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Episode 344: Matchday Preview: League leaders Coventry come to St Mary's image

Episode 344: Matchday Preview: League leaders Coventry come to St Mary's

S2526 E344 · Daily Southampton
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52 Plays8 days ago

Southampton – In what might be Tonda's toughest test yet, the league leaders are coming to town, and we think it is going to be a fantastic game. Do we think we can keep our run of home form going?

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Transcript

Introduction and Personal Updates

00:00:15
Global Sports Podcast Network
Hello and welcome back to the Daily Southampton part of the Global Sports Podcast Network. My name is Greg Elliott and as always today joined by my good friend and wonderful co-host Zach Ngo Finch.
00:00:27
Global Sports Podcast Network
How you doing mate? You alright?
00:00:29
Zak
Yeah, I'm not too bad. We're just kind of building up to a game that I don't really know how I feel going into it. So that's going to be exciting.
00:00:36
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah
00:00:38
Zak
And other than that, just sort of... I feel like I haven't finished my Christmas shopping yet, but maybe I have. I don't know. i feel like I've left it a bit late. kind of keep forgetting it's Christmas next week.
00:00:50
Zak
It's really weird. Not very...
00:01:05
Global Sports Podcast Network
Look, Game Football coming up this

Stadium Performance and Team Challenges

00:01:06
Global Sports Podcast Network
weekend. It is an interesting in and exciting one.
00:01:07
Zak
the
00:01:09
Global Sports Podcast Network
It is You know, top of the league flying Coventry and Fortress of St Mary's? I mean, it feels like we're trying to make it that way, right?
00:01:20
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:01:21
Zak
i mean, it's probably a better, better, better, you know,
00:01:27
Zak
better point than it was, you know, when last season or or recently, even even as recently as, you know, what, like the Preston game, right?
00:01:31
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:01:36
Zak
After the Preston game, it's been a fortress. Since...
00:01:39
Global Sports Podcast Network
Four wins from four at home for us. So it's got to be a good thing, right? Tom comes out in the presser, says he loves playing at St Mary's. Happy days. Can't wait for the game.
00:01:52
Zak
I mean, yeah, if he's won every game he's played there, it's got to have been nice for him, right? But, yeah, you've got to take it with with with the stats show, it which is currently we're a good team at home. But I think a lot of the a lot of things are going to probably make a good difference, right? Like the fact they've had a full week to recover and not had to play a billion games this week is probably going to be a big thing.
00:02:16
Zak
I think Tonda himself basically said that right, which, you know, but part of the he puts a lot of the losses down recently to the fact that they are the third games in the week and they have been away, whereas this is at home after, you know, a full week of rest and training.
00:02:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah. Hmm.
00:02:33
Zak
But let's not bear in mind that we are coming up against the league leaders, which means that we need to take it seriously.
00:02:41
Global Sports Podcast Network
Tomfello's backing the team is always a boost as well. Presumably he's going to be in a position to start, and we start with that that sort of 11 that we at least like to see and that should be doing bits. I mean, it should be quite an open affair, right? You don't see Coventry coming in with a low block to sort of tackle us that way.
00:03:03
Zak
Yeah, for sure.
00:03:03
Global Sports Podcast Network
Could be like right? right
00:03:06
Zak
i think i think that there's probably going to be a fair few you goals in this game, to be fair. I'm just hoping that we manage to keep the energy right. we've We've seen what's happened recently with second halves.
00:03:18
Zak
you know i don't Even if we were, say, 3-4-0 up, I would not discount Coventry from being able to come back because they are they currently have the confidence and have proven to have the ability to...
00:03:32
Zak
pull anything out of nothing, right? Like they are currently on just one of those sorts of runs where even when they've had a loss and a draw, if they've managed to come back and, you know, so hopefully we can just be the ones that put them back to that losing streak and we can take a really nice victory and say, actually, we're here on merit, which, you know, we are ultimately, but, you know, we've just had a very, very different start to the season than they have.
00:03:40
Global Sports Podcast Network
Mm-hmm.

Team Strategies and Mentality Discussion

00:03:56
Global Sports Podcast Network
Well, look, related to that, mate, I went and did a bit of digging and pulled out some stats, which, you know, you know that I love a little bit of stat-based thinking, but none of this like nonsense like XG, right? But Coventry obviously have scored a monumental amount of goals this season, right? They are on 52 goals, which is pretty nuts. They have scored that from 126 shots on target, overall.
00:04:22
Global Sports Podcast Network
totaling two hundred and sixty four shots overall So, bearing in mind we've scored 35, how different do you think our shots on target and shots on goal are from from those totals?
00:04:36
Zak
I don't think I've seen that many shots I would have remembered. So like 60, 60, maybe.
00:04:40
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah?
00:04:43
Global Sports Podcast Network
We've had 111 shots on target this year, so only 15 less shots on target than Coventry, but nearly 20 less goals.
00:04:46
Zak
Okay.
00:04:53
Global Sports Podcast Network
So... What you say about pulling something from nothing is it's pulling through, right?
00:04:58
Zak
Well, it's that it's accurate.
00:04:59
Global Sports Podcast Network
Like, when he comes, yeah, like, like they're they're putting away their chances when sometimes we're clearly struggling to, especially earlier in season, sort of hopefully or seemingly less so now.
00:05:12
Global Sports Podcast Network
But it should be a nice open game, I think.
00:05:16
Zak
we've We've started to see signs of that right there, right? Like Manning the other day, we've we've had, you know, a lot of shots that have sort of hit the bar, but have sort of appeared out of nowhere, you know, down to Sienzo before Yander got his first two in a row, right?
00:05:30
Zak
Like he he managed to kind of rattle the bar a couple of times.
00:05:31
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah. it Both posts in one shot, right? Hmm.
00:05:35
Zak
Yeah, exactly that. So like, yeah we we have, yeah, it's just that that cutting edge that we that we don't have in comparison to Coventry, but we are getting there.
00:05:48
Zak
Like, they seem to be instinctively getting goals more than they ever used to, mate. Well, you know, when we're we're looking and having to rely on like, oh, hopefully Jack Stephens can get a goal today. i think It's a very, very different story nowadays, right?
00:05:58
Global Sports Podcast Network
very much so i mean Adam Armstrong still top of the championship goal scoring table with 11 goals yes
00:06:01
Zak
But
00:06:06
Zak
And that's even that's even with the fact that, you know, Coventry are doing what they're doing But that shows you more so that Coventry have a lot more goal scorers around the team. And that's maybe what we we also need a little bit more of.
00:06:14
Global Sports Podcast Network
yes
00:06:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah. Taylor Harwood-Bellis coming out in an interview with Alfie House this week, saying that, you know, it's it's going to be a game tough game, but St Mary's is a tough place to come at the minute. But interestingly, the sort of quote that jumped out at me to pull away was, any successful team, you can't lose two in a row. You have to bounce back.
00:06:38
Global Sports Podcast Network
We've shown that we can do that off the back of Millwall, and we'll be looking to do that on Saturday.
00:06:43
Zak
Yeah, agreed.
00:06:43
Global Sports Podcast Network
So, I mean, that's the mentality we've been asking and looking for in the players, right, for like as long as we've been doing this podcast, I think.
00:06:53
Zak
Yes, with entire managerial changeover, staff changeover, player changeover. Yeah, you're right. Since the thought of time, it's it's it's what we ask and it should be expected, I think, now, right? We should go into this game wanting to get three points. We shouldn't be going in. you know I know that I personally...
00:07:15
Zak
said previously, you know, would be the worst thing in the world. I think it feels a little bit different now. you know, i I take a well-thought draw, but we shouldn't be looking to kind of just down tools. We should be looking to come out and make statements and show that we are wanting to be in contention for promotion, right? That's ultimately where all these players keep saying they want to be, where the manager says they want to be, where the club says they want to be.
00:07:40
Zak
you know So taking it to the league leaders is a perfect opportunity to you know prove that, and especially in front of our own fans. So, know...
00:07:50
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:07:52
Global Sports Podcast Network
Look, it doesn't really mean anything to anyone, as as we discuss weekly, but historically, a fixture that's been very good to us. In the last eight matches, which you know dates back to 2008, we have five wins and two draws against Coventry with only one loss.
00:08:12
Global Sports Podcast Network
That loss was all the way back in 2008. when when they beat us 4-1. But other than that, lots of good results. Lots of high-scoring games. There's 2-1s, 4-0s, 4-2s. Yeah.
00:08:31
Zak
Yeah, but this is the other problem with history when it comes to that kind of stuff, right? is that It's that it's very different as opposed to... They've got a very different squad as opposed to that squad we even faced in 2024. So you can't read too much into it, right? This is like when you talk about, well, historically, and whenever we play against Stoke, it's awful. And you're right, because Stoke have had a very similar way of playing it. We played him this season, and it was, you know...
00:08:55
Zak
ha I don't know, man. But what I do know is that, you know, if we could take a positive boon and hope that that history can repeat itself, then sure.
00:09:06
Zak
Let's just just go with that.
00:09:10
Global Sports Podcast Network
Indeed. And look, we know you love a little AI spiel based off of that history, but the forecast that's coming out with is a competitive goal threat duel with a slight Southampton edge at home. Whilst the balance of expected goals favours Coventry slightly in general play, Southampton's home edge and sharper finishing at times keeps them in the hunt.
00:09:32
Global Sports Podcast Network
The suggested route being Southampton to win or draw as a double chance with over two and a half goals as a solid option. Corners and goals are a reliable staple. So, know, it's expecting goals, goals, goals. What more can you ask for?
00:09:50
Zak
Yeah, and that's all we, just thus you know, just in the run-up to Christmas, that's what we'd love to see. I just i just hope that we don't, I hope we don't do a Saints of it and just put ourselves down and don't.
00:10:00
Global Sports Podcast Network
right.
00:10:02
Zak
Like, let's let's bring that mentality when we play big clubs, right? Where we're like, we play really well against big clubs, except actually win and not do what we usually do, which is we played really well for 80 minutes before we lost free one to Man U.
00:10:15
Zak
Yeah.
00:10:17
Zak
that's what i' that's why I'm hoping to take out of this game I think that'll be fun it'll be exciting it'll be hopefully really good for the neutral and hopefully we'll manage to actually get three points out of it that's what I'm at
00:10:27
Global Sports Podcast Network
maybe maybe do Maybe we'll even get some goals in front of the Northern, mate. That would be nice, wouldn't it?
00:10:32
Zak
maybe second half mate you're going be a struggle they shouldw they just yeah they should swap it round but then maybe they won won't score until the second half maybe that's how we we break that curse
00:10:42
Global Sports Podcast Network
That's it. Right, let's have a little break and hear a message from our partners of Bionique, and then let's try and guess our starting eleven
00:11:29
Global Sports Podcast Network
Okay, and we are back. All alright right, mate, starting 11.
00:11:38
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.

Lineup Decisions and Player Updates

00:11:49
Global Sports Podcast Network
a Look, Stevens or Kwashi, right? That's the only real question we've got left to answer.
00:11:58
Zak
It's home, probably our captain, but maybe Kwasi would be better just because of the fact that... bit more physicality for the fact that we've got, you know, we're going to have a bunch of players that we know are going to take shots, but then maybe you'd want Stephens crunching tackles.
00:12:11
Zak
What we can talk about is that i don't know if you saw Dozie posted on Instagram, a little training montage of himself trying to get back to fitness. I think he's very, very excited coming back.
00:12:34
Zak
So so that that's a good a good positive step in the right direction.
00:12:37
Global Sports Podcast Network
maybe maybe we'll see him off the bench and maybe that's the opportunity to show that we can you know make some impact off the bench because you've got to think that coming in after this amount of timeout, he's going to be hungry.
00:12:44
Zak
That would be good. if Yeah,
00:12:50
Global Sports Podcast Network
But
00:12:50
Zak
for sure. You'd like to think anyway, because, you know, we're not... Can't guarantee that. But I'm very excited to to see what happens with him, just because I think that maybe, you know, I know we kind of assumed that he's going to be off in January to Belgium, but in actuality...
00:13:07
Zak
he is portraying as somebody that wants to come back from injury and show what he's doing. But also i think that it's an exciting team to come back into now, right? Like if you were like a whole of last season, like no one really wanted to come back in. really lead to the team.
00:13:24
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah.
00:13:24
Zak
If far I don't really wanted to play here, we had a lot of that.
00:13:27
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah.
00:13:28
Zak
We had people that did show that like take their opportunities and like I'd say the only one that even had a modicum of success was Suleymane, right? And that was under Juric and that got him a move to Atalanta under that manager who is now gone. So, fair play to him. But yeah the fact that we are currently a team where, like, you know, there is momentum, there is potentially progress to advance into the Premier League. I know that's...
00:13:55
Zak
but early to call that especially whereas i'm usually the naysayer of the two of us but like that is an exciting thing to come back to whereas you know if it was just like we were languishing down in 20th and you you sort of come back in to a squad demoralized and defeated but that's not uh and even if it is just because he wants to put himself in the shop window to be able to put yourself into a shop window you usually need to come back and do you know something
00:13:59
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:14:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
I was going to say, I think I've said it before, but at the end of the day, personal motivation and whatever gets you fired up is nobody else's business. If you're playing well because you want a move, at least you're playing well, right?
00:14:32
Global Sports Podcast Network
Like, it's all anyone really cares about.
00:14:32
Zak
Yeah, we've discussed that more than a few times before. And like the other obviously news that came out of the press conferences, at one point we might actually have a fit right back.
00:14:43
Zak
maybe

Squad Depth and Transfer Prospects

00:14:44
Global Sports Podcast Network
Crazy. Maybe.
00:14:44
Zak
learn something this way, Mads might be starting training next week, but it's not like we really need that.
00:14:51
Zak
I don't think that we would want to change something that's working.
00:14:54
Global Sports Podcast Network
No, that's it.
00:14:54
Zak
Arguably, you could say that the second half is a bit of a problem and maybe game management was a bit of a problem and maybe that will help with that, but like I'm not really going to want see any of them displacing fellows at this point.
00:15:06
Zak
and just learning to deal with those situations a little bit better.
00:15:06
Global Sports Podcast Network
Hmm.
00:15:09
Zak
We obviously had the the conversation about transfers in our episode yesterday. But the other thing about that, I don't know if you've you've heard about them saying, we've got two really strong goalkeepers.
00:15:21
Zak
and Apparently, there's going to be barely any movement in January. So, you know, one one minute we're hearing one thing, then we're hearing another.
00:15:26
Global Sports Podcast Network
just
00:15:28
Zak
that's that that' That sounds like the company line, doesn't it?
00:15:31
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah just baby I feel like the official line to the press and our actual thoughts on maybe two different things here, and that's fine. And look, you don't want to, especially, you don't want to discourage the players we've got because...
00:15:46
Zak
No.
00:15:47
Global Sports Podcast Network
they're still here to do a job. And so, look I mean, I expect Baz will still be in goal and that's hopefully fine. Look, I mean, look, for for the sake of prosperity, let's try and name it, right?
00:16:00
Global Sports Podcast Network
It'll be Fellows, Wood, fellows would ho the bellist
00:16:07
Zak
Probably Yep.
00:16:08
Global Sports Podcast Network
probably Stevens, probably Manning,
00:16:08
Zak
probably stevens
00:16:12
Global Sports Podcast Network
What? Flynn Downs, Caspiander, then Sienza Armstrong, Azaz.
00:16:15
Zak
Yep. Yep.
00:16:20
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:16:21
Zak
that's difficult That was Isn't it nice that we have we have like a best 11 now?
00:16:23
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:16:26
Zak
it's just it's so It's so strange to go from having absolutely no idea who our best players were to now knowing our best players but being really worried if even one of them is slightly out of sorts.
00:16:31
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:16:36
Zak
Maybe centre-back is okay because we can swap out, say, a Stevens or a Wood for somebody.
00:16:37
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah, real shit.
00:16:43
Zak
But...
00:16:43
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:16:44
Zak
but
00:16:45
Global Sports Podcast Network
And, you know, we've still got Ronnie Edwards floating around who's perfectly...
00:16:48
Zak
That used to be a bigger problem. We were like, we had five centre-backs and we were like, we need more centre-backs.
00:16:50
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:16:52
Zak
So it's really weird that we've kind of gone on a 180 in that kind of situation.
00:16:53
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah
00:16:57
Zak
And same with middle of the park. And, you know, strike is still a bit of a big question mark. we we We keep having that conversation. Sure, it's not going to go away until the end of January, at least.
00:17:07
Zak
But it's it's nice that we we have a solid team. And i think that's a strong team to put out against what is high-flying Coventry side. And we should just be able to make sure we give them a run for their money, right?
00:17:20
Global Sports Podcast Network
Let's hope. Yeah, for sure. It's going to be an exciting game. I'm really excited to get to the various and watch it. And yeah, it'll be nice to see if we get someone like a dozy on the bench.
00:17:33
Global Sports Podcast Network
It'll just be a nice little buzz to get before Christmas as well. Oh, I'm excited. I can feel it. Right. let's Let's get on to score predictions. But first, let's have a little break and hear a message from our partners at Zencastr.
00:17:48
Global Sports Podcast Network
Here at the Global Sports Podcast Network, we spent a lot of time selecting our delivery platform. Zencaster came out the clear winner. With 4K video recording from your phone and AI editing that automatically removes all those ums and ahs, it's super easy to start a podcast that sounds great and is delivered efficiently. If you're ready to tell your story, check out the link in the show description and learn more about Zencaster.
00:18:12
Global Sports Podcast Network
Right, mate, we are back as is tradition. going to throw under the bus first. What are you feeling? How are we feeling about it?
00:18:22
Zak
Yeah. A oh
00:18:26
Zak
three two is what I'm actually thinking. don't know why I just feel like there'll be a goal then they'll score and then we'll get a goal and then they'll score. I don't know when. I think maybe a goal apiece the first half, a goal apiece the second half and then maybe we score right at end and we get to do at St Mary's what often has happened to us, right?
00:18:46
Zak
That's what genuinely believe is going happen. Yeah.
00:18:49
Global Sports Podcast Network
It's not going be a comfortable game if that comes true, is it, mate? That's going to be...
00:18:53
Zak
Yeah, it's not. No, but I don't think it will be because you've got two teams that are, you know, one that's that's had a struggle to start the season, which is us. And they've now managed to regain our little bit of form that have something to prove after our last game. And then you've got Coventry who are, you know, just sort of,
00:19:10
Zak
in the ascendancy and are trying to maintain the levels that they will expect and require to get up to the Premier League. And, you know, who knows? I don't know if, you know, have a kind of feel like they're probably going up this year.
00:19:26
Zak
Obviously, things can change, but they they seem to be the ones that are really, really gunning for it. And who knows if they'll survive next year if they do go up? Because again, the the most surprising story of of who's managed to go up and do well this season has been Sunderland, right?
00:19:34
Global Sports Podcast Network
if
00:19:39
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:19:40
Zak
So yeah, I think that it's going to be an exciting clash between two teams that will probably be very, very up for it. I just don't think it's going to be comfortable because they're going to be two teams that want to go for it, right?
00:19:51
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:19:52
Zak
So pretty good.
00:19:52
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah, I mean, it's it's it's not a game that's designed for comfort, that's for sure.
00:19:57
Zak
nine
00:19:57
Global Sports Podcast Network
the Early kick-off as well, which is always a fun one, makes things a lot
00:20:04
Zak
don't don't we do Don't we do worse at early kickoff? I don't know at this point. I swear we did we did. We talked about midweek fixtures in in that Mythbusters episode, which then resulted in that we won most like nearly every single one of our midweek fixtures since then.
00:20:11
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:20:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah
00:20:18
Zak
I genuinely can't remember early kickoff. I think it's just that if it goes well, you've got the rest of the day to be happy. If it doesn't go well, it's ruined the entirety of Saturday afternoon. So I can't...
00:20:29
Global Sports Podcast Network
Mate, in in my experience, whatever happens, win or lose, all that happens is I come home and sit on the sofa and think it's six o'clock and actually it's three o'clock.
00:20:30
Zak
but
00:20:39
Zak
but
00:20:39
Global Sports Podcast Network
no
00:20:41
Zak
No, you're right. that That is a far more accurate.
00:20:42
Global Sports Podcast Network
look Look, should we do dinner and have a nap? What do you mean it's still the middle of the afternoon?
00:20:49
Zak
I mean, itt the time of year doesn't help me because by the time you get home, it is dark.
00:20:49
Global Sports Podcast Network
But that was late.
00:20:53
Zak
No.
00:20:53
Global Sports Podcast Network
I don't i other' know. Look, you're right. It's not going to be a comfortable day regardless how it goes.
00:21:00
Zak
i
00:21:01
Global Sports Podcast Network
But I think it's going to be, just, I've got the feeling it's going to be, oh, like stupidly high goal scoring affair. Like, arms yeah, I think five, three.
00:21:10
Zak
figure it's going generational.
00:21:14
Zak
Oh, interesting. I was going to are you to go or are you going to go 5-3? I know that you'd want to put us...
00:21:18
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah
00:21:19
Zak
You'd have to have them scoring one more than me, right?
00:21:22
Global Sports Podcast Network
yeah
00:21:22
Zak
So that meant there was going to be at least five goals. But I was just wondering how much you thought they were going to score. So that's that's very, very...
00:21:30
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah, i'll just...
00:21:31
Zak
It's fine. 3-2. We're optimistic. LAUGHTER five four
00:21:34
Global Sports Podcast Network
Yeah.
00:21:35
Zak
three two
00:21:36
Global Sports Podcast Network
I think that...
00:21:37
Zak
we we're optimistic
00:21:37
Global Sports Podcast Network
I think...
00:21:40
Global Sports Podcast Network
but
00:21:40
Zak
Good Lord.
00:21:41
Global Sports Podcast Network
I think that... look Look, I think it's not going to be as back and forward as your prediction. I think we're going to go two or three goals up. in the first half, like we have done, maybe in the first 35 minutes. Then think we'll concede one before halftime.
00:22:00
Global Sports Podcast Network
Then I think they'll bring it back to 3-3. I just think that we're just going to have picked it up and we'll just put it to bed. Like we're just going to show up and prove that we can do second halves now.
00:22:12
Global Sports Podcast Network
Two banging goals in front of the Northern.
00:22:12
Zak
I find that really, really interesting because like, who do you think is going to come and make that difference? Because again, I don't know if it's Ozy's fit enough to come on yet. I think that there was like a proper training montage.
00:22:22
Global Sports Podcast Network
don't don't think it come I don't think it comes from a change.
00:22:22
Zak
It's showing he's on his way.
00:22:25
Global Sports Podcast Network
i just think they they just kick into gear. Just think something happens and we just bang. A couple of goals for Sienza, a couple of goals for Armstrong and one for Azaz.
00:22:38
Zak
so So you're optimistic that in the second half that most of those goals are going to have to come within the first 15 minutes or otherwise or otherwise those players may will not be on the pitch for those those late goals.
00:22:49
Zak
I like it though. There's optimism around the camp, right? look how Look how happy and jolly we are being Saints fans. How weird is this? Even after a loss?
00:22:58
Global Sports Podcast Network
I know. That's it. Right, I'll tune in again after the game to see if that's still the case, that's for sure. Right, that that is just about all we have got time for today. Thank you everyone for listening and thank you as always, Zach, for joining me.
00:23:15
Global Sports Podcast Network
Like say, we will be back after the game to talk about it regardless of the outcome, for better or for worse. But let us know in the comments on the socials. Let us know your score predictions. Are you feeling as optimistic as us? Let us know. We love hearing from

Listener Engagement and Conclusion

00:23:30
Global Sports Podcast Network
you. We are GSPN Southampton on all of the socials, on TikTok, Facebook, YouTube, Instagram, X, Blue Sky, everywhere. Hit us up. Let us know how you're feeling. But until then, everyone, have a wonderful weekend.
00:23:47
Global Sports Podcast Network
Come on, you saints.