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Daily Ipswich: Episode 99 - Match Preview: Biggest game of the season so far!
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Rob flies solo on today's episode to preview the HUGE game at Portman Road on Saturday afternoon when Southampton come to town. Join him as he discusses the emphasis on the game and the need for a performance to match expectations, looks at how Town may lineup and shares his predictions for the game.
The Daily Ipswich Podcast, part of the Global Sports Podcast Network, is the home of all your ITFC. Join us every weekday for the latest news, build-up and reaction in the club's first season back in the Premier League.
Host: Rob Binns
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Transcript
Match Preview: Ipswich vs Southampton
00:00:09
Global Sports Podcast Network
Hello and welcome back to The Daily Ipswich brought to you by the Global Sports Podcast Network. My name is Rob Bins and I'm flying solo today to bring you our Friday match preview ahead of one of the biggest games of the season so far, a Southampton visit Portland Road on Saturday afternoon. Going to run through the general thoughts ahead of going into the game.
00:00:34
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through a bit of team news, what's been available at the time of recording, how I think we're going to line up, and then of course we'll get into the end, how we see the game playing out, and I will leave you with my score prediction to wrap up today's show. But we will get our way to that. To start off, going to get a bit of a rundown as how we head into this
Ipswich's Crucial Standings Situation
00:00:55
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game. Obviously we sit, unfortunately, in 19th on the table at the moment, but there's a 10-point gap to Southampton down the bottom.
00:01:03
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they are And like I said, we are one point off safety and this game presents a real opportunity, obviously, to get three points on the board and climb. So I pull ourselves out of the relegation zone, depending on other results. I mean, the phrase must win game, it's thrown around a lot more often than it should do, really. Nowadays when I say it by everybody, myself included, and now I think I've said it three or four games this season, when perhaps maybe I might've said that in like September for a game where in that case, that wouldn't have been must win. But this certainly feels like it. We might only be in to be the first of February while time the games played, but a defeat on Saturday with near enough feel like season over, even though the the points gap might well still be at one point at that point, it would feel it would be a and crushing blow to morale. And again, after a couple of tough results, obviously, yes, we played some really good teams, but it's never nice to lose by
00:02:01
Global Sports Podcast Network
and those saw lines and said, like 10 goals in two games. But and if you could offer, if you could pick a game on paper to follow that up, bottom of the league at home is the perfect game. And I think Richard said it yesterday on the crossover with the guys from Daily Southampton that some we got in. Yes, obviously, football is not played on paper, but going into it, if you can't win bottom of the league at home, then you really start to worry where the wins are going to come from. And the rest of this relegation battle, and obviously,
00:02:32
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that we can try and sugarcoat it all we like. We know it's not going to be an easy game, but obviously Southampton are currently on course to be the worst side in Premier League history.
Southampton's Struggles: A Must-Win for Ipswich
00:02:40
Global Sports Podcast Network
I believe I'm pretty sure I'm right in saying that they have less less points on the board than Derby had at this stage of their record-breaking season. So it's the game you really, really, even a draw, you can't afford to not win this game. It's absolutely massive and not because it's hopefully I can set up a slightly more favorable run but don't forget to say it's still tough and let's say we've got a Villa are away coming up Spurs and Man United too despite their struggles to form in recent leaks will still provide very tough games obviously Spurs for all we know might well have a new manager in charge by then as well the way things are going there but this but this weekend presents a major opportunity because it's not often we go into games as the favorite and we spoke before about how this sometimes
00:03:27
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is the gains where we throw these game where we go and expect them to get a get a result, and often the ones we tend to not turn up. We can't afford that to be the case on Saturday. Quite simply, yes if he'd come if you come away with this game of anything less than three points, it puts a real real downward look towards the rest of the season.
Relegation Threat and Other Fixtures
00:03:50
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and We are 10 points ahead of Southampton,
00:03:54
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I don't think you shouldn't, but I don't think there'd be much worry about them getting past, but even letting that get to seven and then lesterhar Leicester at Goodison Park this weekend is a rather really interesting, interesting fixture. Obviously David Moyse seems to turn around, you feel like an Everton win would near enough drag them out of it, because it would get them to so what, seven, eight points? it was Obviously, assuming we don't win, or Wolves don't win, that is assuming, if it works out right for Everton, they could.
00:04:24
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pull themselves out of it this week, which is even more reason why we need the result. So Walter, the welcoming villa at home, so villa off the back of reaching the top eight of the Champions League. So that'd be a tough game for him, but pretty much a Derby, isn't it? Those two. So you never know what's going to happen there. And so it's today, it's an opportunity where ah ah any every team this weekend will feel like they have a maybe a bit of a better chance than normal picking points up. So there's even more pressure on the result. And it's a game, but like I say, it really falls in that category of a disappointment if you don't get a result, which the games you'd also put in that category so far this season, we haven't turned up in, aside from walls away. So we got to hope for a performance where we dig in like walls away, fight to the end. Obviously we've got a late winner there. There was a late equalizer and reverse fixture, which say, a if which that,
00:05:21
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So that being a point rather than a loss could have been a big help. So I say so tight as it is down the bottom. This is like I said, there's a realistic chance. So like I said, the way I'm going to go and now that's going to be a much tougher game for less than I was a couple of weeks ago. Villa obviously saying just finished top eight in the Champions League. Obviously going to be a tough test for Wolves. We have on paper the easiest game this weekend, which when the point when the gap to be outside the bottom three is only a point, there's a real big opportunity to finish a game week outside of the bottom three for the first time in a long time because we we keep creeping out and then dropping back in but from other results. but So this would be an opportunity to put potentially say a three point gap on Wolves and two on Leicester depending on how their results go. It's so you can quite it fair to say it's the most important game of the season so far, I would say. And it's really important that
00:06:18
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we don't get in our own heads at any point. That's where I think the battle is going to be that you can't go in with any expectation because you can't look at Southampton's points and go in thinking, oh, like I say, they're on course to be the worst team in Premier League history, but you can't go in thinking that means we should turn them over where you've got to be, play the game ahead. They're putting some good shifts in the last couple of games, Southampton, despite not getting the results, which they'll They've shown that they can play some nice stuff and compete for large periods of games against the sides up the table in Newcastle and Forest. So they'll feel like if they can come and match that style of football, that maybe we won't have the same quality to break them down in the way that Newcastle did with a couple of alex Alexander Isaac goals. And obviously, Forest day started poorly, went 3-0 down, whereas you feel you probably question our form in front of Garth. They played poorly for the first 60 minutes or so, and then sought themselves out. Would we be three goals up like Forest were?
00:07:14
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Southampton will certainly have more confidence. I'll say, if you take the last couple of weeks in isolation, they've been putting in better performances ah ah compared to us. So ah ah say it sets it up for a very big game. Obviously, the reverse leg, a sort of, ah reverse fixture, sorry, showed the sort of, there's only the fifth game in the season, but it showed the signs that have struggled there for both of us. Early doors already, won one, one, it finished.
00:07:41
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dibbling in the first five minutes. Mausi 90 plus five, of course. Snatch just a point away from St. Mary's in the last minute. We love a late goal against Southampton. Obviously, we know the Sarmiento goal at Portland Road against them last year. It turned out to be a crucial game in the race for promotion, even though we both came up in the end. But going back to what I was saying, the the problems were apparent for both sides in that game so early on in the season that haven't really been solved by Iver so far in that it finished 1-1.
00:08:11
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but both teams had a hat full of chances to get so and get more goals. And I sort of showed there, the early signs of problems are there and say it's the two, I believe the two lowest scorers in the league now, meeting up here as well. So like I could say, I think from what I remember about that reverse game, obviously they took the lead very early on. And then from what I remember, we were actually really lucky, not that it was only a couple of goals. I think there was a few good saves and Muric in there, some good defensive displays to make sure we kept it at one and then it flipped the other way around and Ramsdale made some really good saves to stop by some equalizing earlier and we did and then in the end the skipper stepped up and then stopped which time like he'd done some of the big games last season Lester comes to mind he stepped up when we needed him and produced the big goal that got us a point there and so at the time we said it's a good result I always say that in these sort of games if you're the away team going to another team down the bottom then even if your main goal is
00:09:10
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is always to not lose. Maybe that changes towards the back end of the season, then you feel like you need the points. But the home team is a team that feels, kind of goes into it, always thinking they need to win. And like I say, well, if we went to St. Mary saying we probably need, him it was too early to say we need to win five games into the season, but you felt, we absolutely felt even back then we couldn't afford to lose. We didn't then.
00:09:33
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We dug in right till the end, got ourselves a result. And we've got to do that again today because we cannot afford anything but three points. So it's important that Kieran McKenna sets up, gets his game plan right, and every single player comes on that pitch from the start with, or someone who comes on, needs to put in a top performance, make sure, sort of set a statement, because like I said, to pull ourselves out the bottom three, but to do it with a statement performance, to but say present ourselves to the other teams in and around that relegation fight,
00:10:02
Global Sports Podcast Network
that we're not so that there's still a long way to go. And if we can get ourselves even a little gap, then something to hold on to can set us up nicely the rest of the season. Like I said, it feels a very much a make or break game, even though we're only in the first weekend of February when it when it kicks off at Portman Road. But it's going to need a big performance to get it done. And when I come back from this quick break, we turn through how I think Kieran McKenna will set the side up and who in terms of personnel we might see at Portman Road on Saturday.
00:10:33
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And I will get through to all of that after this short message.
00:11:08
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and we are back for the second part of today's Friday match preview looking ahead to the visit of Southampton tomorrow afternoon. So let's have a look then how we're likely
Impact of Returning Players on Match Dynamics
00:11:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
to set up. Unfortunately, at the time of recording, I do not have a Kieran McKenna press conference to reference here in terms of availability and if he gives any hints about the setup of the team, obviously, and also you'd assume there'll be a couple of questions asked in there about the new transfer window as that comes to a close on Monday and still Not any more news has come out since our episode on Wednesday, apart from the only thing that happened is we spent a whole chunk of time talking about Harry Clarke, a Sheffield Wednesday, and then the still-City Derby rival Sheffield United swooped in and stole the deal and outdated everything we spoke about on that episode. But unfortunately, that's how quickly transfers move nowadays. You can be out of date in the day in the time between recording and uploading, even on a daily podcast like ours. But like I say, I don't have a Kieran McKenna press conference at time of recording.
00:12:08
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What we do have, though, to touch, but is one from the Southampton manager. And some big news coming from there that will set up to instill them with a bit more confidence going into the game. And certainly news that we could have done without hearing, maybe, is that two very key players in Tyler Dibbling have obviously scored the goal in the reverse fixture, been the standout for them this season. And Aaron Ramsdale obviously a big money sign and makes them really top saves in that game as well.
00:12:36
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makes top saves in a lot of games to either keep the score down or in some cases, so it can get them over the line for a positive result. Both of those players have been out recently and unfortunately for us have returned to training this week, which means they are likely to both be fit to start at Portland Road, which will add a bit more emphasis to Southampton at both ends of the pitch. say we We seem to get incredibly unlucky with time ends of when people hit form or when people come back to come back from injury always seems to work out that these things always happen right before they play up switch and say it's happened again looks like Ramsdale and Dibbling will both be back in the starting line up to bolster Southampton up a bit so make some more of threat than they would be without those two definitely but obviously as I say remains to be seen they might well have a bad day of training and later on so maybe today today's training maybe even yesterday's they might struggled again we'll see but
00:13:32
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Some boos to Southampton to expect them in the team. But the other side, as far as we know, there shouldn't be any more sort of big injuries. There's still no Chaplin, Smodix, or Urbana obviously. Wes Burns looks like he's going to be out for a while again. I'm still waiting on the time frame for that. May well come out in the McKenna press conference, which I assume is later this morning or this afternoon.
00:13:56
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As far as we can say, no, as we shouldn't know, not that the club would tell us anyway, as we've discussed earlier this week about what they do with injuries, but it doesn't seem to be anyone new. ky they should and so I think the idea behind him not traveling to Anfield would be to how he so he'd be fit to return to Southampton. Davis was illness rather than injury, so he should also be right to fit back in. or say Hopefully he has recovered over the course of the week, maybe but maybe might have missed some training in there as well. say i say it You'd always rather a player be ill than injured. It's always shorter term recovery in that case. But big the big debate to have about the setup and personnel and everything is at the defense. Obviously, as we spoke about it earlier in the week. Myself and Richard, I think it was on Mondays or Wednesdays episode, one or the other. We spoke we spoke about the back five and we're starting to say,
00:14:49
Global Sports Podcast Network
has this experiment. It's done its job through this run of really tough games we had, say about six or seven games in a row, really tough a lot on the way from home against top teams that did it. It's done its job through that period of time. We got a couple of positive results from it, obviously Fulham and Chelsea, but has it run its course? And obviously when with 10 goals going in the last two games, that's the end of say Southampton being the idea of the five at the back being to sit in, absorb pressure, and try and counter-attack res. When you're on the home side against Southampton, you'll be the ones expected to have a lot of the ball, dictate the play of the game, set the pace, all those things, which you can't do if you're sitting back waiting to counter-attack a majority of the game. So I'd expect a switch, and I'd want to see a switch as well. I think, certainly for this game, and I think I'd actually say going forward again as well, to go back to a four,
00:15:44
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Rich said earlier in the week, you just need that extra forward play, especially in a game as big as this where we've been know we we've been struggling to front the goal. So I think we're this game has two of the bottom three scorers in the league of Everton sitting in between us. that So we've scored 21 goals all season this in, what is it now, like 23 games or something? There's not even getting average in a goal a game. It's a serious problem and something that needs improving. We want a realistic chance of staying up and you can't be afforded to have another game where you lack creativity or don't put your chances away. We can't afford that to happen in the game as big as this. So I'd want to see that extra attacking player in there. let's So back to the child and trusted 4-2-3-1 maybe. its So room to mix it up a bit. So we've got a lot of new, it didn't work in the earlier stages of the season, but I would say no disrespect to Southampton, but they're not as well drilled defensively as every other team in the league pretty much. that
00:16:41
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there's been more room to get out, and maybe it hasn't worked previously. And of course, you've got new players through the door from where we've been playing. So we've been playing the five-back setup consistently for six weeks or so. there has There's been some players coming through the door who we haven't had a chance to see in a more thriving attacking role yet. So certainly, I'd like to go back to that and say, unless I'm messing anything up with some injury news that comes out after a time of recording, so what might I'd like to see So, and I'd like to say that extra attacker, you know, like I said, back to the four, two, three, one. I'll obviously do that. It's going to be up front and my three behind me. I think Richard's said these three earlier in the week and I agreed with him at the time and I'm sticking by that. So that I'd like, I'd like to see broad head on the left and see so in the middle and Jaden Philogene on the right behind Liam Delapp going into this game. I think we know obviously the quality Hutchinson's got, I think he's looking rather tired.
00:17:39
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He has had some poor games recently that I think that the emphasis of his role in the five-back system sort of so dictated that if he had a good game, the attack looked promising and we might get chances, but he didn't have a good game. Then we just looked toothless trying to get forward. We had nothing to sort of link the the attack to the defense and relieve the pressure we set ourselves on ourselves by sitting back in the first place. I feel like there was a lot lot of pressure put on him and so he looked like he was tiring especially say in in the odd time in that Liverpool game. that i think I think a game on the bench or a cameo off the bench where you can just come on and be a bundle of energy against hard defenders. I think that will do it good. not so The way we recruit in January, we have enough quality. We should have enough quality now, I should say, that we can be confident enough to maybe put him on the bench here. And he doesn't have to play every single game. There's enough quality to rotate the attacking players now. and
00:18:38
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So we need some play we need some more players to find the touch in front of goal, because obviously we know it's a lap pass. Smodix has done well, but he's injured. So we're now looking. Chaplin's got a couple as well, also injured. We need some of these other players to step up now. And I'd say Broadhead's had some very good games, struggled for goals. ZNC's having a chance to make their mark. Hutchinson's not got too many himself. I think he's only got two.
00:19:03
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And some of these players need to step up and contributing with some goals in the running now. And games like this is a good opportunity to start. But so I was impressed by and see so as a little cameo. Same with Philogene. They haven't had much game time. But what I've seen so far is good enough signs against City and Liverpool that I've put them in from the start in Southampton. And then I've had Morsy and Ko State seeing him behind. I do think I think Morsy has struggled Certainly in recent weeks, that maybe there will be a debate for Phillips to come in. Instead, he has had a couple of half decent games. Obviously, he won't co-host in there, but I would go more, because you know what he's experienced, know what he's been like against South. He's played Southampton before. I think it's a sort of game where the championship contingent will put a good shift in, because they played them twice last year. They know what they're about. Yes, it's a new manager now, but a lot of the players are the same, and football isn't massively different. It's just less holding onto the ball
00:20:01
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when you're under heavy, heavy press, which is so a sort of, sometimes Russell Martins football would refusal to do anything else apart from playout or costume goals or sort of cutting that out, but the generics of it are, are sort of the same, which so, and I think to say Morsy's dealt with that well in the games against Southampton, so he'd be in there for me. Davis on the left, as you'd expect, Wansabe right back, Walton in goal, O'Shea is the centre-half, and then the the other one that's up for debate is the centre-half next to Dara O'Shea,
00:20:30
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you could say assuming on the lefthand side You could go to Ben, maybe Ben Grod through, have a shout, but I think he probably played right back in the four, if that's what we did. And then see between Greaves and Burgess and For similar reasons, I just said about Morsy, I would go Burgess for this game personally. Just slotty in there next to O'Shea. They had a good partnership together when they did play there. So Burgess came and played really well as the left side had sent her back in a back four. He had to run. He sort of came out the team as we moved to the five. But I would go back to Burgess and O'Shea personally. And we will see how similar
00:21:05
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Kieran McKenna's lineup selection
Trust in Leadership and Lineup Decisions
00:21:07
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is to mine. Obviously, he knows a lot more about football and these players. He's got in front of him than I do. So whatever he puts out, we'll trust him to get it right, as we have done many times over the last couple of years. He hasn't let us down very often, if at all, in those games. We're going to have another quick break now to hear from a sponsor, and when we come back, I'll run you through how I expect the game to play out and give you my score prediction.
00:21:54
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And welcome back to the final part of today's Daily Ipswich. ah ah look Let's look into the game itself. Then we spoke about the lead up to the game, what we how we, the expectations behind it, spoke about lineups and formations and what we could see from both teams. And now, so I've run through the game itself. Look, for me, I've said it a bit in the first part already. Like I said, you know what the importance is on the game? It's a must win for both teams and you're gonna have to expect a performance that represents that really from both teams. You think both teams are gonna have to have a go for it. Look, there's two defenses out who struggled this season and two attacks that struggled this season. Is it gonna be the highest quality game of football? Almost definitely not.
00:22:39
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but There's opportunities there. to that say The last game I thought was a good asent and entertaining game. that St. Mary's, like I said, a fair few chances for both teams, only say only one each taken. But I think it'll be another similar game. I think that one was fairly almost, not I don't know if end-to-ends are the right description, but I said there were certainly opportunities at both ends of the pitch. So Southampton were on top for a while, only scored a goal. We were on top for a while and nabbed an equaliser right at the death.
00:23:10
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I wonder if that'll sort of be the same game again, but like I said, for me, the two key elements, you've got to be on the front foot. You've got to be, it should be like this in a lot of home games anyway, but especially one like this. You want to be on the front foot. You want to be the team setting the pace of the game. You want to say Mausie and Co stay in the middle of the park. We need to be setting the pace. You want to be playing at a high intensity as well. You want to be trying to draw them in, be confident in playing ability on the ball and also the other way.
00:23:38
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The other thing is press high. You know what Southampton like? Yes, it's not as bad as it was under Russell Martin, but the mistakes are still there. It's still the same sort of players who who can struggle with playing out from the back, might take might hold onto the ball for a bit too long. courtesy, as I can say, and with the Martin tactics, now with Urich as well. Let's say being pressing high, forcing mistakes, and then punishing them when you do force them.
00:24:05
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It's going to be a big part of the game. I say it's still in the system of Southampton. You look at the Man United game, for example, where they play really well, won them up for ages. And then there was a couple of mistakes in there. They wanted to lose 3-1. I mean, the third goal was shocking. I don't know what the idea was there. hey I can't remember who it was. It was hanging on to the ball.
00:24:23
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And Ramsdale had moved out to make an option for a pass. And the old, who at the center, I've hung onto the ball for too long, got got stolen, and I put his hat trick in. They've got mistakes like that in them. You've just got to force them into making them, almost. So keep the in hide say high intensity, but on and off the ball is going to be the key to this game for me. You're going to need and incredibly hard work and performance from everyone on the pitch. You want to be like say lively in how you play. on You want to see players take take people on, have confidence in front of them, say part of them know what I'd be saying, the likes of Phila Jean and then see so in from the start. You you won say it's almost fake it till you make it on the confidence front that, yes, it's going to be low after the last two results when you leak that many goals, but you've got to act like it isn't. So you've got to play like you high on confidence, play like you've won a couple of games on the bounce and really go and take it to Southampton. You've got to get the crowd up as well.
00:25:20
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doing all of that because that's been a factor but whether we whether we're happy to admit that or not the atmosphere of Portland Road this season hasn't been as good as it had been last season the championship or down in league one that there's been a lot of games this year where at the start of games it's fantastic and then partly through the fault of what's going on on the pitch obviously because let's say it does go both ways you can't expect to If you're playing rubbish on the pitch, putting a poor performance in, then you can't expect the crowd to be at the same level as it would be if you're playing really well and winning. But it does go the other way as well. You've got to give the performance. Obviously, you know what the crowd's going to be like at the start of the game. You've got to make sure you keep that level up there. If it's another dull performance, we look probably on the ball, those sort of
00:26:12
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That happens. That's going to quickly turn to groans and frustration and nerves all around the ground. And it's going to lose the atmosphere, which is exactly what on a wayside coming to Portland Road. Exactly what I'm saying. A wayside at Portland Road will come and set themselves out to kill the crowd early. And a lot of teams have been able to do that at Portland Road this season. And I say this game, you've got to say that's the key. You will say, be on the front foot. Be confident on the ball. Be the pace setters of the game. Make Southampton play.
00:26:41
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to how we want them to. Don't let them dictate how it runs as the away team. They'll keep that same level of noise and atmosphere that we know there's going to be in the early stage of the game. We say the performance on the pitch has got to match the performance of that in the stands. And so the fans will i hold that. And if there's something good going on on the pitch, we know the fans will hold that level, as they have done through so i went for the years of Akira McKenna.
00:27:07
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so far the atmosphere in Portland road has always been one of the best in the league in the previous season so going to put that sort of performance on again in the stands, get the players to match that sort of performance on the pitch and know hopefully get a result onto the ball get three points on the ball pull ourselves out of the bottom three if balls and less to manage to not pick up any points as well and it could be a very successful weekend but say it all has the option to go the other way so ah ah loop back round to what I said at the start of the show. It might only be February when the game kicks off, but it feels like a make or break game in terms of what happens to confidence and morale going into the rest of the season on this game.
Optimism and Predictions for Ipswich Victory
00:27:48
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Quite simply, the biggest game of the season so far. And I think we're going to put performance out that shows what we what it means to us this game. I think it's going to be a top performance. I think we're going to be good on the ball. I think we're going to set the standard of the game. I think we'll come flying out the traps.
00:28:05
Global Sports Podcast Network
I think we will and I think we'll do everything I've said we need to do. I think we will do it. I have faith in Kieran McKenna. I've got faith in the players. I think there'll be a big big statement performance here and a 2-0 victory come full time. Let's say, which, with any luck, will pull us out the bottom three, depending on what I'd expect. Obviously, you never know in football, but I'd expect the way Everton have been playing recently to beat Leicester at Gooderson Park. And Wolves may struggle to beat Villa at home, you never know. I could see a point there in all honesty. but Things, we so we need some things to continue to go our way, but I think we'll do, I do think we'll get our own job done, which is ultimately the most important part going into the weekend. And so our faith is going to happen. I'm going to nil. And let's hope that we just hope that like I say, either I'm right, or we get any sort of positive every result and give us something to cheer about on Monday when we are back because Monday's episode is not just going to be, of course, it is going to be a South Hampton reaction where hopefully
00:29:05
Global Sports Podcast Network
ah very big win to be talking about and how to set how it sets us up going into the season. But Monday is also going to be the 100th episode of the daily Ipswich. We're there already inside six months after launch and we're hitting episode 100. So we're going to have a little celebration of that milestone on Monday as well. As I can say, hopefully the mood will already be up from a win against Southampton and by being outside of the bottom three by then. But We will see how that plays out over the weekend. um they'll sit And we will see you for that special episode on Monday. But until then, goodbye.