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Introducing the Risk Calculus

The Risk Calculus
The Risk Calculus

900 plays · Feb 10, 2024

The Risk Calculus is a new podcast series from the UC Berkeley Risk and Security Lab. In Season One, join Professor Andrew Reddie for a deep dive into wargaming, an old way of thinking about risks that is being applied in new ways to some of today's most pressing  questions, from the impact of emerging technologies on the future of war to possible escalation scenarios in the Taiwan Strait. In each episode, Andrew is joined by guests working at the cutting edge of research and practice.  Tune in to learn more about the current renaissance in wargaming, and why variations on an old method may be among the most promising tools we have for rigorously evaluating emerging threats.

Transcript

Speaker: A lot of people are talking about risk these days, from technological shifts to climate change, geopolitical competition to economic warfare. We are living in a period of rapid and often disorienting transitions. But if the challenges of an increasingly uncertain present are apparent, what does tackling them actually entail?

Speaker: My name is Andrew Reddy, and I am the founder of UC Berkeley's Risk and Security Lab. And this is the Risk Calculus, a podcast inspired by our work here at the lab, where we focus on managing and mitigating risks at the intersection of international security and technology. Of course, there's a lot to say about the risks themselves, and we'll be digging deeper into these questions in later seasons. But to kick things off, I want to introduce you to an old, even ancient approach to thinking about risk, which is being applied in new and exciting ways, both here at the lab and beyond.

Speaker: I'm talking about Wargaming. In this miniseries, we'll be taking a deep dive into the past, present, and future of Wargaming. Who designs these games? Who plays them? What can they tell us about possible features? And how should we interpret their outputs? You'll hear from experts at the cutting edge of research and practice, people who are building and assessing games that address urgent questions, from the impact of tactical nuclear weapons on conflict escalation in Ukraine to crisis scenarios in the Taiwan Strait.

Speaker: I hope you'll join us to learn more about the current renaissance in wargaming and why innovations to an old method can help us think about present and emerging threats with more rigor. You can subscribe to the Risk Calculus wherever you get your podcasts.

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