AFC South's Unlikely Playoff Sweep
00:00:14
tins
What is up everybody? Welcome to the Next Guy Up podcast. We are live on a Wednesday night.
00:00:21
tins
You're listening to this on Thursday morning though.
00:00:23
tins
And we are coming off a huge, just a huge week of football. Just great things. One of the highest rated Monday night football games ever this last week. So shout out to that game.
00:00:36
tins
was really awesome game. sure we're not going to talk about it any more than that. we got we We got a weekend sweep for the AFC South. So for all of you haters out there in the world that call our division trash, call us the worst division of football, guess what?
00:00:55
tins
It's a sweep. We're rocking. We're rolling. We're all back.
00:01:00
tins
We're putting four teams in the playoffs.
00:01:00
nextguyup
Including the Titans.
00:01:04
nextguyup
Good. Put three.
00:01:05
tins
Division winner and all three wildcard spots. AFC South.
00:01:08
nextguyup
Titans in both wild card spots after that.
00:01:13
nextguyup
Titans division champs loading.
00:01:15
tins
Oh, okay. Loading. Still, Zach took it again.
00:01:20
nextguyup
felt pretty good about it. the The Titans won and the odds got much worse. I said, that's odds I'm going to take. Get me in on that.
00:01:28
tins
Has nothing to do with the other three teams winning.
00:01:31
nextguyup
I'm going to put a dollar in every single day and I'm going to retire. Just kidding. I'm not doing that.
00:01:37
Mason
Pretty good return.
00:01:39
nextguyup
That's not good advice. Don't take that.
Outsmarting AI in Betting
00:01:42
tins
ah But we've got we just We have an awesome episode for you guys. we've got another were We're trying to beat AI for a third week in a row because that's what we do around here.
00:01:49
nextguyup
Three in a row. My goodness.
00:01:52
tins
Not even just the fact that we have beat AI two weeks in a row, but we've hit a parlay two weeks in a row. and We're not giving out...
00:01:58
Mason
Plus like 500, by the
00:01:59
tins
rin Yeah, not little rinky-dink or little plus 200 parways.
00:02:05
tins
No, plus we're touching 600 almost every time. We're right on the doorstep.
00:02:10
nextguyup
AI has not even come close.
00:02:12
tins
Yeah, AI really stinks. And when I brought this...
00:02:14
nextguyup
Tens told AI that they lost again and AI was like, they were apoplectic.
00:02:17
tins
Yeah. They were kind of mad. They were like, what do you mean you lost?
00:02:21
nextguyup
Yeah. i mean They were like asking for advice on how to bet. They were like, what did you bet? And how did we lose?
00:02:29
Mason
Trying to cheat off of...
00:02:29
nextguyup
was like, if you're so smart, you would know already ai
00:02:35
Mason
They're trying to cheat.
00:02:35
tins
I'm actually very... I'm really nice to my AI, just in case. Yeah.
00:02:40
nextguyup
Yeah. You never know.
00:02:41
tins
They're eventually going to take over.
00:02:42
nextguyup
I'll say i'll say like police to the ai
00:02:45
nextguyup
Like, hey, i if if you don't mind, could you help me out with this, please? Thanks.
00:02:50
tins
Sometimes I tell it is to go. don't mean that.
00:02:54
nextguyup
You just got to give this ego up a little bit.
00:03:00
nextguyup
Yeah, like that. Shout out to ai Bad at betting. and We got another banger for you today. I feel pretty good about it. ah We had some other news. We kind of caught are kind of called the shot.
00:03:09
tins
We've got a lot of news.
Belichick's College Coaching Controversy
00:03:11
nextguyup
We kind of called our shot in the last episode about a certain former NFL Super Bowl winning head coach um with a 24-year-old girlfriend, fiance, who's struggling in college now.
00:03:23
tins
ah Yeah, Zach definitely called this shot.
00:03:27
nextguyup
So the guy's getting fired.
00:03:29
nextguyup
And I maybe even didn't go enough. It seems like he might be gone like this week.
00:03:34
tins
Yeah, they're on bye this week. um there's there's There's rumblings growing out of Chapel Hill that things could be done pretty quick.
00:03:44
tins
Like, Belichick has...
00:03:47
tins
brought up his buyout to the hierarchy i guess there's about to be some uh i read there's about to be some uh uh recruiting violations come cracking down there's some practice violations where they're hitting when they're not supposed to be like tackle drills and in full padded practices you're only allowed to have a certain amount and bill is just like i don't care
00:04:11
tins
um It's bad. It's gotten really bad. Bill Belichick's legacy is like, he's tarnishing it hard right now. And it's kind of sad.
00:04:22
tins
But then I remember that I absolutely hate the Patriots. So I don't feel bad.
00:04:26
nextguyup
Yeah. They caused a lot of emotional harm to Titans through a lot of years. um I don't regret anything happening to him.
00:04:37
Mason
Not just the Titans. Basically every team, probably.
00:04:40
nextguyup
Yeah, pretty much everyone, I guess.
00:04:41
nextguyup
Yeah. I remember that time they warmed up the balls before kick and field goal at the end of the game, though.
00:04:47
tins
Yeah, and they're like clearing snow off the ground before it was like allowed.
00:04:47
nextguyup
Remember that, Mason?
00:04:54
tins
Also spying on things.
00:04:55
nextguyup
He's been cheating for a long time, let's be honest. um Yeah, shout out him. it's From what it sounds like, this team is about to just get totally blown up. um As soon as he announces he's gone, every player is going to transfer out. They're only there for him.
00:05:11
nextguyup
It sounds like they all kind of got bamboozled into thinking Bill Belichick was going to take this seriously or something. being i don't know.
00:05:18
nextguyup
So they're all leaving. I've heard Tennessee's nice this time of year, all you players out there. Yeah, that team is just going to be in shambles.
00:05:28
nextguyup
What a nightmare.
00:05:30
tins
and it already was and they're just they're not in a position to be in one with the acc's like tv rights coming up and probably a lot of those teams abandoning ship
00:05:41
Mason
the The whole thing was to set his son up for success, right?
00:05:46
Mason
Because I feel like it's doing the opposite.
00:05:46
tins
That was that was like part of the contract was that his son gets to be cut, which like if you're his son, man just stay in Washington.
00:05:54
tins
like he did He was doing a really good job there. he he could have like he He was already known as a pretty good defensive coordinator.
00:06:01
nextguyup
Yeah, just work your way up.
00:06:01
tins
Just like rise up the ranks your own.
00:06:02
nextguyup
You don't have to
00:06:04
tins
Yeah, because now I don't know. i don't know how it works now.
00:06:07
nextguyup
Yeah. Being Bill Bozak's son used to be a really good thing, probably, and now I'm not sure it's such a good thing.
00:06:15
tins
is both He has another son on the staff too.
00:06:18
tins
It's kind of like going to mess him up. it's just ah It's just bad. The whole thing's bad.
00:06:24
nextguyup
Yeah, very weird situation there. Not to mention, we haven't mentioned Jordan and her place in this and all of this. so
00:06:33
tins
Yeah. Because she was like supposed to be the ringleader of the whole Hulu thing. And then I guess they've pulled the plug on it.
00:06:38
nextguyup
Yeah, and that got canceled.
00:06:43
nextguyup
They got to show that footage.
00:06:45
tins
i need I need it. I need all of it.
00:06:46
nextguyup
It's going to be way better than if they were like a good team. like It's going to be more interesting as this team is ah an abject disaster. And I want to see that.
00:07:00
nextguyup
It probably got submitted to the NCAA for evidence.
00:07:06
nextguyup
It's probably why they can't publish it now. I don't know. Crazy story.
Mark Sanchez's Uber Eats Incident
00:07:11
nextguyup
ah We had another crazy story this weekend from the NFL.
00:07:14
tins
Yeah. Talk about an all-time pull-the-rug-out-from-under-you story. So, Sunday morning in the wee hours before ah before the the London game, ah it's announced that mark Mark Sanchez is in the hospital.
00:07:33
tins
He's been stabbed. He's in critical condition. He's having surgery. And everybody's like, oh, my gosh. you know Twitter starts outpouring of love, Mark Sanchez. What a great guy Hope everything's okay. ah It turns out Mark Sanchez was – he had a little too much to drink.
00:07:47
nextguyup
Not a great guy.
00:07:50
tins
Someone didn't cut off Mr. Sanchez. He was doing wind sprints, maybe some of both.
00:07:54
nextguyup
Or drugs. Or, yeah.
00:07:57
tins
ah Was running up and down the alley in Indianapolis, and a Uber Eats driver pulled up.
00:08:05
tins
to like deliver to this hotel. And Mark Sanchez decided to take it upon himself. That that wasn't a parking space and enforced wild West law.
00:08:17
tins
And I guess started beating up this old man who also was in critical condition. He was pepper. He pepper sprayed Mark to try and get him to stop. And apparently, yeah, apparently he thought Mark was going to kill him.
00:08:25
nextguyup
Can't park there, sir. Crime doesn't pay.
00:08:32
tins
he's He stabbed him. I mean, it's not funny, but this is the most ridiculous thing.
00:08:37
Mason
I was in for minute.
00:08:38
tins
that This is like the most...
00:08:38
nextguyup
kind of awesome.
00:08:39
tins
its it's I mean, you...
00:08:42
nextguyup
I mean, shouts about shout out to that old guy who was like, he literally just defended himself against like a former NFL player.
00:08:49
tins
Yeah. I mean, you...
00:08:51
nextguyup
was like, I'll show you with a knife.
00:08:53
nextguyup
i mean, that's kind of sick.
00:08:54
tins
They have it on camera where Mark stumbles out of the alleyway into the like hotel bar again to, like I guess, ask for help because he's been stabbed.
00:09:05
tins
But just just the 180 of like the everyone's like, oh, Mark Sanchez, he's one of the best guys I know. i hope everything's okay. To like, oh, Mark's going to go to jail. like they're They're seeking felony charges on Mark Sanchez.
00:09:18
nextguyup
Yeah, it seems like that was not good.
00:09:18
Mason
Like his broadcasting career is definitely over at this point.
00:09:24
nextguyup
Unless he wants to broadcast from the penitentiary.
00:09:28
tins
but you know, at least ah least the butt fumble is like going to go down the list now of things that like he'll be remembered for or people will talk to him about.
00:09:36
tins
like The butt fumble is way, I mean, that's not even that important. Remember when you got stabbed by that 67-year-old guy?
00:09:45
nextguyup
Yeah, think that takes the cake for sure.
00:09:48
tins
i mean, just truly one of the most bizarre stories I've ever I've ever been a part of.
00:09:56
nextguyup
You're part of it?
00:09:57
tins
Yeah, I was a part of it.
00:09:58
nextguyup
yeah oh you were just first responder.
00:09:59
tins
Yeah, I was up really, I was like, I was on Twitter when the first notification came through.
00:10:07
Mason
ah thought he was at the truck stop or wherever it was at.
00:10:08
tins
I was, was one of, yeah, I was one of the first people that read it. I had to have been. I had my Schefter notifications on.
00:10:16
tins
I was on Twitter. It was 30 seconds after he tweeted it. I was there.
00:10:21
Mason
If he didn't do the...
00:10:21
nextguyup
You're doing the Lord's didnt no by the work, Tins.
00:10:24
tins
i'm just I'm on the beat.
00:10:24
nextguyup
He read that first.
00:10:25
tins
i'm trying to i am I am a journalist, after all. I am part of the media. I'm trying to get the news.
00:10:32
nextguyup
Yeah, but in your situation, the journalism is like sending the tweet to the group text being like, guys, look at this before anyone else does.
00:10:42
tins
I had to make sure you guys saw it.
00:10:44
nextguyup
Yeah, and it is funny because um so ah we have a couple of group texts and it does feel like a um competition like the like the old school um see who can break the news first but it's like secondary you know that's like primary source breaking news this is like the secondary source you gotta give it to the people
00:11:06
tins
Yeah, we're just reporting what's since already been reported.
00:11:07
Mason
We've had times where the same post will be sent, just screenshot at the exact same time.
00:11:10
nextguyup
laughing laughing
00:11:15
Mason
And then whoever sent, like whoever it came in first, they'll definitely gloat about it at a high first.
00:11:23
nextguyup
Yeah, it's kind of nice. don't have to like look up anything myself. i just get fed all the important information.
00:11:31
tins
ah it is. It's great.
00:11:34
nextguyup
Um, tens, do you want to do like 30 seconds on the Jags or you feel good about that?
00:11:37
tins
um I mean, what else is there to say?
Jaguars' Surprising Turnaround
00:11:40
tins
We're foreign one We're great. We lose that game 10 out of 10 times in the last 20 years.
00:11:49
tins
Liam Cohen has this team moving different. There's three wins.
00:11:53
tins
The Texans game, the 49ers game, and the Chiefs game. Those are all staples of you know The Jags are playing well, and now is their time to make a statement and show they're a good team, and then they always fall right on their face.
00:12:09
Mason
I will say, even with 19 seconds left on the clock, I wasn't comfortable until we saw all zeros.
00:12:16
tins
Oh, yeah, I wasn't comfortable, especially with the new kickoff rule.
00:12:17
Mason
like ah saw this screen
00:12:18
nextguyup
You weren't comfortable when Trevor Lawrence tripped twice in a row before going into end zone? That didn't make you comfortable?
00:12:24
tins
I was comfortable. I saw the path. i saw the path
00:12:28
Mason
I saw a picture of him like full-blown laying on the turf.
00:12:31
nextguyup
He's on the ground.
00:12:32
Mason
and it was like The crazy part is, this guy scored a touchdown.
00:12:36
nextguyup
Yeah, that's wild stuff right there.
00:12:37
tins
I was so mad because that happened in preseason and he got flamed for it because he like he fell and then everybody jumped on top of him. So I was like, oh no, here we go.
00:12:49
Mason
For anybody out there, if you want to make Tinsley mad, you just bring up Will Levis and Trevor Lawrence in the same sentence, and that will do it. so
00:12:58
tins
That's because you were trying to compare the two. You know...
00:13:00
Mason
I wasn't necessarily comparing. I just said, which this is not a false statement. This is true as it can be. for someone that pulled off the win, there was a lot of content and memes that were created during that win.
00:13:15
tins
What? He fell down and he picked his nose. Who among us hasn't tripped and who among us hasn't picked our nose?
00:13:21
nextguyup
I think we need to also just um a talk about the elephant in the room, which is Tins threatening to dox a referee who ends up bailing out the Jags late in the game.
00:13:23
Mason
Let's tumble across the goal line. Go ahead.
00:13:33
tins
He did not bail us out. That is... we He gave the Chiefs 14 points. Are you joking?
00:13:41
nextguyup
There were two big calls went to win the Jags that I think were fifty fifty calls.
00:13:47
tins
so the So the pick play on for their very first touchdown, that's not – the rules analysis came on and said that was a bad call. They shouldn't have – okay, so that's a free touchdown for the Chiefs.
00:13:55
nextguyup
I wasn't talking about that. talking the end of the game.
00:14:00
nextguyup
Don't worry. That's early though. That one
00:14:02
tins
Okay, and then we throw an interception, and then the Chiefs scored 30 seconds after that because their corner absolutely suplexes our wide receiver. So that's free 14 points they got.
00:14:13
nextguyup
that one was pretty bad.
00:14:14
tins
So what do we call it? You're talking about the pass interference in the end zone?
00:14:18
nextguyup
I am talking about the pass interference in the end zone.
00:14:19
tins
When the corner has his arm around Brian Thomas' hip with his back to the ball?
00:14:23
nextguyup
Yeah, but that's a like, that that's a you can't call that moment though. gotta let the boys play.
00:14:31
nextguyup
Was it third down? It was third down.
00:14:33
tins
so if the chief so So if the Chiefs get that call, everyone is is riding in the streets that the Chiefs get a call.
00:14:34
nextguyup
This was the late.
00:14:43
tins
that's it It's a blatant pass interference.
00:14:46
nextguyup
And then after that, the the hold call? It was a hold call, right? Yeah.
00:14:51
tins
It was a two men blocking one player on the kickoff. You can't do that. It's literally been a rule for five years now.
00:14:56
nextguyup
Oh. Listen, I'm just saying you really talked a lot of trash preemptively and about this riff.
00:15:03
tins
Oh, I'm sorry that Brad Rogers, ah who has a job at the University of Texas Tech, where Patrick Mahomes got his jersey retired.
00:15:14
nextguyup
Yeah, we know. It was 11-0. Now it's 11-1. Great work.
00:15:16
tins
eleven enough Yeah, 11-1. It's nice.
00:15:20
tins
First time for everything.
00:15:21
nextguyup
You debunked him. I just want an apology for that ref. This is what I really want.
00:15:25
tins
I said I take back 30% of the things I said about him behind closed the doors.
00:15:26
Mason
That's also what I want.
00:15:29
nextguyup
Okay. Okay. I appreciate that. I'll see how he responds. I have him here actually on the podcast today. ah brad do you want to come out and confront Tins?
00:15:43
nextguyup
I'm just kidding.
00:15:43
nextguyup
That would be electric though.
00:15:45
nextguyup
ah He's here to break down every single would call of the game and tell Tins why he's wrong.
00:15:53
nextguyup
All right. I feel like that pretty much covers everything we had to talk about. ah We have some we have an week upcoming of some great games as well. ah This episode is to preview a week full of football.
00:16:04
nextguyup
um And boy, do we have an electric best of the rest game this week. This very fun matchup. We've had a couple of duds in a row. um i'm going to blame Butch Jones for some of it.
00:16:17
nextguyup
And I'm going to blame Nico Iamaljava for some more. I don't know why he affected last week, but I just feel like he did. So this week we have a true barn burner of a matchup.
00:16:29
nextguyup
ah We have your nationally ranked University of South Florida versus your undefeated
00:16:41
nextguyup
five and o North Texas.
USF vs. North Texas Football Preview
00:16:45
nextguyup
i don't know what their mascot is. What's their mascot? Oh, the mean... That's a good mascot.
00:16:47
tins
they're the mean green that's where mean Joe Green played was North Texas
00:16:55
nextguyup
That's a good nickname. Really fun matchup here. This truly is kind of the first one we've done that has some serious playoff implications. South Florida does have a big upcoming matchup with Memphis that everyone's kind of has circled.
00:17:08
nextguyup
But this is another big game for a USF team that's been talked about a lot this season so far, especially ah after they beat Florida. ah They had a very tough schedule and they have weathered the storm. They beat Boise state. Who's another favorite to make the playoff.
00:17:24
nextguyup
They beat Florida. They lost to Miami, but that was kind of expected. Miami is pretty much juggernaut this year. um And so then they won two games after that and they've made it look pretty easy so far.
00:17:36
nextguyup
So we're looking at a very fun team. um In fact, their schedule, after they lost to Miami, they beat they'd South Carolina State sixty three to fourteen and they beat Charlotte 54-26.
00:17:54
nextguyup
So you want to talk about a high-scoring, high-flying game. that They beat Boise State in the opener. So this is a team that likes to score points. This is a team that's
00:18:06
nextguyup
that ah has a former member of the University of Tennessee coaching staff as their head coach, Alex Golish, seemingly a a star in the making. um He is kind of the next guy up for coaching, and it seems like he is poised to make a move into the D1 rankings or into the Power 4.
00:18:27
nextguyup
um I think he's going to make that jump at some point, ah but they've had a good couple seasons.
00:18:33
tins
Is he the first official ah next guy up, next guy up coach candidate?
00:18:38
nextguyup
He is the official next guy up coaching candidate.
00:18:43
nextguyup
um They have won back-to-back ball games.
00:18:46
nextguyup
I'll sponsor. $25. twenty five dollars
00:18:51
nextguyup
They're building a new stadium because this the team has been great. I hope they realize that they're going to be bad again once he leaves, but that's something else.
00:18:59
nextguyup
um So this team has Byram Brown, the senior quarterback. um He has had a very good season so far.
00:19:10
nextguyup
They also have a sophomore running back, Nikai Davenport.
00:19:17
nextguyup
ah That is some of their, I'll say their their biggest struggle. Obviously, their offense is efficient. You've heard some of the scoring numbers they put up. Defense, um worse than their offense, I would say, overall.
00:19:32
nextguyup
Even though they only give up they only let Florida score 16 points. Shout out to Florida. they Last year, they were ranked 113th in scoring defense. That's not very good.
00:19:46
nextguyup
And 128th nationally in passing yards allowed per game last year. So they knew that that was a piece they wanted to shore up. It seems like they've been playing a little better this year.
00:19:59
nextguyup
They, like we said, had a couple of really big wins early on. Um, Nico Gramatica kind of, but kind of popped off as their kicker, hit the game winner against Florida. That was very fun.
00:20:12
nextguyup
Um, so some of the, the key things to watch, I think that the past defense is very bad. I think that's going to be a key piece. Um, the over under for this game is like 68 and a half. And so we're expecting a lot of points, expecting some fireworks, but, um,
00:20:29
nextguyup
As you can see, um South Florida is certainly able to put up points. So is it just going to shoot out? Hopefully. Me and Tens have actually not discussed what bet we're taking here. So this will happen live on the air.
00:20:45
nextguyup
Tens, North Texas undefeated.
00:20:46
tins
ah Yeah, North Texas, Mean Green.
00:20:49
tins
ah Yeah, Eric Morris, third year as the head coach. it He has improved their record every season so far. We are sitting at 5-0, two overtime wins.
00:21:01
tins
um Now, they have not played the schedule, obviously, that South Florida has, but that's you know South Florida just is a juggernaut slayer.
00:21:10
tins
North Texas has played Lamar. 51-0 for a shutout in 22 years.
00:21:17
tins
And then, a lot of points. 51s, a lot of points. ah Western Michigan, who is a very solid MAAC team, beat them in overtime Beat a Washington State team who is bad, but they're still – they get good recruits. like It's still a name brand college.
00:21:38
tins
They beat them 59-10, –
00:21:39
nextguyup
As Lane Kiffin said this week, first place in the Pac-12.
00:21:45
nextguyup
Did you see that tweet? Lane Kiffin got asked about the matchup with Washington State.
00:21:50
nextguyup
He's like, well, we're first place the SEC. They're first place in the Pac-12, so we both are in first place in our division. should be a fun matchup.
00:21:59
nextguyup
Shout Lane Kiffin.
00:22:00
tins
Lane Kiffin is, uh, for all his faults, he's, he's pretty solid on a microphone. Um, And then, okay, so last two matchups are theyve they beat Army 45-39 and then beat South Alabama 36-22.
00:22:12
nextguyup
That's for you.
00:22:16
tins
Army and South Alabama, they're both solid teams. Army is ah another team in the American Conference.
00:22:18
nextguyup
That's lot of points.
00:22:22
tins
Yeah. So, yeah, I mean, this is a team that so far they they've they've been known for their offense the last few years, but this team is actually on pace to break the the scoring percentages that they've had the last couple of years.
00:22:37
tins
They're averaging 44.5 points per game, um led by quarterback um Drew Mestmarker. marker True freshman, true freshman quarterback. I love that.
00:22:51
tins
Kid's a gunslinger. He doesn't know that he's not supposed to be this good yet. He has thrown 1,247 yards and eleven touchdowns absolutely zero intercepttion
00:23:03
nextguyup
Wow. That's great for overs.
00:23:09
tins
They've got a tag team running back duo with McKenzie McGill, sophomore from – he played here last year. And Caleb Hawkins, true freshman. They both have just right at 300 yards.
00:23:23
tins
ah McGill has four rushing touchdowns while Hawkins has seven. And then even the next two running backs down the depth chart have two touchdowns apiece. So you're looking at a team with 11 rushing touchdowns from their top four running backs. It's a team that can still run the ball, but they do love to air it out.
00:23:39
tins
um The defense, they took in a lot of transfers. And so far it's paid off, but I think that's more to do with the level competition they've played. um Because you saw when they played a team like Army or South Alabama that they were able to put some points on them.
00:23:55
tins
Um, so I do think, I mean, that's a high over, but I think that's what South Florida wants to get into.
00:24:02
tins
um The quarterback for North Texas is also ah decent athlete, can run around a little bit. And it was interesting you brought up the um South Florida kicker because North Texas' kicker is 28 of 28 on extra points and 8 of 8 on x on ah field goals.
00:24:24
tins
He has not missed. So field goals, that's three points.
00:24:29
nextguyup
good about that.
00:24:29
tins
All points matter for the over.
00:24:31
nextguyup
a lot of field goals.
00:24:32
tins
Last time I checked.
00:24:32
nextguyup
28 in five games.
00:24:36
nextguyup
Oh, that's it for his career. Okay, yeah. but say I love that.
00:24:43
nextguyup
So do we agree? Feel good?
00:24:45
tins
I, I liked it over. I know it's a lot of points, but I think we, I think we, we get back to our roots.
00:24:50
tins
We're not, we're not taking these teams to win. i think there's, there's too much, there's too much variance. There's too much unknown in these teams for us to be picking winners and losers, but you know what we can predict that these suckers want to get up and down the field.
00:25:05
nextguyup
he Yeah, I think there's not a lot of G5 teams out here just like, let's get into defensive battle. Let's make this game gross. These G5 teams are like, let's run it up.
00:25:17
nextguyup
We're going to score the football.
00:25:19
tins
Fourth and five, go for it.
00:25:21
tins
what's what's If they score, great. We'll get it back. We'll score. Like, who cares?
00:25:24
nextguyup
writtenten Yeah, I think that over smashing first half.
00:25:30
tins
This sucker's like a nosebleed.
00:25:32
tins
There ain't no stopping it.
00:25:35
nextguyup
Okay, you love to see that, folks. It should be a fun game. that is a um I was excited about that one. It is a Friday night game on ESPN2.
00:25:45
nextguyup
ah So this is a nationally televised game.
00:25:47
nextguyup
Yeah, this is a big one.
00:25:49
tins
Listen, you tell your wife, sorry, Friday night date night is canceled. We're getting pizza and we're turning on South Florida at North Texas.
00:25:57
nextguyup
USF North Texas. It's a huge matchup.
00:26:00
tins
No if, no if, ands or buts about it.
00:26:00
nextguyup
next on the podcast told me
00:26:04
nextguyup
I'm going to score
00:26:06
tins
We're talking about a beautiful night in Denton, Texas. It's going to be 84 degrees, not a cloud in the sky.
00:26:10
nextguyup
ton of points. That's over territory right there.
00:26:16
nextguyup
Okay. Well, that's that, folks. Take that bet with us because it's going to hit. I guarantee it. Next slide, guarantee. Okay.
00:26:26
nextguyup
We're going to get to our categories because we have some other football happening um on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday night. So we are going to go through our categories here.
00:26:36
nextguyup
We have ah player to watch, surprise or upset potential of the week, and our game of the week. Let's start off with player to watch of the week, Mason. Who you got?
00:26:52
Mason
player to watch Um, so I need to figure out if this was a good trade or not. I actually stated my surprise of the week last episode that I was surprised that the Bengals didn't go and get a quarterback.
Joe Flacco's Impact on the Bengals
00:27:06
Mason
Well, they must be listening to the next guy up podcast because they went and traded for one Joe Flacco. Some of us scratching our heads.
00:27:13
Mason
Uh, just a, uh, perfectly good quarterback sitting on a bench, Jameis Winston. I don't understand why they didn't trade for him. Correct. Zach. Am I correct?
00:27:22
nextguyup
That's a bad move.
00:27:23
Mason
Starting quarterback.
00:27:23
nextguyup
what you When your locker room's in trouble, your team is struggling, who do you want? do you want Joe Flacco or do you want the greatest hype man in the history of locker rooms?
00:27:31
Mason
Greatest hype man. Hands down.
00:27:32
nextguyup
James Winston, he gets the vibes up. He helps everybody kind of feel a little better about the team, the team environment. He's go to he's at least good for one electric performance.
00:27:42
Mason
You got 42-year-old Joe Flacco running around out there instead of Jameis Winston, you know, just bringing the energy.
00:27:50
nextguyup
It's a terrible move.
00:27:51
Mason
Terrible. Terrible, as Charles Barkley would say. ah But this is my player.
00:27:55
tins
Yeah, Jameis Winston, he's led a lot of teams to a lot of wins the last few years being Mr. Hype Man locker room guy.
00:28:01
Mason
Whose player to watch segment is this?
00:28:04
Mason
Well, this is all of ours, but.
00:28:05
nextguyup
They literally bring him on to bad teams and like, well, you're our last hope, so come play. How's he going to win games in situations like that? He's literally ah hired gun just to come in and be like, our locker room's in trouble.
00:28:17
nextguyup
we We suck. Can you come and help us? And he does.
00:28:23
Mason
It's true. No, I just, I'm curious to see if Joe Flacco is going to be able to salvage this Bengals season, which to be honest, the division is kind of still up for grabs a little bit.
00:28:34
Mason
I mean, we got a bunch of one in four, just like it.
00:28:34
nextguyup
Just like the AFC South.
00:28:34
tins
Did you know the the rape the Ravens are still minus 200 right now to win the AFC North?
00:28:43
Mason
They could go one in five.
00:28:43
nextguyup
Sorry, the Titans.
00:28:44
tins
They're one and four.
00:28:48
tins
i mean, I'm not a Steelers believer, but somebody got to win that division.
00:28:55
nextguyup
Who are the rest? what are the rest of the odds?
00:28:58
tins
I don't know off the my head.
00:28:59
nextguyup
That's probably a good bet, maybe.
00:29:00
tins
They've got to be. It would be, a um i mean, yeah, go go bet on the Browns or Steelers.
00:29:08
tins
Browns defense is good. Judkins,
00:29:10
nextguyup
Ravens actually tanking. ah Ravens like that bad.
00:29:14
tins
I mean, they lost it they've lost seven starters for the year on defense. It might be, they just traded their best pass rusher because he's a free agent after this year.
00:29:23
nextguyup
Tines have done that many times, so.
00:29:25
tins
Well, I know, but they they the Ravens don't do that.
00:29:27
nextguyup
going to win the division.
00:29:30
tins
Zach, if you keep doing that, I'm gonna have to going to have to do something.
00:29:42
tins
I'm going to have to. I don't know. I'm going to have to call you out.
00:29:47
tins
I'm going to have to call you bluff. going to have to make bet something else other than the dollar.
00:29:48
nextguyup
Oh, no. but I've put two whole dollars on that, so I put my money where my mouth is.
00:29:58
nextguyup
back it up. I have a Super Bowl ticket for them as well, so...
00:30:02
tins
this is This is absurd. you You've got to be in the 1% of Tennessee Titans bettors on DraftKings.
00:30:10
nextguyup
Three whole dollars on the Titans season. and um Okay. Great work.
00:30:16
Mason
We're a player of the week.
00:30:17
nextguyup
i since It's playing a watch.
00:30:18
Mason
You're a player to watch, if that's what you were wondering.
00:30:22
tins
All right, so I've got for in college, I've got Dante Moore. i know I've went to him before, but this is this is a big one. this is you You and the Indiana quarterback are both the Heisman favorites.
00:30:35
tins
Oregon is two in the country right now.
00:30:37
tins
You've got a home game, prime time. It's time to show out your former five-star top quarterback recruit in your class. like It's time. is The time is now.
00:30:49
tins
He can have his Heisman moment. Officially and like kind of probably lock himself up if he comes out and puts on a show.
00:30:59
nextguyup
Yeah, I agree. I think that's going to be fun one. I am excited to see... We saw him against Penn State, and that was a very ugly game, and it was kind of just gross. But I think this game is not going to be the same story there. I think it's be a little more high-scoring, a little bit more high-flying game.
00:31:17
nextguyup
ah We've seen Oregon put up a lot of points this season against inferior opponents. We're going to see what they can do against any other team that... Um, has looked very good at times. It's like pretty mediocre at times, but I think it'll be an opportunity to get to show out.
00:31:30
tins
um Breaking news to go off of our first segment of the day, official statement from Carolina athletics.
00:31:37
nextguyup
I like that. Ooh.
00:31:41
tins
This is an official statement from Bill Belichick.
00:31:44
tins
I'm fully committed to the UNC football and the program we're building here.
00:31:50
tins
End quote. Quote, coach Belichick has the full support of the department.
00:31:55
tins
of the athletics department and university, end quote. Bubba Cunningham, director of athletics. um So, yeah.
00:32:04
nextguyup
That's the shortest question we've ever heard.
00:32:05
tins
The dreaded, the dreaded boat of confidence during the bye week because the Twitter rumors are too hot. You got to come out and say, no, everything's fine.
00:32:16
nextguyup
Florida did the same thing with Napier after USF.
00:32:19
tins
Yeah. So I guess UNC is going to win their game next week. that's what happens.
00:32:25
nextguyup
Wasn't bad on that one.
00:32:27
tins
No, I sure wouldn't.
00:32:30
nextguyup
Although maybe, who knows.
00:32:33
tins
Cause we don't know who they play. I couldn't tell you. Um, and then in the NFL, my player to watch is going Patrick Mahomes. Can this Patrick Mahomes guy, you know, can they figure out what they're doing? Can they, can they win a game against a really good team in the lions at home?
00:32:50
tins
Uh, get their season back on track. Um, You know, they' it's a tough game. They're falling behind in the division, you know, outside looking in right now on a playoff spot. So, Compassionate Holmes lead this scrappy Chiefs team to victory against a playoff team because the chiefs the Chiefs haven't beaten a playoff team yet this year.
00:33:06
Mason
Is he doing something there, Zach? is Is he?
00:33:12
tins
They haven't beat a team with a winning record yet this year.
00:33:16
nextguyup
They have yet to play the Titans, so... Division winners.
00:33:21
tins
right very right Titans, division winners, those are things that go together.
00:33:27
Mason
So i have a question.
00:33:29
tins
Yeah, I have probably an answer.
00:33:30
Mason
If ah the Bengals get to the playoffs and they play against the... If Joe Flacco brings them all the way to playoffs and they play against the Jags, do they start Jake Browning again?
Shudder Sanders' NFL Starting Chances
00:33:42
tins
I guess we'll never know. We'll never have to know. Mm-hmm.
00:33:47
nextguyup
Okay, just serious question for the boys here. um Do we think Shudder Sanders gets once one rep at starting at quarterback this season?
00:33:58
Mason
season... He's a backup now.
00:34:00
nextguyup
Yeah, the whole season. Yeah.
00:34:02
tins
He's not. They've they've not... Stefanski said, I'm not committing to Shador as the second-string quarterback. We've called Bailey Zappi...
00:34:08
Mason
Who's the second string?
00:34:09
tins
They've called Bailey Zappi to the active roster.
00:34:16
nextguyup
Is he bad at football? What's happening?
00:34:18
tins
i think I think there's a lot of friction and a lot of outside of football stuff that's making – like Strafanski is like – I think he's taking a hard stand of, I'm the coach and you're not going to trump me.
00:34:23
Mason
and We don't know about.
00:34:33
tins
So, I don't know. It's it's ah it's a real it's a very strange situation. you know what's crazy is that he turned down being drafted from the Ravens because he didn't want to you know he wanted to go somewhere to compete for a job.
00:34:46
tins
He'd be the starter right now, in theory, if he would have just let him draft him. It's
00:34:54
nextguyup
yeah Yeah, he is not he's certainly not helped himself in this situation.
00:34:58
tins
He has not. He has not helped himself.
00:35:00
nextguyup
You know who'd be a great mentor for
00:35:03
tins
All right, Zach, who's your player to watch this week?
00:35:08
nextguyup
ah My player to watch this week. um This is a guy who a lot of people said um should never have had a transfer, deserved a starting spot at Penn State.
00:35:21
nextguyup
Um, has looked better than drew our, this is Bo Perbula at, uh, Missouri.
00:35:28
nextguyup
He has a big test this week coming up against the Alabama Crimson Tide. This is a big matchup. Um, Missouri is 14th in the nation, but they are five and Oh, they've placed a face, a pretty soft schedule so far.
00:35:43
nextguyup
Um, they did beat South Carolina, a South Carolina team that looks pretty pedestrian though this year, um Other than that, here's been their schedule. ah Central Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, not LSU, just Louisiana, and UMass.
00:35:58
nextguyup
So congrats to Missouri for beating those four teams. And now they they did beat South Carolina 29-20 in what was a pretty gross game. And now they have Alabama coming to town.
00:36:09
nextguyup
This going a big stage for Missouri. um They only have... I mean, their back half of the schedule is obviously more difficult. They've got only got like three pretty big games. They play Alabama. They play Auburn. They play Vanderbilt, Texas A&M. I guess they have a couple more.
00:36:24
nextguyup
And then they have to go to Oklahoma. So this game has become pretty important for them in their playoff hopes. Their schedule it all of a sudden looks a little more difficult than it did at the beginning of the season. Like a lot of SEC teams, they're The top in the SEC looks a little bit worse, and the bottom end looks a little bit better. So some of those schedules all of a sudden, like Tennessee's is the same way. It looks a little tougher now.
00:36:45
nextguyup
um So this is becoming a pretty big game for Bo Perbula. See what you can do in the spotlight against a really good Alabama team. Alabama's favored three and a half points on the road.
00:36:57
nextguyup
So it's a pretty interesting one to watch. See how Bo Perbula does it being matched up against Ty Simpson there. ah Fun game, though. Excited for it.
00:37:05
tins
if If only people could have heard a Missouri breakdown and a win total future given out this summer from ah an STC expert who could have told you, someone told you that their schedule was pretty weak and that they're over.
00:37:15
nextguyup
something somebody on this podcast yeah
00:37:23
tins
Was it plus money and was worth looking at? I know I got a ticket in my bet slips, but
00:37:31
nextguyup
Somebody told you take Vanderbilt over wins, and which I'm pretty sure has already hit, and Kentucky under wins, which is definitely going to hit.
00:37:40
nextguyup
What's wrong about Mississippi State, though? Shout out those guys.
00:37:44
tins
the fighting bulldogs
00:37:46
nextguyup
My goodness. Okay, next up, Mason. Upset watch of the week.
00:37:53
Mason
I was very back and forth on this one.
00:37:56
Mason
ah I ended up going with just because I watched this game and I truly believe that the Cardinals are better than their box score and better than what their record is.
00:38:08
Mason
I'm going with Cardinals plus 275 against the Colts. We talked about it last episode.
00:38:14
Mason
A lot of just crazy head-scratching plays that normally never happen on the field. Uh, we didn't even talk about Kyler Murray getting hit in the face, by the way. We didn't even talk about that as one of the insane plays, but that just doesn't happen. And they all happened at the same time. And during one game, Titans get so many breaks.
00:38:32
Mason
We talked about the, did they even deserve to win that game? But I'm just wondering when the Daniel Jones magic is going to run out. If it does, some people are MVP. Or you could just, you know, the flames end up going out.
00:38:46
Mason
So that's my long shot. It's an upset for a reason, Tins, making a face over there. Upset potential. hes't He doesn't believe.
00:38:54
tins
I just think the wheels...
00:38:55
Mason
but you yeah I know you weren't watching that game.
00:38:58
tins
I was watching the end of that Titans game. you about? i had I had no... I had no commitments. I was watching every game.
00:39:06
Mason
as That is true. You had no Jags game going on.
00:39:08
tins
i watched I watched Cameron Ward throw the interception that was then fumbled and then recovered for a touchdown for the Titans.
00:39:15
nextguyup
Yeah, back off, Mason.
00:39:16
tins
I watched it. I watched it live. And I said, wow, that that's crazy.
00:39:22
Mason
That's what I'm saying, though, is the Cardinals got... It was just bad luck after bad luck.
00:39:24
tins
i just well I think the wheels are just falling off for the Cardinals.
00:39:29
tins
and gannon i think Gannon's kind of out. i mean they He just got fined $100,000 for punching his player. um
00:39:37
tins
That was a really embarrassing thing. like It's just embarrassing all the way around. i think he he's probably going to lose the locker room. Apparently there was some talk as Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison were walking off the field after the game, they said, why did we just stop throwing you the... but like They're openly talking about why did we change the game plan because we were winning to a running game that wasn't working.
00:40:03
tins
Just, you know, when when players start openly calling out the game plan and what the coach is deciding to do, like, it's just things are falling apart over there, I think. So, like i I think Kyler's kind of got like a foot out the door. I think he i think he's kind of over the whole Arizona Cardinals experience.
00:40:22
tins
I think he's looking for a fresh start. So, I don't know. Maybe. Maybe they beat the Colts, but the Colts are just kind of a wagon right now. And that was, there's only two, there's only two NFL games with plus 200 this weekend.
00:40:37
tins
Yeah. In my, so for my NFL episode of the week, I'm taking the other one. I think it's the Titans. think the Titans, I don't understand. The Raiders are terrible. The Raiders are terrible.
00:40:46
tins
Geno Smith. ah Somebody, somebody said that he was going be an MVP candidate, a sleeper candidate. That's crazy. um
00:40:46
Mason
egg city who would say that
00:40:53
nextguyup
Well, this very podcast.
00:40:53
tins
So, We had a guest on and they said some crazy stuff.
00:40:59
tins
No fact check who it was. ah Yeah, no. I mean, this guy, he congrats to him. The Raiders gave him $75 million. You should count his money and just chill.
00:41:10
tins
Because, i mean, i think they go to Kenny Pickett. honestly, like that's where they're at. They have a very, like their offense is just bad. They can't move the ball whatsoever. And the defense is just okay.
00:41:24
tins
um I, I know that the, the, the Titans win was super fluky, but maybe they get some, a little bit of something rolling here against the team and the Raiders. That's just, I i feel like they're just, they're dead.
00:41:37
tins
There's just, there's Pete Carroll. This was just a joke higher. I think.
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Upset Potential
00:41:48
tins
um My college one, I'm going deep in my bag right here.
00:41:56
tins
The Kansas Jayhawks are traveling to Texas Tech.
00:42:01
tins
They're 14-point underdogs. And at plus 470...
00:42:06
tins
We're going to get a little Kansas Jayhawk. We're going to get a little Big 12 magic. Finally, this is the conference of chaos every single year where just the nuttiest stuff happens. You have a team or two every year. you're like, oh, man, they're going to win the conference.
00:42:21
tins
it's It's kind of set in stone. And then just pure pandemonium happens every single season. And Texas Tech is riding high right now. they're I think they're ranked 11th in the country. They're the odds-on favorite to win the conference.
00:42:35
tins
But this Kansas team is electric on offense. Jay and Daniel's little brother is is' like a mini him. He can run. He can throw. They can put up points. And that's a dangerous thing when you start getting into a shootout situation.
00:42:48
tins
Anything can happen on a wild Saturday afternoon out there in Texas. So I'm going to sprinkle all a little Kansas – Moneyline here at plus 470.
00:43:01
nextguyup
I like that. i saw that one too. Okay, so... Here's what I've got for you. um Coming from the SEC, I am taking um a team that's going on the road, South Carolina traveling to LSU. It's a plus 70.
00:43:23
nextguyup
They're eight and a half point underdogs. Some things going against them. Obviously, it's LSU. It's going to be LSU at night. It's not a fun place to play.
00:43:35
nextguyup
It's not. I'm going to admit that. But I think LSU has certainly showed some of their the holes in their game. I think their offense still is not great.
00:43:46
nextguyup
ah Their defense is good. It's very good, possibly. um But it just this feels like a game that South Carolina has kind of They're 3-2. They really need a win.
00:43:57
nextguyup
um They feel a little bit desperate. I think Lenore Sellers has had an okay season. He's had some injury problems, but I think this could be a very fun game potentially um and a little one that's a little nervy for LSU fans.
00:44:11
tins
that would be That would have to be the nail in the coffin right there for Brian Kelly. I mean, yeah.
00:44:17
nextguyup
Ryan Kelly. And it could be.
00:44:20
tins
I don't think you can survive that. Losing a ah night game at LSU against South Carolina. when you're With your season on the line, i mean you've lost one game. That's it.
00:44:31
tins
You can't lose anymore.
00:44:32
nextguyup
Against a good team. Yeah. um Actually,
00:44:35
tins
I was hoping it was a look-ahead spot.
00:44:36
tins
got Vandy next week, so not really, but kind of.
00:44:40
nextguyup
I have another, a very similar line, actually. Let let me do a double header. um I'm going to call one of these is happening.
00:44:47
nextguyup
ah Florida at Texas A&M.
00:44:50
nextguyup
ah Florida, figuring it out.
00:44:51
tins
Yep. That's what they do. That's what they do.
00:44:54
nextguyup
um They're going to Texas A&M. Obviously, very tough place to play. And the A&M team has played pretty good so far. um But this Florida team that we saw last week against Texas looked different, looked much, much closer to what we thought this team was going to be in the off season.
00:45:10
nextguyup
um DJ Lagway looked a lot better, much scarier team here.
00:45:16
nextguyup
um Unfortunately, they have not given up. Billy Napier playing for his job has proven to be a very competent coach. And so here we are once again, I'm in a pretty tough spot.
00:45:28
nextguyup
So we'll see what happens, but. Could be a fun one. 7-point underdogs plus 225. I
00:45:37
tins
I like that. I like, take both of them. One of them will cash.
00:45:42
tins
You're making money either way.
00:45:44
nextguyup
Okay, last category, Mason. Game of the week. What have you got?
00:45:48
Mason
I'm going to go with the second game of the doubleheader for Monday night. Two first-round quarterbacks from the 2024 draft going head-to-head. That is Bears at the Commanders.
00:46:02
Mason
Yeah, it's see, this one kind of got hidden a little bit.
00:46:02
tins
I forgot it doubleheader Monday night.
00:46:04
Mason
Everybody's kind of like, hmm. But yeah, that's the second header. ah We'll know if this is a good game or not if I'm still up by still awake by the third quarter. So this tends to happen, and I'm not even in an Eastern time like Zach, so I shouldn't be complaining.
00:46:19
Mason
But some of these second these double headers for Monday night tend to end up with me waking up at 2 a.m. m with the TV still on and SportsCenter on because I fell asleep during the game.
00:46:32
Mason
So didn't do much of a breakdown, but you don't need it.
00:46:38
nextguyup
It's always kind of fun to wake up whenever you just you your schedule does not allow you to stay up that late, and you just wake up and the very first thing you're like, oh, how did the game end? And you check it. Especially if you have some bets on it and stuff, it's it's always kind of electric moment.
00:46:53
tins
it'll either it'll start out your day ah oh wow wow
00:46:54
nextguyup
Or you open your DraftKings account and see if it's like much higher than it was when you went to sleep. or It's like Christmas morning.
00:47:02
nextguyup
It's never less because you've already put the bet down, so it's only going to grow.
00:47:08
nextguyup
You know what mean? All Tens, game of the week.
00:47:11
nextguyup
What do you got?
00:47:12
tins
I just have an NFL one. We've touched on all of the college games that I would have thrown out. I did have Oregon and Indiana, but we already talked about them. um So for the NFL, I am going with...
00:47:23
tins
The Buccaneers hosting the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers, beaten and bruised, IR list and injury report a mile long, still beat the Rams last week on Thursday night football. 4-1, that's a great team. 4-1, you're talking about the two best teams in the NFC right now because I don't count the Eagles in that because they're service academy who can't throw the ball.
00:47:50
tins
um Their head coach is about to be on the hot seat.
00:47:55
tins
against the Buccaneers, the team that just will not die. The Buccaneers...
00:48:00
tins
Yes, Mason. As many times Zach to say that gets to say, the Titans are in the division. That's that's my that's my counter.
00:48:00
Mason
How many times does he get to throw that out and get away with it?
00:48:09
Mason
Or Jameis Winston's electric quarterback.
00:48:09
nextguyup
Could happen. True.
00:48:14
tins
He's not an electric quarterback. He's an electric personality. Please just admit that.
00:48:20
nextguyup
Tens, you're going to admit that whenever James Winston is on the field, you don't tune in just to see what's going happen. Everyone does. That's why it's so fun. It's just, you know, you do.
00:48:32
tins
I was not watching a lot of Jameis Winston on the Saints 1 o'clock games. I don't think anyone was.
00:48:39
Mason
Well, you don't know ball then.
00:48:42
tins
i don't I don't know, Ball. This guy misses half of football because he's sleeping at 7 o'clock on a Saturday.
00:48:46
nextguyup
All right. ah My game of the week. Tins mentioned it. My game of the week is. i'm just gonna go ahead and cover this one quickly because I think it is probably the most. Well, actually. Yeah, we'll do that one.
00:49:01
nextguyup
Sorry. Tins got me thrown off now. um
00:49:04
tins
rattled him oh yeah so you're not allowed to say that
00:49:05
nextguyup
There's actually a couple of games. we We have not mentioned this one one time yet, which is a little telling. Uh, the red river shootout. Uh, that's this weekend. Uh, all of a sudden now I don't care.
00:49:18
nextguyup
Cancel it. Cancel me.
Red River Shootout Analysis
00:49:21
nextguyup
Um, Texas, all of a sudden, has...
00:49:27
nextguyup
This script is totally flipped because if you went to the beginning of the year and said, one of these teams is going to come in undefeated and one's going come with two losses, everyone would anticipate it's the opposite direction on this.
00:49:39
nextguyup
Texas comes in, they've struggled.
00:49:42
nextguyup
Arch Manning has looked mid at best. ah Mid to bad probably. And on the other other end, Matier is good, even though he's got this broken finger thing happening.
00:49:54
nextguyup
and There's rumors around whether he's going to play or not, which is honestly just making the the This game is becoming really interesting, especially if it does not play. um Oklahoma's defense has been very, very good.
00:50:06
nextguyup
and so... don't know. There's a lot of storylines wrapped up in this one, obviously, like Arch Manning underperforming, John Matera, Heisman potential, but also injury.
00:50:17
nextguyup
ah think this is going to be a fun game, even if it's not necessarily what we thought it was going to be. And there's some other bigger name matchups now because of just how the teams have looked. I think it's gonna be very fun game.
00:50:30
tins
Yeah, I think Arch is going to look really dumb in this game. Oklahoma's defense is really good. am ready to eat crow and say Brent Venables is a good coach. um That's my bad.
00:50:44
tins
I kind of trashed him for quite a while. um So, yeah, I think he's going to put Arch in a headlock, and it's just going to get really bad for Arch pretty quick.
00:51:22
tins
yeah that's good yeah it could and that would that would be the storyline yeah
00:51:38
tins
we get ah We get fun storylines out of this game regardless, I think.
00:51:59
tins
Yes, I've got it right here. All right, so AI this week is going with all NFL picks. They normally mix it up a little bit, but I guess they weren't feeling the college slate this weekend, um which is dumb because they normally do pretty well in college. The NFL is what messes them up.
00:52:15
tins
So here we go. They're going with Rams minus seven and a half. Against the Ravens. That's actually that's pretty solid. They're going with ah the Chargers minus four and a half on the road against the Dolphins.
00:52:31
tins
Yeah, that's that's your that's your mess up spot of the week right now. And then in just the most just really weird pick, they're going to go Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers over 37 and a half points.
00:52:46
tins
That game's going to finish seven to six, just like it always does.
00:52:51
Mason
Probably right about that one, actually.
00:52:54
tins
Yeah, this week in the NFL, tons of weird spreads. This is where we're going to find some separation between your good teams and your bad teams and your great teams. Good teams win. Great teams cover.
00:53:06
tins
Really bad teams lose to teams like the the the Raiders and things like that.
00:53:15
Mason
This is where you find separation between us and AI as well, where we just continue to build the gap as we go on our win streak.
00:53:24
tins
Exactly. We're settling for two wins in a row. We're going for three wins in a row.
00:53:36
tins
Just like there's three guys in the Next Guy Up podcast.
00:53:41
tins
So, yeah. um I'm going to dive in here because I think I have probably the grossest pick of the week. And that would be Ravens.
00:53:55
tins
Under 17 and a half. This is why I kind of was like, oh, I kind of like that Ravens pick or the the Rams minus seven and a half. The Ravens are a dumpster fire. This team with Cooper Rush as the quarterback, because that's who's going to be starting. Lamar Jackson did not practice again today.
00:54:13
tins
um little late in the week. This is kind of a telling point of if someone's going to play or not. they They did expect him to to miss minimal two weeks. So no surprise here that he's going playing.
00:54:26
tins
I guess a super talented Rams team. I mean, this team, their defensive line is maybe the best in football. They've got four first round talents on that defensive line. 17 and a half points. You might be like, oh, wow, that's a lot of points.
00:54:42
tins
But 17, I mean, that's that's not that's not crazy for the NFL. A lot of these games finish around thirteen seventeen kind of final scores. So I am going to roll with the Ravens under 17 and a half points, not just because I think it's a great pick, but I just want to show AI that I'm an elite gambler, that I am the type of guy who is not afraid to To just put it out there.
00:55:11
tins
To take an ugly pic just to show how superior I am to AI.
00:55:15
Mason
That's right. We'll have two things going on to pay attention during this game. The team total, but also AI's pick on yeah the spread.
00:55:24
Mason
so okay um do you Do you have Zach's pick?
00:55:29
Mason
okay Can you try to get that while explain my leg of the parlay? I have not even told the boys about this one. It is Evan Ingram, Tinsley's guy, 22.5 receiving yards.
00:55:48
Mason
He used to play for the Jags. um Okay.
00:55:53
Mason
I like these international games. This one is international. That would be that morning. ah Last two games, four catches for 33 yards, four catches for 29 yards.
00:56:05
Mason
Tied ends against the Jets. Ferguson, seven catches for 49 yards. Darren Waller, who had been retired for two years, by the way, three yeah three catches for 27 yards.
00:56:18
Mason
Buccaneers, they don't use a tight end. Don't worry about them. That was the only one that didn't hit. Dalton Kincaid, four catches, 37 yards. Pat Friermuth, three catches for 28 yards. so So all those cashed over if we're comparing, if they all had that same line.
00:56:34
Mason
ah So that's what I'm going with. Evan Ingram, 22 and a half receiving yard. Seems pretty low. He could get that in two catches.
00:56:43
tins
Yeah, he's been working his way back from an injury. um i he's He got in week one. so um But Sean Payton loves the the move tight end position. So, um love that. So, let me – sorry, I was trying to put – couldn't find it.
00:56:59
tins
My everything is being weird right now. Yeah.
00:57:06
tins
So just a little behind the curtain here at this point, ah Zach's computer just absolutely blew up. And me and Zach, or me and Mason are trying our best to just act like nothing's going on.
00:57:16
Mason
Keep the pod going. We did pretty good till now.
00:57:18
tins
And yeah, I know ah we can't stop the podcast because Zach is the host. So technically we're just recording into the abyss.
00:57:30
Mason
So get ready, everybody. You're about to have a 21 hour podcast. Oh, I just lost connection as well. Um.
00:57:39
tins
Oh no. Wait. Oh no. Oh my goodness. Is that? That's Stone Cold's music. He's back.
00:57:52
Mason
We're still keeping the pod going.
00:57:53
Mason
So Zach, what's your leg for the but for the ah parlay here?
00:57:57
Mason
Go ahead and just jump right in. We'll be fine.
00:58:02
nextguyup
Um, yeah, I'm not sure gonna be fine, but I will and give just case it is. Um, my leg, I'm teasing it down a little bit. Oregon, mine is six and a half. I think it's at seven right now. Uh, I want, it was a seven and a half earlier. It's at seven now. So, um I'm trying to get it at the six and a half because I like that.
00:58:23
nextguyup
I think it's worth it's where it's going to come down to.
00:58:25
nextguyup
So Oregon, my six and half is my leg. It's a little bit juicy.
00:58:30
tins
That's all right. The cowards over at ah AI Central ah have juiced up legs. so So our parlay is at plus 529 right now.
00:58:42
tins
And I didn't share what AI's was, but I do think there's a little, yeah, 581 for AI, but it doesn't matter because it's going to be zero because it's not going to win.
00:58:56
nextguyup
Okay. Well, with that, if you're hearing this, it means this episode saved. um And if you're not hearing this, it means this is the last episode. So um you'll never hear this.
00:59:11
nextguyup
We hope you all have a great week and we will see you next time.