wilkie. I was listening to Selby's pod today and if you take that 21 out of the score, he's averaging 107 for the year. And I think that put him at a D too. So you take that score out, he's actually been like, yeah, top two defender for the year. He's under 950K. Like I just think Sinclair's down. He's he's got the role um back there, a bit more chip.
00:12:44
JORDAN DSENA
And I think he's he still pricey to grab.
00:12:51
Holmesy
Yeah, I think i'm I'm probably going to let them go through to the keeper now. and They've had some two softer games that they've really controlled the ball with and I don't think it's going to be as easy against what they got Geelong tomorrow night.
00:13:05
Holmesy
North are typically a bit tougher for defenders and then Sydney, Carlton before some good games to finish. So I'd... I think I'm probably going to leave that at this stage, but yeah, the the coaches that got on them over the last couple of weeks at sort of 860K, yeah, definitely have benefited. you've You floated in before, but Filippo, so priced at 70 off the back of 117,000.
00:13:30
Holmesy
Didn't see the game on the weekend, but the CBAs are back up to sort of 50%, 60%. And some other people have mentioned that he's just looking a lot fitter and healthier back like we saw back end at 23, 24, whenever he hit that that hot patch of form.
00:13:46
Holmesy
Hey, someone you're kind of eyeing off?
00:13:49
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I just... We've seen this before. but but Two years ago, went back to the VFL, bit of a resetter, had high midfield time there and he's come back in and they've played him straight to the midfield. I think basically Jack McRae's been dropped and he's...
00:14:05
JORDAN DSENA
taking the role now, Philippe. So I think that's what Ross wants to do. I'm pretty sure I heard a quote about him trying to build this midfield brigade up. So yeah, the big change there is he's he's had 50% CBAs the last two weeks and he's gone 117 and 84. So i think at his price, he's not the worst pick. um But yeah, it I mean, it is Philippe, injury prone.
00:14:28
JORDAN DSENA
You know, we started with him. He's been up and down. So there is that risk there, but yeah, ah I mean, i was almost going to do it last week over McUrcher and I just sort of went McUrcher for safety.
00:14:40
JORDAN DSENA
um But yeah, I should have probably had more skin in the game.
00:14:45
Holmesy
One other name before we move on to the next game and it's, I'm not saying trade him in this week, but just one to keep an eye on, uh, grind Myers has now come back into the Geelong side priced at 800 K. So priced at 84, we know what he has done over the last sort of year and a half hasn't been fit, but has been, he got managed and then was forced to play about three weeks of VFL footy. So you'd assume that he's going to be as hungry as anything,
00:15:14
Holmesy
Could he be ah you know ah a forward option or a even that sort of F7 to loop at some stage if we can get there over the next couple of weeks?
00:15:22
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, we we have to keep an eye him because he's like, if he was fully fit without this knee, he probably is a top was the top six forward. So he's got the potential to do it. So we're probably need to keep an on it with his price. And yeah, with the injury tog as well, like say he does go down with his knee, you've got the tog or you or you said you can do the seventh. So one to keep an eye on.
00:15:47
Holmesy
All right, Friday night we have Sydney versus Adelaide at the SCG. Isaac Rankin was a forward option that I've sort of, you know, i've I've thought he's a top six forward for pretty much since he got that midfield role and we we all thought that once he came back from that calf injury that they might ease him back in, but his midfield role has been it's been there ever since.
00:16:09
Holmesy
Scored the massive, I think, 138 around that mark against Gold Coast on the weekend in in revenge game. Is it the week to to to get him though with maybe a James Jordan tag coming? James Jordan was very good on Andy Brayshaw until they released the tag at three-quarter time on the weekend.
00:16:26
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, i like Rankin. i I was going to grab Rankin, but then again, James Jordan's there and didn't he do a pretty good job on Bont a couple weeks ago as well, which you think Bont is kind of untagable. So i don't know. It has steered me away from Rankin now and I'm looking elsewhere. i'm looking at ah another guy, which i'm keen to talk to you when we get to the next game. But yeah,
00:16:50
JORDAN DSENA
like He's still a top six forward. Is it one of those things where, look, if you're happy to cop it this week, you've got him for the year. He's got the role. But maybe he can – it might not be that ceiling game um this week. So I don't hate it. I think Rankin might be one we need to look at. But um what's his break-even, Rankin? I might just have a little look.
00:17:09
JORDAN DSENA
Because how much would he go up even with like an 80%?
00:17:12
Holmesy
So Rankin, his break even is 68.
00:17:16
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. So say he gets an 80 with a tag or a 70, he's only going to go up a little bit more. So, um yeah, I don't know. i don't I don't hate going there if you just be caution of on James Jordan, I guess.
00:17:34
Holmesy
So ah Errol Goulden priced at 105 has dropped a little bit, has a high break even at 127, but time on ground right back up to 89%, 46% centre bounces on the weekend. Is he someone that, you know, maybe it's not this week, but you're looking to to eye off to to finish the year or do you think because Heaney's still so good in there, even Chad Warner's been in some relatively good form as well, that maybe we don't see the massive numbers from Goulden that we've been accustomed to over the last couple of years.
00:18:05
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, he's probably another name that we need to just keep an eye on just cause we know what he can do. i For me, I need to see the eye test on him. I haven't been out to watch the Sydney games last couple of weeks. So, yeah, I feel like if I'd seen him and I'd see what he's looking like and if there's a score coming, then I would back it in. But it's hard for me to say that. I think with Goulden...
00:18:25
JORDAN DSENA
any time he could just pop a 150 and you need to get on him. And if you can get on him before that 150, if you think he's got it in him, I haven't seen him with the eye test yet.
Injury Struggles and Fantasy Impact
00:18:35
JORDAN DSENA
Haven't watched any Sydney. So i guess it's like, is he marking? Is he rolling up?
00:18:40
JORDAN DSENA
What sort of role has he got? I think he's off more far forward at the moment. He doesn't need CBAs though, Scoulden. So I wouldn't be too worried about see lucky if he hasn't got CBAs. He can just score anywhere. It's just how he's running and stuff. And if his time on ground is up to 90%, that's a good sign.
00:19:01
Holmesy
Yeah, it's it'll be interesting. I think he's obviously still not at full fitness yet. He was scoring well to start the year. I think he might be someone that we look to if there's ah a couple of softer games in there to finish off the year. But um yeah, against Adelaide, who have been pretty tough to score on for the better part of half a season now, it's probably not the week to get him.
00:19:20
Holmesy
um forgot to mention off the top, but Hugo Hall-Cahan, who was managed last week, I think it's been confirmed that he'll be coming back in for Laird. So for teams like mine that are still relying on that loop, that's a nice handy inclusion.
00:19:35
Holmesy
On the first game on Saturday, which is Frio versus Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval. Give us a quick little lowdown of your Port boys because they are, ah yeah, injury ravaged.
00:19:48
JORDAN DSENA
It's shame the other boys aren't on the pod today because would be good to talk about Will Brodie coming in to fill the role of um Horner and Butters. No, I don't know. I think obviously there's a midfield role to be filled. Yeah.
00:20:04
JORDAN DSENA
And there's talk it could be. I mean, Drew will be in there. But it's talk like we've rolled Joe Richards and we've rolled Jace Burgoyne. Like maybe they just go in there.
00:20:15
JORDAN DSENA
And there isn't much too too many changes. Like we don't see a positional change. But, yeah, obviously the Port boys. We are looking at the fixture. We are, yeah, would it's going to be a tough game, I think, over in Adelaide.
00:20:31
Holmesy
All right, so talk talk us through your little punt trading option that you are considering. And I'm not going to lie, considered it as well just because I'm still trying to get rid of Brent Daniels and I don't have a lot of cash. But yeah, you're keen on a certain free midfielder.
00:20:46
JORDAN DSENA
Yep. so right now I'm looking at doing butters to Whitfield. Hopefully Whitfield plays. That gives me about, is it sixty k And then I can go McEacher to Caleb Sorong.
00:20:58
JORDAN DSENA
um And Sorong's just like really cheap. He's like 816k. Out of all the players at that price, I just think he's probably the the most that can sort of almost match it or it maybe be five points off.
00:21:12
JORDAN DSENA
He's got back-to-back tons, a good run coming up. i Again, I haven't seen any Friot. I know he can put up 60s. You had him at the start of the year. But against Port, I think he's got he's got the Eagles next week. i only need him for a couple of weeks. I think I'm just going to take a punt. I think I'd rather Sarong than McIrcher.
00:21:31
JORDAN DSENA
hopefully he can turn up. So was going to talk to you about it. And it's good that you've said that you're thinking about it. So um I think that means it's approved.
00:21:41
Holmesy
No, I couldn't do it.
00:21:42
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah.
00:21:43
Holmesy
um
00:21:43
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah.
00:21:44
Holmesy
Scored well on the weekend, but ah that was because James Jordan was running with Brayshaw and typically that's, you know, Jordan's the one that goes to Sorong, right? So it kind of shows that he's not in the form that he has been in the past and admittedly he had that calf injury.
00:21:53
JORDAN DSENA
Mm-hmm.
00:22:00
Holmesy
I just think, yeah, Freo still are playing that brand of footy where they all kind of share it. Like Bolton has these has these quarters where he goes nuts. If it's not Bolton, it's Reid. There's Brayshaw. There's Jackson. like There's just a lot of mouths to feed.
00:22:11
Holmesy
But the run is really good. As you said, Port Adelaide into into the Eagles, into Bulldogs who have been giving up points to midfielders and then Melbourne who who don't tag.
00:22:22
Holmesy
um Yeah, it's a ah good as option as any.
Game Analysis and Key Player Insights
00:22:26
Holmesy
But, ah yeah, I'm not sure I could do it after already going there. This year, yeah don't think there's much more to talk about in this game. I don't hate Andy Brayshaw as a bit of a VC shout because Port have been giving up some massive numbers to midfielders.
00:22:42
Holmesy
and And as we mentioned, Port Adelaide are quite injury ravaged.
00:22:48
Holmesy
Alright, so the next game we have on Saturday is North versus Melbourne at Marvel. Don't think there's too much to sort of talk about here except we may as well touch on here. You you went at Colby McKercher last week as a bit of a punt.
00:23:05
Holmesy
Don't think he's relatively highly owned but still is in enough sides. What was the reason that you you went Colby?
00:23:13
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think there was the run, I think, the North run. So they've got Melbourne. I can't remember who it is next week. But obviously, I think that was the talk. It was Luke Parker, McKercher, these sort of types. And the fact that he went to halfback the week before for a quarter, I think it was. So i just thought with a good run, i was looking for an 80 plus. And he had 100 and an 80 the last two weeks. So I messaged Harmy just to make sure it was all right. And he said it was approved. So...
00:23:42
JORDAN DSENA
can only blame him, I guess. I think I said that in the chat.
00:23:44
Holmesy
He's just trying to he's trying to bring you down, Geordie.
00:23:46
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I know. I think I'm just trading McKerch's trade out. But, yeah, I thought he was at halfback. um Again, I haven't seen any footy because I've been away. But, yeah, it was the run that sort of did it and it was a punt to cover Whitfield, basically.
00:24:00
Holmesy
yeah Yeah, I think you just there's enough data now to know that you've got to get off that, right? Like he's not at halfback. He might have a quarter here or there, but I think he's he's playing that wing and yes, he's able to roam, but they've got a lot of guys back there that are...
00:24:15
Holmesy
that are getting that footy. um i mean, Luke Parker was the one that I went to last week from Whitfield, scored the 105, but it was a, he saved that. so I think it was about a 47 point last quarter, went sort of massive in the last five minutes.
00:24:30
Holmesy
Is he, do you think he's a top six defender to finish the year?
00:24:34
JORDAN DSENA
I think so because we've sort of – all the guys have gone down. So i think he's around that mark, whether it's d sixty seven I'm happy to have Parker at the moment in my side, I think.
00:24:47
JORDAN DSENA
um
00:24:47
Holmesy
What about, and you love this guy, Tristan Cherry. So 1.46 on the weekend.
00:24:52
JORDAN DSENA
I'll put him in here.
00:24:54
Holmesy
ah The news came out that he's been dealing with a bit of a groin issue and that's why his time on ground has been low. His center bounces have been low now.
00:25:05
Holmesy
I suppose the question we need to ask is Darcy Cameron's been really out of form and he can't jump. So all of a sudden now you had two ruckmen that can't jump and then they were just sort of tackling and and going after each other.
00:25:17
Holmesy
probably not the week to get him this week because he's obviously playing Max Gorn but do you think he's an option or do you think you just let that one go through for the rest of the year
00:25:27
JORDAN DSENA
No, I'm keeping an eye on him because he he has the ability to go massive and that's what we need at this time of the year. So, um you know, Darcy Cameron I'll hold for another week, but, um you know, could I look at Darcy Cameron to Cherry in a week or two if he's got – Because the big thing with Cherry is the CBAs were back last week. So he was back right up. He wasn't doing that role where it was like one or two CBAs and then rolls in.
00:25:53
JORDAN DSENA
i think he had the 24 CBAs. So even if he's not jumping, he's that's a better role. And he comes out with a one. We all thought he was injured and he comes out with 146. So he's very cheap. He's like 890K. So i don't think it's the worst. Like I know a lot ofs like a lot of teams are running Royal Marshall are too, right? so could you go Petrarca to Cherry, move Marshall U forward? And then it's a one, hopefully it's a big score in a cut week or two. Like it's a punt, but um I think you need to keep an eye on him.
00:26:29
Holmesy
Yeah, so who have they got? They got Melbourne this week and Saints. So if if Marshall's not back, then that's a... Sorry, if TDK's not back, then that's a soft matchup. Hawks aren't as tough without Reeves in the side.
00:26:43
Holmesy
Bulldogs don't have a Ruckman. Geelong barely have a Ruckman and then Grundy to finish. So I think he is going to be an option.
00:26:48
JORDAN DSENA
TJ Long. m
00:26:49
Holmesy
and Yeah, definitely definitely sort of one to ponder there. Melbourne, Jack Steele's cheap. Any interest?
00:26:56
JORDAN DSENA
I sort of looked at that because I was like, I need someone around that area with like Will Day, Sarong sort of areas. But um yeah, I think I got a traded him out a few weeks ago, so can't go back to it.
00:27:08
JORDAN DSENA
But what was, did he just have more tackles? Were you just looking a bit better?
00:27:11
Holmesy
Yeah, Richmond matchup, I think.
00:27:11
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah. Richmond, yeah. Fair enough.
00:27:15
Holmesy
Yeah. No, I don't think there's any sort of interest in the Melbourne players. You know, Tom Sparrow is what he is. But outside of that, I think we just let that one go. Saturday night, so the first of the two games, Collingwood versus Carlton.
00:27:31
Holmesy
ah Nick Dacos, any interest as a sort of captain option here or do you think Carlton might try to do something with him?
00:27:37
JORDAN DSENA
I think he's captain option. He always burns Carlton and they try and tag him and they just, they can't tag him. You can't like, they don't have anyone to tag. I don't think. um
00:27:47
Holmesy
Yep.
00:27:48
JORDAN DSENA
If you look at these recent numbers, yeah.
00:27:48
Holmesy
George Hewitt's out too, right?
00:27:50
JORDAN DSENA
If you look at his numbers against Carlton, I'm pretty sure he just goes nuts. Sorry.
00:27:55
Holmesy
Didn't actually touch on that on the injury list. Is George Hewitt been confirmed out?
00:28:03
Holmesy
Let me just get that up, pad that. George Hewitt back test. So he might he might be back. But yes, I still think they probably probably go head to head there. They haven't really been tagging too much. Sam Walsh bounced back with a nice 1.14 on the weekend.
00:28:19
Holmesy
do you still have Walsh?
00:28:21
JORDAN DSENA
Nah, nah. Didn't start with him.
00:28:23
Holmesy
Any interest?
00:28:25
JORDAN DSENA
um Probably probably need to see a little bit more, I think, from Walsh with the other guys at the moment.
00:28:33
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think i'll I'll let him go. Seems to do well in harder matchups, Walsh.
00:28:40
Holmesy
Yeah, i I just think, yeah yeah, that Richmond matchup was a bit of a bit of an outlier. I don't think he's going to be a top eight midfielder, but I think, you know, when we've got the Petrarchas and that of the world in our sides, I think Walsh is probably very far down the pecking order. Nick Newman keeps getting it done. So I think he's had, you know, three or four tons in his last five, just getting it done. Doesn't have the ceiling.
00:29:02
Holmesy
um So, you know, bit of a hard sort of trade-in option, but the Collingwood matchup is is juicy. is he a do you think he might be a top six option to finish the year or do you think he'd probably just let that one go?
00:29:15
JORDAN DSENA
Personally for me, I'm letting it go because I traded him out a couple weeks ago. i don't know, I just never loved loved him. But um look, he's not the worst option. He floats between that 90 to 100. Maybe he can have a ceiling with a run.
00:29:28
JORDAN DSENA
um I'm looking elsewhere, but again, he's he's solid.
00:29:33
Holmesy
And do you think, so the Darcy Cameron play, do you think he's bounced back
00:29:39
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think I have to hold him now, right, because let's have a look at this rock. So, um yeah, it says on Selby's thing it's plus 18 this week against, ah no, sorry, it's plus 22 against the rock and obviously, you know, Pitternet's out. So I'm hoping that he's bounced back.
00:29:58
JORDAN DSENA
um But, you know, if if he comes out and does it ah back to those 60s, 70s with this great run, then I probably will trade him out. and Maybe i look it can look at Cherry. But I think you have to hold him now. Offer 120, a great matchup. Like, just have to give him one more week.
Player Form and Trade Potential
00:30:16
Holmesy
Yeah, yeah, no, especially against this, we we just saw what Lloyd Meek did, 129 against this rookie ruck.
00:30:20
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah.
00:30:23
Holmesy
Yeah, if you've if you manage to hold Darcy Cameron, I think you just go ah go again. And as you said, hopefully you've got Marshall in the forward line to to get him one of the big dog rucks in the following weeks.
00:30:36
Holmesy
ah So the second game on Saturday night is Eagles versus Brisbane Lions. And it's hard not to start with your boy, Will Ashcroft. You've been championing him all year, had a bit of an injury, but he's easily the most informed player in the comp. And as a non-owner, it's very infuriating for the amount of marks that he pops up for where he really shouldn't get the ball. He's the most traded in player this week, but he's not cheap anymore.
00:31:00
Holmesy
So what, priced at 113. is it Is it smart for coaches to be going there this week?
00:31:08
JORDAN DSENA
So let's have a look at the run. So West Coast, then into Port. I'm gonna just change this. Then into Carlton, which are pretty neutral, and then into Hawthorne, which is really good at the moment, and Gold Coast and Collingwood. So actually has a pretty positive run for the end of the year.
00:31:25
JORDAN DSENA
Brisbane are looking really good. I just, yeah, I think at this time of the year, you need to jump on the players that are in form and putting up ceiling scores. So I would say yes.
00:31:36
JORDAN DSENA
um Is there any chance that West Coast put attention into someone like Ashcroft or it's just, like the good thing about this is it's at Optus Stadium. So there's a lot of space.
00:31:48
JORDAN DSENA
That means a lot of cheap marks um could be available.
00:31:55
Holmesy
So, I mean, is it Ashcroft though or is it Lockie Neal priced at 104, Dunkley priced at 94, you know, Huma Cluggage is still very cheap, you know, didn't get it done on the weekend though. With that run, is it Will Ashcroft or is it another one of these Brisbane players?
00:32:11
JORDAN DSENA
Well, i actually traded into Dunkley last week and I was a bit disappointed because he had the Essendon matchup and I thought he was going big, but they all they just seemed to obviously spread it out. Like it was between 53, I think was the lowest score and obviously Ashcroft. So it was quite spread out with so many points. So I'm hoping you that they bounce back.
00:32:29
JORDAN DSENA
um Lockie Neal obviously is playing for a contract, right? So looks like he's going to move clubs. he's not the worst option either. So I think those two definitely have the numbers on the board. But if you are struggling for cash, is Dunkley still an option? i don't know. I've sort of wavered now that he only did a 70 against Essendon.
00:32:50
Holmesy
yeah just I don't think he was needed in that game.
00:32:53
Holmesy
um yeah I think we're going to want to own as many of these Brisbane midfielders as we can, even a Zach Bailey in the run home. They seem to be doing what they do each year where they hit these hit this form and they they play this chip mark game where they control it and their fantasy scores are absolutely through the roof.
00:32:53
JORDAN DSENA
Hmm.
00:33:12
Holmesy
um
00:33:12
JORDAN DSENA
It's funny how Zorko's back now and he's just how important he is to the side and this chip chip and how much he directs. like He was on fire as well. Probably Zorko we might need to look at. he's getting He's getting cheap as well and he could be a top six. So need to keep an eye on him.
00:33:33
Holmesy
Well, mean, let's talk Zorko then because he is really cheap. $929,000. Has a break even at $115,000 still. So probably still comes down as the Eagles aren't the easiest matchup for defenders.
00:33:45
Holmesy
Port's pretty neutral. And then Carlton, um do you think, I mean, it's hard to hard to know, but there's probably some management um towards the end of the year. But at the same time, they probably just want him playing with the amount of footy that he's missed.
00:33:58
JORDAN DSENA
That's a good point because weeks ago they said they would have to manage him for the rest of the year. I think that's what i remember with the calf. so But then it turned into the groin, I think. or may i can't Anyway, it was something about that. so um Well, let's see. They're playing at Opter Stadium. Let's see if he actually gets named because he's come back for two weeks, I think, now or one week.
00:34:22
JORDAN DSENA
Maybe he's he's managed this week with the with the long trip. So let's see what they do this week, if he's in or not, and whether they want to continue you know for the rest of the year. But they probably, how important he is, they probably want to at least string some games together there um before finals.
00:34:46
Holmesy
So that moves us into the Sunday games. First one in the morning, we have Richmond versus Hawks. Now Hawks are interesting because they haven't been putting up the big numbers, but they do have the really good run to finish the year.
00:35:00
Holmesy
Will Day, any interest?
00:35:04
JORDAN DSENA
I know, I saw this. So he's he's closely priced next to Sarong, so he's an option for me I could go with. Look, he's got Richmond, then he's got Essendon, then they've got a pretty good run if you want to be stuck with him. So i don't know, he's just, I don't hate it. Like, it's just I haven't watched the guys. He's obviously not a guy that spreads. He's quite, you know, in the contest. He's one of those...
00:35:27
JORDAN DSENA
um guys that's inside you know inside roles so i don't know i don't know where i see it I kind of think I prefer Serong but he's probably not the worst guy if he can only get there
00:35:39
Holmesy
Is there any interest in you know some of these forward options with this run? So Connor Mack bounced back with a 114 on the weekend. His CBAs were still that sort of 24%, but they have been looking to do some different stuff in there.
00:35:53
Holmesy
um Connor Mack, Ginevan, any interest there is a bit of a punt from from some of these McKercher, Daniels types where you're a bit strapped for cash.
00:36:04
JORDAN DSENA
it's it's It's really like a punt, isn't it? Like McDonald, yeah, 114, but then it has a 60. And that's exactly what McKerch is doing. I don't know. I haven't seen enough Hawks over the last few weeks to go there. I think I'll just be letting it go. I think Will Day maybe is the only one I'll be looking at, I think.
Fantasy Relevance and Trade Adjustments
00:36:24
Holmesy
What about James Sicily with Amon confirmed out priced at 81 with their, with their run?
00:36:31
JORDAN DSENA
Let's have a look.
00:36:34
JORDAN DSENA
oh He's just gone 57 and 63 and 58 in the last four weeks.
00:36:41
Holmesy
Yeah, you can't do it, can you?
00:36:41
JORDAN DSENA
That's just... That will kill your season. I don't know. i just Hawks are tricky because they don't really have... They all spread out the scoring. They'll get 700 points, but they all get 70 plus.
00:36:55
JORDAN DSENA
and There's not one guy that just takes the reins usually. so i don't know. I think i need to see a bit more from Hawks with the run for that.
00:37:05
Holmesy
and Richmond. so Sam Banks, coaches are hoping they'd get a bit of a bounce back from him with Jaden Short being out on the weekend, but he he didn't get it done. you just got to you got to jump off that now, don't you?
00:37:16
JORDAN DSENA
He's got to trade. Yeah.
00:37:18
Holmesy
Yeah.
00:37:18
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah. People might talk themselves into the run, but he's up and down. i think you just got to get rid of him now.
00:37:26
Holmesy
Yeah, which makes it hard with some of these other forced trades. But, you know, you bet you're better off having ah a Hugo Hall-Cahan on field over him or trying to swing your stuff around to get a defender in so that you can play Fitzgerald or or someone else. So, yeah, I think you just...
00:37:42
Holmesy
have to have to jump off that one and Richmond haven't been relevant all year. So let's move on to the next one, Gold Coast versus Bulldogs. We touched on it before. So, i mean, let's talk Christian Petrarca because the role's gone. 24%, 31% centre bounces, clearly out of the midfield rotation.
00:37:59
Holmesy
They've lost a lot of games in a row now. We talk get rookies off the field, but is there anything to say that, you know, a Hugo, Hawker, Han, Fitzgerald type isn't better to have on field than Christian Petrarca, who's now down at seven hundred and fifty k
00:38:14
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, um I'm with you on this. He he really hasn't done anything the last, you know, probably two months. And it's concerning. And I'm keen – I'm always keen to back in players. Like, obviously, DC I had to hold. And I'm like, well, Petrarca, like, he was meant to be F2 for the year, this guy. Like, I'll back him in. I'll back him in. And it's just not happening. And now there's a role change.
00:38:35
JORDAN DSENA
Like, he's not in the CBAs. It's at 30% and 20%. I'm almost like, I think you've just got to get rid of him now. um I don't know. it's Can Gold Coast turn it around? that They are one game off the wild card, but it just doesn't seem to be to be working.
00:38:53
JORDAN DSENA
um or I could trade him over McKercher, but I think I'm just going to back him in, I guess, over McKercher because McKercher's role isn't great. and you know I guess Petraica was an f to it for a point of the year.
00:39:09
JORDAN DSENA
so um Look, i think with him, like I haven't watched the game, so with him, he's a confidence player.
00:39:12
Holmesy
good.
00:39:16
JORDAN DSENA
So it's like, I don't know how he's looking to the eye. Is he not looking any good? I just, yeah, he's confidence player with him.
00:39:22
Holmesy
no good
00:39:25
JORDAN DSENA
So if he's if he's not really looking up to it, I think maybe you just trade him.
00:39:32
Holmesy
it's It's got a lot of the Jack Steele about it where we just held on to him for far too long, but at least Jack Steele had the role.
00:39:34
JORDAN DSENA
Hmm.
00:39:39
Holmesy
Whereas Petrarca, I can't see him turning it around. um Yeah, he's got to go. As I said, it's just unfortunate that we've got all of these other injuries at the same time.
Essendon vs. Giants Preview and Player Strategies
00:39:50
Holmesy
John Noble, is is he a top six? I can't work it out.
00:39:57
JORDAN DSENA
Oh, I really liked him a few weeks ago, but not when he can he comes out with a 60 score recently and it's been a few of those.
00:40:04
Holmesy
Thank you.
00:40:04
JORDAN DSENA
So, look, I'll keep an eye on him because he's priced and he'll have a high break even now. And maybe if, you know, they turn it around and he's someone I can get to, um I'll keep an eye on it.
00:40:16
JORDAN DSENA
But I don't think he is now with the form.
00:40:18
Holmesy
Yeah, it was obviously the injury, the Corky that he was he was on he was on track at three-quarter time and then obviously got managed out of the game. yeah I really like him still, but yeah, Gold Coast, I think we want to try and avoid it. I mean, Noel Anderson's been a top eight for the better part of two, three months now since he's come back from that injury. But even he, the form that he's starting to show, i I'm not sure I'd have confidence trading into him now, especially at his price.
00:40:44
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think maybe just Gold Coast just have to hold the horses a bit. And, yeah, just I wouldn't worry. They're favourites, actually. It looks like against Dogs. But I think I wouldn't trade into any Suns at this point. But, look, they can turn it around maybe in a few weeks. There's a run, so keep an eye on
00:41:05
Holmesy
So from the Bulldogs then, ah can't actually remember. Are you a Bont owner?
00:41:10
JORDAN DSENA
Nah, nah. I was...
00:41:11
Holmesy
Is this the week to get him then?
00:41:14
JORDAN DSENA
I can, i could get him, it's him or Whitfield basically, but I've chosen to go Whitfield with Essendon matchup.
00:41:22
Holmesy
Yeah. What do you think happens with the Bulldogs replacing Dale at halfback?
00:41:31
JORDAN DSENA
Could they bring in Carmichael, Lockie Jaxx? is a guy that probably bring in. We've seen him do quite well. um Liberatore's played halfback before.
00:41:44
JORDAN DSENA
Could be someone there that has to fill the role. So is it a rookie? Is it Liber? But then someone's got to come in the midfield. you know If Treloar was fit, he's not...
00:41:54
Holmesy
Oh, don't tempt me with a good time.
00:41:54
JORDAN DSENA
it he's not
00:41:58
JORDAN DSENA
He's just not fit at all. But he he would be able to fill a role, which would push Liber back. But he's just not there this year. Hopefully, Sanders is a test. He might come in. Someone someone will come in. I think we'll know on the team sheets whose name's Jarks or Carmichael or something like that.
00:42:16
Holmesy
Yep. I think this is the week I'm getting Bont, by the way. think I'm just going to go sideways again and get Whitfield and Bont. I think that's probably the
00:42:23
JORDAN DSENA
He'll probably go massive.
00:42:24
Holmesy
safest thing to do all right let's wrap this up last game so we do have essenden versus the giants at marvel stadium now you wanted to talk about zach merit
00:42:35
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, so Merritt. a score of 35. Now, I didn't see the game, but I heard that he was just not in it anymore. The motivation was down.
00:42:46
JORDAN DSENA
There's a tweet come out by Cal Twimmy that says that Essendon are trading him this this trade period. So he's definitely going. um This is a guy, Zach Merritt, that two weeks ago, i was looking at trading in because it's Zach Merritt and he's always top always aop four to six mid.
00:43:05
JORDAN DSENA
I think that you stick fat with it because if he gets cheap, I would still be keen to trade into him. But I guess it's that conversation of what Essendon do. Is he completely checked out? Or like in Zachary, was it just an off game? He can get through to the end of the year? Or is he just, they're going to, now that they this news has come out, they're going to start managing. But he's just such a professional that I just think he will just push through, i think.
00:43:33
JORDAN DSENA
And I think you have to hold him.
00:43:40
Holmesy
Yeah, look, you definitely have to hold him. He's a proud player. he'll He'll turn it around, break even 162. I'm kind of hoping that there's a bit of a tension against GWS this week. He puts up a a respectable 80-90, drops below a mil, and then he's ah a nice trading option to to round out the midfield.
00:44:00
Holmesy
But yeah, he's but he's been too good. Sam Durham still is their number one midfielder. Very concerning that he top scored with 77. So definitely not a trading option anymore. Probably one that you want to kind of get it get that 23rd premium in to kind of loop in the forward line, I think, because he's going to be sort of up and down. We spoke about Whitfield.
00:44:23
Holmesy
um It's the Essendon matchup. We've got to talk about it. So is there any interest from any of the other GWS mids?
00:44:30
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, I think Clayton Oliver you need to consider as well. So, like, you know, you're looking at Bond. You could maybe go Clary as well. he's He's actually averaging 109 in last five.
00:44:40
JORDAN DSENA
Comes up against Essendon. Lockie Neal just had a 150, I think, and Ashcroft 140. So, he could be one that goes big. He's pretty much the only guy in the midfield that's a key cog at the Giants midfield.
00:44:52
JORDAN DSENA
I mean, obviously Callaghan is there, but just hasn't quite really done what Oliver's done.
00:44:57
Holmesy
James Jordan the week after.
00:44:57
JORDAN DSENA
So,
00:44:58
Holmesy
You don't want him.
00:44:59
JORDAN DSENA
Yeah, and that's probably a good thing about Oliver. He doesn't really get the tag attention. So I think he's one you've got to consider. Obviously, Lockie, Ash, which I think everyone would have. So Ash, Whitfield, Oliver, I am considering. The other one is um Toby Green. He's in a bit of form at the moment.
00:45:16
JORDAN DSENA
um Average 97. He's gone 112, 123, 93 in the last three. i I'm assuming he's taken the Brent Daniels midfield role.
00:45:27
JORDAN DSENA
um and he could, the thing is, he's not that cheap. That's the only thing. If it was a bit cheaper, if he was in like 700 range, I'd probably take a pun on that, but he's quite expensive, but he would be one that you probably need to have consider as well.
00:45:42
Holmesy
Yeah, dare say he'll get a fair bit of attention against Sydney next week like he always does. But yeah, don't hate it. um Yeah, just don't trade in Finn Callahan. He's someone that is a nervous own for me each week. But Geordie, that's going to wrap us up. As I said, just a bit of a different one this week. We still wanted to get something out for the listeners.
Conclusion and Podcast Subscription Reminder
00:46:00
Holmesy
We'll be back with our regular programming next week. For everyone else, please make sure you're subscribed to us on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, wherever you listen to your content. I'm at Holmes is Heroes and you can find us on X at PodPod AFL.
00:46:15
Holmesy
Jordy, have a good week. You're flying up the ranks. It's good to see. Hopefully you can continue that and it would be nice for a bit of ah a bounce back for myself. But to all the listeners, have a good round and we'll be back next week. Bye.
00:46:28
JORDAN DSENA
See you next week.