Spontaneous Podcast Opening
00:00:15
Zack
And welcome back to the next guy podcast. i Just guys know, we never actually talk about who's going to start the podcast. So we all just looked at each other for like five seconds. And then I was like, yeah, I guess it's me today.
Ultimate Football Weekend Preview
00:00:29
Zack
We have a huge weekend of football ahead of us. We are going to ah tell you what you need to know to be able to watch this weekend and enjoy some football. We have a best to the rest game.
00:00:42
Zack
headed your way this has been a very fun series to cover we have another fun game for you a butch jones appearance on the podcast shout out to the guy who ruined my college experience um we have our our picks for the best game of the week and who to watch we are going to give you the ultimate guide to football ball watching for this weekend uh and what is what is shaping up to be a very fun um and high action weekend of football
00:01:12
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
and Ryder Cup
00:01:12
Zack
So, voice, how are we doing? Ryder Cup as well. We will probably not be previewing that very much, but...
Balancing Anniversary and College Football
00:01:17
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No, but you know it's happening. It's a big sports weekend.
00:01:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Couldn't imagine not being on my couch for 24 hours each day. Oh, wait. I have an anniversary trip planned. That was smart timing.
00:01:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's fine.
00:01:37
Mason
You said you're going be out and about watching the college games on Saturday, though, right?
00:01:40
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, we've we've mapped out some restaurants and places we're going to be hanging out.
00:01:44
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's it's just a very like chill... trip just relaxing no little children no pumpkin patches we'll be watching games um doing you know just hanging out eating
Legal Gambling: NC vs FL
00:01:59
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
no little children asking us 10 000 questions every 10 minutes that's what my life rev revolves around right now
00:02:07
Mason
that That may be so, but the Tinsley I know does not relax ever. He'll be sweating out a bet all hyped up and it will be 10 o'clock at night while I'm asleep and he'll be sweating out a parlay.
00:02:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
it's true
00:02:20
Mason
That will win. I'm speaking to existence.
00:02:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's true. That does happen. um north korea i did I did already look. North Carolina is a legal gambling state, so I don't have to worry. I don't have to use a bookie service like I do when I'm in Florida.
00:02:34
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Just joking. i never do that.
00:02:37
Zack
He would never do that and break rules.
00:02:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I choose heart. Never, ever.
00:02:42
Mason
You've never broken a rule in your life.
00:02:45
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Never once.
00:02:45
Mason
No ding-dong ditching.
00:02:46
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
or
00:02:47
Mason
That's never happened either.
00:02:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I'm a big rule following guy.
00:02:53
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
That's what they say about me.
Potential Upsets in 'System' Games
00:02:57
Zack
We do have a, um the college slate this week is very fun. If you are, if you're a longtime listener of the pod, ah you'll be familiar with the system. The system is back this week.
00:03:08
Zack
ah There's a lot of system games. ah The system, we, we kind of, we really leaned into a heavy two years ago and it really hit, we won a lot of money betting on it, but it's where a ranked teams on the road.
00:03:22
Zack
And, and against an unranked team. And then the atmosphere just tends to, to be big in those spots. And it's kind of right before the upset. And there is a bunch of spots this week where this is possible, which makes for some fun football, lot of upsets, hopefully not a Tennessee, even though they are in a system spot this week, makes me a little nervous.
00:03:45
Zack
Um, but there's a there's a lot of other games as well. So, uh, a lot of, a lot of big, and good teams on the road and some big
Cherished Football Weekends
00:03:53
Zack
atmospheres. Ohio State's going to Washington.
00:03:55
Zack
i think that's shaping up to be a pretty fun one. So exciting stuff happening.
00:04:02
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
these are these are the weekends the sports weekends you look forward to in the dog days of june when we're We're desperate for football. You know, the draft's over. OTAs are over. Like, when there's no football.
00:04:18
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I mean, I love ah love basketball as much as the next guy Hockey's cool. But nothing beats football. So, just just soak it up. we're We're week four of the NFL. We're week five of college football. We're in the heart and soul of football right now.
Sports Season Overlap
00:04:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Heart and soul.
00:04:37
Mason
won't be too long where we'll have a playoff baseball with preseason NBA and then NHL.
00:04:44
Mason
I think there's a day where it all overlaps or a couple days where everything's still in season, maybe even a week or two, of where it all is at the same time.
00:04:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Oh, yeah.
00:04:51
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:04:53
Mason
You literally have all the major sports going on at the same time.
00:04:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. College basketball practices start up in like two weeks. Or even less than that, actually. Shout out college basketball.
00:05:07
Zack
Speaking of basketball, yeah, shout out to Bruce Pearl retiring.
00:05:11
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Bruce Pearl.
00:05:12
Zack
We can like rapid fire some. feel there's been a lot of news this week.
Basketball Updates: Pearl's Retirement & Zion's Health
00:05:15
Zack
ah Shout out to Zion Williamson.
00:05:17
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Lost a bunch of weight. Looking healthy.
00:05:20
Zack
Actually, looks like he's in shape.
00:05:23
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Look out.
00:05:23
Zack
I heard and MVP odds are 25,000. Seems pretty good.
00:05:28
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Oh. Time to sprinkle dinkle.
00:05:29
Mason
but some ah That's like my Geno Smith MVP bet.
00:05:35
Mason
Not looking good, by the way.
00:05:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Geno Smith MVP. What a bet that was. Yeah,
00:05:39
Zack
Not looking great. Jackson Dart starting for the Giants.
00:05:46
Zack
Shout out to my bench.
00:05:46
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
was... Yeah. Shout out to Zach's bench.
00:05:51
Mason
Tinsley, didn't you like have him on your fantasy team or something for...
00:05:53
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. Had to make, I needed to drop them for one week and was hoping to get them back. And then
00:05:58
Mason
Please tell me what player are you dropped him for.
00:06:02
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um
00:06:03
Mason
um okay I was hoping it was somebody that he knew.
00:06:05
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Rams, it was Rams or no, I had Rams defense. I didn't want to drop um the foul. I didn't want to drop them. So I picked up the Falcons defense
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks: Odds and Predictions
00:06:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
because they were playing the Panthers and the Panthers are bad.
00:06:19
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
And then guess what happened?
00:06:19
Mason
And you don't have that defense anymore.
00:06:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
And then the Panthers 30 to nothing.
00:06:25
Mason
Well, um the guys in a group text I watched before my eyes, which Dinsley said apparently the odds for rookie of the year, which I never took it because I i thought it was maybe going to go halfway through the season, if not further.
00:06:39
Mason
i didn't I didn't know, especially when we had Russell Wilson thrown for over 400 yards. I thought his job was safe. I was wrong. But i literally watched it go from... Tinsley said it was 2,500, right? Is that what you said the odds were?
00:06:54
Mason
Something crazy like that.
00:06:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Um, it was 1200. I looked at it right when it got announced, but the night before, right after game, I was looking at it just because of how Russell played and day ball, like kind of left the door open that like maybe a QB change was up, like going to happen, but the odds were still at plus 5,000 because he wasn't supposed to start until like past halfway through the year.
00:07:18
Mason
Yeah, so I literally saw it at 1,200. It said it's a steal. For some reason, felt like I needed to go text the the boys about it. And then when I got back on, it changed to, at the time, plus 800. Now it's at plus 650.
00:07:34
Mason
ah Cameron Ward, he he because of one person moves up, all these other odds get shifted.
00:07:34
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, he's third.
00:07:41
Mason
So Cameron Ward went down because of Jackson Dart's
00:07:43
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Why are you calling him Cameron?
00:07:46
Mason
That's what he goes by. Have you not seen this?
00:07:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
His name's Cam.
00:07:49
Mason
he went He asked to go by Cameron Ward.
00:07:49
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
His name's Cam.
00:07:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
He lost himself some some swag, some vibes with that.
00:07:57
Mason
i was want I have a theory. I think it's because he didn't want to, like, Cam Newton, like Cam. There's Cam's out there. So if he wanted
UL Monroe vs Arkansas State: Game Preview
00:08:05
Mason
to be Cameron Ward.
00:08:05
Zack
He'd love to be associated with Cam Newton. Weird guy, but great quarterback.
00:08:11
Mason
For a little bit. Anyways, plus $8.50.
00:08:13
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Oh,
00:08:16
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
oh boy.
00:08:17
Mason
I'm taking that. I'm just kidding.
00:08:18
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I like Cam Ward.
00:08:19
Mason
Changed offensive coordinators or play calling.
00:08:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um
00:08:21
Mason
I wish it was changed the whole coaching, but anyways, changed play calling.
00:08:26
Mason
So nobody, nobody wants to listen send Titans talk though.
00:08:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, the QB coach.
00:08:30
Zack
Mike Gundy out at Oklahoma State.
00:08:33
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, not surprising. Kind of surprised i did in the middle of the year, but...
00:08:38
Zack
No, they have looked very, very bad.
00:08:40
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, that's true.
00:08:42
Mason
What happens to Dabo?
00:08:42
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They...
00:08:46
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
ah
00:08:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, he, like, nothing, yeah, they're not going to fire Debo, but he might just get sick of it and, like, resign or something. I don't know. He's he's been pretty fired up.
00:09:00
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:09:02
Zack
I'll tell you the same thing, though. um I remember back in the day, it was Philip Fulmer was the coach at Tennessee, and he went like 6-6 or 7-5 like two years in a row, and he got fired.
00:09:15
Zack
He won a national championship like three years prior, and they were like, or maybe it was a couple more years that, I guess.
00:09:15
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:09:19
Zack
But it was like, yeah, I think we're good here.
00:09:20
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:09:23
Zack
And it's like, wow, he's coached here for like very long time and won a national championship, had a diet, like had ah how a legacy going. And it was like, yeah, sorry, you're out.
00:09:34
Zack
You're washed. It does feel sort of like you put a couple of seasons together where it's kind of just like you've lost your touch and you may not get it back.
00:09:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
of like that.
00:09:45
Zack
Could be done. It's like you, it's like you've flown too close to the sun where you set the expectation too high for the program. Now that everyone else is ruined behind you because of it.
00:09:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:09:55
Zack
You also like ruin yourself in your own job.
00:09:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I will say, i think they absolutely just run it up on North Carolina this weekend.
00:10:06
Zack
Well, North Carolina have stinks so bad.
00:10:06
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Dabo, like, yeah, i know. that's but that's This was supposed to be a very you know highly anticipated matchup.
00:10:15
Zack
Yeah, it ended up being...
00:10:15
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Before the season, people were talking. This could have been an ACC championship preview, but
00:10:20
Zack
Like bottom 25% of the ACC rankings playing each other now.
00:10:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, I do think Dabo just takes some anger out on poor old Jordan's team.
00:10:35
Zack
I can't believe, yeah this is Clemson and Dabo versus Bill Belichick. And it's like, no one's even going to care. It's going to be like,
00:10:43
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I know. i can't But I can't wait for this Hulu documentary to come out about North Carolina. It's going to be awesome. It's just going to be the best, man. What a disaster.
00:10:56
Zack
It does seem like a true nightmare situation over there. Yeah. Not good.
00:11:01
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's awesome. I love it. What other? Any other headlines laying around? That was rapid fire.
00:11:09
Zack
That was some quick news.
00:11:09
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
What the heck is going on in sports?
00:11:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
didn't think of anything else.
00:11:17
Zack
thought that was the big stuff.
00:11:19
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
That was the big stuff.
00:11:22
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's kind of sad, though. We probably just watched the last of Russell Wilson. That's it. He's done.
00:11:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No more. No one else going to give the moon ball king any more shots.
00:11:32
Zack
Kirk Cousins on the field Tom. Shout Kirk.
00:11:36
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, the Falcons don't like him. Did you see the head coach's press conference about it? They asked if...
00:11:43
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
if ah Like the, essentially if, if Michael Penix kept playing this way, like, would there be a quarterback situation? He said, cause they asked why Kirk got to go in.
00:11:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
He said, the game was out of hand. i don't want anybody getting hurt. Uh, Mike Kirk lost his job last year. We're not even close to that situation with Mike right now. So was like, Oh wow.
00:12:07
Zack
Yeah, I had heard there were some animosity there from between Kirk and the Falcons, like Kirk really wanted out and they're like, no, sorry.
00:12:15
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. He got him in trouble. The owner had to pay a big fine because he said, oh, yeah, I was injured at the end of the year. They just didn't put me on the report because I wasn't playing. that's a big That's a big fine from the NFL.
00:12:30
Zack
Oh, it felt probably it was intentional there.
00:12:33
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. um Yeah. And then we got, oh, overseas
Debating Team Performances
00:12:38
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
games start this week in the NFL, everybody. So โ
00:12:43
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, first game. I'm going to be on Eastern Time this weekend. I'm not looking forward to it. I'll be honest. I hate Eastern Time. I don't know how Zach operates on that. It's truly the worst.
00:12:56
Zack
It's not, yeah, it's especially, it's that last game. It's still, it's still like, it's like the eight o'clock kickoff games. My time that it just, they don't end till like 1130 midnight.
00:13:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's like, what are we doing?
00:13:11
Zack
I'm not watching that, but.
00:13:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I mean, I will be, but...
00:13:20
Zack
OK, do we um do we want to jump into our best of the rest where we want to were want to start here?
00:13:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
All right.
00:13:24
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, let's start with best of the rest.
00:13:27
Zack
um So we have a big one.
00:13:29
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
big Big time one this week.
00:13:32
Zack
Yeah, we've been covering games. So if you maybe you're just popping in here, um we've been finding games from around the country. that are non-powerful teams that have a very close spread. This is a 1.5 point spread. So this is very, so, and we've been successful so far. All all three games have been very fun.
00:13:54
Zack
They've all went over the point totals. um I think all three of them really have been very competitive games. And so I think this is going be another one like this. We are covering your Arkansas State Red Wolves playing at Louisiana Monroe.
00:14:11
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Hmm.
00:14:12
Zack
Uh, big time matchup in the Sunbelt here. This is the first Sunbelt game for Arkansas State. I know, um, I'm covering Arkansas State. So me and Tens both do a little bit of a breakdown of each team. And then, uh, we talk about it, pick our, pick our favorite bet.
00:14:27
Zack
Um, so this Arkansas State team means a lot to me in a bad way, uh, because their coaches, butch Jones, ah He's now in his fifth season at Arkansas State. This is the same Butch Jones who coached at the University of Tennessee for a while.
00:14:45
Zack
um Coached the likes of Josh Dobbs and and Jawan Jennings. Some big pieces of the NFL. Now he's coaching at Arkansas State. So shout out to him for his life and his career.
00:15:00
Zack
ah He has an offensive coordinator named Keith Heckendorf.
00:15:07
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Ooh, what a name.
00:15:08
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
That guy likes to throw bombs down the field.
00:15:12
Zack
They also have a new defensive coordinator named Griff McCarley. His first name is Griff. It's a very defensive coordinator name there.
00:15:24
Zack
So last year they were, we went eight and five. so they had a pretty good season. They won their bowl game over Bowling Green. Their first bowl win since 2019. So, you know, but Jones really has this program moving in the right direction.
00:15:34
Zack
Some people have said, Uh, and they, um, they have a couple of people. They are in the preseason Sunbelt poll. They were projected to finish third in the West. So not, not so super high, um, aspirations here, but I think they, they could be out of, have a fun season, even though they've started off pretty poor.
00:15:57
Zack
Um, a couple of names and a couple of people that you want to watch. i always have to give a couple just so you, as you're watching it, you kind of know who the key people are. Jalen Rainer, quarterback. ah He's a returning starter from last year, so that always bodes pretty well.
00:16:11
Zack
Corey Rucker, he holds the Arkansas State career receiving yardage record, three over 3,000 receiving yards. ah He was a first-team preseason all-sunbelt pick.
00:16:24
Zack
So shout out him. You will hear his name, Corey Rucker. ah A couple more guys, Brian Whitehead, a defensive end, 10.5 tackles for loss. Last season,
00:16:38
Zack
um And overall, so a couple of things. I do think the offense is is not bad. um I think they've got some some pieces there that really ah work together. Having Rainer come back is pretty good.
00:16:51
Zack
Also, the biggest weakness, i think you're going to hear a similar story from Tins, is the defense is not very good. um Giving up a lot of points. Both of our teams that we're covering today have ah have gotten really beat pretty bad by some SEC teams so far.
00:17:07
Zack
Obviously that's not ultra telling of their kind of upside, but, um, I think that is a, they lost 56 to 14
00:17:07
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No.
Arkansas State's Defensive Struggles
00:17:18
Zack
Um, they, they gave up 420 yards to Taylor green, Arkansas's quarterback. That's not ideal there. Um, maybe if you wanted to look to see what they're actually capable of last week, they lost to Kennesaw state 28, 21.
00:17:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
no
00:17:32
Zack
Um, twenty eight twenty one um there The Kennesaw State quarterback had 409 yards of total offense.
00:17:44
Zack
So they're just not really interested in playing de defense, it seems as though. um
00:17:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:17:49
Zack
And i think that will probably impact some of our picks here in a little bit. But um yeah, Arkansas State, I'm not going to call them a fun team to watch. um There might be a lot of points scored at least.
00:18:04
Zack
So that's where we're at. Tins, what do you got? You all Monroe.
00:18:07
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, so, right, so UL Monroe, we're down here in Louisiana, and one thing about Louisiana is it it produces good football players. Lots of three-, four-, and five-star players come out of the state of Louisiana, um and they all can't go to LSU.
00:18:25
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Traditionally, LA Tech is very good, ah Lafayette, Louisiana, all so they're all good programs. This team is full of good athletes, But none of them are playing defense for this team.
00:18:38
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
This team has given up. Let's see. Their first game of the year, they won twenty nine nothing against St. Francis, who i didn't even know had football team.
00:18:49
Zack
Seems like good defense there.
00:18:50
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. um Then they lose to Alabama, 73-0 after Alabama loses to Florida State. ah yeah they kind of They put some punishment on Oral.
00:19:02
Zack
Yeah, they got stuck on the get back game right there.
00:19:04
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. And then last week they did win 31 to 25 to UTEP. But UTEP had four turnovers in the red zone. That's four possessions that should have ended in points. So they could have scored even more.
00:19:19
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
UTEP's quarterback threw for 404 yards, three touchdowns, two picks, but he also had two fumbles. um
00:19:27
Zack
I some fireworks coming up, boys.
00:19:29
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. here So the the thing about UL Monroe's โ offense is it is categorized as a spread option. So they don't throw the ball very well. Their leading receiver on the year has 76 yards after three games.
00:19:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um But they run the ball. They are four deep at running back. They have a wide receiver. Their leading receiver is also taking a lot of in-round jet sweeps.
00:19:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
A player from Notre Dame, um his name was um Jake Godfrey. So they've got some pieces. They do return four of their five starting offensive linemen from last year.
00:20:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um i always I'm a big believer in continuity on offensive line is a good thing. um So they fit what that offense likes to do. So yeah, i agree. I think we're going to see points. This team is really struggling in the defensive backfield. Their defensive line solid. they're They've done well against the run, but they have just absolutely just holes all over the secondary.
00:20:34
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They lost their best two players to the transfer portal and did not do a good job replacing them. So they've got like true freshmen playing corner on one side and then ah like a junior who's just not very good.
00:20:46
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
yeah. um
00:20:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I think this is going to be like It's going to be one of those games that's like weird. You're going to see a lot of like weird touchdowns, jet sweeps, reverses, probably some college football plays, punt returns, things like that.
00:21:05
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
These are just two teams that are I mean, they're built. It's the Sun Belt game. Sun Belt is the fun belt. um This quarterback is not afraid of running. He's a sophomore.
00:21:16
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
His name, where did it go? He started as a true freshman last year, and he only threw for like 1,400 yards in 12 starts. They just don't throw the ball at all.
00:21:27
Zack
Yeah, there's it it's okay.
00:21:28
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
yes
00:21:29
Zack
It's like we're not very good throwing the ball. We're just not going to try.
00:21:31
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
We're just not going to do it.
00:21:32
Zack
We're just going to get our guys the ball and just let them go run around.
00:21:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
most of their passes are quick screens in and out of the backfield. Like it's just not, it's not what we're, what you're used to saying, but I think that's going to bode well.
00:21:46
Zack
Oh, trust me. You can pass on those Arkansas State defense. Yeah.
00:21:50
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. ah The way it's matching up, it's weakness against weakness.
00:21:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Like they're neither one of these teams is very good. Like you and Monroe can't really pass the ball, but Arkansas can't defend the past.
00:21:59
Zack
Probably at all. Yeah.
00:22:03
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
So which one's worse? Like, And I think the same thing. I think Arkansas State can't really pass the ball either, but Ewan Monroe for sure cannot stop the pass.
00:22:08
Zack
Thanks for a fun game.
00:22:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I mean, they let UTEP throw for 400. The quarterback threw for 400 yards, and sacks count as negative yards on passing.
00:22:23
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
And he got sacked a few times. So, i mean, it's just insane.
00:22:25
Zack
Yeah. um I think it's probably going to be an ugly game. Um, that's kind of the kind of game that puts Jones wins lot of times for, unfortunately, but, uh, I, I, so I think we've decided we're going with the over, uh, 54 and a half.
00:22:32
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
An ugly high-scoring game.
00:22:47
Mason
Three no so far, by the way.
00:22:48
Zack
Uh, we are all three games have hit the over so far. I think we're just, we're going to keep rolling with it.
00:22:56
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Do we think weather matters?
00:22:59
Zack
They don't pass the ball, so probably not.
00:23:01
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
That's true. That's true. Just get some crazy runs. I feel like they play in a dome. know YouTube does.
00:23:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Maybe. Maybe.
00:23:13
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
That's a question I'll find out right now.
00:23:18
Zack
I think that'll be fun game. um i think it'll at least be wild. I anticipate. We love a shootout around here, so on the football field, to be clear.
00:23:32
Zack
Okay, so as tens s Tens goes ahead and reviews that, we are going to break down some of the things we are ready to be on the lookout for over the course of this weekend.
00:23:43
Zack
lot of games happening. um Let's
Player to Watch: NFL & College
00:23:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No dumb.
00:23:51
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Bummer. I think it's UTEP that plays no dumb.
00:23:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Probably.
00:23:59
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
All right.
00:24:01
Zack
So um let's start with a player to watch of the week. Player matchup to watch. um Mason, we've been in the college world. What do you got for us? I know you got some NFL cooking.
00:24:15
Mason
That's a lucky guess there. How'd you know? um It got brought up. Two of my ah points from our categories actually got brought up at the beginning of this episode.
00:24:25
Mason
Nice little tease there. So the player to watch is one. yeah all can guess it. Jackson Dart against the 3-0 Chargers.
00:24:32
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Jackson Dart.
00:24:34
Zack
I'll be watching him.
00:24:36
Mason
I'm excited here. um Here is Yeah, go ahead, Tens.
00:24:40
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I was just going to say that ah rookies making their first start. Do you have this stat against the spread?
00:24:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They're like 12 for 32 against the spread when making your first start.
00:24:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
First round quarterbacks.
00:24:56
Mason
Let me see. What was the spread? Was it six and a half points?
00:24:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Six.
00:25:00
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
To tease. To...
00:25:01
Zack
Yeah, it's the backup bump doesn't apply if you're starting because everyone knows you're starting.
00:25:05
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Right. Yeah.
00:25:08
Mason
He would have had to have been ah ah thrown into the game.
00:25:13
Zack
Yeah, they should have let Russ play the first play and then benched him.
00:25:16
Mason
let Russ cook. um So we have a obviously a huge sample size for college, but a small sample size for NFL. ah You could say, well, in preseason, he played against backups and stuff, which is the case. But I did want to throw out real quick his ah stats. Completed 32, 47 passes, yards, three touchdowns.
00:25:39
Mason
ah no interceptions, and he had six carries for 52 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, which I do like him to score a touchdown at plus 275.
00:25:51
Mason
um I believe that's what it was when I first when i last looked.
00:25:56
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, he likes to run.
00:25:56
Mason
So I'm going to go with that. If the Chargers defense continues to play as well as they will, he'll probably be looking to try to make some plays with his legs. um We saw that in college. We saw a touchdown, Russian touchdown in preseason.
00:26:08
Mason
So I'm going to go with that for, ah yeah, plus 250 now ah on DraftKings.
00:26:14
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Okay.
00:26:17
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, um'm I'm excited that Jackson's starting. um They've been doing some packages with him, doing the RPO stuff with Cam Scadaboo. So we've got to see him a little bit.
00:26:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I think they'll do a lot of that. But I like i like him. He's a fun kid to watch in college. He shot up the draft boards. um I really liked him. I didn't love where he landed. and didn't really want him to be a giant just because their organization's kind of a dumpster fire. But I think he's to end up being a good pro.
00:26:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um And if John Gruden loves you as much as he loves Jackson Dart, then, you know, that's saying something because he loves the kid. I like watching Gruden's QB class thing that he did he did with a bunch of the rookies.
00:27:00
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
He absolutely loves Jackson Dart. Called him the evil Knievel of quarterbacks.
00:27:09
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
So, I like that in a quarterback. A little reckless.
00:27:15
Zack
little risk taker all right um 10s who you got
00:27:16
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:27:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
All right. ah For NFL, quickly, I i got Trey Benson, um second year player out of Florida State. They kind of drafted him to be the future, like, RB1 of the team.
00:27:32
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
James Conner, unfortunately, goes down with a pretty bad fractured ankle. um That might be it for James Conner. um it was a compound fracture it's really hard to come back from that but i really like trey benson electric playmaker from the florida state team ah few years ago um so fun player i'm sure if you play fantasy football he was everyone's secret guy to go get this week i've got a thing with fantasy football guys on twitter right now i'm sorry i'm making fun um
00:28:05
Mason
Well, guess what? He's already on my team. Tinsley threatened to get rid of a bench spot for next year just for everybody to know that cares.
00:28:13
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
We got too many bench spots. We got too many bench spots.
00:28:16
Mason
But he he's he's mad about it because Trey Benson was already on a roster, which was mine.
00:28:16
Zack
ruining the spirit of the game.
00:28:22
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I'm not mad about it. just We have too many bench spots.
00:28:25
Mason
Oh, yeah. i don't want I like to stash all these backup running backs, as you can tell.
00:28:31
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Well, you're going to get one less opportunity next year.
00:28:32
Mason
I'm excited as well. play If you listen to this pod when it comes out, you know he'll be playing his Thursday night game. so
00:28:40
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:28:41
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Oh, yeah. i I keep forgetting it's Seahawks Cardinals this Thursday night.
00:28:41
Mason
We'll see what happens.
00:28:44
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
it's very It's not a random matchup because they're divisional.
00:28:49
Mason
so you won't have to wait long to see that exciting player to watch ten
00:28:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
true. It's very true. um And then my college player to watch is Dante Moore, quarterback for Oregon, going into Beaver Stadium, night game whiteout at Penn State. like This is an electric atmosphere. All eyeballs are going to be on him.
00:29:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
The Heisman race is now wide open with the injury to John Matier. Dante Moore is second in odds at plus 850. This is an Oregon team who's just been buzzsaw so far. if They haven't played anybody.
00:29:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
You know, that's the thing.
00:29:27
Zack
Not even with the pulse, not even like a single pulse has been played.
00:29:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
This is the... Yeah. Yeah. Exactly. um But this is what Oregon does. They, they, I mean, they just early part of the year, they just absolutely beat up on people and just compensate when a big game, like James Franklin is known as a, as a big game choking coach. Like he just doesn't do it in the big spotlight.
00:29:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um And this is as big as it gets as far as a week five college football matchup. So I'm very excited to see if Dante Moore can seize the moment and kind of put their stamp like Oregon belongs in the top three by going in here and winning in this game and looking good the way he has so far. So he is my player to watch for the weekend.
00:30:09
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Honestly, if you if you think Oregon's going to win, you bet Dante Moore right now to win the Heisman. That's just, that's how that would play out.
00:30:18
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
in my opinion.
00:30:20
Zack
It's um so I will just say that my a player to watch is actually on the other side of the ball in that game. That'll be Drew Aller.
00:30:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Mmm.
00:30:28
Zack
Had a lot of um Heisman talk before the season began. He was the reason that Penn State has been so hyped up. He's honestly not looked great so far. um i mean, Penn State as a whole has looked a little bit just not perfect.
00:30:43
Zack
Whereas Oregon has looked as dialed as you can be playing in figure competition. Both of these programs have have essentially not played against any kind of real competition so far. So this will be the first test for both of these quarterbacks.
00:30:58
Zack
ah Both the quarterbacks have been hyped up and are anticipated. But like I said, Drew Aller's numbers are not very impressive to start the year. he They haven't lost a game yet, so no one's talking about him.
00:31:11
Zack
Joining that kind of group of quarterbacks who are hyped up, who have really fallen flat, like the... um you know, the DJ lag ways and the arch Mannings and in the quarterbacks who have just struggled.
00:31:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
R's, yeah.
00:31:23
Zack
Um, Nussmeier is also in that camp of not played very well, but you've won your games. And so all of a sudden people are talking about you as if you're still very good, even though you haven't played great.
00:31:36
Zack
Uh, Drew Aller is in that same conversation.
00:31:36
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Right.
00:31:38
Zack
So it's time to step up in the wide out, huge environment, uh, going to be a very fun game to watch. I think, um,
00:31:46
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
For sure.
00:31:47
Zack
Yeah, I mean, I think that environment is going to make โ it's going kind of make up a couple points for Penn State. So it should be a fun one to watch. I think Oregon's a better team, but They already are.
00:31:55
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
and it But, I mean, if Drew Allard doesn't play well and they lose, then Penn State fans are going to be wondering if they let the right quarterback transfer or not.
00:32:05
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Because, yeah, his look pretty good.
00:32:09
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Like, he's putting up stats.
00:32:11
Zack
He's been very good at Missouri so far. He's been โ he's got very good numbers.
00:32:12
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:32:15
Zack
Yeah. Okay, moving on. ah we're werere We're going to go to our upset spot of the week. um
00:32:22
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:32:22
Zack
Who do you think could potentially pull an
Potential NFL Upsets
00:32:27
Mason
So are the rules plus 200 or more?
00:32:29
Zack
I think that's a threshold that you could go with.
00:32:31
Mason
Okay. I may have cheated just a little bit. Sorry, everybody.
00:32:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Sorry, I did too.
00:32:35
Mason
I'm going to go with ah plus 164.
00:32:38
Mason
one sixty four So almost there. ah And that's going the Buccaneers against the Eagles. Um, if just because they if the Eagles continue to play the way that they did in that first half, which was horrendous, I'm going go over the stats in a minute.
00:32:45
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Whoa.
00:32:53
Mason
I believe that the Buccaneers would have actually been favored in this game at home. Uh, The stats are literally insane. ah The Eagles gained only 33 net yards in the first half. On passing, Jalen Hurts was 4-8 for 17 yards.
00:33:10
Mason
On the ground, Saquon Barkley carried 7 times for 13 yards.
00:33:16
Mason
ah Eagles offense was oh for six on third down. Uh, and the only touchdown that they had was their cheating play, the tush push, which they had a blatant, uh, false start that did not get a flag thrown.
00:33:28
Mason
The play before the scoring one was, I'm doing quotations for everybody, obviously list listening on podcasts, but the one that scored was a legal, uh, formation, but the one before that was blatant false start that did not get called.
00:33:43
Mason
Uh, Some saying tush-push merchants, possibly. But obviously they came back in the second half, which you're like, hey, Mason, it's a four-quarter game, or you're not giving credit for that second i just second half.
00:33:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
but I'm saying it.
00:33:54
Mason
i just I can't get over how bad they look at times, and then we just forget about it. So I'm going to go with the Buccaneers. At home, by the way, um and we talked about last week. Baker went down, and they had a scoring play to to win the game. So I'm going to go with the Buccaneers here.
00:34:13
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I want your upset to happen so bad. I am pretty anti-Eagle. I cannot stand them. They blocked two field goals, returned them for like to help them win that game.
00:34:25
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um
00:34:26
Mason
A lot had to happen. That's why I'm like, that score if you just if you just box score watched it, and you'd be like oh, wow, Eagles were really in that game.
00:34:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:34:33
Mason
They had a lot go their way in order to pull that off.
00:34:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah. I just think that the Bucs have had to use up a lot of magic. And I mean, maybe Baker's just going to do it. um But they they are they have been bitten with the injury bug so bad.
00:34:49
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Mike Evans is going to miss this game. He's probably going miss a couple games. But I did see today that Chris Godwin ah was a full participant in practice. And so was Tristan Wirfs. If they get both of those guys back...
00:35:02
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
i think I think if they're both back, if they're both announced they're going playing, Mason, you would get amazing closing line value because right now it's plus three and a half. I think you would i think it ends up as a pick-em with those two guys.
00:35:15
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
they're but they're They're so important to that team.
00:35:16
Mason
Well, that's that's why I'm taking it right now. ah Both teams 3-0, by the way. One of the few matchups where we have undefeated teams playing against each other. so
00:35:29
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
True. Love it.
00:35:34
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
ah My upset of the week is also not plus 200, but that's okay. We're going out west at plus 154. We're going to do it, guys. We're going to take the Jacksonville Jaguars to upset the 49ers.
00:35:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
The 49ers are banged up. Their strength of a conditioning coach, fraud of the week. Ricky Pearsall hurt in practice today.
00:35:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Doubtful for the game. Who they're going to throw to.
00:36:03
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I don't know.
00:36:04
Mason
Who are you guys going to throw to?
00:36:04
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
John, we have healthy wide receivers. They just can't catch right now. Trevor Lawrence ranked eighth in accuracy ah while the team is leading the league in drops.
00:36:16
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Again, it's fun. It's fun times. um so But this is this game, the Jags are 1-12 in their last 13 games out West. It's not been fun. We've not ever been very good out West.
00:36:31
Mason
You're not selling me there.
00:36:33
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I know. um
00:36:36
Zack
Some anti-stats for you.
00:36:38
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
the Here's the thing. i am I have drank all the cool that I can drink on Liam Cohen. he He has turned this team around. You cannot tell me that in the last 10 years, a game like that happens last week.
00:36:51
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
we We lose that game 10 out of 10 times. He's got the boys fired up. He's got the boys believing in themselves. We're going to beat the 49ers. And then next week on Monday Night Football against the Kansas City Chiefs, we end them.
00:37:07
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
We end the Kansas City Chiefs. We're going to essentially eliminate them for the rest of the season. They will be done after next week. And the Jaguars will be 4-2. And that's my bold prediction. That's my upset of the week. This this starts an avalanche for the rest of my season.
00:37:26
Zack
I think avalanches are typically not good things.
00:37:29
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's not a good thing for everyone else in the social media world.
00:37:31
Zack
You want your cheese going to get covered in snow and i Okay.
00:37:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No, the Jaguars are the avalanche that's coming to destroy the rest of the NFL.
00:37:42
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
If we win this game.
00:37:43
Mason
Zach, that explains his 6.26 p.m. text message saying, I'm doing the thing tonight for my upset of the week. Double text, I'll be making a statement as well.
00:37:54
Mason
that It's a statement, all right.
00:37:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
We're winning against, we're beating the 49ers.
00:38:02
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
And then from there, it's a it's a problem. We're one bad ref call away from being 3-0 right now.
00:38:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
You've got beat up Brock Purdy with turf toe.
00:38:13
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's couple drop passes.
00:38:18
Mason
I had the Jags in my...
00:38:18
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
We got Brock Purdy coming in injured. He's going play, but he shouldn't. that's That's a bad decision by him. Do they have Christian McCaffrey? Sure. Do I have Christian McCaffrey on all my fantasy football teams?
00:38:30
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I sure do.
00:38:32
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
But he's going to have a bad day. The Jaguars defense is is playing at a very high level. PFF grades it as the number two overall defense in the whole league right now.
00:38:47
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I know I've been a little anti-Italian. Our defensive coordinator... Campanelli, super Italian. I might be back on the Italians.
00:38:58
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I might be an Italian guy.
00:38:59
Zack
Wow. That's something right there.
00:39:04
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I might make some Sunday gravy.
00:39:06
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Italians are back.
00:39:10
Mason
Statement of the pod, everybody.
00:39:16
Mason
I hope he, I hope Zag labels this episode of the podcast.
00:39:16
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
But yeah.
00:39:23
Mason
Everybody, everybody would be confused.
00:39:24
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They're back.
00:39:27
Zack
So my upset spot of the week, I'm going to go to the West Coast as well.
Ohio State vs Washington: Tough Matchup
00:39:35
Zack
Ohio State traveling to Washington.
00:39:38
Zack
In a very tough environment. um I think this Washington, since Michael Penix is gone, the environment's been a little bit underrated. um This plus 260, so this is a pretty significant upset spot. But another eight and a half point underdogs.
00:39:56
Zack
They have a quarterback who's been playing exceptionally well this season so far. ah His name is Demond Williams Jr., He earned Big Ten co-offensive player of the week in week three.
00:40:10
Zack
He's been playing very well so far. He has 778 passing yards so far this season. um I think this is a spot where this is like a trust your environment, trust your stadium, ah trust the long road trip for the college team. It's not you taking long road trips like this.
00:40:27
Zack
It just feels like one of those spots where um they're going to be Their crowd not going to travel as well as it might to some other games. it's gonna It's just kind of a foreign environment to them, and I think it's going to make a difference.
00:40:40
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, weird spot.
00:40:42
Zack
yeah So I just feel like it's enough to to cover a couple points. You make a couple mistakes, all of a sudden it's an interesting game, and you're in you're in a pretty bad spot there.
00:40:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, you're 2,000 miles away from home, the comfort of Columbus, Ohio. You're in the sleepy mountains of Washington. And, you know, you get a pick six on you or a kick return, and all of a sudden it's just not as easy as it's supposed to be.
00:41:10
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Everyone talks about the West Coast Big Ten teams having to travel east. We don't talk about everyone having to go west. it's It's a hard thing to do for some people or some teams.
00:41:17
Zack
Yeah, people people are going to really... the That Penn State environment is going to be awesome, but I will tell you, i think this Washington environment is going to be pretty electric, especially if it's exciting going into...
00:41:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:41:30
Zack
It's kind of earlier in the day. It's not a night game there, but i think it'll be fun.
00:41:34
Mason
If you combine all of our upsets and bet $10 on it, you could win $241.40.
00:41:35
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Love it.
00:41:42
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I've wasted $10 on worse things.
00:41:48
Zack
All right, let's so let's wrap up with our game of the week. Which matchup do you think is the most fun? what's What's your must watch? Mason.
00:41:58
Mason
On paper, I wanted to go with the Ravens and the Chiefs on paper, or even if this was a year ago or two years ago. um I've just not enjoyed ah watching, to be honest, either of those teams. They're not as electric. Maybe they'll they'll catch a stride.
00:42:15
Mason
Maybe the Ravens, yeah, but the Chiefs have not been. so um
00:42:21
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Ravens scoring a lot of points.
00:42:22
Mason
They are, but yeah maybe I'm just recency bias from the last game. I,
00:42:28
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Did you bet on the Ravens and it didn't go your way?
00:42:30
Mason
that's probably That's exactly what happened, actually.
00:42:31
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
okay
00:42:32
Mason
You caught me. ah The game of the week I'm going to go with, and it also got brought up at the beginning of the episode, and that's going to be in Dublin, Vikings, and the Steelers.
00:42:33
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
okay
00:42:42
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Mason loves these games.
00:42:44
Mason
i love Nothing beats firing up the Blackstone and making breakfast, and then just eating breakfast while you're watching a morning at 8.30 in the morning, making some bets.
00:42:55
Mason
You got make sure your fantasy lineup's set.
00:42:55
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Watching a morning at 830 in the morning.
00:42:59
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, you just you know, it's you did a Mason thing. You said nothing beats ah morning like getting up and watching a morning.
Excitement for NFL International Games
00:43:07
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
You meant a football game.
00:43:10
Mason
I did do a Mason thing.
00:43:11
Zack
I personally love to watch the mornings.
00:43:14
Mason
You know, just a good morning watch. I just, I'm excited over here, but make sure you set your lineups. The real bald note knowers. You can tell the ones that are not when they forget to set their lineups for fantasy.
00:43:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They're oh, what the heck?
00:43:27
Mason
So but there's a game at eight 30.
00:43:28
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
There's a game this morning.
00:43:30
Mason
What the, so there you go. That's my, I actually had no matchup breakdown.
00:43:35
Mason
Just the fact that I love some good morning.
00:43:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Aaron Rodgers versus Carson Wentz. we're so We're pumped up about it.
00:43:41
Mason
Listen, we took the over on that Carson Wentz Jake Browning game, so I don't i don't want to hear it.
00:43:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, thanks. Thanks, Vikings defense.
00:43:52
Mason
They scored all the points for the over to hit.
00:43:55
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um No, that'll be fun. i do I do like having those early morning games. They're fun. ah get Get you ready. Get you primed for the day.
00:44:05
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
right. I am going to go with the Ravens and Chiefs. um And the only reason is one of these teams. Now, the Ravens, their division trash. like I don't believe in the Steelers.
00:44:18
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
The Joe Burrow injury ends the Bengals and the Browns are the Browns. So the Ravens are still going to be a playoff team.
00:44:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, frisky. um Joe Burrow. Or not Joe Burrow, Joe Flacco. um
00:44:31
Mason
The Browns have the same record as both these teams you were talking about, by the way.
00:44:34
Zack
Better record than the Chiefs, right?
00:44:38
Mason
They're both one and two.
00:44:38
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
No, same.
00:44:39
Mason
there are All three teams are one and two.
00:44:42
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
and So, I mean, yeah, the Ravens are probably going a playoff team, but they're just, I'm just kind of, the Ravens are just annoying.
00:44:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
like They're just the same thing every year. Lamar Jackson is just like a,
00:44:52
Mason
I just said they weren't fun to watch and you're grilling me over here.
00:44:56
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
You said they weren't electric.
00:44:59
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
They've scored like.
00:44:59
Mason
Derek Henry fumbling the ball over here left and right like he's never played football.
00:45:03
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Well, you know, maybe the Titans were right to let him go. um
00:45:08
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Negative. ah this I mean, this is just a big game. This is this is early in the season. One of these teams is going to be one in four after this game like that. It's hard to come back or one in three.
00:45:19
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um And if you're the chiefs, you're an underdog at home against this Ravens team. Like you don't in the like by a three point or one and a half points. Um, it's just, just not where you are used to seeing the chiefs. The chief season could very well be like in jeopardy after this week.
00:45:37
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
It's definitely going to be after next week. Um, But, I mean, you've got the Chargers who are three and no the Denver Broncos are 2-1. one I mean, this this is shaping up to be a really hard division, and you cannot fall this fast, like, get behind in the standings this quick. So I'm very interested to see how the Chiefs come out, if they bounce back and look like themselves, or if Lamar is just going to go in there and do his regular season MVP thing and just put up a bunch of numbers and win by himself.
00:46:12
Zack
Okay. My game of the week. Uh, we already talked, I think there's two really fun games in college football this weekend. We already talked about
LSU vs Ole Miss: Key Players and Dynamics
00:46:20
Zack
one of them a good bit. Uh, the Oregon Penn state. I'm going to talk about the other one.
00:46:23
Zack
Uh, this is LSU traveling to Ole Miss. Uh, this is a one and a half point. Uh, Ole Miss is, are the favorite, but that's actually flipped. oh LSU was the favorite whenever this line first dropped.
00:46:36
Zack
Um, and, You're talking about ah Garrett Nussmeyer-led LSU team that is number four ranked in the nation who's undefeated. They've won some big football games, but they have not looked perfect for sure.
00:46:48
Zack
Against an Ole Miss team that now has a starting quarterback named Trinidad Chambliss for this game. He's running the ball a lot. They're doing a lot of... um These are two very imperfect offenses and two very good defenses at this point, which is going to make for a pretty interesting showdown. Could be low scoring.
00:47:09
Zack
ah anticipate this being a very fun matchup. I think it's going to be close. It's in. It's at Ole Miss, and which obviously is going to be ah an electric environment down there. ah Yeah, fun game. I think this is going to be the between this one and the Oregon Penn State. You got some marquee matchups this weekend against the top 15 teams. So think this will be a fun one.
00:47:32
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, I'm really looking forward to this game. LSU's defense has been playing really well. ah Ole Miss, I went into the season thinking maybe they'd be a little bit down. And so far, so much not true. Like, they're still offensively as electric as ever.
00:47:48
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
i think Lane Kiffin is wanting to stick it to everybody.
00:47:54
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
So i i like I like Ole Miss a lot. I know we're about to get into our AI or us versus AI parlay. That was my leg. I'm taking Ole Miss to win the game.
00:48:08
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
I think they have the quarterback who he can make enough plays with his legs and throwing the ball. And I just โ I take Lane Kiffin over Brian Kelly when it comes to the head coaching matchup.
00:48:19
Zack
Yeah, I'm not sure Nesmaier is very good. i just don't.
00:48:22
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Yeah, I don't think he's a good โ yeah.
00:48:22
Zack
don't think he's the guy.
00:48:26
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Some poor fortunate quarterback or some team is going to draft him in the first round. It's going to bad. going to the Saints.
00:48:33
Zack
Oh, please. Okay. okay I know, but we do so much stupid things.
00:48:36
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
You guys just took Cam Ward. You're not drafting another one?
00:48:40
Zack
We drafted to Will Leves a couple of years ago. um okay. So, uh, my leg of this parlay, well, we might as well go ahead and wrap it up. ah tends to go miss. I am taking, again, we have not mentioned at all yet.
00:48:53
Zack
Uh, I'm taking South Carolina, who's currently at minus six. I anticipate that to move some. It's been popping around a good bit. ah This is a South Carolina team that had a really embarrassing loss last week.
00:49:07
Zack
They have not looked very good. at times But Lenore Sellers, or that was two weeks ago, I guess, when they lost to Vanderbilt. um This is a South Carolina team that has had a lot of expectations coming into the season, have not really met them so far.
00:49:26
Zack
um I think they're looking for a bounce back game. Most of my reason for this bet is i i believe that this Kentucky team is like horrifically bad. ah Sorry, South Carolina actually lost to Missouri last week. They lost to Vanderbilt two weeks ago.
00:49:44
Zack
That's a good Missouri team. That wasn't that was a fun game to watch. I think that having the quarterback back helps a good bit. South Carolina's defense is still pretty good. I just have to believe that at home they're going to be Kentucky by more than six points. So there's my leg.
00:50:02
Mason
All right, and then my leg is going to be ah Hawkinson for the Vikings over 37.5 receiving yards. Because of the blowout last week, ah he was very limited on routes, so he only ran 18 routes.
00:50:19
Mason
Of those 18 routes, ah he caught five of his six targets for 49 yards. With the blowout, they didn't really need to run much more than that. So ah with us anticipating, I think it's a two and a half point spread. So anticipating this is a closer game. i expect him to have more routes, therefore more targets, therefore more receiving yards.
00:50:44
Mason
So 37 and a half receiving yards.
00:50:45
Zack
Makes a lot of sense.
00:50:47
Mason
Thank you. Math is mathing.
00:50:49
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
All right, so that puts the boys' parlay at plus 562 with Ole Miss Moneyline, South Carolina minus six, and TJ Hawkinson over 37.5 yards receiving.
Weekly Parlays: Hosts vs AI
00:51:00
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
AI, now this is the first time AI's parlay I've actually liked, um but they're still going to lose, so it doesn't matter. um They are starting out with Minnesota minus 5.5 against Rutgers at home.
00:51:15
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
that one's That's the loser leg right there, so they're going lose on the very first leg.
00:51:19
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um but if But if not, they got Chargers minus six after that. um I think our guy, I know I threw out a stat about rookie quarterbacks not covering spreads. Jackson Dart's that guy. He's going cover that spread. They're going win the game maybe even.
00:51:33
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
um And then their final leg is Panthers-Patriots over 42.5 points. points These teams stink. They're not scoring 30 points combined.
00:51:44
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
So that's that's a loser leg too. 0-3.
00:51:46
Zack
Wow. Oh, and three. Tough look for the AI Especially when we have our first win of the season I feel it I feel it
00:51:50
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
For sure.
00:51:52
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
Exactly. This feels like the one right here. i really look I like all these. And, you know, with with me and Zach going college and Mason going at 8.30 in the morning, you'll wake if you
00:52:03
Zack
This could be cooked Yeah By noon You can burn it all the afternoon's late
00:52:06
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
we're we're By the noon kickoff slate, you're going have a pocket full of money. You're going to have already cashed a plus 500 parlay.
00:52:17
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
True. um But AI's parlay came out to plus 579.
00:52:23
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
if you want to waste your money taking theirs, feel free.
00:52:24
Zack
Yeah, don't bet that.
Engaging with TikTok Content
00:52:27
Next Guy Up Podcast Network
But I wouldn't.
00:52:29
Zack
Same. Okay, i think that's a pod, folks. We will be back with you on Monday to recap all these games to bask in the win that we took over AI.
00:52:41
Zack
um We are very excited about that. ah We... are on Tik TOK. We're giving out some bets there. are tens has been putting up clips and stuff like that. Interact with us there.
00:52:52
Zack
We love to get the conversation going to, uh, stir some things up over there. So, uh, be with us there and we hope you guys have a great weekend. We will see you back here on Monday.