Timestamps

Ep 165

3:09 - Head to Head Heroes: Noelvi Marte [https://pitcherlist.com/player/noelvi-marte/] and Zach Neto [https://pitcherlist.com/player/zach-neto/]

13:37 - Chad's team in Ottoneu league one has been a disaster and while Juan Soto [https://pitcherlist.com/player/juan-soto/] isn't doing what he hoped, the real concern is the pitching - and Chad wants to know what to make of Jared Jones [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jared-jones], Spencer Arrighetti [https://pitcherlist.com/player/spencer-arrighetti], and Sandy Alcantara [https://pitcherlist.com/player/sandy-alcantara]

30:30 - Pete's struggling in the Keep or Kut listener Ottoneu league, and needs to figure out his path on HR/9, especially with some early bullpen disasters, but Marcus Semien [https://pitcherlist.com/player/marcus-semien] is where he's losing sleep.

43:58 - Chad is getting interested in Tim Tawa [https://pitcherlist.com/player/tim-tawa], if the playing time is there.

50:22 - Lightning round of players who are underperforming - except we only cover two names (Luis Robert Jr [https://pitcherlist.com/player/luis-robert-jr/]. and Zac Gallen [https://pitcherlist.com/player/zac-gallen/]), because we failed to be lightning.

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K ꓘ 165 - The Guys Sinking Our Teams

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) haven't been able to link up for an episode in a few weeks, so they have some news to get through. After the news, they take a look at some players who are overperforming their xwOBAs.

Timestamps

6:25 - Head-to-Head Heroes is back! Chad goes with Bryce Harper [https://pitcherlist.com/player/bryce-harper/] for Week 1. Pete chose Pete Crow-Armstrong [https://pitcherlist.com/player/pete-crow-armstrong/].

19:05 - News begins! We start by discussing the Spencer Strider [https://pitcherlist.com/player/spencer-strider/] debut.

24:30 - Triston Casas [https://pitcherlist.com/player/triston-casas/] is starting to hit the ball a lot harder, but the results still aren't following. What do we do here?

3o:52 - Luke Keaschall [https://pitcherlist.com/player/luke-keaschall/] is up with the Twins and batting second in the lineup.

35:13 - Chandler Simpson [https://pitcherlist.com/player/chandler-simpson/] is up with the Rays and leadoff in his first game.

41:40 - Conversations about wOBA vs xwOBA begin with a dissection of Salvador Perez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/salvador-perez/].

44:56 - Dylan Crews [https://pitcherlist.com/player/dylan-crews/] is showing signs of life

48:57 - Brandon Lowe [https://pitcherlist.com/player/brandon-lowe/] is looking pretty kuttable

56:45 - Andrew Vaughn [https://pitcherlist.com/player/andrew-vaughn/], Mike Trout [https://pitcherlist.com/player/mike-trout/], Yordan Alvarez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/yordan-alvarez/], Adley Rutschman [https://pitcherlist.com/player/adley-rutschman/], Yainer Diaz [https://pitcherlist.com/player/yainer-diaz/], Willson Contreras [https://pitcherlist.com/player/willson-contreras/], and Matt Olson [https://pitcherlist.com/player/matt-olson/] round out the top 10 in players overperforming their xwOBA. What sticks out here?

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K ꓘ 164 - News and wOBA vs xwOBA Over-performers

Timestamps

Ep 161

1:29 - .220: the combined batting average of players with ADP between 13 and 24 (second round) on NFBC.

18:32 - 1.64 mph: Nolan Arenado's [https://pitcherlist.com/player/nolan-arenado/] increase in average bat speed, plus some other bat speed gainers and losers.

28:48 - 2: The number of games at Coors Field so far this year and why you shouldn't be scared to stream at Coors.

35:32 - 47.1%: Christian Yelich [https://pitcherlist.com/player/christian-yelich/]'s Hard-Hit rate.

41:43 - .219: the combined batting average of all 1B so far this season.

49:23 - .319: xwOBA for Mookie Betts [https://pitcherlist.com/player/mookie-betts/].

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K ꓘ 163 - Six Numbers We Find Interesting

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) break down some of the hot starts in the opening days of baseball, particularly players who have been hitting the ball hard.

Timestamps

3:04 - Are homers up around baseball?

10:22 - Going over some of the hardest-hit balls of the (very) young season so far. We start off with Jordan Walker [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jordan-walker/].

18:08 - Corbin Carroll [https://pitcherlist.com/player/corbin-carroll/] has a new max EV. Not much to do here, but worth noting.

20:15 - Eugenio Suárez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/eugenio-suarez/] had a monster season last year. Was it a mirage or is he just back to being a power stud?

25:55 - Ryan Mountcastle [https://pitcherlist.com/player/ryan-mountcastle/] has one of the hardest-hit balls this season. Breakout season incoming?

30:58 - Oneil Cruz [https://pitcherlist.com/player/oneil-cruz/] continues to hit the ball hard. Woopdiedoo.

31:20 - Seiya Suzuki [https://pitcherlist.com/player/seiya-suzuki/] hit a 112.9 MPH double off of Merrill Kelly [https://pitcherlist.com/player/merrill-kelly/].

32:50 - Like Cruz, Kyle Schwarber [https://pitcherlist.com/player/kyle-schwarber/] also continues to pound the baseball.

34:00 - Derek Hill [https://pitcherlist.com/player/derek-hill/] hit a ball pretty hard! Alright!

36:28 - Randy Arozarena [https://pitcherlist.com/player/randy-arozarena/] hit a laser against the Athletics. We share our thoughts on him this season.

41:23 - Xander Bogaerts [https://pitcherlist.com/player/xander-bogaerts/] stunned a really hard-hit double. Is he in for a bounceback?

47:52 - Vladimir Guerrero [https://pitcherlist.com/player/vladimir-guerrero/] Jr., Fernando Tatis [https://pitcherlist.com/player/fernando-tatis/] Jr, and Aaron Judge [https://pitcherlist.com/player/aaron-judge/] are all still good… confirmed!

50:09 - Christian Walker [https://pitcherlist.com/player/christian-walker/] is healthy! And still hitting the ball hard!

51:37 - Tyler Soderstrom [https://pitcherlist.com/player/tyler-soderstrom/] is off to a hot start. He hit the ball really hard last year and is picking up where he left off.

55:23 - Will Jarren Duran [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jarren-duran/] be able to repeat what he did in 2024?

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K ꓘ 162 - Hot Exit Velocity Starts

Timestamps

Ep 161

7:42 - Looking at guys we have to make decisions to stash or cut, starting with Gerrit Cole [https://pitcherlist.com/player/gerrit-cole/]

14:33 - Three pitchers waiting on diagnoses - Shane McClanahan [https://pitcherlist.com/player/shane-mcclanahan/], Ryan Weathers [https://pitcherlist.com/player/ryan-weathers], Jared Jones [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jared-jones]

24:09 - Chad making calls on Jones, Parker Meadows [https://pitcherlist.com/player/parker-meadows], Francisco Alvarez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/francisco-alvarez], and Kyle Manzardo [https://pitcherlist.com/player/kyle-manzardo/]

34:17 - What pickups are you interested in  for OF, with options like Jake McCarthy [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jake-mccarthy], Jesus Sanchez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jesus-sanchez], Jacob Young [http://pitcherlist.com/player/jacob-young/], Brandon Marsh [https://pitcherlist.com/player/brandon-marsh], Jesse Winker [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jesse-winker], Lars Nootbaar [https://pitcherlist.com/player/lars-nootbaar], etc. available.

37:42 - Top bats being widely cut in Ottoneu: Noelvi Marte [https://pitcherlist.com/player/noelvi-marte], Jace Jung [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jace-jung], Thairo Estrada [https://pitcherlist.com/player/thairo-estrada], Sean Murphy [https://pitcherlist.com/player/sean-murphy], Giancarlo Stanton [https://pitcherlist.com/player/giancarlo-stanton], Chase DeLauter [https://pitcherlist.com/player/chase-delauter].

43:13 - Guys being auctioned in Ottoneu leagues right now, with Tyler Freeman [https://pitcherlist.com/player/tyler-freeman] at the top of the list along with Zac Veen [https://pitcherlist.com/player/zac-veen].

51:44 - Behind them is Ben Rice [https://pitcherlist.com/player/ben-rice] followed by Victor Scott II [https://pitcherlist.com/player/victor-scott-ii/] and Dedniel Nunez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/dedniel-nunez/]

1:00:02 - Closing it out with Brett Baty [https://pitcherlist.com/player/brett-baty] and a look at 2B.

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K ꓘ 161 - Opening Week Adds and Drops

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) discuss auction strategy and respond to listener questions.

Timestamps

2:20 - Jersey #60! Dallas Keuchel [https://pitcherlist.com/player/dallas-keuchel/] it is.

3:53 - Chad breaks down his preparation for his upcoming auction. This comprehensive overview includes how Chad approaches things such as position scarcity, where he thinks his opponents will spend their money, why he felt like he had to commit an almost unlimited amount of money to Juan Soto [https://pitcherlist.com/player/juan-soto/], and all of the potential category combinations he could shoot for to be strong in based on what is available.

32:00 - $29 Yoshinobu Yamamoto [https://pitcherlist.com/player/yoshinobu-yamamoto/], $15 Carlos Rodón [https://pitcherlist.com/player/carlos-rodon/], $5 Brayan Bello [https://pitcherlist.com/player/brayan-bello/]. Guys like Aaron Nola [https://pitcherlist.com/player/aaron-nola/] and Zac Gallen [https://pitcherlist.com/player/zac-gallen/] went for around $15 after the Rodon purchase. Was this a botched strategy?

39:15 - What do Pete and Chad think about the Rays’ Chandler Simpson [https://pitcherlist.com/player/chandler-simpson/]?

48:03 - Are you keeping Nick Pivetta [https://pitcherlist.com/player/nick-pivetta/] in 12 team league at a 15th round value?

53:46 - Would you keep $4 Chase Burns [https://pitcherlist.com/player/chase-burns/]? $4 Cam Smith [https://pitcherlist.com/player/cam-smith/]? $2 Spencer Jones [https://pitcherlist.com/player/spencer-jones/]? $2 Lazaro Montes [https://pitcherlist.com/player/lazaro-montes/]?

1:05:53 - What are Pete and Chad’s thoughts on allowing teams to add FAAB to trades?

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K ꓘ 160 - Auciton Prep & Listener Questions

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) are getting into draft season and have found some interesting trends in their early drafts. They take a look at some of what happened in the Keep or Kut Listener Leagues, as well as the FanGraphs Staff Ottoneu League,

Timestamps

5:11 - Guys you can get even after the auction is over.

11:26 - Marcus Semien wasn’t as bad as you think.

17:25 - Roki Sasaki and other high-priced pitchers in the Keep or Kut Listener 4x4: Zac Gallen, Gerrit Cole, Corbin Burnes, Luis Castillo

24:01 - What signal do you get from how MLB teams spend on a player?

28:45 - Zac Gallen the cheapest of the top tier FA and that feels wrong

32:34 - Corbn Burnes going a full price tier above the rest of the arms?

37:19 - OF was shallow, with Cody Bellinger, Jorge Soler, Randy Arozarena, Luis Robert, and Mike Trout most of the early names.

45:12 - Tyler Soderstrom, Ottoneu H2H C and knowing your format

53:20 - Interesting picks in the keep or kut listener fantrax leagues, including when to take prospects and closers getting pushed up

 

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Early Draft Notes

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) examine some keeper league and Ottoneu trades that have taken place this offseason.

Timestamps

7:55 - 28th Round Jared Jones for 28th Round Byron Buxton [https://pitcherlist.com/player/byron-buxton/]

11:45 - 7th Round Pick for a 28th Round Josh Lowe [https://pitcherlist.com/player/josh-lowe/] and an 11th Round Pick. Lowe or Tyler O’Neill? Lowe or Parker Meadows [https://pitcherlist.com/player/parker-meadows/]?

22:55 - 24th Round Vinnie Pasquantino [https://pitcherlist.com/player/vinnie-pasquantino/], 28th Round Hunter Brown [https://pitcherlist.com/player/hunter-brown/], 28th Round Parker Meadows [https://pitcherlist.com/player/parker-meadows/] for 9th Round Mason Miller [https://pitcherlist.com/player/mason-miller/] and 20th Round Anthony Santander [https://pitcherlist.com/player/anthony-santander/]. This dovetails into a conversation about potentially keeping Isaac Paredes [https://pitcherlist.com/player/isaac-paredes/] for a 7th round pick.

31:50 - $6 Kyle Bradish [https://pitcherlist.com/player/kyle-bradish/], $3 Edgar Quero [https://pitcherlist.com/player/edgar-quero/], $5 Zack Gelof [https://pitcherlist.com/player/zack-gelof/] for $5 Gavin Williams [https://pitcherlist.com/player/gavin-williams/]. Anything noteworthy here?

35:55 - $4 David Festa [https://pitcherlist.com/player/david-festa/] for a $4 Michael Toglia [https://pitcherlist.com/player/michael-toglia/]

40:59 - $10 Alec Bohm [https://pitcherlist.com/player/alec-bohm/], $6 Michael Busch [https://pitcherlist.com/player/michael-busch/], $3 Alec Burleson [https://pitcherlist.com/player/alec-burleson/] for $3 Liam Hendriks [https://pitcherlist.com/player/liam-hendriks/] and $10 Shane McClanahan [https://pitcherlist.com/player/shane-mcclanahan/]

47:19 - $25 Christian Yelich [https://pitcherlist.com/player/christian-yelich/] and $7 Yainer Diaz [https://pitcherlist.com/player/yainer-diaz/] for a $29 Logan Webb [https://pitcherlist.com/player/logan-webb/]

52:48 - Is Spencer Steer [https://pitcherlist.com/player/spencer-steer/] worth keeping at $11 in 4x4?

59:59 - 1st Round Pick, 13th Round Pick for 13th Round Pick, 21st Round Pick, 28th Round Michael King [https://pitcherlist.com/player/michael-king/], 28th Round Bryson Stott [https://pitcherlist.com/player/bryson-stott/], 28th Round Michael Busch [https://pitcherlist.com/player/michael-busch/], 10th Round Oneil Cruz [https://pitcherlist.com/player/oneil-cruz/]

1:10:55 - Is a $3 Michael Kopech [https://pitcherlist.com/player/michael-kopech/] not worth holding on to in Ottoneu FGPT now that Tanner Scott [https://pitcherlist.com/player/tanner-scott/] is a Dodger?

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K ꓘ 158 - Breaking Down Some Trades

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) take a look at ADP and find players whose draft cost makes them already look like potential keepers for next year. We're not talking the rookies or injured players you expect, but players who we think the market is simply undervaluing and whose ADP will be much earlier in 2026. 

Timestamps

5:35 - Pitchers whose new homes have impacted our thinking, including Garrett Crochet [https://pitcherlist.com/player/garrett-crochet/] to Fenway and Corbin Burnes [https://pitcherlist.com/player/corbin-burnes/] to the desert

16:17 - Same, but for hitters, this time talking Josh Naylor [https://pitcherlist.com/player/josh-naylor], Teoscar Hernandez [https://pitcherlist.com/player/teoscar-hernandez/], and a tangent for Chad to gripe about his Guardians.

22:07 - Looking at players whose ADP offers keeper value, starting with Bowden Francis [https://pitcherlist.com/player/bowden-francis/]

29:05 - Chad isn’t telling you Luis L. Ortiz [https://pitcherlist.com/player/luis-l-ortiz/] is an ace, but the price is free and the upside is real.

36:16 - Jake McCarthy [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jake-mccarthy] isn’t flashy but he projects to 10/30.

44:56 - Jorge Soler [https://pitcherlist.com/player/jorge-soler] going to the best power park of his career.

53:57 - Brandon Lowe [https://pitcherlist.com/player/brandon-lowe], as late as he is going, might be the best power source you can get at 2B.

58:19 - Luis Garcia Jr. [https://pitcherlist.com/player/luis-garcia-jr/] is the 7th 2B off the board and Chad still sees keeper value at that cost

1:01:25 - Nolan Gorman [https://pitcherlist.com/player/nolan-gorman] will at least get PA, and remember how good he looked?

1:05:04 - Chad is ready to talk more Isaac Paredes [https://pitcherlist.com/player/isaac-paredes/]

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts [https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/keep-or-kut/id1551885984] | Spotify [https://open.spotify.com/show/6RoNfxNKUjmQu3RkPC9gCi?si=aDxAWx20SryYPvbXAeQl3w&utm_source=copy-link] | Stitcher [https://www.stitcher.com/show/keep-or-kut] | TuneIn [https://tunein.com/podcasts/Sports--Recreation-Podcasts/Keep-or-Kut-p1405564/] | Google Podcasts [https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9vbW55LmZtL3Nob3dzL2tlZXAtb3Ita3V0LXBvZGNhc3QvcGxheWxpc3RzL3BvZGNhc3QucnNz?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwid_7Wbl-31AhXkBkQIHWptBSoQ9sEGegQIARAC] | RSS [https://omny.fm/shows/keep-or-kut-podcast/playlists/podcast.rss]

Connect: Twitter [https://twitter.com/keeporkut] | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+ [https://pitcherlist.com/plus/]

Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus [https://pitcherlist.com/plus]

K ꓘ 157 - Potential 2026 Keepers Based on ADP

Keep or Kut - Chad (@chadyoung [https://twitter.com/chadyoung]) and Pete (@PeteBBaseball [https://twitter.com/PeteBBaseball]) discuss some of the signings that have taken place as well as their wishes for some of the other available free agents. 

5:45 - Are the Blue Jays actually strugglign to lure free agents?

8:25 - Willy Adames [https://pitcherlist.com/player/willy-adames/] to the Giants

20:32 - Yankees and Red Sox are in on Max Fried [https://pitcherlist.com/player/max-fried/]

31:29 - The Guardians are bringing back Shane Bieber [https://pitcherlist.com/player/shane-bieber/]

37:40 - Tyler O’Neill to the Orioles, so where does Anthony Santander [https://pitcherlist.com/player/anthony-santander/] end up?

44:35 - Corbin Burnes [https://pitcherlist.com/player/corbin-burnes/] will be the top free agent once Juan Soto [https://pitcherlist.com/player/juan-soto/] signs.

54:00 - Alex Bregman [https://pitcherlist.com/player/alex-bregman/] will almost certainly experience a park downgrade if he leaves Houston

1:04:40 - Gleyber Torres [https://pitcherlist.com/player/gleyber-torres/] is another free agent who could bring some punch to a new team

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts [https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/keep-or-kut/id1551885984] | Spotify [https://open.spotify.com/show/6RoNfxNKUjmQu3RkPC9gCi?si=aDxAWx20SryYPvbXAeQl3w&utm_source=copy-link] | Stitcher [https://www.stitcher.com/show/keep-or-kut] | TuneIn [https://tunein.com/podcasts/Sports--Recreation-Podcasts/Keep-or-Kut-p1405564/] | Google Podcasts [https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9vbW55LmZtL3Nob3dzL2tlZXAtb3Ita3V0LXBvZGNhc3QvcGxheWxpc3RzL3BvZGNhc3QucnNz?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwid_7Wbl-31AhXkBkQIHWptBSoQ9sEGegQIARAC] | RSS [https://omny.fm/shows/keep-or-kut-podcast/playlists/podcast.rss]

Connect: Twitter [https://twitter.com/keeporkut] | keeporkut@gmail.com | Join PL+ [https://pitcherlist.com/plus/]

Get PL+ and join our Discord: https://pitcherlist.com/plus [https://pitcherlist.com/plus]

K ꓘ 156 - MLB Free Agency Updates & Wishes

The best fantasy baseball leagues don't end when the season ends. Join Chad Young and Pete Ball of Pitcher List as they dive into the world of keeper and Ottoneu leagues. Tips and advice, analysis and insights, all tailored to leagues where you're playing for the long haul.