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PODPOD Special - Holmesy and Moreira's Magic #PODPOD
2.1k Plays1 day ago
PODPOD Team Names
Holmesy - Holmesysheroes
Lewy - Hawk Tuah (Pittonet Thang)
Harmey - Hirdy’s Heroes
Sam - Mandaclawrian FC
Jordy - AIRJORDAN
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League code: JXR8EF6M
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- Podpodafl has once again partnered with Qu platforms in 2026 to help answer your afl fantasy questions
- During the season - Selby and Holmesy will be recording a podcast late in the week to answer general questions and themes
- For a guaranteed answer and to help support the PODPOD, for a small fee you have the ability to have a personalised audio response to your afl fantasy questions
- There is the ability for full team reviews, questions on individual players and during the season there is the ability to ask trade questions, vc/c options and many more
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The PODPOD is brought to you by Moreira’s Magic in 2026. All Holmes Files episodes will be available exclusively as a part of the 2026 Season Guide. As well as the podcasts, the Season Guide will also include:
- Weekly pod with Selby and Xavier Ellis
- Thursday night pod with Holmesy and Selby after teams are released
- Player stats
- Team stats
- Market Share
- CBA analysis
- Much more!
The guide is now live! A must have for any serious Fantasy coach head over to moreirasmagic.com.au/ to subscribe in-season now!
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The PODPOD: @podpodAFL
Holmesy: @Holmesysheroes
Lewy: @AFLewy
Harmey: @jonharmey
Sam: @grillis03
Jordy: @jordandsena
Dossy: @HKdos
Recommended
Transcript
Podcast Introduction & Recent Updates
00:00:17
Speaker
Good day and welcome to the Pod Pod brought to you by Moreira's Magic. I'm your host Holmesy, three-time top 10 finisher and twice runner-up in AFL Fantasy Classic. Apologies for the lack of podcast this week. Unfortunately, life has got in the way for the Pod Pod crew.
Special Podcast with Selby & Strategy Insights
00:00:34
Speaker
However,
00:00:35
Speaker
We do have a special podcast here. As you know, every Thursday I sit down with Selby as part of the Moreira's Magic Season Guide membership and we chat all things strategy ahead of the round after teams have dropped. We've decided to go a little bit earlier this week and as part of the pod pod we have released this to everyone. This gives a little bit of an insight of of what we sort of chat about on Thursday nights and if you are still keen to be a part of the in-season membership head over to marerasmagic.com.au.
Round Preview & Strategy Challenges
00:01:08
Speaker
There's much more than just the podcast there on the website but hope you get a lot out of this. It's a pretty important round and yeah enjoy.
00:01:18
Speaker
Welcome to the Murrah's Magic Quickfire Preview, which he would say quickfire, they've been going longer and longer each Thursday as we've started to get different things thrown our way, Holmesy, and none more so than this week, so I think we've got a bit to unpack, but g'day, Holmesy, how are you?
00:01:37
Speaker
Yeah, mate, going well. it ah I'll be happy to see the end of the buy rounds. It's always good having three trades a week and being able to fix things, but they do go on too long. It'd be good to have nine games of footy back.
00:01:50
Speaker
They definitely go on too long, but just looking ahead, particularly those who traded Baz, which just quickly, you traded Baz last week, didn't you?
Trade Strategies & Player Analysis
00:01:59
Speaker
Yeah, did, yep. To Nando?
00:02:03
Speaker
Baz to, yeah, Anderson. Gee, no regrets there, is there? say Just looking fast forwarding round 17 when we're all back to 22 and want to be having most of these best 22 players, which we can possibly have.
00:02:18
Speaker
It's pretty cozy having the three trades this week to try to set us up for it because I think there's going to be, which is a good thing with all these forced trades and another one, bit of dust. this week with Jack Sinclair but there's going to be team scrambling to try to get decent best twenty two s coming into the the round seventeen first are you a sinclairon as well how are you feeling heading into this week Yeah, i mean I'm in two minds of of what I do. i Everything that I'm sort of planning this week, I've got in the back of my mind that there's a few, well, not a few because we've only got two trades, but a couple of players that I'd like to target next week being whether it's an Asaya, whether it be a Rowan Marshall, a Bont, Holmes. So I'm
00:03:00
Speaker
I'm trying not to go down to a ah player that I'm not necessarily keen on this week. So I'd i'd rather, you know, take a a bit of cash into next week to hunt the guys I really want rather than getting these halfway players, which is proving a little bit difficult and yeah, sort of keen to talk about it.
00:03:17
Speaker
Yeah, absolutely. Cause it's, As we know, we we try to stick to what's worked in the past and certain philosophies, but this year certainly bucked a lot of that trend, particularly around these top price players just continuing to deliver and being left behind if you don't have them.
00:03:34
Speaker
Target some underpriced players who may not be best 22 hoping for a bit of a bounce and a lot of them haven't bounced. And then now through the buy rounds, limiting your ins to players who have had their buyer the old strategy get players off the bar for players who have a buyer to come but just there's some players who have you know this week there's some guns on the buyer who we've been holding off trying to own and we're going to as you said walking around 17 with a lot of players we're going to want to have so just trying to work out how you can fit the most in so
00:04:06
Speaker
You've seen the trade insights when it comes and obviously we've got the best 22s, the two of us on the website. So check that out. We update that as much as we can. But the way I see it, there's some clear players, which it's almost going to be a
Defensive Trades & Player Evaluations
00:04:19
Speaker
race. Before it was a race to get rookies off field and 22 premiums. think going to be a race to get these top echelon. And that is Naz in defence who has gone 1.15 in his last seven and now starting behind the ball where the role he was in back end of last year when he went 116 post by so at the moment with all these injuries the d6 averaging you know 95 that's 20 points upside from the the lower end of defense to what i think is the d1 there's baz and nick dacos both going 119 plus for the season the current m8 is about 103 so that's 16 points upside
00:04:58
Speaker
Maxi Gorn, 119 in his last nine games without Max Heath. So if Heath isn't named round 17, we're going to be wanting him particularly. We'll speak about Laddams in a bit and how that Grundy is settling down. So you'd be nervous going in with a Cameron or...
00:05:13
Speaker
a different ruck combination than having a max corn and probably ah a jackson next week and then obviously we all have she's all but he's you know fs f f2 is 96 he's 112 there's a big gap there of those players nas baz dacos gone and she's or which ones do you have ah So I've obviously traded out Baz last week. So I've got Dacos, I've got Gorn and I've got Sheasel. So yeah, a big, big plan is to get Naz next week. I was owned him earlier on in the year when he got the the calf niggle. So clearly someone i wanted to target. And that that halfback role is filthy. Although I'm not sure why he he doesn't cop it like the Archie Roberts and the Sheasels do when they go back there because he's exactly the same.
00:05:57
Speaker
But the commentators call him the best player in the comp. If anything, they give him to more than those other players we're getting. But gee, I'm a super coach owner of Naz, you love watching him. He doesn't just get him go sideways. He pulls the trigger with these kicks. He just, obviously, as you said, just waltzes back, gets the kick kicks to someone they handle back to him. He kicks it down the ground.
00:06:19
Speaker
it's um It's a fun own and a good watch. So keep that criticism away from our boy. Now, so that means you're prepared to wear not, then that was part of the the risk of trading him and it's already paid off knowing that you've had a, Nora Anderson last week, got him again this week over holding Baz through this rest then buyer.
00:06:40
Speaker
You're fine not having Baz round 17, particularly with a big break even and he might be one for down the track around eighteen round 18, round 19. Yeah, at this stage, the break-even is a big one. And I don't know whether you buy into this as much as I do, but something tells me that when ah when a when a player sorry has ah a big game against a team, the next time around, they typically put time into him. And he was the one that destroyed Brisbane up at the Gabba. It was that 157 that i accidentally straight captained on Thursday night.
00:07:11
Speaker
um So I dare say Brisbane aren't going to let him
Sinclair Replacement Strategies
00:07:14
Speaker
do that again. So it wouldn't surprise me if he comes back and, you know, maybe he does bad things, but maybe he just eases back into it for a you know, low tunnish score.
00:07:23
Speaker
Yeah. Well, Evans was there with Petraca opening round versus Geelong and he had that field day, highest rated game of his career. We all had Mullen going to Noah Anderson because he's done that in the past. And of course he's going to go to Petraca because as you said, that's the one that've they've, you know, they've saved the game.
00:07:41
Speaker
So you might be on something there as well. So let's go straight then to the Sinclair move. So we've talked, Naz, your plan to get him next week.
00:07:53
Speaker
The way I see it with the top six, there's also the Giants boys. Obviously bit concerning last week. They lost some kick-ins to Himmelberg and Connor Iden of all people. But I still feel safer with those two than others. But most already own, I dare say, posts off the buy and decent prices most will own.
00:08:11
Speaker
Then Max Holm, I've got as a safe top six, but again, he's also on the buyer. So the big question in terms of replacing Sinclair, if you've got the Giants boys, if you don't want to trade into, you know, obviously Naz and Holmes on the buyer,
00:08:28
Speaker
What are you doing? Are you going down to a rookie to save that cash to then get a NAS next week? Do you do a little short gap and try to get someone who could be a top six, like a Josh Dacos with a beautiful matchup this week, Wilmot in form, a Noble without Rioli being in form pre the bar.
00:08:48
Speaker
Pre his little slump last week. How are you playing the Sinclair situation? Yeah, and this is something I'm i'm really toying with. So I i initially... thought of just going Sinclair down to to Artemis to to free up cash, do a bit of a restructure um and then go up in other lines. But with the way my team is structured, unfortunately, I've got 22 quote unquote premiums, but I've got eight forwards, which means that i actually, um I've got a forward in the midfield and then I've got a forward on the bench if we were to go back to 22 this week. So i
00:09:24
Speaker
I don't, um yeah, I'm unsure of whether I risk it because by going down, it's going to free up cash to get two defenders next week. But then if we have have some forced trades, then I might find myself in a little bit of a sticky situation. So at the moment, I'm toying with either a Josh Dacos or a Carl Amon it in defence. But...
00:09:42
Speaker
I need ah ah need you to talk some sense into me around Josh Dacos because he's someone that I've never owned and he always seems to do these big saves, which always makes me think he's someone that I need to own. But then he puts up these 70s and I can't ever pick this one. So he's got the Richmond matchup, but his run's not actually that good after that.
Midfield Trade Options & Evaluations
00:10:05
Speaker
Yeah, well just a few things I've unpacked there. First, you're the man who likes to put your full team each week at the buyers to make sure you don't come out of the buyers with too many one position and short the other. So anyway, eight forwards. least you've got some good value ones at the good time.
00:10:20
Speaker
I like the Artemis play if named, and even if it means carrying cash to next week because – you know that you'll be able to then get your Nassai, hopefully between Artemis and Hawkehan. You're going to get yourself your decent scoring in defence and then go up. But obviously your unique situation with those extra eight. So you'll see my ranks of how i've got Sinclair in the training sites. um Talk some sense. So just quickly before we, because I've got Dacos just after Noble. So let's talk Noble. Is it the price? Plus you've just got as much confidence in him as you do Josh Dacos. Why you'd be Josh Dacos over Noble?
00:11:04
Speaker
Well, he's priced at 111. Like it's so expensive. I wasn't keen on him to begin with, right? I just thought that no this run was going to come to an end, that Gold Coast needed to change up the way they were playing, and then he's on the wing. So you know does he go back into defence a bit more with Rioli out, probably, or do they just plug with a ah Charlie Ballard type? I'm i'm not 100% sure. It's just a big price tag to pay, and as someone that paid...
00:11:32
Speaker
won 111 for Matt Kennedy last year and then ended up going 95 for the rest of the year. It can really sting you if you if you pay all the way up. Yeah, that's good point. The only interesting thing, you paid the same price as Grundy, who finished most points last year.
00:11:50
Speaker
Kennedy, the same time at top price and seemed to get away with it. So I think if you've that team... My cash gen's not in the same spot as last year, though. My team's nowhere near as strong as it was last year.
00:12:01
Speaker
So then there's Josh Dacost, who unlike paying top dollar for someone who, you know, could see sitting on the wing first centre bounce and you'd be kicking yourself. You've got Josh Dacost, who is fresh off a 107, two tonnes in a row and has the Richmond matchup this week, break even of 82. So even if it is that one week play, which ideally you're not doing just a one week play, but if he puts up a stinker versus Richmond, he's not going drop much cash. He could then go up to a Holmes or a Nas next week But you should think Richmond, who have the distributing defenders, are plus 5.3.
00:12:41
Speaker
DVP,
00:12:44
Speaker
it's it's the safest option, I think. Yeah, that's and that's the avenue I'm looking at at the moment. um Man, you just have to look at what the North defenders did last week.
00:12:55
Speaker
Caleb Daniel 150, Parker 120-ish.
00:12:59
Speaker
it it probably is the safer the safer play. I don't mind Amon with their with their run and with Impey out, that might free up a little bit of ball, but they're very much a team-based system and and no one really um you know he commands it back there. So, yeah, Josh Dacos is as is as good as good an option as any and I suppose he does have the Gold Coast matchup the next game where he had that 82-point quarter last year, which is just insane.
00:13:27
Speaker
in the midfield. Amon, so his last eight games, he's averaged 100. So it's ah it's a pretty fair stretch. Obviously, there's ups and downs amongst that. And I think that's one, as you said, the team system of Hawks, as well as just himself and his role Like you're going to get some ups and downs, but no imp, you're right, should help. And then their run for, you know, a team who played finals last year, what they don't play free. Oh, any of the top four, is that correct? I think that they're playing bottom eight teams, GWS, Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Eston North, then they've got Brisbane and then Collingwood West coast. Like that is a dream run home for someone who has mentioned hundreds last eight, no imp.
00:14:17
Speaker
Don't mind that call at all. At least you know what he's going to be doing, whereas each week you don't really know what some of those other defenders are doing. Just a few days before we just land on who we like most out of those. So Wilmot, 108 in his last five pre-buyer.
00:14:32
Speaker
Zorko back soon. Is that the hesitation? Yeah, yeah, it's he's just too unproven. unproven he's been He's been great, but yeah, you they need to start humming if they're going to make finals and Zorko's going to be a big part of that if he can get himself fit. So I'm not sure so Wilmot's going to be the the top six defender we need at that price when Zorko comes back.
00:14:54
Speaker
Yeah, we're interested to go even deeper on this. past scoring defenders and how it changes as the season goes. But typically, these that we saw it with Roberts. We saw it with Luke Ryan couple years ago.
00:15:06
Speaker
so with Noble. Like, they're scoring well in defence when the team's been losing. And Brisbane obviously was he hit the buy rounds in poor form. They want to bounce back. So they won't want what happened in the last five weeks pre-buyer to continue post-buyer. So as good as he is,
00:15:23
Speaker
Brisbane would rather have him more ball to their mids and high forwards than those half-backers racking them up. Luke Park, you mentioned, I think last week was the time, like the the fact that we had Richmond into Essendon. He's still got the good matchup this week, and he's really impressed, but his age, not that he hasn't got a mortgage on the kick-ins or anything, he does make me a little bit nervous, but, geez, he's a tough player. i respect him, but I don't think I'd be trading him this week.
00:15:52
Speaker
Rory Laird. The run's incredible, though. Look at the the scheduled strength. So Essendon, very green. Port, neutral. Collingwood, Melbourne, St Kilda, hath Hawthorne, Bulldogs, all green.
00:16:05
Speaker
Then Geelong, Sydney to finish. So it's ah it's easily the best run. But, yeah, last week I think was the week to do it.
00:16:15
Speaker
Yeah, okay. I'm seeing these greens. And what is pretty consistent outside of that 67 in round eight versus Geelong, there's a they're all lowest of mid to high 80s, which, you know, worst case, they're not weekend ruiners. and There's a couple of big 115 pluses in there, 135. Yeah, okay. Good call.
00:16:38
Speaker
yeah's okay good call Good call him. Rory Laird also has some decent scoring in his system. Zero kick-ins he takes. Worrell coming back. I've said it before, like out of their back six, which is getting strong and even stronger now with Hall-Kahan. Like I still think he is their sixth best defender. He's so good.
00:17:00
Speaker
He's so good. at At fantasy or real life? just well both really what he's what he's doing three games in but it's it's not the mccarthy role last year of just racking up for west coast in a shit team like he he's just playing some very good football oh sorry you're caught talking hokerhan i'm saying why i wouldn't be picking laird sorry at all yeah sorry hulk hulk hulk
00:17:26
Speaker
i wouldn't be ticking laird but i've been wrong like people wanted him three weeks ago when Roberts was out and he's gone 133, 103. So well done to those. But yeah, um and I'm not a lad with these names. One right down the list, Sam Banks, who was the reason why I wasn't hot on and wrongly, Jaden Short, to start this year because back end of last year, looked like they were giving hand the baton to Banks, who was taking more kick-ins, 21% post-buyer for his 89 average.
00:17:59
Speaker
And then this year, he's been throwing around on the wing, What not? Got the injury, but in the last two games, 23% kick-ins full-time in defence. 93% he's got gone in those two games. So you he's the clear value guy. If this was round four, five, six, I'd jump to it for this position.
00:18:19
Speaker
If you're earmarking, don't like anyone else, and earmarking Holmes or Naz next week and you want a one-game match,
00:18:30
Speaker
heartbeat sitting there in defense who can get you a score knowing you're to trade him he's not going to go down in price with his low break even I think I'd do it but outside of that I think I'd be nervous going in round 17 with Banks as my D6 when others can go up to a NAS or Holmes or whoever it is what's your thoughts thoughts on the cheap Banks Yeah, I think if you're someone that has relatively low team value, so like 23.5 mil and you've had to go sideways a lot over the buyers and you're struggling for cash, I actually don't hate the play. Like,
00:19:02
Speaker
The reason he was scoring so put poorly early on in the year because they were throwing him around on the wing. But as you mentioned, Freako put out the stat today, 97% 100% in defense in the last two weeks. So that's his role.
00:19:15
Speaker
Has Collingwood this week. So it's a ah pretty good matchup. I don't hate it. um But yeah, it's not really the time of year that we want to be targeting these guys. is ah if it If it was the start of the buys...
00:19:27
Speaker
kind of mirrors the Colby-McKircher play from last year where you get to ride it through the buyers and he was putting up close to top six numbers. But ah yeah, I'm not sure whether Banks is going to go that 95 like Colby did last year. I think he's going to probably end up being more that eighty five ninety guy, which is still value.
00:19:43
Speaker
But you don't want to be clogging up a defensive spot with that with the options available next week. Yeah, well, the 90 would be, ah I think that would be worthwhile, particularly, as you said, if your cash gen's low and you're wanting to get next week a Darcy Cameron up to Max Gorn if you don't own or get up to Naz or Holmes or whoever it is and knowing you can go to Banks this week and what him, if he can go 85, 90 compared to a Josh Dacos who, you know, if you trade him this week, he got a, I know you'd be disappointed versus Richmond, but if you average 95 over the next five weeks,
00:20:19
Speaker
you wouldn't be surprised so you can give yourself up five to ten points there but that cash you save can get you up to ah max gone from a camera next week or a baz smith or whoever it may be then it certainly is worth it so play around price projector uh look at how your squad looks post trades this week and who you want to bring in next week and if it means getting at banks then maybe that is the play. It's it's kind of why in Supercoach, you know, where I got into a Sam Durham like you have couple of weeks ago cause i don't think he's going to be too far off the F6 for that cash saving. He allowed me to then get the top end premiums, which this year fills up that gap between those top two or three is bigger than ever to the the bottom end of the the line. Anything else in defence you want to cover before we move up?
00:21:09
Speaker
No, I think that's pretty much it. I just hope ah hope we get Artemis this week. I don't really want to pay the extra for ah Anand from Richmond. He's looked good, but not at this time of year. And I've still got Farrell and Lindsay that I need to cash out. So hoping that 230K comes through.
00:21:28
Speaker
Yeah. Midfield, I think a few would be trading, particularly your Jack Steel owners, those who have held on to a town of Broad. you a Jack Steel owner still?
00:21:41
Speaker
Sorry, Matt, missed that one. That's right. are you still a Jack Steele owner? I am, unfortunately. Probably needed to get off that a while ago, but he will be going for me this week.
00:21:52
Speaker
Yeah, which means that some we're looking at the midfield and there's some interesting options and some who we probably haven't even thought about for the last 10 weeks have presented. So most should own Nick Dacos by now. If you don't, he's the clear number one.
00:22:10
Speaker
This week, like he could, I think they will tag him. We'll go to over who we think will tag in a bit. I think Sam Brill should tag him. He tagged Zach Butters all those weeks ago, and then he's just been in some shock but some poor form as a youngster. He probably needs a bit of a rest, but I think they'll give him the Dacos role just as a bit of experience, but that's not going to mean it's going to slow down Dacos. I think he could get 45 touches, I think, on the weekend.
00:22:35
Speaker
Zach Merritt. We don't know what his role is going to be. We think it's half back. Is that good? Is bad for real life? Who knows? But for fantasy-wise, I think he feels like at the prices, the safest, next best, particularly those coming off the buyer.
00:22:50
Speaker
You went there, Noah Anderson, last week. was a great call. I was slightly Clayton Oliver ahead of him, but proved to be wrong there. They're not giving him any attention and they keep losing the Gold Coast Suns. So I think that might be the blueprint that Petrach is the one they want to keep quiet and even some defensive actions on Rau. We've seen the big-bodied mids go to Rau and Anderson for the last few weeks have been running around getting big numbers. So he's not cheap now, but he he seems a safe-ish gig. Heaney off the by looks great, but I'm just wary Goulden coming back. So I don't think I'll be trading into...
00:23:23
Speaker
Errol Goulden. Goulden first up himself. Again, we've seen what some players done first up from injury and take a while to come back, but I don't think I've touched that. Any comments on those players we've mentioned? it Is that where you're eyeing off for your Jack Steele trade, or is there someone else?
00:23:40
Speaker
I was initially, but I'm not sure yeah i'm not sure I can for a lot of the reasons you you just said. Merit, the role, uncertainty and playing against North, that was he got tagged by Fino Sullivan, didn't he? Had nine touches or whatever it was earlier. Nine possessions, yeah. It was a 10 tackles to get him up to the 70-odd, but yeah.
00:23:59
Speaker
So obviously different role playing at halfback, but I dare say they'll put some time into him. And North have actually run that little forward tag at times with one of their small forwards. So that makes me a bit nervous. um He needs a gun, but ah you know Brisbane aren't going to let him just run around and do what he wants. But he'll he'll find a way to to get to his 95 low ton, but that's probably not what you want paying up on debut. Dunkley tags him, doesn't he?
00:24:26
Speaker
yeah Yeah, probably. i think I think they chucked Berry to him at the start of the year, but I think he did his hammy halfway through that game, so we don't have a a full look at that.
00:24:39
Speaker
Noah, obviously, I've got 110s, a ah pretty hefty price tag, though. um this is where yeah This is where it gets interesting. So... say I'm considering paying down, but I'm also considering maybe whether I don't actually trade in a mid this week and look to do something funky with maybe a Luke Jackson to get 22 on field. But i don't I don't mind some of the cheaper options.
00:25:02
Speaker
um You can talk me through Andy Brayshaw, and then I don't mind Will Ashcroft as well coming off his buy, freshen up. But um even a Will Day we can talk about as well.
00:25:15
Speaker
All right, let's go Andy Brayshaw. you you We were both watched that game live last week. He just looked like the brochure of old, didn't he? Doing a lot more of the defensive stuff, which kind of leads him to getting the ball as well, tackling, chasing.
00:25:29
Speaker
Looked quick on the ground. that we Red boots were flying around. So 132. First tonne, though, since round eight. Just a mid-low 80s in there.
00:25:42
Speaker
With Hull. like People were bullish on him pre-season. The market share chat was that and freya was that the theme of the pre-season. actually haven't checked this market share for a couple of weeks.
00:25:55
Speaker
How are Freo looking? ah They are sitting 2026... twenty twenty six
00:26:05
Speaker
They're sitting mid-table, 1567 points, which is up 141 points from last season when they were right down the bottom.
00:26:17
Speaker
Last week, 1647, so up about, you know, that's high. um In the 1600s, they haven't been there for a while. Their last three, 1662, second in the comp.
00:26:31
Speaker
they're scoring better obviously helps when luke jackson's doing what he's doing last five they're sitting there fifth on the ladder for market sharing um geez andy brayshaw yeah i hope i'm on my list he was next on the list after his main ones i mentioned he's sitting at number five which i was going to ask you your thoughts i think he's never going get tagged he's in form doctors are scoring better Coming up against Gold Coast, we know that they give up points.
00:26:59
Speaker
It's probably a great shout, to be honest with you. Yeah, I'm considering it. And and we know every every year just, you know, the top eight mids in the first half of the year doesn't necessarily reflect the top eight in the second half.
00:27:12
Speaker
But... I do keep coming back to Freo just being that that team first where, you know, if Brayshaw is not going to pop up, it's Bolton. If it's not Bolton, it's it's Caleb. If it's not Caleb, it's Murphy. if You know, Jackson's around.
00:27:27
Speaker
Probably is just team first and and probably best to stay away. But, you know, you he's He's gone 110 multiple times. like He knows how to score. He just looked unreal after that guy after that in that Geelong game ah after the bye. Was he carrying something?
00:27:43
Speaker
it is a bit of a punt, but, yeah, it's just something I'm considering. That's all. Zero in the top 10, one in the top 100, 1% of the top 1,000 owed him. So he's also unique. Yeah.
00:27:56
Speaker
Breakeven 74, price at 95. Now, a very good shout, Holmesy. He was said he's number five. i think he bumps over Heaney. He's got the dunkly tag and golden back. in my list but yeah they'll be in the trade insights which will be there sometime on Thursday a couple more names to ask your opinion on Lockie Neal who's actually the 8th best mid to date fresh off his buyer playing for this contract but I think he gets James Jordan normally so I'd be nervous jumping straight into a Lockie Neal you can't go Gordon first up can you
00:28:32
Speaker
not No, no. I want to see it as as much as he started the spiral of my season. um i need it I need to see it first and priced at 116, give it a couple of weeks and then he's going to be someone that we probably want towards the end of the year, but they won't take any chances with him either.
00:28:51
Speaker
Yeah. If you're a non-Sam Walsh owner, tempted at all with West Coast this week, Richmond the week after, Nah, couldn't do it. he's He's very inside. He's actually, he looked much better on the weekend. um He was, the way he was running around and and getting from contest to contest, but he's he's just so handball happy at the moment. So if if we have a game where he doesn't kick a goal or um the tackles are down, then, you know, those those high 80s, low 90s scores are still going to be there, which not really what we want at this time of the year, but I'm not looking to trade him though.
00:29:24
Speaker
He might get a tag, who knows, against West Coast, but his teammate has that same little run.
00:29:31
Speaker
106, 128 last two, Georgie Hewitt. I saw a bit of Twitter action during the week. A price of 90. That's just where I'm paying up and going Andy Brayshaw, someone who's done the 110 for multiple seasons over someone who was dropped earlier in the year personally. but
Ruck & Forward Trade Opportunities
00:29:46
Speaker
What was Vossie thinking? Far out.
00:29:49
Speaker
Dropping him, yeah. was he's He's not ageing well, is he? So then Ashcroft's the one name you've mentioned who I didn't actually have. update Normally, i as you know, record this on the Thursday just because we had to cut my one short on Monday and then the mic blew up halfway through. So deep dive here before the insights come out. Will Ashcroft, 152 before he hit his buyer. But if if you click on his pop-up, you see that that was obviously against Richmond, positive matchup.
00:30:19
Speaker
Gold Coast before that, positive matchup for the 86. And the his last time before his big 150 was in round eight. Sydney Geelong first two back ah I think again I think I'm an anti bro over will Ashcroft Yeah, he once again, he's someone, I don't know what it is with certain players, but he's always someone that I hate being a nonow non-owner of because when he's on, he's on. He just pops up those little little marks. And yeah, I don't know. It's just something I'm considering. Jordy's been in my ear about it. He's been an owner all year. The 150 is hard to...
00:30:59
Speaker
hard to turn down. And he it did look like he was carrying something pre-buy. He got a knock in one of the games and had that elbow strapped for pretty much every game. The role, yeah, the role's a bit not there, though. He did that 150 on 40% centre bounces. So, you know, McCluggage is going to come back. I think they do share the load, which means he's probably not the top eight mid. But once again, still just something I'm considering.
00:31:24
Speaker
Yeah, Sydney this week, but then potentially if he, you know, is Essendon coming up soon? Could be a watch there. Don't mind it. I think you've almost... I still don't mind Zach Merritt. I know the role. We don't know if he's halfback or...
00:31:38
Speaker
Inside mid, but we've even seen him play half forward in the past, which he's not going to do. And he scored well there too. He's just a natural scorer, fresh off the buyer. The air potential, the tag is the issue. But like I've got him out all these names we've mentioned. Like he's the one who I've got in my top eight mids, whereas the other ones I don't. So still think that way. Just so expensive, right?
00:31:59
Speaker
Priced at 118. Like that's so that's up there with the best. And he he is. Yeah. um I just think I need to... For me, it's about getting those players next week. And if I go all the way up to Zach Merritt, that means that i'm I'm probably going to struggle with the trades I want to do next week. And I don't want to just ruin my team for the sake of getting Merritt this week. That's all.
00:32:18
Speaker
No, good call. You'd rather have... You'd rather have Naz Holmes gone Baz next week than have Merritt this week and you'd take the haircut. Yeah, good call. Ruck De Palmas. You're a Darcy Cameron owner.
00:32:35
Speaker
obviously yeah we for the second time this year second unfortunately yeah he uh like I swear he could jump like we all thought he'd be one of the better the most beneficiary out of this the new rule but it's if it's not Sherry's at the most it's him so That's it it something you need to jump off pretty quick. The advantage is he plays Richmond this week, which is no longer no Nank, but Nank even at his best was giving out points. So you'd think he's got a good platform to score against the Nank, but again, you'd be nervous rolling him out in round 17 when others have Gorn, Jackson, Grundy, et cetera.
00:33:14
Speaker
is there a world where this is the week you just pull the trigger and go... Cameron to Jackson so you don't have to, it's one less thing to worry about round 17? I think personally it it would have been a an opportunity to do it this week. i don't I don't want to do it because of the Richmond matchup, but also because we have Marshall more than likely available to us next week at 740 odd k So even if even if Cameron puts up a 70 or 80, you're still going to make 50, 60 K going down
00:33:45
Speaker
to Marshall next week. And then after that, you're able to swing Marshall forward and and get in the ruck that you really want, whether that is Jackson, whether it's, um you know, Brodie Grundy after maybe Laddams goes out, I'm not sure. But I think with the Marshall move in the back of our minds, it means that we can probably hold Matt ah Cameron for the Richmond matchup this week because it is, it's going to be a nice matchup.
00:34:06
Speaker
Good call. I'd, I've thought about Marshall because he got hit. He hurt his collarbone himself, but is he meant to be okay? And if TDK is still in hospital, might miss a big chunk.
00:34:18
Speaker
That's an interesting little thing, which, yeah, that's, we've had all these players going It'd be good to have someone skyrocketing up. We wanted to get into our side and, make it fun on the way home. Forward, so you've got eight other things, so I don't think you'll be looking get them, but you've got some good ones, at some at the top. So Dagoe is expensive, but, you know, that match-up he's got coming up is very good. So I think he's ah he's a there a lock for the top eight mids at the minute.
00:34:46
Speaker
ah Would you spend that price on him, knowing his career best, his low 90s, his price at 98? Yeah. But he's got Richmond this week, Gold Coast the week after that, up and in the mix as well.
00:34:59
Speaker
yeah Yeah, I think so. i mean, his role was he was a lot more forward on the weekend, but I think Fly came out and said that that was because he was sick, didn't train most of the week, so that was the way to get him through.
00:35:11
Speaker
98 is expensive, but I mean, what I paid, it wouldn't have been much more last week. He went up 35K, so I probably paid 94 for him. So it's much of the same. Richmond, Gold Coast, two really green matchups before he has North. um He's just in career best form.
00:35:26
Speaker
i I think I spoke to you a couple of weeks ago, just him getting back into defence and taking those marks as well. it's It's the first time in a very long time that we've actually seen him as a full-time midfielder, kind of like Cozzy this year, rather than being that centre-bounce, push-forward-only type midfielder. So that's the reason he's scoring so well.
00:35:43
Speaker
Yeah, and you look at his history, you wonder how at that age he can... put on 10 points with career best, but he went post by one of those years 110. Like he's he's had patches where he has had this midfield role, where as you said, it's not the Dustin Martin role, it's the proper midfield role where he has averaged 110 for long stretches in the past. So i wouldn't be there in Richmond this week. Like it's,
00:36:08
Speaker
I think we want him and there's some struggling forwards there. Ones who I was liking at one point throughout the year, like O'Reilly Sanders, if you jumped on him, knowing that his' c but i think he's had sub 40 the last three games, CBAs, Libba's back. So that's an easy jump off to jump onto one of these forwards. But there actually are some decent forwards this week. So Horne Francis, you're also an owner of him. He's obviously up and down, but Five 120-plus games this season. i haven't got the exact number in front of would be good to know how many players this year have scored 120-plus five times. Like, you'd think it's the Gorn, Dacos, Baz, Sheez, or probably him.
00:36:45
Speaker
Yeah, and he's much the same like Dugowie too. So he, although he's been getting the centre bounces for most of the year, it was to me at least to my eye early on in the year, it was very much centre bounce and then push forward and spend large parts of the game at full forward. But he he's been a full-time midfielder for a while now and he's just scoring well.
00:37:06
Speaker
And there does seem they're looking at a bit of life after butters, which means, you know, those guys are are in there a lot more. So ah I'm pretty confident that he's a... ah a clear top six forward to finish the year although it doesn't have the best matchup this week against Adelaide one we've been wrong on particularly last week we are We always thought, isn't Rankin in the midfield? He then goes in the midfield, dominates, but then gets injured. happened couple of years ago he did the hammy at the end against Collingwood, running down the wing, happening in Hawks. We did his calf.
00:37:42
Speaker
First game back from a calf, 74% CBAs was a shock to me. So they're obviously wanting to keep him in the midfield. And if he's in the midfield, he can be a top six forward and his price achievable given the fact that he has that 60% top game with the calf. So I'd still be nervous going into him because of all the other other reasons, but...
00:38:06
Speaker
But the evidence is there that he's now a midfielder. Some other options, Zach Bailey led the buy came into the buyers with a bit more centre bounces. But that mix in it, there's so many mouths to feed. And they're trying to get their right mix at Brisbane. I'd be a bit nervous on him. But I think I've currently got him as my F6. But there's a blanket from him to almost F10.
00:38:27
Speaker
Sam Durham is the one I wanted to mention. he's priced at 77.
00:38:34
Speaker
Excluding that injured game, his last five games, he's averaged 79% CBA. So he's a full-time mid at 95, which is close enough for the F6. And this is a bit like...
00:38:44
Speaker
When you were talking about the Merritt versus Brayshaw, it's like, well, if you go at Durham instead of a Horn Francis, Rankin, Dagoe, does that money help you get an Asire or Gorn or whoever it is, Baz, next week? And I think I'd rather do that. hope but My cop five to 10 points.
00:39:05
Speaker
Best case this week, but you'll get the better player next week. Is that thought or you'd just rather go the the more certain, proven Dugowie or Francis Rankin over at Durham?
00:39:19
Speaker
The one thing I'm a little bit nervous about for Durham is the fact that Parrish is a test and then... Caldwell back in a week Doesn't look like Caldwell's on the injury list at all. So little bit of role uncertainty. I think they'd be stupid to take him out of the...
00:39:37
Speaker
out of the midfield. He's their future at the moment with what they've got on the list and and definitely provides them something different in that midfield. And we've also spoken about this over the last couple of weeks. that The way he's sort of hunting on the outside as well is not something we've typically seen from him. So i think he's a good option.
00:39:54
Speaker
um But at the same time, if Parrish and Caldwell were to come back and we we saw him dip down to sort of 55%, 60% centre bounces, I wouldn't be shocked with that either. and um Yeah, but...
00:40:08
Speaker
He's done nothing wrong the last three since I've owned him. He was flying before that. He was on 16 in about three minutes before he got injured against Richmond and then two really good games. So I i do like him, but there's that small flag.
00:40:20
Speaker
Yeah, and that Freo matchup we've said before, they got smashed. It was wet. He was open. Wasn't used. few free kicks again. So that could have easily been an 80-odd two. And all of a sudden, he looks like a top six, not just someone over the blanket. So I still like him.
00:40:33
Speaker
Price at 77, break him at 55. If it is a disaster, as you said, Roe Marshall back next week, how that looks. you can... You can flip him if you need, but I'm a fan of saving that cash for the ones next week, as I was last week with a Brett Daniels who didn't deliver points-wise, but he actually had his highest CBAs for the year. So 91 in his last four, 81% CBAs in that time.
00:40:55
Speaker
Price 81. I think I'm Durham over Daniels, but both of them I like. And then finally, another forward which you own pretty well running through your whole forwardd eight forwards. But Chad Warden won 10 in his last three, 72% CBAs. He was leading into the bar before that. I think he was 83 average from 48% in his six games prior. Goulden coming back, though, just makes me a bit nervous. And there's enough other options in the forward line that no wonder why you've got eight of them because I think there's some good options there.
00:41:28
Speaker
If you enjoy playing a AFL Fantasy, I wouldn't be trading into Chad Warner. He's been good for the last three weeks, but he's always a nervous zone. He's definitely a a burst scorer and he does put up these 60s, which probably does make him a a good loop option moving
Petrarca's Fantasy Value Debate
00:41:43
Speaker
forward. So if you if you do end up with that twenty third um because we were able to go at a Durham, a Daniels, even a Marshall. They're all sort of cheap. Then you know he's probably a good one to loop off the bench, but I'm not sure I could advocate trading into him now, knowing that Goulden's coming back and and what you know who knows what his midfield time will end up with over the next sort of five, six weeks when Goulden gets fitness. So I'll throw one back at you just because we're talking forwards. And as you mentioned, I've got eight of them.
00:42:10
Speaker
Is there a world where we trade out Christian Petrarca?
00:42:15
Speaker
Oh, good call. Good call. So what the world you would trade out Christian Petrarca is the fact that he is owned by 10 of the top 10, 93 of the top 100. So you're coming home strong and you'd go a bit against the grain.
00:42:37
Speaker
in the fact that you've got this guy who his last three games, he has an average of 75. seventy five That is including a couple of decent possession games where he had 31 touches on the weekend.
00:42:51
Speaker
You traded into him knowing that he had the tough matchups to come, but you just look at it. They just continue, don't they? Freo this week read. Collingwood the week after has actually been read for inside mid. Adelaide, he could get some peeping love.
00:43:08
Speaker
Oh, let's go you on this tweet. There was a footy classified clip that got put up the other day of Durham and he yeah he was highlighting some stuff in the the Gold Coast midfield and there was some some footage of Petrarca that wasn't wasn't flattering, just you know basically running forward and and not defending and then getting cut up. and you I mean, you just have to see what Melbourne are doing this year with no Petrarca and Oliver.
00:43:31
Speaker
And now you know they've got these midfield issues at at Gold Coast. So... is he Is he the player they think he is? I'm not 100% sure. He looked million bucks early. by Dermot. I didn't know he had that in him, that little bit of analysis. So I said it before at the start of the year when he had his like his two highest-rated games of his career, I think it was, the Geelong then West Coast where he had Geelong, 34 touches, three goals, West Coast, 23 touches, four goals.
00:44:03
Speaker
And in that time, he averaged 115. You'd
00:44:08
Speaker
you know like youd think that'd be 140s. he's not tackling much. He handballs more than he kicks, which was always surprising, but Zabe's been on that for a while.
00:44:20
Speaker
so maybe his ceiling's limited to a good, like you know his best ever game at 120, and then he'll have 30 touches and 80. And when you've got these other options at the forward line who are presenting...
Fantasy Ownership & Rank Updates
00:44:34
Speaker
i don't think i could trade him but if you've got the eights i like you're trading chad warner before him i'd say Yeah, probably. I don't know. i don't Just something to think about for for those teams up the top that are competing. We know how highly owned he is and you've seen it in the past and I've seen it when I've when i've charged home and gone a little bit different that you know if Petrarca does end up being an 85-90 guy for the rest of the year and the guy that you're on goes 95-100, then that 10-20 points can be a ah big leg up towards the end of the year. it's just something I'm considering, but maybe I'm just a...
00:45:09
Speaker
a little bit scarred because, I mean, i owned him early and then traded him out when he got injured and I've traded him back in for two 70s and an 80s. He's been a hard watch and I can just see what's happening in that Gold Coast midfield and it's not working.
00:45:24
Speaker
No, it's good call. Good call. And on those ownership there now, we used to just have the top 1,000. Now we've got the top 10, top 100, top 1,000 as we're getting up to the pointy end. But quickfire, Holmesie, you reckon that was – what are we Yeah, it's – We are at 44 minutes. So that hopefully makes up for the the cut short podcast we did with Zave on Monday and hope to fix that mark before the upcoming Monday. But hope you continue your nice little roll. Just quickly, what are you up to at the minute, the rate-wise?
00:45:57
Speaker
I've come into 2.3. was hoping I ah probably would have been inside the top 2K if Sinclair hadn't got injured on the weekend. I was on for a pretty good round. But, yeah, I think I started the buys at 6.6 and typically like to halve the rank. So well above average at the moment. So hopefully I can keep it moving. It'd be nice to nice to finish inside the top 1,000. Not always going to finish right up the top. And, you know, you might not want to hire me again next year if I don't finish strong. So it's bit of motivation. ah Speaking of, do you...
00:46:27
Speaker
Do you keep the receipts from warning over Gatheram when we talking about you your ring? They're pretty even now, actually. Yeah, they catch you. You're going to catch you. That's impressive. but Anyone, like...
00:46:39
Speaker
I've seen my super coach, my ranking. like I feel like it's harder than ever to be top 10,000, let alone top
Podcast Conclusion & Listener Well Wishes
00:46:45
Speaker
1,000, top 100. So I hope you all have a good season out there and not getting too fixated with the ranks. It's good to see you coming in strong and and following you. So hope that luck continues this weekend and we'll chat come next week. So cheers.
00:47:00
Speaker
See mate.